Forex Signals

AUD/USD Upward Channel Supports – Choppy Session in Play!

The AUD/USD was closed at 0.72998 after placing a high of 0.73393 and a low of 0.72887. After placing gains for two consecutive days, the AUD/USD pair was declined on Tuesday amid the risk-off market sentiment. On Tuesday, the Assistant Governor of Reserve Bank of Australia, Dr. Kent, said that the Aussie’s recent rise was due to the optimistic news of the coronavirus vaccine rather than about the US Presidential election outcome. He said that any positive news about vaccine development would be a good thing for the global economy, including the Australian economy.

Over the chances of negative interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia, Kent said it was extraordinarily unlikely that the bank would go for it. These comments from Kent failed to provide any specific movement in AUD/USD pair. Meanwhile, the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia were released on Tuesday, showing that the central bank was ready to provide more policy stimulus if needed after cutting rates to record lows. The bank’s board felt taking interest rates negative was not sensible, and any further action would involve increasing bond purchases.


The minutes revealed that the bank has decided to cut its main cash rate by 15 basis points to just 0.1% and launch a new bond-buying program. The board was ready to do more in need, and the focus over the period ahead will be the government bond purchase program. Moreover, on the data front, from the US side, at 19:00 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate raised to 72.8% against the estimated 72.3%. It supported the US dollar added further losses in the AUD/USD pair. The Industrial Production came in line with the anticipations of 1.1% in October. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for September rose to 0.7% against the expected 0.5% and weighed on the US dollar. The NAHB Housing Market Index from the US surged to 90 from the expected 85 and supported the US dollar that weighed on AUD/USD pair.

Another aspect included in the AUD/USD pair’s downward momentum was the risk-off market sentiment due to the rising coronavirus cases across the globe. The second wave of coronavirus forced many governments to re-impose restrictions that raised economic recovery concerns and increased the appeal for safe-haven that weighed on the AUD/USD pair on Tuesday.

Daily technical Levels
Support Resistance
0.7278 0.7329
0.7257 0.7361
0.7226 0.7381
Pivot point: 0.7309

The AUD/USD pair’s technical side hasn’t changed much as it continues to trade around the 0.7291 level, holding below an immediate resistance area of 0.7330 level. The AUD/USD is likely to remain supported over the 0.7270 level, and it may find resistance around the 0.7330 mark. A bearish breakout of the 0.7272 level can extend the selling trend until the 0.7260 level today; let’s keep an eye on the 0.7290 level as below this selling trend can be seen and vice versa. Good luck!


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