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Forex Price Action

Do Not Be Biased, Take Decisions According to the Chart

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart that makes a good bullish move but ends up having a rejection at a double top resistance. The price then shows the potential to make a bullish breakout. However, it has another rejection around the last week’s high and makes a bearish breakout. It looks good for the sellers at the time. We find out what happens afterward.

This is the H4 chart. The price makes a long bullish move. It ranges for a while and then continues its bullish journey again. Look at the last candle on the chart. It comes out as a bearish inside bar. Do not miss the point that the candle is produced right at the resistance, where the price has had a rejection.

The chart produces a bullish candle to start the next week. It then ranges for a while and produces two bullish candles. It seems that the price may head towards the North and makes a bullish breakout at the last weekly high.

It does not. It rather finds its resistance around the same level. Moreover, it produces a bearish engulfing candle. To be more precise, the chart produces an evening star. It is a strong bearish reversal candle. Let us wait and see what the price does next.

The chart produces a long bearish candle breaching the last swing low. The breakout is significant since the price trends from the last weekly low. The sellers may keep their eyes in the pair to go short. Before going short on this chart, the sellers shall wait for the price to make a bullish retracement since the price is within the last weekly range. Keep that in mind that the price is to make a bullish correction to offer a short entry.

The price does not make a bullish correction. It rather consolidates and produces a bearish reversal candle. Since the price is within the last weekly range, so it is not a short signal.

Here it goes. The price gets choppy. This chart becomes a risky chart to trade. Thus, traders might as well skip eyeing on the chart to trade at. At first, it looks good for the buyers. Then, it shows potential for the Bear to dominate since the price has several rejections at the same level. However, it ends up being an extremely choppy chart.  Thus, do not be biased with your initial assumption. Wait for the breakout, confirmation, and then trade.

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Double Top and Evening Star Drive the Price Far Down to Consolidate

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top offering an entry, not right after the breakout. It rather offers an entry upon finding its resistance, which is well below the neckline level. Let us find out how that happens.

The chart shows that the price gets trapped within two horizontal levels. It produces a bearish engulfing candle but heads towards the North upon having a bounce at the level of support. The last candle comes out as a Doji candle around the resistance zone. Let us find out what happens next.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the neckline. The chart produces an evening star to make the breakout. It suggests that the price may head towards the South with good bearish momentum.

The price heads towards the South with three more candles. However, the price does not consolidate around the neckline. Thus the sellers in the chart may find it difficult to go short in the pair. Let us wait and see whether it consolidates or not.

The chart produces two bullish corrective candles. If the price finds its resistance and produces a bearish reversal candle, the sellers may go short below the last swing low.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the last swing low. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes by setting stop-loss above the candle’s highest high and by setting take profit with 1R.

The price travels a long way towards the South. The last candle comes out as a bullish inside bar. It is a weak bullish reversal candle. However, the way the price has been heading towards the South; it suggests that the price may continue its bearish move. However, many sellers may want to close their entries and come out with the profit after the last candle.

Usually, traders wait for the price to consolidate and produce a reversal candle at the breakout level. However, when a trend starts with a strong reversal pattern, such as the morning star/evening star, the price may not consolidate around the neckline level. Nevertheless, if the chart allows the price space to travel, traders may wait for the price to consolidate and to get a reversal candle to trade. This is what happens here. The price finds its resistance, not at the neckline but somewhere else, and produces a strong bearish engulfing candle offering an entry.

Categories
Forex Price-Action Strategies

Price Action Trading: The Morning Star at a Breakout Level

Breakout is the first thing that attracts the price action traders to keep eying on a chart. Then, correction/consolidation followed by reversal candle breaching consolidation support/resistance is the signal to trigger an entry.

The breakout level plays an important role, which often becomes consolidation support/resistance and produces the reversal candle. Sometimes a breakout level produces even stronger reversal patterns such as Morning Star and Evening Star. When that happens, it attracts more traders and brings more liquidity. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example where the breakout level holds the price as support; produces the Morning Star to offer a long entry. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. On its way, it makes a breakout at the highest high. The pair then produces a bearish reversal candle to consolidate around the breakout level. The buyers are to keep an eye on this chart. If the breakout level produces a bullish engulfing candle closing well above consolidation resistance, they may trigger a long entry.

The chart produces a Doji candle (tiny bullish body with long shadows both sides). The breakout level holds the price, for which the buyers are going to be very keen to keep an eye on this pair. If the next candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle, it would also form a candlestick pattern called Morning Star.

The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle closing well above consolidation resistance. A bullish engulfing candle is enough to attract the buyers to go long in this chart. The combination of the last three candle forms Morning Star, which is a strong bullish reversal candlestick pattern. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes. Stop Loss is to be set below the breakout level and Take Profit is to be set with 1R. Let us proceed to the next chart to see how the trade goes.

The next candle comes out as a bullish candle. The buyers seem to have taken control. The price may hit the target soon.

It takes only two candles to hit the target. Traders make some green pips in a hurry. If we analyze this trade, we find

  1. The price makes a bullish breakout and comes back at the breakout level.
  2. The breakout level works as support and holds the price
  3. It produces a bullish engulfing candle closing above consolidation resistance.
  4. It produces a candlestick pattern called Morning Star as well.
Categories
Crypto Videos

Mastering Crypto Using The Evening Star

Trading crypto using the Evening Star pattern

The Evening Star candlestick pattern is a three-candle bearish reversal formation that appears at the top of a bullish trend. It signals that the market is slowing down and that a bearish move is laying the foundation for a new trend.

Identifying an Evening Star
Evening Star pattern has been extremely popular in forex trading, but has increased in popularity in other markets, crypto included. Using this pattern when trading cryptocurrencies has proven to be extremely lucrative if done properly. Identifying the Evening Star on crypto charts involves more than just identifying the three main candles that constitute this pattern. While the Evening Star is just a three-candle pattern, one needs to understand the previous price action before trading it.

The market should be exhibiting higher highs as well as higher lows. The large bullish candle occurs as a result of large buying pressure as well as a continuation of the existing uptrend. Traders should be looking only for long trades at this point, as there is no evidence for any type of reversal yet.

The second candle is a small candle (sometimes even a Doji candle) that is the first sign of trend fatigue. This candle often gaps higher as it makes another higher high. It doesn’t matter if the candle ends up being bearish or bullish, as this candle only shows a lack of determination.
The first real sign of a trend reversal and big selling pressure is the big red candle.
After a successful reversal, we will be able to observe lower highs as well as lower lows.

Trading the Evening Star pattern

The chart shows an established uptrend that leads up to the formation of the Evening Star reversal pattern. Once the pattern formation has completed, traders are looking for an entry point at the open of the next candle. If traders are more conservative, they could delay their entry point to a slightly lower price.
Targets should be placed at previous support levels of consolidation levels. Stops, on the other hand, can be placed right above the recent swing high.

Evening Star pattern reliability
The Evening Star, like every other candlestick pattern, should be traded along with other trading tools available to the trader. While they are quite reliable, failed reversals can happen if a trader only uses the Evening Star pattern to trade.