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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Double Top and Evening Star Drive the Price Far Down to Consolidate

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top offering an entry, not right after the breakout. It rather offers an entry upon finding its resistance, which is well below the neckline level. Let us find out how that happens.

The chart shows that the price gets trapped within two horizontal levels. It produces a bearish engulfing candle but heads towards the North upon having a bounce at the level of support. The last candle comes out as a Doji candle around the resistance zone. Let us find out what happens next.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the neckline. The chart produces an evening star to make the breakout. It suggests that the price may head towards the South with good bearish momentum.

The price heads towards the South with three more candles. However, the price does not consolidate around the neckline. Thus the sellers in the chart may find it difficult to go short in the pair. Let us wait and see whether it consolidates or not.

The chart produces two bullish corrective candles. If the price finds its resistance and produces a bearish reversal candle, the sellers may go short below the last swing low.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the last swing low. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes by setting stop-loss above the candle’s highest high and by setting take profit with 1R.

The price travels a long way towards the South. The last candle comes out as a bullish inside bar. It is a weak bullish reversal candle. However, the way the price has been heading towards the South; it suggests that the price may continue its bearish move. However, many sellers may want to close their entries and come out with the profit after the last candle.

Usually, traders wait for the price to consolidate and produce a reversal candle at the breakout level. However, when a trend starts with a strong reversal pattern, such as the morning star/evening star, the price may not consolidate around the neckline level. Nevertheless, if the chart allows the price space to travel, traders may wait for the price to consolidate and to get a reversal candle to trade. This is what happens here. The price finds its resistance, not at the neckline but somewhere else, and produces a strong bearish engulfing candle offering an entry.

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Double Top/Double Bottom and Intraday Trading

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top that drives the price towards the downside in an intraday chart. The double top/double bottom usually makes the price bearish if they are formed in a major chart. However, they work in the same way in minor charts as well. Let us find out how it drives the price in an H1 chart. Let us get started.

It is an H1 chart. The chart shows that the price makes a long bearish move. The chart belongs to the sellers. The sellers may wait for the price to make a bullish correction and produce a bearish reversal candle at flipped resistance to go short in the pair.

The chart makes a strong bullish move instead, upon producing a bullish engulfing candle. The last candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle after consolidation. It seems that the buyers are dominating the minor charts.

The price does not continue its bullish move. It has been in long consolidation. The price is roaming around the level of resistance, where it has had a bounce. A bullish breakout may attract the buyers to go long in the pair. On the other hand, a bearish reversal candle at a double top resistance may make the sellers wait to go short in the pair below the neckline.

The chart produces a long bearish candle closing below the neckline. It suggests that the Bear may dominate in the pair. The sellers are to wait for the price to consolidate and produce a bearish reversal candle to go short in the pair. Let us find out what happens.

The next candle comes out as a spinning top closing within the breakout level. It seems that the pair is getting ready to get bearish. The sellers are to keep their close eyes in the pair to get a bearish reversal candle and a breakout at the lowest low to trigger a short entry.

Here it comes. The pair produces a bearish engulfing candle. The candle’s body engulfs the last candle’s body. However, the sellers may wait for the price to make a breakout at the lowest low of the last candle (wick’s lowest low). It is very important as far as intraday trading is concerned.

The price breaches the wick’s lowest low and heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. It travels a long way by offering 1:2 risk-reward. It’s a good thing about intraday trading that it offers good risk-reward.

We have demonstrated an example of a double top driving the price towards the downside in the H1 chart. They work in any time frame from 1M to 1Month. However, it is better not to use it in too minor time frames such as the 1M, 5M, 15M.

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

A Classic Example of Trading on a Double Top

Last week, in one of our lessons, we showed an example of how the price gets bullish based on the double bottom and flipped support. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top and flipped resistance. a Double Top is the opposite of a Double Bottom, so it drives the price towards the South. It is one of the strongest bearish reversal patterns. Traders love to go short when a chart produces a double top in the Forex market. Let us now proceed and find out how it usually works.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North and finds its resistance. It produces a bearish engulfing candle. Sellers on the minor chart may look to go short in the chart. However, the sellers in this chart may wait for either the price consolidates and makes a bearish breakout or to produce a double top.

The price finds its support and heads towards the level of resistance again. It consolidates around the level of resistance. A bearish reversal candle followed by a breakout at the last support may attract the sellers to go short in the pair since the chart would produce a double top, and the breakout would be a neckline breakout.

Here it goes. The price heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. It makes a breakout at the neckline and produces one more bearish candle. The sellers are going to wait to go short in the pair below the lowest low. However, it is best to wait for the price to consolidate around the breakout level and produce a bearish reversal candle to get a better risk-reward.

The price consolidates around the breakout level and produces a bearish engulfing candle at the breakout level. The sellers may go short below consolidation’s support by setting stop-loss above consolidation’s resistance and by setting a take-profit target with 1R at least. Please note, a double bottom/double top and consolidation around the neckline breakout level usually offers more than 1R. Let us find out how the trade goes.

The price heads towards the downside with extreme bearish momentum. It produces an inverted hammer. The price may make a bullish correction from here. Count the length that the price has traveled so far. It has traveled a long way offering about 6R to the sellers. One trade like this in a week may make a trader fulfilled. Thus, keep your eyes on patterns such as the Double Top/Double Bottom. Remember the procedure; wait for the price to consolidate and produce a reversal candle at the breakout level; trigger an entry below consolidation support/resistance, and manage your trade accordingly.

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

To Hold It or Not?

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H4 chart offering entry after consolidation. The price does not head towards the breakout direction after triggering the entry as expected. It is Friday and the market is going to close. The question is whether we hold the position during the weekend or close the position. Let us find this out.

This is an H4 chart. The chart shows that the price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. The last candle comes out as a bearish inside bar. The chart belongs to the buyers. The price may make a bearish reversal from here. The sellers must wait to get a strong bearish reversal pattern to go short in the pair.

The chart produces another bearish candle followed by a doji candle. The buyers may wait for the price to make a breakout at the wave’s highest high to go long in the pair.

The price heads towards the North but does not make a bullish breakout. If the chart produces a bearish reversal candle around the level, it may get bearish. On the other hand, the buyers may still be hopeful that they get a bullish breakout to push the price towards the North further.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle right at the double top resistance. It makes a breakout at the neckline as well. Thus, the sellers may keep their eyes on the chart to go short and drive the price towards the South.

The price consolidates for a while. It produces a bearish reversal candle, but it does not make a bearish breakout to offer a short entry. The last candle comes out as a bullish candle. Both the buyers and the sellers must wait and let the price decide to give them a direction.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below consolidation support. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes by setting take profit with 1R. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out how the trade goes.

The price consolidates again. The chart upon producing a bearish engulfing candle at a double top resistance and getting consolidation, it does not move towards the trend’s direction. The sellers do not expect that. However, this is how the market goes. The market is going to close within three hours. Do the sellers close the position?

It is an H4 chart. If it were other intraday charts such as the H1, 15 M, 5M, we may close the position. In this case, the reversal candle is an engulfing candle; the reversal pattern is a double top; the price consolidates accordingly, and the signal candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle as well. Thus, considering these factors the sellers may hold the position.

 

Categories
Forex Chart Basics Forex Daily Topic

Trading the Double Top and Double Bottom Pattern

Introduction

In our previous articles, we had reviewed several technical formations that render signals for potential market-entry setups in a trend reversal context or trend continuation.

In this educational article, we will review the characteristics of the double top and double bottom pattern.

The Nature of Double Top and Bottom

The double top and double top formations are the most popular trend reversal technical patterns in financial markets. These patterns characterize themselves by developing an internal “M” and “W” structures on double tops and double bottoms respectively.

Considering the fractal nature of financial markets, the technical trader can detect these formations in any timeframe, from intraday chart to monthly range. 

The double top formation tends to be tough to identify, especially if the second peak is higher than the first one. This situation occurs because the technical trader could be waiting for the uptrend continuation or a bullish trap.

The Setup Rules

The price action will generate an entry signal if the price breaks and closes below (or above) the swing between both peaks (or valleys), as shown in the following figure.

The stop-loss order will take place above the last high (or low); this distance between the entry-level and the previous top (or bottom) is known as the swing size, as illustrated in the last figure. 

The double top/bottom pattern holds an easy way to identify the profit target level. The technical rule says that if the swing size is 50 pips, the profit target will locate at 50 pips from the entry-level.

The Behavior of the Double Top and Bottom Formation

Thomas Bulkowski, in his “Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns,” described the performance of double top and bottom considering some shape variations as a rounded peak or a spike. 

In general, Bulkowski reveals that on average, the break-even and failure rate of the double top pattern is 11.5%, while the percentage of break-even and failure of double bottom is 6.5%. However, the double top formation tends to reach its price target 71.5%, while the double bottom tends to strike its target 51.25% of times.

Bulkowski summarizes its finds stating that some variations of double top and bottom patterns with a narrow range perform better than those that show a wide one.

Conclusions

In this educational article, we reviewed the essential reversal formation known as the double top and double bottom pattern. The setup studied provides the technical trader a one to tone risk to reward ratio, which could be increased as the trade advances in favor of the trend.

In the next article, we’ll review the use of Fibonacci tools as retracements and extensions to identify trade opportunities.

Suggested Readings

  • Fischer, R., Fischer J.; Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Trading Tools; John Wiley & Sons; 1st Edition (2003).
  • Bulkowski, T.; Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns; John Wiley & Sons; 2nd Edition (2005).
Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Double Top or Double Bottom Often Offers More

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart offering multiple entries upon producing the double bottom. We know the double bottom is one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns. When a chart produces a double bottom, price action traders keep their eyes on the chart to keep going long. Usually, a double top or a double bottom ends up offering multiple entries. Let us now have a look at today’s example of how it offers us multiple entries.

This is an H4 chart. The chart shows that the price heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. It makes a long bearish move too. However, look at the last candle in the chart. It comes out as a bullish inside bar, which is produced at double bottom support. The buyers are to wait for a breakout at the neckline and go long in the pair.

The chart shows that one of the candles breaches through the neckline level. The next candle comes out as a bullish candle. The buyers are to wait for the price to consolidate and produce a bullish reversal candle to go long in the pair.

Upon producing a bearish inside bar, the price produces a bearish candle. The last candle looks very bearish. However, the buyers must keep their eyes on the chart since it may produce a bullish reversal candle anytime as far as double bottom and neckline breakout are concerned.

The chart produces a bullish reversal candle followed by another bullish candle breaching through consolidation resistance. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes by setting stop loss below consolidation support and by setting take profit with 1R.

The price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. It hits 1R within the next candle. The price consolidates and produces a bullish reversal candle closing above the last swing high. Do you notice anything here? Yes, this is another entry. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes. Let us have a look at the trade setup with two horizontal lines on the chart.

The price heads towards the North again and hits 1R within the next candle. It seems that the buyers are having a feast here. The way it has been going, they may wait for the price to consolidate again and produce another bullish reversal candle to offer them one more entry. In a word, this is a chart that is going to be closely monitored by the buyers until it produces a strong bearish reversal pattern such as a double top or a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart (this is an H4 chart). Next time when you see a double top or bottom on a chart, keep eyeing on the chart to make full use of that.

 

Categories
Forex Price Action

One Minute Down, Next Minute Up

The Double Bottom is one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns. When the price gets its second bounce at the same level and makes a breakout at the last swing high, the pattern it produces is called the double bottom. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double bottom in the H1 chart. At the end of the wave, an interesting thing happens. Let us proceed and find out how the double bottom offers entry and what that interesting thing is.

This is an H1 chart. The chart shows that the price has its second bounce and produces a bullish engulfing candle. Since the same level of support produces a bullish engulfing candle at the second bounce, it is going to have a strong impact on the market if it makes a breakout at the last swing high.

Here is the level of resistance, which the buyers are going to wait for a breakout to go long in the pair upon breakout confirmation. The price reacted at the drawn level earlier as well. Thus, this has been a significant level. The last rejection signifies it more.

Look at the next candle. The candle comes out as a bullish Marubozu candle. The candle closes well above the level where the price had a rejection earlier. Some buyers may want to trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes. Some buyers may wait for the breakout confirmation to go long in the pair.

The next candle comes out as a spinning top with a tiny bullish body. The price closes above the last candle’s highest high. It confirms the breakout. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes since they have the breakout confirmation.

See how the price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. The price hits 1R within one candle. The last candle suggests that the price may continue its move towards the North. Let us see what happens next.

The chart produces a bearish inside bar. It suggests that the price is still bullish. If the next candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle, the price may resume its journey towards the North with good bullish momentum. However, many buyers may come out with their profit and wait for the next bullish reversal candle to go long.

The price gets choppy within two horizontal levels. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. Do you notice anything interesting here? Yes, the chart produces a Double Top this time, and it produces a bearish engulfing candle at the second rejection. The sellers may want to go short if the price makes a breakout at the last lowest low. This is how things change in the Forex market. It is interesting, is not it?

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

When a Double Top and an Engulfing Candle Comes Together

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart where the price heads towards the downside upon making a double top. At the second rejection, the chart produces a bearish engulfing candle. Usually, a combination of these two does not usually go wrong. The price does not make a deep consolidation afterward. However, it still heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. Let us have a look at how it happens.

This is a daily chart. The chart shows that the last candle comes out as a Shooting Star. The daily –H4 combination traders may consider it as a bearish reversal candle and flip over to the H4 chart.

The H4 chart shows that the price produces a double top. At the second bounce, the reversal candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. This combination may attract the sellers to look for short entries upon consolidation and getting bearish reversal candle.

The chart produces a bullish candle. It finds its resistance and produces a bearish engulfing candle closing below consolidation support. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes by setting stop-loss above consolidation resistance and take profit with 1R. Here is an equation that we may think about that. The price does not make a deep consolidation. Since the price is bearish upon a double top and an engulfing candle, most probably, it will make a strong bearish move. However, if you are in doubt, leave it out. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out what happens.

The next candle comes out as a doji candle. The price heads towards the Stop Loss, but it does not hit, though. It looks good for the sellers since the candle closes below the breakout level. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out what the price does.

The chart produces a long bearish candle and hits the target of 1R. Shallow consolidation may hold the price back a little to hit the target in a hurry. However, in the end, the sellers make some green pips with a combination of a Double Top and an Engulfing candle.

This trade setup does not meet all the requirements for combination breakout trading. The trend starts from a Double top resistance along with a bearish engulfing candle; it continues its bearish journey with more candles even after a shallow consolidation. This is what a combination of a Double Top/Bottom along with an engulfing candle can do. Thus, be keen on a chart if a trend starts with a combination of these two.

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Forex Course

115. Trading The Double Tops and Double Bottom Chart Patterns

Introduction

We will be discussing many Forex chart patterns in the upcoming course lessons that are widely used by traders around the world. But none of those patterns can beat the popularity of Double Bottom and Double Top chart patterns. This pattern can be seen frequently in not just the Forex market but all types of markets.

This pattern is independent of timeframes, i.e., it appears on all the time frames and the strategies that we are going to discuss work on all the trading timeframes too. Fundamentally, the Double Top and Double Bottom are reversal patterns, and they consist of two price swings approximately the same size on the same price level.

Double Top Chart Pattern

The Double Top chart pattern typically appears in an uptrend. It is formed when a bullish trend is interrupted at some point, and as a result, the price action tends to range. If that range consists of two swing tops, we can consider that as the formation of a Double Top chart pattern. After the second top, the price action drops and starts a new bearish trend.

Double Bottom Chart Pattern

The Double Bottom chart pattern typically appears in a downtrend. It is formed when the downtrend is interrupted at some point, which results in the price action to form a range. In the consolidation phase, if the range consists of two swing lows, and if the second low is struggling to reach the BottomBottom of the range, we can confirm the formation of the Double Bottom chart pattern. When the second Bottom is printed, we can expect the price to print a brand new higher high.

Neckline

The Double Top and Double Bottom patterns consist of a neckline. The Neckline is often used to confirm the pattern. The Neckline in a Double Top pattern is the horizontal level at Bottom where the two tops converge. Likewise, Neckline in a Double Bottom pattern is the horizontal level at the top where the two bottoms converge.

How To Trade The Double Top & Double Bottom Patterns? 

Double Top Pattern

The below charts represents the formation of a Double Top pattern on the AUD/JPY daily Forex chart.

In the below chart, we had activated a sell trade when the price action broke below the Neckline. The stop-loss is placed just above the Double Top pattern. It is advisable to set the take-profit order two times below the size of the pattern. Activating our trades at the Neckline is the safest and most professional way of trading this pattern; because it shows that the last buyers are out of the league, and going short positions from here is a good idea.

Double Bottom Pattern

The chart below represents the formation of a Double Bottom chart pattern on the GBP/AUD Forex pair.

As we can clearly see below, when the price action is closed above the Neckline, it indicates a buy signal.  We can see the most recent leg of the buyers being very strong, which indicates the buyers’ strength. Hence, in this case, we have decided to place the stop-loss just below our entry. For placing TP, we chose the previous recent high, and we can see how perfectly the price respected our placement.

This ends our discussion on Double Top & Double Bottom Forex chart patterns. We, at Forex Academy, have provided a lot of strategies to trade this pattern in the Basic Strategies section. You can check them out to get a deeper insight into these patterns. Cheers!

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Forex Basic Strategies

How To Trade The ‘Double Top’ Chart Pattern Like A Pro

Introduction

There are some patterns in the market that are widely used by traders across the world, and the Double Top is one of them. It is a simple and straightforward method of identifying the potential selling trades in any given Forex pair. Most of the novice traders who trade this pattern tend to face problems as they do not know how to use it correctly. Hence, for those types of traders, we are putting this piece together. By the time you finish reading this article, you will exactly know to identify and maximize gains using the Double Top chart pattern.

Double Top Pattern

The Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern that is usually formed at the end of a bullish trend. The two consecutive rounding tops complete this pattern with approximately the same highs. The first rounding top should be formed at a significant resistance area. Most of the time, the momentum of the second round top is quite weak, and this indicates the buyers are getting exhausted.

This eventually means that the sellers are now going to take control. Both the round tops retrace at a significant support area, which we call the neckline. The identification of this pattern can be comprehended as the professional traders and investors trying to obtain the profits from the bullish trend. And now, the markets are ready to publish a new selling trend.

Psychology Behind The Double Top Pattern

We know that the Double Top pattern occurs at the major resistance area. This pattern indicates when the price action reaches a significant resistance area, the buyers are now afraid to buy because of resistance. On the other hand, the sellers are hitting the sell orders at the same resistance area.

At this point, when the price action is pulled back to a significant support area, which we called the neckline, it shows that the buyers are now buying again at major support areas to print brand new higher high. However, when the price action reaches the resistance area again, buyers fail to print a brand new higher high. As a result, they start to book the orders, and now the sellers are gaining control. Hence the price action tends to move in the opposite direction.

Double Top Pattern – Trading Strategies 

There are several ways to trade the Double Top chart pattern. But the strategies we are going to share here are well-proven methods. Also, we have backtested these strategies time and again to make sure they are accurate.

Double Top Pattern + Bearish Candlestick Patterns

There are various bearish candlestick patterns that are widely used by the traders in the market. For this strategy, you can use any of the bearish candlestick patterns. Some of the most commonly used bearish candlestick patterns are Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, Shooting Star, Hanging Man, Three Black Crows, etc.

The idea is to identify any of the above mentioned bearish candlestick patterns near the second peak. If you find any of these patterns, you can go short. Make sure to place the stop-loss above the resistance line. We can place two or more TP orders. First, take-profit must be at the neckline, whereas the second one can be placed two times above the size of the pattern formed.

Identifying the Pattern

In the below EUR/JPY chart, we have identified the formation of a Double Top pattern.

Entry

As we can see in the below chart, the price action prints a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern right after the second top. This indicates that the sellers have completely absorbed the buyers, and now it’s time to go short in this pair. We took a sell entry at the close of the Bearish Engulfing candle.

Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Placements

As we can see, we have entered the market at the closing of the Bearish Engulfing candle and placed the stop-loss just above the resistance line. This pattern has the highest odds of working in our favor; hence we can go with smaller stop-loss. Because, whenever this set-up is found, the price action has a very little chance to spike.

As discussed, the first take-profit was placed at the neckline of the pattern, and the second take-profit was placed double the size of the complete pattern. But, please decide the placement of TP according to your trading style. Remember that you can close your position wherever you want.

Double Top Pattern + RSI

In this strategy, we have paired the Double Top pattern with the RSI indicator to identify accurate shorting signals. As you might have probably known, RSI stands for the Relative Strength Index. It is a momentum indicator developed by the J. Welles Wilder Jr. in 1978. This indicator oscillates between the traditional levels of 70 and 30. When this indicator reaches the 70 level, it indicates that the market is in an overbought condition, and it indicates the market is oversold when the indicator reaches the 30 level.

Here, the strategy is simple. When the price action hits the second peak and starts to struggle, see if is the RSI is at the overbought market conditions. If it is, then it can be considered a potential sell signal.

Identifying the Pattern

We have identified a Double Top chart pattern in the below GBP/CHF Forex pair.

Entry

In the below chart, we can see the first peak and second peak of the pattern being quite strong. When the price action approached the second peak, it dropped immediately. This shows that the buyers are exhausted, and sellers took over the show. At the same time, we can also see the RSI giving a sharp reversal in the overbought area. Hence we can confidently go short in this pair.

Stop-Loss & Take-Profit

We went short when the criteria are fulfilled and placed the stop-loss just above the entry. Take-profit was placed at the higher timeframe’s support area. Overall, it was a 100+ pip trade. If there is no significant support area for you to exit your positions, you can close them when the RSI reaches the oversold area.

Conclusion

Pattern trading is the easiest way to make more profits in the market. Some patterns provide a great risk to reward trades, and some do not. The Double Top is one such pattern that offers some of the best risk-reward entries. This pattern works well on all the trading timeframes. Make sure to know the logic behind this pattern before trading so that any potential mistakes can be avoided. All the very best!

Categories
Crypto Videos

Trading Crypto Using The Double Top & Bottom Formation

Trading Crypto using Double Top and Bottom patterns

This year has brought many uncertainties in all aspects of the world, especially health and finance. Cryptocurrencies have not been an exception, either. For the past couple of months, the sentiment has changed from very bullish to very bearish. The trend changed as quickly and sharply as the sentiment did. This is why we will cover the patterns which signal a trend reversal, called “double top” and “double bottom.

Double Top pattern

This image represents a double top pattern. After a cryptocurrency’s has trended upward for a while, it will create a top in price. Investors will often close their positions during this pause of the market, thus creating a downward trend in price. Shortly after that, the value rises again, reaching a second top at almost the exact same price as the previous one. These two tops form a double top pattern, which is essentially a test of the market.

The market is tested in terms of whether the price is susceptible to be nudged higher or not. The downward trend after the second top shows that the market does not have enough of a drive to go further up and that it will trend downward again. In a nutshell, the distinct shape of a double top that is quite similar to the letter M represents a bearish move.

Double Bottom pattern

As expected, the double bottom represents everything that the double top represents, but in reverse. Rather than testing the upside of a cryptocurrency, the market testing comes after a downward move and tests if the market is ready to go further down. The double bottom pattern is recognized by the two inverted peaks that are formed at approximately the same price level.

When it happens that the downward trend has been tested twice, and the bottom has been found, then the market will reverse, and the uptrend will start. In a nutshell, the distinct shape of a double bottom that is quite similar to the letter W represents a bullish move.

Additional information

The double top pattern and the double bottom patterns are price reversal indicators. However, there is always the risk that you will encounter a false reversal, meaning that the price movement will play out just the way you want for a very short amount of time, and then do the complete opposite. That’s why it is important to mitigate the risk by doing a couple of things. First, set the stop-loss below the double bottoms or above the double tops. Second, make sure to wait for a candle close in your direction to get a confirmation of the trend reversal. Ultimately, you can pair trading this pattern with candlestick analysis, indicators, and other tools at your disposal.

As the last piece of advice, try to make trades where the double bottom or top will show a trend reversal to a direction of the longer time-frame trend. This way, you will trade alongside the long-term trend, which is much safer than trading against.

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Forex Videos

How To Profit From Double Top Formations In Forex

How To Profit From Double Top Formations In Forex

In this presentation, we will be looking at the technical analysis chart pattern known as a double top. Being able to recognize this formation or pattern and the information it provides us with will help to trade more effectively.

Double top patterns one of the many pillars of technical trading structures and should be incorporated into your trading knowledge base. Double top identification and understanding can further enhance your technical analysis when trading the forex market,y helping us see more than just support and resistance levels.

Example A

So what exactly is a double top? It will include two high points within the market, which generally signify an impending bearish reversal. There will usually be a decline in price between two high points. After the first peak has formed, there will be a retracement to a certain degree, before another rally to the upside. The second peak usually forms at the same level or slightly below the first peak, although occasionally it might breach the level of the first peak before price action reverses.

Example B (OR EXAMPLE C)

Here we can see that after a rally to the upside to peak one, price action reverses to our line of support line, often called a neckline between the two peaks, before the second push higher to peak number 2, and where price action reverses from this area, suggesting unsustainable buying pressure and that we should expect a reversal. And where price action goes on to breach the previous level of support, with a strong bearish candlestick, this is confirmed as a double top formation. And where price action subsequently comes back after some brief consolidation, with mixed small shaped candlesticks suggesting a lack of direction and where the previous level of support becomes an area of resistance and hence the continuation downwards which adds to our belief and support for this technical setup.

Example D

On the flip side, we have the double

bottom formation. This setup is identical to the double top in its theory and execution of trading. However, it is simply in reverse, In which case the exact same rules apply, But it is simply the mirror image of the double top. In this case, we would expect a bullish signal once the neckline is broken.

Example E

So here, for example, we can see a push down in price action to our first bottom, before price reverses to the neckline, which acts as an area of resistance, and where price subsequently comes down again to our second bottom, and where price action again returns to the neckline and breaches it and where this prior area of resistance becomes an area of support, and where price action continues to the upside from.
So to sum up, we are looking for two peaks at a similar height and where price action reverses between them to a neckline or area of support, which subsequently becomes breached after reversing from the second peak.
Secondly, we should make sure that the peaks are not too small because we prefer them on larger time frames of 15 minutes or higher because that is where we would expect larger amounts of pips to be made from this successful trade setup. This type of setup should be used in conjunction with a stochastic or ma CD to support double top or double or bottom formation.

One of the biggest problems with technical trading is that sometimes these patterns appear obvious in hindsight and that quite often we will miss opportunities and of course this can be very frustrating when you are always missing the mark. These patterns appear on our chats and often can be difficult to decipher when the market is moving, and with the pressure of placing trades sometimes, we simply miss these setups. There are two ways of going about solving this problem, and both have their pros and cons. We can either anticipate the formation before it occurs or wait for confirmation to trade the potential reversal. This will always be down to your appetite for risk, your personality as a trader, and your competence at understanding the nature of the forex market. Reactive traders who are playing the safer game have the advantage of simply seeing the pattern occur and trading it accordingly with the downside to this, which is that part of the trade has already been missed. This can equate to larger potential stop losses and less pips being made as the move continues.

Traders who have gotten into the sell or buy during the second peak or bottom phase of the setup will enjoy the comfort of having tighter stop losses, which should be placed a few pips above or below the first peak or first bottom. And of course, they will be able to claim more pips.

As with anything in forex trading, these things are a matter of trial and error and consistency, and therefore practice and observation will pay dividends in the long run.

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Forex Videos

Master Forex By Trading Double Tops and Double Bottoms

Double Tops and Double Bottoms

In mastering technical analysis, one of the key pattern formations is the double top and double bottom, and it is essential that you understand what this is, and that you develop your skills for identifying it, and implementing it in your trading because these patterns will recur time after time. It will provide you with invaluable information when it comes to trading around it.
Double tops and double bottoms will enhance your trading by showing you where potential reversals in price action may occur, whether or not they form the basis of technical support and resistance levels.

 

Example A


So what exactly is a double top? Let’s take a look at example A, which is a 5-minute chart of the GBPUSD and where only price action is shown on the chart.

 

Example B


Now, let’s drill down a little further on this chart as per example B, pair and where we have a high at position A and where we have had a pullback, followed by another push higher at position B, and where the price action stopped at the same level as position A, before selling off again.
So what is the rationale behind this double top? Traders read their charts from left to right, because they tell a story of how price action is unfolding as time goes on. Firstly we have the area of support which has seen price action fails to go lower on at least two occasions, which will have been observed by traders, and where price action moved higher from this line, and then ran out of steam at position A, before retreating, and whereby traders would again keenly observes the area of support and therefore started to close out their short positions when price failed to breach the support line while expecting a reversal. This does indeed happen and where we see price action move up to position B, and where traders would have noted the reversal at position A, and used that as a possible area of resistance, and therefore exited their long trades when price failed to move higher than position A, and thus leaving a double top formation.

 

Example C


In example C, we have the reverse, which is a double bottom formation, where we can see that price has failed to breach the resistance line at positions 1 2 and 3, before moving lower to position A, and where price action failed to move any lower and where it reversed before failing to reach the resistance line, and then has a second attempt to move lower to the support line at position B. Thus forming a double bottom formation.

Incidentally, we can see that eventually, price action does move higher and breaches the line of resistance at position 4, which then becomes a line of support for future price action.

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Forex Basics

Even a Combination of Double Top and Engulfing Fails

Double Top/Double Bottom is one of the most robust patterns that price action traders wait to take entries. When the price is rejected twice at a resistance level, it forms a Double Top. As far as the candlestick pattern is concerned, an engulfing candle is the most reliable reversal candle that traders usually love to take an entry from a value area.

A combination of Double Top and a bearish engulfing candle attracts sellers to go short. Since it is an outstanding price action combination, it does not usually go wrong. However, in today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate that even a great flourishing price action combination can go wrong, as well.

The price consolidates at the marked resistance and heads towards the downside. It then goes back towards the resistance. The sellers are to get ready to get a bearish reversal candle. The red-marked level is the resistance level, where we don’t consider the upper shadows. Since the price has several rejections at the marked level, and it is a valuable area for the sellers, the price most probably may respect the area and produce the bearish reversal candle.

The price does not respect the red-marked level, but it does not make an upside breakout either. Instead, it closes within the upper shadows. Traders are to adjust here. Let us see how it looks now.

The level where the last candle closes has some significance. One of the bullish candles closes within the marked level. This level may work as a resistance level and ends up producing a bearish reversal candle.

Here it comes. The Double Top’s resistance level produces a bearish engulfing candle. We have found the resistance level at last. So all the equations to go short from here seem to match as far as price action trading is concerned.

  1. The price produces a Double Top.
  2. The price produces a bearish engulfing candle right at the resistance of the Double Top.

The swing low is far enough, which offers good Risk-Reward as well. All seems to be okay to trigger a short entry.

After triggering the entry, the next candle comes out as a bearish Doji candle. Things still look good. The sellers are going to grab some green pips!

No! The next candle comes out as a bullish Marubozu candle, which breaches the resistance of the Double Top. It wipes off the Sellers Stop Loss. The buyers may take control once the breakout is confirmed.

The Lesson

It does not matter how good a trade setup looks: it may fail. Thus, there is no reason to be too optimistic about any entry. We must calculate our Risk-Reward and have immaculate risk management with every single entry that we take in the market.

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Forex Market Analysis

DAX 30 Strikes the 13,000 Level

Hot Topics:

  • The Bank of England decided to hold its interest rate unchanged.
  • US Core CPI (YoY) remained at 2.1% in April.
  • DAX 30 strikes the 13,000 level.

Bank of England decided to keep its interest rate unchanged

The Bank of England (BoE) held its interest rate unchanged at 0.5%. GBPUSD registered the weekly maximum at 1.3617 from where it continued with its bearish bias. For now, the cable moves sideways; we expect an upward corrective movement towards the 200 moving average, which could converge with the 1.3712 level and then continue with more declines.

The FTSE 100 exceeded 7,700 pts, the highest level since the 23rd of January. The key drivers of the British index were: the retail company Next PLC (NXT) which closed the session gaining 6.14%, the broadcaster company IVT PLC climbing 6.05% and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) which advanced 3.77%. We maintain the bullish bias, bearish invalidation level below 7.486.6 pts.

US Core CPI (YoY) remained at 2.1% in April.

Core CPI (ex-energy and food) of the United States remained at 2.1% in April; the same level reached in March. After the inflation data release, the EURUSD climbed and is moving above 1.19 again, validating our scenario of the potential bullish 2B pattern published yesterday Tuesday the 9th in our charting section.

USDCHF could be developing a double top pattern, which would be activated if the price closes below 1.0003 (low between highs). The invalidation level is above 1.0056. Before placing short positions, we must wait for a break-down.

DAX 30 strikes the 13,000 level.

The DAX 30 index in the first half of the European session reached 13,030 pts; the highest level reached since February, following what we forecasted in previous market updates. We expect a continuation of this bullish action. The target area is between 13,250.5 to 13,497.7 levels. The level of invalidation of the bullish bias is 12,665.3.