In today’s lesson, we are going to learn an intraday trading strategy using the previous day’s highest high or lowest low. When the price makes a breakout at yesterday’s highest high or lowest low, the price usually trends towards the breakout direction. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a bearish breakout. After making a bearish breakout at the previous day’s lowest low, the price consolidates and produces a bearish engulfing candle at a significant Fibonacci level. Then, it heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. We try to find out the Fibonacci level where the price trends from as well as the take profit level where the price may make a reversal. Let us proceed.
This is an H1 chart. The chart shows that the price makes a bearish move by producing an ABC pattern. The last candle closes the trading session at the lowest low of the day. The next chart shows that the price consolidates around the lowest low of the previous trading day and makes a good bearish move.
The chart suggests that it becomes intraday sellers’ territory. The sellers may look to go short in the pair. The question is how and when. Let us find these two answers.
The last candle comes out as a bullish candle. Since the chart has been bearish, the sellers may wait for the chart to produce a bearish reversal candle to go short below consolidation support. Here is another equation that they must consider. We will find that out in a minute.
The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes. A question may be raised here that the chart produces a bearish engulfing candle earlier right at the breakout level. We have not concentrated on that to go short from there. However, we have planned to go short right after the last candle closes. What are the reasons behind this? Let us find out how the price reacts after the last candle is produced.
The price heads towards the South with good bearish momentum. The chart produces a bullish reversal candle. It may change its trend or make a bullish correction, at least. For intraday traders, they cannot afford to wait as many pips by waiting to get a bullish reversal candle. They are to close the trade right after the last bearish candle. The question is, how would they know that they should set their take profit at that level?
The answer is Fibonacci levels. Do you remember I was talking about the level for the price to resume its bearish move, we find that out by Fibonacci levels as well. See, the chart produces a bearish engulfing candle at the level of 61.8%, and it hits 161.8%. These are two levels intraday traders must count when a pair trades below the previous day’s lowest low or vice versa. Stay tuned for more lessons for intraday trading with Fibonacci levels.