Tag: Technical Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 20 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Eyes on Retail Sales!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 20 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 20 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Eyes on Retail Sales!

The broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its overnight losses and remain bearish on the day mainly due to the mixed U.S. Stimulus story. Moreover, the doubts over the U.S. economic recovery in the wake of coronavirus resurgence also weigh on the U.S. dollar. On the news front, eyes will remain on U.K.’s and Canada’s core retail sales to determine further market trends.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD currency pair managed to stop its previous day losing streak and remain bullish around the 1.1886 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the cautious sentiment around the U.S. stimulus story, which ultimately lends support to the currency pair. However, Mnuchin’s call to recollect funds allocated to Federal Reserve, which eventually weighed on the market trading sentiment, failed to provide any support to the greenback as the Republican heavyweight McConnell recently showed readiness to resume the discussions with the Democrats on a new COVID-19 relief package, which ultimately undermined the U.S. dollar.

That’s very surprising as the U.S. dollar usually draws bids alongside losses in the equities market. On the contrary, the buying interest around the single currency was capped by the intensifying virus fugues in Europe, which eventually becomes the key factor that has been capped further upside in the currency pair. At the moment, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1888 and consolidating in the range between the 1.1865 – 1.1891.

The equity market has been declining since the day started amid mixed concerns over the U.S. stimulus story. The Mnuchin’s asked the Federal Reserve to return the remaining coronavirus stimulus funds, which could limit the central bank’s capacity to give additional support to businesses at a time when the coronavirus second wave is accelerating. Let me remind you that these funds were meant for global lending to local government, non-profits, businesses. These factors have been weighing on the market trading sentiment, which could be considered as the main factors that cap further downside in the safe-haven U.S. dollar losses.

On the contrary, Republican heavyweight McConnell recently showed a willingness to continue the negotiations with the Democrats on a new COVID-19 relief package. This news is negative for the U.S. dollar, as a stimulus package would have the effect of reducing the U.S. dollar.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its overnight losses and remain bearish on the day mainly due to the mixed U.S. Stimulus story. Moreover, the doubts about the U.S. economic recovery in the wake of coronavirus resurgence also weigh on the U.S. dollar. Thus, the U.S. dollar losses could also be a key factor that kept the currency pair higher. Meantime, the dollar index unchanged at 92.306 (=USD), off Thursday’s low of 92.236, though it is still down 0.3% on the week.

On the bearish side, the intensifying market worries regarding the continuous hike in new coronavirus cases in Europe and the United States keep fueling the doubts over the global economic recovery through imposing back to back lockdown restrictions on economic and social activity, which eventually weighed on the shared currency and becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair.

In the absence of significant data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on the ongoing drama surrounding the U.S. stimulus package. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for a fresh direction.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1836 1.1880

1.1820 1.1908

1.1791 1.1924

Pivot point: 1.1864

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

On Friday, the EUR/USD is trading with a bearish bias at the 1.1844 level, having violated an upward trendline on the hourly chart. On the lower side, the support stays at 1.1832, and below this, the EUR/USD may find next support at 1.1814. On the higher side, the resistance can be found at the 1.1867 level. The bullish bias remains dominants today as the MACD and 50 periods EMA support a bullish trend. We are already holding a buying trade from yesterday; therefore, you are advised to follow our forex signals page for more updates on the EUR/USD pair.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

During Friday’s European trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to gain positive traction for the second straight session and refresh the intra-day high around closer to 1.3300 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar fresh weakness, backed by the doubts over the next round of the U.S. fiscal stimulus measures, which eventually undermined the U.S. dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains.

On the contrary, the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.S. and Europe raised the fears of global economic recovery, which could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. In the meantime, the gains in the currency pair were also capped by negative Brexit news. At a particular time, the GBP/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3275 and consolidating in the range between 1.3247 – 1.3288.

According to the latest report, the European Union (E.U.) prepares for no-deal Brexit plans after the discussions’ dragging. The fears of no-deal Brexit were further bolstered after E.U.’s Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier self-isolated after a member of his team contracted the infection.

Despite the fears of no-deal Brexit and the Sino-American skirmish, not to forget the record single-day increase in COVID-19 cases, the currency pair managed to gain positive traction amid a weaker U.S. dollar. At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to gain any positive traction and edged lower on the day as doubts over the U.S. economic recovery remain amid the coronavirus crisis. The losses in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair higher. Meantime, the dollar index unchanged at 92.306 (=USD), off Thursday’s low of 92.236, though it is still down 0.3% on the week.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3155 1.3236

1.3118 1.3280

1.3073 1.3317

Pivot point: 1.3199

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

Most technical levels are the same as Sterling didn’t make any significant change in the market. The GBP/USD pair is trading bullish at the 1.3279 level, holding over the 1.3227 support level, which is extended by an upward trendline on a 2-hour timeframe. The Cable is likely to face immediate resistance at the 1.3297 area, which will be confirmed if the candle starts closing below this level. However, the bullish breakout of the 1.3297 level can drive further upside movement until the 1.3370 level today.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

A day before, the USD/JPY pair was closed at 103.795 after placing a high of 104.207 and a low of 103.650. The currency pair USD/JPY remained bearish for the 5th consecutive session on Wednesday and dragged its prices below the 103.700 level. The USD/JPY pair was extending its losses due to the U.S. dollar weakness on Wednesday despite the latest optimism regarding the coronavirus vaccine. On Wednesday, Pfizer announced that its vaccine was 95% effective in its study and planning to seek authorization within days.

This news added to the market’s risk sentiment and supported the equity market by providing a 0.45% gain to Dow Jones and 0.04% to NASDAQ. The latest news from Pfizer and BioNtech failed to impress the market, and the pair USD/JPY continued following the U.S. dollar’s weakness on Wednesday. The currency pair was under pressure as the coronavirus situation was getting worse day by day in the U.S. as the death toll surpassed 250,000 level in the major economy. According to Johns Hopkins University, the coronavirus has cost almost 250,180 American lives so far, and the count was increasing day by day. This raised fears that more restrictions could be imposed in many states, which would slow down the economic recovery. These fears weighed in the local currency U.S. dollar, and hence, USD/JPY remained under pressure for the 5th consecutive session on Wednesday.

Given the rising number of infections in the country, the States like California and Illinois stretched their restrictions to battle the rising number of cases as any financial aid package was not close to being delivered by Congress. The rising number of coronavirus cases in the U.S. has forced U.S. officials to announce that public schools in New York City will close again on Thursday as the city has reached a 3% coronavirus test positivity rate. These fears also kept the U.S. dollar under pressure on Wednesday.

The House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer urged the Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to resume talks related to the coronavirus relief package. However, McConnell was insisting on a targeted package. The U.S. dollar came under further pressure after the hopes for the talks for further stimulus package increased and weighed on the USD/JPY pair.

On the data front, at 02:00 GMT, the TC Long Term Purchases surged to 108.9B from the expected 41.5B and supported the U.S. dollar. At 18:30 GMT, the Building Permits for October came in line with the projections of 1.55M. The Housing Starts rose to 1.53M from the expected 1.45M and supported the U.S. dollar that ultimately capped further losses in the USD/JPY on Wednesday. On the Japanese side, the Trade Balance for October raised to 0.31T against the 0.11T and supported the Japanese Yen that added further pressure on the USD/JPY pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.58 104.16

103.32 104.48

102.99 104.74

Pivot point: 103.90

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY extends its bearish trend below the 104.430 level, falling from the 104.850 support area. On the lower side, the USD/JPY pair is likely to find support at the 103.800 level, and violation of this level can also extend further selling bias until 103.227. On the higher side, the USD/JPY safe-haven pair may find resistance at 104.400 and may help us capture a selling trades below this level as the MACD and RSI support the selling trend today. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, forex services, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

Is NZDJPY ready for a New Upward Move?

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 20 November, 2020
No Comments on Is NZDJPY ready for a New Upward Move?

The Elliott Wave perspective of the NZDJPY pair reveals it is moving in an incomplete impulsive sequence that began on March 18th when the price found fresh buyers at 59.49.

Elliott Wave Landscape

In its 12-hour chart, NZDJPY is seen progressing in its fifth wave of Minute degree labeled in black. Its internal structure reveals a sideways action corresponding to the fourth wave of Minuette degree identified in blue. Looking at this context, the cross would likely develop a new upward movement, which should correspond to the fifth wave of Minuette degree of the fifth wave of Minute degree, following the Elliott Wave theory.

In this regard, the next movement corresponding to the fifth wave in blue of the fifth wave in black should be a terminal move. However, this potential sequence will not necessarily be an ending diagonal pattern.

On the other hand, as exposed in the previous chart, the third wave of Minute degree corresponds to the extended movement of the complete impulsive sequence of Minute degree. Therefore, under the EW rules, the fifth wave cannot be an extended move.

Finally, considering that the fifth wave doesn’t reveal a reversal formation, the current uptrend is likely to continue mostly bullish.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The short-term Elliott wave outlook for the NZDJPY cross displayed in the following 4-hour chart reveals the incomplete internal sequence that currently appears advancing in its fourth wave of Minuette degree identified in blue. At the same time, the corrective wave in progress is running in wave b of Subminuette degree labeled in green.

Once NZDUSD completes its wave b (labeled in green), it could develop a new decline corresponding to wave c. This intraday downward movement, subdivided into five internal segments, could fail below the latest lows, with its potential support on 71.411, where the NZDJPY cross could find fresh buyers expecting to boost its price toward the potential target zone located between 72.569, even till the psychological barrier at 73.002. This likely decline could be a “bear trap,” the big market participant could use to incorporate their long positions.

On the other hand, looking back in our first 12H chart, considering that the third wave is the extended wave,we can perceive two potential scenarios for the wave (v), in blue.

Scenario 1: Wave (v) doesn’t surpass the end of wave (iii) located at 72.791 and starts to decline, unveiling the bearish pressure for the cross. In this case, the price likely would pierce and close below level 71.411.
Scenario 2: Wave (v) exceeds the end of wave (iii). In this case, the bullish pressure continues; therefore, the cross retracement could find support above the recent low located at 71.51.

Finally, the invalidation level corresponding to the intraday bullish scenario is 70.511, corresponding to the end of wave (i) identified in blue.

Tags Elliott Wave Analysis, Forex, Forex Trading, NZDJPY, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Third Extended Wave, trading

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 20 – Bitcoin Conquering $18,000: What’s Next in Store?

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 20 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 20 – Bitcoin Conquering $18,000: What’s Next in Store?

The cryptocurrency sector has ended up with the majority of cryptos in the green as Bitcoin continued its rally past $18,000. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $18,095, representing an increase of 1.31% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum gained 1.59% on the day, while XRP gained 2.42%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

SushiSwap 31.66% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by Waves’ gain of 21.42% and CyberVein’s 17.06% gain. On the other hand, Blockstack lost 8.00%, making it the most prominent daily loser. NEM lost 7.73% while ABBC Coin lost 6.77%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has reduced slightly over the course of the day, with its value is currently staying at 66.1%. This value represents a 0.2% difference to the downside when compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has increased over the course of the day. Its current value is $507.23 billion, representing a $12.16 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market cap has spent the past 24 hours pushing towards and past the $18,000 level after it has won the fight for $17,850. While the move was quite sudden at one point, it was actually not accompanied by a great increase in volume. This has ultimately caused BTC to end its move slightly above $18,200 and start its consolidation phase.

Due to many people taking profits and shorting to hedge their portfolios, Bitcoin has a hard time going up. However, trading pullbacks is equally as risky. Bitcoin traders would have the most chance of success if they traded only pushes to the upside, accompanied by a decent volume increase.

BTC/USD 1-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals on the 4-hour, daily, and monthly time-frame are all bullish but show some signs of neutral presence. On the other hand, its weekly overview is tilted towards the buy-side and doesn’t show any bearishness.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is above both its 50-period EMA and its 21-period EMA
Price is near its top Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (57)
Volume is slightly below average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $18500 1: $17,850

2: $19000 2: $17,450

3: $19500 3: $17,130

Ethereum

Our yesterday’s call for Ethereum traders was that they should wait for the cryptocurrency to confirm its support level or fall under it, and then trade “with the wave.” Ethereum confirmed its position above the yellow dotted line (top line of the ascending channel) and pushed up instantly. The move brought Ether from $470 all the way to $488 before slowing down and starting to consolidate.

While Ethereum’s downside is quite defined, its upside isn’t. Traders should be wary of Ether’s future pushes to the upside, while they should trade any pullback from the retest of the yellow line.

ETH/USD 1-hour Chart

Ethereum’s 4-hour, daily and monthly time-frames are extremely bullish and show no signs of neutrality or bearishness. On the other hand, its weekly overview is still titled to the bull side but does show significant neutrality.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above both its 50-period and its 21-period EMA
Price is near its top Bollinger band
RSI is neutral after bouncing from almost being overbought(59.32)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $490 1: $470

2: $500 2: $451

3: $510 3: $445

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has spent the day breaking out of its slow price descent and pushing towards the upside. XRP first changed its price direction at $0.284 and quickly pushed towards the upside, reaching as high as $0.306. However, that price did not hold up, and XRP started trading sideways around the $0.3 mark.

XRP traders should still be safe to trade within the range bound by $0.2855 and $0.31. However, since the range is quite large, traders would be even better if they could spot additional small buy/sell walls in the order books before blindly trading.

XRP/USD 1-hour Chart

XRP’s daily and weekly overviews are completely bullish and show no signs of neutrality, while its 4-hour and monthly overviews show slight neutrality.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period EMA and at its 21-period EMA
Price is near its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (53.74)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.31 1: $0.28

2: $0.3244 2: $0.27

3: $0.3328 3: $0.266

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Signals

Choppy Session Continues in USD/CAD – Brace for a Breakout!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 20 November, 2020
No Comments on Choppy Session Continues in USD/CAD – Brace for a Breakout!

The USD/CAD closed at 1.30858 after placing a high of 1.31174 and a low of 1.30341. The USD/CAD pair declined on Wednesday amid the broad-based US dollar weakness and the Canadian dollar’s strength on the day. The risk sentiment was improved on Wednesday after Pfizer and BioNtech said that their vaccine was 95% effective in their study. They were going to seek approval from the US for emergency authorization of vaccine in the coming days. This news raised optimism in the market that vaccines will be delivered soon and would help the global economy recover.

The rising risk-sentiment in the market helped risk perceived Canadian dollar gain traction against the US dollar that ultimately added pressure on the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, the US dollar was already weak across the board after the chances for a further stimulus package from Congress increased after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer urged the Senate Majority Leader McConnell to start the talks for fiscal aid.

The US was reporting a rising rate of infection cases that were weighing on its local currency as the virus’s spread was costing record lives. According to Johns Hopkins University, the death toll in the US raised to 250,180, and the fears for economic shutdown to control the virus from being spread increased. The US officials also announced to close the New York schools again from Thursday to fight the pandemic.

The inefficiency of Trump’s administration during the pandemic crisis has cost the United States many American lives. The recent Trump’s refusal to give in his presidency to Joe Biden has also created chaos in the economy has weighed heavily on the US dollar. The US dollar weakness added further to the losses of the USD/CAD pair on Wednesday.

Furthermore, on the data front, at 02:00 GMT, the TC Long Term Purchases rose to 108.9B from the anticipated 41.5B and supported the US dollar. At 18:30 GMT, the Building Permits for October remained flat at 1.55M. The Housing Starts raised to 1.53M from the projected 1.45M and supported the US dollar that ultimately capped further losses in the USD/CAD pair.

From the Canadian side, the Consumer Price Index for October rose to 0.4% against the expected 0.2% and supported the Canadian dollar that weighed on the USD/CAD pair. The Common CPI for the year also surged to 1.6% against the anticipated 1.5% and supported the Canadian dollar that added losses in the USD/CAD pair. The Median and Trimmed CPI for the year came in line with the expectations of 1.9% and 1.8%, respectively.

The positive macroeconomic data and the rising WTI crude oil prices on Wednesday supported the commodity-linked Loonie. The crude oil prices raised above $43.4 per barrel despite the increasing number of crude oil inventories from the US and supported the Loonie that weighed on the USD/CAD pair.

Daily technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3036 1.3122

1.2991 1.3163

1.2949 1.3208

Pivot Point: 1.3077

The USD/CAD pair is trading over the 1.3060 level, mostly supported by the Retail Sales. A bearish breakout of the 1.3040 level can drive the selling trend until the 1.2935 area. While on the other hand, the resistance stays at the 1.3173 level today. The MACD and RSI support the selling trend; thus, we may consider taking a selling trade only upon the breakout of the 1.3055 level and buying over the 1.3060 level. Good luck!

Tags Forex, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Trade Setup, USD/CAD

Forex Videos

How To Make Easy Profits Trading Forex Using Bollinger Bands & Trend Lines!

Post author By Keiran
Post date 19 November, 2020
No Comments on How To Make Easy Profits Trading Forex Using Bollinger Bands & Trend Lines!

https://youtu.be/LUCZwwTeRFo

Forex Tips For Beginners – Stacking The Odds In Your Favour!

Thank you for joining this Forex academy educational video.

In this session, we will be looking at how to tilt the odds in your favour by showing you some cool tips to keep you out of trouble and tilt the odds in your favour of making successful trades.

The forex market runs 24-hours a day, 5 days a week, but typically, the busiest times, where you might expect a spike in volatility and larger price movements, is during the first hour of the beginning of a particular regional session. So, for example, at around 7:30-8:30 AM GMT, the European and UK session starts, and the FX market will usually become more active as more cash volume flows into the market. The same applies to the US session and then the Asia session as led by Sydney and followed by Japan.
Often trends will finish in one region and turn in the direction as the new region opens. This is down to differences of opinion, economic data releases, sentiment, and profit-taking as one region retires for the night. Wait until such times as the new trading session is well underway and until you can identify a potential trend.

Become a master of Bollinger bands. This technical analysis tool was invented by John Bollinger in the 1980s.

It is a chart tool that calculates two standard deviations on either side of the exchange rate, but it’s used in many different asset classes such as stocks and shares because of its success and the fact that it is highly regarded by the trading community.

One of the key components that traders look for when trading Bollinger bands is that 95% of trading activity will remain within the bands. And shown here on this one hour chart of the USDJPY pair where we have highlighted a few examples of what has happened when the price has a move outside of the bands, traders push the pair back inside, and this often results in a price action reversal.

Another major tool traders use are trendlines. A trendline is typically manually drawn onto a chart to identify price action direction. Again, using the 1-hour chart of the USDJPY pair, we have drawn in some trendlines.
An area of support and resistance, which forms the basis of a trend, is officially recognised when price action has reverted to either the support or resistance trendline on a minimum of two occasions. Here on the left side of the chart, this is clearly the case.
Three distinct trends become apparent using this technical analysis feature.

In this diagram, we have overlaid the Bollinger bands with our trendlines. Again, this is the same USDJPY pair and 1-hour time frame.

Now we can wait until a trend has been confirmed, where price action has hit either the support or resistance line on two occasions, and then we can also wait for the price action to breach the Bollinger band to increase our odds of the price action being driven back into the bands.

At position A, we have a confirmed downtrend, but where price action does not breach the Bollinger, yet it still moves higher.
At position B, we have a change in trend direction as confirmed here on the chart, but where the resistance line breach and also the breach of the Bollinger band cannot be considered as a confirmation of a reversal until such time as price action has fallen underneath the resistance line, which it clearly does. This is the time to short the pair. And, at the bottom of this move, we have a breach of the Bollinger band and where price action finds support before moving higher, which is the time to cut the short position and buy the pair.

In conclusion, use the trendlines and Bollinger bands together in this fashion to increase your odds of a successful winning trade.

Tags bollinger bands, Education, Forex, Technical Analysis, trading, trend lines

Forex Signals

USD/CHF Breaks Above Descending Triangle – Watch out!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 19 November, 2020
No Comments on USD/CHF Breaks Above Descending Triangle – Watch out!

The USD/CHF failed to stop its overnight losing streak and remain depressed around just above the 0.9100 level mainly due to the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) woes in the U.S., Europe, and some of the notable Asian nations like Japan, which eventually exerted downside pressure on the market trading sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Apart from this, the geopolitical tensions between China and some notable countries like the U.S. added a burden around the equity market. Thereby, the risk-off market sentiment underpins the safe-haven Swiss franc and contributes to the currency pair losses. Conversely, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the market risk-off tone, has become the key factor that kept the lid on any additional losses in the currency pair.

In the meantime, the fresh optimism over Brexit talks and the positive news about vaccine progress help the market trading sentiment limit its deeper losses, which might provide some support to the currency pair. As of writing, the USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.9109 and consolidating in the range between 0.9104 – 0.9126.

Despite the renewed optimism over the possible vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease, the market trading sentiment failed to extend its overnight positive performance. It started to flash red during the Asian session on the day, possibly due to the combination of factors. Be it the worrisome headlines concerning the US-China tussle or the resurgence of COVID-19 new cases in the U.S., Europe, and Japan; everything has been weighing on the market trading sentiment. This, in turn, provided a boost to the safe-haven Swiss Franc and exerted some additional pressure on the currency pair.

As per the latest Johns Hopkins University report, the global cases crossed 56 million figures, of which 11.5 million are in the U.S., along with nearly 250,000 deaths, nearly one-fifth of total global deaths. Not only from the U.S. but Tokyo also alarmed investors. As in result, New York restricts personal presence at the schools while Japan alarmed alerts in the capital after the daily cases rise crosses 500 on November 16. It is worth mentioning that Japan’s COVID-19 cases raised past-2,000 for the first time since the virus outbreak began. At the same time, Germany reported 22,609 new coronavirus infections, the 3rd-highest daily hike on record. Two hundred fifty-one deaths were recorded, as the total fatalities reached 13,370 so far.

Considering the current condition of virus spreading, Poland is also thinking about imposing a nationwide lockdown while major European economies, including France, Italy, Spain, and the U.K., are already under lockdowns. This, in turn, exerted downside pressure on the market risk tone and contributed to currency pair gains.

Elsewhere, the U.S., U.K., and Australia recently released a joint statement showing their disappointment over the Dragon Nation’s performance in Hong Kong. The global policymakers urged the Asian major to respect international commitment while urging to stop threatening Hong Kong peoples.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar managed to keep its gains throughout the Asian session as the traders are still cheering the risk-off marker mood. However, the U.S. dollar bullish bias was rather unaffected by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.S. or the US COVID-19 aid package delay. However, the U.S. dollar gains turned out to be one of the leading factors that help the currency pair limit its deeper losses. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies rose to 92.448.

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims along with Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. In the meantime. The release of Trade Balance will be key to watch. Across the pond, the ongoing drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.9049

S2 0.908

S3 0.91

Pivot Point 0.9111

R1 0.9131

R2 0.9143

R3 0.9174

The USD/CHF has violated the descending triangle pattern, extending resistance at 0.9148 level. Previously, the USD/CHF was extending resistance at the 0.9120 level, and since this level has already been violated, we may have further upward movement until 0.9150 and 0.9199 level. The MACD is also supporting the buying trend; therefore, we can try to capture a quick buy trade over the 0.9110 level today. Good luck!

Tags Forex, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, USD-CHF

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 19 – Ethereum 2.0 Most Likely Not Launching on Time; Crypto Sector Consolidating

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 19 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 19 – Ethereum 2.0 Most Likely Not Launching on Time; Crypto Sector Consolidating

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day trying to consolidate after Bitcoin finished its rally. However, while most cryptocurrencies moved less than 1%, almost every one of them ended up in the red. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $17,708, representing a decrease of 0.73% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum lost 0.49% on the day, while XRP lost 1.53%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

OKB gained 17.77% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by yearn.finance’s gain of 12.48% and SushiSwap’s 11.73% gain. On the other hand, Band Protocol lost 10.00%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Ampleforth lost 9.81% while Aragon lost 7.26%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has stayed at exactly the same place over the course of the day, with its value is currently staying at 66.3%. This value represents no difference when compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has stayed at the same place over the course of the day. Its current value is $495.07 billion, representing a $3.01 billion decrease compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

While it may seem that Bitcoin has had a pretty slow and uneventful day, that is certainly not the case. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap has spent the past 24 hours fighting for the $17,850 level and constantly going over and under it. However, the battle is finished, and BTC remains below $17,850 for the time being.

Many traders and analysts are warning BTC traders of a potential triangle formation forming. They also advise traders to refrain from trading until BTC chooses a clear direction.

BTC/USD 1-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals on the daily, weekly, and monthly time-frame are all bullish but show signs of neutral presence. On the other hand, its 4-hour overview is tilted towards the buy-side and doesn’t show any bearishness.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is slightly above its 50-period EMA and below its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly below its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (44.71)
Volume is slightly below average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $18500 1: $17,850

2: $19000 2: $17,450

3: $19500 3: $17,130

Ethereum

Ethereum has established itself above the top line of the ascending channel (yellow dotted line) and is now trading within a new range, bound by the yellow line as support and a new ascending trend line as resistance. Ethereum’s price seems to be in a correction phase at the moment, so we can expect a retest of the yellow line as well as a possible sharp move afterward.

Ethereum traders should wait for the cryptocurrency to confirm its support level or fall under it, and then trade “with the wave.”

ETH/USD 1-hour Chart

Ethereum’s time-frames are slightly tilted towards the buy-side, with its daily overview showing slight bear presence, while its 4-hour and weekly overviews are showing slight neutrality. On the other hand, its monthly overview is completely bullish.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is below both its 50-period and its 21-period EMA
Price is between its middle and bottom Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (41.77)
Volume is slightly below average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $490 1: $470

2: $500 2: $451

3: $510 3: $445

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap had another day of slowly marching towards the downside. However, the extremely low volume may be suggesting that the current price movement is a “calm before the storm,” and that a new big move is coming. Analysts are calling for another push towards the upside. Still, a move down is just as likely with the current state of the sector (the crypto sector is currently in a consolidation/correction phase).

XRP/USD 1-hour Chart

XRP’s daily and weekly overviews are completely bullish and show no signs of neutrality or bearishness. On the other hand, its 4-hour and monthly overviews show slight neutrality.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is below both its 50-period EMA and its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly below its middle Bollinger band
RSI is pushing towards being oversold (39.45)
Volume is below average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.31 1: $0.28

2: $0.3244 2: $0.27

3: $0.3328 3: $0.266

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 19 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Jobless Claims in Focus!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 19 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 19 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Jobless Claims in Focus!

The economic calendar is filled with medium impact economic events such as Unemployment Claims, C.B. Leading Index m/m, and Existing Home Sales from the United States on the news front. Besides, the Current Account from the Eurozone will also remain in the highlights today. The market may show some price action during the U.S. session on the release of U.S. Jobless Claims.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18539 after placing a high of 1.18908 and a low of 1.18491. The EUR/USD pair dropped on Wednesday after placing gains for four consecutive days. The EUR/USD pair remained on an upbeat track last days amid the market sentiment’s risk-on market sentiment due to the vaccine optimism. The riskier currencies gathered strength against the safe-havens like the USD and posted gains over the last week. However, on Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair started to decline as Europe’s lockdown situation started to raise fears for economic recovery.

However, the second wave of the coronavirus in Europe started to show signs of slowing. The latest numbers showed a stabilization in new cases in Germany, Spain, Italy and a decline in Belgium, France, and the Netherlands. Despite this, the experts have warned that it was too early to get complacent. The lockdowns and tough social restrictions were reintroduced across numerous European countries in October due to the increased spread of the second wave of coronavirus. These restrictions have been placing a threat on European nations’ economic recovery and weighed on Euro currency that has dragged the EUR/USD pair down on Wednesday.

On the data front, at 02:00 GMT, the TC Long Term Purchases from the U.S. raised to 108.9B against the forecasted 41.5B and supported the U.S. dollar that ultimately added losses in the EUR/USD pair. At 18:30 GMT, the Building Permits from October remained flat with the anticipations of 1.55M. The Housing Starts were raised to 1.53M from the projected 1.45M and supported the U.S. dollar that weighed on EUR/USD pair on Wednesday.

From the European side, at 15:00 GMT, the Final CPI for the year came in line with the expectations of -0.3%. The Final CPI for the year also remained flat as expected, 0.2%. European data failed to impact the EUR/USD pair on Wednesday, and the pair continued following the U.S. dollar’s movement.

The losses in the EUR/USD pair were limited after the risk sentiment was improved in the market due to the latest optimism regarding the coronavirus vaccine. Pfizer and BioNtech announced that they would be filing for emergency authorization of their vaccine in the coming days from the U.S. This raised the optimism that vaccines will soon be available in the market, and the chaos will be lifted from the economy, and it will start to recover. The riskier currency Euro gained traction and capped further losses in the EUR/USD pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1836 1.1880

1.1820 1.1908

1.1791 1.1924

Pivot point: 1.1864

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading with a bearish bias at the 1.1844 level, having violated an upward trendline on the hourly chart. On the lower side, the support stays at 1.1832, and below this, the EUR/USD may find next support at 1.1814. On the higher side, the resistance can be found at the 1.1867 level. The bullish bias remains dominants today as the MACD and 50 periods EMA support a bullish trend. We are already holding a buying trade from yesterday; therefore, you are advised to follow our forex signals page for more updates on the EUR/USD pair.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.32670 after placing a high of 1.33120 and a low of 1.32410. The pair GBP/USD continued its bullish momentum for the 4th consecutive day on Wednesday and reached near 1.33200 level. The latest rise in the GBP/USD pair was driven by the growing hopes that a Brexit deal could be within reach after the French President Emmanuel Macron was ready to cave in on demands from the U.K. for full sovereignty waters that will likely rein in access for French fishermen.

This news raised hopes for a Brexit deal before the end of the transition period and supported the British Pound that ultimately lifted the GBP/USD pair higher on board. The Irish Minister Micheal Martin also said that a landing zone for an agreement was within sight just a day ahead of the European Union Summit when the E.U. Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier will brief E.U. leaders about the two weeks of talks held with the U.K.

Chances are increased that an agreement will be made as soon as Monday and will be approved within a week, most likely at the next E.U. Summit on December 10. After that, the European Parliament would have to rubberstamp the agreement to ensure a deal was placed before the end of the transition period on Dec.31st.

All these hopes lifted the British Pound as the chances of a deal were clear for the first time, and things were going in favor of the U.K. However, analysts were concerned that inflation was likely to slow in the months ahead. The GBP/USD pair picked up its pace towards an upward direction due to renewed Brexit optimism and reached near 1.3200 level on Wednesday. On the data front, At 12:00 GMT, the Consumer Price Index for the year raised to 0.7% from the expected 0.5% and supported the Sterling. The year’s Core CPI also raised to 1.5% against the anticipated 1.3% and supported British Pound. The RPI from the U.K. also rose to 1.3% from the expected 1.2% and supported British Pound that ultimately added further gains in GBP/USD pair. At 12:02 GMT, the PPI Input for October surged to 0.2% against the expected 0.0% and supported the British Pound. At the same time, the PPI Output in October remained flat with the expectations of 0.0%. The Housing Price Index from the U.K. also surged to 4.7% against the forecasted 2.9% and supported the British Pound.

The U.K.’s positive macroeconomic data supported the British Pound against the U.S. dollar and raised the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

While from the U.S. side, at 02:00 GMT, the TC Long Term Purchases rose to 108.9B against the anticipated 41.5B and supported the U.S. dollar. At 18:30 GMT, the Building Permits for October remained flat with the projections of 1.55M. The Housing Starts surged to 1.53M from the anticipated 1.45M and supported the U.S. dollar that ultimately capped further gains in GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England’s Chief Economist Andy Haldane said that the economic outlook for 2021 was materially brighter than he had expected just a few weeks ago despite the short-term uncertainty from a renewed coronavirus lockdown in England. He said that Britain’s economy shrank by almost 20% in the second quarter of 2020, more than any other peer economy, and at the end of September, it was still 8.4% smaller than a year before. He struck a somewhat positive note in line with his previous assessments of Britain’s recovery on Wednesday that raised the British Pound on board against the U.S. dollar. This also benefited the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday, and hence, the pair ended its day with a bullish candle.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3155 1.3236

1.3118 1.3280

1.3073 1.3317

Pivot point: 1.3199

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD pair is trading bullish at the 1.3279 level, holding over the 1.3227 support level, which is extended by an upward trendline on a 2-hour timeframe. The Cable is likely to face immediate resistance at the 1.3297 area, which will be confirmed if the candle starts closing below this level. However, the bullish breakout of the 1.3297 level can drive further upside movement until the 1.3370 level today.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 103.795 after placing a high of 104.207 and a low of 103.650. The currency pair USD/JPY remained bearish for the 5th consecutive session on Wednesday and dragged its prices below the 103.700 level. The USD/JPY pair was extending its losses due to the U.S. dollar weakness on Wednesday despite the latest optimism regarding the coronavirus vaccine. On Wednesday, Pfizer announced that its vaccine was 95% effective in its study and planning to seek authorization within days.

The currency pair was under pressure as the coronavirus situation was getting worse day by day in the U.S. as the death toll surpassed 250,000 level in the major economy. According to Johns Hopkins University, the coronavirus has cost almost 250,180 American lives so far, and the count was increasing day by day. This raised fears that more restrictions could be imposed in many states, which would slow down the economic recovery. These fears weighed in the local currency U.S. dollar, and hence, USD/JPY remained under pressure for the 5th consecutive session on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.58 104.16

103.32 104.48

102.99 104.74

Pivot point: 103.90

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Forex, forex services, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Market Analysis

AUDUSD Prepares for Employment Data Ahead

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 18 November, 2020
No Comments on AUDUSD Prepares for Employment Data Ahead

Market Overview

The AUDUSD pair during the overnight trading session will be driven by October’s employment data, to be released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics in a few hours. The analysts’ consensus expects an increase of 7.1% in the unemployment rate (YoY), representing a deterioration in the labor market conditions and a rise over the 6.9% reported in September.

The unemployment rate jumped from 5.1% in January to 7.5% in August during the current year. In this context, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Philip Lowe, confirmed the change in the focus from inflation rate to labor market conditions, which according to Governor Lowe, would face “an extended period of higher unemployment than we have become used to.”

On the other hand, the next 8-hour chart illustrates the market participants’ sentiment unveiled by the 90-day high and low range, where the price action looks testing the extreme bullish sentiment zone support located at 0.73009.

Likewise, the Aussie advances in a sideways movement. We can see that, after reaching its yearly high at 0.74135, the Aussie was dragged toward the extreme bearish sentiment zone, where the Australian currency bounced back to the extreme bullish sentiment.

Currently, the re-test of the recent intraday high at 0.7335 leads us to expect further upsides in the following sessions, likely to head to its early September highs at 0.7400.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The short-term Elliott Wave view exposed in the next 8-hour chart reveals the sideways advance in an incomplete flat pattern of Minuette degree identified in blue, which, according to the Elliott Wave theory, follows an internal sequence subdivided into 3-3-5. This corrective pattern in progress belongs to the fourth wave of Minute degree labeled in black.

The previous figure shows the current wave (b) in blue, which began on September 25th on 0.70059. The end of wave b of Subminuette degree identified in green pierced the origin of wave a. That leads us to consider the possibility that the current corrective formation could correspond to an expanded flat pattern.

Finally, the current incomplete movement corresponding to wave c in green could advance to the potential target area between 0.7352 and 0.7465. If the price action doesn’t surpass the level 0.7352, then the price could test the sideways channel’s previous lows.

The alternative scenario is if the price breaks above the 0.74134 level, climbing until 0.7465. Thar means the bullish pressure is strong. In that case, the next decline corresponding to wave c in blue will likely be weaker, ending in a region under 0.71, but no further than 0.70.

Tags audusd, Elliott Wave Analysis, Flat Pattern, Forex, Fundamental Analysis, Market Sentiment, Price Action, RBA, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading, Unemployment Rate

Forex Signals

AUD/USD Upward Channel Supports – Choppy Session in Play!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 18 November, 2020
No Comments on AUD/USD Upward Channel Supports – Choppy Session in Play!

The AUD/USD was closed at 0.72998 after placing a high of 0.73393 and a low of 0.72887. After placing gains for two consecutive days, the AUD/USD pair was declined on Tuesday amid the risk-off market sentiment. On Tuesday, the Assistant Governor of Reserve Bank of Australia, Dr. Kent, said that the Aussie’s recent rise was due to the optimistic news of the coronavirus vaccine rather than about the US Presidential election outcome. He said that any positive news about vaccine development would be a good thing for the global economy, including the Australian economy.

Over the chances of negative interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia, Kent said it was extraordinarily unlikely that the bank would go for it. These comments from Kent failed to provide any specific movement in AUD/USD pair. Meanwhile, the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia were released on Tuesday, showing that the central bank was ready to provide more policy stimulus if needed after cutting rates to record lows. The bank’s board felt taking interest rates negative was not sensible, and any further action would involve increasing bond purchases.

The minutes revealed that the bank has decided to cut its main cash rate by 15 basis points to just 0.1% and launch a new bond-buying program. The board was ready to do more in need, and the focus over the period ahead will be the government bond purchase program. Moreover, on the data front, from the US side, at 19:00 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate raised to 72.8% against the estimated 72.3%. It supported the US dollar added further losses in the AUD/USD pair. The Industrial Production came in line with the anticipations of 1.1% in October. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for September rose to 0.7% against the expected 0.5% and weighed on the US dollar. The NAHB Housing Market Index from the US surged to 90 from the expected 85 and supported the US dollar that weighed on AUD/USD pair.

Another aspect included in the AUD/USD pair’s downward momentum was the risk-off market sentiment due to the rising coronavirus cases across the globe. The second wave of coronavirus forced many governments to re-impose restrictions that raised economic recovery concerns and increased the appeal for safe-haven that weighed on the AUD/USD pair on Tuesday.

Daily technical Levels
Support Resistance
0.7278 0.7329
0.7257 0.7361
0.7226 0.7381
Pivot point: 0.7309

The AUD/USD pair’s technical side hasn’t changed much as it continues to trade around the 0.7291 level, holding below an immediate resistance area of 0.7330 level. The AUD/USD is likely to remain supported over the 0.7270 level, and it may find resistance around the 0.7330 mark. A bearish breakout of the 0.7272 level can extend the selling trend until the 0.7260 level today; let’s keep an eye on the 0.7290 level as below this selling trend can be seen and vice versa. Good luck!

Tags AUD/USD, Forex, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 18 – Bitcoin Encounters Heavy Resistance at $18,500: What Happens Next?

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 18 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 18 – Bitcoin Encounters Heavy Resistance at $18,500: What Happens Next?

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day mostly stable and looking at Bitcoin as it kept pushing towards highs unseen after the bull run of late 2017. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $17.829, representing an increase of 6.64% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum gained 2.00% on the day, while XRP lost 1.90%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Nexo gained 14.37% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by Bitcoin Gold’s gain of 10.84% and DigiByte’s 9.52% gain. On the other hand, SushiSwap lost 12.92%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Curve DAO Token lost 10.74% while HedgeTrade lost 10.07%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has skyrocketed over the course of the day, with its value is currently staying at 66.3%. This value represents a 1.4% difference to the upside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up quite a bit over the course of the day. Its current value is $498.06 billion, representing a $20.84 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

Bitcoin has had a parabolic run to the upside, reaching as high as $18,500 before dropping down. While the price gain was gradual at first, Bitcoin’s final push from $17,600 to $18,500 and then back to nearly $17,000 happened in just a couple of hours. This volatility came to be because BTC encountered heavy resistance at the now-confirmed $18,500 resistance level. Many traders call this move just a temporary pullback before a new high, while a minority is calling a short-term top.

Trading Bitcoin on a bull trend such as this one should only happen in one direction, and that is WITH the trend. Shorting Bitcoin and attempting to catch pullbacks will be far less lucrative due to the size of the move, as well as much riskier.

BTC/USD 1-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly time-frame are all completely bullish and show no signs of bear or neutral presence. On the other hand, its monthly overview is tilted towards the buy-side just slightly and does show some bearishness.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is far above its 50-period EMA and above its 21-period EMA
Price is between its middle and top Bollinger band
RSI is stabilizing after leaving the overbought territory (61.38)
Volume is descending

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $18500 1: $17,850

2: $19000 2: $17,450

3: $19500 3: $17,130

Ethereum

Ethereum had had a turbulent 24 hour period, as its price went from fighting for and hovering over the top line of the ascending channel all the way to $495 and then back to $455 before it stabilized at around $475. This move has clearly shown the market another ascending line (red) formed on the ETH/USD chart, which has been tested a couple of times already. This line is Ethereum’s final resistance towards $500.

Ethereum should, as most cryptos at the moment, be traded only to the upside, as trading its pullbacks during a bull market is simply not worth it.

ETH/USD 2-hour Chart

Ethereum’s weekly time-frame shows some neutrality alongside its overall bullish stance, while the other time-frames show complete bullishness.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above both its 50-period and its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (55.77)
Volume is above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $490 1: $470

2: $500 2: $451

3: $510 3: $445

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap started off the day by pushing towards the upside and almost reaching its $0.31 resistance level. However, the bears have stepped in and brought XRP’s price down to $0.28 before consolidating in the middle of the range between the two aforementioned levels.

If Bitcoin doesn’t make another sharp move in the short-term, XRP is (yet again) sideways-action crypto. However, if BTC moves, it’s safest to watch Bitcoin and trade along with the bullish moves while discarding the bearish entries.

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s 4-hour, daily, and weekly technicals are tilted towards the buy-side, and while they aren’t showing signs of neutrality, the bullish sentiment isn’t as strong either. The monthly overview does, on the other hand, show clear signs of neutrality.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period EMA and at its 21-period EMA
Price is at its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (54.33)
Volume is above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.31 1: $0.28

2: $0.3244 2: $0.27

3: $0.3328 3: $0.266

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 18 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Series of Inflation Reports Ahead!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 18 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 18 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Series of Inflation Reports Ahead!

On the news front, eyes will remain on the low and medium series impacts economic evens from U.K., Eurozone, and Canada. Its the CPI figures which are coming from all three major economies during European and the U.S. sessions. The U.K. and Eurozone Inflation reports are expected to remain neutral, with no major change expected, and these may have a muted impact on the market. However, the Canadian CPI is expected to perform slightly better, surging by 0.2% vs. -0.1% dip during the previous month. It may support Lonnie pairs today.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18605 after placing a high of 1.18935 and a low of 1.18423. The EUR/USD pair continued to move in bullish track for the 4th consecutive day on Tuesday amid the downbeat economic data from the U.S. and broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The improved risk sentiment in the market continued supporting the EUR/USD pair on Tuesday in the early trading session, which pushed the currency pair towards a fresh weekly high at 1.1894. The risk sentiment was supported by the latest optimism from the vaccine candidates of Pfizer and Moderna. After the latest announcement from Moderna that its vaccine was 94.5% effective in last stage trials, the risk sentiment picked its pace and favored the riskier assets like EUR/USD pair.

However, the currency pair could not remain on the top for long and started losing some of its daily gains on Tuesday amid the risk-off market environment in the second half of the day. The U.S. dollar gained traction in the second half and weighed on the currency pair EUR/USD after the chances for a further stimulus package from Congress declined.

The U.S. Dollar Index was down to an 8-day lowest level of 92.26 in the first half of the day because of the rising number of coronavirus cases and lockdown restrictions in the economy. The increased number of coronavirus cases from the U.S. forced governments to impose restrictive measures to control the spread of the virus, and the chances for quick economic recovery faded that ultimately weighed on the U.S. dollar and helped EUR/USD pair to reach a new weekly high level.

However, the U.S. dollar lost its momentum after the release of its macroeconomic data on Tuesday. At 18:30 GMT, the Core Retail Sales for October dropped to 0.2% from the estimated 0.6% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. In October from the U.S., the Retail Sales also dropped to 0.3% from the expected 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The Import Prices in the U.S. for October were declined to -0.1% from the estimated 0.2%and weighed on the U.S. dollar that helped EUR/USD pair to post gains.

At 19:00 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate from the U.S. raised to 72.8% against the forecasted 72.3% and supported the U.S. dollar that capped further gains in EUR/USD pair. The Industrial Production remained flat with the anticipations of 1.1% in October. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for September surged to 0.7% against the projected 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The NAHB Housing Market Index from the U.S. surged to 90 from the estimated 85 and supported the U.S. dollar that eventually weighed on the EUR/USD pair and capped further gains.

From the European side, at 14:02 GMT, the Italian Trade Balance raised to 5.85B against the forecasted 4.30B. It supported the single currency Euro that ultimately added gains in the EUR/USD pair.

Furthermore, the European Central Bank President, Christine Lagarde, sounded pessimistic on Tuesday concerning the economic outlook and said that there was very negative news on the second wave of coronavirus in the economy before vaccine news. She expected a massive effect of the second wave of COVID-19 on the European economy into 2021. These comments from Lagarde also kept the pair EUR/USD under pressure on Tuesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1837 1.1890

1.1814 1.1918

1.1785 1.1942

Pivot Point: 1.1866

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading with a bullish bias, holding mostly above the upward trendline support level of 1.1850. Closing of candles above the 1.1869 level is likely to drive bullish movement in the EUR/USD pair until the 1.1885 level. The bullish bias remains dominants today as the MACD and 50 periods EMA support a bullish trend. We are already holding a buying trade from yesterday; therefore, you are advised to follow our forex signals page for more updates on the EUR/USD pair.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.32483 after a high of 1.32724 and a low of 1.31863. The GBP/USD pair raised and continued its bullish track for 3rd consecutive day on Tuesday amid the latest Brexit hopes.

Due to the increased number of COVID-19 cases from across the globe, and the restrictive measures by countries to curb the virus’s spread, the demand for safe-haven currencies increased. In contrast, the riskier currencies like the British Pound remained under pressure.

The Sterling remained supportive in this risk-off mode due to the latest comments from the U.K. chief negotiator, David Frost, that boosted the Brexit deal’s confidence. According to a news report by the U.K. newspaper, The Sun, the previous concerns about the differences in key issues vanished after Britain’s chief negotiator David Frost commented to Boris Johnson that he expects a trade deal signed early next week.

After these comments from David Frost, the GBP/USD pair rallied and started moving upward for the 3rd consecutive day.

Meanwhile, the risk sentiment buoyed by the latest optimism regarding the vaccine development from Moderna also supported the British Pound’s bullish momentum and added further to the gains of the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar weakness also played an important role in pushing the currency pair GBP/USD higher on Tuesday with poor macroeconomic figures. At 18:30 GMT, the Core Retail Sales for October declined to 0.2% from the expected 0.6% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. In October from the U.S., the Retail Sales also fell to 0.3% from the anticipated 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The Import Prices in the U.S. for October fell to -0.1% against the projected 0.2%and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added further gains in the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday.

At 19:00 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate from the U.S. surged to 72.8% against the anticipated 72.3% and supported the U.S. dollar that capped further gains in GBP/USD pair. The Industrial Production came in line with the projections of 1.1% in October. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for September increased to 0.7% against the estimated 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar, which added strength to the GBP/USD pair. The NAHB Housing Market Index from the U.S. rose to 90 from the projected 85 and supported the U.S. dollar.

Meanwhile, the governor of Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, said that the development of seemingly effective coronavirus vaccines was a bigger step forward for the economy that could lower uncertainty and get firms to reinvest. He also said that the business investment had been unusually weak since the financial crisis and weighting on productivity. Bailey also said that the changes due to coronavirus would more likely be within the services sector as it can be seen with a focus on digital services over the face to face work taking hold. Moreover, the Bank of England Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said that positive news about the coronavirus vaccine could help reduce the risks facing Britain’s economy. Still, the central bank was unlikely to revise up its forecasts as a result.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3155 1.3236

1.3118 1.3280

1.3073 1.3317

Pivot point: 1.3199

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 104.184 after placing a high of 104.598 and a low of 104.069. The pair USD/JPY continued its bearish trend for the 4th consecutive day on Tuesday amid broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and Japanese yen strength due to safe-haven appeal.

On Tuesday, the USD/JPY pair fell below 104.1 level after the safe-haven demand rose due to the increasing number of coronavirus cases and the restrictions from all over the world. Many countries started imposing restrictive measures to control the spread of coronavirus that raised concerns over the global economy’s recovery that lifted the safe-haven appeal. The rising safe-haven demand supported the safe-haven Japanese Yen and weighed on the USD/JPY pair on Tuesday.

The safe-haven demand deteriorated a little after the latest optimism regarding the vaccine development from Moderna that gave an efficacy rate of 94.5%. However, there was still a long way to go before the vaccine can be delivered to everyone. According to Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida, the chances for the U.S. economic recovery have been improved due to candidates’ successful test from both Moderna and Pfizer Inc.

On the U.S. front, the U.S. dollar was weak due to the poor macroeconomic data on Tuesday. At 18:30 GMT, the Core Retail Sales for October fell to 0.2% from the anticipated 0.6% and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added pressure on the USD/JPY pair. In October from the U.S., the Retail Sales also declined to 0.3% from the forecasted 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar that weighed on USD/JPY pair. The Import Prices in the U.S. for October were declined to -0.1% from the estimated 0.2%and weighed on the U.S. dollar added pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

At 19:00 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate from the U.S. surged to 72.8% against the estimated 72.3% and supported the U.S. dollar that capped further losses in the USD/JPY pair. The Industrial Production came in line with the anticipations of 1.1% in October. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for September rose to 0.7% against the projected 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added pressure on the USD/JPY pair. The NAHB Housing Market Index from the U.S. surged to 90 from the expected 85 and supported the U.S. dollar that eventually capped further losses in the USD/JPY pair.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, said on Tuesday that as the coronavirus cases were increasing to an alarming rate, it was the time when there was a bigger need for further coronavirus relief from Congress. Powell also noted that the recent announcements from Pfizer and Moderna were certainly good news in the medium term; however, major challenges and uncertainties remain in the near term.

Powell also said that Congress should deliver direct financial support targeted to specific groups instead of using the Federal Reserve’s lending tools. Powell’s comments also weighed on the USD/JPY pair as the need for further support from the Fed and Congress weighed on the U.S. dollar.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.95 104.51

103.73 104.85

103.39 105.08

Pivot point: 104.29

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Forex, Forex Trading, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Videos

Forex – How To Trade The USDJPY Pair!

Post author By Keiran
Post date 17 November, 2020
No Comments on Forex – How To Trade The USDJPY Pair!

https://youtu.be/HMXERprThrg

How to trade the USDJPY pair

Thank you for joining this forex academy educational video.

How to trade the US dollar Japanese yen pair?
The US dollar Japanese yen is one of the so-called major pairs, and accounted for 13.2% of all the daily forex transactions settled during 2019. And the yen is the most frequently traded currency in Asia.
The United States is seen as the largest economy on the planet, albeit battered and bruised by the Covid pandemic, and Japan also has a strong economy, largely export-driven, and many things in common with the United States, including large stock markets. The relationship between the two countries is ever improving and has evolved significantly since the post-world war II era.

The pair can be extremely volatile at times and prone to large swings, but the basic rule of thumb is that when the United States was pre covid and its economy was strong, traders preferred dollars over yen. And since the United States has been in the grip of the pandemic, and even though the economy still massively outweighs that of Japan, traders prefer to buy the Japanese yen in times of uncertainty. It is seen as a safe-haven currency.

Let’s take a look at some price action on this monthly chart, where we see an A, B, C, D price swing since August 2006 of almost 13,000 pips. This is not a pair to be traded without caution and tight stop losses by retail traders.

This weekly chart highlights two periods A and B between 2018 and 2020, where the difference between the top and bottom of both ranges is approximately 1000 pips. Again, these are account busting moves if you are on the wrong side of the trade and without a cautious stop loss in place.

And yet, the overall trend as seen clearly here, again, on the weekly chart, which shows a snapshot of the pair since April 2017, is a downtrend. The yen is stronger overall.

Here we are still looking at the weekly chart. However, we have highlighted a couple of stages in the price action for this pair. Firstly, we must note the high at position A, with an exchange rate of 112.17, and the low at 101.17, which came just a couple of weeks later, where the yen was being bought as a safe-haven asset against the US dollar as the pandemic began to take hold. This was a significant swing in the exchange rate.
Now take a look at the bear channel shown at position C. Institutions look at the higher time frames and, as they hold all the aces in terms of their ability to move the markets with the size of their forex transaction, this is where retail traders need to focus their attention with regard to likely price action moves for the longer term.

Of course, retail traders should never trade on weekly or monthly timeframes because they would need to incorporate huge stop losses. We have already demonstrated with this pair moves of over 1000 pics is simply nothing here.

But they can and should use the information to try and establish the overall trend that institutional traders are looking at.
And here, we have brought the timeframe down to an hourly one, and we can see that since the 10th of November 2020, we have two peaks forming a line of resistance. Two areas forming a line of support and the grey circle, which clearly shows a breach of that support line, and with all of the uncertainty going on with regard to a new United States president, the worsening situation with regard to the pandemic in America with 150,000 new cases reported just a few days ago; we can only surmise that with all of this information that traders may continue to push the pair and to the previous low of 101.00 which we saw earlier on the monthly chart while favoring the safe-haven stats of the yen over the US dollar.

In conclusion, traders should be looking for potential signs of a weakening or pullbacks to get on board to short this pair. As we have clearly seen, the pair is subject to huge price swings, and tight stops should be incorporated.

Tags Charting, Education, Forex, Technical Analysis, trading, USDJPY

Forex Daily Topic Forex Videos

Secret Techniques For Profitable Forex Trading Part 1!

Post author By Keiran
Post date 17 November, 2020
No Comments on Secret Techniques For Profitable Forex Trading Part 1!

https://youtu.be/ub-NttxWFSw

Secret Techniques for Profitable Forex Trading I

Profitable Forex trading is an elusive goal for many traders. According to most statistics, over 75 percent of traders lose money. This comes for several reasons. There are well-known causes of this unfortunate outcome. Most traders get blown out because they bet too much and lose all when the market turns against them. Another source of failure is their psychological bias to let losses grow and cut their profits short. But today, we will focus on one key factor: How to assess entries and exits properly.

The States of a Market

Many people classify market action into over six states: Bul, Bear, Sideways with high or low volatility. Although this is usually correct, it does not offer enough simplicity to make decisions. The best way to look at market action is similar to what the Elliott Wave Theory states: Elliott stated that the market had impulsive phases and corrections of this primary impulse. We don’t need to be a genius to see that it is logical. Waves need to swing for it to form. But impulses and corrections have different properties. What works on one, it does not work on the other. Thus, the secret to master the trade is to
Assess which state the market is on
Apply the proper tools for entries and exits.

Impulse Properties

Impulses are characterized by directional movement. Bull or bear, we can see a steady price movement toward a new equilibrium, as impulses are created by an imbalance between supply and demand. The volatility on impulses is directional, and the tools to apply are moving averages and superior form of them such as instant trend, MAMA, MESA, and similars.

Chart 1 – Bitcoin 4H chart impulsive Phase

In chart 1, we show Bitcoin moving in its latest impulsive phase, although we can also see a glimpse of corrective structures. The main idea here is to follow the trend. The chart shows a ribbon formed by Ehlers Instant trend, an advanced indicator freely available on Tradingview but also MT4 and MT5 platforms.
We see that the indicator is right at delivering timely entries and exits. The chart also shows its 50 and 200 simple moving averages, heading up and supporting the trend. We can see that the touching of the 50-SMA line could be used as well to enter or add to the position, although the instant trendline seems to lead the 50-SMA. Tradingview’s Instant Trendline Indicator colorizes the candles’ body so the upward phases can be spotted with ease.

Corrective Properties

Corrective phases come at the end of an impulse. We have to realize that impulses come from a lack of equilibrium between buyers and sellers due to actions to find a new fair value. The fair price is unknown; thus, usually, the impulse creates overbought or oversold conditions. When some savvy traders spot this, they start to unload their positions in a profit-taking activity. That lowers the price to a level where it finds new buyers. The price moves up now, but the memory of traders who lost near the top makes more selling pressure ahead of this level, lowering the price and creating a cyclic path. Thus, the main characteristic of corrective phases is its cyclic characteristic, whereas the main feature of impulses is their lack or decline of cycles.

Since the cycle is the main component of corrections, The best way to time them is by using an oscillator, such as the Stochastic, RSI, or an advanced wave oscillator. If you’re price-action oriented, you may use support-resistance levels and breakouts to spot the right entries and exits.

Chart 2 – Bitcoin 1H chart Corrective Phase with Ehlers Stochastic CCI, Stochastic, and AutoCorr Angles.

As an example, we show on chart 2 the corrective phase of Bitcoin that started after a move up to $15,000 from the last consolidation of $13,500.
The image shows the stochastic oscillator( third curve) and two advanced oscillators buy the innovator of this century, John Ehlers, The Stochastic CCI, and Autocorrelation Angle. These two can also be found on Tradingview.com and MT4 and MT5 platforms.
We see that the Ehler’s Stochastic CCI (second curve, following the price) can precisely time the cycles on the chart with razor-sharp precision. However, the Stochastic oscillator is not far behind and can be used to profit from these cycles or confirm a reversal candle.

The bottom image shows the Autocorrelation angles indicator.
Autocorrelation is an advanced way to spot the short-term memory of the markets. A sharp move on the angle will show a transition from bear to bullish and bullish to bearish phases. This indicator is harder to handle, though.

There are many others, such as the Even better Sinewave indicator, shown in the third chart. The Even Better Sinewave is designed to find the dominant cycle of the price action. Sometimes, the market loses its pace, as happens in the whipsaw (amber) shown. But most of the time, this advanced indicator can time the cycle changes accurately.

Chart 3 – Bitcoin 1H chart Corrective Phase with Even Better Sinewave Indicator

To conclude
Markets have two phases: Impulsive and corrective.
Each needs the right tools to find suitable entries and exits.
Traders need to spot first the state of the market.
If Impulsive, apply Averages or advanced versions of moving averages and follow the trend.
If corrective, use oscillators to spot turning points.
Don’t be conformist. Look for advanced tools and learn to use them. They will give you a better edge.

Tags Education, Forex, Forex Strategies, Technical Analysis, trading

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 17 – Bitcoin Crushes $16,500; XRP Explodes to the Upside

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 17 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 17 – Bitcoin Crushes $16,500; XRP Explodes to the Upside

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day trying to reach past its recent highs as Bitcoin pushed past $16,500. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $16,718, representing an increase of 2.97% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum gained 2.34% on the day, while XRP gained an astonishing 10.46%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Curve DAO Token gained 14.27% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by yearn.finance’s gain of 12.92% and Litecoin’s 10.99% gain. On the other hand, THORChain lost 7.28%, making it the most prominent daily loser. The Midas Touch Gold lost 6.16% while Uniswap lost 4.22%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has decreased slightly over the course of the day, with its value is currently staying at 64.9%. This value represents a 0.1% difference to the downside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up very slightly over the course of the day. Its current value is $477.28 billion, representing a $13.89 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

After confirming its stance above $16,000 after fighting for it over the weekend, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization pushed towards $16,500 and attempted to reach new highs. The push was strong as there was no real sell pressure, so Bitcoin reached past $16,500 (and eventually past $16,700) without any real increase in volume. While the $16,500 position has been successfully tested once, the $16,700 level is still not completely won.

Trading Bitcoin on a bull trend such as this one should only happen in one direction: WITH the trend. Shorting Bitcoin and trying to catch pullbacks will be less lucrative due to the size of the move, as well as riskier due to the market sentiment.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are tilted towards the buy-side on all four time-frames (4-hour, daily, weekly, and monthly). However, all of them have some form of neutrality, implying that the bullish sentiment is not absolute.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is far above its 50-period EMA and its 21-period EMA
Price is near its top Bollinger band
RSI is approaching the overbought territory (65.02)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $17,000 1: $16,700

2: $18000 2: $16,500

3: $18500 3: $16,000

Ethereum

Ethereum has spent the past two days slowly moving towards the top line of the ascending channel after pulling back to $440. The move was gradual but saw some resistance when it reached the top line. However, Ethereum bulls endured and ultimately broke the level but got instantly stuck at the $470 resistance, which is another wall they have to jump over to remain above this channel.

If Ethereum’s struggles to break the $470 level continue, we may expect a pullback of some sort. With that being said, due to the overall sentiment towards Ethereum (and its 2.0 implementation) as well as the state of the crypto sector, shorting Ethereum should not be a proper trading strategy, even if ETH does pull back.

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s 1-day technicals are slightly bullish but are showing signs of neutrality. On the other hand, its 4-hour, weekly, and monthly overviews are completely tilted towards the buy-side.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above both its 50-period and its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (57.54)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $470 1: $451

2: $490 2: $445

3: $500 3: $420

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap had yet another incredible day, with its price pushing past the $0.27 and even $0.2855 resistance levels. An incredible bull wave brought XRP’s price to $0.3 before it started to pull back slightly. This move has pushed XRP further up towards being the best-performing asset over a 1-week period compared to BTC and ETH, with gains of 18% this week, compared to BTC’s gains of 2.95 and ETH’s gains of 0.76.

Traders can finally look at XRP as a cryptocurrency that isn’t just used for sideways trading, and look for opportunities near new highs.

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s 4-hour, daily, and monthly technicals are slightly tilted towards the buy-side, and all of them are showing more or less signs of neutrality. The weekly overview is, on the other hand, completely bullish.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period EMA and its 21-period EMA
Price is at its top Bollinger band
RSI is heavily overbought (76.99)
Volume is above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.31 1: $0.2855

2: $0.3244 2: $0.27

3: $0.3328 3: $0.266

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 17 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Retail Sales in Focus!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 17 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 17 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Retail Sales in Focus!

TheThe eyes will remain on the retail sales, Capacity Utilization Rate, and Industrial Production from the United States on the news side on the news side. Retail sales are expected to drop, and they may place bearish pressure on the U.S. dollar. At the same time, the Capacity Utilization Rate and Industrial Production are expected to perform better.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18537 after placing a high of 1.18686 and a low of 1.18139. EUR/USD pair remained on positive foot for the 3rd consecutive day and posted gains on Monday. In the early trading session, risk sentiment started to dominate financial markets after Moderna announced that its COVID vaccine candidate showed 94.5% effectiveness in the latest trials. However, the single currency Euro found it hard to take advantage of the improved market mood since the European Central Bank made it clear that they will act in the upcoming December meeting.

While speaking at an event on Monday, the European Central Bank and policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said that foreign exchange moves between the USD and the EUR had reached a concerning phase. De Cos further said that the monetary aid should be increased to avoid market destruction, given the worsening outlook for economic activity and inflation.

These comments from ECB policymaker, along with the hopes for further easing from ECB next month, exerted high pressure on the single currency that capped further gains in EUR/USD pair on Monday. However, the currency pair remained positive for the day, even though the European economy was hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic.

According to Johns Hopkins University, more than 54 million people had been infected by COVID-19 globally. In Europe, governments scrambled amid an alarming rise in numbers as France’s health authorities reported 9406 new cases on Monday. Germany postponed its decision on further lockdown measures until next week.

The German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that she wanted to impose further restrictions immediately, but she did not have a majority, so the decision was postponed until November 25. The tightening of lockdown measures was something nobody wanted, and that helped the single currency Euro and supported it. Meanwhile, Sweden placed a nationwide limit of eight people for all gatherings to slow down coronavirus spread. The limit will take effect from November 24 and will last for four weeks.

Despite all these tensions regarding the coronavirus pandemic, the single currency Euro struggled to hold near its best levels against its rival, the U.S. dollar, on Monday. The higher market sentiment also supported Euro amid the coronavirus vaccine news.

On the data front, the Empire State Manufacturing Index for November declined to 6.3 against the forecasted 13.8 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added gains in EUR/USD pair on Monday. Other than macroeconomic data, the U.S. dollar was already weak in the market due to the rising number of coronavirus cases in the U.S. The weak U.S. dollar added further to the upward movement of the EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1821 1.1877

1.1789 1.1901

1.1765 1.1932

Pivot point: 1.1845

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading sideways, holding mostly below the double top resistance level of 1.1860 level. Still, recently it has formed a Doji pattern followed by bullish candles, suggesting that the buyers are exhausted, and sellers may enter into the market soon. Therefore, we can expect the EUR/USD price to trade bearish until the 1.1838 level, the support level extended by an upward trendline on the hourly timeframe. Bullish crossover of 1.1865 level can also trigger buying until 1.1910.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.31999 after placing a high of 1.32422 and a low of 1.31654. The British Pound was high on Monday as the Brexit talks were resumed between the E.U. and the U.K.

There were increasing signs that little progress could be made in this week’s trade talks. The Brexit optimism with the resumed trade talks drove the British Pound higher on Monday that ultimately pushed the GBP/USD pair on the upside.

However, the pair failed to remain there for long as some investors started giving warning that a deal between the E.U. and the U.K. was unlikely this week in the wake of turmoil in the U.K. government. The two of Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s pro-Brexit advisors, Cummings and Cain, were ousted last week. Moreover, the prospects of failure to reach a deal were fading away with the hopes that if an agreement would not be reached, the deadline could stretch into the final weeks before the end of the transition period on December 31.

The negotiations are potentially stretching into December as the deadline of November 19 was close, and the differences in both sides were larger. Ireland’s foreign minister initially warned that a deal f this size is difficult to reach within a week or ten days, although the talks could continue for a further two weeks. The Brexit deal has left to solve 3 key sticking points, including the level playing field, governance, and fisheries. The control over fisheries has been highlighted as one of the main hindrances, as French President Emmanuel Macron has been reluctant to give Britain’s demand for full sovereignty over access to its waters amid concerns French fishers could lose out.

However, the GBP/USD pair posted gains as the UK PM Boris Johnson’s office said in a statement that they were confident that the U.K. would prosper if they fail to reach a trade deal with the E.U. Apart from Brexit, the GBP/USD pair’s gains were lost a bit after the UK PM Johnson self-isolated himself after having close contact with a coronavirus case despite without symptoms and being well. Johnson has already contracted coronavirus case back in April.

The number of coronavirus cases in the U.K. stayed above 20,000 per day despite the ongoing restrictive measures. Meanwhile, a medical adviser in the U.K. said that the government would have to consider strengthening the three-tier system of restrictions used to control coronavirus spread when the full lockdown in England ends. These tensions kept the GBP/USD pair under pressure on Monday and kept the gains limited.

Meanwhile, a U.S. drugmaker Moderna also announced that its vaccine was proven 94.5% effective in preventing the coronavirus that raised risk sentiment in the market and supported the risk perceived British Pound and added in the gains of GBP/USD pair on Monday. Furthermore, Britain reported that it had secured about five million doses of an experimental coronavirus vaccine developed by Moderna after reporting positive trial results. The health minister Matt Hancock from the U.K. said that the earliest doses are expected for delivery in Spring.

On the data front, the Rightmove HPI from Great Britain was released on Monday at 05:01 GMT, which came in as -0.5% in November against October’s 1.1%. From the U.S. side, the Empire State Manufacturing Index was declined to 6.3 against the forecasted 13.8 and weighed on the U.S. dollar and added strength to GBP/USD pair on Monday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3155 1.3236

1.3118 1.3280

1.3073 1.3317

Pivot point: 1.3199

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD pair is trading at 1.3208 level, holding over 1.3189 level, which is extended by an upward trendline on a 2-hour timeframe. The Cable has recently crossed over the resistance level of the 1.3185 resistance level as the candle’s closing above this level may drive further upward movement in the market. The MACD and RSI support buying trend, and considering the trendline support and oversold indicators, it is worth giving a buy shot to GBP/USD pair. Let’s consider buying over 1.3160 level today.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 104.565 after placing a high of 105.135 and a low of 104.361. The pair followed its previous day’s bearish trend and dropped for 3rd consecutive day on Monday. The USD/JPY pair surged to its previous daily high level on Monday in early trading hours after the news from another drug maker came in about their vaccine’s efficiency. The Moderna reported that its vaccine’s last stage clinical trials were 94.5% effective. After this news, Moderna became the second company to announce its results from last stage clinical trials.

This news raised the risk sentiment in the market and weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen that kept the USD/JPY pair higher at the beginning of the Asian session. However, the gains started to fade as the market participant realized the difficulty of vaccine availability and its usage. The vaccine requires -70C temperature to be stored to be transported, that is not an easy task. Furthermore, there was also a lack of information regarding the time duration for the immunity induced through the vaccine. This can only be ascertained after the vaccine becomes available to the general public for usage.

These uncertainties raised the market’s safe-haven status and supported the Japanese Yen that ultimately weighed on the USD/JPY pair and forced it to lose some of its earlier daily gains. Meanwhile, on the U.S. front, the U.S. dollar was also weak on the day as the rising number of coronavirus cases raised fears for further restrictions and raised the hopes for further stimulus aid from the government.

The global cases of coronavirus reached 54 million, out of which 11 million were reported from the United States, according to the Johns Hopkins University. The rising number of coronavirus in the United States raised hopes that the Fed will announce further easing or a larger monetary aid to support the economy after the victory of Joe Biden in the U.S. presidential election this month.

Biden always favors a larger stimulus package to provide strength to the economy through the coronavirus crisis. With him becoming the U.S. 46th President, the chances for a massive stimulus bill for the U.S. economy have increased, which started to weigh on the U.S. dollar and ultimately dragged the USD/JPY pair’s prices on the downside.

On the data front, the Prelim GDP Price Index from Japan was released at 04:50 GMT that raised to 1.1% in the 3rd quarter against the expected 1.0% and supported the Japanese Yen that ultimately added further losses in the USD.JPY pair on Monday. The Prelim GDP for the 3rd Quarter from Japan also raised to 5.0% against the projected 4.4% and supported the Japanese Yen that dragged the USD.JPY pair on the downside. On the U.S. front, the Empire State Manufacturing Index in November dropped to 6.3 from the projected 13.8 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that dragged the USD/JPY pair further on the downside.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

104.24 105.02

103.91 105.47

103.46 105.81

Pivot point: 104.69

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is with a bearish bias at the 104.400 level, falling from the 104.850 support area. On the lower side, the USD/JPY pair is likely to find support at the 104.141 level, and violation of this level can also extend further selling boas until 103.500. On the higher side, the USD/JPY safe-haven pair may find resistance at 104.845 and may help us capture a selling trades below this level as the MACD and RSI support the selling trend today. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Forex, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Signals

AUDJPY: Breakout after Consolidation

Post author By Fran S.
Post date 16 November, 2020
No Comments on AUDJPY: Breakout after Consolidation

The AUDJPY pair has moved in a bullish sequence that started in the end week of October and ended with a sharp and large 4H candle on Nov 09. There it began a consolidation cycle that started as a sideways move and finally retraced pushed by the selling pressure to near the begging of the last bullish 4H Candle. From there, it is making an upward movement that is supported by its 50-period SMA.

Chart 1 – AUDJPY 4H Chart.

We see that the primary trend is still bullish. The 1H chart also shows the recent leg of upward movements with higher highs and lows (which define a bullish trend). We also observe that following the last bullish candlestick, there are several consolidation candles that retrace, but the closes are not trespassing the 50-hour SMA. Now, we see the strength is coming again, and the Voss Predictor indicator also shows a trend shift that could forecast a visit to the highs made in the recent past.

Chart 2 – AUDJPY 1H Chart.

The setup

Although we suspect that a new upward phase is just beginning, the setup also considers a confirmation in the form of a breakout of the recent range; thus, the entry signal is a buy-stop order at 76.324, with a 31 pip stop-loss that would trigger if the price goes below the low of the last 1H bullish candle (76.014). The take-profit level is set at 76.774, which is in the region of the last highs. The reward/risk ratio is a decent 1.45.

Trade Summary

Entry: Buy-Stop: 76.324

Stop-Loss: 76.014

Take-Profit: 76.774

Risk and Reward

This trade’s risk is 31 pips, which is 296 USD per traded lot, 29.6 USD per mini-lot, and 2.96 USD per lot. A trader willing to risk 1 percent on each trade should trade about 3 micro-lots every $1,000 on his trading account.

Tags AUDJPY, Forex, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading

Forex Course

174. Summary – Multiple Timeframe Analysis

Post author By Reddy Shyam Shankar
Post date 16 November, 2020
No Comments on 174. Summary – Multiple Timeframe Analysis

Introduction

This lesson is basically an overview of what we have covered so far in the Multiple Timeframe series. Multiple timeframe analysis in forex is observing the price action of a selected currency pair under different timeframes. Most forex brokers will provide you with several timeframes. These timeframes are categorized in minutes from 1-minute timeframe to 30-minute timeframe, hourly timeframes from 1-hour timeframe to 12-hour timeframe, the daily timeframe, weekly timeframe, and the 1-month timeframe.

Everything we learned so far!

As we discussed in our first lesson, multiple timeframe analysis involves using at least three timeframes to make a trade. A longer timeframe is used to establish the dominant market trend. Depending on your forex trading style, this dominant trend is used as the prevailing primary trend to anchor your trades. The rationale behind using the longer timeframe to establish the primary trend is because longer timeframes take long to be formed and are not susceptible to the micro fluctuations in price.

The dominant trend is broken down using a medium timeframe to establish the magnitude of the trend. Finally, a shorter timeframe is used as a trigger timeframe by finding the best points to enter and exit a trade. The most common technique of trading multiple timeframes in the forex market is trading three timeframes.

Trading multiple timeframes in forex, therefore, means using multiple timeframe analysis to inform your trading decision. The choice of timeframes used in your analysis entirely depends on the type of forex trader you are.

The table below summarises the type of forex trader and the preferred timeframes.

Note that the above table is merely a guideline. We recommend selecting your desired timeframes for analysis based on your trading style and comfort of analysis. Therefore, the best timeframes to trade in forex will depend on factors such as market volatility and your trading style.

Some of the importance of multiple timeframe analysis in forex include:

The ability to determine the magnitude and significance of economic indicators;
Identifying support and resistance levels which aid to execute various forex orders and in setting ‘take profit’ and ‘stop-loss’ levels;
Helps to identify market trends and their magnitude at a glance quickly; and
Helps in forex forecasting by eliminating the lagging effects of most technical forex indicators.

[wp_quiz id=”89204″]

Tags Education, Forex, Forex Course, Forex Trading, Multiple Timeframe Analysis, Summary, Technical Analysis, trading, Trading timeframes

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 16 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – ECB President Lagarde Speaks!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 16 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 16 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – ECB President Lagarde Speaks!

The eyes will remain on the ECB Financial Stability Review, and President Lagarde Speaks on the news front. The ECB Financial Stability report is an assessment of conditions in the financial system and potential risks to financial stability – the evidence on strains and imbalances can provide insight into monetary policy’s future. Therefore, traders keep a closer eye on reports to predict policy decisions to cope with Covid19 driven economic slowdown.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD currency pair managed to extend its previous 2-day gaining streak and remained bullish around near above mid-1.1800 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the risk-on market sentiment, which keeps the currency pair higher. Hence the market trading sentiment was being supported by the coronavirus vaccine-led enthusiasm.

On the contrary, the buying interest around the currency pair was capped by the intensifying virus fugues in Europe, which raised doubts over the Eurozone economic recovery and became the key factor that has been capped further upside in the currency pair. At the moment, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1849 and consolidating in the range between the 1.1834 – 1.1854.

Despite the doubts over the global economic recovery from intensifying coronavirus (COVID-19) woes in the U.S. and Europe, the market trading sentiment flashing green at the start of the week’s trading and remained supportive by the optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. After cheering the U.S. pharma giant Pfizer’s recent declaration of its coronavirus vaccine’s positive results, the market traders expect the biotechnology company Moderna to follow suit this week. This, in turn, the futures tied to the S&P 500, Wall Street’s benchmark index, is currently trading 0.8% higher on the day and the major Asian indices are up at approximately 1% each.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to gain any positive traction on the day as doubts persist over the global economic recovery from COVID-19. Besides this, the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease, also played its major role in weakening the safe-haven U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar losses became the key factor that kept the currency pair’s higher. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped by 0.14% to 92.588 by 10:05 PM ET (2:05 AM GMT).

On the contrary, the bullish bias around the EUR/USD currency pair was capped by the on-going doubts over the Eurozone economic recovery amid intensifying coronavirus (COVID-19) worries in the U.S. and Europe. The rising coronavirus (COVID-19) worries urged some European countries, such as the U.K. and France, to imposing restrictive measures such as lockdowns and curfews. As in result, the vehicle traffic in both Europe and the U.S. slowing sharply. As per the latest report, there were over 54 million cases across the globe and over 1.3 million deaths as of November 16.

Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on updates surrounding the U.S. stimulus package. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, could not lose their importance. Apart from this, the RBA Gov Lowe Speaks and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes will also be key to watch.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1738 1.1827

1.1697 1.1875

1.1648 1.1917

Pivot point: 1.1786

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD traded bullish at 1.1850 level, but recently it has formed a Doji pattern followed by bullish candles, suggesting that the buyers are exhausted, and sellers may enter the market soon. Therefore, we can expect the EUR/USD price to trade bearish until the 1.1838 level, the support level extended by an upward trendline on the hourly timeframe. Bullish crossover of 1.1856 level can also trigger buying until 1.1880.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD currency pair managed to extend its overnight winning streak and refreshed 4-day high around above 1.3200 level as the currency pair buyers get a warm welcome after returning from the weekend. However, the bullish tone around the currency pair could be attributed to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. dollar was being pressured by the market risk-on sentiment, undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar and contributing to the currency pair gains.

Whereby, the market trading sentiment has remained supportive by the renewed optimism over a possible vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease, which lends some support to the higher-yielding Pound and contributes to the currency pair gains. On the contrary, the Brexit woes and the virus concerns could stop the currency pair’s on-going recovery moves. At this particular time, the GBP/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3234 and consolidating in the range between 1.3174 – 1.3235.

Despite the lingering doubts about global economic recovery and the intensifying tension between the world’s two biggest economies, the market players continue to cheering the optimism over a possible vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. In the meantime, the release of an above-forecast China factory data, which raised hopes of China’s economic growth, has also played its major role in underpinning the market trading sentiment. However, the risk-on mood slightly overshadowed the concerns over virus cases and restrictions in the U.S.

On the data front, the Industrial production in China’s economy surged 6.9% year-on-year for the 2nd-straight month in October, surpassing the expected gain of 6.5%. Moreover, the Fixed Asset Investment grew 1.8% year-on-year in October against 1.6% expected and 0.8% previous.

As a result, the higher-yielding British Pound took support from the risk-rally by ignoring the Brexit issue’s latest negative developments. As per the latest report, the discussions over a possible trade deal between the U.K. and E.U. are expected to extend beyond this week.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its previous losses and remain depressed on the day, mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment. Moreover, the losses in the U.S. dollar could also be attributed to the on-going doubts over the global economic recovery in the wake of intensifying coronavirus (COVID-19) worries in the U.S., which tend to undermine the American currency. However, the losses in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair higher. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped by 0.14% to 92.588 by 10:05 PM ET (2:05 AM GMT).

On the negative side, the latest negative developments surrounding the Brexit issue and the rising number of coronavirus in the U.K. could be considered the leading factor that kept the lid on a y additional gains in the currency pair. As per the latest report, Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney clearly warned that we would not get a deal if the U.K. imposes Internal Market Bill. In the meantime, the U.K. Environment Secretary George Eustice stated that both sides’ agreement remains intact, keeping the hopes alive as differences continue to persist over fisheries and state aid.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3170 1.3291

1.3119 1.3361

1.3050 1.3412

Pivot point; 1.3240

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.121 after placing a high of 105.476 and a low of 105.068. The pair USD/JPY reversed its direction and started falling on Thursday amid the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The decreased risk sentiment due to the escalated second wave of the coronavirus in the United States weighed on the USD/JPY pair on Thursday. The investors started to fear that governments might respond by imposing the lockdown restrictions that will slow down the economic recovery.

The United States reported about 140,453 cases on a single day on Wednesday, and it was the ninth straight day of above 100,000 cases. According to Johns Hopkins University, about 10.4 million Americans have been infected by the coronavirus so far, and nearly 242,000 have died from it. These concerns raised the safe-haven appeal and supported the Japanese Yen that ultimately weighed on the USD/JPY.

On the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the Core Machinery Orders from Japan for September came in as -4.4% against the expected -1.1% and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The Purchasing Price Index (PPI) from Japan remained flat with the expectations of -2.1% for the year. At 09:30 GMT, the Tertiary Industry Activity for September raised to 1.8% against the anticipated 1.3% and supported the Japanese Yen and weighed on the USD/JPY pair.

The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned that the U.S. economy would further need support from Congress and the central bank even if a coronavirus vaccine becomes available by the end of the year. He said that despite the vaccine’s availability, there still will be millions of people left who have lost their job to the pandemic, and they will still struggle to find work as the economy will attempt to recover from the economic downturn.

He added that in the Federal Reserve’s eyes, the terrible rise in COVID-19 cases across the country was the “main risk” for the U.S. economy. He added that the coronavirus’s third wave had forced several states to re-impose lockdown restrictions and caused people to lose confidence. He stressed that the economy would not fully recover until people are confident that it was safe to resume activities involving the crowd. These comments from Powell also weighed on the U.S. dollar and added in the losses of the USD/JPY pair on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.82 106.29

102.27 107.21

101.35 108.75

Pivot point: 104.74

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Forex, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading, USDJPY

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 16 – Bitcoin to be Censored? Blockseer Mining Pool Enters the Game

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 16 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 16 – Bitcoin to be Censored? Blockseer Mining Pool Enters the Game

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the weekend pretty flat as Bitcoin was experiencing a period of low volatility. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $16,272, representing an increase of 1.37% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum lost 1.19% on the day, while XRP lost 0.69%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

SushiSwap gained 13.81% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by THORChain’s gain of 9.54% and Curve DAO Token’s 4.80% gain. On the other hand, ABBC Coin lost 45.16%, making it the most prominent daily loser. The Midas Touch Gold lost 8.96% while Ampleforth lost 8.88%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has decreased slightly over the weekend, with its value is currently staying at 65%. This value represents a 0.3% difference to the downside compared to the value it had on Friday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up very slightly over the course of the weekend. Its current value is $463.37 billion, representing an $0.51 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Blockseer, a US-based DMG Blockchain Solutions’ subsidiary, has recently announced a private beta version of a brand new Bitcoin mining pool. This particular mining pool is, however, quite unique and different. The Blockseer Mining Pool will, unlike any other mining pool, censor transactions from wallets that are blacklisted. They also plan on mandating the miners to undergo KYC procedure, according to marketing materials.

Any new blocks generated by the Blockseer pool will include only filtered transactions, and the filters will be based on the Walletscore’s data.

While some agree that this way of transacting might be the future, the vast majority of public figures say that this is pure censorship and that it goes against the basic principles of Bitcoin as a free cryptocurrency, where a transaction is a transaction, no matter where it comes from.

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has spent the weekend experiencing very low volatility while fighting an incredibly important battle. Bitcoin was fighting to stay above the $16,000 mark after the move to the upside has died down at $16,500 on Nov 13, thus triggering a pullback.

An interesting outlook on Bitcoin is that the now won fight for $16,000 has created a higher low, and Bitcoin might push even higher in the following days. Traders should pay attention to volume increases around the $16,400-$16,500 mark.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are tilted slightly to the buy-side on the 4-hour, daily and weekly time-frames. However, all of these time-frames show signs of neutrality. On the other hand, its monthly overview is completely bullish.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is above its 50-period EMA and at its 21-period EMA
Price is near its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (58.99)
Volume is slightly above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $16,500 1: $16,000

2: $16,700 2: $15,480

3: $17,000 3: $14,640

Ethereum

Ethereum has, just like Bitcoin, spent the weekend fighting to stay above its support level. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, however, did not manage to win its fight. Ether has triggered a pullback after bouncing from the $478 level, which caused its price to first hover around the yellow top ascending channel line until it finally broke it to the downside. The move was stopped at $440, and Ethereum has since recovered and is currently trading just below the yellow line.

Our call on Friday for Ethereum dropping below the line was correct, as ETH did exactly as expected. However, the combination of factors at the moment make Ethereum a not-so-good trade, and traders should perhaps look at other options before choosing to trade it.

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s technicals are extremely bullish on its weekly and monthly time-frames and very bullish (but not as much as the aforementioned time-frames) on its daily overview. Its 4-hour overview, however, is tilted heavily towards the sell-side.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is slightly above its 50-period and slightly below its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly below its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (47.32)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $470 1: $451

2: $490 2: $445

3: $500 3: $420

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap had an incredible day on Friday, as its price pushed above 2 of its major resistance levels. XRP has managed to, in a span of around 12 hours, push past the $0.26 and $0.266 levels and took the weekend to consolidate above them and create a strong foundation. The $0.266 level was tested as support twice already, successfully both times.

Traders can finally look at XRP as a crypto that moves somewhere else than sideways, and look for opportunities in places other than the range between $0.2454 and $0.26.

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s technicals are slightly tilted towards the buy-side on all time-frames, with more or less neutrality signs. The important change from the last report (and many reports before) is XRP’s monthly overview, which has finally turned bullish.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period EMA and slightly above at its 21-period EMA
Price is between its middle and top Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (59.63)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.27 1: $0.266

2: $0.2855 2: $0.26

3: $0.31 3: $0.2454

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

Is the EURJPY Ready to Develop a New Decline?

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 16 November, 2020
No Comments on Is the EURJPY Ready to Develop a New Decline?

The EURJPY cross advances in a long-term consolidation structure, which began in early December 2016. The short-term Elliott wave view predicts a limited decline in the following trading sessions.

Market Sentiment

The EURJPY cross closed the last trading week, cutting Monday’s session gains when the cross jumped from 122.835 until 125.136, mainly supported by the stock market’s post-election rally.

The following figure shows the EURJPY in its daily timeframe, revealing the mid-term big-market participants’ sentiment exposed by the 90-day high and low range. In this context, the cross is entering into the bearish sentiment zone. However, the 60-day weighted moving average still doesn’t confirm the short-term bearish bias.

After a rally that carried the cross to advance over 11% since May 07th (when the EURJPY bottomed on 114.397 and then soared, reaching the highest level of the year at 127.075 on September 01st), the cross began to retrace, turning its mid-term market sentiment from extremely bullish to bearish.

Nevertheless, the price action still doesn’t confirm the bearish sentiment. In this regard, the short-term sentiment remains neutral until the price confirms the bias.

Technical Overview

The big picture of EURJPY illustrated in the following daily chart exposes a long-tailed yearly candlestick mostly bullish. However, the upper shadow hints at a bearish pressure near the psychological barrier of 127. Moreover, the next resistance is placed at 127.502, which corresponds to the high of 2019.

The EUJPY long-term trend under the Dow Theory perspective and exposed in the next log scale weekly chart reveals the primary trend identified in blue that remains slightly bullish.

At the same time, the secondary trend exposes the sideways movement developing as a pennant pattern, which began in early December 2016 when the price found resistance at 149.787 and could break soon.

According to the classic chartist theory, the pennant pattern is a technical figure that calls for the continuation of the previous movement. In this case, the pennant could resume the rally developed since late July 2012 at 94.114 ended at 149.787 in early December 2014.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The short-term Elliott wave view for EURJPY shows in its 12-hour chart advancing in an incomplete corrective sequence that began on May 06th at 114.397, where it completed its wave A of Minor degree labeled in green.

Once the price found fresh sellers at the highest level of the year, the cross started to advance in its wave B, still in progress. In this context, the previous chart unveils the intraday upward sequence corresponding to the incomplete wave ((b)) of Minute degree identified in black.

The price action could boost the cross until the next supply zone, located between 125.285 and 126.123, where the EURJPY could start to decline in an internal five-wave sequence corresponding to wave ((c)), in black, that may drop to 120.271, though, the price could extend its drops until 117.124.

The short-term bearish scenario’s invalidation level locates above the end of wave A in green at 127.075.

Tags Candlestick, Confirmation, Dow Theory, Education, Elliott Wave Analysis, EURJPY, Forex, Market Sentiment, Technical Analysis, trading

Forex Videos

USDCHF Sinks To Multi Year Lows Below 0.9000! What Should Be Your Next Move?

Post author By Keiran
Post date 14 November, 2020
No Comments on USDCHF Sinks To Multi Year Lows Below 0.9000! What Should Be Your Next Move?

https://youtu.be/wxoxot8rkZA

USDCHF sinks to multi-year lows below 0.9000. Where next?

Thank you for joining this forex academy educational video.

In this session, we will be looking at the USDCHF pair, which sank to a fresh low on Friday 6th November.

On this one-hour chart of the pair, we can see that on the 2nd of November, it had rallied to a high of 0.9207, before moving lower and where the market became extremely volatile on the 4th of November, but where the pair failed to re-establish itself at the previous high of just two days earlier. The size of the bars which have been highlighted can only mean that extra volume and volatility had crept in, and all of these moves can be associated with the lead up to and just after the US presidential election.
On Friday the 6th of November, the pair had moved over 200 pips lower to find support at 0.8982, a multi-year low, before recovering to the key 0.900 level.

In fact, we would need to go back to April 2014, which was the last time the pair had been so low. And much of this can be attributed to the strength of the Swiss franc, which is bought as a safe-haven asset by investors around the world who see value In the Swiss economy overall.
Although the chart is a monthly one, the huge swing in the price range of over 3000 pips in August 2014 worried institutional investors and traders, and that, ….

coupled with the Swiss National Bank’s abandonment of its cap on the Euro of 1.20 francs, which in January 2015 saw the EURCHF pair collapse to 0.8052 with some brokers, before recovering ground eventually to 1.04. Many traders were ruined by the unexpected move, and firms, including the Forex broker Alpari, went broke.
The Swiss National Bank has publicly stated on many occasions that it would defend the Swiss franc against strengthening with other currencies, especially the euro and the United States dollar because a strong Swiss franc means that exports become expensive and makes the country less competitive and that this is bad for the Swiss economy.
They either intervene to sell their currency or threatened to do so, and that coupled with the huge swings in price action which we have just shown you mean only one thing; traders are extremely cautious about trading the franc, which is prone to spikes, and shock moves caused by the Swiss National Bank intervening in the money markets.
That, however, has not stopped the Swiss franc being bought during this extremely volatile time, which has largely been brought about by the covid pandemic, where economies such as the United States and Europe have been badly affected, and of course, the current theme around the United States presidential election which has been the impetus for the push below 0.900 for the USDCHF pair.

This is certainly one pair to trade with tight stops and where the bias to the downside remains for the foreseeable future.

Tags Education, Forex, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, trading, USDCHF

Crypto Market Analysis

BTC/USD Weekly Chart Overview + Possible Outcomes

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 14 November, 2020
No Comments on BTC/USD Weekly Chart Overview + Possible Outcomes

In this weekly BTC/USD analysis, we will be taking a brief look at the most recent events, the current chart technical formations, as well as the possible BTC price outcomes.

Overview

Bitcoin has spent the week building an ascending channel that took its price from the $14,640 level all the way to $16,500. However, the new levels are mostly unexplored (apart from the late 2017 mini-bubble), and people that already invested in Bitcoin are either holding or taking profits, while new investors are wary of entering due to the price reaching this high. This left Bitcoin with a lot of people holding, a minority taking profit, and even a smaller minority wanting to buy it at $16,500 at the moment, which triggered a pullback. This doesn’t mean that $16,500 is an overestimate of Bitcoin’s worth, but rather that the economic uncertainty around the new US presidency, an unstable stock market as well as regulatory bodies honing in on crypto are all factors in the current minor pullback.

Our previous weekly analysis has predicted the price increase to $16,500 as well as the pullback. This doesn’t mean that the bull season has ended or that bears have taken over for good, but rather that BTC entered a healthy correction phase before establishing a new price target.

Technical factors

Bitcoin has continued moving along the ascending channel started on Nov 7 and gaining in value up until the $16,500 resistance level that we called out. This level has triggered a pullback as BTC could not pass the zone of resistance. While the pullback was mostly sideways and slow, a confirmation of a real pullback happening occurred on Nov 14, when Bitcoin dropped out of the ascending channel as well as below the $16,000 psychological level.

While Bitcoin’s sentiment is extremely bullish overall, its short-term overview points to a pullback that will most likely end at the zone of support near the $15,480 level.

The hash ribbons indicator is still showing miner capitulation (ever since Oct 29), sending out a major buy signal.

Likely Outcomes

Bitcoin has one main scenario that is most likely to play out, which is its price continuing down towards the $15,480 area where it will encounter strong support, which will most likely stop it from going further down. If this happens and Bitcoin does bounce off of the $15,480 area, we may expect another push towards the recently-made highs. In this case, traders should have a clear path towards $16,500 again, and they should pay attention to BTC, possibly making a double top at its most recent high rather than surpassing the level.

A move that will end up below $15,480 is highly unlikely, simply due to the overall sentiment currently surrounding Bitcoin. However, as unlikely as it is, anything is possible, and Bitcoin might fall below the support level. In that case, traders can expect a sharp price decrease and a possible push towards the $14,640.

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, Education, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, trading

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

Is GBPUSD Ready for a New Decline?

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on Is GBPUSD Ready for a New Decline?

Overview

The GBPUSD pair advances in an incomplete bearish corrective formation that corresponds to a wave B of Minor degree. In this context, the completion of wave B could lead to a new decline, which could drag the price below Septembers’ low.

Market Sentiment

The GBPUSD pair suffered another drop for the second day in a row, falling from the extreme bullish to a bullish sentiment zone, where it found support in the psychological barrier of level 1.31.

The following daily chart illustrates the 90-day high and low range, revealing the mid-term market participant’s sentiment. The figure shows the price action moving mostly sideways in a range that oscillates between the bearish and bullish sentiment zones; that is, between 1.27204 and 1.32289.

Furthermore, the 60-day weighted moving average is seen moving below the Pound’s price, which confirms the short-term bullish bias that carries the price.

Considering the indecision, the cable is exhibiting since last August. The intraday bias will stay neutral until the GBPUSD pair confirms its next movement, for example, through a breakout.

Technical Overview

The GBPUSD price reveals a yearly long-tailed candlestick that suggests the price will continue being dominated by the upward bias. As exposed in the following 2-day chart, the Pound erased the first 2020 quarter losses that reached up to 13.89%. The cable currently eases 0.67%(YTD).

The big picture of GBPUSD and under the Dow Theory unfolded in the next daily chart illustrates the cable developing a primary upward trend in progress, which currently could be forming a corrective secondary trend.

In this context, according to Dow Theory, the price retraced below 33% of the first upward movement, which accomplishes with the minimum requirement for a correction of the previous move of a similar level.

Nevertheless, considering that the price remains in a short-term downward trend, the price could continue developing a new bearish sequence.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The short-term Elliott wave outlook for GBPUSD unfolded in its 8-hour chart reveals the corrective rally that corresponds to an incomplete wave B of Minor degree identified in green, which leads us to expect a decline in a five-wave sequence for the following trading sessions.

The previous chart exposes a corrective structural series that began on September 01st when the price found fresh sellers at 1.34832 and dragged the cable until 1.26751 on September 23rd, where the pound started to advance in its wave B that remains in progress.

In this regard, the current upward movement could find resistance in the first supply zone between 1.32069 and 1.32280. If the price extends its previous progression, creating a bull trap, it could climb until 1.33195. There, the price could start to decline in a five-wave sequence corresponding to wave C identified in green.

The potential next wave C could extend until the demand zone between 1.25658 and 1.24796, which corresponds with the mid-term descending channel’s base.

Finally, the bearish scenario’s invalidation level locates at 1.34832, which agrees with the origin of wave A in green. Nevertheless, before positioning on the downward side, the GBPUSD pair should confirm (or discard) the bearish entry.

Tags candlesticks, Dow Theory, Education, Elliott Wave Aanlysis, Forex, GBPUSD, Market Sentiment, Price Action, Supply and Demand Zone, Technical Analysis, trading

Forex Course

173. How To Trade Using Three Different Trading Timeframes?

Post author By Reddy Shyam Shankar
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on 173. How To Trade Using Three Different Trading Timeframes?

Introduction

Our previous lesson covered how to use multiple timeframe analysis to find better entry and exit points. Timeframes in forex trading can be categorised into three: long timeframe, intermediate timeframe, and short timeframe. This lesson will illustrate how you can trade with three timeframes depending on the type of forex trader you are.

Depending on your forex trading style, the long timeframe is used to determine the prevailing market trend; the intermediate timeframe used to show the consistency of the observed trend, while the short timeframe used to determine the best entry and exit points for a trade.

Long Timeframes in Forex

The long timeframes are used to establish the prevailing primary trend of a currency pair. Depending on the trading style, the long timeframes in forex ranges from a 30-minute timeframe to a 1-month timeframe.

Day trader long timeframe: 1-hour GBP/USD chart

For a forex day trader, a 1-hour timeframe shows the prevailing and dominant downtrend in the GBP/USD pair. Using this timeframe, you can establish support and resistance levels.

Intermediate timeframes in Forex

These timeframes are used to establish the current market trend. The intermediate timeframe in forex helps you to determine the magnitude of the trend observed with the long timeframe. It is expected to see more price fluctuations when using this timeframe, but the general trend should align with the long timeframe.

Day trader intermediate timeframe: 30-minute GBP/USD chart

As can be seen, the price pullbacks are more visible using the intermediate timeframe. The price fluctuations are more pronounced as you can see how the primary trend observed with the long timeframe is broken down.

Shorter timeframes in Forex

Depending on your forex trading style, the shorter timeframes show the most current and shorter changes in the price movements.

The shorter timeframes are used to determine the best entry and exit points of a trade. With shorter timeframes, you can quickly establish whether the price has reached the support and resistance levels.

Day trader shorter timeframe: 15-minute GBP/USD chart

Using the 15-minute timeframe, the day trader can quickly establish the entry positions for shorting the EUR/USD when the price bounces from the resistance levels.

Trading three timeframes helps you establish the dominant trend, narrow this trend down while determining its magnitude, and finally establish the best entry and exit points.

[wp_quiz id=”89198″]

Tags Education, Forex, Forex Course, Forex Trading, Shorter Timeframes, Technical Analysis, timeframes, trading, Trading timeframes

Forex Videos

Forex Forecast – EURUSD Approaching Resistance – Buyers Beware!

Post author By Keiran
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on Forex Forecast – EURUSD Approaching Resistance – Buyers Beware!

https://youtu.be/sFr3Oj_ly5E

EURUSD approaching resistance – buyers beware!

Thank you for joining this forex academy educational video.
In this session, we will be looking at the EURUSD pair, which has found a recent bid tone at the time of writing and is approaching a significant area of resistance.

In this monthly chart, we can see the overall declining price action, which has been conforming to the trendlines from December 2007, where price reached a heady high of over 1.600 against the US Dollar, to a low in January 2017 of 1.0350. That’s quite a fall.

The continuation with the rejection of the declining resistance line and a failure at position A of price action to continue down to the support line gave rise to a lack of institutional sized sellers and a shallower support line forming around position B until price action reverted to the resistance line, where it eventually breached it at position C. This shows that institutional size traders were finding the Euro attractive than the US dollar at around the time of the Covid pandemic seriously affecting the United States economy, while the Europeans got to grips with the pandemic in terms of financial relief packages for EU citizens and businesses.
The big test for institutional size traders is whether or not this is just a breach and that price action will move back inside the channel to retest the shallower support line at position B or if there is a sustained move higher, which will be a failing of the monthly trend.

In this chart, we have reduced the monthly candlesticks to a daily chart to try and identify the section of price action which has been going on since the monthly resistant line was breached in order to try and ascertain where the levels are where we might find further resistance and which might cause price action to revert back into to the monthly channel or to try and identify if the price action will continue outside of that trend and form a new bid trend.

In this chart of the daily time frame, we have identified a clear area of resistance at around 1.1950, followed by a period of support at around 1.1717, which eventually is breached to just above 1.1600, only for price action to find support here and move higher.
Price action has currently reached a double top formation, and with the original area of resistance only around 50 pips above it, the next test will be to see if the price action will continue up to the resistance line, then move above it, fall back to it and where that then becomes an area of support – such as our hypothetical arrows – and that price action will conform a continuation to the upside and the end of the monthly bear channel.

Conversely, should price action move back below the support line, and then back up to it, and fall lower and where they support line becomes an area of resistance, again – such as our hypothetical arrows – this will tell institutional traders that the breach of the monthly trend may see price action fall back in line with the bear trend.

New traders are advised to look at the longer-term trading picture, such as the daily and monthly charts because this is where the swing traders look for trading ideas, and this includes institutional size investors, and these types of traders have big money to play with, which will have a major impact on price direction in the forex market.

Tags Education, EURUSD, Forex, forex forecast, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading

Forex Signals

EURAUD Reversal Breakout on Top of Regression Channel

Post author By Fran S.
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on EURAUD Reversal Breakout on Top of Regression Channel

The EURAUD cross has experienced a strong upward movement that brought its value beyond the top of a descending regression channel. After topping the upper line, which, as we know, is 2 sigmas above the mean line, the price has made a consolidation on the line, making a series of lower highs.

Currently, the current 1H bar is making an engulfing pattern and managing to break the recent lows, which acted as supports for the action.

If that happens, the pair may experience a corrective run to the mid of the channel. This setup has a 2.28 reward-to-risk ratio, therefore, suitable for a controlled trade on the short side, using a sell-stop order that triggers below the recent lows.

Trade Setup:

Entry: Sell-Stop at 1.6295

Stop-Loss: 1.6345

Take-Profit:1.6185

Risk and Reward

This trade setup has a risk of 52 pips and a 118 pip reward. Then, the dollar risk is 377 USD on one lot, 37.7 USD on a mini-lot, and 3.77 USD on a micro-lot. The reward is 855 USD on a lot, 85.5 USD on a mini-lot, and 8.55 USD on a micro-lot.

Tags EURAUD, Forex, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading

Forex Signals

EUR/GBP Closes Bearish Setup – Quick Signal Update

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on EUR/GBP Closes Bearish Setup – Quick Signal Update

Entry Price – Buy 0.8973
Stop Loss – 0.9013
Take Profit – 0.8933
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
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Tags EUR. GBP, Forex Signal, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 13 – Bitcoin Above $16,000: What’s Next?

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 13 – Bitcoin Above $16,000: What’s Next?

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day equally divided between cryptos that ended up in the red and the green. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap pushed past its $16,000 mark and is currently trading for $16,291, representing an increase of 3.26% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum lost 0.15% on the day, while XRP gained 0.45%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Blockstack gained 33.78% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization yet again today. It is closely followed by Dash’s gain of 13.33% and Decred’s 8.98% gain. On the other hand, ABBC Coin lost 12.08%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Ampleforth lost 11.75% while Aragon lost 10.85%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has increased since we last reported, with its value is currently staying at 65.3%. This value represents a 0.8% difference to the upside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up over the course of the day. Its current value is $462.86 billion, representing an $8.70 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

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Technical analysis

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Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has tested the $16,000 mark for a long time, failing a couple of times as profit-taking chipped away too much bull power. However, BTC has officially broken the $16,000 resistance today, turning it into support. The move that pushed it past this mark has ended right at the $16,500 resistance, which held up quite well. Many say the reason for the move past $16,000 is that banks and firms are moving their funds into BTC due to uncertainties in the traditional markets (major indexes traded slightly in the red yesterday). An engulfing candle that followed the last green candle of the move, as well as RSI bouncing off of the overbought area, show that a correction is the most likely option at the moment.

Slow and steady increases in volume accompanied each of Bitcoin’s moves. Traders can use this info to enter and exit trades safely.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are bullish overall but are split between the 4-hour and weekly time-frames, which are more tilted towards the neutral position, and daily and monthly time-frames, which are completely bullish.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is well above its 50-period EMA and its 21-period EMA
Price is near its top Bollinger band
RSI is near the overbought territory (64.03)
Volume is slightly above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $16,500 1: $16,000

2: $16,700 2: $15,480

3: $17,000 3: $14,640

Ethereum

Ethereum has continued its upward path, supported by its ascending channel top line. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap managed to hold itself above this level, effectively slowly increasing in price due to the slope of the support line. However, it is yet to be seen if ETH can stay above this level for long, and a potential drop below the line is quite possible.

Ethereum traders should look for ETH dropping below the top line of the ascending channel and trade off of that.

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s technicals are bullish on all time-frames, with its 4-hour time-frame being more tilted towards the neutral position and longer time-frames being completely bullish.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (53.64)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $470 1: $451

2: $490 2: $445

3: $500 3: $420

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has had a slow day of sideways action within the range it is in for almost a week. XRP has moved slightly towards the middle of the range after it failed to break the $0.26 resistance level, entering a period of low volatility.

Traders shouldn’t really be interested in XRP at the moment due to its low volatility. However, those that want to trade XRP can enter trades with targets and stop-losses that correspond to the current support/resistance levels.

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s technicals on the 4-hour and daily time-frame have changed its stance from bullish/neutral to straight bullish, while its weekly time-frame is still almost completely neutral. Its monthly overview shows strong bearish sentiment.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period EMA and at its 21-period EMA
Price is at its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (50.34)
Volume is slightly below average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.26 1: $0.2454

2: $0.266 2: $0.235

3: $0.27 3: $0.227

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 13 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – CPI, Employment in Focus!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 13 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – CPI, Employment in Focus!

The eyes will remain on the U.S. Core PPI m/m and the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment from the United States on the news side. Both of the events are expected to drive some movement in the U.S. dollar and related currency pairs. During the European session, the French Final CPI m/m, Flash Employment Change q/q, and Flash GDP q/q will remain in highlights as these are coming from European counties; therefore, we can expect support to the Euro pairs.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18054 after placing a high of 1.18230 and a low of 1.17584. The currency pair EUR/USD reversed its Wednesday’s movement and raised on Thursday despite coronavirus worsened Europe’s situation. Italy was now expecting to enter a nationwide lockdown due to the increased number of coronavirus cases and curb the virus’s spread that should have caused the EUR/USD pair to continue movement in the downward direction. Still, the pair surged on the back of the weak U.S. dollar.

The U.S. dollar has suffered from risk-on markets sentiment, with investors becoming more optimistic after Pfizer’s 90% effective coronavirus vaccine. The greenback was also weak due to the declining CPI data from the U.S. At 12:00 GMT, the German Final CPI for October came in line with the expectations of 0.1%. At 15:00 GMT, the Industrial Production in September from Eurozone declined to -0.4% against the forecasted 0.6% and weighed on Euro and capped further gains in EUR/USD pair.

At 18:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index for October fell to 0.0% against the projected 0.1% and weighed on the U.S. dollar and supported the EUR/USD pair’s upward direction. The Core CPI for October also declined to 0.0% from the projected 0.2% and weighed on the U.S. dollar and added further in gains of EUR/USD pair. However, the Unemployment Claims from last week fell to 709K against the projected 730K and supported the U.S. dollar and capped further gains in currency pair EUR/USD pair.

Moreover, the U.S. political uncertainties also continued weighing on the U.S. dollar after the victory of Joe Biden and becoming 46th U.S. President. Donald Trump has failed to concede Biden’s victory and has left the markets uncertain about what could happen next as Trump attempts to challenge the vote.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar was also under pressure because of the rising number of coronavirus infections on Wednesday. The cases increased to 142,000 new cases in a single day, and the hospitalization rate also increased and reached 65,000, the highest during the pandemic. These virus conditions in the U.S. also weighed on the U.S. dollar and supported the upward movement of the EUR/USD pair.

On the other hand, the ECB President Christine Lagarde said that she believes that the region’s monetary authority will move to launch a digital version of the Euro in the next two to four years. Previously, ECB officials disclosed that they were researching a central bank digital currency.

On the virus front, the ECB President, Christine Lagarde, said that the coronavirus vaccine had reduced the uncertainty and complete lockdown was not the best way to deal with the second wave. These comments from Lagarde also supported the upward movement of the EUR/USD pair on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1738 1.1827

1.1697 1.1875

1.1648 1.1917

Pivot point: 1.1786

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD continues to trade sideways at the 1.1804 area, facing immediate support at the 1.1749 level along with resistance at the 1.1835 level. On the further higher side, the violation of the 1.1835 level can extend the buying trend until 1.1907. On the lower side, the support level prevails at 1.1749 and 1.1680 level. The MACD and EMA are also neutral; therefore, we may see selling below the 1.1835 and bullish above the same level today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.31222 after a high of 1.32281 and a low of 1.31062. The pair GBP/USD continued following its previous day movement and extended its losses on Thursday. On Thursday, the Bank of England Governor said that he hoped a goodwill spirit would prevail between Britain and the European Union countries to smooth over unavoidable trade disruptions after the end of the Brexit transition period on Jan-1st.

Bailey also told a panel discussion with the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and European Central bank President Christine Lagarde that he felt very uncomfortable at the huge amount of economic uncertainty created by a coronavirus. On Thursday, Bailey said that he was encouraged by the latest coronavirus vaccine developments, which reduce economic uncertainty.

He also said that the trade talks were continuing between Britain and the European Union, but he could not judge the outcome. He said that he hoped that if there will be a trade agreement, there will be a goodwill spirit. However, he also told the panel Britain’sain’s financial sector was ready for the end of transition periods irrespective of a deal and was better prepared than the rest of the economic sectors. Bailey’s comments raised concerns in the market sentiment and kept the British Pound under pressure that left the GBP/USD pair on the downside.

On the data front, at 05:01 GMT, the RICS House Price Balance from the U.K. for October raised to 68% from the forecasted 54% and supported GBP. At 12:00 GMT, the Prelim GDP for the 3rd Quarter declined to 15.5% against the expected 15.8% and weighed on British Pound and added in the losses of GBP/USD pair. For September, the U.K.’s Construction Output raised to 2.9% against the forecasted 2.1% and supported British Pound. The GDP for September from the U.K. also declined to 1.1% against the estimated 1.5% and weighed on British Pound and further supported the GBP/USD pair’s losses.

The Goods Trade Balance came in as expected -9.3B. The Index of Services for the Quarter also declined to 14.2% from the forecasted 14.6% and weighed on British Pound and added losses in currency pair. The Industrial Production for September again fell to 0.5% from the estimated 0.9% and weighed on GBP. The Manufacturing Production in September from the U.K. dropped to 0.2% against the projected 0.7% and weighed on GBP. The Prelim Business Investment dropped to 8.8% in September from the projected 14.4% and weighed on local currency Sterling and further pushed the pair on the downside.

From the U.S. side, at 18:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index for October was dropped to 0.0% against the expected 0.1% and weighed on the U.S. dollar and capped further losses in GBP/USD pair. The Core CPI for October also dropped to 0.0% from the expected 0.2% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. However, the Unemployment Claims from last week fell to 709K against the estimated 730K and supported the U.S. dollar and added losses in GBP/USD pair on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3170 1.3291

1.3119 1.3361

1.3050 1.3412

Pivot point; 1.3240

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD pair is trading at 1.3116 level, holding over 1.3110 level, which is extended by an upward trendline on a 2-hour timeframe. The Cable has recently completed 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and now it’s holding above the double bottom support level of 1.3110 level. On the higher side, the pair may surge until the resistance level of 1.3190 level. The MACD and RSI support selling trend, but considering the trendline support and oversold indicators, it is worth giving a buy shot to GBP/USD pair. Let’s consider buying over 1.3110 level today.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.121 after placing a high of 105.476 and a low of 105.068. The pair USD/JPY reversed its direction and started falling on Thursday amid the broad-based US dollar weakness. The decreased risk sentiment due to the escalated second wave of the coronavirus in the United States weighed on the USD/JPY pair on Thursday. The investors started to fear that governments might respond by imposing the lockdown restrictions that will slow down the economic recovery.

From the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index for October was dropped to 0.0% against the anticipated 0.1% and weighed on the US dollar and dragged the pair USD/JPY on the downside. The Core CPI for October also dropped to 0.0% from the anticipated 0.2% and weighed on the US dollar and added further in the USD/JPY pair’s losses. However, the Unemployment Claims from last week were declined to 709K against the anticipated 730K and supported the US dollar that capped further losses in the USD/JPY pair.

Meanwhile, on Thursday, the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned that the US economy would further need support from Congress and the central bank even if a coronavirus vaccine becomes available by the end of the year. He said that despite the vaccine’s availability, there still will be millions of people left who have lost their job to the pandemic, and they will still struggle to find work as the economy will attempt to recover from the economic downturn.

He added that in the Federal Reserve’s eyes, the terrible rise in COVID-19 cases across the country was the “main risk” for the US economy. He added that the coronavirus’s third wave had forced several states to re-impose lockdown restrictions and caused people to lose confidence. He stressed that the economy would not fully recover until people are confident that it was safe to resume activities involving the crowd. These comments from Powell also weighed on the US dollar and added in the losses of the USD/JPY pair on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.82 106.29

102.27 107.21

101.35 108.75

Pivot point: 104.74

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is trading sideways between 105.650 – 104.900 level, and violation of this level can extend the selling trend until the next support level of 104.430 mark. Simultaneously, the bullish breakout of the 105.650 level may open further room for buying until the 106.142 level. Overall, the eyes will remain at 104.835 level to trade bearish below this level until 104.435 and 104.175 level today. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, Forex, forex services, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading, USDJPY

Forex Signals

AUD/USD Maintain Bullish Streak Despite Risk-off Sentiment – Trade Plan!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 13 November, 2020
No Comments on AUD/USD Maintain Bullish Streak Despite Risk-off Sentiment – Trade Plan!

Today in the Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair erased some of its earlier gains but still trading on the bullish track and taking rounds just closer to the 0.7250 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. Hence, the broad-based U.S. dollar was being pressured by the doubts persist over the global economic recovery from COVID-19. This, in turn, undermined the greenback and contributed to the currency pair gains.

On the other hand, the optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment also lends some minor support to the currency pair by underpinning the perceived risk currency Australian dollar. On the contrary, the intensified clashes between the US-China over the Hong Kong crackdown could be regarded as one of the important factors that might cap further upside momentum for the AUD/USD pair. The AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.7237 and consolidating in the range between 0.7228 – 0.7242.

The intensifying market worries regarding the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases in Europe and the United States keep fueling the doubts over the global economic recovery through imposing new lockdown restrictions on economic and social activity, which eventually weighed on the market trading sentiment. As per the recent report, the U.S. coronavirus cases reached a new daily record high, with 140,543 reported. Almost 10.4 million peoples in the U.S. have been infected by the Covid-19 so far. While almost 242,000 have died from this, according to the Johns Hopkins University report. As in result, New York has announced a 10 p.m. curfew on bars, gyms, and restaurants to curb the spread. Afterward, Chicago also followed the footsteps of New York and restricted activities.

In addition to the U.S., Europe also imposed lockdown again last week, threatening the oil outlook and undermining oil prices. It is worth recalling that Sweden declared a partial lockdown shutting down bars and restaurants for the 1st-time since the virus started. Thus, the back to back lockdowns restrictions keep harming the crude oil demand.

Besides the virus woes, the reason for the downbeat market sentiment could also be associated with the long-lasting US-China tussle, which fueled further after the U.S. warned China over the Hong Kong crackdown during the previous day. Apart from this, the Trump administration shows a willingness to limit investments in Chinese companies, fueling the already intensified tussle.

Despite the risk-off market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to extend its previous day gains. It slipped lower mainly due to the heavy optimism over the potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. Apart from this, coronavirus’s resurgence keeps fueling the fears that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt, which also keeps the USD under pressure. However, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered the major factor that pushes the currency pair higher. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped to 92.957.

In the absence of the major data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on the continuous drama surrounding the U.S. stimulus package. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for a fresh direction.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.7128

S2 0.7186

S3 0.7208

Pivot Point 0.7245

R1 0.7267

R2 0.7304

R3 0.7363

The AUDUSD traded with a bullish bias, but it recently has violated the upward channel at the 0.7245 level. The Aussie has now entered the new region, and it has formed a downward channel on the smaller timeframe now, which is likely to extend resistance at 0.7245 level along with support at 0.7200. A bearish breakout of 0.7200 level can open further room for buying until 0.7122 level. The MACD is also in support of selling; therefore, we should look for selling trades below the 0.7245 level today. Goold luck!

Tags AUD/USD, Forex, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

AUDNZD Continues Under Bearish Pressure

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on AUDNZD Continues Under Bearish Pressure

Overview

The AUDNZD cross remains moving mostly bearish in the bullish sentiment zone. It alters the price surpassing the 1.10 psychological barrier and begins a corrective sequence that remains in progress; however, this downward movement could end soon.

Market Sentiment

The AUDNZD moves mostly downward in the bullish sentiment zone, piercing July’s low area at 1.056. The Oceanic Cross advances over 1.5% (YTD).

The following figure exposes the AUDNZD cross in its daily timeframe. The chart reveals the long-term market participants’ sentiment bounded by its 52-week high and low range. The price action began a downward sequence; after that, the cross surpassed its last 52-week high of June 02nd, located on 1.08807 in a rally that elapsed six sessions in a row.

Moreover, the 60-day weighted moving average confirms the downward short-term bearish bias that favors the price action. Nevertheless, considering that the cross moves in the bullish sentiment zone, the AUDNZD cross’s decline could be a correction of the upward cycle that began last mid-March.

Technical Overview

The AUDNZD cross under the Dow Theory perspective reveals that the price has started to develop a bullish primary trend that began on March 18th when the price found fresh buyers at 0.99906.

The following chart illustrates AUDNZD in its daily timeframe. The figure exposes the demand incorporation below the parity, which carried up the price until 1.10438, from where the price started to decline in a secondary trend.

The retracement developed by the Oceanic cross beyond the 33% leads us to confirm that the latest decline in progress corresponds to the rally’s corrective movement that began on March 18th.

The mid-term Elliott wave view of the AUDNZD cross illustrates in its 12-hour chart the downward move in a complex corrective structure that looks like an incomplete double-three pattern (3-3-3).

The previous chart reveals the price action is moving in its wave (c) of Minuette degree labeled in blue, which belongs to wave ((y)) of Minute degree in black. Likewise, this entire move corresponds to wave 2 or B, which retraces the upward five-wave sequence that began on March 18th at 0.99906.

Technical Outlook

Once the AUDNZD found sellers at 1.07565, the Oceanic cross began its wave (c) of Minuette degree labeled in green that remains in progress.

As illustrated in the following 8-hour chart, the price could extend its declines to the area between 1.05186 and 1.04870, where the price could find support. Likewise, if the price extends its drops below 1.03511, the next movement’s strength could be limited to a re-test of the August 18th high located on 1.103.

On the other hand, if the price action breaks and closes above the supply zone between 1.06456 and 1.06718, there exists the possibility of a new rally. This new bullish leg could surpass the 1.103 mark.

Finally, the invalidation level for the short-term bearish scenario is located at 1.07565.

Tags AUDNZD, Double Three Pattern, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Analysis, Forex, Market Sentiment, Technical Analysis, trading

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

Is USDCAD Ready for a Short-Term Rally?

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on Is USDCAD Ready for a Short-Term Rally?

The USDCAD pair reveals a strong bearish movement that seems have found a short-term bottom. In this regard, the price could start a rally that could boost the price toward October’s highs zone.

Market Sentiment

The USDCAD pair continues moving in its extreme bearish sentiment zone, erasing the gains reached during the first quarter of the year when the price advanced over 13%. Currently, the Loonie gains a modest 0.67% YTD.

The next figure illustrates the USDCAD pair in its daily timeframe. The chart exposes the long-term market participants sentiment bounded by the 52-week high and low range.

The chart reveals the price action continues developing fresh lower lows, which leads us to observe that market participants continue holding bearish positions on the pair. Furthermore, the 60-day weighted moving average continues above the price, which confirms the bearish bias that advances the price.

On the other hand, as long as the USDCAD price remains below 1.33631, the Loonie will stay under bearish pressure.

Technical Overview

The USDCAD pair exposes a bearish reversal formation that erased the progress developed during the first quarter of the year. The following weekly chart reveals a powerful bearish long-tailed candle in terms of a yearly candlestick, suggesting that the price would continue developing more declines in the long-term.

On the other hand, the big picture exposes a long-term sideways formation that persists since mid-2015. Likewise, the last downward movement that began at 1.46674 appears to have found a bottom on 1.29238 the current trading week.

In this regard, if the price starts to develop a corrective rally, according to the Dow Theory, the USDCAD pair should advance to 1.35022 and up to 1.40761; this upward sequence would correspond to a valid correction of the same degree that the last bearish move developed by the pair since last mid-March.

The mid-term Elliott wave view of USDCAD illustrated in the next 12-hour chart reveals an incomplete corrective sequence that looks like a double three pattern (3-3-3) of Minor degree labeled, in green, which began on March 18th at 1.46674.

Currently, the USDCAD develops its wave ((b)) of Minute degree identified in black, which belongs to wave Y in green. In this context, the wave ((b)) looks like an incomplete flat pattern (3-3-5), which subdivides into a 3-3-5 sequence. Moreover, the actual structural series suggests that the Loonie started to develop its wave (c) of the Minuette degree labeled in blue.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The short-term Elliott wave view of the USDCAD unfolded in the following 8-hour chart, anticipates its progress in an incomplete flat pattern, which could be starting to advance on its wave (c) of Minuette degree labeled in blue.

If the Loonie find fresh buyers in a retracement to the demand zone between 1.30433 and 1.30086, and the price breaks and closes above 1.31473, then the price could confirm the potential rally that corresponds to wave (c) of Minute degree with a potential target in the supply zone between 1.33970 and 1.34592.

Lastly, the invalidation level for the intraday bullish scenario locates at 1.29283

Tags Double Three Pattern, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Analysis, Flat Pattern, Forex, Market Sentiment, Technical Analysis, trading, USDCAD

Forex Course

172. Using Multiple Timeframe Analysis To Identify Accurate Entries & Exits

Post author By Reddy Shyam Shankar
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on 172. Using Multiple Timeframe Analysis To Identify Accurate Entries & Exits

Introduction

At this stage, you are now familiar with how to conduct multiple timeframe analysis for the different type of forex trades. In the previous lesson, we covered why you should look at multiple timeframes when trading forex. Now, let’s narrow down to how you can use multiple timeframe analysis to determine which price levels make the best entry and exit points to match your trading style.

Why is it important?

Using longer timeframes helps get the bigger picture while the shorter timeframes show you how the dominant trend is constituted. Support and resistance levels are used to determine the best entry and points of a trade. To properly illustrate this, we will use the example of a forex swing trader.

For a forex swing trader, positions are left open from overnight up to a few weeks. Daily timeframes are used to establish the dominant market trend for a currency pair. This timeframe will help you establish long-term support and resistance levels.

Forex Swing Trader Daily Timeframe for EUR/USD Primary Trend

The daily forex timeframe for the EUR/USD shows that the pair is on a downtrend, as evidenced by the lower lows and lower highs. The lowest low from the daily timeframe will enable the forex swing trader to establish the support level. Lower highs are formed when the price of the pair attempts a ‘pull-back.’ These lower highs will be used to set the resistance levels.

Since the dominant trend is downward, the resistance levels will be used as the ‘high swings, ’ which will be the best entry point for a short position. The resistance levels are used since the currency pair’s price is unlikely to break above this level.

Forex Swing Trader EUR/USD 4-hour Trigger Timeframe

To determine the best entry and exit points, as a forex swing trader, you use the 4-hour timeframe. When the 4-hour candles don’t breach the resistance level, you open a short trade and exit when the 4-hour candle touches the support level at the low swing.

This strategy can be adopted for the other type of forex trades.

Using multiple timeframe analysis for different forex orders

With a top-down analysis approach, different types of traders can use multiple timeframe analysis for executing different types of forex orders. Take a forex day trader, for example.

Forex Day Trader 1-hour Primary Trend Timeframe for EUR/USD

After establishing the support and resistance level, the forex day trader can use the resistance level to set the sell limit or the buy stop order. The support level is ideal to set the buy limit or the sell stop orders. The ‘stop-loss’ and ‘take profit’ levels can then be set to exit these trades depending on your risk management measures.

[wp_quiz id=”89182″]

Tags Education, Forex, Forex Course, Forex order types, Forex Trading, Multiple Timeframe Analysis, Pull Back, Resistance, Support, Technical Analysis, trading

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 12 – Bitcoin Formed a Triple Top? Ethereum Accidentally Hard Forks

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 12 – Bitcoin Formed a Triple Top? Ethereum Accidentally Hard Forks

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day mostly consolidating, with roughly the same amount of cryptocurrencies ending the day in the green and the red. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $15,802, representing an increase of 2.68% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum gained 0.24% on the day, while XRP gained 0.60%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Blockstack gained 17.15% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization. It is closely followed by OMG Network’s gain of 12.03% and ICON’s 11.46% gain. On the other hand, yearn.finance lost 10.37%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Loopring lost 9.34% while Synthetix lost 8.90%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has increased slightly since we last reported, with its value is currently staying at 64.5%. This value represents a 0.6% difference to the upside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up over the course of the day. Its current value is $454.16 billion, representing an $8.04 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Ethereum had quite a bad day, as its consensus reached an unexpected hard fork. This issue is considered the one holding the most weight ever since the DAO debacle from 4 years ago. The developers are still looking into the issue, and things will be fully understood at a later date.

Ethereum essentially hard forked right when its developers introduced a new update to the chain, and those who haven’t upgraded yet (including Blockchair, Infura, and other miners) got stuck in a minority chain for around 30 blocks (2 hours).

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has pushed towards the upside, reaching as far as $15,990 but not being able to break the $16,000 mark. This failure to break its immediate resistance level has caused another (third) top to form, marking a possible short-term trend reversal as a possibility if Bitcoin doesn’t move up quickly.

Traders should trade carefully around this level and be prepared to trade the pullback or the spike. While these “, ride the trend” trades are hard to predict in terms of when they start, they are easy to trade once the entry happens.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are bullish on all time-frames. However, its 4-hour and monthly time-frames are completely bullish, while its daily and weekly overviews are showing signs of neutrality or even slight bear presence.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is above its 50-period EMA and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is near the overbought territory (64.15)
Volume is slightly above average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $16,000 1: $15,480

2: $16,400 2: $14,640

3: $16,700 3: $14,100

Ethereum

Ethereum has stayed above the top line of its ascending channel but could not break the resistance zone above $470. However, its price didn’t react negatively to the news of the algorithm failure and an unplanned mini hard fork, which is quite a bullish outcome of events.

Ethereum traders should watch out for how the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap navigates the range between the top line of the ascending channel and its $470 resistance level.

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s technicals are bullish on all time-frames, with its 4-hour and monthly time-frames being completely bullish and its daily and weekly overviews showing signs of neutrality or even slight bear presence.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (60.34)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $470 1: $451

2: $490 2: $445

3: $500 3: $420

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has suffered a minor pullback after failing to break its immediate resistance level ($0.26). XRP is still trading within a range bound by $0.2454 to the downside and $0.26 to the upside, while its range is even more narrow lately, as its price is hovering only the top portion of the range.

Traders still have the opportunity to trade XRP’s sideways action without much risk. On the other hand, if the volume does increase drastically, a move towards the upside is much more likely, unless Bitcoin’s potential move down brings every other crypto down with it.

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s technicals on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly time-frame are bullish with slight hints of neutrality. On the other hand, its monthly overview is heavily tilted towards the sell-side.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price above its 50-period EMA and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (55.12)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.26 1: $0.2454

2: $0.266 2: $0.235

3: $0.27 3: $0.227

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 12 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Spotlight on ECB, BOE & FED!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 12 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Spotlight on ECB, BOE & FED!

On the news side, the eyes will remain on the U.K. Prelim GDP q/q, which is expected to have improved from -19.8% to 15.8% previous month, and it may support the Sterling today. Later in the day, the speeches from the ECB President Lagarde, BOE Gov Bailey, and Fed Chair Powell will remain under the spotlight. All three officials are due to participate in a panel discussion about monetary policy at the ECB Forum on Central Banking via satellite. Lastly, the U.S. CPI figures can also trigger some price action during the U.S. session today; let’s keep an eye on it.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD closed at 1.17786 after placing a high of 1.18325 and a low of 1.17453. The Euro dropped on Wednesday against the U.S. dollar as the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers continued signaling further easing, though they downplayed the prospect of further interest rate cuts.

At the ECB forum on central banking in Frankfurt, the ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the coronavirus crisis had produced a highly unusual recession, and recovery is likely to be uneven. She also warned against excessive optimism over the short-term impact on the economy from a vaccine.

Lagarde continued that as the latest news on vaccine looked encouraging, the chances were still there. The economy could face frequent cycles of accelerating viral spread and tightening restrictions until widespread immunity was achieved. On Monday, the U.S. drugmaker Pfizer said that its vaccine’s last stage trials had shown a high level of success in preventing reinfection. Lagarde signaled that the central bank would almost certainly loose monetary policy in the next meeting as the Eurozone economy risks falling back towards recession. She told lawmakers that ECB was ready to take further easing actions. These comments from ECB President weighed on the single currency Euro and dragged the pair EUR/USD on the downside on Wednesday.

Lagarde said that the ECB would keep its interest rates at 0.0%, and it has an asset purchase program in place worth 1.35 trillion euros. She said that bond-buying and pumping extra cash into the financial system were the best ways for the central bank to support the economy.

According to Lagarde, while all the other options were on the table, the PEPP and TLTRO’s have proven their effectiveness in the current environment. Therefore, they will likely remain the main tools for adjusting monetary policy.

According to the latest forecast, the Eurozone GDP in the fourth quarter is likely to decline by roughly 2% as the renewed lockdowns have affected the economic activities. All these updates kept the single currency Euro under pressure and, ultimately, the EUR/USD pair on the downside.

On the U.S. front, the U.S. dollar was high onboard due to the rising hopes of a quick economic rebound and less need for stimulus measures from the FED after the latest optimism from the vaccine front.

The U.S. Dollar Index rose by about 0.3% on Wednesday and supported the U.S. dollar’s upward trend that ultimately added pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, there was a Bank Holiday in the U.S. and France that kept the macroeconomic data out of the table and left the EUR/USD pair on the mercy of market mood and Lagarde’s speech.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1738 1.1827

1.1697 1.1875

1.1648 1.1917

Pivot point: 1.1786

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading with a bearish bias at the 1.1780 level, having violated the double bottom support level at 1.1800. The same support level was also extended by an upward trendline pattern on the hourly timeframe. At the moment, the EUR/USD has formed a downward channel, which extends resistance at the 1.17800 level. On the lower side, the support holds around 1.1743 level. The MACD and EMA are also turning bearish; therefore, we may see selling below the 1.17800 mark today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.32237 after placing a high of 1.33133 and a low of 1.31912. The GBP/USD pair dropped on Wednesday after placing gains for four consecutive days on the back of rising concerns over the Brexit deal and the broad-based U.S. dollar strength.

On the Brexit front, the U.K. and E.U. are still far apart on fisheries and the flow of goods between Ireland and Northern Ireland. However, hopes were still high that talks between both sides were moving positively as there had been no public finger-pointing by both parties in the preceding few weeks. Despite this, it cannot be said that a deal will surely reach as when it comes to Brexit, there is nothing sure.

Another unofficial deadline for reaching a deal has been set by both sides: the European Summit on November 19. If a settlement is not reached by then, the chances are high that the U.K. will leave the E.U. on December 31 without a trade deal and will bound to follow WTO rules. As the new deadline was reaching closer, these latest concerns raised the fears of no-deal Brexit and weighed on the British Pound that ultimately dragged GBP/USD pair on the downside.

Furthermore, on the U.S. front, the greenback was strong across the board as the Fed’s need for further stimulus dropped after releasing the latest vaccine news. The U.S. Dollar Index rose by about 0.3% and weighed on GBP/USD pair. Moreover, traders’ eyes will be upon the release of the third quarter GDP from Great Britain. Investors believe that the economy will post a strong rebound in Q3 as the coronavirus pandemic caused a sharp decline in GDP in Q2 when it fell by 19.8%. The third-quarter GDP is expected to stand at 15.3%, and any figure within the expectations will prove bullish for GBP. U.K. will also release monthly GDP for September that is projected to decline by 1.5% down from August’s 2.1%.

Meanwhile, the GBP/USD pair’s losses remained limited as the risk sentiment in the market continued supporting the risk perceived GBP. The risk sentiment was supported by the latest optimism about the vaccine development from Pfizer and BioNtech on Monday. However, the British Pound was also under pressure due to the victory of Joe Biden in the U.S. election last week. Biden has said that he will not make a trade deal with the U.K. after its transition period ends if it failed to reach a deal with the E.U. Now the pressure has been increased in the U.K. for securing a trade deal with the E.U., which has also exerted pressure on local currency British Pound that has been weighing on GBP/USD pair since Biden’s victory.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2997 1.3222

1.2851 1.3301

1.2771 1.3448

Pivot point: 1.3076

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

On Thursday, the GBP/USD is consolidating with a neutral bias at 1.3210 level ahead of the UK GDP figures later today. The GBP/USD is holding over the resistance becomes a support level of 1.3159. At the moment, the Cable may find immediate support at the 1.3208 level, and below this, Sterling can dip until the 1.3140 level. As you can see on the hourly timeframe, the Cable is stuck in a very narrow range, and there is likely to be an excellent trade opportunity in the market upon breakout. Let’s consider selling below the 1.3190 level and buying above the same area today.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

During Thursday’s Asian trading session, the USD/JPY currency pair failed to extend its early-day recovery streak and edged lower around below the 105.30 level. Selling bias could be associated with the risk-off market sentiment, which underpins the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair losses. Therefore, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the increasing market concerns about the possible economic fallout from the second wave of continuous.

Across the pond, the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus pandemic, could also be considered as one of the key factors that dragged the currency pair lower. In the meantime, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the renewed hopes for substantial U.S. fiscal stimulus measures. On the contrary, the optimism over a potential vaccine and the progress surrounding the Brexit talks keep challenging market risk-off mood and become the key factor that helps the currency pair limit its deeper losses. On the flip side, the currency pair mostly ignores the second-tier data from Japan. At this particular time, the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 105.31 and trading in the range between 105.22 – 105.47.

The market trading sentiment failed to extend its previous day’s positive performance. It started to flash red on the day as the resurgence of (COVID-19) cases still not dispensing any sign of slowing down in the U.S. and Europe, which keep fueling the worries over the global economic recovery. As per the latest report, the U.S. keeps reporting record cases daily, more than 100K per day. Even all U.S. states representing a worse status report of the COVID-19, which was backed by the record hospitalizations and daily cases. As in result, New York has declared a 10 p.m. curfew on bars, gyms, and restaurants to curb the virus spread. It is also worth mentioning that the COVID-19 hospitalizations in the U.S. exceeded 60,000.

In addition to the U.S., Europe also imposed lockdown again last week, threatening to weaken the economic recovery. As per the latest report, Sweden declared a partial lockdown is shutting down bars and restaurants for the 1st-time since the virus started. Thus, the back to back lockdowns restrictions will have an instant negative effect on global economic recovery.

Moreover, the market risk-off sentiment was further bolstered by the reports suggesting that the Dragon Nation takes one more trade-negative measure for Aussie. As per the latest report, the Dragon Nation extended its anti-Aussie bias while suspending the Victorian timber logs. The dragon nation has already lifted bars for Australian wine, iron ore, and barley after the Pacific inquiry alleging the Asian leader’s negligence caused the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. Apart from this, the bearish market sentiment could also be associated with the long-lasting US-China tussle, which continuously picks the pace. As per the latest report, the U.S. National Security Adviser Robert Charles O’Brien recently threatened the Dragon Nation over its responsibility to trigger Hong Kong freedom violations.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.82 106.29

102.27 107.21

101.35 108.75

Pivot point: 104.74

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is trading sideways, maintaining a narrow range of 105.63 – 104.835 ever since it has violated the descending trendline at 104.950 area. The USD/JPY pair is trading choppy as investors seem to brace for the U.S. inflation figures later today. The USD/JPY pair needs to violate the 104.900 level to continue trading bearish, and below this, we may see the USD/JPY pair falling until the 104.220 level, and a further breakout can lead it towards 102.400. However, we may see buying over 104.950 levels today until 105.600. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Signals

AUD/USD Weakens Despite the Intensifying Coronavirus (COVID-19) – Upward Channel Breakout!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on AUD/USD Weakens Despite the Intensifying Coronavirus (COVID-19) – Upward Channel Breakout!

During Thursday early Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair successfully extended its overnight winning streak. It drew some further bids around below 0.7300 level, mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, which underpins the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributes to the currency pair gains. Hence, the market trading sentiment was being supported by optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease.

Besides this, the upticks in the equity markets were further bolstered by the updates suggesting continuous progress of Brexit talks between the U.K. and the European Union (E.U.), which extended further support to the currency pair. Across the pond, the broad-based U.S. dollar bearish bias, triggered by the marker risk-on mood, has played its significant role in supporting the currency pair. Furthermore, the greenback declines were further bolstered by the intensifying doubts over the U.S. economic recovery in the wake of the intensified U.S. cases.

Conversely, the long-lasting coronavirus woes throughout the world and delays in the U.S. covid stimulus package keep challenging the upbeat market sentiment, which becomes the key determinant that deposited the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. In the meantime, the gains in the currency pair were further capped by the Weaker Aussie data, which showed that the Consumer confidence in Australia declined more than expected in November. The AUD/USD is trading at 0.7284 and consolidating in the range between 0.7275 – 0.7294.

The market trading bias has been sluggish since the day started. Hence, mixed trading could be attributed to the mixed signals concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) and the global monetary policy moves, not to forget about the U.S. election results. Talking about positive factors, the leading vaccine producers like Pfizer and Moderna keep struggling to find the deadly virus’s best cure. In the meantime, the U.S. infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci recently boosted coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine optimism during the latest comments. He noted that the data from a large trial of its experimental COVID-19 vaccine anywhere between “a couple of days” to “a little more than a week.”

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.7176

S2 0.723

S3 0.7255

Pivot Point 0.7285

R1 0.7309

R2 0.7339

R3 0.7394

The AUDUSD is trading with a bullish bias at a 0.7303 area, having crossed over an immediate resistance level of 0.7287. At the moment, this level is working as a support for the AUD/USD pair. On the higher side, resistance stays at 0.7341 and 0.7411 level today. Bullish bias seems strong over 0.7287 today. Good luck!

Tags AUD/USD, Forex, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis

Forex Signals

USD/CAD Heading North – Is It a Good time to go long?

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 12 November, 2020
No Comments on USD/CAD Heading North – Is It a Good time to go long?

Today in the early Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair successfully extended its previous day recovery streak and remained bullish around above the mid-1.3000 level. However, the bullish sentiment around the currency pair could be attributed to the modest downticks in the crude oil prices, which ultimately undermined the demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie, and contributed to the currency pair gains. On the contrary, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by the multiple factors, has become one of the major factors that kept the lid on any further gains in the currency pair. Currently, the USD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3067 and consolidating in the range between 1.3054 – 1.3073.

Despite the renewed optimism about a potential treatment/vaccine for the highly infectious virus, the market trading sentiment has ben flashing mixed signals as the coronavirus woes overshadowed vaccine hopes. However, the increasing market worries over the potential economic fallout from the constant rise in new COVID-19 cases keep weighing on the market trading sentiment. As per the latest report, the country keeps reporting record cases daily, more than 100K per day. Essentially all American states are getting a worse status report of the COVID-19, strengthened by record hospitalizations and daily cases rising past-100,000 in the last few days. As in result, New York has declared a 10 p.m. curfew on bars, gyms, and restaurants to curb the spread. It is also worth mentioning that the COVID-19 hospitalizations in the U.S. exceeded 60,000.

On the bullish side of the story, the prevalent optimism over the potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease helps the market trading sentiment limit its deeper losses. The leading vaccine producers like Pfizer and Moderna still show progress over the vaccine for the deadly virus. This was witnessed after the U.S. infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci said that Moderna could begin analyzing vaccine data within days. However, the market trading mood mostly ignored the U.S. official’s another push to keep vaccine optimism high amid surging virus cases and hospitalizations in the U.S.

Despite the risk-off market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to extend its overnight gains. It edged lower on the day, mainly due to the heavy optimism over the potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. Apart from this, coronavirus’s resurgence keeps fueling the fears that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt, which also keeps the greenback under pressure. However, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered the major factor that pushes the currency pair down. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped to 92.922.

At the crude oil front, the WTI crude oil prices failed to extend its overnight winning streak and remained under some selling pressure on the day. However, the fresh declines in crude oil could be attributed to reports suggesting the next wave of lockdowns throughout the world, which is threatening the crude oil demand once again. Apart from this, the reason for the modest losses in crude oil prices could also be associated with the latest reports suggesting that OPEC’s oil output in October rose by 320,000 BPD in the wake of recovery in Libya’s production. Thus, the pullback in oil prices undermined demand for the commodity-linked currency – the loonie and remained supportive of the USD/CAD pair’s ongoing recovery momentum.

Moving ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. economic calendar, which highlights the latest data concerning U.S. inflation and jobless claims. In the meantime, the Brexit trade talks’ updates could not lose their importance on the day.

Daily Support and Resistance
S1 1.2951
S2 1.3003
S3 1.3032
Pivot Point 1.3055
R1 1.3084
R2 1.3107
R3 1.3158

The USD/CAD is trading with bullish sentiment at 1.3094, facing immediate resistance at 1.3100. Crossing above this level may drive further upward movement until 1.3177 level. On the downside, the USD/CAD may find support at 1.3025, and below this, the next support level stays at 1.2975 level. The MACD is in support of buying; thus, we may look for a buying trade over the 1.3105 level today. Good luck!

Tags Forex, forex services, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, USD/CAD

Forex Market Analysis

NZDUSD Bullish ahead of the RBNZ Meeting

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on NZDUSD Bullish ahead of the RBNZ Meeting

Overview

The NZDUSD cross advances in the extreme bullish sentiment zone before the RBNZ monetary policy decision, to be held during the overnight trading session. The intraday Elliott Wave view reveals its progress in an incomplete five-wave sequence, which could boost the price toward a new high.

Market Sentiment

The NZDUSD cross waits for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision, as it moves on the extreme bullish sentiment zone. Although the kiwi’s high volatility during this year made it drop over 18.7% in the first quarter of the year, the NZDUSD is still up by 1.44% (YTD).

The next chart illustrates the NZDUSD in its 8-hour timeframe. The figure unveils the price action developing a short-term rally that pushed it from the extreme bearish till the extreme bullish sentiment zone.

Moreover, the consecutive intraday higher high could make the market participants expect further upsides during the interest rate decision, which will take place in the overnight trading session.

In this context, the analysts’ consensus foresees that the RBNZ official cash rate (OCR) will remain unchanged at 0.25%. However, considering that during the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) broad meeting, the policymakers decided to cut the interest rate to 0.10%, it is possible that the RBNZ would follow the same direction.

In consequence, although the NZDUSD moves in the extreme bullish zone, a drop below 0.67635 could be a signal the pair might start developing a downward corrective movement during the following trading sessions.

Technical Overview

The big picture of the NZDUSD cross exposed in the 2-day log-scale chart reveals its advancement in an incomplete impulsive sequence, which looks moving on its fifth wave of Minute degree labeled in black.

According to the Elliott Wave theory, considering that the price action developed a third extended wave, the fifth wave should have a limited upside. Thus, the extension of the current upward movement could end soon.

On the other hand, the bearish divergence observed in the MACD oscillator confirms that the cross’s current 5th-wave upward sequence is in an exhaustion stage.

Likewise, the long-term descending trendline suggests that the price action currently tests a dynamic resistance, which could be surpassed backed by increasing volatility. Nevertheless, this potential breakout could end being a fake-out

Short-term technical Outlook

The intraday outlook for NZDUSD under the Elliott wave view and illustrated in its 4-hour chart exposes its progress in the third wave of Minuette degree labeled in blue, which could retrace to the area between 0.6785 and 0.67562.

If the price confirms the bounce from the demand zone between 0.67562 and 0.67850, the kiwi could advance toward the long-term supply zone, which corresponds to a potential target area between 0.69311 and 0.69780.

Once the fifth wave of Minuette degree, which belongs to the fifth wave of Minute degree, completes, the cross could start developing a corrective sequence with length and time proportional to the structural series of Minute degree.

Lastly, the invalidation of this intraday upward scenario is a drop below 0.67242.

Tags Education, Elliott Wave Analysis, Forex, Interest Rate Decision, Market Sentiment, NZDUSD, Price Action, RBA, RBNZ, Technical Analysis, Third Extended Wave, trading

Forex Course

171. The Best Timeframe for Forex Markets

Post author By Reddy Shyam Shankar
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on 171. The Best Timeframe for Forex Markets

Introduction

In our previous lesson, we looked at which timeframes you should trade in the forex market. We established that the timeframes you trade depend on the type of forex trader that you are. This lesson will cover the best timeframes to trade using illustrations depending on the type of forex trader you are.

Best Timeframe for Forex Position Trading

1-Month EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

The monthly timeframe shows a downtrend in the pair.

1-Week EUR/USD Trigger Timeframe

For a forex position trader, the 1-week timeframe can be used to establish the support level. This level will make the best entry point when the price trends below it.

Best Timeframe for Forex Swing Trading

Daily EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

Forex swing traders trade in the direction of the preceding trend, which in this example, is a downtrend.

4-hour EUR/USD Trigger Timeframe

For a forex swing trader, using the 4-hour timeframe is the best to identify the ideal entry and exit points.

Best Timeframe for Forex Day Trading

1-hour GBP/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

For a forex day trader, the dominant market trend is a downtrend. With this chart, the day trader can establish multiple support and resistance levels. The 15-minute timeframe is used to establish the best market entry positions.

15-minute GBP/USD Trigger Timeframe

With the 15-minute timeframe, multiple entries and exit points can be established.

Best Timeframe for Forex Scalping

15-minute EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

For a forex scalper, the 15-minute timeframe shows an uptrend. The 5-minute timeframe will be used to establish the best points of entry into the market.

5-minute Trigger Timeframe

The 5-minute timeframe presents the forex scalper with the best points for entry into the uptrend market.

Best Timeframe for Fundamental Forex Traders

Fundamental forex traders can also use timeframe analysis to establish the magnitude and volatility resulting from the release of an economic indicator. Therefore, depending on whether the indicator is high- or low-impact, you can determine which timeframe is best to trade.

With high-impact indicators, you can trade from the 30-minute timeframe.

30-minute timeframe for Australia’s GDP data release. September 2, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

Furthermore, the price action from the release of a high-impact economic indicator can persist in the market for the long-term.

30-minute timeframe for Australia’s GDP data release. September 2, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

The 4-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD pair continued trending downwards due to the less than expected GDP growth data.

For low- to medium-impact economic indicators, it is best to trade shorter timeframes from 1-minute to 15-minutes.

5-minute timeframe for Australia’s retail sales data release. August 21, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

At longer timeframes, the effects of these indicators on the price action dissipates.

1-hour timeframe for Australia’s retail sales data release. August 21, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

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Tags Education, Forex, Forex Course, Forex Trading, Multiple Timeframes, Position Trading, Scalping, Swing Trading, Technical Analysis, timeframe, trading, Trading Forex

Forex Signals

EUR/JPY Violates Symmetric Triangle Pattern

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on EUR/JPY Violates Symmetric Triangle Pattern

Entry Price – Buy 124.623
Stop Loss – 124.223
Take Profit – 125.023
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
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Tags EUR/JPY, Forex, Forex Trading, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 11 – Mempool Cleared! Bitcoin Fees Plummet

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 11 – Mempool Cleared! Bitcoin Fees Plummet

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day consolidating and preparing for the next move and setting up valid technical formations. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $15,377, representing an increase of 0.01% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum gained 2.08% on the day, while XRP gained 1.14%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Loopring gained 30.64% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization. It is closely followed by UMA’s gain of 24.45% and yearn.finance’s 17.59% gain. On the other hand, Decentraland lost 13.96%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Decred lost 9.94% while HedgeTrade lost 8.76%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has decreased slightly since we last reported, with its value is currently staying at 63.9%. This value represents a 0.3% difference to the downside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone up slightly over the course of the day. Its current value is $446.12 billion, representing a $4.38 billion increase compared to our previous report.

_______________________________________________________________________

What happened in the past 24 hours?

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin’s transaction fees have plummeted as its mempool got cleared, reaching its smallest size since the middle of Oct. This means that hundreds, if not thousands of unconfirmed transactions, got included in the recent blocks, leaving the blockchain clear and unclogged. The mempool clearing has been attributed to a 42% increase in hash rate, which happened just a couple of days ago as Chinese miners completed their migration from the Sechuan region.

At the moment, the median transaction fee is 3 sat/byte, or roughly $0.11.

_______________________________________________________________________

Technical analysis

_______________________________________________________________________

Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has spent the day trading in a narrow range between $15,100 and $15,500, trying to pass the $15,480 level with confidence. However, as this did not happen, we are seeing a possible lower high forming. The flat RSI and volume dropping signal a “calm before the storm,” which means that traders should prepare for a sharp move soon.

Traders should wait for Bitcoin to choose its short-term direction and trade only if Bitcoin confidently goes above $15,480 or below $15,420 with significant volume.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are bullish on all time-frames. However, its shorter time-frames are showing signs of neutrality, or even slight bearish presence, while its monthly overview is completely bullish.

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is above its 50-period EMA and right at its 21-period EMA
Price is at its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (54.44)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $15,480 1: $15,420

2: $16,400 2: $14,640

3: $16,700 3: $14,100

Ethereum

Ethereum has, unlike Bitcoin, had a great day as its price propelled past the top line of the ascended channel. The price increase is mainly attributed to great news regarding its 2.0 update adoption, as its deposit contracts top 22.5 million only one week after launch.

However, while the price increase is certainly a great thing, Ethereum is currently entering a strong resistance zone (above $460), which may cause problems for the ETH bulls.

Traders should pay close attention to how (and if) Ethereum pulls back or continues upwards. If Bitcoin doesn’t make any moves, it’s safe to assume that Ethereum will pullback in the short future.

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s technicals show “extreme buy” daily, weekly, and monthly time-frames, while its 4-hour overview is slightly more neutral.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above both its 50-period and its 21-period EMA
Price is at its top Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (60.73)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $470 1: $451

2: $490 2: $445

3: $500 3: $420

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has continued trading within a range, bound by $0.2454 to the downside and $0.26 to the upside. XRP has spent the day slowly increasing its price, but the one attempt it had of pushing past $0.26 got shut down quickly.

Traders are safe to assume that XRP will trade within the same range and that they can trade the sideways action. On the other hand, if the volume increases drastically, a move towards the upside is much more likely than one towards the downside (unless fueled by Bitcoin’s move).

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s technicals on the 4-hour and weekly time-frame are slightly bullish with slight hints of neutrality, while its daily overview is bullish. On the other hand, its monthly overview is tilted towards the sell-side.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price above its 50-period EMA and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly above its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (52.36)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.26 1: $0.2454

2: $0.266 2: $0.235

3: $0.27 3: $0.227

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 11 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Bank Holidays!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 11 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Bank Holidays!

On the news front, the economic calendar is mostly empty on the back of the Bank holiday in Europe and the United States. French banks will be closed in observance of Armistice Day, while Canadian banks will be closed in observance of Remembrance Day. The U.S. banks will also remain closed amid the Veterans Day holiday in the bank. We may experience thin trading volume and volatility in the market.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18133 after placing a high of 1.19198 and a low of 1.17951. The EUR/USD pair rose to its highest since September 02 on Monday but failed to keep its gains and fell to post losses for the day as the U.S. dollar rallied in the American session as risk appetite took over. Pfizer and BioNtech announced that their coronavirus vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing the coronavirus. The news about the vaccine optimism raised the risk sentiment further and pushed the pair to its highest in 9 weeks in earlier sessions on Monday.

Pfizer and BioNtech said they would seek the approval authorization for emergency-use from the U.S. later this month. The market’s optimism raised and supported the EUR/USD pair’s an upward movement in earlier trading hours.

A vaccine will likely mean the end of lockdowns and restrictions and hence, a sharp economic comeback. However, it will take up to the second half of next year for the vaccine or vaccines to reach enough people to grant a more regular return to activities. Nevertheless, optimism will prevail. However, the EUR/USD pair failed to keep its gains for the day and started declining on Monday on the back of Joe Biden’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. The political gridlock in the U.S. Senate could stall the prospect of any fresh package of U.S. fiscal stimulus package that failed to keep the U.S. dollar under pressure and weighed on the EUR/USD pair.

The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde refrained from touching upon monetary policy in her scheduled speech at the Green Horizon Summit on Monday. She only talked about climate risks and said that the economic challenges of climate transition were phenomenal. The main driver of the EUR/USD pair remained the strength of the U.S. dollar triggered by the faded hopes of additional stimulus measures as the vaccine news raised optimism about the economic recovery.

European banks will be closed in observance of Armistice Day; therefore, thin trading volume and volatility can be expected today.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1766 1.1891

1.1717 1.1969

1.1640 1.2017

Pivot point: 1.1843

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD is trading bullish at the 1.1833 level amid a stronger U.S. dollar. The pair may now head higher until an immediate resistance level of 1.1883. On the 4 hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has formed an upward channel supporting the pair at the 1.18016 level. On the higher side, a bullish crossover of 1.1883 level can extend the buying trend until the 1.1945 area. The MACD entered the oversold zone and now suggesting odds of bullish trend continuation; therefore, we should look for a buying trade over the 1.1801 level.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.31634 after a high of 1.32081 and a low of 1.31183. Despite higher market sentiment and weaker safe-haven demand on Monday, the British Pound to U.S. dollar exchange rate has been under pressure. The Sterling remained weak despite the increased market sentiment from the news of coronavirus vaccine efficiency. Pfizer and the BioNtech announced that their vaccine had been proved more than 90% efficient in preventing the coronavirus on Monday. Both companies also said they would be taking approval from the U.S. for the vaccine’s emergency-use later this month. After this news, risk appetite increased in the market, and global equities raised; however, the risk perceived GBP/USD pair remained under pressure as British Pound was weak due to Biden victory in the U.S. elections.

Joe Biden’s victory decreased the hopes for the U.K. & U.S. post-Brexit trade deal as Joe Biden has already said that if U.K. fails to reach a deal with the E.U., then the US-UK deal will also be jeopardized. As there was no news regarding the progress made in the U.K. & E.U. talks, the British Pound came under fresh pressure after Joe Biden became the U.S.

The governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, explained that what the BoE was doing to ensure the financial system plays its part in tackling climate change. He warned that climate change was a bigger risk than coronavirus. Furthermore, the chief economist from the Bank of England, Andy Haldane, said that a breakthrough in developing a coronavirus vaccine could deliver a vital boost of confidence to consumers and businesses. He added that the economy might have reached a decisive moment after the pharmaceutical company Pfizer announced that its coronavirus vaccine candidate was 90% effective.

He also said that the vaccine could be a game-changer for the economy. He cautioned that it would take several months for the vaccine to be rolled out but would have an immediate effect on consumer and business confidence. He added that the economic cycle would start again as it would unlock the business investments, and the economy will start recovering. The GBP/USD pair remained a little bullish due to high pressure on British Pound on Tuesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2997 1.3222

1.2851 1.3301

1.2771 1.3448

Pivot point: 1.3076

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading with a strong bullish bias due to a stronger Sterling 1.3191 area. The pair has violated the intraday resistance level at 1.3159, which is now working as a support for Sterling. On the higher side, the continuation of an upward trend can lead to the GBP/USD pair until the 1.3226 area. The cable had violated the descending triangle pattern, and ever since, it’s trading with a bullish bias.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.388 after placing a high of 105.645 and a low of 103.187. The USD/JPY pair surged past the 105.6 level on Monday after the risk-on market sentiment raised and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The safe-haven Japanese Yen came under fresh pressure after the Pfizer and its German partner BioNtech announced that their vaccine candidate was proved more than 90% efficient in its last-stage trials. Both companies announced that they would seek U.S. approval for the emergency-use of vaccine later this month.

The pair USD/JPY witnessed a sharp rise in its prices of almost 3-4% on Monday after the vaccine optimism raised the risk appetite in the market that weighed heavily on the safe-haven Japanese Yen. This ultimately pushed the USD/JPY pair to the highest level since October 20.

The gains in USD/JPY pair were also supported by the victory of Democratic Joe Biden in U.S. elections. Biden was expected to deliver a massive stimulus package that had been weighing on the U.S. dollar. Still, after the news of vaccine development and its efficiency, the need for the massive stimulus package dropped and raised the U.S. dollar onboard.

The Bank of Japan released the Summary of opinions that stated that one member said that the bank needs to ensure its purchases of exchange-traded funds are sustainable. Other members said that BOJ must be ready to ramp up stimulus to cushion the economic blow from the coronavirus pandemic. The Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester said that the emergency lending programs the Fed set up during the coronavirus pandemic had reduced distress in financial markets. She also said that there was still a need for lending programs.

Mester also noted that Fed Chair Jerome Powell would be working with the Treasury Department to determine if the programs should be extended beyond the end of the year. She also stated that the Fed was not out of ammunition to stimulate the economy. The Fed could provide more accommodation by adjusting its asset purchase program and using other tools. She said that the economy recovered more strongly than expected, but gains have not been evenly spread. Mester said that economic growth would be more slowly despite the optimistic news about the vaccine. These comments kept the markets under pressure and capped further gains in the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.82 106.29

102.27 107.21

101.35 108.75

Pivot point: 104.74

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY has violated the descending trendline at 104.950 area, and on the lower side, it’s testing the support area of 104.840 level. The USD/JPY pair has recently entered the overbought zone, and now investors may experience a bearish correction in the market. The USD/JPY pair needs to violate the 104.900 level. Below this, we may see the USD/JPY pair falling until the 104.220 level, and a further breakout can lead it towards 102.400, which seems a bit hard. However, we may see buying over 104.950 levels today until 105.600. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY

Forex Signals

Choppy Session in USD/CAD Continues – Traders Braces for a Breakout Setup!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 11 November, 2020
No Comments on Choppy Session in USD/CAD Continues – Traders Braces for a Breakout Setup!

During Wednesday’s early Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair failed to stop its overnight losses and remain depressed around the 1.3030 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The prevalent downtrend in the U.S. dollar was mainly tied to the confidence over a potential vaccine for the extremely contagious coronavirus disease, which struggling to keep market trading sentiment positive. Moreover, President-elect Joe Biden faces difficulties from Donald Trump, which also weighs on the already weaker U.S. dollar. The reason for the declines in the currency pair could also be attributed to the fresh upward movement in the crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and contributes to the currency pair’s losses. However, the crude oil prices were being supported by fresh released upbeat American Petroleum Institute (API) data. As of writing, the USD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3028 and consolidating in the range between 1.3024 – 1.3037.

As we already mentioned, the market trading sentiment represented negative performance on the day as the sluggish appearance of Asia-Pacific stocks and declines of the U.S. 10-year Treasury yields tend to highlight the risk-off mood. However, the reason behind the risk-off market bias could be attributed to a combination of factors. Be it the worrisome headlines concerning the Sino-US tussle or the resurgence of the coronavirus. The market trading sentiment has been flashing red since the day started, which ultimately keeps the safe-haven assets supportive on the day.

At the US-China front, the tensions between the United States and China still do not show any sign of slowing down as the U.S. imposed fresh sanctions on 4-Chinese diplomats over the Hong Kong Security Bill crackdown initially overshadowed the optimism over a potential vaccine and weighed on the market sentiment. Elsewhere, the declines in the equity market were further bolstered after U.S. President Donald Trump’s push to block election results to confuse optimists.

Despite the risk-off mood, the broad-based U.S. dollar remained depressed. The investors continue to sell U.S. dollars on the back of optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease. Moreover, the losses in the U.S. dollar could also be associated with political uncertainty in the U.S. Thus, the losses in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair lower. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies, was down at 92.707.

At the crude oil front, WTI crude oil prices remained well bid around above $41 on the day, backed by the COVID vaccine hopes and the victory of Joe Biden, which boosted the market trading sentiment and demand sentiment the crude oil. Apart from this, China has played a significant role in underpinning global oil demand recovery. They showed that the inventories had declined considerably in recent weeks, indicating the domestic economic recovery. Moreover, the crude oil prices upticks were further boosted after the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported the major draw in crude oil inventories of 5.147 million barrels for the week ending November 6. Thus, the crude oil prices’ upticks underpinned the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and exerted some downside pressure on the currency pair.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.289

S2 1.2957

S3 1.2995

Pivot Point 1.3023

R1 1.3061

R2 1.3089

R3 1.3156

The USD/CAD pair is consolidating around the 1.3020 area, testing the resistance level of the 1.3033 mark. On the higher side, the bullish breakout of the 1.3033 level can stretch the buying trend until the next resistance level of 1.3098. While on the lower side, the immediate support stays at 1.3000, and below this, the next support is likely to be found around 1.2935 level. Overall, the USD/CAD isn’t moving a lot as traders are enjoying bank holidays in Canada and the U.S. amid Remembrance and Veterans Day. We may have a thin trading volume and volatility in the market today. Good luck!

Tags forex services, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USD/CAD

Forex Signals

AUD/USD Stops Previous Day Losing Streak Amid Downbeat China CPI, PPI

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on AUD/USD Stops Previous Day Losing Streak Amid Downbeat China CPI, PPI

The AUD/USD failed to extend its overnight bullish bias and remains on the backfoot after returning from the 8-week high the previous day. However, the reason could be traced to China’s weaker than expected inflation data for October, which initially undermined the Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. Besides this, the reason for the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could also be associated with the U.K. government’s defeat to convince the House of Lords over the necessity to have the rights to edit the Brexit deal by the Tory members.

On the contrary, the hopes of the latest optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease having earlier boosted the market trading sentiment, which could be regarded as one of the key determinants that help the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. Besides this, the losses in the currency pair were also capped by the fresh optimism of the Australian Prime Minister (PM) Scott Morrison over the Australian economy. Meanwhile, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, buoyed by the market mixed mood, could also be considered as a major factor that might cap the further downside momentum for the currency pair.

As we already mentioned that the reason for the currency pair bearish bias could be traced to China’s weaker than expected inflation data for October, which initially undermined the Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. At the data front, China’s headline CPI decreased below 0.8% against forecast to 0.5% YoY, marking the first below 1.0% print since March 2017, whereas PPI reprints -2.1% figures while defying -2.0% market consensus.

Despite the optimism over a potential treatment/vaccine for the highly infectious virus, the market risk sentiment failed to extend its previous day positive performance and remains depressive during the early Asian session on the day amid a combination of factors. Be it the worrisome headlines concerning Brexit or the tension between the US-China, not to forget the coronavirus issues in the U.S., the market trading sentiment has been flashing red since the Asian session started, which ultimately keeps the perceived riskier Australian dollar under pressure. As per the latest report, the U.S. sanctions four Chinese diplomats over the Hong Kong crackdown.

Meanwhile, the reason for the losses in the equity market could also be associated with the U.S. dislikes concerning the European tariffs on goods worth $4 billion, as earlier expressed by the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Lighthizer. Furthermore, the British House of Lords rejected the Tory government’s proposal to override the Brexit treaty, which also weighed on the market trading sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Across the pond, the prevalent worries over the resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic remain on the card as they could ruin the global economic recovery, which keeps the market trading sentiment under pressure and weakened the perceived riskier Australian dollar. The coronavirus COVID-19 cases continue to climb in Europe, U.K., and the U.S. As per the latest report, the coronavirus (COVID-19) cases crossed over 10 million figures in the U.S. as well as 30 million marks from Europe.

Despite the mixed market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to extend its overnight gains and edged lower on the day mostly due to the heavy optimism over the potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease.

On the bullish side, the pharmaceutical giant Pfizer announced Monday that early analysis of its coronavirus vaccine trial suggested the vaccine was robustly effective in preventing COVID-19, which earlier boosted the market trading sentiment and was seen as one of the key factors that capped further downside momentum for the currency pair. However, the coronavirus vaccine hopes got an additional boost after the U.S. Health Official Dr Anthony Fauci said that the vaccine is around the corner while terming Moderna’s vaccine similar to Pfizer’s during an interview with CNN.

At home, Australian Prime Minister (PM) Scott Morrison recently said that the confidence in the economy is recovering, as the country is re-opening from its coronavirus imposed the second lockdown, which ultimately helped the currency pair to limits its deeper losses. In the meantime, the October month data from National Australia Bank (NAB) recorded better than previous predictions but were mostly ignored.

The traders will keep their eyes on U.S. economic calendars, which will highlight the release of the NFIB Small Business Index along with JOLTS Job Openings. Apart from this, the traders will also closely watch the FOMC Member Kaplan and FOMC Member Quarles speeches. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the Brexit trade talks could not lose their importance on the day.

The AUDUSD is consolidating with bullish sentiment at the 0.7283 area, having crossed over an immediate resistance level of 0.7247 level. For the moment, this AUD/USD is working as a support for the AUD/USD pair. On the higher side, resistance stays at 0.7341 and 0.7411 level today. Bullish bias seems strong; let’s consider taking bullish trades today, especially 0.7220. Good luck!

Tags AUD/USD, Forex, Support and Resistance, Technical Analysis, Trade Setup

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

Euphoric Market’s Sentiment Pushes GBPCHF Up

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on Euphoric Market’s Sentiment Pushes GBPCHF Up

Overview

The GBPCHF cross began the current trading week, advancing over 1.30%, boosted by the U.S. post-election rally and Pfizer’s Covid vaccine upbeat results. However, the Elliott Wave view anticipates that the euphoric rally could soon end, and the cross could reverse its course toward new lows.

Market Sentiment

The week started with a risk-on U.S. Presidential post-election stock market rally, driving the risk-off currencies to drop. In this context, the GBPCHF cross advances over 1.30% to its highest level since late September.

The following 8-hour chart displays the intraday market sentiment. Although the sideways movement predominates since late September, the strong bullish move developed in the Monday trading session takes the GBPCHF cross to the extreme bullish sentiment zone.

Likewise, we can see the price action developing above the 60-period weighted moving average, which confirms the intraday upward bias that could hold during the following trading sessions.

On the other hand, the euphoric sentiment bolstered by news media’s coverage of the U.S. elections and the continuation of the stock market rally added to the news of the promising vaccine results developed by Pfizer and BioNTech leads us to expect a limited upside in the risk-on currencies.

Technical Overview

The big picture of the GBPCHF under the Elliott wave perspective reveals its progress in a descending broadening formation. Its latest downward sequence began on December 13th, 2019, when the price found fresh sellers at 1.33113. We can see, as well, that this leg still remains in progress.

The following daily chart unveils the advance in the fifth wave of Minute degree labeled in black, which started on 1.22224, where the price action declined in a bearish impulsive movement reaching a new lower low. This decline that ended on 1.15989 completed the first wave of Minuette degree labeled in blue.

Currently, the GBPCHF cross moves in its second wave (in blue). Nevertheless, the psychological barrier of 1.20 could represent a significative intraday resistance.

Technical Outlook

The intraday outlook of the GBPCHF cross reveals the bullish continuation of the current upward momentum. The next 2-hour chart exposes the supply and demand zones according to the potential next move that the cross could develop in the coming trading sessions.

On the one hand, the price advances in its wave c of Subminuette degree identified in green, developing the third internal wave. Likewise, the retracement that should correspond to its fourth internal wave could retrace to the area between 1.19292 and 1.19694. This zone could back the possibility of a new rally that would boost the price toward 1.21012 and 1.21306.

On the other hand, our first scenario considers the bearish continuation. In this case, if the price action penetrates and closes below 1.1803, the cross could see further declines toward the zone of 1.1650.

Finally, our second scenario considers that if the GBPCHF cross continues its advance beyond 1.22224, the cross could extend its gains toward the descending upper- trendline shown in the daily chart.

Tags Education, Elliott Wave Analysis, Forex, GBPCHF, Market Sentiment, Post-Election Rally, Price Action, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading

Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis

AUDJPY Could Develop a Limited Upside

Post author By Eduardo Vargas
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on AUDJPY Could Develop a Limited Upside

Overview

The AUDJPY cross advances in an incomplete upward sequence that belongs to a corrective structural series backed by Monday’s trading session’s euphoric sentiment. The Elliott Wave view unveils the likelihood of a limited upside before resuming its declines.

Market Sentiment

The AUDJPY cross retraces on the overnight Tuesday trading session after the surprising weekly kick-off, which jumped the price over 2.2%, climbing until 77.037, its highest level since September 18th.

The AUDJPY 8-hour chart illustrates the 30-day high and low range, which exposes the participants’ intraday market sentiment. The figure distinguishes the price action consolidating in the extreme bullish sentiment zone, backed by the stock market’s euphoric rally on Monday’s trading session.

The breakout of the last 30-day high of 76.274 during Monday’s trading session raised the participants’ extreme bullish sentiment, expecting further upsides on the cross. Moreover, we see that the price action remains above its 60-period linear weighted moving average, which confirms the bullish bias on the AUDJPY.

Nevertheless, the AUDJPY found resistance below mid-September’s consolidation zone. This market context expects a significative retracement or a consolidation movement before continuing the rally experienced in Monday’s session. Finally, a retracement below the 75.087 level would turn the market sentiment from bullish to bearish.

Technical Overview

The AUDJPY cross advances in an incomplete upward bullish sequence of a lower degree, which belongs to a descending structure that began on August 31st when the price topped on 78.462.

The below 8-hour chart exposes the price action running in an upward wave ((b)) of Minute degree labeled in black, which currently advances its fourth wave of Minuette degree identified in blue. Likewise, according to the Dow Theory, considering that the AUDJPY cross advanced over 66% of the bearish decline, the price should develop a bearish connector corresponding to wave ((b)).

In this context, following the Elliott Wave theory and considering the third internal segment of the intraday rally, the price could produce a limited upside toward the supply zone bounded between 77.295 and 77.497. Finally, the bearish divergence on the MACD oscillator may mean a confirmation of the upward movement’s exhaustion corresponding to wave ((b)).

Short-Term Technical Outlook

The incomplete bullish sequence of the AUDJPY cross unfolded in its 4-hour chart exposes the progress in its fourth wave of Subminuette degree labeled in green. Likewise, considering that the third wave is the extended wave of wave (c), the fifth wave in green should not be extended.

On the other hand, considering that the second wave in green is a simple correction, the fourth wave should elapse more time than the second wave. Additionally, the fifth wave in green could extend itself between 77.140 and 77.654. The price could find fresh sellers expecting to open their shorts on the bearish side of wave ((c)) of Minute degree labeled in black. The invalidation level of the bearish scenario locates at 78.462.

Tags AUDJPY, Elliott Wave Analysis, Forex, Intraday Trading, Market Sentiment, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, trading

Forex Course

170. Why Consider Analysing Multiple Timeframes When Trading Forex?

Post author By Reddy Shyam Shankar
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on 170. Why Consider Analysing Multiple Timeframes When Trading Forex?

Introduction

Our previous lessons have covered trading multiple timeframes in forex and which timeframes are suitable for your trading style. To some forex traders, trading multiple forex timeframes can seem tedious and time-consuming. Here are some of the most important reasons why you should look at multiple timeframes when trading forex.

1. To easily identify trends and their momentum

Depending on the type of forex trader you are, multiple timeframes will enable you to see the prevailing market trends at a glance by filtering out periodic price spikes. It is easier to identify the direction of the market trends and consolidations, whether in the short- or long-term.

For the long-term market trend, you can use the weekly and the monthly timeframes, while the intermediate market trend can best be identified by the 4-hour to daily timeframes. Timeframes of between five minutes and one hour can be used to determine the short-term market position.

The longer timeframes filter out the short-term price fluctuations, which might otherwise result in trend inconsistencies when viewed alone. The periodic fluctuations in the short-term add up in the long-term. With multiple timeframe analysis, the strength and consistency of the short-term trend can be compared to that in the long-term. This comparison is made by observing whether the prevailing long-term trend was dominant in the short-term as well.

2. To establish the significance of fundamental indicators

Using multiple trend analysis, you can easily establish the magnitude that news release of economic indicators has on a given currency pair. To determine the significance of the economic indicators, you can use different timeframes to establish how long the news release affected price action. The effects of high-impact fundamental indicators can be traced from the shorter timeframe to the longer timeframes. Low-impact indicators only affect price action on the shorter timeframe.

3. Identifying the support and resistance levels

Based on the forex trading style you choose, you can use the more extended timeframe within your category to establish the support and resistance levels in the market trend. Shorter timeframes can then be used to trigger entry and exit points for a trade.

These support and resistance levels are crucial in deciding the forex order type you want to execute. Say, for example, you want to use a buy limit order. You will use the support level as your trigger price. Similarly, the support level can be used as the trigger price for a sell stop order. You can use the resistance level as the trigger price for the sell limit and buy stop orders.

4. To avoid the lagging effects of technical indicators

Technical forex indicators are lagging since they derive their properties from the price action of a forex pair. Therefore, the forecasting significance of multiple timeframe analysis in the forex market can be said to be leading that of the technical indicators. Furthermore, some technical forex indicators can produce conflicting signals. Thus, trading with multiple timeframes improves your forex analysis.

We hope you understood why it is crucial to consider analyzing various timeframes while analyzing the Forex market. Please take the below quiz to know if you got the concepts correctly. Cheers!

[wp_quiz id=”89156″]

Tags Education, Forex, Forex Course, Forex Trading, Multiple Timeframes, Resistance, S&R levels, Support, Technical Analysis, Timeframe Analysis, trading, Trading timeframes

Crypto Market Analysis

Daily Crypto Review, Nov 10 – Bitcoin Miners Migrated: BTC Hash Rate Up 42%

Post author By Ilija Rankovic
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily Crypto Review, Nov 10 – Bitcoin Miners Migrated: BTC Hash Rate Up 42%

The cryptocurrency sector has spent the day mostly consolidating and preparing for the next move and setting up technical formations. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently trading for $15,288, representing a decrease of 1.14% on the day. Meanwhile, Ethereum lost 1.70% on the day, while XRP lost 0.8%.

Daily Crypto Sector Heat Map

Civic gained an astonishing 101.35% in the past 24 hours, making it the most prominent daily gainer out of the top100 cryptos ranked by market capitalization. It is closely followed by Golem’s gain of 29.25% and Decentraland’s 22.26% gain. On the other hand, Loopring lost 9.76%, making it the most prominent daily loser. Synthetix lost 7.39% while Energy Web Token lost 7.35%, making them the 2nd and 3rd most prominent daily losers.

Top 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bottom 10 24-hour Performers (Click to enlarge)

Bitcoin’s market dominance has decreased slightly since we last reported, with its value is currently staying at 64.2%. This value represents a 0.1% difference to the downside compared to the value it had yesterday.

Daily Crypto Market Cap Chart

The crypto sector capitalization has gone down slightly over the course of the day. Its current value is $441.50 billion, representing a $4.29 billion decrease compared to our previous report.

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What happened in the past 24 hours?

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The past 24 hours were characterized by a slow price movement of the crypto sector. However, a lot of important news reached the public’s eye. Bitcoin Miners finished up on Sichuan’s migration, triggering a hash rate spike of 42% in the past 2 days. Ethereum has been performing great, and news of its 2.0 version is all over the place, with the most recent one being that the number of addresses surpassing 32 ETH (the amount required to be a validator) is at an all-time high. On the other hand, Bitcoin SV brought bad news to the sector, as its multi-sig feature got compromised, causing enormous losses for its users.

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Technical analysis

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Bitcoin

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading in a very uncertain zone at the moment. Its price has most likely created a double top formation, indicating a possible pullback in the short-term. This prediction is even more convincing as we can see that Bitcoin can’t get past the $15,480 resistance after trying for over 12 hours. However, the overall sentiment around the cryptocurrency is extremely bullish, and its downside is protected by the ascending (yellow) line.

With that being said, traders should wait for Bitcoin to choose its direction and trade only if Bitcoin spikes above $15,480 or below $15,420 with significant volume.

BTC/USD 4-hour Chart

Bitcoin’s technicals are bullish on all time-frames. The only difference compared to yesterday was that every single time-frame is completely bullish and with almost no neutrality present (as opposed to yesterday, when neutral sentiment could be seen on some overviews).

BTC/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

Price is above its 50-period EMA and right at its 21-period EMA
Price is at its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (53.60)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $16,400 1: $15,480

2: $16,665 2: $14,640

3: $17,260 3: $14,100

Ethereum

Ethereum has been playing around the upper line of the ascending channel (yellow dotted line) and constantly going above and under it. At the moment, its price is under the line, and any attempts of getting past it have been extinguished quickly. This most likely means that Ethereum failed to establish itself above the $451 level, which could trigger a correction towards the 50-period moving average, and ultimately the bottom channel line.

Traders should pay close attention to volume, as they will not have a lot of time to join in on the trade towards the downside. Placing a stop-loss right above the ascending channel top line should be a “safe bet.”

ETH/USD 4-hour Chart

Ethereum’s technicals are tilted heavily towards the buy-side on its 4-hour and monthly overview, while the neutral sentiment is heavily present on its daily and weekly charts.

ETH/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical Factors (4-hour Chart):

The price is above its 50-period and slightly above its 21-period EMA
Price is at its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (55.58)
Volume is slightly elevated

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $451 1: $445

2: $470 2: $420

3: $490 3: $415

Ripple

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap continued its consolidation phase right above the $0.2454 level, which is considered a major pivot point in XRP’s trading in the recent past. XRP created a double bottom at this level, possibly indicating a push towards the $0.26 in the short term.

Traders should still be safe to assume that XRP will trade within the range and that they can trade the sideways action. However, if the volume increases drastically, a move towards the upside is much more likely (if not fueled by Bitcoin’s move).

XRP/USD 4-hour Chart

XRP’s technicals on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly time-frame are all tilted towards the buy-side. However, neutral sentiment can be seen in all of them. On the other hand, its monthly overview also has the same neutrality amount but is tilted towards the sell-side.

XRP/USD 1-day Technicals

Technical factors (4-hour Chart):

The price slightly above its 50-period EMA and at its 21-period EMA
Price is slightly below its middle Bollinger band
RSI is neutral (49.69)
Volume is average

Key levels to the upside Key levels to the downside

1: $0.26 1: $0.2454

2: $0.266 2: $0.235

3: $0.27 3: $0.227

Tags bitcoin, BTC, Crypto, Crypto Trading, cryptocurrency, Daily Brief, ETH, Ethereum, Fundamental Analysis, Ripple, Technical Analysis, trading, XRP

Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, November 10 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Risk on Market Sentiment!

Post author By Ali B.
Post date 10 November, 2020
No Comments on Daily F.X. Analysis, November 10 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Risk on Market Sentiment!

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the European German ZEW Economic Sentiment data and the Industrial Production figures from France and Italy. All of the figures are expected to have dropped, which may put bearish pressure on the single currency Euro. Besides this, the eyes will stay on the labor market figures from the United Kindom.

Economic Events to Watch Today

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

Pfizer and BioNtech announced that their coronavirus vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing the coronavirus. The news about the vaccine optimism raised the risk sentiment further and pushed the pair to its highest in 9 weeks in earlier sessions on Monday.

Pfizer and BioNtech said they would seek the approval authorization for emergency-use from the U.S. later this month. The optimism around the market raised and supported the EUR/USD pair’s upward movement in earlier trading hours.

However, the EUR/USD pair failed to keep its gains for the day and started declining on Monday on the back of Joe Biden’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. The political gridlock in the U.S. Senate could stall the prospect of any fresh package of U.S. fiscal stimulus package that failed to keep the U.S. dollar under pressure and weighed on the EUR/USD pair.

On the data front, at 12:00 GMT, the German Trade Balance for September raised to 17.8B against the expected 17.2B and supported Euro that pushed the EUR/USD pair higher on Monday. AT 14:30 GMT, the Sentix Investor Confidence for October came in as -10.0 against the forecasted -15.0 and supported Euro.

Moreover, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde refrained from touching upon monetary policy in her scheduled speech at the Green Horizon Summit on Monday. She only talked about climate risks and said that the economic challenges of climate transition were phenomenal. The main driver of the EUR/USD pair remained the strength of the U.S. dollar triggered by the faded hopes of additional stimulus measures as the vaccine news raised optimism about the economic recovery.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1766 1.1891

1.1717 1.1969

1.1640 1.2017

Pivot point: 1.1843

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading bullish at the 1.1833 level amid a stronger U.S. dollar. The pair may now head higher until an immediate resistance level of 1.1883. On the 4 hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has formed an upward channel supporting the pair at the 1.18016 level. On the higher side, a bullish crossover of 1.1883 level can extend the buying trend until the 1.1945 area. The MACD entered the oversold zone and now suggesting odds of bullish trend continuation; therefore, we should look for a buying trade over the 1.1801 level.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

Pfizer and the BioNtech announced that their vaccine had been proved more than 90% efficient in preventing the coronavirus on Monday. Both companies also said they would be taking approval from the U.S. for the vaccine’s emergency-use later this month. After this news, risk appetite increased in the market, and global equities raised; however, the risk perceived GBP/USD pair remained under pressure on Monday as British Pound was weak due to Biden victory in the U.S. elections.

Meanwhile, on Monday, the governor of Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, explained that what the BoE was doing to ensure the financial system plays its part in tackling climate change. He warned that climate change was a bigger risk than coronavirus. Furthermore, the chief economist from the Bank of England, Andy Haldane, said that a breakthrough in developing a coronavirus vaccine could deliver a vital boost of confidence to consumers and businesses. He added that the economy might have reached a decisive moment after the pharmaceutical company Pfizer announced that its coronavirus vaccine candidate was 90% effective.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2997 1.3222

1.2851 1.3301

1.2771 1.3448

Pivot point: 1.3076

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

Meanwhile, on Monday, the Bank of Japan released the Summary of opinions that stated that one member said that the bank needs to ensure its purchases of exchange-traded funds are sustainable. Other members said that BOJ must be ready to ramp up stimulus to cushion the economic blow from the coronavirus pandemic.

On Monday, the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester said that the emergency lending programs the Fed set up during the coronavirus pandemic had reduced distress in financial markets. She also said that there was still a need for lending programs. Mester also said that Fed Chair Jerome Powell would be working with the Treasury Department to determine if the programs should be extended beyond the end of the year. She also stated that the Fed was not out of ammunition to stimulate the economy and that the Fed could provide more accommodation by adjusting its asset purchase program and using other tools.

She said that the economy recovered more strongly than expected, but gains have not been evenly spread. Mester said that economic growth would be more slowly despite the optimistic news about the vaccine on Monday. These comments kept the markets under pressure and capped further gains in the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

103.82 106.29

102.27 107.21

101.35 108.75

Pivot point: 104.74

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY has violated the descending trendline at 104.950 area, and on the lower side, it’s testing the support area of 104.840 level. The USD/JPY pair has recently entered the overbought zone, and now investors may experience a bearish correction in the market. To see a bearish retracement, the USD/JPY pair needs to violate the 104.900 level. Below this, we may see the USD/JPY pair falling until the 104.220 level, and a further breakout can lead it towards 102.400, which seems a bit hard. However, we may see buying over 104.950 levels today until 105.600. Good luck!

Tags Daily Brief, EURUSD, Forex, Forex Trading, Fundamental Analysis, GBPUSD, Technical Analysis, Technical Outlook, Trade Setup, trading, USDJPY