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Forex Basic Strategies

Three Trade Duration-Based Forex Strategies

In this article, we will analyze the types of existing automated systems according to the duration of the trade. I’ll show you some interesting ideas and teach you how to apply a variety of duration-based Forex strategies. 

Scalping

Perhaps the most famous method is the so-called scalping, which many of you have already tried. These are really short-term operations. Then the second group is called swing trading, mainly using higher time frames. This is my favorite approach and trading style, I use swing strategies, automated trading systems that make transactions in longer time frames. And the third group, which I also enjoyed working with very much recently, consists of long-term strategies, mainly in daily time frames. We will also consider this group because it has its own advantages that we must not forget.

Scalping is a type of specialized trade taking profits on small price changes, usually shortly after a transaction has been entered and has become profitable. Automated scalping strategies can do dozens of operations during a day and most such trades last only a few minutes. These are very short trades and, therefore, that trading style has its own advantages and disadvantages. Let’s talk about them.

Scalping is a type of trade specializing in taking profits on small price changes, usually shortly after a transaction has been entered and has become profitable As a general rule, scalping strategies are marketed in short time frames using 1-minute candles. So the main advantage is the opportunity to make big profits in a very short time. These automated strategies can be very profitable, but at the same time very risky. Where there is great profit potential, there is also high-risk potential. And, as we said before, scalping has some huge disadvantages.

In general, automated scalping systems are potentially very risky and very sensitive to market conditions. This is because it is almost impossible to perform transactions in a one-minute time frame to simulate with historical accuracy. Then, it is not possible to elaborate an exact subsequent test. We can only backtest a strategy, how it should work in ideal conditions. However, there are situations in the market, when there may be a publication of some important macroeconomic news, for example, that the unemployment rate increased. As a result, the market makes a very strong price movement in a very short time and we may suffer a large slide, something that has not been taken into account in subsequent tests, and that will definitely worsen the results of our strategy.

Where there is great profit potential, there is also high-risk potential. So, in the world of scalping strategies, only one of those unfavorable circumstances can mean that one loss takes ten of our earnings, and this is what we can’t see in our subsequent tests. Therefore, it is very difficult to develop robust scalping strategies, and I personally do not even use them. In the past, I’ve worked with scalping strategies and gotten really good results, but at times, these were due to luck and being in the market at the right time.

The potential benefits can be really huge. However, scalping is so risky and so sensitive that it makes no sense to use it at all. I would not care too much about the complexity of developing such strategies if they are so risky. Here we see big risks that can’t be determined in advance, so if you’re just starting to operate, I don’t recommend scalping.

Swing Strategies

I recommend directing your attention to swing strategies. This is my favorite type of strategy, which is usually marketed in the H1 time frame. In 90% of cases, they will be within one hour, in exceptional cases in M15. If we want to talk about whether to use a time frame of one hour or fifteen minutes, we need to consider the type of strategy. In 90% of cases we will use a time frame of one hour, which has its own advantages, but of course some disadvantages as well.

Therefore, I have chosen it. The main advantage is that it allows you to perform longer operations. Usually, an average trade lasts about 24 hours, it can also take several days, but usually around 24 hours, and it is also one of the factors with which I am satisfied. Such trades are not as sensitive. The number of trades in a month is a maximum of 10, so such a trading style is not as expensive.

Usually, an average trade lasts about 24 hours, it may also take several days. When someone is scalping, they pay a lot of money just for commissions or for spreads. This is not the case with swing strategies, with which you only need to pay commissions for approximately 10 transactions per month. Such a fee is less important and does not have a significant impact on your account.

Of course, swing strategies are not as profitable due to the smaller number of operations that are performed in longer time frames. Therefore, a trader earns less, but with more stability. Because these strategies are not so sensitive, they are not so influenced by the unexpected news of strong market movements. For example, when publishing macroeconomic news, such as the decision of a central bank on rates, unemployment rate, GDP growth, etc. In those moments, we only risk an operation and we are not so afraid of a negative result because it is not a big problem for us. It will not result in a great loss.

Swing strategies help us deal with some difficult situations in the market, and we can also perform backtesting with more accuracy and reliability. This is the main advantage of swing strategies compared to scalping: it is easier to simulate real market conditions for backtests. These strategies, in my opinion, are the perfect combination of the number of trades and stability, and if you’re a beginner, the one-hour window is definitely a good choice.

Position Trading

The third type of strategy is position trading. In general, these are strategies for long-term positions which, in some cases, can be maintained even for a few years. Basically, they are negotiated in daily or even higher time frames. I personally operate all position strategies in the daily time frame, and sometimes very interesting situations and transactions can occur.

The main advantage is that these positioning strategies are very stable, as they are usually used to take long-term trends. To take one example, in the past, we witnessed a crash in the oil market with a price that fell steadily for more than a year, so we could be in this position for a long time.

So position trading can be very stable because we are working with strong trends. I am satisfied with the positioning strategies in the daily time frames. Another advantage is that they can be tested very accurately because economic news has an absolutely minimal impact on their overall results. In many cases, it is only in the short term impact, and from the perspective of the daily time frame, this impact is not something we should fear.

Therefore, we can perform subsequent tests with a very high level of accuracy; however, these positioning strategies generally have lower yields. This third type of strategy has the lowest gains of all these types of strategies. It is necessary to note that position trading gives gains of ten to twenty percent. However, this can be achieved with great stability and can be re-tested with precision.

In addition, these positioning strategies generally work in a wide range of markets, so they can be used to trade indices, commodities, different currency pairs, as well as some exotic currencies such as the Polish Zloty, the Swedish Krona, or the South African Rand. We can do this because it operates on long-term trends, and you can even afford to operate in exotic markets.

This would not be possible when operating in lower time frames and with a greater number of operations; however, positioning strategies are connected with a low frequency of operations and therefore the costs are lower and Therefore, even the high entry costs in trades (usually very high spreads) are secondary due to the duration of our trades.

Categories
Forex Course

171. The Best Timeframe for Forex Markets

Introduction

In our previous lesson, we looked at which timeframes you should trade in the forex market. We established that the timeframes you trade depend on the type of forex trader that you are. This lesson will cover the best timeframes to trade using illustrations depending on the type of forex trader you are.

Best Timeframe for Forex Position Trading

1-Month EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

The monthly timeframe shows a downtrend in the pair.

1-Week EUR/USD Trigger Timeframe

For a forex position trader, the 1-week timeframe can be used to establish the support level. This level will make the best entry point when the price trends below it.

Best Timeframe for Forex Swing Trading

Daily EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

Forex swing traders trade in the direction of the preceding trend, which in this example, is a downtrend.

4-hour EUR/USD Trigger Timeframe

For a forex swing trader, using the 4-hour timeframe is the best to identify the ideal entry and exit points.

Best Timeframe for Forex Day Trading

1-hour GBP/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

For a forex day trader, the dominant market trend is a downtrend. With this chart, the day trader can establish multiple support and resistance levels. The 15-minute timeframe is used to establish the best market entry positions.

15-minute GBP/USD Trigger Timeframe

With the 15-minute timeframe, multiple entries and exit points can be established.

Best Timeframe for Forex Scalping

15-minute EUR/USD Primary Trend Timeframe

For a forex scalper, the 15-minute timeframe shows an uptrend. The 5-minute timeframe will be used to establish the best points of entry into the market.

5-minute Trigger Timeframe

The 5-minute timeframe presents the forex scalper with the best points for entry into the uptrend market.

Best Timeframe for Fundamental Forex Traders

Fundamental forex traders can also use timeframe analysis to establish the magnitude and volatility resulting from the release of an economic indicator. Therefore, depending on whether the indicator is high- or low-impact, you can determine which timeframe is best to trade.

With high-impact indicators, you can trade from the 30-minute timeframe.

30-minute timeframe for Australia’s GDP data release. September 2, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

Furthermore, the price action from the release of a high-impact economic indicator can persist in the market for the long-term.

30-minute timeframe for Australia’s GDP data release. September 2, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

The 4-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD pair continued trending downwards due to the less than expected GDP growth data.

For low- to medium-impact economic indicators, it is best to trade shorter timeframes from 1-minute to 15-minutes.

5-minute timeframe for Australia’s retail sales data release. August 21, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

At longer timeframes, the effects of these indicators on the price action dissipates.

1-hour timeframe for Australia’s retail sales data release. August 21, 2020, 1.30 AM GMT

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Categories
Forex Course

169. Which Trading Timeframe Should I Choose?

Introduction 

In the previous lesson, we covered how to trade multiple timeframes in the forex market. So, what timeframe should you choose to trade?

The timeframe you chose to trade will be entirely determined by the type of forex trader you are. Therefore, in this lesson, we will cover the timeframe to trade depending on the type of forex trader you are, i.e., position trader, swing trader, day trader, or a forex scalper. It is worth noting that you should consider trading three timeframes in Forex.

Timeframes for a Forex Position Trader

If you are a forex position trader, it means you intend to have your trading position open for several months to years. Therefore, you should trade the monthly and weekly timeframes. These frames give you a long-term perspective of the market trend while filtering out the hourly and daily “noises” of the price spikes.

Timeframes for Forex Swing Trader

For a forex swing trader, your goal is to have your positions open overnight to just a few weeks. With such a strategy, while performing your multiple timeframe analysis, you should start with the daily timeframe to establish your selected currency pair’s dominant trend.

On the chart, the daily timeframe will cover several weeks, which will help you establish the support and resistance levels over this period. With this perspective, you will quickly identify the high and low extremes. Narrow down to a 12-hour timeframe to see if this timeframe lines up with the observed trend, then finally use the 4-hour timeframe to find the entry point for your trade.

Timeframes for Forex Day Traders

If you are a forex day trader, that means you enter and exit all your trades within 24 hours. In this case, you should trade the 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute timeframes. With the 4-hour timeframe, you will be able to establish the support and resistance levels for the past few days for your selected currency pair. The 1-hour timeframe will help you identify if the intra-day price trend aligns with the observed dominant trend. Finally, the 15-minute timeframe will enable you to narrow down the best entry and exit points for your trades, depending on the current price trend.

Timeframes for Forex Scalpers

For the forex scalpers, the smallest minute-by-minute price spikes count. Therefore, you should trade the 30-minute, 15-minute, and 5-minute timeframes. With the 30-minute timeframe, you get to identify the prevailing short-term trend with the selected currency pair. The 5-minute timeframe narrows down the tend to show how the most current price spikes build-up to the short-term trend. This timeframe also serves as your trigger timeframe for entry and exit.

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