Categories
Forex Fibonacci

Fibonacci Levels: How Much Does 50% Level Influence the Market?

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart, in which the price makes a reversal from 50% Fibonacci level. We know if the price makes a reversal from 61.8%, it usually goes up to 161.8%; if it makes a reversal from 38.2%, it goes up to 138.2%. In both cases, traders get good risk-reward. Do you ever wonder what happens if the price makes a reversal from 50%? Let us find this out through an example.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. It produces two bullish candles and heads towards the South. Look at the last candle. It comes out as a bullish inside bar. It makes a bullish correction. However, the sellers may wait for a bearish engulfing candle to go short in the pair.

The price has been in a bullish correction. It produces some bearish reversal candles, but it does not create any bearish momentum. The last candle comes out with a little bullish body having a long upper shadow. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out what happens next.

The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. It is a strong sign that the price may head towards the South again. The sellers may flip over to the minor chart to trigger entry.

The price heads towards the South with extreme bearish pressure. The last candle comes out as a bearish Marubozu candle. It seems that the price may continue its bearish journey towards the South further. Let us find out what actually happens.

It does not continue its bearish journey. It finds its support. Upon producing a hammer, it heads towards the North with one more bullish candle. It seems that it may continue its bearish journey considering bearish engulfing candle as a reversal candle. Next, two candles come out as strong bearish candles too. What may be the reason that the price makes a bullish reversal here? Let us find this out with Fibonacci levels.

If we calculate, we find that the price makes a bearish reversal from Fibonacci 50% level. It then heads towards the South with extreme bearish momentum. However, it finds its support at the Fibonacci 100.00 level. Usually, this is what happens when the price trends from the 50% level. A question may be raised here whether we should take entry if the price trends from the 50% Fibo level. It depends on risk-reward. If it offers a good reward, then we may take an entry. In most cases, it does not offer a good reward; thus, we may skip taking those entries.

 

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

The Impact Of ‘Labor Costs’ Fundamental Driver’s News Release On The Price Charts

Introduction

Labor Cost is a critical element affecting business profitability and sustainability. Labor costs have a direct feedback effect on inflation rates. Understanding its effect on the labor force, economic growth, and inflation helps understand how market forces act.

What are Labor Costs?

It is defined as the total cost of labor used in a business. It is the sum of all wages paid out to the employees of business by the employer. Labor costs include payroll taxes and employee benefits also. Hence, from a business standpoint, it is part of business expenditure dealing with human resources. It can also be defined as the wages cost paid to workers during an accounting period, including taxes and benefits.

Most often, countries measure Unit Labor Cost, which is the labor compensation for a unit of business value produced. It is also a measure of international competitiveness amongst different labor markets throughout the world. Many companies in the United States have shifted their production plants to countries like Mexico, China, and India, where labor cost is relatively lower than the United States.

Labor costs are broadly categorized into the following two categories:

Direct cost: It is the cost of labor that can be traced to produce. It is the labor cost of employees that produce a product. It is a tangible measure. For example, if forty employees are working on assembling and packing an automobile engine, then the labor cost can be traced to the engine’s sale prices.

Indirect cost: It is the labor cost that cannot be traced to any tangible business produce. For instance, building security does not contribute to business output but ensures the safety of the place. It is generally associated with support labor that maintains business activity.

Businesses price in the labor costs, material charges, and overheads, if any, into the final sales price of the product or service they produce. The final product must factor in all the costs incurred; otherwise, it can hurt the company’s profit margin.

While it is easier to evaluate direct costs, indirect costs are a little trickier to evaluate due to their intangible nature. Undervaluation or overvaluation of costs drives the actual price of products away from correct prices. Undervaluation can force employees to quit for better opportunities. Overvaluation can hurt business profit or translate those prices into the end product. When overvalued products hit markets, they lose out to competition and hurt business. Hence, correctly modeling labor costs is vital for business sustenance.

Labor costs are sometimes also classified as fixed and variable costs. Variable costs change based on the amount of work done or business production. For instance, workers working on the production line can see reduced or increased work during business cycles. In such instances, workers are paid for the hours worked, or the output produced. Fixed costs do not vary over the entire business cycle. For instance, a contract with a maintenance company for a year would be fixed for repairs throughout the year.

How can the Labor Costs numbers be used for analysis?

Labor costs are affected by the following factors:

Labor Availability: The supply and demand for labor will drive labor costs. Lack of availability of the required skilled laborers for a particular business can drive up the labor costs due to demand outweighing supply. Conversely, when the market is saturated, labor costs go down due to market forces.

Workplace Location: The cost of living varies across different regions. Businesses having multiple branches can offer different pay for the same work in different areas due to differences in living costs. Wages are generally high in metropolitan cities and lower in semiurban areas.

Task Complexity: The more complex the work, the more a business pays out for it. The task difficulty drives up the labor cost.

Efficiency and Productivity: Efficiency can improve productivity for the same hours of work and workforce. It can increase business profits that can translate into higher labor wages also.

Worker Unions: Hiring a union member ensures that the wages are above a particular minimum pay set by the union. Unions have control over demand and supply of workers, thereby having the power to negotiate labor wages.

Legislation: With many countries adopting minimum wages, and having dedicated acts and laws to protect labor exploitation, labor costs have a price floor below which it cannot drop.

Employer’s idealogy: Some business owners place more emphasis on its employees and view them as the heart of the business. Such people pay higher wages compared to other businesses that emphasize more on profit.

Labor costs are directly proportional to inflation. As prices rise, the cost of living increases and laborers demand higher wages. When labor costs increase, the profit margin of the company decreases. To avoid a reduction in profits, companies may employ cost-cutting mechanisms or lay-offs to accommodate the new wage hike. A significant increase in labor costs can increase unemployment.

On the flip side, the increased labor cost may translate to the product’s end sale price, giving a feedback loop to price inflation. It continues until market equilibrium is achieved through the open demand and supply market forces.

Impact on Currency

Significant and quick increases in the labor market induce inflation, which is depreciating for the currency. Labor cost in itself does not directly affect the country’s currency worth. It is part of a more extensive system. Labor costs are seen from the business point of view and are associated more with inflation.

Overall, labor costs are low impact lagging indicators that do not have a significant effect on currency market volatility. It is deemed more useful for businesses and policymakers to balance laborer’s well-being and business sustainability.

Economic Reports

In the United States, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases quarterly “Labor Productivity and Costs” that details the Unit Labor Cost also. The report is released in the following mid of the month for the previous quarter.

Sources of Labor Costs

The BLS Labor Productivity and Costs report contains the Unit Labor Cost reports.

The OECD also maintains data of the Unit Labor Cost data of its member countries.

Consolidated Labor Costs data is also available on Trading Economics for most countries.

Labor Costs Announcement – Impact due to news release

In the previous section of the article, we understood the labor costs economic indicator, which essentially measures the change in the price companies pays for labor, excluding overtime. It is a leading indicator of consumer inflation. High labor costs make workers better off, but they reduce companies’ profits and net cash flow.

Policies that increase labor costs can significantly affect employment and working standards, which has an indirect impact on the overall economy. Since labor costs are a company-specific factor, its impact is primarily felt on the company’s stock price and the stock market.  Hence, currency traders do not give much importance to the official labor costs news release.

In today’s article, we will be analyzing the latest labor costs data of New Zealand that was released in May. In the below image, we can see that labor costs were slightly lower than last time and almost equal to market expectations. Let us find out the market’s reaction to this data.

NZD/USD | Before the announcement

The above image shows the NZD/USD 15-minute timeframe chart right until 22:30 GMT. The news release is at 22:45 GMT. Before the news release, the market has no clear pattern and maintains a range with no clear uptrends or downtrends.

NZD/USD | After the announcement

After the news announcement at 22:45 GMT of labor costs Index quarterly reports, which came a little lower than the forecast, no new trends developed. The pair kept its ranging trend before, during, and after the news release.

NZD/CAD | Before the announcement

The above image is the NZD/CAD 15-minute timeframe chart, and we can see here also there is no clear trend building up throughout the day. The currency pair has been in a ranging trend throughout the timeline.

NZD/CAD | After the announcement

After the news announcement, there seems to be no significant volatility in either direction. The news did not create enough volatility to bring about any trend.

NZD/EUR | Before the announcement

The above chart is the NZD/EUR 15-minute time frame chart, and there have been here also no trends building up before the news announcement. There are no potential trade signals here until now.

NZD/EUR | After the announcement

After the news announcement, there seems to be no volatility around the candle. The pair did not build any momentum after the announcement also.

In conclusion, even though the news announcement came slightly less favorable to the NZD currency, we did not see any downtrends for NZD currency against any other currency. The market ignored the news, and there was no impact significant enough to move the currency in either direction. All of this again firmly establishes our fundamental conclusion that the labor costs economic indicator is a low impact indicator in the currency markets and can be overlooked for the fundamental analysis of currencies.

Categories
Crypto Guides

Different Facets Of The Blockchain Technology

Introduction

We have seen many topics related to blockchain explaining different facets of the technology. This article is an attempt to put together the main aspects of the technology and how it has shaped up so far from the invention of bitcoin as the first application of blockchain technology.

🔗 Cryptocurrencies

The blockchain journey starts with cryptocurrencies. The blockchain technology journey started with the bitcoin platform. The coin is the first cryptocurrency ever, and it changed the course of the finance industry for good. Cryptocurrencies include the properties of cryptography, which result in the property of immutability.

Peer-to-peer networks lead to decentralization, which has become the need of the hour with ever-growing frauds. The cryptocurrency platforms use different consensus algorithms like Proof of Work, Proof of Stake, Delegated Proof of Stake, Proof of Burn, etc., which overcome Byzantine Fault Tolerance issues. People who maintain the network and confirm the transactions are incentivized using the local currency of the platform.

🔗 Cryptocurrencies with enhanced privacy features

Blockchains being transparent, it is easy to find the transactions done by different users in the platform. Hence a few platforms have enhanced privacy features so that the transactions made are not traceable. Coins from the Cryptonote family are a good example. Monero is an excellent example from cryptonote, which uses ring signatures, which obscures the sender and receiver’s address. The amount is also restricted by default.

🔗 Different types of Blockchains

While cryptocurrency platforms have a protocol that they should be open and permissible, it is not a hard and fast rule for blockchain technology. We have permissioned ledgers, which are also called private blockchains. An excellent example of private blockchains is enterprise blockchains like hyperledger platforms.

We also have permissionless ledgers, which are public blockchains. Good examples of permissionless are cryptocurrency platforms. We have hybrid platforms as well, which are a mix of public and private, leveraging the properties of both the platforms wherever required.

🔗 Applications of blockchain other than cryptocurrency

Blockchain technology has made its way to almost all the fields. Healthcare, supply chain, agriculture, energy trading, valuable goods/diamond digitization, shipping industry, trade finance, music, publications, art, gaming, etc. Blockchain being a niche technology, the adoption is still low, but the recent surveys across the industries only prove that they have started implementing the technology or looking to implement at the moment.

🔗 Non-crypto applications on top of cryptocurrency platforms

Ethereum has many DAPPs developed and operating on its platform, but we cannot say that these applications run on cryptocurrency applications. Ethereum is a broad platform with a multitude of smart contracts operating on them serving different purposes. There are applications on the top of the bitcoin platform which convey messages. Protocols like Counterparty, Factum, Colored Coins allows the creation of tokens to denote something with a fraction of bitcoin value.

🔗 Projects to tackle scalability issues

The main drawback of blockchain platforms is scalability, and many projects have been developed to address the same. Segwit, segregation of witness aims to remove the signature from the main block and store it somewhere else to increase the block’s space for more transactions.

We have sidechains that intend to transfer some of the workloads to an adjacent chain, called sidechain, which may or may not run on the same consensus algorithm but are equally secured. The hacking of the main chain doesn’t affect the side chain and vice versa. The sidechains are used to test innovations and implement smart contracts if they are not feasible to run on the leading network.

Conclusion

These are some of the facets to show how blockchain as a technology has grown to address the drawbacks from one stage to another. Many have speculated that the technology is not very much useful and is overhyped. But with all the developments since its inception and all the money being poured into the technology, we can only say that it is here to stay and improve a lot and prove itself for time and again.

Categories
Forex Basic Strategies

Forex Trading Using ‘Commodity Correlation Strategy – 2’

Introduction

A correlation coefficient is a number that describes the extent to which two instruments are correlated to each other. The number ranges between -1 and +1. This number moves from periods of positive correlation to periods of negative correlation. Located on one end of the scale, +1 is considered a state of the positive correlation between two instruments.

If the number is anywhere between 0 and +1, the two assets are said to move in the same direction, with a certain degree of positive correlation. On the other end of the scale, -1 is considered a state of negative correlation between two instruments. If the number is anywhere between 0 and -1, the two instruments are said to move in the opposite direction, with a certain degree of negative correlation.

The strategy we will be discussing today seeks to exploit the inverse correlation between the dollar index and Gold’s price. According to the World Gold Council, Gold tends to rise when the U.S. dollar falls. It is observed in the past that the correlation coefficient for Gold and the dollar index was between -0.6 and -0.8. This means if the dollar index is up, there is a 60% to 80% chance that gold prices would come down. In contrast, if the dollar index is down, there is a 60% to 80% chance that gold prices would come down. Let us see how the strategy works.

Time Frame

The commodity correlation strategy works well in the Daily (D) time frame. This implies that each candlestick on the chart represents the price movement of one day.

Indicators

We will be using the ATR indicator in the strategy. No other indicators are required for the strategy.

Currency Pairs

There are two charts we need to focus on in this strategy. The first one is the spot Gold or XAU/USD, and the second one is the chart of the dollar index.

Strategy Concept

The dollar index’s price action is used as a reference to initiate a trade on the XAU/USD. Technical levels of support and resistance on the dollar index chart are used to spot long and short trades on XAU/USD. If the price closes below the support on the dollar index chart, a long trade is initiated on the XAU/USD the following day. Similarly, if price closes above resistance on the dollar index chart, a short trade is initiated on the XAU/USD the following day. The risk-to-reward of this trade is 1:2. A bigger target can be achieved by allowing the trade to run its course.

The strategy is very simple for those who have a basic understanding of support and resistance. Another reason behind its popularity is that it does not involve the usage of complex indicators. The trade setups are not formed too often as we are using the daily time frame charts. Hence, a lot of patience is required for the application of the strategy.

Trade Setup

Here are the steps to implement the commodity correlation strategy. In both the instruments, we will be using the daily time frame chart only.

Step 1

The first step of the strategy is to open the dollar index’s daily time frame and mark key areas of support and resistance on the chart. If one is looking for ‘long’ trades, the identification of the support area is crucial. And if one is looking for ‘short’ trades, identification of ‘resistance’ trade is crucial. After marking out of the lines, wait for the price to breakout or breakdown. In case of a breakout, we will look for ‘short’ trades in ‘gold,’ and in case of a breakdown, we will look for ‘long’ trades in ‘gold.’

We have taken an example of a ‘long’ trade where we will be executing the steps of the strategy. In the below image, one can see that the price has broken below the long term support.

Step 2

Next, we open the chart of XAU/USD, where we look for ‘long’ or ‘short’ entry. We enter for a ‘long’ in ‘gold’ on the following day of the dollar index’s break of support. Similarly, we enter for a ‘short’ in ‘gold’ on the following day of the break of resistance in the dollar index. The entry is taken right at the opening candle on the next day.

In our case, we are entering for a ‘long’ in ‘gold’ on the following day since the price had broken the dollar index’s support on the previous day.

Step 3

In this step, we determine the take-profit and stop-loss for the strategy. The stop loss is mathematically calculated where it is placed at the amount obtained after multiplying 2 to the value of the ATR indicator on the previous day. This means if the ATR value is 30, then stop loss will be set 60 points away from the current market price (CMP). The take-profit is extended up to a point where the trade results in a risk to reward ratio of 1:2. As mentioned earlier, since this is a long-term chart, the trade has the potential to give higher returns.

We can see in the below image that trade has almost reached our ‘take-profit’ where this is the current state of the market.

Strategy Roundup

Part II of the commodity correlation strategy seeks to take advantage of the negative correlation between the dollar index and gold prices. Using the dollar index as a reference, we are activating trades on the XAU/USD pair, which is nothing but the price of spot gold.

However, the interest rates announcement by the Federal Reserve will try to keep the inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and Gold. This strategy is ideal for traders around the world who do not have time to watch the markets on a daily basis. The strategy can also be used to look for investment opportunities in Gold.

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

What’s One (Harmony)? The Definitive Guide

Bitcoin, the first blockchain and cryptocurrency was designed to facilitate a peer-to-peer payment system that operates beyond the centralized control of governments and without intermediaries such as banks. But as the cryptocurrency has gained more popularity and more users crowd the network, so has the transaction speed slowed down, and transaction fees became prohibitively expensive. 

Succeeding blockchains have attempted to improve Bitcoin one way or another. One of these is Ethereum, which enables developers from all over the world to build ‘smart contracts.’ Smart contracts are a new kind of contract that is self-executing and self-enforcing. But even Ethereum failed to solve the scalability problem, averaging only 15 transactions per second.

Other projects like Zilliqa have sought to solve the scalability problem by implementing sharding – the technique of partitioning a database so as to enhance network speed. Still, this approach came short. First, it does not support state sharding, preventing nodes with limited computing power from participating in the network. Second, it uses a proof-of-work mechanism for the random generation of transaction validators. 

Harmony is a project that seeks to address the enduring issue of blockchain scalability by providing a fully scalable, secure, and environmentally friendly blockchain. 

Breaking Down Harmony

Harmony is a public blockchain network that aims to provide scalability for decentralized applications. It aims to do this by dividing the network states into shards, effectively “scaling linearly in all three aspects of machines, transactions and storage.” 

Harmony differentiates itself from other scaling blockchains in the following ways: 

  • Fully Scalable – Harmony divides up not only the network validation process but the blockchain state itself, making it a fully scalable blockchain
  • Secure Sharding – Harmony’s sharding process is secure thanks to its reliability on distributed random generation (DRG) protocol that is unpredictable, free from bias, and verifiable. 
  • Fast and Efficient Consensus – Unlike other scalability blockchains that rely on Proof-of-Work consensus, which gobbles up a lot of energy, Harmony is based on the more energy-efficient proof-of-stake consensus mechanism. Also, network consensus is reached via the Byzantine Fault Tolerance (BFT) mechanism, which is faster than the Practical Byzantine Fault Tolerance (PBFT) mechanism. 
  • Adaptive Thresholded Proof of Stake – Harmony implements an ‘adaptive thresholded proof of stake,’ which adjusts the threshold of stakes needed for a node to qualify to join the network in such a manner that malicious nodes cannot take control of a single shard.
  • Scalable Networking Infrastructure – Harmony utilizes an ‘Adaptive Information Dispersal Algorithm’ to quickly assign transaction-containing blocks across shards on the network. 
  • Consistent Cross-Shard Transactions – this is a protocol that helps achieve the consistency of cross-shard transactions by enabling shards to interact one-on-one with each other.

How Harmony Works 

The Harmony platform runs on two major pieces of technology, namely:

  • PoS consensus based on BLS signature algorithm
  • Adaptive state sharding

#1. PoS Consensus and BLS Signature Algorithm

Harmony utilizes a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism based on what it calls (FBFT) to facilitate faster transactions. On top of that, it uses BLS (Boneh-Lynn-Shacham) signatures – a signature technology that verifies user authenticity. The BLS signature allows Harmony to scale faster than if it were using the traditional PBFT algorithm.

#2. Adaptive State Sharding

Harmony employs sharding, which involves partitioning network data into smaller and more manageable chunks. This is to achieve high-level scalability by facilitating faster confirmation of transactions. However, it goes further to incorporate ‘state sharding,’ also known as network sharding. State sharding involves splitting the entire network’s state across all the nodes and yet again across shards, paving the way for nodes to interact with each other without verification conflicts.

Who’s on The Harmony Team?

The Harmony team comprises experts who bring to the table experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain, coding, engineering, decentralized protocols, and business. The core team is made of Stephen Tse, Rongjian Lan, Nick White, and Sahil Dewan.

Stephen Tse is an experienced engineer and coder with more than 15 years of experience. He has a Ph.D. in security protocols and compiler verification from the University of Pennsylvania.

Rongjian Lan is a decentralized protocols enthusiast who was also a search infrastructure engineer at Google’s Play Store. Lan is the author of more than ten academic papers on Spatio-temporal and map-based visualization.

Nick White is an artificial intelligence and applied mathematics researcher who has Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in electrical engineering from Stanford University.

Sahil Dewan has a degree in business from the Harvard Business School, where he also served as president of the blockchain and cryptocurrency Club. He’s a former employee at the Draper Dragon Fund.

Harmony has also onboarded several advisors, namely Hakwan Lau (neuroscience and machine-learning professor at UCLA), Ka-yuet Liu (medical data and network analysis professor at UCLA) Zi Wang, who’s worked for nine years at Google, Bruce Huang, who’s worked for eight years at Microsoft and is a director at Alibaba. 

The Harmony Token (ONE)

Harmony has a utility token known as ONE, which runs atop the network’s mainnet since June 2019. The token plays the following roles in the Harmony ecosystem;

  • Staking – network participants must hold the talking in order to take part in the PoS consensus and earn block rewards
  • Payments – ONE is the medium through which individuals pay for storage and transaction fees
  • Voting – The token is used to purchase voting rights for members to participate in decision-making on the direction of the Harmony protocol

ONE’s Distribution

ONE’s distribution was as follows: 

  • 22.4% went to the seed sale conducted in May 2018
  • 12.5% went to the launchpad sale which took place in May 2019
  • 16.9% went to the team
  • 26.4% point to protocol development
  • 21.8% went to ecosystem development

The following is ONE’s market performance as of June 29, 2020. The cryptocurrency is trading at $0.004421 while ranking at #145. It has a market cap of $27, 653, 568, 24-hour volume of 4, 650, 278, a circulating supply of 6, 255, 461, 110, and a total and maximum supply of 12, 600, 000, 000. ONE has an all-time high of $0.030689 (June 06, 2019), and an all-time low of $0. 001257, (March 13, 2020). 

Where to Buy and Store ONE

You can buy ONE tokens from a variety of exchanges, including Huobi, Binance, WazirX, KuCoin, BitMax, Gate.io, MXC, HitBTC, Bilaxy, and Bitsonic.  With storage, you also have a variety of options, including Trust, Ledger, Math Wallet, and Guarda Wallet

Final Words 

Harmony manages to solve the decade-old, thorny issue of blockchain’s lack of scalability. By its use of state sharding, and it’s a unique twist to the traditional practical Byzantine fault tolerance mechanism, the blockchain can scale faster than other existing blockchains. Harmony excels where other blockchains have fallen short, and perhaps we’ll see more blockchains adopting some of its techniques in a bid to attain increased scalability. 

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Is Blockchain the New Frontier in The Fight against Corruption? 

At its core, blockchain technology aims to resolve issues pertaining to the security and integrity of data. As such, the technology comes at a ripe time – when the general public is losing trust in governments and other central authorities that are entrusted with maintaining records. 

In line with the aforementioned solutions, the technology works by decentralizing and cryptographically encrypting the stored data, thereby promoting data transparency and traceability without the need for authentication by a central authority. Through decentralization, blockchain also makes it possible for parties to share records in a consensus database, which in turn renders it impossible for a single party to alter the data. By leveraging these properties, blockchain is positioned to lead the fight against corruption as it can verify records and protect them from being tampered with. 

Unlocking Blockchain’s Potential in Fighting against Corruption 

It seems counterintuitive to market blockchain as a tool for fighting against corruption, yet it’s the same technology that allows criminals to perpetrate crimes such as money laundering and tax evasion. In addition to supporting anonymous transactions, virtual currencies also lack a central regulatory authority, which further promotes financial crimes.

On the bright side, the technology can be used to curb these financial crimes and other corruption atrocities.

1. Registering Assets

For starters, the most obvious entry point of blockchain in the fight against corruption is in maintaining immutable public registries. These include property registry and land titling to ensure transparency between buyers and sellers. Essentially, it would work as a proof of identity/ ownership system. 

Registering assets ownership on the blockchain creates an immutable system that can help stamp out fraud, which results from forgeries and simple clerical errors. In fact, these forgeries are so severe that the United States has a massive title insurance industry to cover monetary losses associated with these frauds. As such, if implemented, the system would save taxpayers millions of dollars and incentivize banks to lend loans to property owners against their land – thanks to the transparency of the system. 

Sweden is leading the way in developing a blockchain-powered land registry system. The government has partnered with a telecommunication company, Telia, and two other Sweden banks in a bid to eliminate paperwork, reduce fraud, and speed up transactions. 

The system will run on a consortium blockchain that brings land authorities and banks – who hold copies of the land records – together. When a land title changes hands, each step of the process is verified and recorded on the network, with the help of smart contracts. 

Other countries working on developing a similar system include Georgia, Ukraine, and Ghana – where it is estimated that huge chunks of land are unregistered. 

2. Verifying Identity

As the world continues to embrace digital systems, identity theft becomes a more pronounced concern with people trying to cover their digital footprints. Corporations also aren’t spared from this menace as several of them have fallen victim to intimidating threats from hackers and online vigilantes who exploit loopholes in their public registries. 

A blockchain-powered database can be used to manage and authenticate the identity of individuals and corporations in a Know Your Customer (KYC) infrastructure. This would also make it easier to maintain anti-money laundering regulations. Such is the goal of the ambitious Dubai Blockchain Strategy, which seeks to digitize most government administration processes such as license renewals, visa application, and bill payments. When fully implemented, the system will not only reduce identity theft – especially in visa applications, but also save the government the expensive administration costs associated with physically running these procedures. 

Also, the Jamaican government is planning on establishing a national identity (NID) system, which is essentially an online database with a citizen’s personal details. This will help in streamlining identity verification and counter financial crimes in Jamaica. Although the government hasn’t shown any interest in blockchain, the NID system could benefit immensely if this disruptive technology was to be used. 

3. Tracking transactions

High-risk transactions such as cash transfers and public contracts are susceptible to third-party interception and even fraud by the involved parties. Currently, various solutions have been introduced to provide end-to-end transparency using advanced analytics to detect bid-rigging, price-fixing, phantom vendors, among other irregularities. Blockchain can still be deployed to further enhance transparency by recording vital information at every stage of the contract or procurement chain. 

In the same vein, government payment systems and cash transfers are vulnerable to fraud due to multiple points of human discretion. Limiting the physical interaction between citizens and government officials using smart contracts will reduce falsification/fraudulent transactions, in addition to cutting the red tape.

So far, there have been only a few programs experimenting on blockchain as a means of recording government transactions. Nonetheless, the United Nations, through the World Food Program, recently conducted cash transfers to Syrian refugees in Jordan. This pilot project was done using a blockchain system as a means of recording entitlements to ensure transparency, eliminate chances of falsified claims, and reduce transfer costs. The success of this project may perhaps inspire governments across the world to embrace blockchain as a means of fighting against corruption. 

In a humanitarian context, blockchain can also be used to curb slavery and civil wars experienced in resource-rich third world countries. A good example is in the case of ‘blood’ diamonds witnessed in Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo, and Sierra Leone. ‘Blood’ diamonds, as defined by the United Nations, are gemstones mined by militia groups who, in turn, sell them to fund their military actions against the recognized government of that particular state. Often these militias exploit slaves and children to mine these gems and perpetuate state violence. 

Even though most consumers do not want to buy these diamonds, they have no practical way of ascertaining whether they were ethically sourced. However, blockchain as a data storage system can be used to record all diamond transactions throughout its supply chain, making it easy for anyone to access and verify the history of a diamond before purchasing. This would, in turn, discourage the sale of blood diamonds to unsuspecting customers, bringing an end to slavery, child labor, and perhaps, cripple the criminal activities of the militias.  

Conclusion 

Blockchain technology may not be the silver bullet it’s often touted to be, but its enormous potential to root out corruption can’t be ignored, especially in a world scarred by unending corruption scandals. Besides strengthening integrity, the technology can add an extra layer of security to records and transactions that are often exposed to high risks of corruption. Nonetheless, it’s anticipated that government-wide application of blockchain systems is yet to be realized as the technology is still in its early stages. For now, we can only rely on pilot programs to lead the exploration of blockchain as an anti-corruption tool. 

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

A Definitive Guide to Stratis (STRAT)

Blockchain has proved to be a force to reckon with. Initially designed to transfer value, tech geeks soon discovered that the innovation could be used for much more. These days, blockchain is used for all manner of applications, from secure messaging to tracking seafood, to voting. Even governments are tinkering with blockchain in a bid to realize more streamlined services. 

However, blockchain still remains out of reach for most organizations – thanks to the massive expenses that go into creating one, and the limitations inherent in most public blockchains. These limitations include scalability issues and their inability to support the private nature of enterprises’ information. Operating on a Blockchain-as-a-Service model, Stratis makes deploying blockchain as easy as signing up for an account. And it’s not just the ease of deploying a blockchain. The platform also allows users to tailor-make their blockchain applications. It even supports provisioning for some of the most popular blockchains – namely Bitcoin, Ethereum, BitShares, and Lisk. 

Hence, Stratis makes for a strong contender for an affordable, customizable, and flexible Blockchain-as-a-Service solution. 

What’s Stratis? 

Stratis is a blockchain framework that allows businesses to create customized blockchain applications. The Stratis platform enables enterprises to expedite their blockchain integration processes by simplifying the procedures required to do so. Beyond providing such a platform, Stratis takes it further by offering affordable blockchain consultancy services to clients. 

How does Stratis Work? 

Stratis functions as a Blockchain-as-a-Service (BaaS) platform. It supports technologies such as side chains and a suite of APIs to facilitate entities to incorporate blockchain without having to build a new blockchain from the ground up. 

#1. Blockchain-as-a-Service (BaaS)

Stratis offers cloud-based blockchain solutions. This means the end-user doesn’t have to maintain the entire blockchain network, saving significant resources both in time and money. 

#2. One-Click Deployment

Stratis enables entities to implement blockchain through the single click of a button. Users can deploy a side chain that has the same features as the parent chain. And for features that are not supported by Stratis, you can explore side chains to the Ethereum, Bitcoin, BitShares, and Lisk platforms. Thus, if an entity wants to experiment with any of these networks or use them in conjunction with the Stratis sidechain functionality, there’s nothing to stop them.

#3. Private Sidechains

Private side chains are one of the major selling points for Stratis. Deploying a blockchain on the Stratis platform grants you a private side chain that’s not just customizable; it also features the high-level security offered by the parent chain. 

#4. ICO Support

Stratis branches beyond offering customizable blockchains to provide an environment for ICOs. Organizations and individuals alike can launch their ICOs anytime via the Stratus blockchain. The network has partnered with identity verification company Onfido to conduct Know Your Customer (KYC) checks for ICOs, as well as with crypto exchange Changelly to give ICO holders the ability to accept over 50 different cryptocurrencies in contributions. 

#5. Stratis and Identity

Stratis also supports an identity ecosystem through which individuals can store identities on the decentralized blockchain, and service providers can verify customer identities. You can use the platform to confirm the identity of owners of potential investments, prove that someone is who they say they are, and so on. You can also use the platform to prove your identity to interested parties while maintaining absolute control over exactly how much information you let on.

The Stratis Architecture

The Stratis network runs on a Bitcoin full node platform using the C# programming language, Microsoft.NET, and the NBitcoin library. 

The blockchain’s architecture is supported by three separate components which we’ll look at below: 

  • Bitcoin Full Node
  • LibConsensus
  • NBitcoin

#1. The Bitcoin Full Node

Stratis’ full node comprises three layers: 

  • Node Policy Layer – responsible for preventing distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack
  • Infrastructure Layer – responsible for managing storage and verification of transactions
  • Interface Layer – consists of API kits to enable developers to readily investigate the state of the blockchain and user interface 

#2. LibConsensus

LibConsensus is a library system based on the Bitcoin Core version and enables networks to verify the validity of blocks. 

#3. NBitcoin

Bitcoin Core supports LibConsensus by providing part of the consensus code. NBitcoin, for its part, fills any remaining gaps. 

Stratis’ C# and .NET

In 2017, Stratis launched the Stratis Development Framework (SDF), which is a set of tools that support the development of blockchain solutions in both C# and .NET languages. The goal was to empower more developers to use the blockchain and build powerful solutions with these universally familiar coding languages. 

This is unlike, say, Ethereum, which employs its own proprietary coding language “Solidity” and one that may lock out many developers. 

Stratis’ Fiat Gateway Integration 

Unlike the majority of blockchains that only facilitate value transfer via their native tokens, Stratis supports the transfer of value in both Fiat and cryptocurrency. This is so to help businesses avoid compliance issues and wild volatilities that are associated with crypto.

As such, organizations can use the platform to transfer both types of currencies, taking advantage of the best of two worlds. It means they can navigate compliance demands in ways that favor them and rely on the stability of traditional currencies while also capitalizing off of the speed, transparency, and affordability of crypto. 

Partnership with Earth Twine

Stratis has partnered with Earth Twine to create ‘The Earth Twine-Stratis Platform,’ the first implementation of blockchain in the seafood industry. The partnership spells a new direction for the seafood industry, well cementing the potential for blockchain to transform nearly any industry.

Announcing the partnership, Stratis said: “Stratis will establish distinct, dedicated blockchains, tokens and applications to integrate Earth Twine’s global seafood tracking solution onto the blockchain. This rapid innovation and development will transform the seafood industry by introducing unprecedented levels of trust collaboration and settlement, in turn, increasing productivity and sustainability.” 

The move was in response to the Seafood Import Monitoring Program’s requirements that from Jan 2018, data for seafood imports should be sent electronically to U.S. Customs and Border Protection. This was in a bid to curb the illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) exploitation of water resources that negatively impact global seafood markets. 

The Stratis Team

Stratis is the brainchild of Chris Trew, an Enterprise IT professional with ten plus years under his belt. He’s also a backend developer with years of experience in C# and ASP.NET technologies. 

Other team members include Krushang Patel, Mahesh Chand, Paul Carrington, Jordan Andrews, Rowan De Haas, Maciej Zaleski, Gustav Stieger, and more. The group has experience cutting across blockchain development, UX/UI design, communications, and technology analysis. 

The Stratis Token (STRAT)

STRAT is the native utility token of the Stratis network. It fuels network transactions and also acts as a value transfer medium in the Stratis marketplace.

Tokenomics of Stratis

On June 29, 2020, the STRAT token is trading at $0.445022, with a market rank of #111. It has a 24-hour volume of $1, 037, 998, and a circulating and total supply of 99, 856, 676. The coin has an all-time high of $22.66 (January 08, 2018), and an all-time low of $0.008483 (August 13, 2016). 

Where to Buy STRAT 

STRAT is available as a market pair with BTC, ETH, USDT, and with Fiat currencies such as the Euro and US Dollar on exchanges such as Binance, Upbit, Bittylicious, HitBTC, WazirX, Poloniex, Livecoin, Bitvavo, Bittrex, and CoinDCX. 

For storage, STRAT holders have three options provided by the team: 

  • Stratis Core Wallet – A staking wallet through which you can send and receive STRAT tokens and earn more when you stake them in the wallet
  • Breeze Wallet – A “lightweight” online-based wallet that supports STRAT and BTC. This means you can pay for things as well as receive payments via either currency. The wallet is available on Windows Mac and Unix.
  • Breeze with Privacy Protocol service – This is a variation of the Breeze wallet with added privacy features such as coin shuffling technology to add an extra layer of privacy for transactions.

Final Words 

In a crowded field of projects offering blockchain solutions, Stratis manages to stand out by offering as-simple-as-click blockchain deployment and provisioning to other side chains of popular blockchains. The company’s team is made of professionals who know what they’re doing and can be trusted to steer the project into a success. If they continue innovating and anticipating industry needs, there’s nothing to stop Stratis from being one of the dominant players in the BaaS space. 

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Can Blockchain Redefine e-Commerce and Retail Business? 

It is estimated that the e-commerce space made sales worth more than $3.5 trillion in 2019 alone. It’s projected that these sales will rise to $4.9 trillion by 2021, as more online retail stores open shops. This growth comes as no surprise considering the convenience of online shopping.

With the proliferation of e-commerce sites, there also has been an increase in alternative payment methods – particularly mobile and online payment services. As such, the two markets – e-commerce and fintech payment services, have come to exist in a mutual relationship where the success of one entity is directly proportional to that of the other. While the two have succeeded in giving consumers more control of their purchases by eliminating the need for sales representatives, they both face common struggles that delay their growth.

At the core of these challenges lies data protection, which breeds a slew of other problems, especially with the increasing growth in overseas merchandise volume. For example, a popular online store recently confessed to its customers that their payment information might have been compromised after the retailer’s website was hacked. 

Blockchain, an emerging technology centered around data management, offers a superior alternative to the traditional e-commerce facets, eliminating its vulnerabilities and improving confidence in e-commerce. 

Blockchain for e-commerce – possible use cases

There are several gaps blockchain technology can fill in the e-commerce market to improve the overall experience of online shopping. Here are some of its use cases:

1. Alternative payment method

Usually, e-commerce sites rely on traditional financial settlements systems such as card and mobile wallet payments that facilitate the release of goods/services after payments have been confirmed. To the consumer, these payments seem instant since goods are delivered almost at the time of sale. But in reality, it takes days or even weeks for a merchant to receive the money. 

In this case, virtual currencies powered by blockchain can serve as an alternative payment method, eliminating the need for third-party validators when paying for goods online. A customer can, therefore, spend the accepted crypto coin directly in a transaction, reducing the cost and delays of back-end settlements. 

Also, to transact in crypto, all one requires is a wallet address, which doesn’t reveal lots of personal data, as is the case when using mobile card payments. That said, crypto payments, therefore, go a long way into protecting the customers and merchants’ personal data by cryptographically securing peer to peer payments. 

Despite the promises of cryptocurrency payments, only a few merchants are eager to accept this new form of payment. For starters, cryptos are viewed as a store of value rather than a medium of exchange, so few are willing to part with them. At the same time, the volatility of digital currencies scares away most merchants as most of them aren’t willing to brave the losses when the value dips. These are indeed legit concerns that should perhaps be solved by the introduction of pegged cryptocurrencies. This way, the pegged crypto will serve as a medium of exchange with a more stable value. 

2. Effective supply chain and inventory management

The supply chain is one of the most critical aspects of any enterprise, including e-commerce. For online retailers, it becomes even more complex as they have to track goods, not just from the supplier, but also to the customer upon purchase. On top of it all, the retailers have to keep tabs on their inventory with respect to a product’s expiry date. 

Blockchain, in conjunction with electronic tracking tags, can be deployed in the supply chain to help track goods from the supplier until they reach the intended retailer. Every time a product changes hands, the transaction is recorded on the blockchain network, creating an immutable and traceable history of the product from the manufacturer to the point of sale. As e-commerce transaction growth transcends regional borders, tracking data such as the bill of lading for cargo shipments can also be fed into the blockchain network, eliminating the need for lengthy and expensive verification processes. Once a retailer has received the goods, the payment is automatically disbursed to the supplier with the help of smart contracts. 

3. Promoting transparency in the marketplace

Transparency in the marketplace increases consumers’ confidence in a retailer. They can have peace of mind knowing that they buy the goods they purchase are up to standards and have passed all the regulatory requirements. A high level of transparency is especially important when purchasing perishable items such as agricultural products as well as fighting against counterfeit goods. 

Owing to its decentralized nature, incorporating blockchain into e-commerce transactions will bring transparency among all parties involved, where every party will be aware of even the slightest change in a transaction. In the case of agricultural products, consumers will be able to monitor a product right from the farm to the time it’s available for sale on the retailer’s website. Similarly, a consumer will also be able to ascertain the authenticity of a product, as its manufacturers’ details are recorded on the network.  

In the spirit of promoting transparency, Walmart, in partnership with IBM, is currently making use of blockchain technology to create a food traceability system based in Hyperlegder Fabric. The success of this project has incentivized food manufacturers such as Nestle and Unilever to join the retail giant in using blockchain to ensure transparency in the food system. 

4. Decentralized Monetization of Data

Every time you make a purchase over the internet, search engines and other big data companies keep information about your purchase. They analyze this data and tailor ads that match your persona. 

The introduction of blockchain into e-commerce means that you’ll have more control over whom online retailers share your data with. Now with this control over your own data, third-parties and advertisers will be willing to pay you directly in exchange for your data. Advertisers, on the other hand, will be able to design more accurate buyer’s personas that match one’s interest, instead of relying on vague data. 

Conclusion 

Blockchain technology creates a massive opportunity for the e-commerce market to iron out inefficiencies ailing the current online shopping space. As a newer technology, it also means that blockchain is positioned to solve unprecedented problems that lie on the horizon of the growing e-commerce market. Online retailers seeking an edge over the competition will, therefore, have to embrace this technology. 

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

The Impact Of ‘Long Term Unemployment Rate’ On A Nation’s Economy

Introduction

The long-term unemployment rate is a killer of economic growth. Its impact on the individual and society as a whole cannot be ignored, particularly in emerging economies. Understanding long-term unemployment trends can help us identify increases and decreases in the dependent economic indicators and their overall impact.

What is Long Term Unemployment Rate?

Long-term unemployment

It occurs when a worker actively seeking employment is unable to find a job for 27 weeks or more. To be included in the statistic, the participant should have actively sought employment in the last four weeks. To be recorded in the statistic, the worker should have been actively seeking employment even after being unemployed for six or more months. Hence, it is probably undercounted as most people do not continuously seek employment for six straight months out of discouragement.

Hence, the long-term unemployment rate is then the percentage share of the labor force that is unemployed for six or more months, given that they have actively sought employment in the last month.

How can the Long Term UR numbers be used for analysis?

Long-term unemployment is majorly caused by cyclical and structural unemployment. Cyclical unemployment occurs due to the natural business cycles that companies go through. Most businesses have specific quarters when business is low, where they might downsize and lay off employees. Seasonal hiring and firing constitute cyclical unemployment. Cyclical unemployment also occurs during economic slowdowns and recessions.

Structural unemployment occurs when unemployed labor skills do not match the available job requirements. Unlike cyclical unemployment, it is not dependent on business cycles. Structural unemployment is more challenging to address than cyclical unemployment. It keeps the unemployment rates high long after the economy’s recovery out of recession. It occurs when business and technology shifts during the time of unemployment make unemployed labor skills outdated.

Long-term cyclical and structural unemployment has a positive feedback effect on each other making things worse. Cyclical unemployment during business slowdowns increases the unemployment rate. When they are unemployed long enough, their skills become outdated and gives rise to structural unemployment. This overall reduces consumer spending for the unemployed and indirectly affects consumer sentiment of the employed. When consumer spending drops, other industries also observe the same cyclical and structural unemployment, spiraling the economy downward.

Long-term unemployment can lead to people working in underpaid jobs or find work not relevant to their skills out of desperation. It reduces economic productivity as skilled laborers are not being utilized for what they know best. Secondly, long-term unemployment places a financial crunch that can have a demoralizing effect on happiness, mental state, and job satisfaction. It is also observed that long unemployment periods tend people to self-isolate from the community. Anti-social behavior and hooliganism are also benefited from long-term unemployment.

While the government gives out unemployment benefits, which may encourage them to hold off to find better paying and more suitable jobs to their skills, it decreases public spending. When the unemployment rates are high, public spending takes a direct hit, crippling the government from spending their revenue on activities that help economic growth. As the government keeps giving out benefits, it has led to a rise in long-term unemployment rates. While benefits are necessary to mitigate financial impact during unemployment, it also tends to increase unemployment duration, which is terrible for economic growth.

As long as long-term unemployment is prevalent, improving the living standards of people is hard to accomplish. People cannot apply for loans or buy a house on a mortgage if they frequently lose jobs and take a long time to find new jobs. Financial insecurity and strained personal finances discourage people from spending and encourage saving for another jobless quarter or two. Long-term unemployment has a severe effect on householders, with only one working individual who provides for the family.

Long-term unemployment is bad for the economy. On the flip side, 50% of the long-term unemployed find a job in six months, and 75% do within a year. Within 18 months, the remaining also does find something or the other if they keep looking.

Chart Credit: OECD

Overall, it is more challenging to reduce long-term unemployment than short-term cyclical unemployment. It is a critical hindrance to achieving high growth rates for any country. The above statistic shows how it is an international issue and not any particular set of countries.

Impact on Currency

Long-term unemployment rates are not as important as unemployment rates, jobless claims, non-farm payroll numbers. As unemployment rates itself include the long and short-term ones, it is not an important economic indicator for currency markets.

Hence, it is a lagging low-impact indicator. It is an inversely proportional indicator, meaning high long-term unemployment is bad for the economy and currency.

Economic Reports

In the United States, The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes monthly employment and unemployment reports under the Employment Situation Report. Table A-12 in it details the long-term unemployed figures. The figures are seasonally adjusted for month-over-month, and year-over-year comparisons are also provided.

Long-term unemployment reports are also maintained by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). It defines long-term unemployment if a person is unemployed for 12 or more months.

Sources of Long Term Unemployment Rate

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Long-term Unemployment data is available here. The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes monthly employment and unemployment reports on its official website for our analysis. The OECD also maintains long-term unemployment data. Consolidated reports of long-term unemployment rates of most countries can also be found in Trading Economics.

Impact of ‘Long Term Unemployment Rate’ News Release on the Forex Price Charts

The long term unemployment refers to those persons who have been unemployed for more than 52 consecutive weeks. Very long term unemployment rate refers to those persons who have been unemployed for more than 104 consecutive weeks. This data is essential for the government and economists who analyze quarterly and yearly trends of unemployment.

It helps them in understanding the long term employment situation of the country. However, the monthly numbers are significant to the market players when it comes to the forex market. Therefore, the impact of long term unemployment is not realized immediately on the currency pair.

The below image shows the latest long term unemployment data of Australia that was released in February. We can see the unemployment rate was the same compared to the previous year, but there was a reduction in the percentage of the labor force. In the following sections, we will observe the change in volatility due to the news release.

AUD/USD | Before the announcement

The above image is a 1-hour timeframe AUD/USD chart showing the moves from February 25th to March 1st, 2020. The currency has been slowly moving down and picks up a little momentum in its drop-down after February 28th.

AUD/USD | After the announcement

The above image is a snapshot of AUD/USD on the day of long-term unemployment rates in Australia news announcement on February 27th, 2020. The report published by the treasury department of Australia showed lower unemployment rates than the previous year. The favorable figures for AUD did not reflect in the pair’s non-volatility.

AUD/GBP | Before the announcement

The above image is a 1-hour timeframe AUD/GBP chart showing the moves from 25th to February 26th. The currency has not shown any clear down or uptrends till now.

AUD/GBP | After the announcement

The above image highlights the currency pair move throughout the news announcement day. We can see that there was only about a 40-pip maximum move, which is minimal movement and typical for such a pair. The news did not build any rallying up for AUD against GBP.

AUD/EUR | Before the announcement

The above image is a 1-hour timeframe AUD/EUR chart before February 27th, 2020. As we can see, AUD has been losing its value slowly against EUR in the last two days.

AUD/EUR | After the announcement

The above image highlights the news announcement day. We can see that despite the long-term unemployment rates came in favor of AUD, the market ignored and continued selling AUD and purchased EUR. The downward trend before continued during and after the news announcement day without any effect.

In conclusion, as we have seen, the long-term unemployment economic indicator was almost entirely ignored by the market. The market knows it is a lagging indicator, and the effects have already been priced into the market, therefore showing no volatility during the news announcement. Hence, the above trend analysis confirms our fundamental analysis of the economic indicator as a low impact lagging indicator that is overlooked by the currency market.

Categories
Forex Assets

Trading The CHF/MYR Exotic Forex Pair & Comprehending The Costs Involved

Introduction

CHF/MYR is the abbreviation for the Swiss Franc against the Malaysian Ringgit, and it is considered an exotic currency pair. In this case, the CHF is the base currency, and the MYR is the quote currency. The franc is the official currency of Switzerland and Liechtenstein, while MYR is the official currency of Malaysia.

Understanding CHF/MYR

The market value of CHF/MYR defines MYR’s value that is obliged to buy one franc. It is priced as 1 CHF per X MYR. If the price of the pair is 4.5465 in the market, then these many Malaysian ringgit units are required to buy one CHF.

Spread

The distinction in price between the bid and ask price is determined as Spread. Bid and ask prices are set by the broker. This pip difference is where most of the brokers generate their revenue. Below are the Spread values of CHF/MYR Forex pair in both ECN & STP accounts.

ECN: 44 pips | STP: 49 pips

Fees

The fee is the price you spend on each spot you open with the broker. There is no fee imposed on STP account models, but a few extra pips are charged on ECN accounts.

Slippage

The difference between the price at which, trader implements the trade, and the price he receives from the broker is termed Slippage. This fluctuates based on the broker’s execution speed and the market’s volatility.

Trading Range in CHF/MYR

The total money you will gain or lose in a particular timeframe can be measured utilizing the trading range table. This represents the maximum, average, and minimum pip movement in a currency pair.

Procedure to assess Pip Ranges

  1. Add the ATR indicator to your chart
  2. Set the period to 1
  3. Add a 200-period SMA to this indicator
  4. Shrink the chart so you can assess a large time period
  5. Select your desired timeframe
  6. Measure the floor level and set this value as the min
  7. Measure the level of the 200-period SMA and set this as the average
  8. Measure the peak levels and set this as Max.

CHF/MYR Cost as a Percent of the Trading Range

The cost of trade alters based on the volatility of the market. This is for the reason that the total cost involves Slippage and spreads apart from the trading fee. Below is the interpretation of the cost variant in terms of percentages. The understanding of it is reviewed in the following sections.

ECN Model Account

Spread = 44 | Slippage = 5 |Trading fee = 8

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 44 +8 = 57

STP Model Account

Spread = 49 | Slippage = 5 | Trading fee = 0

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 49 + 0 = 54

Trading the CHF/MYR

The CHF/MYR is not an extremely volatile currency pair. For instance, the average pip movement on the 1H timeframe is only 84 pips. Note that the elevated the volatility, the smaller is the cost of the trade. However, this cannot be considered a benefit as it is risky to trade extremely volatile markets.

Also, the higher or lesser the percentages, the higher or lower are the costs on the trade. We can conclude that the costs are elevated for low volatile markets and high for extremely volatile markets.

To reduce your risk, it is proposed to trade when the volatility is near the average standards. In this case, the volatility is low, and the costs are slightly high related to the average and the maximum values. But, if your primary concern is on lowering costs, you may trade when the market volatility is near the maximum values.

Categories
Forex Basic Strategies

The Most Simple Yet Effective Scalping Strategies You Must Know In 2020

Introduction

The Forex market consists of are several types of traders. They are broadly classified based on the time frame traded. For example, swing traders use time frames like 1H or 4H, while positional traders analyze the 1D or 1W time frame. Similarly, there are “scalpers” who trade the 1-minute and the 5-minute time frames. Note that scalpers are different from day traders, as they do not consider the 15-minute or 1H time frame for their analysis.

What is Scalping in Forex?

Scalping is a type of real-time technical analysis, where traders make several trades in a small period. Scalping involves entering and exiting from the market within a few minutes and moving on with the subsequent trade. This type of traders aims for tiny profits rather than home runs.

Scalping is usually most popular among forex traders than those trading stocks and commodities. This is because the FX market is the most liquid and volatile market. Thus, traders make use of this benefit by extracting 10-20 from the market in a short time. Since scalping involves making of few pips on a trade, they are traded with big volumes.

Getting Started with Scalping in Forex

Now that we know the basics of Forex scalping, let’s discuss the analytical side of it and then understand some powerful scalping strategies as well.

Timeframe

The ideal time frame to the scalp is either 1-min or 5-mins. However, some traders get an outlook from the 15-min time frame too.

Take Profit and Stop Loss

The most critical part of scalping is to have a take profit and stop loss on every trade. Since you will be using the 1-min time frame, the profit or loss level should be within 5-10 pips. It is risky to keep the TP and SL greater than ten pips when the analysis is based on the 1-min time frame.

Volatility and Liquid

Volatility and liquidity are other vital points of consideration before scalping any market. Forex is indeed the best market to the scalp as it offers the needed volatility and liquidity. However, you must select the right pair to trade because not all currency pairs offer enough market volatility. There are pairs that barely move on the 1-min time frame, and thus traders must end up waiting several minutes on a trade. Hence, it is recommended to trade only major pairs and a few minor pairs.

Spread

Spread plays a major role in scalping as it greatly affects the P/L of the trade. For instance, let’s say the spread on EUR/USD is two pips. The pip value of the pair is $10. If one lot is traded, the expense of the trade would be $20. Now, if a trade yields you four pips, then the net profit would be $40 – $20 = $20. We infer that 50% of the profit gets deducted as a fee. Thus, scalpers always have an eye on the spread.

Forex Scalping Strategies

Scalping strategies are unlike strategies used by swing and positional traders. Scalpers do not wait for several confirmations before entering a trade. Instead, they aggressively enter after a couple of confirmations. Here are some scalping strategies made for non-conservative traders.

Scalping using Moving Average

This scalping strategy, two moving averages – the 5-period MA and the 20-period MA is used applied onto the 3-min charts. Let us understand the strategy with a couple of examples.

Firstly, we must have a look at the overall direction of the market. Note that this strategy is only for trending markets, not ranging markets. In the below chart of AUD/USD on the 3-minute time frame, we see that the market is in a clear downtrend.

Secondly, the five period MA must be below the 20-period MA. When the price action tries to break above five-period MA (yet below the 20-period MA) and falls back into MA, we can open short positions.

The stop-loss must be placed above the high of the candle that broke below five-period MA. One must exit the trade when the price reaches up to 1:1 risk-reward or at a profit of 5 pips.

Scalping using price-volume charts

Indicators are not a must to scalp in forex. Scalping is possible solely using price action concepts. And here is a strategy for the same. This strategy works on a small time frame used on any currency pair. However, we’ll be sticking to the 3-min time frame for all the strategies.

Below is the chart of AUD/USD on the 3-minute time frame. According to the strategy, we can take entry when the market breakthrough a range strongly with high volume. In the below example, we see that the price fiercely broke above the range with high volume too. This is a confirmation that the big buyer is back into the market. Thus, we can take a long position right after the candle closes above the range.

The stop-loss can be placed below the low of the candle that broke through the range and places the take profit at a 1RR ratio. Note that, the stop-loss and take profit must exceed above 10-12 pips.

Scalping using Support and Resistance

Scalping at support and resistance levels is the most popular technique in the forex industry. Yet most traders apply it illogically. Even though the textbook says to buy at the support and sell at resistance, it cannot be applied practically incorporated in the market as there is a pinch of psychology in it. According to this strategy, one must buy at support and sell at resistance only if there is a false breakout prior to it.

Consider the below chart of NZD/CAD on the 3-minute time frame. The gray ray represents the support level. It is seen that the price broke below the support thrice and came right back above it. Thus, one can enter when the price is holding above the resistance post the fake-out. The stop-loss and take-profit for all such trades much be a maximum of 5 pips.

We hope you found these strategies interesting and helpful. If you are an aggressive trader, do try them out and let us know the results in the comment section below.

Categories
Crypto Guides

‘Howey Test’ & The Role It Plays In The Token Ecosystem Of Blockchain?

Introduction

Blockchain has led to the emergence of the token economy and, thus, new business models. With the help of the token in the business, both the customers and the owners benefit immensely. We have seen two types of token so far, utility and security tokens.

Utility tokens can be compared to loyalty points up to a certain extent while they are much more in the designated environment. Security tokens allow them to own any material/securities in a digital format in a fungible manner. Security tokens allow people to own things in a never before way.

There is a deciding factor that differentiates between security and utility tokens called the Howey test. Utility tokens don’t need any regulatory requirements since it is intended for use in its designated environment only while security tokens represent a real asset in the real-world digitally. Hence security tokens are subject to regulations.

What is the Howey Test?

Howey test is a monumental case handled by the Supreme court of the USA in 1946, which laid foundations to determine whether a particular arrangement involves an investment contract or not. The case was between the SEC and Howey. Two Florida based corporate put up real estate contracts for tracts of land with citrus groves. The defendants came up with an offer where the buyers who bought the land can lease the land back to the defendants who can grow citrus, market them, and make money.

Most of the buyers did lease the land back to the defendants as they weren’t aware of the agriculture. This was deemed illegal by the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) and sued the defendants. The arrangement was considered illegal as the defendants broke the law by not filing a securities registration statement with SEC. The defendant’s leaseback was indeed determined as security, and this led to a landmark judgment. Hence this was determined as a test whether a particular transaction is an investment contract or not.

A particular investment can be deemed as an investment contract if it fulfills the below criteria.

  1. It a monetary investment
  2. The investment is made in a common enterprise.
  3. There is an expectation of profit from the work of the promoters or third parties.

Even though the original Howey test used the term money later, it has been broadly classified into other investments and assets other than money. One more criterion is considered in determining a particular investment as security. If or if not, an investor has any control over the profits that come from the investor? If not, then the investment is generally considered as a security.

How the law applies to tokens generated based on blockchain technology?

SES guides that if a token clears all the criteria mentioned above, it can be deemed a security token. If it doesn’t follow, then it can be deemed as a utility token. Security tokens usually derive their value from the external, tradable asset. Hence security tokens are subjected to federal rules and regulations.

If the ICO doesn’t follow all the rules and regulations as prescribed, they are subjected to penalties. If followed, they offer a multitude of investment opportunities that were not possible before. If SEC determines any cryptocurrency as a security token, the founders are deemed to register the coin with SEC, and also, the investors should register their holdings with SEC.

Categories
Crypto Videos

Grayscale Stopped Buying Bitcoin! What This Means For Bitcoins Future Price!

Grayscale Stopped Buying Bitcoin – What Happened?

For several months, Grayscale Investments was buying more Bitcoin than miners were able to produce. However, this trend came to a halt a few weeks ago.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Fund would file a Form 8-K with the SEC on a weekly basis, declaring its most recent Bitcoin acquisitions. However, the last report was filed on June 25, when the company disclosed that it purchased almost 20,000 BTC. The lack of reports after June 25 indicates that Grayscale completely stopped buying Bitcoin. According to its Q2 report, GBTC invested an average of $57.8 million per week.

A Grayscale spokesperson said that the halt in BTC purchases is only temporary, and is caused by a quiet administrative period.


Grayscale indicates institutional interest in Bitcoin

One thing to note is that GBTC is not a hedge fund, which means that it doesn’t buy assets and expects a return on them. Rather, the trust buys assets only when investors buy shares of the trust. As 84% of Grayscale’s investments came from institutional investors, mostly hedge funds, Grayscale buying Bitcoin is a great indication of institutional interest in crypto.


July tends to be a somewhat slow month for investment activity due to many asset managers taking vacations, which may have caused Grayscale to stop buying Bitcoin. Another reason might be that institutions lost some short-term interest due to Bitcoin not moving much recently. Bitcoin has been stuck price-wise ever since early May.

Categories
Blockchain and DLT

Top 4 Blockchain Trends to Look Out for in 2020

Blockchain technology has been around for about ten years now. But it was not until 2017 during the crypto-market bull run that this disruptive technology gained attention beyond crypto-space circles and into modern-day businesses. But even as of today, a good number of the general public and organizations have not yet fully understood what blockchain is all about. Those with a rough idea about this technology know it as just an underlying protocol that supports cryptocurrencies.

As much as this idea is true, blockchain has a lot more to offer, as evident from innovators and developers who are constantly pushing its capabilities by designing blockchain solutions for enterprises. In fact, it’s through the efforts of these developers and innovators that new blockchain trends or rather solutions are emerging every other year. 

Nonetheless, the journey to creating efficient blockchain solutions hasn’t been quite a smooth task. For the better part of the journey, it has been all about experimenting and trying to come up with solutions that fit the market. However, judging from last year (2019), it seems that businesses and institutions have had enough of ‘finger-dipping-exercises’ and now want to incorporate blockchain solutions into their processes. This spiked growth and interest in blockchain can be attributed to Facebook announcing that it’s working on a digital currency dubbed Libra. This incentivized organizations to experiment with blockchain solutions, especially after blue-chip companies such as Uber and Visa announced their support for the Libra coin. 

That said, the common sentiments expressed by the crypto-space is that this year, 2020, business and developers will design new and novel solutions giving rise to new blockchain trends. Some of these trends include: 

Use of Blockchain as a service (BaaS) 

The use of blockchain as service (Bass) had already gained traction spearheaded by Microsoft Azure with its partnership with ConsenSys – a reputable blockchain software company. Around April last year, Amazon, through its cloud service, Amazon Web Services (AWS), opened up its blockchain-enabled cloud service to the public – joining the likes of IBM, HP, and Oracle, who offer the same.

Essentially, Baas is designed to enable businesses and developers to create and deploy their own blockchain applications. This eliminates the need for expensive hardware infrastructure as a necessity for developing blockchain solutions. Now, with the tech giants offering a Baas platform, it creates an opportunity for small enterprises to experiment with blockchain and design solutions that fit perfectly into their needs.

Also, with AWS offering its Baas to the public, it’s anticipated that there will be an increase of lone developers designing blockchain applications on the cloud for use by the public as well as enterprises. So, this year the industry can expect several digital products such as novel smart contracts, decentralized apps (dApps), and other systems that don’t necessarily need blockchain-based infrastructure to function. This will lead to the maturation of blockchain technology prompting adoption in all major pillars of the economy. 

Rise of blockchain experts 

The availability of a platform where the public can develop blockchain solutions will incentivize an increase in the number of blockchain developers and investors. This is because Baas removes the infrastructure barrier making it affordable for innovative developers to create solutions.

Additionally, as the developers continue to create more solutions, it creates a demand for experts who are knowledgeable about implementing those solutions into their specific industry. This demand will be more prevalent in the financial industry, especially the accounting niche, where the role of accountants and auditors will be transformed into advisors who will guide institutions in integrating blockchain solutions into everyday operations. 

Indeed, new professionals joining the accounting and auditing sector may be required by their employer to pursue certification showing their expertise in working with blockchain solutions. Those who are already employed may be required to upgrade their skill set to keep up with blockchain’s entry in their respective field of work.

Interoperability of blockchain networks 

Currently, there exist several blockchain networks, including public, private, and consortium blockchains. Each of these networks has its own set of unique benefits that makes it more suitable for one use case than the other. For instance, a private blockchain is more affordable and faster than public blockchain. However, transactions on a private blockchain can be monitored by the custodians of the network, whereas a public blockchain completely eliminates the role of a custodian keeping all transactions secure. 

As the use of these networks accelerates, there will be a need for them to work in harmony to create an ultimate network that combines all advantages under one platform. With this interoperability, there will be efficient data sharing and easier execution of smart contracts across different blockchain networks.

Blockchain regulations will be reviewed 

In 2020, it’s expected that there will be an increase in the use of blockchain. As such, countries with discriminatory restrictions against the use of blockchain and digital assets will be forced to ease the regulations to accommodate the increased usage of blockchain. 

An ideal example is the European Blockchain Observatory Forum that was formed to accelerate blockchain development in Europe. The forum works by bringing European legislators and entrepreneurs together to help position Europe as a leader of this disruptive technology. At the end of last year, the European Commission chose a new partner, INTRASOFT, to head the operations of the forum. INTRASOFT is a leading information technology and communication provider with concrete expertise in blockchain technology. The company will work in collaboration with the University of Nicosia, which has made major strides in researching digital currencies and blockchain systems. Having been established in 2018, the forum has managed to create a vibrant community through workshops and events. As of 2020, the EU Blockchain Observatory Forum has garnered more than 9,000 followers on Twitter. Its community will only get bigger throughout this year as the forum continues to reinvent itself and organize more workshops. 

Conclusion 

Although it’s quite hard to accurately anticipate trends that will set the pace for technological advancements, blockchain technology sure does have a promising future not just for the remaining part of 2020 but also for years to come. Ultimately, the technology will live up to its hype, especially given its increasing adoption in various industries.

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

Ellipal Wallet Review

Ellipal is perhaps one of the wallets that offer a wide range of cryptocurrency storage solutions. The 1st generation hardware wallet is manufactured by a company based in Hong Kong and was launched in 2018. Unlike the majority of hardware wallets, whose main aim is profit, Ellipal primarily focuses on security for its users’ funds. Over the years, it has grown its products catalog and features a cryptocurrency wallet app for desktop, iOS, and Android users.

Currently, Ellipal ships to over 70 countries, including the United Kingdom, Canada, and the United States. Its ability to feature a wide range of exceptional features makes it the go-to crypto wallet for anyone looking for top-notch security. However, what are some of its top features? How does it compare to some of the hardware wallets in the market? Read on as we have prepared a detailed insight into some of the critical things you need to know about it. But before we go into detail, let’s find out some of its key features.

Ellipal Wallet Key Features

4-inch touch screen: Ellipal’s huge screen capacity is perhaps one of the most notable features. It features a stunning 4-inch inbuilt touchscreen with amazing graphics. What’s more, it has high sensitivity, and it’s tough to scratch.

Air-gaping technology: One of the biggest concerns for the majority of crypto users is private key leaks. For this reason, it integrates a QR generation feature that is open-sourced and can guarantee that it will not leak. 

Private keys import: Typically, the best way to guarantee the safety of your private keys is to store them yourself. Ellipal integrates a unique feature where users can import their private keys to their preferred storage. 

IP65 rating: Ellipal is IP65 rated, which means that the device is limited ingress permitted, fully protected against dust or low-pressure jets. As a result, the device is one of the most damage-proof hardware wallets in the market.

Air-gapped transactions: The criterion incorporated in Ellipal’s mode of operations makes it one of the most secure hardware wallets. It features an Air-gap technology in its transactions, which ensures that it is physically isolated from other networks. 

Tamper-proof: The majority of crypto wallet users lose their hardware wallet funds to hackers even before they start using the device. This is because the devices are compromised in the supply chain. Ellipal has designed their wallets with this in mind and has incorporated anti-tamper and anti-disassembly features to ensure that hackers do not get access to the devices. 

Price and Unboxing

Regardless of where you are, you can get the complete package at $169, excluding shipping fees. Its packing contains 1 USB cable, 1Ellipal device, recovery sheet cards, and a getting started guide. Once you get your wallet, the next step is to set it up. 

How to Set Up Your Ellipal Hardware Wallet

Besides its easy-to-use criterion, the Ellipan hardware wallet is quite easy to set up. Below is a detailed insight into how to go about setting up the device.

Step 1: Download Ellipal App

Start by turning on your Ellipal device, select your desired language, and then navigate to download the Ellipal page. After doing so, use your mobile phone to scan the Cold Wallet QR code and download the Ellipal App. 

Step 2: Create a cold wallet account

After downloading the app, click next to begin your Ellipal journey. You will get a prompt to create a new account, recover vi1a mnemonics, or import your account. 

 

  • Create an account

 

When you choose to create an account, you will be redirected to a registration form where you will be required to fill in your details. Ensure you fill in the form with the correct details in the spaces provided. 

 

  • Back up mnemonic words

 

After successfully creating your account, click on “back up mnemonic words” and ensure you read the notes carefully. The backup phrase consists of 12 words and is used to restore your account in case your phone is lost or stolen. Ensure you write it down correctly and keep it in a safe place. 

 

  • Verify the mnemonic

 

After writing it down, enter the 12-word phrase to verify. This is to ensure that you have entered the correct details. Note that you might not be able to recover your funds if you lose your recovery phrase. For this reason, it is recommended to write it down on a piece of paper and keep multiple backups. 

Step 3: Update hardware on a micro SD card

Go to https://www.ellipal.com/pages/update and download the latest firmware on external storage- preferably a micro SD. 

Step 4: Insert the card to your device and complete the process

After downloading the firmware, you will be required to insert the card to the device to complete the setup. It will automatically detect the new firmware and start updating.

Sending and Receiving Crypto

Ellipal is designed with air-gapped technology for all its transactions. All its outgoing transactions have to be signed using a QR code that is generated on the hardware then scanned with the mobile app. You will be required to select the currency to be transferred and click “send.” After doing so, enter your desired amount and enter the recipient’s address. Finally, set the mining fee and scan the “signed data QR code” on the Ellipal. 

Receiving funds is also quite easy. All you are required to do is select the account, assets, currency, click on “receive,” and copy the account address. Your funds should be available in your wallet almost immediately after they are sent to your account. 

Supported Currencies

Undoubtedly, being able to store multiple currencies in a single wallet is every crypto wallet user’s wish. Ellipal has ensured its users get the best out of their hardware by providing their customers with the ability to store multiple cryptocurrencies. It provides support for over 31 native blockchains and support for TRC10, ERC20, and TRC20 tokens, which also makes it one of the most comprehensive crypto wallets in the world. Here is a list of some of its supported cryptocurrencies.

  • Ethereum (ETC) and all ERC20 Tokens
  • Bitcoin (BTC)
  • Stellar Lumens (XLM)
  • Binance Coin (BNB)
  • Tron (TRX)
  • XRP (XRP)
  • Bitcoin Core (BTC)
  • Icon (ICX)
  • PalletOne (PTN)
  • Bitcoin Cash (BTX)
  • Tether (USDT)

Additionally, besides the fact that the website supports quite a myriad of currencies, it is always looking for ways to integrate even more cryptocurrencies in the months or years to come. 

Ellipal Mobile App

Ellipal’s mobile app is available for both Android and iOS users. What’s more, it is also dual-purpose, meaning it can be used either as a hot wallet or a cold wallet. Typically, you can use it to store cryptocurrencies with or without the hardware.

The app lets you do pretty much everything, from sending and receiving multiple cryptocurrencies to storing them. Apart from that, you can also exchange cryptos natively and in a secure fashion within the app. You will notice that the app has a news section to provide users with updated prices from popular exchanges, quotes, and the latest news from the digital asset market.

 Pros and Cons of Ellipal

Pros 

  • User-friendly
  • Its robust metal body offers protection against physical attacks
  • Completely isolated from external attacks
  • Features a sleek design
  • Supports multiple cryptocurrencies
  • Strong security

Cons

  • A bit expensive for an emerging wallet

How Does it Compare to Competitors

So, what makes Ellipal unique? Although it has not gained recognition as the best crypto hardware wallet in the wallet, it features a dozen of amazing features. First, upon unboxing, the hardware is reminiscent of a premium cell phone. Its sleek design and presentation give a strong impression of a quality device. What’s more, it integrates a number of sophisticated security features, making it an incredible wallet to store your crypto assets.

Ellipal can be compared to a wallet such as Bitfi. They are quite similar in terms of physical appearance. However, Ellipal is a closed source and does not expose its private keys to public networks. Bitfi is an open-source and stores its user’s private keys externally.

Verdict: Is Ellipal Hardware Wallet Worth Your Money?

If you are looking for a hardware wallet that favors absolute security, usability, and portability, then Ellipal is your ideal option. It is a solid contender in today’s hardware wallet market. The device has an intuitive interface, large display, and reliable security features. What’s more, it allows users to store different cryptocurrencies in a single wallet, which is quite useful, especially for individuals looking for a reliable cryptocurrency wallet to conduct regular transactions.  

Categories
Forex Price Action

Price Action Trading: Factors that you should Remember

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart offering an entry upon producing a bullish reversal candle followed by a breakout. The chart produces a bullish reversal candle earlier too, but that did not make the price move towards the North. We’ll try to find out why it does not head towards the North at its first attempt. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North upon producing an ABC pattern. We may notice that we have four significant points here, such A, B, C, and D. The price most likely reacts at these levels again. Let us proceed to the next chart.

The price heads towards the South at a moderate pace. The last candle comes out as a bearish Marubozu candle. It seems that the price may remain bearish for a while. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out what happens next.

The chart produces an inverted hammer. It is a sign of a bullish reversal. However, considering point B, the price makes a bearish breakout at the level. Thus, the pair may continue its bearish move. The sellers may look for short opportunities in the minor chart.

The next candle does not make a bearish breakout. It comes out as a bullish candle. The last candle comes out as a Doji candle. Ideally, neither the bull nor the bear dominates in the pair. The sellers are to wait for the price to make a breakout at the last swing low. The buyers are to wait for the price to make a bullish reversal candle closing above consolidation resistance. Let us see what the price does.

The price comes down. It produces a bullish engulfing candle. Some sellers may have to encounter a loss here. Upon creating the bullish engulfing candle, the price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. Now a few questions may be raised here.

  1. Why does the price not head towards the North but comes down?
  2. Why does the price not continue its bearish move but produces a bullish engulfing candle?
  3. Why does not price head towards the North at its second attempt?

 

Have a look at the chart below with some drawings in it.

At its first attempt, the price does not make a breakout at the level of resistance drawn. The price reacts at this level several times. Thus, this is a crucial level, which is to be counted by the buyers before taking long entries. The price finds its resistance here and makes a bearish move. It finds its support at the drawn line, where the price reacts to it earlier as well. The reversal candle comes out as a Doji candle, and the chart takes four candles to make the breakout. This is one of the reasons that the price does not continue its bearish move.

At its last attempt, it produces a bullish engulfing candle, the candle is produced at a key level, the price makes a breakout at the last swing low, and the breakout candle comes out as a strong bullish candle. These factors attract more buyers and make the price move towards the North with good bullish momentum. We need to remember such factors every time we take entries as far as price action trading is concerned.

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Forex Vs. Crypto Trading: Which one is a Safer Investment Option? 

In the last few years, both forex and cryptocurrency markets have exploded in popularity as more people seek alternative ways of earning passive income. Forex currency exchange (forex), in particular, has been around for much longer but was initially accessible only to a wealthy class of investors. It was not until a few years ago that forex trading became accessible to all classes of investors, thanks to the proliferation of online brokers. 

Cryptocurrency trading, on the other hand, gained most of its audience after the phenomenal 2017 market rally. Even though cryptocurrencies are speculative investments that may result in huge losses, the violent price swings can also bring in significant profits. 

The two markets have their own unique aspects that make them attractive to different investors. At the same time, they share similar dynamics of supply and demand, which govern the prices of their respective assets. As such, it can be quite difficult, especially for new traders, to determine which market offers the best returns with minimal risks. A close examination of various market dynamics, however, can reveal which investment option aligns with your goals as an investor. 

Liquidity and Volatility 

Having been around for long, the forex market boasts the largest market liquidity with a daily trading volume of about $5.4 trillion. The crypto-market, on the other hand, had a cumulative market cap of $237 billion in 2019 alone. 

With respect to these figures, the forex market is less volatile– thus, the market prices remain fairly stable even after large trades, like the ones placed by institutional investors. Also, the low volatility and high liquidity mean that the forex market can absorb economic shocks better than the crypto market, which has high volatility and low liquidity. 

The forex market is, therefore, more appealing to risk-averse investors looking for more guaranteed returns. This is not to say that the crypto market is entirely unsafe for investment. For a trader, the high volatility of the market means that you can make significant profits, especially if you can correctly anticipate the market patterns using market analysis tools. The conservative traders also have an equal opportunity to thrive in the crypto market as the value of the underlying asset increases over time. 

Security 

There’s no doubt that the forex market is more secure than the crypto market. For starters, the underlying assets in foreign exchange are regulated by the governments through central banks. Moreover, all trading transactions are facilitated by a tight web of brokers who are required to comply with anti-money laundering (AML) and the Know Your Customer (KYC) policies to protect traders from fraud. On the downside, giving online brokers access to your personal data with respect to KYC regulations exposes you to identify theft. The brokers may even decide to monetize your data by selling it to advertisers without your consent. 

Cryptocurrencies, however, have little to no regulation. While they can be pegged to more stable assets, most of them aren’t and therefore derive their value from their own utility and speculation. What’s worse, there have been several cases of cryptocurrency scams where developers launch digital coins without any concrete use case nor utility value. 

Despite the ill reputation, the security of your investment in the digital asset market is only limited by the extent of your research in finding a reputable cryptocurrency and an exchange platform. The viability of a digital coin depends on its whitepaper and roadmap, as the two outline the intrinsic usefulness of the digital asset. Ideally, crypto worth investing in should have a real-world use case in a niche where there’s less competition. This way, the crypto will derive much of its value not from speculation but from its usability. 

Less competition ensures the asset maintains a high demand, which strengthens its overall value. Most importantly, the exchange on which a digital asset is listed should have a good history of securing investors’ funds. Exchanges with constant cases of being hacked may not be the right platform for trading cryptocurrencies. 

Exposure to risks

In the market trends context, both cryptocurrency and forex markets share the same level of risk in the sense that it is almost impossible to accurately predict the market movements. This is why both markets require a sound risk management plan, such as stop-loss orders, to maintain profitability when the market is in a bear run. 

To further limit losses and increase profits, you may consider leveraging the power of trading bots in both markets. These bots can be programmed to trade in line with your investment goals and execute orders autonomously. In the crypto market, they can be helpful since the market runs 24/7, unlike forex trading, which is limited to 5 days a week. 

Conclusion 

Essentially, choosing between forex or cryptocurrency trading boils down to what type of investor you are. If you are looking to make quick profits over a short period of time, then the crypto market is ideal, given its high volatility. At the same time, you should note that the volatility can easily work against you. To gain huge profits with minimal risk, invest in cryptocurrencies with a long-term goal. The market rewards patient investors generously, as evident from the historic increase in the value of most cryptocurrencies, which have turned out to be profitable to long-term investors. 

Forex trading has less potential for huge gains, whether long or short-term, as the value of the underlying asset is determined by monetary policies set by the central bank. But, there is a way to enjoy the best of the two worlds – trading forex using cryptocurrencies. In this case, you’ll have the high liquidity of the forex market to your advantage as well as the volatility of cryptocurrencies. This combination works even better if you can trade using well-established cryptos such as Ethereum or Bitcoin, whose demand is high, rendering them valuable. Besides increasing your chances of making profits, trading forex using cryptocurrencies secures your financial data since you don’t have to share your bank or credit card details to make cryptocurrency transactions. 

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Algorithmic Trading Strategies Explained

Algorithmic trading is an advanced form of trading that uses a computer program to automate the process of buying and selling of either stocks, cryptocurrencies, FX currency pairs, options, or futures. Unlike trading assets directly through a broker, algorithm trading is more accurate and result-oriented as it is designed with a predefined set of instructions that guide it on how to execute trades.

The trades are executed at the exact price and trade volume. This helps eliminate the time lag between placing and execution of the order. Also, all trades are free from human emotions, which may otherwise make a trader give up on profitable trade due to fear or make losses in pursuit of profits. Although the trades are executed automatically, the algorithms used have to be generated by traders in line with their investment goals. The traders key in variables like price, volume, time, and other indicators, which trigger a buy or sell order when specific conditions are met. 

Common Algorithm Trading Strategies 

Here are some of the most used automated trading strategies that you can explore: 

#1 Momentum-based/ trend algo 

Momentum and trend is the simplest algorithm trading strategy that aims at capitalizing on a long-running market trend. The idea is that if the market has been moving in one specific direction, upwards or downward, it’ll continue to do so until it’s affected by opposing factors that change its trajectory. A simple momentum-based algorithm, for instance, will invest in the best performing indices based on their performance within a specific duration of time. A more complex strategy blends momentum over time, making use of both absolute and relative momentum indicators. For instance, when the 30-day moving average goes above the 80-day moving average, a buying order is executed; conversely, when the 30-day moving average goes below the 180-day moving average, then a selling order is executed. 

As such, momentum algo trading makes use of technical indicators such as the historical price data and trading volume to execute orders. Further, the strategy allows traders to rebalance the system on a weekly, monthly, quarterly, or even yearly basis. 

#2 Statistical Arbitrage trading 

Statistical arbitrage is an opportunistic trading algorithm strategy that capitalizes on the price differences of assets as listed on various exchanges or markets. For instance, say a security trades at $10 on exchange Y and goes for $9.86 per share on exchange Z. The algorithm will identify this price difference and take a long position of the security in exchange Z, then quickly takes a short position of the same amount of the security on exchange Y. 

To realize reasonable profits using this trading strategy, you need to execute high trade volumes frequently since the price differences are almost negligible. However, for the cryptocurrency market, the price differences can be significant due to the difference in demand for crypto within a specific geographical location. For instance, you can buy low-priced crypto from your local exchange and sell it in an overseas exchange where the demand is higher. 

#3 Mean reversion 

Mean reversion strategy can be used in conjunction with the momentum/trend algorithm to avert losses when the market trends change drastically. Here’s how – while momentum strategy assumes that an asset’s price will continue moving in the same trajectory as it’s currently trending, mean reversion, on the other hand, works under the principle that an asset will always return to its mean value at some point in time regardless of its current high or low trend. The idea here is that the price of an asset will always go back to its historical average price after extreme deviations. Often, these deviations are caused by overselling or overbuying of the subject asset, influencing its price movement.  

When using the mean reversion strategy, the algorithm seeks to identify the upper and lower price limits of an asset. When the price is below the lower limit, the algorithm takes a long position and sells when the price goes above the higher limit in anticipation of the price returning to its average value. 

#4 Weighted average price strategy 

In this strategy, large orders are executed based on either volume-weighted average price or time-weighted average price. The strategy can be executed manually, but the large orders have to be released in small parts, which cannot be humanly possible with as much efficiency and accuracy as that of an algorithm. Besides, to make above-average profits, the orders have to be executed as close as possible to the volume-weighted average price or time-weighted average price to reduce the impact on the market. 

#5 Sentiment analysis 

Sentiment algorithm trading is quite simple as it doesn’t rely on complex mathematical models to execute orders. It involves examining the general market movements based on the opinions of major stakeholders and traders’ behavior. As such, the algorithm analyzes all types of data from media reports, to social media, to earning reports – and uses this information to predict future price movements upon which orders will be executed. 

#6 Building a custom algorithm trading strategy 

There are various websites such as CryptoHopper and Bitsgap that offer a variety of trading algorithms which you can then connect to the exchange site of your choice. But, you still have an option to design a unique trading strategy, one that works with your understanding of the market and investment goals. To build an algorithm trading strategy, you need to have proficient programming skills in addition to a good understanding of the quantitative and fundamental analysis of the market. 

Once you have these skills, all you have to do is feed your code input variables such as price, trade volume, and other variances that will trigger the execution of orders. Note that, before using your strategy to trade on the real market, you need to run a backtesting program that involves testing the performance of the strategy using historical data. If the strategy brings good results, you can confidently use it to trade in the real market. 

Conclusion 

Algorithm trading strategies are ideal for both novice investors and traders who are yet to understand the factors influencing market movements. Even the experienced traders can also benefit from the accuracy and efficiency of algorithm trading strategies, which ensures that they don’t miss out on any trading opportunity. However, it is vital to understand that each strategy works differently, and therefore it’s advised to choose one that meets your investment goals. 

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

Qtum Core Wallet Review: Features, Safety, and Setup Guide

Are you looking for an open-source, public blockchain platform that is capable of leveraging the simplicity and security advantages of Bitcoin’s UTXO protocol while integrating the flexibility and convenience offered by smart contracts? If yes, the Qtum Core wallet might be your ideal option. It enables two virtual machines: Qtum’s native x86 VM and Ethereum’s EVM. Note that Qtum Core is the only cryptocurrency wallet that supports the “Send To Smart Contract” feature. Also, if you want to receive MedCoin (MED), you need to have a valid Qtum Core Wallet. 

Even so, what are some of its top features? How does it compare to other desktop cryptocurrency wallets in the market? Read on as this review provides you with detailed insight into everything you need to know about Qtum Core. However, before we go into details, let’s first find out some of its key features.

Key features

OS compatibility: Qtum Core wallet can operate across different platforms such as PCs, Macs, and cloud servers. In PCs, it is compatible with several operating systems, including Windows, Linux, and macOS. 

Multicurrency: Qtum can securely support 26 coins and ERC20 tokens.

Proof of Stake (PoS): It features a consensus mechanism that significantly helps the network scale on-chain.

State-of-art security: Qtum Core integrates advanced security features such as Decentralized Governance Protocol (DGP) that allows developers to take control of the consensus parameters.

C programming language support: Qtum Core wallet is capable of supporting programming languages for C++, Python, Rust, and many more. 

Proprietary account abstract layer (AAL): It makes handling, executing, and creating contract funds possible by supplementing the Bitcoin script with new opcodes.

Smart contracts engine: The feature executes programs on the network and can operate across different platforms.

Easy-to-use: The best thing about the Qtum wallet is its simplicity. It integrates an easy-to-use interface that is suitable for beginners.

Is Qtum Core Wallet Safe?

One of the best things about Qtum Core is that it does not store your private keys. It provides users with complete access and is entirely responsible for their funds and security. They are only required to update their PCs with the latest antivirus and operating system to enjoy the full benefits of the Qtum Core Wallet. Note that the QTUM wallet uses a checksum technique to detect wrong and corrupted numbers. 

It also uses the SHA-256 hash algorithm to come up with unique codes for your Wallet Input Format (WIF) private keys. This is done twice for optimum results. Also, for more accurate results, set the SHA-256 hash input to be in the hexadecimal data format and not ASCII text. 

How to Set Up QTUM Core Wallet

Step 1: Visit https://github.com/qtumproject/qtum/releases and download QTUM Core’s latest version

QTUM Core is capable of supporting several operating systems, including Windows 32/64-bits and Mac OS.

Step 2: Install

You can install with either dmg file or .exe.

Step 3: Run Qtum Core

After the installation is complete, start the application by pressing “OK.” Note that during the initial run, the application might take some time to synchronize. Wait until it displays the number of blocks left as “0”. Technically, it will take less than the estimated time.

Step 4: Encrypt your wallet

Go to “settings” and tap on “Encrypt Wallet” to set a new passphrase. It is recommended to set a password of ten or more random characters. Alternatively, you can use eight unique words.

Step 5: Backup your wallet

Open “file” and click on “Backup Wallet.” Also, you will be required to set a wallet name in the “settings” section. 

Step 6: Done! You can now send and receive Qtum

Click on “File” to get a list of the addresses you will be using to receive and transfer QTUM. Your receiving address can either be one or many. Pick an address of your choice and click on “copy.” Next, you will want to check whether the address is valid. Paste it on the receiving address input window located in MediBloc’s homepage and click on “check” to find out if the address is valid. 

How to Send QTUM 

You will find the send menu on the left side of the page. Here, you will find different functions that are quite basic and easy to learn to use. Below is an insight on how to go about sending QTUM:

Pay to: Enter the address of the receiver

Label: Although it is optional, it is recommended that you fill in this category with a name or tag for future reference.

Amount: Enter the desired amount of QTUM you want the recipient to receive.

How to Receive QTUM

Before you receive QTUM, you need to know your address. However, the best thing with this crypto wallet is that you can generate new addresses. It is useful for receiving payments from more than one sender. The wallet also helps you keep track of your transactions.

To get your address, simply tap on “request payment” and pop up dialogue will show up with your unique address. You can receive coins from other users or an exchange using the address. 

How to Add QRC20 Tokens to Your Qtum Core Wallet

Normally, the Qtum Core wallet is designed to display your current QTUM coin balance. If you want it to also display your token balance, you will be required to bind your existing QTUM address to your desired contract address. After doing so, you should be able to see your QTUM tokens. Below is a step-by-step guide into adding QRC20 tokens to your wallet.

Step 1: Open the app

You should note the “other tokens” section at the right side of your page will be empty if you have never added a token before. 

Step 2: Create new QTUM address

Let’s assume you don’t have a QTUM address yet. Click on “File” and choose to receive addresses. Create a new address by selecting NEW. Enter your desired name for your wallet address and select the OK button to create your new address. 

Step 3: Add token

Go to the QRC Tokens section located on the left side of the app and choose the “Add Token” option. Once you have added your contact address, the rest of the information will be automatically auto-filled.

Step 4: Bind

Select the QTUM address you want to bind by expanding the “Token Address” list. Immediately after binding the address, the balance of your transaction history should be updated automatically. That is it! You should have your LSTR tokens listed on your wallet. 

Qtum Core Security 101

Now that you know how to create and add tokens to your wallet, it is imperative to understand that the security of your funds might not be guaranteed if you don’t do anything to enhance it. Below are some of the key things you should do to improve the security of your QTUM wallet:

  • Install the latest antivirus: Hackers are capable of installing malicious software on your computer and use it to access your private keys. Ensure you have the latest antivirus installed on your PC to be safe from phishing activities from hackers.
  • Back up your recovery phrases: During registration, you are notified that you will be denied access and risk losing your funds for good if you forget or lose your passwords. For this reason, ensure you keep multiple backups of recovery phrases.
  • Keep your private keys safe: Qtum Core provides users with full access to their private keys. However, if they are not properly stored, they might end up in the wrong hands and, therefore, risk losing your funds. The best way to guarantee their safety is to create a cloud backup.

Although all the above factors will help improve the safety of your QTUM coins, you should ensure you update yourself with the latest security features. Hackers are always coming up with new strategies and, therefore, updating your antivirus, and operating system is critical.

Pros and Cons of Qtum Core Wallet

Pros

  • Supports sending and receiving QTUM coins
  • Supports sending and receiving QRC20 tokens 
  • Integrates smart contracts creation and interaction
  • Features a Regtest mode that enables developers to build their private network
  • Has a “prune” to minimize disk usage
  • Supports RPC and API commands used in Bitcoin Core

Cons

  • Runs in full node
  • Requires regular updates

Final Verdict: Is Qtum Core Wallet Worth Your Money? 

Well, if you are looking for a desktop wallet to store your QTUM, this might be your best option. Besides being the only QTUM wallet that supports the “Send To Smart Contract” feature, it integrates quite a good number of exceptional security features. Additionally, it is quite easy to use. You will find its interface to be quite appealing to everything strategically placed for your convenience. 

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Blockchain in the Aviation industry: is it Just a Fad? 

The growth of any industry is pegged on its ability to keep up with evolving technology. For the service industry, it becomes even more important to adopt emerging technologies to improve customer experience. Blockchain is one such emerging technology that is set to catalyze the growth of numerous industries in the wake of the fourth industrial revolution. 

But for the better part of its existence, Blockchain’s potential to disrupt industries only sounds good on paper, with little to no implementation in the real world. As such, it’s impending penetration into the aerospace industry may seem just like a fad with no hopes of implementation. Still, the industry features highly fragmented distribution channels, minimal business model innovations, not to mention its inability to effectively use data and analytics to improve key operations. However, all these could change if airline companies are willing to experiment with Blockchain. As a service industry, air transport stakeholders need to consider using Blockchain to improve customer experience. 

So yes, Blockchain in the aviation industry is not just a hyped craze. In fact, it could mean the difference between the leading airline company, and a less competitive one, is the one that is first to adopt the technology. 

What can Blockchain do For Airlines? 

The intrinsic characteristics of the aviation industry align impressively well with the capabilities of blockchain technology. As such, it’s poised to provide a fertile ground for innovations within the industry in the following ways: 

Efficient data management

The airline and the broader travel industry are characterized by data sharing among multiple actors, from flight booking to immigration, to hotel check-ins and everything in between – all, which creates a complex web of data reconciliation that runs behind the scenes of every touchpoint of a traveler’s trip. 

For an airline company, managing flight data and any other information entail the use of electronic aircraft maintenance records (EAMR). These record systems often operate in isolation, creating data silos that inhibit efficient data sharing. 

Case in point; it’s common for the passenger service department of an airline company to use a separate database from that of the crew management. This compromise, not only operational integrity but also puts revenue generation at stake in case something goes wrong. Since almost every department maintains its own database, it becomes time-consuming to extract data, say, in the event of an audit or investigation of an aircraft accident. Further, there may be discrepancies between data stored in different silos leading to flight delays or other unplanned expenses. 

With too many systems in play, airline companies could benefit from a decentralized database that can facilitate seamless data exchange among various departments of the same company. This way, flight operations will run smoothly with fewer resources spent on maintaining databases. Data reconciliation will also get easier with Blockchain as any update or changes of the recorded information are updated in real-time across all departments. 

Identity management 

In the air transport context, identity theft can be used to commit fraudulent activities, including terrorism, consequently putting other passengers at risk. Although the use of biometric systems has subsidized cases of identity theft, centralized identity management systems aren’t entirely safe from manipulation. Now enter Blockchain. Once an identity is recorded and validated on the network, it is secured using hash cryptographic function, rendering it immutable. The passengers will only be required to carry a unique code — similar to a private key — for verifying themselves. To further suppress the chances of identity theft, the airline authorities can liaise with the state security officials who will be added to the blockchain network to scrutinize the details of every passenger. 

Baggage tracking 

Most airlines outsource their cargo logistics to trusted handlers. Even for airline companies that have in-house cargo logistics, they are riddled with a mix of manual and automated processes creating weak links on the cargo management chain. The outsourced parties suffer from non-standardized processes as well. 

Similar to the identity management use case, every baggage will have a unique code that’s encrypted in the blockchain network. Each phase the luggage goes through, from origin to recipient, its code can be scanned and the location updated on the network in real-time. But, it’s easy to achieve such functionality using traditional technology, why to bother using blockchain technology, you ask. 

Well, if a baggage tracking system was to run on conventional technology, it would create network congestion as it struggles to synchronize data of countless passengers’ baggage and cargo in real-time. What gives Blockchain baggage tracking systems an edge is the fact that it’s decentralized. 

As such, it’s less reliant on the network bandwidth, meaning airlines won’t experience network congestion as the system synchronizes the baggage code. Further, the digital ledger tracks luggage at critical checkpoints throughout the trip; from the initial handover to when, the baggage is loaded into the plane until it’s finally delivered to the passenger. This saves airlines money spent on securing baggage and settling cases of lost goods. 

Repair and maintenance of aircrafts 

The repair and maintenance of different parts of an aircraft need to be logged to serve as a reference to the airworthiness of an aircraft. Usually, records of this maintenance are recorded in bulky manual binders before being loaded in separate databases.

Blockchain can be used to electronically store these records minimizing chances of clerical errors that would otherwise be fatal. The electronic trail will be accessible to the maintenance technicians and aviators, both of who would work harmoniously to ascertain if the aircraft is safe enough for flight.

The same functionality could be replicated on aircraft fueling processes. Using a blockchain application, real-time fuel data would be shared among concerned stakeholders; in this case, the fueling company, the airline, and the bank. In the event fuel levels drop to a certain predetermined level, the fueling company gets a notification and responds accordingly. Once refueled to an agreed limit, automatic payment from the bank to the fuel supplier is initiated via smart contracts. The goal here is to speed up the refueling process and eliminate inefficiencies experienced when handling the process manually. 

Conclusion 

Blockchain application in the aviation industry goes beyond data management. The technology can also be used to tokenize e-tickets using smart contracts, thereby eliminating paper-based tickets and electronic passes. The tokenized tickets will have their own business logic and terms such as value and time of usage, allowing passengers to sell and buy tickets from anywhere in the world. Ultimately, the use of blockchain technology in aviation will inspire innovations of sustainable business models aimed at reducing costs and improving operations. 

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Fibonacci

Tweezer Top/Tweezer Bottom and Fibonacci Levels

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a Tweezer Top forming at a significant Fibonacci level. We’ll find out the impact of a tweezer top in the chart. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price has a rejection at a level of resistance twice. At the second bounce, it produces a doji candle. A doji candle is not considered a strong reversal candle. If the next candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle, the sellers may keep their eyes in the pair to look for short opportunities.

The next candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. It makes a strong statement that the bear has taken control. Double top support, along with a bearish engulfing candle, usually attracts more sellers to look for short opportunities.

The price consolidates and finds its resistance. The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle. The sellers may go short right after the last candle closes with 1R. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out how the entry goes.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. It hits 1R at a moderate pace. It finds its support again and heads towards the North to make a bullish correction. Look at the last two candles. The first candle comes out as a bullish candle, and the last candle comes out as a bearish candle, both having a long upper shadow. The combination of these two candles is called “Tweezer Top”. Tweezer Top is considered one of the strongest bearish reversal patterns. Those two upper shadows suggest that the price has a strong rejection at the level of resistance. The bearish body of the last candle suggests that the bear may take over. Another point we may consider whether it is produced at a significant level or not. By drawing the Fibonacci extension, we may find this out. Let us draw Fibonacci extension and find out how far the price travels towards.

We see that Tweezer Top is formed right at the 61.8% level. Usually, the 61.8% level drives the price towards the level of 161.8%. This is what happens here, as well. The price hits the level of 161.8% within the next candle.

We know how handy drawing Fibonacci level can be in trading. Especially, 61.8% and 38.2% level plays a very significant role in driving the price with good momentum. If we get a strong reversal pattern such as Tweezer Top or Tweezer Bottom, it adds more pressure. Thus, the traders do not have to wait long to achieve their target.

Categories
Crypto Videos

100% ASIC Mining Could Increase Bitcoin Security!

100% ASIC Mining Could Increase Bitcoin’s Security 2,000 Times


New research has found that the wholesale embrace of ASIC (read as a-sick) mining for Bitcoin could increase the cost of a 51% attack up to 2,000 times.
Rod Garratt University presented the research that it co-authored with Maarten van Oordt from the Bank of Canada, regarding varying costs of a 51% attack on the Bitcoin network. The research shows that by switching the network to 100% ASIC miners, the security of the network will be increased by up to 2,000 times.
The main reason for this is because ASIC miners have very little use, as well as value, outside of Bitcoin mining. For this reason, an attacker would not be able to obtain that much of a return from the sale of equipment previously used in an attack. In order to perform a profitable attack, however, they would then need to double-spend a much greater amount of coins, which is far more costly and difficult to do.
The researchers’ estimate of a profitable attack occurring after the next halving shows that it would require between 157,000 and 530,000 Bitcoin if 100% ASIC mining were in place.

What is a 51% attack?

A 51% attack is a network attack that seeks to manipulate a blockchain network by being in control of 51% of the mining power. The attacker would then create an alternate blockchain next to the ‘real’ chain, and transition the rest of the network to accept his new, manipulated chain as the correct one.
The most common thing attackers do after a 51% attack is to spend the same coins twice, commonly referred to as a double spend.

Bitcoin’s security concerns

Some people in the Bitcoin community are very much against ASIC miners, which even caused a hard fork in 2017 that resulted in an ASIC-resistant cryptocurrency called Bitcoin Gold. This adversity to ASIC equipment was, according to many, the reason why Bitcoin Gold had a number of successful 51% attacks that resulted in the double-spend of $18 million in coins. On the other hand, Bitcoin is yet to receive its first successful attack.

Categories
Crypto Videos

Dogecoin TikTok Pump Explained! Desperate Or Genius Pump & Dump?


Dogecoin TikTok Pump Explained

Dogecoin has been in the public eye as TikTok social media enthusiasts created a challenge that was trying to bring this popular cryptocurrency to $1. However, the hype around it, as well as the price has fallen notably in the past couple of days.

OKCoin CMO Haider Rafique said that “The Dogecoin TikTok effect is really down to the vitality of the TikTok platform, rather than the crypto industry because it thrives off of creating viral challenges. This is exactly the category in which this Dogecoin challenge fits”.
He added: “TikTok challenges come and go in very short cycles, and just by looking at the 20% drop in Dogecoin’s price in the last 24 hours, the trend has likely run its course already.”

TikTokers creating Dogecoin awareness

A viral movement on TikTok saw people buying Dogecoin, as well as urging their viewers to do the same. The ultimate goal of the effort was to send Dogecoin’s price to 1$. However, while the move did bring an increase to Dogecoin’s price, Doge’s price did not break above a penny during the challenge. During the TikTok movement, however, Dogecoin managed to double in price before going back down.

Dogecoin internet traction falls


Other than Dogecoin’s recent price plummet, other metrics are also hinting at Haider Rafique’s conclusion. Google Trends shows that searches for Dogecoin came back to a more normal level.
“We in the crypto market should be very careful of these viral moments as they detract from our long-term goal of creating a global and equitable financial system,” Rafique added.

Categories
Forex Basic Strategies

What Is ‘Gawk the Talk Strategy’ & How To Trade It Effectively?

Introduction

Trading the news is one of the best ways to make a profit within a short span of time. This is because volatility is highest during these announcements, and traders look to capitalize on these news releases by analyzing the data and the price movement.

The strategy we will be discussing is amazingly suitable for traders who love the volatility associated with news announcements. One of the biggest advantages of trading the news is accessibility. Today, we can access the news outcome as soon as they are released without any delay.

Many free websites report economic events every day. The one which is widely used by investors and traders is a site called forexfactory.com. This site is user-friendly, and the economic calendar allows us to view the upcoming news at a glance.

The news that has red-coded flags linked to them have the greatest impact on the currency pairs. We will prefer to trade the news events with the highest impact as opposed to the orange or yellow ones because the possibility of large movement is high. Today’s strategy is also based on such news releases.

As the actual and forecasted figures are extremely important for this strategy, we will be watching these numbers very carefully. That is the reason why this strategy is named as ‘Gawk The Talk.’

The top news announcements that cause the greatest moves in the forex market are Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Employment Change, Trade Balance, Consumer Price Index, Purchasing Manufacturing Index (PMI), and Retail Sales.

Time Frame

Gawk the Talk strategy works well with the 15 minutes and 1-hour candlestick charts. This means each candle on the chart represents 15 minutes or 60 minutes of price movement.

Indicators

No indicators need to be used in this strategy.

Currency Pairs         

The strategy is suitable for trading all currency pairs; however, it is healthier to trade in currency pairs such as the EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD.

Strategy Concept

The idea of the strategy is simple, where we long on the affected currency when the actual figures are greater than forecasted figures by a minimum factor of 15%. To lower the risk, we focus on news events that are related to the U.S. economy. Which means we will be primarily trading the U.S. dollar either as the base currency or counter currency.

We will use the 15 minutes time frame chart to determine our entries since the news is usually released in 15-minutes intervals. Some common times of news releases include 8 A.M., 9:15 A.M., 10:30 P.M., and 11:45 P.M.

For example, if the Reserve Bank of Australia raises the interest rates, we will go long in AUD/USD. And if the interest rates are lowered, we take a short trade in the pair. For news announcements that affect the United States, it is best to trade in the two most liquid pairs: EUR/USD and USD/JPY. Remember, we go long in the pair if the news outcome is positive for the base currency and ‘short’ in pairs wherever the currency is a counter currency.

Trade Setup

To illustrate the strategy, we will use the Unemployment rate news announcement, which was released on the 2nd of July 2020. As mentioned earlier, we will be dealing with currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar only. Hence, depending on the news data, we will take a suitable position in the EUR/USD pair.

Step 1:

The first t step is to go to the forex factory website and look for news releases that have the highest impact on the currency. The easiest way to find such events is to look for the red-colored flags on the left-hand side of the event. We will not consider any other news results other than red ones.

In this example, we will be analyzing the Unemployment rate data of the United States.

Step 2:

An important point most traders miss out while trading using this strategy is that they trade just based on the numbers. They forget to look at the charts from a technical angle. In this step, we mark the key technical levels on the chart based on the current state of the price.

As we can see in the below image, just before the news announcement, the price is at the resistance area. This means a ‘short’ trade is considered to be less risky than a ‘long’ trade at this point.

Step 3:

This step is the crux of the strategy. In this step, we take an appropriate position in the currency based on the news’s outcome. If the actual numbers are higher than the forecasted numbers, we will go long in that currency. Likewise, if the actual numbers are lesser than the forecasted numbers, we will go ‘short’ in that currency. The difference between actual and forecasted figures should be a minimum of 15% before we can take enter the market.

In our example, we see that the Unemployment rate was better than what was predicted by economists. This means the data is positive for the U.S. dollar, and thus we can expect bullishness in the currency. Therefore, we take a ‘short’ position in EUR/USD soon after the market falls from the resistance.

Step 4:

Stop loss for the strategy is placed just above the news candle, which is technically the right spot for placing the stop loss. The take-profit is also placed at a key technical level, which could be a hurdle for the trade. The risk to reward ratio of trades placed using this strategy is a minimum of 1.5. However, one should book partial profits at the halfway mark in order to lock in some profits.

In this case, the price moved about 60% of our take-profit, where would take some profits off. However, more often than not, the price does hit the take-profit levels.

Strategy Roundup

The strategy we discussed today is mostly for the aggressive traders and people with large risk appetite. In this strategy, we are essentially taking advantage of the volatility and the fundamental factors that affect the currencies. The trade management rules of the strategy ensure that we don’t make huge losses even if the trade does not work completely in our favor. Cheers.

Categories
Crypto Guides

‘Blockchain Coding’ – The Different Programming Languages That Are Being Used!

Introduction

In the nineties, when the internet was evolving, it sometimes used to take hours to connect to the internet. When the visionaries were betting on the internet that it would change the world, most of them wondered if it has that transforming effect? Now we cannot imagine a world without the internet. The same is going to happen with blockchain. Blockchain is going to create the internet of value. To build that work, we need developers in blockchain, and different languages used in developing the technology.

To understand which languages should be used in blockchain coding, let us see the challenges the tech offer to understand and select a language for development.

Security

If we talk about public blockchains, the code is open source and public. Anyone can check the code, find vulnerabilities, and take away millions in dollars. Hence the development is very slow in general.

Resource Management

Networks grow in size pretty soon, and hence the maintenance should be appropriate. Local queries should be addressed at the earliest.

✰ Performance

The language chosen should be extremely versatile. Blockchain has specific tasks that can be checked parallelly while some cannot. Signature verification can be checked parallelly, while transaction verification should be done to avoid double-spending.

Deterministic behavior

A smart contract should behave in the same way, no matter in which machine you run them. In the same way, a transaction should hold good at any point in time. Hence, they should operate in Isolation. Hence, we should isolate smart contracts and transactions from non-deterministic elements.

Let us see the languages which overcome these challenges below:

C++

The bitcoin blockchain is written in C++. C++ has been developed as an extension of the C language, and it is an object-oriented language (OOP). OOP means, when an object is created with functions and data, it can be called upon for use any number of times further, thus reducing coding time. Let see the features of C++ below, which aides in blockchain coding.

Memory

C++ takes complete control over CPU and memory usage. We have seen that blockchain requires effective resource management and the platform itself to integrate with lots of untrusted endpoints still giving quick service.

Threading

A thread is a set of instructions that can be executed simultaneously. C++ not only supports multithreading but also optimizes single-thread performance. As we discussed before, blockchain needs both parallel and non-parallel tasks to be performed; hence threading functionality helps in this requirement.

Move Semantics

Move Semantics helps in getting copies of particular data only when required. This reduces data redundancy and boosts performance.

Code Isolation

Code isolation is possible in C++ due to its usage of classes. The language itself is so mature that it is frequently updated, which helps use the latest features.

Solidity

The most common language used in Ethereum to write smart contracts is Solidity. Anyone interested in developing DAPPs or get into the ICO games, Solidity, is a must learn. Most of the Ethereum founders contributed to the development of Solidity. Solidity is a slimmed-down language explicitly designed to develop smart contracts with a syntax very similar to Javascript.

Python and Javascript are used as well in blockchain coding as they have the required properties as well. Go Lang, developed by Google, is used as well due to its faster speeds. The need for blockchain developers is very high, and going forward will only increase. Hence, for programmers, if they can learn what blockchain is, they have a high tide to ride and make their name in the blockchain world.

Categories
Forex Course

140. Market Environment – Summary

Introduction

In a few of the past course lessons, we have discussed some of the most crucial topics related to the Forex market environment. Starting from the ‘state of the market,’ we have understood what trending and ranging markets are. We also have differentiated the concepts of retracements and reversals, which are vital for identifying accurate entries and exits.

One of the most valuable things we have comprehended is to identify ways for spotting potential market reversals. Finally, we understood how professional traders read different market environments and states. The fundamental purpose of this summary article is this – There is a possibility of you understanding these concepts better once you finish all the course lessons in this section.

Hence, this article will focus on summarizing everything we have learned till now regarding the Market Environment.

The Market States

We have discussed the different ways in which the market moves. Essentially, the price action of a particular asset class moves in three different ways.

Trend | Range | Channel

With clear examples, we have discussed how this movement happens and what we should understand when the price moves in a particular direction. More info related to this can be found here.

Trading the Forex market when it is trending!

In this chapter, we have taken you through the concept of trending market. Uptrend and downtrend concepts have been clearly explained. We also have used Indicators like ADX and Moving Averages to trade the trending market accurately. Please go through this to recall those strategies.

What should we do when the market is ranging? 

We have comprehended the various ways of identifying the ranging market. We also used the Support/Resistance strategy & ADX indicator to trade ranges effectively. Once you try trading a ranging market by yourself, the way you read this article will change, and it will all start making sense. Hence, going through it once again now is important.

Retracements & Reversals

In the next couple of articles, we have drawn down clear differences between Retracements and Reversals. Here, we understood what we must do in the situation of a reversal or a retracement. Then, we have moved on to learn how to trade a reversal in the most effective way possible. In this lesson, we have taken the help of Fibonacci Levels to identify potential market reversals and trade them accordingly.

Finally, we ended this course by understanding how most of the professional Forex traders read and trade different market states. We consider this one of the most useful and valuable articles in this course as we have shared some of the most simple yet effective trading techniques. We also used accurate risk management techniques to protect your capital while trading the market using these techniques. You can go through them again here.

We hope these techniques helped you in becoming a better trader. In our upcoming course lessons, we will be understanding Breakouts, Fakeouts, and everything related to these topics. Cheers!

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

Blockchain.info In-Depth Review: Features, Privacy, Pros, and Cons

If you are a crypto enthusiast, you have probably heard or even used blockchain.info. It is one of the widely used websites today. The site was launched in 2011 and is regarded as one of the best cryptocurrency platforms. Blockchain.info is more than a wallet. It shows the transactions of bitcoins and the current status value while keeping users updated with the current trend.

Among the things that have significantly contributed to its popularity is the criterion integrated into its payment structure. Even so, what are some of its top features? How does it compare to other cryptocurrency websites? Stick along as we have prepared a detailed insight into blockchain.info. However, before we get into detail, let’s first take a peek into its top features.

Blockchain.ifo Features

OS compatibility: Blockchain.info is compatible with both Android and iOS. Its app can be downloaded from play store or iTunes.

Backup Recovery Phrase: This security feature is specially designed to enable users to backup their wallets in case it is lost or stolen. The website provides users with a unique phrase of words that can be used to retrieve your wallet from another device.

Two-Factor Authentication (2FA): Apart from the backup recovery phrase security feature, you can also set up two-factor Authentication using your verified phone number.

PIN Protection: Blockchain.info allows mobile users to set a PIN to protect their wallets from unauthorized access. Users will be required to key in the necessary PIN every time they want to access the wallet.

Multiple languages: The best thing about blockchain.info is that it supports over 25 languages for ease of communication.

QR cord support: If you want to enjoy quick transactions, the best way to conduct transactions is to use its QR code.

Multi-signature: Security is critical in blockchain.info. As a result, the website allows its users to sign in from multiple devices. That way, it makes it quite hard for a hacker to identify the original user.

Blockchain.info Privacy

Typically, the main reason why the majority of crypto users use blockchain.info is to enhance the privacy of their wallets. There are three security levels at blockchain.info. Here is how they break down:

Level One

  • Email verification– By verifying your email address, you allow the website to send you notifications about any activity on your account, send you login codes to confirm payments, and many more.
  • Backup phrase– Users are required to backup a secret phrase that will be provided during sign up. Note that due to the company’s commitment to enhancing their user’s privacy, they do not have access to passwords and, thus, cannot help users in recovering their funds if they lose the backup phrase.

Level Two

  • Link to your mobile phone– In case someone time tries to log into your account, you will receive a one-time login via mobile to reset your password.
  • 2-step verification– If this security feature is activated, users will receive a one-time password code each time the user attempts to log in.

Level Three

  • Block IP addresses from Tor Network– This option is fundamental to prevent phishing activities from hackers using the Tor network. The website’s security feature is capable of blocking any IP address from the Tor network.

Apart from the above three-tire security levels, you can also utilize the “security center” section strategically located on the left side of the website.

Supported Currencies

Unlike the majority of platforms that offer bitcoin wallet services only, Blockchain accepts both Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin Cash (BTC). Although bitcoins are the only ones you can buy directly from the platform or other linked exchanges, you can transfer both currencies in and out of your wallet. What’s more, you can exchange the coins with each other at any given time.

Guide to Opening a Blockchain.Info Wallet

Step 1: Download the app

Depending on the type of platform you are using, signing up should be the first option for registering your details at Blockchain.info wallet. Android users can download the app from Playstore, while those using iOS can get it from iTunes. Alternatively, you can also register your details from its web platform.

Step 2: Sign up

After downloading the app, click on “create wallet” to sign up. Fill in your email address and create a password. After doing so, confirm you have read the terms and conditions and continue to the next step. Hit the “request button” to start buying Ethereum or Bitcoin. Note that you will be required to confirm your email address before you can be allowed to transact with the account.

How to Add Currency to Your Account

So, what happens after clicking on the “request” button? You will be required to select your currency of choice. In this wallet, it can either be Ethereum or Bitcoin. After choosing your ideal cryptocurrency option, you will be required to enter your wallet address, which seemingly looks like a long string of letters and numbers. Anyone with your address can comfortably send you the appropriate currency with the address.

Most importantly, ensure you send Ether to the Ether address only and bitcoin to the bitcoin address only. Submitting to the wrong address might result in a permanent loss of your funds. If you don’t have either of the cryptocurrencies in another wallet, ensure you transfer the required type to your new account before making a transaction. Alternatively, you can exchange it with fiat or other platforms such as Coinbase.

How to Send Payments with Your Blockchain.Info Wallet

Making payments with your Blockchain.info wallet is quite easy. All you are required to do is click the “send” button on your dashboard and follow the prompts. You will be asked to enter the wallet address and the ideal amount you wish to send. Additionally, the website also integrates an automatic conversion feature that allows you to type in the desired value using either cryptocurrency or your local currency. It will display the total in both cases for easy comparison.

You will also have an option to enter a description or provide more details about the payment. Further, if the transaction is urgent, you can make it a “priority.” However, your sending fee might incur additional charges. You might also choose to “customize Fee” and specify a specific rate. Note that transactions with higher costs might, sometimes, prove to be faster and vice versa. Once you are done, click “Continue” to confirm the details and correct and complete the deal.

Is Blockchain.info Wallet Safe?

Yes, the Blockchain.info wallet is safe. The website had a security update back in 2016 and is, in fact, one of the best crypto wallets with advanced security features. As mentioned earlier, Blockchain.info offers a three-tier security infrastructure. You will be required to safeguard your wallet with email verification, and then use a secret phrase. Finally, secure your details with the third-tier option of blocking your IP addresses from being accessed by the Tor network.

Apart from that, every address at blockchain.info is protected with the hierarchical deterministic feature. Every user using Ethereum or Bitcoin address at Blockchain.info is guaranteed optimum safety while conducting any online transaction. It also provides an additional PIN as an added security feature. For this reason, it is, without a doubt, safe to say that Blockchain.info is indeed safe to use.

Customer Care

There are a couple of ways to contact the blockchain.info wallet. You can either use the ticket method to contact the support team directly or use email. Besides, they also feature an extensive FAQ section where users can get quick answers to the commonly asked questions. Its customer care platform is indeed some of the critical things that have significantly contributed to its fame as an old but the most trusted cryptocurrency wallet.

Pros and Cons of Blockchain.Info Wallet

Pros

  • Its services are available globally.
  • The website offers a myriad of security functions.
  • No verification is required.
  • It charges minimal transaction fees.
  • Historical and statistics information chart is provided.
  • Hierarchical deterministic is available for every transaction.
  • Its user interface is highly intuitive.

Cons

  • Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum are the only available cryptocurrencies
  • It is not possible to buy fiat currencies directly from your wallet.

Verdict: Is Blockchain.info Worth Your Money?

If you are looking for a safe method to safeguard your wallet, you should try out Blockchain.info. It is one of the best websites that integrates advanced security features. It is, no doubt, worth every penny. The criterion incorporated in its transaction methods ensures you not only get to enjoy optimum security for your funds but also enjoy seamless transactions with minimal fees.

Consequently, its registration process is quite easy. All you are required to do is follow the necessary prompts, and you will be good to go. The majority of crypto enthusiasts have tried out and experienced positive results. Try it out, and the success in securing your funds will be inevitable.

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

Cryptonator Wallet Review

Choosing the right digital wallet is one of the most critical things for any cryptocurrency user. This is mainly because the security of your funds will be entirely the wallet. Cryptonator is among the best options in the market, capable of delivering top-notch results. It is a multi-coin wallet that has been in existence since 2014. The digital wallet is quite easy to use and supports a myriad of currencies, including Litecoin, Ethereum, and Bitcoin. What’s more, it is designed to operate without ID verification to ensure you get a high privacy level. 

Nonetheless, is it right for you? What else does it offer? Buckle up as this review provides you with detailed insight into everything you need to know about Cryptonator. You will get to know the good and the bad side of it as well as how it compares to the other wallets in the market. 

Key Features-

Multi-currency: One of the best things about Cryptonator is that it supports a good number of fiat currencies including Euro (EUR), United States Dollar (USD), Russian Ruble (RUB), and Ukrainian Hryvnia (UAH). 

OS compatibility: Cryptonator is compatible with several operating systems, including Windows, Android, iOS, OSX, Chrome, Firefox, and OSX. 

Multi-languages: Cryptonator supports five languages. They include French, German, Spanish, Russian, and English. 

Two-factor-authentication (2FA) – The crypto wallet is specially designed to send a One Time Password (OTP) in the form of a code. The code is sent to the user’s registered mobile number. They are required to enter the password to be granted access. 

SSL connection– All transactions at Cryptonator are protected with a secure HTTPS security protocol or SSL connection. The sophisticated technology integrated into the connection ensures users send and receive crypto coins with the highest form of encryption. 

Built-in-exchange platforms– With Cryptonator, you don’t have to visit a bureau to exchange cryptocurrencies. The wallet features an always on-your-service exchange platform that allows users to change currencies within the website. 

Full control over private keys: In case of an online attack, hackers are capable of gaining access to the user’s private keys. For this reason, Cryptonator provides users with full control of their private keys. They can export and store them in the best place they see fit. 

Hot wallet: The best thing about hot wallets is that they can be accessed at any time as long as there is an internet connection. 

How Safe is Cryptonator?

The biggest concern for the majority of crypto users is safety. Cryptonator understands this and integrates quite a good number of security features that guarantee optimum security. Among some of their top features include a two-factor-authentication security protocol that involves sending a one-time 6-digit code to a user’s registered number to be allowed access to their accounts.  

Unlike the majority of cryptocurrency wallets, Cryptonator provides users with full access to their private keys. They can save them in a location they see fit. Additionally, the crypto wallet is designed with a built-in exchange. This allows users to swap different cryptocurrencies. Further, users are not required to pay any fee. All they have to do is access the different exchange services offered and by the platform and choose their ideal swap.

How to Get Started 

Step 1: Visit the official website at https://www.cryptonator.com/ and tap on the signup button.

You will be automatically redirected to the “Open New Account” page. 

Step 2: Create a personal account

Here, you will be given two options. You can either choose to create a merchant account or a personal account. Select the option that suits you best.

Step 3: Set a password 

Regardless of the type you choose, you will be required to create a strong password for your account. Ensure you create a strong password combination with numbers, characters, lower and uppercase letters, as well as numbers. 

Step 4: Create an account

After filling all the details in the required sections, you will be required to click on the “create an account” tab.

Step 5: Verify your email

After creating an account, you will be required to go to your registered email and verify to activate your account. 

Step 6: Ensure that all the coins are turned on

Click on the setup guide section and check whether all your desired types of currencies are activated. Turn on only the ones you plan to use. 

Step 7: Create new addresses for every coin

After activating your desired address, you will be required to create a new address for every coin that you have activated. You can create as many as ten addresses for every wallet in your Bitcoin account.

Step 8: Activate your two-step verification

Here, you will be required to choose from Telegram, text message, Messenger, or Google Authenticator. Nonetheless, the best option is Google Authenticator. If you opt for this option, download it from Playstore or iTunes and install it on your device.

Open the Cryptonator website and use the app to scan the QR code to generate a code. Enter the code and click “send.” 

Once the two-step verification security feature is activated, the system will automatically create a secret key to be used with your account. The key is meant to work as a backup in case your device is damaged or lost. For this reason, it is recommended to create several copies and store them safely.

Step 9: Confirm your backup

You will be required to confirm that you have successfully backed up your secret key by clicking on, “I backed up my secret key, close the window.”

How to Transfer Coins to Cryptonator

After creating your account, you will need to add cryptocurrencies to your wallet to perform transactions. The best way to add funds to your account is to transfer coins from another account to your wallet. Here is how to go about it:

Step 1: Click on your account name to display the address

You can either utilize the “Actions” button next to your account name to show your addresses or click on the account name to get the details. 

Step 2: Send funds from another wallet to your address

It should automatically reflect on your Cryptonator account. Save the sender’s address in case you might want to use it again. 

Apart from the above method, you can exchange Fiat currencies directly from your bank account using wire transfer. The crypto wallet has a built-in exchange feature that supports four fiat currencies that allow users to swap a wide range of cryptocurrencies conveniently on their wallets. 

How to Send or Receive Coins on Your Account

Sending coins from your Cryptonator account is easy. All you need to do is click on the “send” button located on the left side of the wallet’s interface. Copy the address you want to send to and select the number of coins. The wallet will automatically populate the “Gross Amount” and “Transaction Fee” that you will be required to pay.

The next step would be to figure out how to receive payments on your Cryptonator wallet. This process is quite easy. Click on the “balance” section and select the number of coins you want to receive. Click on “show my Bitcoin wallet address” to view the address and copy it. Share it with the sender to use it while sending funds to your wallet. 

Cryptonator Vs. Other Wallets- How Does it Compare?

To find out whether Cryptonator is your ideal cryptocurrency wallet, you need to compare some of its top features against other popular options in the market. 

eToro vs. Cryptonator wallet

First of all, both these wallets are quite amazing in terms of service delivery. However, there are a few differences between the two. As compared to Cryptonator, eToro is fully regulated by FCA (UK) and CySec (Cyprus) licensing companies – which are some of the best and most trustworthy regulatory agencies in the market. Further, it also offers an intuitive design that is quite easy to use. Unfortunately, this cannot be said about Cryptonator. 

Coinbase vs. Cryptonator

There is no doubt that when it comes to social trading platforms, Coinbase is at the top of the league. It operates in compliance with FCA and CySEC licensing companies and offers a much higher level of security. Coinbase integrates more advanced features such as multi-signature keys as compared to Cryptonator that only uses 2FA. 

Pros and Cons of Cryptonator

Pros

  • Multi-currency wallet
  • Users don’t need an identity verification
  • It works as a hot wallet
  • Supports fiat currencies

Cons

  • The wallet is unregulated
  • Does not offer leveraged trading

Final thoughts

Generally, Cryptonator is a secure web wallet with a user-friendly interface that integrates quite a wide range of security features. It is ideal for users looking for a cryptocurrency platform with a two-factor authentication feature, an automatic exchange platform, and supports an array of coins. It provides some of the best profitable conditions to work with and combines multiple custom features. Try it out, and there is no doubt you will enjoy using the hot wallet. 

Categories
Forex Basic Strategies

‘Balk the Talk’ Strategy – Combining Fundamentals With Technical Analysis!

Introduction

Fear is the greatest driving force in humans. We tend to react drastically in times of fear or when they are presented with sudden moves from the market. Fear is an emotion that drives traders around the world to watch out for every news announcement, for fear of missing out on important information. Fear results in fast decisions by traders, which are most of the time taken without thinking.

In the previous article, we mentioned that trading the news is one of the best ways to make a profit in a short period of time. We also mentioned focusing on news events with the highest impact (red flags) on the currency. In today’s strategy, we will be trading the Forex market by looking at news events that have the least impact on the currency and do not have a long-lasting effect on the pair.

Timeframe

Balk the talk strategy works well with the 15-minutes timeframe only. Since we are dealing with small price movements, we will capture those little gains by analyzing the 5 minutes time frame chart.

Indicators

In this strategy, we will not be using any technical indicators.

Currency Pairs

The strategy is suitable for trading in all major currency pairs listed on the broker’s platform. Make sure not to use the strategy on Minor and Exotic currency pairs. Currency pairs such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, GBP/JPY, and NZD/USD are highly preferred.

Strategy Concept

Although we are trading based on the news data, this strategy’s concept is very different from the previous strategy. Here we will be taking advantage of the sudden surge in volatility due to the news announcement. The volatility leads to price movement, which is not reliable and mostly false. Hence, we will analyze the charts from a technical point of view and position in the currency pair based on the indications provided by technical analysis.

News events that have orange and yellow flags associated with them are the ones that are not of great importance to traders. Even then, during the news announcement, the volatility gives rise to price movement, mostly not dependable. This means any move in the market created by such news releases does not last for long, and the market continues to move in regular from a few minutes after the news release. We will take advantage of this false movement by combining the market’s current price with that of the key technical levels.

Trade Setup

In order to illustrate the strategy, we will be taking the example of the Final Services PMI news announcement, which was released recently. We will analyze the impact of data PMI on the currency and see how we can take a suitable position in the currency based on the volatility induced in the pair due to the announcement.

Step 1

The first step of the strategy is to look for news events that have an orange or yellow flag linked to them. Note down the date and time of the announcement and open the respective chart. We recommend looking for news announcements of major economies only and trade in currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar.

In our example, we will be considering the impact of Services PMI on the EUR/USD currency pair.

Step 2

In this step, we will mark out the key technical levels on the chart. They could be support, resistance, demand, supply, and some indicator signals. Based on the sign of each technical level, we will take the position accordingly.

We can see in the image below that we have identified two important levels of support and resistance and marked them on the chart.

Step 3

The crux of the strategy is that we wait for the price to reach our key technical levels as a result of the volatility due to the news announcement. Once the price reaches those levels, we will place trades based on our technical analysis and understanding of market psychology. For example, in the below image, we see that due to the Services PMI news release price reaches exactly to our resistance, which we had marked in the previous step. Since the PMI data was slightly better than expectations, it led to bullishness in the currency, thereby taking the price marginally higher.

Since the Services PMI is a low impact event, we cannot afford the market to continuously move higher. This means it will respect key technical levels and follow the major trend of the market. In this case, the trend is down. Therefore, we trigger a ‘short’ trade precisely at the resistance, taking a bearable risk.

Step 4

The next step is to determine stop-loss and take-profit levels for the strategy. Since we are taking an aggressive entry, the stop loss for the trade will be small, resulting in a high risk to reward ratio. The take-profit is pretty much straightforward, where it will be set at the latest obstacle.

In this case, the take-profit is placed at the support of the range, which is ideal for booking profits.

Strategy Roundup

The strategy takes advantage of the market reaction when the actual figures of some news events are not of great importance to traders. Such news announcements only create panic in the market with no confidence. Keep in mind that this requires many things to be assessed before being able to successfully use this strategy over and over again. This means a lot of practice is required to apply in the strategy effectively. Pay attention to news releases which do not hold much ground. All the best!

Categories
Blockchain and DLT

Reinventing ERP Systems with Blockchain

An Enterprise resource planning (ERP) system is a software used by organizations to manage their operations. From accounting, procurement, project management, risk management, to supply chain operations, ERP systems are indeed the fiber holding all business operations. 

Usually, the software comes as a suite that includes performance analysis, budgeting, planning, and reporting tools to help boost a company’s performance. For industry-specific companies, ERP providers can design customized software to fit the specific needs of that particular company. 

But as business model dynamics keep evolving, the current ERP systems are struggling to maintain their functionality. An immediate solution would be to build new and improved systems to scale up existing ones. Although doable, building new systems will drain an organization’s resources in addition to compromising other key operational areas. Alternatively, amalgamating the current infrastructure with new-generation technologies is not only affordable but also an ideal way of keeping businesses up to date with technological trends. 

In this case, blockchain technology is the most compelling option, given its core record-keeping capabilities. To see the blockchain’s entry point into ERP systems, it helps to understand the inherent problems ailing the latter. 

ERP Systems Limitations 

First, it’s important to note that ERP systems function more like solutions and less like a product. So, it’s not a generic software that can be shopped right off the shelf and used immediately. That said, the systems come with a predefined functionality – meaning you can’t just add any feature when you need at will. This denies companies the flexibility of continually updating their systems to meet the dynamic needs of their business operations. If a business can’t upgrade its systems, it means that it can’t be competitive enough to offer a superior customer experience. 

Now, upgrading ERP systems isn’t entirely impossible. But as is always the case with updating in-house infrastructure, scaling ERP systems translates to extended downtimes in addition to the expensive costs of this undertaking. So, only large and well-endowed companies can afford to upgrade their ERP systems, which give them a competitive advantage over small and medium businesses. It becomes even more expensive when you factor in the regular maintenance costs required to keep the systems functional. 

On top of it all, ERP systems lack interoperability, meaning they can’t work in collaboration with other systems. This can be detrimental to an organization as it disintegrates its operations. For instance, an organization may have isolated systems for its supply chain operations, accounting process, and inventory management. Yet, these two operations need to work in harmony to minimize operational costs that go into maintaining these systems. Also, as they work in isolation, there is less transparency among the involved parties. In a supply chain, this would mean that the manufacturer, the wholesaler, and retailer operate on different software. Each stakeholder will have to trust the other party will maintain integrity. 

Why integrate blockchain into ERP systems? 

The benefits of integrating blockchain into ERP systems are derived from the fundamental properties of the technology; 

1. Strengthening data security and preventing authorized access 

ERP systems hold confidential data – which, if altered, may result in operational inefficiencies. For instance, ERP systems for accounting need to be secured from manipulation for auditing purposes. To safeguard all data entries, there is a need to integrate enterprise blockchain in ERP systems. 

Each record fed into the blockchain network will be validated and secured from third-party intrusion. The network generates digital signatures based on public-key cryptography. Only those who own these keys will access the data on the chain. 

2. Automation of processes 

Blockchain for ERP systems offers an opportunity for the implementation of smart contracts. The supply chain segment of an organization would benefit immensely from the use of smart contracts as it would mean less paperwork and more secure payments. The smart contracts can be programmed to initiate payments once goods are delivered and even track them throughout the shipping trail. Besides managing invoices, smart contracts can be used to verify inter-company, especially those involving a parent company and its subsidiaries. The transactions will be executed by smart contracts within the pre-set terms and conditions, which eliminate the need for third parties to oversee the transactions. 

3. Promote trust and transparency

Traditional ERP systems have failed to create a collaborative space within an organization or even between two related businesses. As such, when working together on a project, integrity is staked on the participants who, in most cases, fail to honor their end of the bargain. With blockchain ERP, integrity is shifted from the participants and placed on a tamper-proof system that makes it impossible for participants to be bad actors. 

In this case, blockchain works by removing the barriers between various ERP systems, bringing them together to form a single functional unit. For an organization, this would mean that different departments can work collaboratively, increasing the overall productivity of the company. Thanks to the newfound transparency, business owners can trust the credibility of the auditing reports. This is because all accounting data is recorded on an immutable network where any changes to the data are made public for all to verify. 

4. Freedom of customization 

As mentioned earlier, the current ERP systems are designed to function in a predetermined manner. For an ERP system to meet the emerging needs of a business, it has to be customized or designed entirely from scratch. Blockchain, on the other hand, is pretty customizable, especially now that there are a good number of platforms that support building decentralized applications. So, it’s easy to design new and improved blockchain solutions that meet the modern needs of a business. 

Integrating blockchain into ERP systems would, therefore, render them customizable as they are powered by dynamic technology. More so, blockchain is still in its maturation stages – meaning that there’s room for newer solutions as the business models change. As such, ERP systems that are powered by blockchain will not only give businesses a competitive edge but also improve their operations to meet customers’ needs. 

Conclusion 

ERP systems act as the backbone of any business and must process immense amounts of data transparently to guarantee streamlined operations. As businesses aim at increasing productivity, it becomes necessary to upgrade their ERP systems by pairing them with blockchain technology, which provides data security while enabling frictionless execution of business operations. 

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

Dash Core Wallet Review

If you are reading this review, there are high chances you are familiar with Dash. To give you a quick overview of what it entails, Dash is a decentralized cryptocurrency, which is also an altcoin that has been forked from the Bitcoin blockchain. It was launched as “Xcoin” back in January 2014. Currently, it is ranked 12th in the cryptocurrency market. However, to use it, you need a Dash wallet.

While there is quite a good number of third-party wallets such as Jaxx, Dash Electrum, and Exodus, there is a Dash Core desktop wallet that you might want to consider for keeping your Dash coins safe. It is as its name suggests. The wallet is designed by Dash themselves, and, therefore, you can always rely on it for the latest updates and optimum performance. Read on as this review gets into a detailed insight into everything you need to know about the Dash Core Desktop wallet. 

Key Features

Masternode commands and voting: Dash Core wallet features special commands for controlling servers known as masternodes. They are used to enable services such as InstantSend, governance, and treasury system, as well as PrivateSend. 

ChainLocks: This feature is provided by the Dash Network that provides certainty when accepting any payment. It is used in parallel with InstantSend. Technically, it creates an environment where payments can be accepted instantly and with little or no risk from the “Blockchain Reorganization Events.”

PrivateSend: It is, as its name suggests. PrivateSend features provide users with true financial privacy by integrating an innovative process that mixes your inputs with at least two other people in one transaction. It also means that there will be no seed that leaves your wallet.

InstantSend: The technology integrated into this feature allows Dash currency to compete with instantaneous transaction systems without relying on a centralized authority. 

OS compatibility: Dash Core wallet is available for Linux, Windows, MacOS, and Raspberry Pi. 

Governance and treasury: It allows stakeholders to determine the direction that the project is heading to and devote 10% of the block reward to the ecosystem and the development of the project. 

Wallet encryption: This feature allows users to set a unique password or PIN that can be used to access the wallet. 

How to Download and Set Up the Dash Core Desktop Wallet

Step 1: Head to the official Dash website at https://www.dash.org/

Here, you will find two options. One is the “Get Dash,” and the other is for “12.1 Update”. Scroll down to the download wallet section. You will automatically be redirected to a different page where you can download your desired type. You’ll find options such as OSX, Windows (32 bit), Windows (64 bit), and Linux. Choose an option that suits your current operating system.

Step 2: Download Installer

After choosing your desired option, you will be prompted to save the software onto your device. Click on save and let the download complete. 

Step 3: Install the application

Once the download is complete, the next step would be to install the application. Click on the downloaded app and follow the installation prompts. You will be asked to either “run Dash Core” or “finish” once the setup is complete.

Step 4: Choose a custom data directory path

Another window will pop up to provide you with brief information on how much space your wallet will need, so you should ensure you choose your hard drive’s directory path carefully. Notably, you should consider that your Dash Core data will increase over time based on your usage. For this reason, you should ensure that you have enough storage on your existing drive. 

Click “OK” after you are done.

Step 5: Allow access to the firewall

If your firewall is active, you will be asked to grant the application access. Click on “Allow access” and wait for the application to synchronize with the Dash Blockchain. 

Step 6: Encrypt wallet

Once synchronization is complete, the first step would be to encrypt your wallet. Click on settings and choose “encrypt wallet.” Ensure you input a unique passphrase that is impossible to guess but easy to remember. The best way to set a strong password is to incorporate random characters, numbers, and lower and uppercase letters. Click “OK” once you are done.

Step 7: Read the risks involved when you lose your password

Another window will pop up with a warning of what might happen if you lose your passphrase. Click “yes” to start the encryption process. Give the process a few minutes. Another pop up will show up just before the encryption is complete informing you that the application will close to finish the wallet’s encryption process. Click “OK” to confirm and reopen the application. 

Step 8: Back up your wallet

Now that you have successfully installed and encrypted your wallet, the next step should be to create a backup. Click on “file” at the top of the application and click on “Backup Wallet.” Note that it is advisable to back up your wallet every time you add more coins. You can use storage mediums such as cloud or USB/hardware.

How to Send Dash

Sending Dash with your Dash Core desktop wallet is quite easy. All you need to do is click on “Send” and input the required details. Below is a detailed guide on how to go about it:

Pay To:  Enter the receiver’s address

Label: Enter a label for the address to add it to your address book and for easier access. It will help you sort out all the people you have ever sent to with ease. 

Amount: Add the number of coins you want to send.

Transaction fee: Click on “recommended” to expand the options.

Send: Ensure all the details are correct and click send.

Also, you might want to check on the transaction history. It will help you keep track of every transaction.

Receiving Dash

Receiving Dash on your application is also easy. All you are required to do is click on receive and fill in the required information. Here is a breakdown of how to go about it.

Label: It is helpful in organizing a list of addresses you use frequently.

Amount: Choose the amount of Dash you are requesting.

Message: You can add a message if you wish. 

Request payment: Click on request payment once you are done.

How Does Dash Core Compare to Other Wallets in the Market?

Dash Core vs. Atomic Wallet

Dash Core integrates quite a good number of powerful features such as InstaSend, PrivateSend, Masternode, Governance, and many other management functions. These features ensure that all transactions are safe and valid. The Atomic wallet supports neither PrivateSend nor InstaSend. However, it allows users to exchange cryptocurrencies peer-to-peer, which means that no third-parties are acting as intermediaries.

Dash Core vs. Exodus Wallet

Exodus is yet another well-known desktop Dash coin wallet in the market. It’s famous for its ability to integrate several cryptocurrency exchange programs such as ShapeShift. Users can trade a wide range of cryptos with little or no notable time constraints. However, this cannot be said of Dash Core. Another notable thing with Exodus is that it is offered in lite-node, which also means that you don’t have to download the entire blockchain on your PC. You will require more than 10 GB of free space on your computer to download and use Dash Core as it is offered in full-node. 

Pros and Cons of Dash Desktop and Mobile Wallet

Pros

  • Offers the highest security standard among free wallets
  • It is a multi-coin wallet and supports over 100 cryptocurrencies
  • Private keys are stored on the PC or Smartphone
  • You can access your DASH coins from anywhere across the globe
  • Downloads are free

Cons

  • Private keys can be stolen through phishing
  • Updates should be made regularly
  • The wallet is a full-node wallet and requires individuals to download the entire DASH blockchain that is well over 10GB

Final thoughts 

If you are looking for the best desktop DASH wallet, there is no better option than to try out the company’s DASH wallet itself. They have specially designed their crypto wallet to integrate top-notch security features. What’s more, you can always be sure to remain updated with their latest releases. Try it out, and there is no doubt you will enjoy their services. 

Categories
Crypto Guides

Understanding The Concept Of Tokenomics

Introduction

In our previous articles, we have seen a lot about tokens, utility tokens versus security tokens, and how the tokenization has generated different blockchain, business models. As a quick recap, the token represents something in the crypto universe in its designated environment. A token has many roles, features, and purposes of fulfilling in its intended space.

What is Tokenomics?

Tokenomics is formed with two words, token and economics. Tokenomics is the quality of the coin, which influences the people to buy them and thereby shape up the platform accordingly. Any factor which affects the token’s value can be considered to be part of tokenomics. Let us see some of the most important ones below:

🔰 Team

The team behind the project is the first and foremost factor that affects the token in every way possible. It is quite natural for any sensible investor to check the team behind the concept. For any ICO to be successful, the teams play an essential role in the concept of the token and what the token tends to achieve.

🔰 Token Allocation

Token allocation post the ICO is an essential factor as well. Allocation amongst the team members and advisors is essential. The percentage of total coins that the leadership team has retained, how they will be spending those tokens for the project, and the duration they will lock the tokens. People who believe in their project tend to lock the coins for the long term showing their belief in the project.

🔰 Publicity and Branding

The project and token should have appropriate publicity. People should have an idea about what it is, and the closer it is to solving a real-world problem amongst other factors, the interest grows. Hence, the business model is essential too. The community, i.e., people who are already invested, shouldn’t be ignored; as they try to nurture the project in their way, they should be rewarded appropriately. Hence, they act as the brand ambassadors of the project.

🔰 Legal Structure

There have been many scams involved in the ICO’s of the 2017-18 period; they have come under the radar of intense scrutiny. Thus, the project should be under the local government’s rules and regulations wherever it is being developed.

🔰 Types of Tokens

There are different types of tokens to consider apart from security vs. utility tokens we have seen so far. The other necessary type is Layer1 vs. Layer2.

Layer1 generally refers to the platform on which the token is built upon. For example, if you are developing a DAPP in the Ethereum platform, Ethereum is the layer1 platform Ehter works as Layer1 token. The token that you intend to develop and the platform that you develop over the foundation platform is Layer2 and Layer2, accordingly. Though there are widespread attempts to make the two layers independent of each other, no matter how independent they are, they will be affected in case of any hacks on Layer1.

🔰 Token Flow

Token flow is another essential factor that determines the token’s value. Token flow in the Layer1 is determined by how the coins are generated and how the users are incentivized to maintain the platform. Secondly, the developments in the platform to strengthen the network itself. How the tokens are coming and going from the platform, is the environment sustainable or not, are some of the factors involving the token flow.

What makes up a token value?

The coin’s intrinsic value. Well, we consider its intrinsic value to the current value all the time while investing in something. If the intrinsic value is less than the current value, it is mostly advisable to invest. It’s the same with tokens as well. The intrinsic value depends on its credibility and utility of the project.

The second one is obvious, which is nothing, but speculation of the potential investors based on its history. Supply and demand, of course, plays a role as the number of tokens is always capped. Hence if the demand increases than the supply, the value tends to increase naturally.

Tokenomics is pretty vast, and we have covered significant parts involved. This concept is gaining momentum and space slowly; thus, knowing the above concepts before you take a plunge in the crypto investments is very useful in the long run.

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

Blockchain Meets Telecommunication Companies 

The telecommunications industry has enjoyed a front-row seat to some of the most exciting developments in the history of technology.

But, all that has changed in the current business environment where telco companies face stiff competition from newcomers in the market, particularly the internet-based communication services providers such as Whatsapp messenger, FaceTime, WeChat, Viber, and Facebook’s Messenger. 

As a result, telco enterprises have suffered revenue losses due to drop-offs in SMS users and roaming.

Currently, most of these enterprises have been reduced to just internet service providers. With this, they have managed to secure their position in the dynamic communication industry.

However, their position is at risk of being eroded further, especially given the gradual decrease in investment in the telecommunications industry after the infamous Dot-com bubble burst. 

To secure their place in the competitive market, increase revenue, and meet the new customer needs, telecommunications service providers will have to explore the disruptive potential of blockchain technology. Implementing blockchain solutions, however, isn’t as straightforward as it sounds as the telco companies run in a highly regulated industry. 

But according to a recent report, a good number of communications service providers – (CSPs) – are either considering or actively experimenting with blockchain.

So, despite the uncertainty, the pilot projects from these CSPs will lay the groundwork for others, showing them how future applications might work. 

Blockchain for communication service providers

As the industry anticipates full integration of blockchain solutions, let’s look into some of the opportunities resulting from this integration:

Inter-company collaboration

Telco enterprises are inherently complex in their architecture and demand significant amounts of investments. Case in point, billions of dollars have gone into designing and finally rolling out the 4G/LTE networks. Also, as the world anticipates the coming of the 5G network, telcos are under heavy pressure to invest in new resources, consequently intensifying the competition in the communication industry. Unfortunately, telcos aren’t guaranteed to reap returns on their investment even after moving their operations to the new generation network. 

As an alternative solution, telecom operators and service providers could come together under the decentralization of blockchain networks where they can share the cost of resources instead of doing it all alone. Decentralization would help create a sharing economy, bringing down the barriers of transparency while enhancing timely coordination among the telco stakeholders. 

Moreover, thanks to the transparency and immutability, all telecom companies, regardless of their size, can join the newfound cost-sharing economy, creating a level playing ground. This, in turn, promotes healthy competition in the industry.

Most importantly, returns on investment will be shared fairly among the participants using a consensus mechanism, which is basically a series of mathematical algorithms that reward participants according to their investment amount. 

With the cost of resources brought down to an affordable price range, telecommunications companies will be able to achieve wider network coverage and even offer high-quality services at a lower price than a single company would provide.

Additionally, smart contracts can also be introduced into the network to create new business models such as rentals and pay-as-you-go, which would increase returns to reasonable amounts. 

Roaming Fraud Prevention

Roaming fraud occurs when a subscriber uses the resources of the Home Public Mobile Network (HPMN) via the Visited Public Mobile Network (VPMN). Still, the home network can’t charge the subscriber yet is obliged to pay the VMN for the roaming service.

Usually, the fraud goes almost unnoticed, which causes the networks to take too long to respond.

The delays are majorly caused by slow data exchange between the home and visited networks.

There is also a lack of control over the systems in which the fraud has occurred, further contributing to delayed response time. 

By using a private blockchain network, roaming agreements will become more transparent. In this case, designated nodes from both telecom operators will verify each transaction broadcasted on the network.

The roaming agreement between the HPMN and the VPMN is settled by a smart contract which is generated while the transaction is broadcasted. So, anytime a subscriber is roaming, the VPMN broadcasts the transaction data to the HPMN.

In turn, the data triggers the smart contract to execute the terms of the roaming agreement. As such, the HPMN will automatically calculate the billing amount based on the cost of service provided and then send this information back to the VPMN. 

Identity management

Identity theft in the telecommunications industry is not only detrimental to the subscribers but also to the telecom companies.

When a subscriber falls victim to identity theft, the perpetrator ends up using the telecom services, yet it’s the victim who ends up paying the bill.

If well-executed, the perpetrator may go even to the extent of jeopardizing some of the services offered by the company leading to revenue losses. 

Blockchain can be used to secure subscribers’ identities and, in turn, cutting down the telecom revenue losses.

The subscriber will be required to register their device containing a carrier’s SIM card on the blockchain network, after which a private key is generated to safeguard the personal data contained in the device. Only the subscriber has the sole custody of the private keys meaning access to personal data is limited to the subscriber

Interoperability

There exist a plethora of messaging apps provided by the carrier and others by third-party communication services.

Unfortunately, these messaging apps can’t communicate directly with each other, rather a user from one app can’t send messages to another user in a different app.

This creates communication barriers, with some users resorting to downloading numerous messaging apps just to enjoy the convenience of communication with other users on different apps. 

For example, iMessenger users cannot communicate directly with Whatsapp or Viber users. As such, they’re forced to download the other messaging apps for efficient communication.

Blockchain can break communication barriers by integrating messaging apps to create a decentralized communication protocol that exists in an interoperable ecosystem. The newfound interoperability can be used to facilitate the Internet of Things (IoT), which requires seamless communication of various devices and apps.

Conclusion

The telecommunications industry is a fertile ground for blockchain technology to thrive and inspire innovative business models.

With telco giants such as Vodafone leading the way towards embracing blockchain in the industry, it is expected that new solutions will be designed, which will guide the other stakeholders in implementing blockchain solutions.

Categories
Crypto Videos

Bitcoin Price Will Never Go to $0!

Bitcoin Price Will Never Go to $0!

 

It is now official: Bitcoin can face many price crashes, but not to the extent that it ends up costing $0. This is because one man decided he is going to buy all of it.
Entrepreneur and outspoken Bitcoin bull Alistair Milne posted a tweet on July 9, revealing that he had placed a buy order for 18.52 million BTC (currently worth $174 billion).

Milne uploaded a screenshot of his Bitfinex order book, proving that he did, in fact, place an 18.52 million BTC order, buying them all at 1 cent.
“I hereby confirm that Bitcoin will never go to zero,” he wrote.

“I’m buying them all at 1 cent.”
In order to complete this purchase, Milne will need a sum of $185,200 — currently equating to 19.7 BTC. He would, of course, also need Bitcoin to drop to a valuation of $0.01.
Bitcoin at $0 is a hard sell

Despite all the factors pointing to the overwhelming likelihood of Bitcoin never dropping to anywhere near zero in the future thanks to network incentives, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is not without its vocal detractors.
Gold bug Peter Schiff remains among people who believe that Bitcoin is worthless and ultimately going down.
Other critics, however, may no longer be quite as sure as they once were. Ex-PayPal CEO Bill Harris claimed in 2018 that Bitcoin would go to $0, while just two years after that, rumors of PayPal integrating crypto payments began spreading.

Categories
Forex Assets

Trading Costs Involved While Trading The ‘CHF/SEK’ Forex Exotic Pair

Introduction

The acronym of CHF/SEK is Swiss Franc, paired with the Swedish Krona. In this exotic Forex pair, CHF is the official currency of Switzerland and is also the fifth highly traded currency in the Forex market. In contrast, SEK stands for the Swedish Krona, and it is the official currency of Sweden.

Understanding CHF/SEK

In the Forex market, to ascertain the relative value of one currency, we need an alternate currency to assess. The market value of CHF/SEK helps us to understand the power of SEK versus the CHF. So, if the trade rate for the pair CHF/SEK is 9.8418, it means to buy 1 CHF, we need 9.8418 SEK.

CHF/SEK Specification

Spread

Spread is the variable between the ask-bit price that is set at the exchanges. Below are the spread values of the CHF/SEK currency pair in both ECN & STP accounts. The spread charges for ECN and STP brokers for CHF/SEK are given below.

ECN: 45 | STP: 50

Fees

For every place, a trader enters the broker charges some fee for it. A trader must know that this fee is applicable on ECN accounts only and not on STP accounts.

Slippage

Slippage is the price variation between the trader’s execution and at which the broker implemented the price. The variance is due to high market volatility and slow execution speed.

Trading Range in CHF/SEK

A trading range is the interpretation of the volatility in CHF/SEK in numerous timeframes. The values are attained from the Average True Range indicator. One can use the table as a risk management tool to distinguish the profit/loss that a trader is possessed.

Below is a table explaining the minimum, average, and max volatility (pip movement) on a variety of timeframes.  

 Procedure to assess Pip Ranges

  1. Add the ATR indicator to your chart
  2. Set the period to 1
  3. Add a 200-period SMA to this indicator
  4. Shrink the chart so you can assess a large time period
  5. Select your desired timeframe
  6. Measure the floor level and set this value as the min
  7. Measure the level of the 200-period SMA and set this as the average
  8. Measure the peak levels and set this as Max.

CHF/SEK Cost as a Percent of the Trading Range

The entire cost of the trade varies based on the volatility of the market. So, we must find out the instances when the costs are less to place ourselves in the market. Below is a table explaining variation in the costs based on the change in the market volatility.

Note: The percentage costs represent the comparative scale of costs and not the fixed costs on the trade.

ECN Model Account

Spread = 45 | Slippage = 5 | Trading fee = 8

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 45 + 8= 58

STP Model Account

Spread = 50 | Slippage = 5 | Trading fee = 0

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 50 + 0 = 55

The Ideal way to trade the CHF/SEK

The two components a trader should consider while trading any security in the markets are – Volatility & Cost. With the help of the above tables, let us evaluate these two factors to trade the CHF/SEK ideally.

We can see that the pip difference is substantially high among the minimum volatility and the average volatility in every timeframe. For a day trader, the objective is to make revenue from the pip movement of the market. But, if there is barely any pip movement in the price, it becomes difficult to make profits out of the market. Therefore, it is perfect to trade when the volatility is at the average value.

The cost increases as the volatility decline, and they are inversely proportional to each other. In other words, highly volatile markets have the lowest costs. However, it is relatively risky to trade markets with higher volatility though the costs are low. Therefore, to maintain stability among the cost and volatility, traders may discover instances when the volatility is close to the average values or a little above it.

Categories
Crypto Guides

What Should You know About Web 3.0?

Introduction

World Wide Web, as we know, today has undergone a lot of changes. To dwell on Web 3.0, we need to understand what comprises Web 1.0 and Web 2.0. Web 1.0 is the first integration of the internet in the nineties. The visionary Sir Tim Berners-Lee led us to web 1.0. He wanted to decentralize the information so that there wouldn’t be any third-party intervention to access the information. Let’s look at the previous two versions briefly below:

Web 1.0

Web 1.0 comprises of mostly static information. It can be termed as a worldwide explosion of information or read the only web. Many big companies have come up with read-only websites. Many E-Commerce websites can be termed as Web 1.0 version as an example today. User interaction is very minimalistic.

Web 2.0

Web 2.0 can be termed as the web we know as of today. It is also said web of social media with many video streaming platforms. With the invention of Web 2.0, all of us got access to not only download available content but also to upload the content made by us. It has started becoming two ways, which started revolutionizing many business models. Let us look into Web 3.0 now.

Web 3.0

Web 3.0 is termed as the internet of value, and it has special significance in today’s world. We have already entered web 3.0, and it is not somewhere in the distant future. We consider it as the most advanced of all because it uses Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, and Blockchain technologies to offer us the best suit of experience.

One of the daily examples of Web 3.0 usage is when we shop on Amazon or any eCommerce website. Under a product we are looking to buy, there is another section which says people ‘who bought this has bought’ these items or what items people bought after buying this product. This is possible because of AI/ML. The user experience is maximized because of the suggestions.

Web 3.0 allows the acceleration of decentralized finance. We have business models available for many purposes rather than the one in the previous versions, where only big companies were used to make use of them for businesses. User privacy is hampered in a big way with the advent of so many apps and their usage.

Big multi corporations, even though they say that their laws pertaining to data privacy are simple, which prevents them from collecting data is not true in reality. With the advent of DAPPS with blockchain as the underlying technology, no user information can be collected and stored without users’ consent. Web 3.0 is a whole new experience without privacy concerns anymore.

The key technology in shaping up Web 3.0 is termed as blockchain. Blockchain provides the decentralized infrastructure for the internet, which fundamentally changes how the web operates. Blockchain allows a highly secure environment to exchange data generated by billions of IoT devices across the world. The decentralization of data allows users to control data rather than the big corporations controlling them single-handedly.

Conclusion

The big companies have treated us like products by collecting the information in the form of our tastes, need to target and sell their products in return to us. We lost control of our data privacy. Web 3.0 is essentially taking back the control from the corporations to our own hands using the decentralization of data using blockchain technology

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

What Does The ‘GDP Growth Rate’ Forex Driver Say About A Nation’s Economy?

Introduction

GDP Growth Rate is the most critical fundamental macroeconomic indicator for measuring economic prosperity. It is the number one macroeconomic indicator, and all other leading, coincident, and lagging indicators are all trying to predict what GDP Growth Rate would be. Our fundamental analysis revolves around predicting the growth rate before the GDP Growth Rate reveals it. It is the de facto measure of economic growth for all countries worldwide.

The importance of this economic indicator cannot be understated. GDP Growth Rate figures move the markets like no other, be it the currency or the stock markets. Hence, understanding the significance of this macroeconomic indicator is paramount for traders and investors.

What is the GDP Growth Rate?

Gross Domestic Product

It is a measure of the total economic output of a country. It is the total monetary value of all the goods and services produced within the country regardless of citizenship (resident or foreign national). The commonly used term “size of the economy” refers to this economic indicator. The US is the world’s largest economy, and it means it has the highest nominal GDP or highest economic output.

GDP Growth Rate

GDP Growth Rate is the measure of the rate of economic growth. In other words, it tells the pace at which an economy is growing. Generally, developing or emerging economies like China, India, or Japan will have a higher GDP growth rate than the mature or developed economies like the United States, United Kingdom, etc.

Mathematically, it is the percentage change of Gross Domestic Product with regards to the previous quarter. Although the GDP Growth Rate is reported quarterly, it is annualized for better analysis and comparison. It means that the quarterly GDP is scaled to a year to compare the Growth Rate with the previous year and understand whether the economy is growing faster or slower compared to the previous year. 

The other reason is that the GDP Growth Rate changes according to the business cycle and is usually very high during the last quarter, accounting for holiday shopping from consumers driving up the GDP. Hence, annualizing with seasonal adjustment makes it more accurate for analysis. The Real GDP Growth Rate accounts for inflation and is the most-watched GDP statistic.

The GDP Growth Rate is affected by the four components of the GDP:

A | Consumer Spending: It is also called Personal Consumption. It represents spending associated with the end-consumers or the general population. The Personal Consumption Expenditure reports, Retail Sales, are all different economic indicators representing Consumer Spending. It makes up about 69% of the total GDP in the United States.

B | Business Investment: Economic Output of the Business Sector makes up 18% of the total GDP in the United States. Business Surveys like Purchasing Manager’s Index, Industrial Production, etc. help assess the Business Sector’s contribution to economic output.

C | Government Spending: It involves all the expenditures incurred by the Government to maintain and stimulate economic growth and run its operations. In the United States, significant proportions of Government Spending go to Social Security, Medicare benefits, and Defense Spending. It accounts for 17% of the total economic output for the United States.

D | Net Exports: It is the difference between the total exports and imports. Revenue is generated from exports and depleted from imports. Developing economies will mostly have positive Net Exports as it is an integral part of their revenue generation. The United States has -5% Net Exports of the total GDP, meaning it is a net importer.

How can the GDP Growth Rate numbers be used for analysis?

When the economy is growing or expanding, the GDP Growth Rate is favorable. When the GDP Growth Rate is increasingly positive, businesses, jobs, and personal income all grow followingly. Developing economies grow faster than mature economies (as the developed economies are already more saturated compared to developing ones). It is generally standard for matured economies to peak out at 3-4% GDP Growth Rate and developing economies can have anywhere between 5-20%.

When the economy is slowing or contracting, businesses will halt new investments and plans to avoid deflation. New hiring is also postponed; people will save more than spend to prepare for the oncoming deflationary conditions. The economy comes to a slowdown. The Government intervenes through fiscal and monetary levers to stimulate economic growth and bring it back to normal conditions and maintain the growth rate. Overall, the GDP growth rate tells us the economy’s health.

Impact on Currency

The GDP is a lagging macroeconomic indicator that has high-impact on the market volatility. Investors’ decisions are based on the GDP growth rate. It is a proportional indicator. High GDP Growth Rates are suitable for the economy overall and vice-versa.

Though it is a lagging indicator, it has many implications for the economy. It is the most extensive measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy’s health. GDP Growth Rate comparisons amongst different economies are vital for currency markets, and hence, it has a very high impact on the currency market.

Economic Reports

For the United States, the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases quarterly GDP Growth Rate figures on its official website every quarter. The release schedule is already mentioned on the website and is generally released one month after the quarter ends. 

Major international organizations like the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, OECD, etc. actively maintain track of most countries on their official website: 

Sources of GDP Growth Rate

For the United States, the BEA reports are available here.

The St. Louis FRED keeps track of all the GDP and its related components in one place on its official website. You can find that information in the sources mentioned below.  

GDP & GNP – FRED 

GDP Growth Rate – World Bank

GDP Growth Rate – IMF

Impact of the “GDP Growth Rate” news release on the Forex market

In the previous section of the article, we explained the GDP Growth Rate fundamental indicator and saw how it could be used for gauging the strength of an economy. The GDP Growth Rate indicates how quickly or slowly the economy is growing or shrinking.

It is driven by four components of GDP, the largest being personal consumption expenditures. But economists prefer using real GDP when measuring growth because it is inflation-adjusted. When the economy is improving, the GDP Growth Rate is favorable. If it is contracting, businesses hold off investing in new technologies. If GDP Growth Rate turns, then the country’s economy is in a recession.

In the following section, we will analyze India’s GDP Growth data and observe the change in volatility due to the news announcement. The below image shows the fourth quarter GDP Growth data of India, where there has been a fall in the value compared to the previous quarter. The most critical and highest contributor to the growth of the Indian economy is services. Let us find out the reaction of the market to this data.  

USD/INR | Before the announcement:

We shall start with the USD/INR currency pair to study the impact of GDP Growth Rate on the Indian Rupee. The above image shows the ‘Daily’ time-frame chart of the currency before the news announcement, where we see that the market is moving within a ‘range’ and currently the price seems to have broken out of the ‘range.’ The volatility is high on the upside, indicating that the Indian Rupee is weakening. Depending on the GDP Growth Rate data, we will take a suitable position.  

USD/INR | After the announcement:

After the news announcement, we see a sudden rise in the volatility to the upside. The price moves higher initially, but selling pressure from the top makes the ‘news candle’ to close with a wick on the top. This was a result of the harmful GDP Growth data where there was a reduction in the Growth Rate from last quarter.   

INR/JPY | Before the announcement:

INR/JPY | After the announcement:

The above images represent the INR/JPY currency pair, where it is clear from the first image that the price was moving in a ‘range’ before the announcement, and presently it has broken the ‘support’ with a lot of strength. This is the first sign of weakness in the Indian Rupee that could probably extend. If the price remains below the moving average, a ‘sell’ trade can be initiated.

After the news announcement, the price crashes lower but immediately gets reversed, and the ‘news candle’ closes with a wick on the bottom. The initial reaction was a result of the weak GDP Growth Rate, which lead to the further weakening of the currency. Volatility increased to the downside due to the news announcement, which was on expected lines.

AUD/INR | Before the announcement:

AUD/INR | After the announcement:

The above images are that of AUD/INR currency, where we see before the news announcement, the market is in a downtrend, and currently, the price is at its lowest point. Technically, we should be looking to sell the currency pair after a price retracement to the nearest’ resistance’ level or an appropriate Fibonacci ratio. Therefore, depending on the volatility change due to the news release, we will take a pair.

After the news announcement, the volatility emerges to the upside, and we see a sudden rise in the price that also goes above the moving average. This was a result of the weak GDP Growth Rate that made traders to ‘long’ in the currency pair by selling Indian Rupees. The news release hurts the currency where the weakness persists for a while, but later, the downtrend continues.

We hope you understood the concept of “GDP Growth Rate” and its impact on the Forex price charts after its news release. All the best. Cheers!

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Reversal Breakouts Offer a Lot

The trend is traders’ friend. Breakout is traders’ best friend. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H1 breakout, which makes a reversal even in the daily chart. Thus, the price heads towards the breakout direction with good momentum ending up offering an excellent reward. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price makes a strong bearish move and finds its support. Upon producing a bullish engulfing candle, the price heads towards the North at a moderate pace. The price does not make a breakout at the last swing high. Thus, the chart is still bearish biased. Please note, the H1 chart does not show, but the daily trend has been bearish in this chart.

The chart shows that one of the candles breaches through the last swing high, closing well above the level. The last candle comes out as a bullish candle as well. It confirms the breakout. The buyers may wait for the price to consolidate and get a bullish reversal candle to go long in the pair.

The last two candles come out as bearish candles. The spinning top closes within the level of support. If the level produces a bullish engulfing candle, the buyers may go long in the pair.

The last candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle closing well above consolidation resistance. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the candle closes by setting stop loss below the level of support and by setting take profit with 1R.

The price heads towards the North with extreme bullish momentum. The way the chart looks, it seems it may continue its journey for a while. The chart shows that the buyers achieve their target within the next two candles after triggering the entry. Let us proceed to the following chart to see what the price does.

The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. It is produced at the second rejection as well. This means the chart forms a double top here. A double top resistance forming a bearish engulfing candle suggests that the price may make a bearish move here. However, if we calculate the length of the bullish move, it ends up being a very good one. This is what usually happens when the price makes a breakout at the last daily candle’s highest high when the daily chart is bearish and if the breakout takes place at the lowest low when the daily trend is bullish. Make sure the price consolidates and produces a strong reversal candle at the breakout level. If that happens, it often ends up offering an excellent reward in the end.

Categories
Candlestick patterns

Trading with Confidence Using Candlestick Patterns

Introduction

Previously, we had discussed how a group of different candlestick formations provides the necessary information to comprehend the market sentiment and evaluate the probability of a trend reversal, which could help traders in joining the start of the new trend. 

In this educational article, we’ll review how candlestick formations can be used to establish a trading strategy and which patterns could bring more confidence in the trading setups.

The Candlestick Patterns’ Usefulness

Candlestick patterns arise as a result of the price action at a determined range of time. Independently of the timeframe under visualization, e.g., weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute timeframe, the price never is a lagging indicator.  Furthermore, candlestick patterns tend to appear in every market and timeframe.

Trading Signals with Candlesticks Patterns

There exist a set of candlestick patterns that frequently appears in the financial markets across time, although the technical trader must consider the market context before consider if the candlestick represents a continuation or a reversion of the trend.

Hammer and Hanging Man

The hammer characterizes itself by presenting a large shadow and a small body located near the high of the day. When this pattern appears at the end of a bearish trend, it tends to be a bullish reversal signal.

When a hammer pattern shows up after a substantial descent, the technical trader may place a buy position on the next trading bar above the high of that hammer, placing its stop-loss below the low of the last day.

On the opposite side, the hanging man pattern arises when an uptrend ends. The sell setup will take place in the next session candle using the low of the hanging man candle as entry level, with a stop-loss above its high.

Engulfing Candlestick Pattern

The engulfing pattern is a formation constituted by two candles. The bullish engulfing pattern will occur at the end of a downtrend. During the trading session, the action takes place in a wide range. The price opens near the low of the day and closes near the high of the day, erasing the losses of previous trading session or sessions.

A bullish position will take place at the high of the previous day, with a stop-loss located below the low of the last trading session. A bearish position will occur at the low of the previous trading session, with a stop-loss order placed above the highest level of the engulfing candle.

Harami Pattern

The harami pattern tends to indicate the change of the trend only when it appears at the end of a bull or bear leg. The Harami is the weakest form of a reversal pattern. 

A buy position will trigger if the price breaks and closes above the high of the day of the narrow range candle during the next trading session, the stop loss is to be placed below the low of the session in progress.

A sell position will occur if the price breaks and closes below the narrow range candle, and its stop-loss may be located above the highest level of the harami candle.

Morning Star and Evening Star Pattern

Both the morning star as the evening star pattern are formations that hold three candlesticks for its configuration.

The Morning star pattern is a bullish trend formation, which will activate a buy position above the high of the last trading session, with its stop-loss below the low of the previous day or candle.

The evening star pattern is a bearish formation, which will trigger a sell position below the third candle of the pattern, its stop-loss placed above the high of the last trading session.

Conclusions

In this educational article, we presented a group of candlestick patterns, which could increase the confidence in an entry setup. However, although the formation provides an entry-level and stop-loss, these formations don’t identify a profit target level. This context could not ensure the technical trader a risk to reward ratio at least one to one, reducing the profitability of any candlestick pattern.

To reduce this variability on the expected results, we remark the Fischer and Fischer conclusions; they unveil the advantage of the use of candlestick formations compared to bar charts, stating that candlesticks are easier to understand and most useful for short-term traders.

Finally, they conclude that the most reliable candlestick formations are the engulfing pattern, hammer, and hanging man. In this context, the technical trader should consider that before ramping up a trading strategy based on candlestick formations, it’s recommended to evaluate its performance, developing a statistical backtest before jumping in the real-market.

Suggested Readings

  • Fischer, R., Fischer J.; Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Trading Tools; John Wiley & Sons; 1st Edition (2003).
Categories
Forex Assets

Analyzing The ‘CHF/AED’ Forex Exotic Pair

Introduction

CHF/AED is the short form for the Swiss Franc against the United Arab Emirates Dirham. It is considered an exotic currency pair. Currencies are always traded in pairs in the Forex market. The main currency in the pair is considered the base currency, while the sequential one is the quote currency.

Understanding CHF/AED

The market value of CHF/AED determines the value of AED required to buy one Swiss Franc. It is priced as 1 CHF per X AED. Hence, if the market price of this pair is 3.8835, these many United Arab Emirates Dirham units are necessary to buy one CHF.

Spread

The spread is the distinction between the ask-bid price. Mostly, these two prices are set by the stockbrokers. The gap between the pip values is through which brokers generate revenue. Below are the ECN & STP Spread values of CHF/AED pair.

ECN: 19 pips | STP: 24 pips

Fees

The fee is the minimum commission you pay to the broker on every single spot you open. There is no fee to be paid on STP accounts, but a few additional pips on ECN accounts.

Slippage

Slippage is the distinction between the price at which the trader implemented the trade and the original price he got from the broker – this changes based on the volatility of the market and the broker’s implementation speed.

Trading Range in CHF/AED

The trading range table will help you determine the amount of money that you will win or lose in every timeframe. This table signifies the minimum, average, and maximum pip movement in a currency pair.

Procedure to assess Pip Ranges

  1. Add the ATR indicator to your chart
  2. Set the period to 1
  3. Add a 200-period SMA to this indicator
  4. Shrink the chart so you can assess a large time period
  5. Select your desired timeframe
  6. Measure the floor level and set this value as the min
  7. Measure the level of the 200-period SMA and set this as the average
  8. Measure the peak levels and set this as Max.

CHF/AED Cost as a Percent of the Trading Range

The price of the trade alters based on the volatility of the market. Hence, the total cost comprises slippage and spreads, excluding from the trading fee. Below is the analysis of the cost difference in terms of percentages.

ECN Model Account

Spread = 19 | Slippage = 5 |Trading fee = 8

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 19 + 8 = 32 

STP Model Account

Spread = 24 | Slippage = 5 | Trading fee = 0

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 5 + 24 + 0 = 29

Trading the CHF/AED

The CHF/AED is not a very volatile pair. For example, the average pip movement on the 1H timeframe is only 42 pips. If the volatility is more significant, then the cost of the trade is low. Nevertheless, it involves a higher risk to trade highly volatile markets.

Also, the higher/lesser the proportions, the greater/smaller are the costs on the trade. We can then determine that the costs are higher for low volatile markets and high for highly volatile markets.

To reduce your risk, it is recommended to trade when the volatility is around the minimum values. The volatility here is low, and the costs are slightly high, corresponding to the average and the maximum values. But, if the priority is towards reducing costs, you could trade when the volatility of the market is near the maximum values.

Benefits on Limit orders

For orders that are implemented as market orders, there is slippage applied to the trade. But, with limit orders, there is no slippage valid. Only the spread and the trading fees will be accounted for estimating the total costs. Therefore, this will bring down the cost noticeably.

STP Model Account (Limit Orders)

Spread = 24 | Slippage = 0 | Trading fee = 0

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 0 + 24 + 0 = 24

Categories
Crypto Guides

How to Audit a Smart Contract?

Introduction

Smart contracts are a self-executing piece of code, executable when certain predefined conditions are met. Ethereum enabled the birth of smart contracts. Since these contracts are based on blockchain technology, they cannot be changed once implemented.

Hence it is crucial to test them before deploying them accurately, and timely audits ensure the bug is fixed. In our previous articles, we have seen the DAO attack on the Ethereum platform due to which millions of dollars were lost. The Ethereum platform had to be hard forked to mitigate the loss henceforth.

Generally, audits are conducted to check for bug fixes. The audit is targeted in such a way to check for already known targets based on the experience of previous audits. Hence let us see below what kind of smart contract attacks there are.

Smart contract attacks

Race Conditions

Race conditions are a case where events don’t occur in an intended order. It is often required to call external contracts in smart contracts, and thus the possibility of race conditions is very high.

Reentrancy

This is a kind of race condition where one function is repeatedly called before the first function’s invocation is completed. This means making the first function recursive, the exact thing which happened in the DAO attack.

Transaction Ordering Dependence

This is yet another type of race condition where the manipulations can be done in terms of transaction orders. The transactions order can be manipulated and cheated at the expense of other users.

These are some of the types of smart contracts attacks. Let us see below the detailed step by step process of auditing a smart contract.

Steps to audit a smart contract

1️⃣ As in any audit process, the auditing company/group should clarify who they are and their authority to conduct the audit and procedures to be followed, if possible, from a legal perspective.

2️⃣ Audits are conducted on a deployed smart contract or a smart contract ready to be deployed in a blockchain. It is essential that a smart contract without any bugs is to be implemented.

3️⃣ A legal disclaimer, as such, the audit doesn’t provide any legal guarantee but fosters the discussion about the smart contracts bugs, if any, to fix them.

4️⃣ Attacks will be conducted as detailed above and see if they can be successfully implemented on the smart contract being audited.

5️⃣ Report the vulnerabilities and bugs if found any. Some may not seem like a potential threat right now, but they may turn out to be a serious flaw later; they have to be recognized and taken care of.

6️⃣ Contract complexity should be checked. Often complexity leads to mistakes, and the complex code should be thoroughly checked for any potential bugs.

7️⃣ Check how the contract responds to a bug or vulnerability. Contracts behavior in such times is essential to check if there will be any money loss, or the contract execution will stop showing potential issues is to be noted down.

8️⃣ All the security patches should be thoroughly updated so that all the libraries are up to date. The update should act like preventive maintenance.

The steps outlined above are very general in purpose in auditing a smart contract. Depending on the language we use for a smart contract, various steps can be followed. In any language used, these are the necessary steps one can follow before moving further with the in-depth analysis.

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

How The New Announcement Of ‘GDP Per Capita’ Indicator Affects The Forex Market?

Introduction

GDP per capita is the primary economic indicator in macroeconomics to measure the standard of living and economic prosperity. While GDP indicates the economy’s size in terms of economic output, it does not reveal for what populace the output is divided. Hence, GDP per Capita is more suited to assess the wealthiness of the country’s population. 

Every nation strives to improve its standard-of-living by increasing the wealth of the population beyond just meeting daily needs. Hence, GDP per Capita becomes an important economic indicator for countries’ comparison of how well-off their people are.

What is the GDP per Capita?

GDP 

GDP is the measure of a country’s total economic output. It is the total monetary value of all the goods and services produced within the country regardless of citizenship (resident or foreign national). It is the market value of all the finished goods and services within a nation’s geographical borders for a given period. The period is generally a quarter (3 months) or a year. The commonly used term “size of the economy” refers to this economic indicator. The USA is the world’s largest economy, and it means it has the highest nominal GDP or highest economic output.

GDP Per Capita

It is a metric that is obtained by dividing a country’s GDP by its population count. Here, “per Capita” translates to “per average head” or “for one individual.” Hence, GDP per Capita is the measure of economic output per person. 

If we want to compare GDP per Capita amongst countries, we use the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Through PPP measure, we can compare countries on equal terms, as many countries have different currencies, comparing economic output becomes difficult. Hence PPP measures everything in the United States dollar terms, thus creating a base standard for comparison.

How can the GDP per Capita numbers be used for analysis?

Since GDP is the total economic output, countries with lower economic output than other countries may not necessarily be poorer. On the contrary, it could be wealthier. For example, Qatar has only 19 billion US dollars GDP in comparison to the USA, which has 20.54 trillion US dollars. But Qatar is the number one ranked the country as per GDP per Capita. It has 126,898 US Dollars compared to the United States that has only 62,794 US Dollars. Hence, the people of Qatar are wealthier than those in the United States. 

Here, we have to understand GDP per Capita is a function of the population. Higher population results in higher GDP prints but also distributes the GDP amongst more people. Qatar is a prosperous country with sizeable natural oil resources, which is not a labor-intensive task to extract and export. Hence, the high GDP through Crude Oil exports is divided amongst a few populace of 2.7 million people compared to the United States 328 million. The USA is the third most populous country after China and India.

Overall, small and prosperous countries and developed industrial nations tend to have high GDP per Capita. The wealthiest and most impoverished countries are also assessed based on the GDP per Capita as a primary metric.

The income per capita and GDP per Capita are the two most common tools for measuring economic wealth and prosperity. GDP per capita is more popular and widely used as it is more regularly tracked and maintained on a global scale by most countries. It, in turn, helps in ease of calculation, usage, and comparison amongst countries.

It tells us how much economic output is attributed to a citizen. Hence, it is a measure of national wealth. On the other hand, it can also tell us the economic productivity of the people. Productive and talented groups of people will contribute more value to the GDP prints.

GDP per capita is used alongside GDP and other GDP related metrics like the GDP Growth Rate, Real GDP, by policymakers to assess the economic health and take necessary actions to drive the economy in the right direction. When the GDP prints are consequently decreasing for two quarters, Central Authorities intervene through monetary and fiscal levers to counter deflation and stimulate economic growth through inflationary pressures. 

GDP metrics are closely watched by investors (domestic and foreign alike) to make investment decisions. Declining GDP holds off investments from investors, due to decreased confidence and vice-versa.

Impact on Currency

GDP metrics are used in a variety of ways by a variety of people. Economists and Central Authorities primarily use GDP per Capita to understand the economic wellbeing of its people. GDP Growth Rate is primarily used by Traders, Business people, and Investors to make business decisions.

GDP per capita would likely be more useful for Policymakers, and Business people. Business people can use this as a wealth metric and consequently decide the products that would suit the budget of people. The higher the wealth of the individual citizen, the costlier products and services they can afford. Hence, business decisions can also be impacted.

It is a proportional high impact indicator. Fluctuations in the GDP metrics bring a lot of volatility in currency markets. Falling GDP metrics are terrible for the economy, its businesses, consumers, and the Government. GDP impacts everyone. Hence, Central Authorities are committed to maintaining GDP Growth and take the necessary actions to avoid deflation. Businesses also hold off investment decisions in the stagnating economy and vice-versa.

Higher GDP per Capita is good for the currency and the economy and vice-versa. Although for trading decisions, GDP Growth Rate serves as a more relevant metric for comparisons amongst different currency countries. 

Economic Reports

For the United States, the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases quarterly GDP figures from which we can obtain our statistics on its official website every quarter. The release schedule is already mentioned on the website and is generally released one month after the quarter ends. 

Major international organizations like the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, OECD, etc. actively maintain track of GDP figures of most countries on their official website:

Sources of GDP per Capita

For the United States, the BEA reports are available here.

The St. Louis FRED keeps track of all the GDP and its related components in one place on its official website. You can find this information in the below-mentioned sources. 

GDP & GNP – FREGDP per Capita

Real GDP per Capita – FRED

GDP per Capita – World Bank

Impact of the “GDP per Capita” news release on the Forex market

In the above section of the article, we saw the definition of GDP Per Capita and understood how it differs from the nominal GDP. Per Capita GDP is calculated by dividing GDP over the entire population of the country. GDP Per Capita is a universal measure used by most economists to gauge the prosperity of nations.

It provides insight into the economic prosperity and economic development across the globe. Countries with high technological progress see a significant increase in GDP Per Capita. It is also a significant indicator of comparing the economic growth between the two countries. GDP Per Capita if often analyzed alongside GDP. GDP Per Capita considers both the GDP and its population.   

In today’s lesson, we will analyze the impact of GDP on the value of the currency and observe the variation in volatility due to the news announcement. In this regard, we have collected the year-on-year GDP of Japan, where the below image shows the GDP measured in the last fiscal year. Let us find out the reaction of the market to this data.

USD/JPY | Before the announcement:

We shall start with the USD/JPY currency pair to observe the impact of GDP data on the Japanese Yen. We can see in the earlier image that the market is in a downtrend with a large bearish candle visible a few minutes before the news release. As the market is very bearish, we will look to the currency pair after a price retracement to a technically significant level. At this point, we cannot take any position in the market. 

USD/JPY | After the announcement:

After the news announcement, we see that the price moves lower, resulting in further strengthening of the Japanese Yen. As the GDP data was very close to market expectations, traders comprehended this data to be positive for the economy and bought Japanese yen by selling the currency pair. In terms of positioning ourselves in the market, once should not go ‘short’ in the market soon after the news release as this would mean chasing the market, which is very risky.     

NZD/JPY | Before the announcement:

NZD/JPY | After the announcement:

The above images represent the NZD/JPY currency pair, where we see that the market has crashed recently, and the price is at the same level since then. This means there is extreme optimism in the market concerning the Japanese Yen. As the price is meager, we need a pullback before we can take a ‘short’ trade in the currency pair. Until then, we will watch the impact of GDP on the currency.

After the news announcement, the volatility expands on the downside, and the price sharply lower. The market reacted positively to the GDP data since it was measured to be nearly the same as before. This proved to be bullish for the Japanese Yen, where traders bought the currency and took the price lower.   

EUR/JPY | Before the announcement:

EUR/JPY | After the announcement:

The above images are that of EUR/JPY currency pair where we see that again, the market is in a downtrend, but in this pair, we notice a strong bullish candle from the lowest point, which has taken the price higher. This means the Japanese Yen is not as bullish as it was in the above two pairs. Since the market is not expecting a fall in the GDP, aggressive traders can take a ‘short’ position with a strict stop loss.

After the news announcement, the price moves lower and closes with a large bearish candle. This increases the volatility to the downside and strengthens the Japanese yen. Therefore, it clear that the GDP data had a hugely positive impact on all the currency pairs.    

We hope you understood the concept of ‘GDP per Capita’ and how the Forex price charts get affected after its news release. All the best. Cheers!

Categories
Crypto Daily Topic

What’s a Whitepaper and How Can You Write One? 

If you have been in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space for some time, then you most certainly must have heard of the term whitepaper. It is the reference document that we run to when we want to find out what a crypto project is about. It’s the kind of document Bitcoin Founder Satoshi Nakamoto wrote when he introduced the concept of cryptocurrency and blockchain to the world.

Within the last decade, we have had a new crypto project launched almost every week. What the majority of these projects have in common is a white paper that was used to reel in investors. Even the most absurd cryptos like the Useless Ethereum Token raised significant amounts of money. While it might not have been a whitepaper, it still outlined the product details and managed to net a jaw-dropping $300k

In this guide, we explain the process of writing a white paper, highlighting all the pointers needed to get you started. But first, what’s a whitepaper, and why’s it a big deal? 

What’s a Whitepaper? 

According to Investopedia, “a whitepaper is an informational document usually issued by a company or not-for-profit organization to promote or highlight the features of a solution, product or service. White papers are often written as sales and marketing documents used to entice or persuade potential customers to learn more about or purchase a particular product, service, technology, or methodology.”

The term white paper can be traced back to 1922. Many people point to the British government’s Churchill White Paper as the earliest form of a whitepaper. These have since seen a dramatic rise in usage within the last decade in the midst of the cryptocurrency craze as upcoming projects issue white papers in a bid to attract investors.

Why are Whitepapers Important? 

To qualify the importance that whitepapers have to come to embody, let’s look at a 2013 study by Eccolo Media. The study sought to establish the effectiveness of various marketing strategies. These were some of the conclusions of the research: 

  • 49% of consumers had used a whitepaper to make a tech purchase decision
  • Whitepapers trumped case studies, success stories, product brochures, blog articles, social content implementation scenarios, infographics, e-newsletters guides, and media files to be the most influential type of content marketing, 
  • Whitepapers were the most effective form of content during the pre-sale period when investors are not aware of your product
  • 7 out of 10 respondents said it was important or very important to continue receiving information about a product after purchase. Whitepapers fit this bill the best followed by case studies and tech guides

Perhaps the most famous whitepaper so far is Satoshi Nakamoto’s. In his whitepaper:” Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” he introduced Bitcoin, the first and most successful cryptocurrency to the world.

This white paper also paved the way for an incredibly successful industry but completely changed how we view money. That whitepaper introduced us to the revolutionary technology known as the blockchain. It essentially marked the beginning of a new era. 

How to Write a White Paper

Before you even start writing the paper, you’re going to need to do some homework. The first step, like with all kinds of writing, is conducting thorough research. You’ll then need to read other white papers and compare them with what you have. And finally, you’ll need to put everything together. 

#.1 Research

A well-researched whitepaper is authoritative. People respect well-researched Information. For every problem that you are trying to solve, you need to talk about what previous attempts have accomplished and/or come short of. Of course, you’ll need to credit the original sources later on. This will lend you more credibility. 

#2. Read Other Whitepapers

In the world of crypto, there’s always the likelihood that someone is working on an idea similar to yours. In light of this, you’ll want to read other whitepapers to avoid duplication and to identify the places where you can really showcase your project’s unique selling points. Additionally, it might help to look at the particularly great whitepapers that came before yours. Bitcoin and Ethereum whitepapers are great starting points.  

#3. Organize

After research, everything will possibly be muddled together. This is where you structure your information so it will be easy to use during the writing process. 

#4. Identify Your Audience

You need to single out your target audience. What type of audience are you looking at? Are they of a particular age group? Are they located in a particular geographical area? Do they have particular interests? What kind of people would be interested in your project? Once you identify your target audience, you’ll be able to package your information in a manner that’s appealing to them. 

How To Structure Your Whitepaper

After you’ve done your research on what to include in your whitepaper and identified your target audience, now’s the time to start creating your whitepaper. There’s no standard structure on how to format a whitepaper. Nevertheless, any whitepaper needs to answer the following questions: 

  • What’s the aim of the project? 
  • Can its model make money?
  • What problems will it solve?
  • What differentiates it from competitors? What’s its unique selling point?
  • How do you plan to utilize the raised funds?
  • What will be the utility of the project’s token?
  • Does the project need a blockchain?
  • Who’s on the team, and what are their credentials?
  • Does the project have a working model already, or is it still in the theoretical stage right now?

While that’s a general guide, there are some sections that any whitepaper must outline. Let’s get a look below: 

#1. Headline and Abstract

This section is supposed to draw in readers, investors, and all other interested parties. An abstract is a snapshot of what your whitepaper is all about. While it should be short, it should give readers the reason to keep reading. 

#2. Introduction

Next is the introduction. Bear in mind that you’re still trying to appeal to the reader, which is why you need to pack a lot of relevant info, yet just briefly, in this section. Let your readers know why the world needs this project right now. What economic, social, or political need will it fill? 

#3. The Problem, Solution, and Product Description

This section sheds light on the problem you want to solve with your project and the solution that you’re proposing. It will make or break your whitepaper. As such, you need to go all in. Take time and explain the technical details of your product very clearly. Include graphics where possible. 

You need to use a formal and almost academic tone. Further, be factual and back up every single claim with a reference.

#4. Token Economics

Explain to investors what will be the utility of your project’s token. Explain as clearly as possible the role of the token in the ecosystem. Remember, the more utility it will have, the more value it will have. This is because if you don’t clearly define your token, investors will not expect much out of it.

As a result, when the market drops, they’ll quickly drop it for more valuable tokens. You need to give people reason to hold on to your token, regardless of the nature of the markets. In other words, people should be able to see the long-term value of your token.

#5. Token Usage Guidelines 

Since you’re trying to raise money, it’s only necessary that you explain to investors where their money is going. This is especially important considering the prevalence of scams in the ICO and crypto arena. For this reason, you owe your potential investors a detailed plan as to how you’re planning to spend the money. 

#6. Development Roadmap

The roadmap is the timeline within which your team intends to accomplish the different project milestones. A roadmap is important because it enables investors to have realistic expectations of the project. Plus, a roadmap makes it easier to monitor the progress, and it helps keep your team accountable. 

Ideally, a roadmap should include the milestones that you intend to achieve for the next 12 to 24 months, and it should at least include a beta-launch. If some tasks in the roadmap have already been accomplished, be sure to state that clearly as that will score major points with investors.

#7. Project Team Members

It’s very important to talk about the team on your project. Most investors are looking to see the credibility of the founders/employees/advisors. While some project developers have gone completely anonymous and have succeeded, nevertheless, this success may not always replicate for every occasion. The bigger part of the white paper is all technical, so why not add some human touch by talking about people? Photos and a short biography for the team members go a long way.

Designing Your Whitepaper

Now that you know what should go into your whitepaper, how you present it is just as important. One of the things you to consider is the cover page. A cover page should be clean, crisp, and professional. You’ll also want to incorporate images throughout the document to provide relief and a visual representation of what you’re talking about. 

Some whitepapers even break with the traditional-looking document and jazz the whole thing up. The Ardor whitepaper is a perfect example of this. 

Where to Post the Whitepaper

Over the years, many projects have posted their whitepaper on Bitcoin-related forums, on GitHub, or their website. However, it’s probably best to post it on the website where people can directly find it. Of course, you can always post the link to it on various sites when promoting your project. 

About White Paper Templates 

Just like with any official document, you’re likely to find numerous white paper templates on the web. And with the proliferation of ICOs everywhere, it’s not uncommon to see project managers hiring professionals to write for them.

However, relying on such templates or freelancing services to create your white paper is not recommended. If you want a unique and quality whitepaper, you need to dedicate time to it. Remember that the whitepaper is a medium through which you’re trying to attract your investors, and a subpar document will simply not cut it.

Pitfalls to Avoid When Creating a White Paper 

When writing a white paper, there are some common pitfalls you will want to avoid. Some are common to writing, while others are specifically related to the niche. These include:

  • Spelling mistakes – These are a complete no-no. They reflect poorly on your professionalism and your seriousness about the project. Utilize a tool like Grammarly and iron these out.
  • Subjective opinions and arguments – Remain objective about the claims and perceptions that you make.
  • Overambition – This is when a white paper lists overblown goals with little or no backing. If you say that you are going to achieve a particular goal, then illustrate how you are going to do it. 
  • Tokens – Does your token have a clear utility? If not, better get back to the drawing board and make your token one that investors will readily invest in.
  • Team – Any serious investor will want to check up on who your team members are. You want to make sure all your team members are up to the task.
  • Unrealistic Roadmap – This is when a whitepaper overstates what it’s going to achieve in an unrealistically short amount of time.
  • Formatting Mistakes – This could be images without a uniform resolution. It could also be an inconsistent font or layout. 

Final Words 

Writing a whitepaper can be daunting, but if you follow these guidelines, you’ll find it might be easier than you ever thought. When you get as much background information as you can, get a look at other whitepapers, and organize your thoughts, you are on the way to writing a winning one and getting readers hooked. Since your goal is to raise money for your project, you want to get this right. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

Everything You Should Know About ‘GDP Per Capita PPP’ Macro Economic Indicator

Introduction

GDP per Capita PPP is the popular macroeconomic indicator for comparing economic prosperity and wellbeing of its citizens amongst countries, especially those with different currencies. As currencies can be managed lower or higher, GDP per Capita PPP is the most commonly used metric by economists for comparison and analysis.

GDP and its related metrics are the most important economic indicators for macroeconomic analysis, especially for traders’ fundamental analysis. Hence, it is imperative to understand GDP per Capita PPP to better understand relative economic prosperity in the international market place.

What is GDP Per Capita PPP?

GDP

Gross Domestic Product helps in measuring a country’s total economic output. It is the total monetary value of all the goods and services produced within the country regardless of citizenship (resident or foreign national).

It is the market value of all the finished goods and services within a nation’s geographical borders for a given period. The period is generally a quarter (3 months) or a year.

The commonly used term “size of the economy” refers to this economic indicator. The USA has the world’s largest economy, and it means it has the highest nominal GDP or highest economic output.

GDP Per Capita

It is a metric obtained by dividing a country’s GDP by its population count. Here, “per Capita” translates to “per average head” or “for one individual.” Hence, GDP per Capita is the measure of economic output per person. It tells us how much economic output is attributed to a citizen. Hence, it is a measure of national wealth. On the other hand, it can also tell us the economic productivity of the people.

Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)

It is an economic theory that compares different countries’ purchasing power through a basket of goods common in both countries. By evaluating the cost of a particular good in both countries, the PPP is calculated. For example, comparing the price of 1 gallon of milk in two countries would help us know the purchasing power parity. Parity means a state of being equal, and all things being equal, how much currency is required to procure identical goods in both countries helps understand the purchasing power of that country.

It measures how much a particular set of goods and services cost in each country, instead of the exchange rates that can be manipulated by speculative trading, or central authorities’ intervention.

A wide range of goods and services are taken into account to develop the PPP, and hence the process is complicated, but once generated, the PPP remains mostly constant in the long run.

GDP Per Capita PPP

If we want to compare GDP per Capita amongst countries, we use the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Through PPP measure, we can compare countries on equal terms, as many countries have different currencies, comparing economic output becomes difficult. Hence PPP measures everything in the United States dollar terms, thus creating a base standard for comparison.

How can the GDP per Capita PPP numbers be used for analysis?

Using nominal GDP values for economic growth comparisons would be misleading as currencies are often manipulated in favor of countries by the governing agencies. For example, China frequently devaluates currencies to increase their income through exports and offer their goods at a competitive price in the international markets.

Hence, using the GDP per Capita PPP is a more sensible approach as PPP values stay stable over more extended time frames and better understand and analyze economies with different currencies. The below table proves our above analysis.

It is important to understand we use PPP for making a fair comparison, but PPP is not perfect, it has the following limitations:

Taxes: Tax policies differ from country to country and consequently affects the price of goods and services, thereby making the PPP skewed.

Transportation: Goods need not be available across the planet at the same level. The import of goods from the manufacturing site would add to the prices of the goods differently to different countries. 

Tariffs: Governments can intervene to impose tariff barriers for economic reasons like protecting domestic businesses, which may again impact the imported product prices, making it costlier in the concerned country.

Non-Traded Services: Cost of Labor, utility, or equipment costs variation can also induce price differences in the reference goods.

Market Competition: Popularity in particular areas can give companies an edge and enable them to price higher than in other countries. Established reputation can change prices, which varies from its market presence duration. On the international scale, the popularity of a good is not the same across all economies and hence can skew prices.

All the above factors limit PPP in some ways, but PPP is still better than nominal GDP comparisons. So, GDP per Capita PPP may not be perfect, but currently, there is no better metric for economic prosperity comparisons amongst countries.

Impact on Currency

GDP metrics are used in a variety of ways by a variety of people. Economists and Central Authorities primarily use GDP per Capita PPP to understand its people’s economic wellbeing in contrast to other economies. GDP Growth Rate is primarily used by Traders, Business people, and Investors to make business decisions.

GDP per Capita PPP would likely be more useful for Policymakers, and Business people. Business people can use this as a wealth metric and consequently decide the products to suit the budget of people. The higher the wealth of the individual citizen, the costlier products and services they can afford. Hence, business decisions can also be impacted.

The PPP value can be used to base exchange rate fluctuations and identify signs of strengthening or weakening of currencies. 

It is a proportional high impact indicator. Higher GDP per Capita PPP is good for the currency and the economy and vice-versa. Although for trading decisions, GDP Growth Rate serves as a more relevant metric for comparisons amongst different currency countries. Also, GDP per Capita PPP is a yearly statistic and is more relevant for long term investment decisions than short-term currency trading decisions.

Economic Reports

Major international organizations like the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, OECD, etc. actively maintain track of most countries’ GDP figures on their official website. The World Bank maintains the GDP per Capita PPP for most countries. Every three years, the World Bank announces a report comparing the productivity and growth of different countries based on PPP. It is a yearly data.

Sources of GDP per Capita PPP

GDP per Capita PPP – World Bank

GDP per Capita PPP – CIA World Factbook

GDP per Capita PPP – the United States – FRED

We can find a consolidated list of the same here as well.

Impact of the ‘GDP Per Capita PPP’ news release on the price charts 

In the previous section of the article, we understood the definition of GDP based on PPP and how it is different from the nominal GDP. PPP based GDP is converted to international dollars using purchasing power parity rates and divided by the total population. 

Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) between two countries, X and Y, is the ratio of several units from country X’s currency required to purchase in country X. The same quantity of an excellent/service as one unit of country Y’s currency will purchase in country Y. It can be used mostly to compare inflation in two and, to some extent, the economic growth. But the nominal GDP is one that taken into consideration while making investment decisions.

In today’s example, we will observe the impact of GDP on various currency pairs and witness the change in volatility due to the official news release. The below image shows the GDP in the Euro Zone during the fourth quarter, where we see the GDP was as in the previous quarter. Let us find out the reaction of the market. 

EUR/USD | Before the announcement:

We shall start with the EUR/USD currency pair to analyze the impact of GDP on the Euro. It is clear from the preceding illustration that the market is not trending in any direction, which means there is confusion concerning the market trend. Therefore, until we have clarity in the market, it is smart not to take any trade.

EUR/USD | After the announcement:

After the news announcement, the price gets volatile as it moves in both the directions and finally, closes near the opening price. The GDP data did not strengthen or weaken the currency where the ‘news candle’ closed, forming an indecision candlestick pattern. As the news release did not bring about any significant change to the currency pair, one should analyze the currency based on technical indicators.    

EUR/JPY | Before the announcement:

EUR/JPY | After the announcement:

The above images represent the EUR/JPY currency pair, where we see that the overall trend of the market is up, and recently it is has shown signs of reversal before the news announcement. One needs to wait for confirmation before taking a trade as the news event can cause significant changes to the existing chart pattern, resulting in an unnecessary loss. Until the price is below the moving average, the uptrend shall not continue.

After the news announcement, the price initially moves lower, but it gets immediately bought and closes with a wick on the bottom. There is some volatility seen, which eventually takes the market lower. The GDP data came out to be as expected, where it was the same as before. Since there was no improvement in the GDP, we can ascertain that it was negative for the currency.    

EUR/AUD | Before the announcement:

EUR/AUD | After the announcement:

The above images are that of EUR/AUD currency pair, where we see that before the news announcement, the market is in a strong downtrend, and currently, the price is on the verge of continuing the downward move. However, since a significant news announcement is due, there is a possibility that it can change the trend, hence need to take a position based on the impact of the news.

After the news announcement, market shoots up, and volatility increases to the upside. Here we see that the GDP data has a positive impact on the Euro, and the currency strengthens after the news release. Now it is clear that selling the currency pair is no longer valid.

We hope you understood all about the ‘GDP Per Capita PPP.’ Do let us know your thoughts in the comments below. Happy Trading!

Categories
Forex Videos

Forex Fundamental Analysis for Novices – Japanese Bank Lending Rate!

Fundamental Analysis for Novices Japanese Bank Lending Rate

 

Welcome to the fundamental analysis for novices’ educational video.  In this session, we will be looking at the bank Japanese bank lending rate.

You have probably heard the old adage – failing to plan is planning to fail.  Well failing to take note of an Economic Calendar on a regular, daily, basis in order to plan your trading around potential volatile economic data releases is planning to fail at trading.
You should refer to one the day before you plan to trade, and eventually, when you are proficient enough, you will look for opportunities where extra volatility might creep into the market after a particular data release, in order to hop on a post developing trend.  But before you are proficient, you should avoid such volatile times at all costs.

The critical components of any Economic Calendar which are available by most brokers,  is the day and date, the event type, the time of the event, noting that the time of the event might be your local time and not the time of the particular country where the information is being released,  the likely impact that the data will have on the financial markets upon its release, the actual data will be released into a set area of the calendar and it is important that you find out where,  the consensus or forecast of the data, which has been put together by the economists and analysts and where large deviances from this upon release may cause volatility and the previous level of that data for comparison purposes. Remember, we are looking to see whether data is worse, better or the same as the previous release.  Better economic data numbers are positive for that economy, and where you might see the local currency strengthen, worse numbers might mean that the country is not doing so well economically and therefore bad for the country and where you might see the local currency weekend against its counterparts.

As mentioned, we are looking at the bank lending rate for Japan year on year for June, which will be released on Wednesday, July 8th, at 12:50 AM BST.

This particular data is considered as low-impact upon its release by the bank of Japan. It is the value of outstanding loans with Japanese Banks, and it is seen as important within the financial markets because it provides an insight as to whether banks are lending more to businesses. The more money that is lent, the better that is for companies who might be expanding, or buying more raw materials, and perhaps taking on extra staff.


The actual data released is calculated as a percentage and where year on year figure 4 May was 4.8%,  and that the general consensus forecast is for an increase to 7.2%,  and this is what the market will be looking for, a better number than for May and thus an improvement year on year.

Although the data is perceived as being of low impact, this will show whether or not the Japanese economy is faring better from the fallout of the pandemic.  Holistically, this and the rest of the data which is coming out of Japan currently will give an overall picture of the general health of the Japanese economy. A strengthening economy might mean a strengthening currency.  And vice versa,  The only caveat being that quite often, the Japanese Yen is considered to be a safe-haven currency, and it can be bought heavily even when the Japanese economy is not faring very well.

Categories
Crypto Guides

What Are Security Tokens & What Is Their Importance?

Introduction

Security tokens provide the digital ownership of traditionally traded securities. The concept of security tokens is a genuinely revolutionary concept developed by the advent of blockchain. Tokens perform a wide variety of roles, depending on the ecosystem they are used in. Tokens may give voting rights, which may be used as a currency, to be used as a value exchange. The more roles the tokens have, the more useful it can be termed.

People often get confused with cryptocurrencies and tokens. Tokens and cryptocurrencies are fundamentally different. While cryptocurrencies can be used anywhere, I mean, depending on the people/business who accept them as a mode of payment. In contrast, tokens can only be used in the designated environment where they are intended to use. Tokenization, the issue of tokens, is a new concept that came up with the advent of blockchain and created new business models with security and utility tokens.

How are the Security tokens issued?

Security tokens are issued just like how cryptocurrencies are issued using ICO’s. ICO’s are Initial Coin Offerings offered by developers whenever a new DAPP is to be developed. The ICO will have a goal to aim for. Depending on the goal, if the people are interested, based on the platform, the DAPP is developed, they pay the local currency and take the ownership of the tokens. The token gains value depending on the functions, roles, and purposes.

Importance of Security tokens

Security tokens are essential because of the role they play in the securities. Utility tokens need not follow any rules and regulations of the real world since they are used in the intended environment only; everything works as per the rules and regulations formed by the creators. When it comes to security tokens, they are representing something that exists in the real-world in real.

The security tokens are a digital representation of real assets in blockchain so that the transfer of securities will be smooth, verifiable, and, most importantly, to eliminate paper documents. Hence Security tokens should follow all the rules and regulations even when the ICO is conducted, then only it is termed as a success. Therefore these tokens are essential in connecting the real-world assets to the blockchain. The impact of security tokens is as below:

🧾 Credibility

The ICO space is not credible enough at the moment, with a lot of failures. Since the ICO’s of security tokens follow all the existing rules and regulations, people are confident enough to invest in the ICO’s where they are interested instead of thinking about the credibility infrastructure and stuff.

🧾 Reducing the costs associated with traditional finance

In traditional finance, a lot of money is involved in the form of registration when you want to transfer money from one person to another. Lawyers are required, as well. In the case of security tokens, a lot of money can be saved. Smart contracts will even further reduce the complexity involved in the process.

🧾 Execution times

Since no third party is involved, execution times are very less compared to traditional finance.

🧾 Unlimited Market

People from different countries find it extremely difficult to invest in any foreign country. Security tokens ease out this difficult task. Because of this simple reason, investors across the globe can invest without worrying about paper documentation, rules, regulations, and stuff.

🧾 Easier Liquidation

With the available platforms, it will be easy to liquidate your token whenever and wherever required since only the internet is required to liquidate your funds.

Even though the security tokens are less popular than the utility tokens, people will start flocking towards security tokens due to its functionality. Most prominently, it follows all the rules and regulations of the governments; hence these adhere to the credibility of people which utility tokens lack in general.

Categories
Cryptocurrencies

What’s IOST Token? How Does It Work and Where To Buy

Current online services are centralized. And this has exposed them to serious privacy violations, fraud, high fees, and regulatory interference. In an era when personal autonomy and privacy are more valued than ever, centralized service provider systems are considered obsolete.

Blockchain tech proponents consider it the ultimate solution for all modern problems, and are actively exploring in finding solutions to these issues. Ethereum, Steemit, and EOS are some of the blockchain-based projects that have taken the lead in this regard. However, the majority of them are too specialized. Steemit, for instance, aims to decentralize the ability for content creators to earn from crypto, while Ethereum wants to enable the creation of decentralized applications. 

What’s more, these blockchains are burdened by low transaction throughputs that can sometimes overwhelm the network. Ethereum’s CryptoKitties saga is a glaring example of how much the blockchain is incapable of supporting a massive volume of transactions. These two limitations – inflexibility and lack of scalability – make it impossible for the blockchain to be used for enterprise purposes. 

Internet of Services (IOS) is a blockchain project that wants to power enterprises by providing a Blockchain as a Service platform. This way, online businesses can take advantage of the properties of blockchain technology to improve service delivery for the benefit of all stakeholders. The network has two tokens: IOST and Servi, which play different but complementary roles in the platform. 

What is the Internet of Services (IOS)? 

IOS is a blockchain infrastructure designed to achieve high levels of security and scalability for online businesses. It aims to solve the problem of high fees, slow transactions, and slow throughput associated with the traditional blockchain.

The team believes that these problems are caused by the present limiting nature of the current blockchain infrastructure and its slow transaction verification protocols. The end game is to eliminate these problems so that online service providers can take advantage of blockchain in ways not possible before. 

How Does IOS Work? 

The IOS platform is powered by five pieces of technology, which we’ll take a look at below.

#1. Efficient Distributed Sharding (EDS)

Before we get into EDS, we first need to understand the concept of sharding. Sharding is a data partitioning technique in databases that breaks data chunks into smaller and more manageable pieces. Sharding is by no means a novel concept – but one that’s been used in the computing space for years. 

In a blockchain environment, sharding divides the computational workload of network nodes in a way that every individual node is not responsible for maintaining the entire blockchain, or for participating in the verification of every single transaction. Instead, nodes only maintain information and process the transactional load in their partition/shard. 

But this raises some questions. How do you assign nodes for the shards? How can the network cushion itself against potential malicious node activity? How do you choose leader nodes?

IOS utilizes a Distributed Random Protocol (DRP) to take care of these issues. In a nutshell, DRP utilizes ‘non-interactive zero-knowledge proofs (NIZKs)’ and ‘publicly verifiable secret sharing (PVSS) to create tamper-proof and truly randomized shard nodes. It also uses Algorand and Omniledger protocols to prevent the malicious activity of nodes. With these mechanisms, the network ensures that leader nodes operate the DRP protocol, and are ejected from the network if they don’t.

#2. TransEpoch

TransEpoch is a protocol that enables remaining nodes to continue working when other nodes are downloading transactions’ history data – a process known as ‘epoch.’ TransEpoch uses the Byzantine Fault Tolerance consensus mechanism to prevent malicious nodes from taking over the petition during the epoch. 

#3. Atomix

In any sharding system, the network will always need to conduct cross-shard transactions from time to time. This adds a layer of complexity on the network that renders it vulnerable to double-spend attacks. The IOS network implements the ‘Byzantine Shard Atomic Commit (Atomix)’ protocol to reduce the likelihood of this happening. 

#4. Proof of Believability (PoB)

IOS implements a new consensus mechanism known as Proof of Believability that segregates all the nodes in the network into two categories: believable and normal. This is how it works: believable nodes are in charge of processing transactions, after which normal nodes validate and verify these transactions.

For a node to be assigned into the believable category, it first has to have a satisfactory believability score. This score is calculated based on token balance, reviews by the community, and community participation.

For their part, normal nodes are tasked with ensuring that believable nodes are acting transparently. If a believable node is caught acting maliciously, the believability status is revoked, and they will lose their tokens. This is meant to incentivize good behavior among nodes. 

#5. Micro State Block (MSB)

MSBs are IOS’s way of preventing the blockchain from becoming too bulky. In the traditional blockchain, each node maintains the entire network. While this enhances its security, it also means the whole process is bound to become resource-intensive as more transactions are conducted on the network. 

IOS eliminates this problem through the use of MSBs, which is a protocol that facilitates nodes to validate just the headers of previous transaction blocks (as opposed to entire blocks) and that the entire network is proportionately distributed across shards.

Tokens of the IOS Network

IOS has two tokens: the IOS token (IOST) and the Servi token. The IOS token facilitates transactions and the payment of commission fees on the network. They are also a factor in the calculation of believability scores. Users can earn IOST by validating transactions and renting processing power and storage that will be used in smart contracts execution.  The IOS team distributed all the tokens (a total of 21 million) during the ICO. 

Here are the other uses cases of IOST:

  • Payment for products provided by merchants on the IOS platform
  • Processing transactions and running smart contracts
  • Exchanging for third-party tokens

The token’s distribution was as follows: 

  • 40% for the token sale
  • 35% for the IOS Foundation
  • 12.5% for community building
  • 10% for the IOS team
  • 2.5% for equity investors and advisors

The Servi token measures the contribution of validator nodes. Unlike IOST, the token is not tradable, and it’s automatically destroyed after the verification of a block. This allows the nodes with a high believability score to take turns with the validation process, ensuring a fair process for everyone. The Servi token is self-issuing. 

Who’s on the IOS Team? 

The IOS team comprises members with nothing but stellar credentials. The members are spread across Asia and North America, and include the following: 

  • Kevin Tan, founder of CoinLang (link), CTO of EtherCap, Forbes 30 under-30 awardee, and National Olympiad in Informatics Gold Medalist. 
  • Jimmy Zhong, founder of several startups and an early adopter of Bitcoin and Ethereum
  • Terrence Wang, who has a ton of software engineering experience having worked at Uber and Microsoft. He also develops CoinLang, a higher-level language for Bitcoin.
  • Ray Xiao, founder of several startups and  investor and advisor of several others

Other team members include Samantha Wang, Lei Li, Hao Xu,  Bosch Lee, Chung Teng, Justin Li, Ben Waters, Haifeng Li, Will Zhao, and Kaijian Gao. All these have a wealth of experience cutting across marketing, software, programming. IOS also has an advisory board consisting of names like Jumei co-founder Yusen Dai, Codecademy co-founder Ryan Bubinski, and venture capitalist Robert Neivert. Several high-profile companies have also invested in IOS, including Huobi, FBG Capital, and Sequoia Capital. 

Tokenomics of IOST

As of June 24, 2020, IOST is trading at  $0. 006719, while ranking at #70 in the crypto market. It has a market cap of $100, 849, 968, a 24-hour volume of $85, 871, 372, a circulating supply of 15, 009, 546, 992, and a total supply of 21, 938, 087, 338. IOST’s all-time high was $0.136496 (Jan 24, 2018), while it has an all-time low of $0.001562 (March 13, 2020). 

Where to Buy and Store IOST 

You can grab yourself some IOST tokens from any of several exchanges such as Binance, Huobi, BitHumb, HitBTC, Bitrue, BKEX, BitMax, Upbit, and Bitvavo. It’s available as a market pair with cryptos such as BTC, ETH, BNB, USDT, as well as with Fiat currencies such as the US Dollar and the Euro. 

IOS recommends these wallets for storing IOST: JetStream and IWallet Chrome for desktop, and TokenPocket, Cobo, Starteos, and Huobi wallet apps. 

Final Words

While IOST’s proposition is not exactly new in the blockchain space, it manages to inject something fresh with its novel technologies that guarantee top-notch scalability and security for applications. And the platform is not limited to any specific kind of application, making it flexible for all sorts of businesses. It will be interesting to see how the project evolves over time. 

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Fibonacci Forex Price-Action Strategies

Generating Trading Signals Using Fibonacci Tools

Introduction

In our previous educational article, we reviewed how the identification of double top and double bottom formations could provide a trading setup, which, according to its technical configuration, returns a risk to reward ratio equivalent to 1:1.

In this educational article, we’ll review the use of Fibonacci retracements and extensions to generate trading signals.

Trading the Market Corrections

Trading based on corrective movements has its origin in the idea that when the price action makes an impulsive move, the market develops a corrective movement before continuing to develop a new motive move.

This method’s risk derives from the possibility of false breakouts, which, depending on the primary trend, could be a “bearish trap” or “bullish trap.”

Considering that there is a broad range of Fibonacci ratios, Fischer & Fischer propose filtering the trading volume using the 61.8% level as a conservative level. The use of 61.8% provides the technical trader the possibility to invest risking a reduced part of its capital.

As a second entry filter criteria, traders could use the swing size average of the asset under analysis. Considering that every financial asset holds a different personality and volatility, this filter demands the technical trader to develop statistical backtesting to understand the asset’s inherent volatility under study.

Trade Setup

Entry Setup: Considering that the entry rule requires a unique Fibonacci level, the entry will occur once the price touches and closes above (or below) the level 61.8%. This criterion could help shield the technical investor against a potential false breakout.

Stop-Loss: The trade invalidation level will be set above/below the last peak/valley preceding the entry-level. The benefit of trading using the 61.8% level as the point of market entry is the reduced risk compared with other typical Fibonacci levels, such as 38.2% or 50%.

Trailing Stop as Profit Protector: This method by itself doesn’t make the use of a profit target level. As an alternative, the use of a trailing stop could help protect profits with a trailing criterion of the last peak or valley. The disadvantage of this method is that, constrained by the volatility observed in the real market, it is unlikely that the resulting risk to reward ratio goes beyond a mere 1:1.

Trading the Market Progress

As the Elliott Wave Theory states, the price tends to advance in three or five waves. This method uses Fibonacci extensions to define target levels.

In general, when the price action develops a price movement on strong momentum and, then, its correction doesn’t violate the starting level of the initial move, it means the market is not building a bullish or bearish trap; thus, it is likely the action will continue progressing in the direction of the first move.

Entry Rule:  In the same way as in the case of a price correction setup, the entry should be set when the price retraces and closes, starting a new impulsive move. This condition doesn’t require that the price retraces to the 61.8% level of the initial movement.

Stop-Loss: The invalidation level of the trade setup should be located below the last peak or valley preceding the entry-level.

Profit Target (Three Movements Case): When the price evolves following a three-move sequence, the profit target should be set at 161.8% of the projection of the first sequence, as illustrated in the next figure.

Profit Target (Five Movements Case): This scenario considers two options. The first one is when the progress happens in the third segment and the second one when the price action has completed the third move and could be initiating its fifth movement. These scenarios are illustrated in the following figure.

Conclusions

In this educational article, we reviewed two cases in which to use as Fibonacci retracements as the extensions tool. Both methods presented in this article offer specific risks. The use of the corrections method provides a reduced risk to the technical trader, due to the trailing stop use criterion, this doesn’t mean that it could deliver a risk to reward ratio of over 1:1.

On the other hand, the use of the Fibonacci extensions, according to Fischer & Fischer, always means to invest against the trend. However, a combination of both methods could provide an opportunity to enter in favor of the market direction.

To reduce the noise and risk in the investment process, the technical trader must evaluate the performance strategy developing statistical backtesting with historical data before risking real money.

Suggested Readings

  • Fischer, R., Fischer J.; Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Trading Tools; John Wiley & Sons; 1st Edition (2003).

 

Categories
Forex Fundamental Analysis

What Is ‘GDP From Public Administration’ Forex Fundamental Driver All About?

Introduction

Public Administration is a critical aspect that drives overall economic growth. GDP from Public Administration can give us insights into the strength of the current central authorities’ efficiency in governance. Public Administration is the levers to the economic engine, and it can put brakes or accelerate the economy to sink into a recession or propel to economic growth. Hence, understanding Public Administration and its contribution to GDP will help us better understand its role in society’s functioning as a whole.

What is GDP from Public Administration?

Gross Domestic Product

GDP is the measure of a country’s total economic output. It is the total monetary value of all the goods and services produced within the country regardless of citizenship (resident or foreign national).

It is the market value of all the finished goods and services within a nation’s geographical borders for a given period. The period is generally a quarter (3 months) or a year.

The commonly used term “size of the economy” refers to this economic indicator. The USA is the world’s largest economy, and it means it has the highest nominal GDP or highest economic output.

Public Administration

It is the implementation of government policies. Public Administration is a part of every economy. Policies can be either monetary policy or fiscal policy.

Public Administration is concerned with the operations of government that run the nation. It is centered around the structuring of the Government policies and programs and government officials’ conduct to implement the same.

Public Administration’s definition and goals are vast subjects. In our analysis, we will only focus on the economic impact of Public Administration. 

How can the GDP from Public Administration numbers be used for analysis?

An analogy to understand the importance of Public Administration would be if an economy or nation is viewed as a car or engine. Public Administration would be the brake, gear, and acceleration levers. Levers determines whether the car moves forward or backward, and also the pace of movement.

Similarly, Public Administration determines what direction the economy’s growth is going towards and at what rate. Monetary policy is associated with the Central Bank of a nation. Fiscal Policies are associated with the Central Government. 

Officials working as per the Public Administration policies are called Civil Servants, together the Governing body and its policy determine how effectively the opportunities are maximized to satisfy the public demands and lead to overall economic wellbeing.

Policy reforms and effective Administration can reduce economic disparity amongst different classes of people, increase employment, wages, and business prosperity. Government Spending, Tax programs, Outlays, allowances, funding programs are all part of the Government policy. Public Administration determines how effectively such policies are implemented.

Public Administration provides the foundation for economic activity through laws and as a catalyst to economic wellbeing through its services. 

Without firm laws and regulations and active civil servants, the nation is in jeopardy. Weak governance and policy can sink the nation where corruption, political instability, riots, public protests, etc. can creep in. 

Services like transportation, maintaining law and order, road construction, police, jails, tax exemptions, medicare, social security, etc. directly may or may not generate revenue for the government but indirectly helps other sectors to boost overall economic prosperity.

When a nation’s government fails to stimulate the economy, there is a probability that it will continue for its elected period. Hence, International Investors can glean such clues from GDP from Public Administration figures. They can understand the behavioral nuances of the government and its probable impact in the upcoming quarters.

The government impacts the people and the business. On an absolute basis, the government has complete control over the nation for the elected period. It can bring about any policy reforms they see fit. It can help businesses or impede businesses. It can control money flow through the economy, and how much people pay taxes.

It is also essential to perceive that the GDP from Public Administration is only part of the government’s revenue. It assists in the functioning of other sectors through its public services that are not accounted for in the GDP. 

Hence, GDP from Public Administration itself does not tell us the real contribution of Public Administration in growth. The functions of a government span across various sectors and vary from region to region based on the economic region’s requirements.

Impact on Currency

The GDP from Public Administration is a low impact indicator, as the broader measures like Real GDP and GDP Growth Rates are more important for the Currency Markets. 

GDP from Public Administration does not paint the full picture of the economy, but it tells us the effectiveness of the current government and its policies. Still, for the International Currency Markets, it does not serve as a useful indicator.

It is a proportional and lagging indicator. Higher GDP from Public Administration is good for the economy and its currency, and vice-versa.

Economic Reports

For the United States, the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases quarterly GDP figures on its official website every quarter. The release schedule is already mentioned on the website and is generally released one month after the quarter ends.

In the full report, we can extract the GDP from Public Administration figures. We can also go through GDP by Industry to get the Public Administration performance in the report. Below is a sample of the same:

World Bank actively maintains track of GDP by Sector figures of most countries on their official website. Public Sector 

Sources of GDP from Public Administration

For the United States, the BEA reports are available here.

We can use the GDP by Industry to see the government’s contribution to GDP here. 

Different metrics like Public Debt, Expenditure, etc. are all categorically available here.

We can also find GDP from Public Administration for different countries here.

Impact of the ‘GDP From Public Administration’ news release on the price charts 

In the previous section of the article, we understood the importance of Public Administration in an economy and how it impacts economic growth. It plays an essential role in overseeing and shaping new impact market strategies. It is the responsibility of public administrators, whether policymakers or non-profit executives, to make use of the opportunity to ensure that the economy flourishes.

Profound policies are needed to facilitate private-sector investment in socially beneficial concerns. All this is in the hands of public administrators and the government. Therefore, the department has a fair amount of contribution to the GDP and the economy. When it comes to investing based on this information, investors do not make investment decisions based on the contribution from different sectors. They look at the final GDP and take a position in the currency.

In today’s lesson, we will analyze the impact of GDP on different currency pairs and see the volatility created after the news release. The below image shows the first-quarter GDP data of Singapore, where we see a significant drop in the GDP value compared to the previous quarter. Let us find out the reaction of the market to this data. 

USD/SGD  | Before the announcement

 

Let us start with the USD/SGD currency pair, where the above image shows the state of the chart before the news announcement. We see that the market is moving in a small ‘range,’ and just before the release, the price is at the top of the ‘range.’ This means we can expect selling pressure from this point that can take the price lower. However, it is better to take a position based on the volatility caused by the news announcement. 

USD/SGD  | After the announcement:

After the news announcement, we see that the price moves lower, and the market falls considerably. The market reacted oppositely to what was expected as it resulted in the strengthening of the Singapore dollar even though the GDP data was negative. The volatility increased to the downside, and eventually, the market turns into a downtrend.    

SGD/JPY | Before the announcement

SGD/JPY | After the announcement:

The above images are that of the SGD/JPY currency pair, where we see that the price is precisely at the ‘support’ before the news announcement. There is a high chance that the buyers might come back in the market and go ‘long’ in the currency pair. Since economists forecast a lower GDP for this quarter, it is advised not to take a ‘short’ position before the news release.

After the news announcement, the price initially moves higher, but this gets immediately sold into, and the candle closes with a large wick on the top. We witness a fair amount of volatility in the currency, and finally, it gets extended to the downside. One can take a ‘short’ position in the currency after noticing trend continuation patterns in the market and after confirmation from technical indicators.     

GBP/SGD | Before the announcement

GBP/SGD | After the announcement:

The above images represent the GBP/SGD currency pair, where we see that before the news announcement, the market has reversed to the upside, and currently, the price has reacted strongly from the ‘demand’ area. This indicates a high amount of bullishness in the currency pair and weakness in the Singapore dollar since it is on the left-hand side of the currency pair.

After the news announcement, the market falls lower, and the volatility slightly increases to the downside. The Singapore dollar gets more influential after the news release, despite reporting weak GDP data. Thus, we can conclude that there is some confusion in the market and hence it moves in both the directions. Traders should technically analyze and take positions accordingly. 

That’s about ‘GDP From Public Administration’ and its impact on the Forex market after its news release. In case of any questions, let us know in the comments below. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

If Double Bottom/Top Does Not Offer Entry, Wait for Triple Bottom/Top

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of double bottom support, which does not end up producing entry. However, the price comes back to the level of support again, and upon producing a triple bottom, support offers a beautiful trade setup. Let us get started.

This is the daily chart. The price makes a strong bearish move and bounces off at a level of support. It produces a bullish inside bar and heads towards the North. The price comes back to the level of support again upon producing a bullish engulfing candle. The buyers may flip over to the H4 chart for the price to consolidate and produce a bullish engulfing candle to trigger a long entry.

We are still on the daily chart. The H4 chart does not consolidate or produce a bullish reversal candle. On the daily chart, the price comes down again and consolidates around the level of support. Both the buyers and the sellers are to wait for the price to see what it does. Does it produce a bullish reversal candle, or does it make a bearish breakout?

The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle at the level of support again. It has become a level of triple support. Thus, the buyers may be more interested in going long in the pair. The buyers may flip over to the H4 chart now.

This is how the H4 chart looks. The last candle comes out as a hammer. The buyers are to wait for a bullish engulfing candle to trigger a long entry. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out what the price does.

The price consolidates for four more H4 candles. At last, it produces a bullish engulfing candle closing well above consolidation resistance. It takes a long time to produce the signal candle, but it does just before the day ends. It is a valid signal. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes by setting take profit with 1R.

The price heads towards the North with good momentum and hits the target. The extreme bullishness of the signal candle makes the price hit the target in a hurry.

If we look back, when the chart produces the first bullish engulfing candle at the level of double bottom support, it does not end up offering an entry. When it bounces again at the same level of support, it ends up offering an entry. This is what may happen more often than traders think. If a buyer leaves the chart when it does not offer entry, he will lose the chance to make a profit from the trade setup that we have demonstrated here.