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Forex Basic Strategies

Pivot Trading Strategy – Easiest Way To Trade Pivot Points

Pivot points are the significant levels used by the market technician to determine the future movement and the major support/resistance levels on the price chart. Pivot point takes the prior period high, low, and close to estimate the future support and resistance levels. Pivot points are the leading indicator, and once they are set on a price chart, it will remain the same throughout the day.

Timeframes

The pivot point of the 1, 5, 10, and 15-minute chart use the prior day high, low, and close. Whereas the pivot points for the 30, 60, and 240-minute chart use the last week high, low, and close to calculate the pivot points. Once the new week starts, the pivot point appears on the price chart until the end of the week.
The pivot point for the daily and chart use the prior month data, and the pivot point for the weekly and the monthly chart use the last year’s data. The new pivot point for the year ahead will be calculated on the 1st of January. These would be based on the high, low, and close of the last year’s pivot points.

There is a total of seven basics pivot levels on the price chart.

  1. Basic pivot level – It is the middle of the center pivot line.
  2. Resistance 1 (R1) It is the first pivot point above the centerline.
  3. Resistance 2 (R2) It is the second pivot level above resistance 1.
  4. Resistance 3 (R3) It is the third pivot level above resistance 2.
  5. Support 1 (S1) It is the first pivot level below the middle pivot line.
  6. Support 2 (S2) It is the second pivot level below support 1.
  7. Support 3 (S3) It is the third pivot level below support 2.

Trading Strategies Using Pivot Points

There are various pivot point trading strategies in the market; this one is especially we created for our fellow traders, our strategy is backtested on demo and even on trading simulation, so you no need to put the work required to find out the probability of this strategy—all we suggest you follow this strategy very well to make consistent money from the market.

Pivot points most often work very well in trending market conditions; some traders even use pivot points on lower timeframes to scalp the markets. The strategy is to find out the uptrend in any instrument and wait for the pivot point to go above the Pivot point centerline, and then wait for the pullback back to the pivot line to take buy entry. You can close your position at resistance one if the market momentum is choppy, and even in a strong trending market, you can also book the profit at resistance two or three.

The image below represents the uptrend in the GBPAUD forex pair.

The image below represents our buying entry in this pair.  Notice that the day before our entry price action breaks the pivot line and the very next price action pullback to the pivot line. Keep in mind that the pullback must hold at the pivot line then only it confirms the buy trade, never place the limit order at the pivot line. Let the price action test the support line take entry.

The image below represents our entry, exit, and take profit in the GBPAUD forex pair. When you follow so many steps to take an entry, it means that you are going for the precision in the market, and for the precision entries, always put the stop loss just below the entry price. In the image below, notice that our stop loss was just below the pivot line, and for the take profit, we go to the R1 of the next day, which was R2 for the previous day. Take profit is an art in the market, and when you use the pivot points, it’s even easier to book profit. If the price action immediately approaches the R1, then you can expect the price action to hit the R2 or even R3. If the price action shows you the struggle to hit the R1, then simply do not expect the deeper targets.

Pivot Points + Double Moving Average

Moving average is a widely used indicator in the market which smooths out the price action by filtering out the noise from the random short-term price fluctuations. There are an infinite amount of moving averages in the market, which helps the traders to identify the market trend, entry, and exit also the potential reversals. When the moving average goes above the price action, it means that the trend is down, and when it goes below the price action, it indicates the uptrend in the security. In this strategy, we used the 30 and 15-period average to trade the market.

The trading strategy is, first of all, to find out the downtrend in any pair and wait for the prices to close below the pivot line also check the crossover above the price action on a double moving average to take an entry.

The image below represents the downtrend in an NZDCAD forex pair.

As you can see in the below image of the NZDCAD forex pair, it indicates the selling entry in this pair. In a downtrend, when the price action holds below the pivot line, it shows that the prices respect the resistance area; also, the crossover on the MA indicates the market is ready to print a brand new lower low.

The below image represents our entry, exit, and take profit in this pair. As you can see, the entry was when prices hold below the pivot line, and the stops were just above the pivot line because the holds below show that the buyers hold no power to break above the pivot line. After our entry, price action strongly blasts to the north, which shows that we can expect our trade to travel even longer. Price action holds for some time at the S1, and then it immediately blasts to the S2 and prints the brand new lower low.

Conclusion

Pivot points are the leading indicator in the industry, which provides a glance at potential support and resistance level in the market. These levels are useful for taking an entry, or it can be useful for putting stop loss or for booking profit also. AS the leading indicator, you can use them all alone to trade the market, or you can pair them with some other indicator to trade the market. The critical benefit of pivot points is they work on all the financial markets also on all the trading timeframes. Try not to use this indicator in the ranging conditions and also avoid the use in the highly volatile markets.

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Forex Course

96. Trading Breakouts using Pivot Points

-Introduction

We know that pivot points are no different from the typical support and resistance levels. We also saw how these levels were respected when trading a ranging market. But, could it used to trade breakouts? Let’s find out in this lesson.

Just like your normal Support and Resistance, the pivot levels don’t hold forever. At one point or the other, the price breaks out from these levels. In our range strategy, we always hit buy at the support and sell at the resistance. But there are times the market breaks from these levels and stops us out. When such things happen, we can develop another plan ready for the same and take advantage of it.

In the trading community, there are two types of traders: aggressive traders and conservative traders. And the approach to trade breakouts is different for both. So, we made two strategies to benefit the aggressive as well as the conservative traders.

The Pivot Points Breakout Strategy

Doing it the Aggressive way

The aggressive approach to trade breakouts is very simple. The strategy for such traders is to trigger the trade when the price breaks above resistance or below the support. The logic to this is that the resistance/support which was supposed to hold is now not being respected. It means that the opposite party is showing more strength. Hence, we will also be following the stronger side.

Aggressive traders are the ones to catch the initial move of the breakout. But there is high risk involved in these types of entries.

Trade Example

Below is the chart of GBP/CHF on the 15min timeframe. The pivot points are marked as shown. Initially, we can see that the price broke below S1 support. Here, aggressive traders can get in for a sell after the close of the candle. Later, the price continued to fall down and ended up breaking the S2 support as well. This could be another entry for the aggressive breakout traders.

Placements

As aggressive traders, it is important to have good risk management on the trades. The most basic necessity is the placement of stop-loss and take-profit orders. For the above trades, traders can keep the stop-loss just above the level they entered the trade. However, it would be better to place the stop-loss much higher than that level because we can stay safe from spikes. And a typical TP would be the next Support level. Refer to the above chart to get better clarity on it.

Doing it the Conservative way

The conservative approach is more of a safe approach to trade breakouts. According to this strategy, look to enter the trade when the price retests the level after breaking through that level. In trading terms, this is called the ‘role reversal’ concept. This concept simply means the turning of ‘support into resistance’ and ‘resistance into support.’ For example, when the price breaks below the support level, it is not a ‘support’ anymore; but is now ‘resistance.’ Now, let’s put this into action.

Consider the same chart shown above. We shall be looking if there are opportunities for conservative traders in the same market. In the below chart, we can see that the market broke below the S1. So, now we treat S1 as the resistance and prepare to sell when the price retraces to the S1 level. Similarly, we can enter for a sell when the price breaks below S2 and retests back to S2.

When it comes to the placement of stop-loss and take-profit, one can follow the same approach, as explained in the aggressive traders’ placement.

This brings us to the end of this lesson. Note that the above strategy is only to get an understanding of how to trade breakouts using pivot points. It is highly recommended to apply other technical tools to have more odds in your favor. Cheers.

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Forex Course

94. Calculating and Comprehending Pivot Points

Introduction

In the previous lesson, we understood what pivot points are. However, it is also necessary to understand how these levels are calculated. So, in this lesson, let’s go ahead and figure out how these levels are marked and comprehended.

Before getting right into it, let’s brush up the previous topic real quick.

  • The pivot point is an indicator used to identify Support and Resistance levels.
  • It is a static indicator, unlike the other indicators that move with the price.
  • It helps in determining the overall trend of the market in any given timeframe.
  • It is calculated using high, low, and close values.

Below is an image of how pivot points look when applied on the charts. As already mentioned, S stands for Support, R stands for Resistance, and P(PP) stands for Pivot Point. Now we shall see what exactly is S1, R1, S2, R2, etc.

Calculating Pivot Points

Different levels of Support and Resistance are shown when calculating the Pivot point’s support and resistance levels, and they are represented as S1, R1, S2, R2, etc. Now, let’s calculate each one of them. The Pivot Point P(PP) value is given by the average of the high price, low price, and the close price.

Pivot point P(PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3

First level Support and Resistance Formula:

First Resistance (R1) = (2 x P) – Low | First Support (S1) = (2 x P) – High

Second level Support and Resistance Formula

Second Resistance (R2) = P + (High – Low) | Second Support (S2) = P – (High – Low)

Third Level Support and Resistance Formula

Third Resistance (R3) = High + 2(P – Low) | Third Support (S3) = Low – 2(High – P)

In the above formulas:

High represents the high price from the previous trading day,

Low represents the low price from the previous trading day, and

Close represents the closing price from the previous trading day.

Note: Since the forex market is open 24 hours, the New York closing time, i.e., 5:00 pm EST, is taken as the previous day data. For example, if you want to calculate the levels for Wednesday, you must consider the values of Tuesday.

Comprehending Pivot Points

In this indicator, we came across three levels, namely, Pivot point level, Support level, and the Resistance level. Let’s now understand what they actually depict.

The pivot point is a level drawn at the price of the average of the High, Low, and the close price of the prior trading day. So, if the market falls below the pivot point level on the subsequent trading day, we say that the market is showing bearish sentiment. And if the price goes above the pivot point, we say that the indicator is indicating bullish sentiment.

When it comes to the Support and Resistance levels, their meaning is the same as that of the actual Support and Resistance that is defined in the industry. The Support level is the price at which the market tends to shoot up, and Resistance is the level where the market tends to fall.

This brings us to the end of this lesson. In the coming lessons, we will understand how to trade the markets applying the Pivot Points indicator.

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