Categories
Forex Price Action

Price Action, Market Psychology, and Adjustment

Price action traders are to get clues from what the price has been doing. Horizontal Support/ Resistance, Trend Line Support/Resistance, Fibonacci Levels, Equidistant Channel along with Candlestick Pattern are price action trader’s main weapons. A trader must know how to use these tools as far as price action trading is concerned. Moreover, traders often need to adjust to marking levels, which are to be integrated with price action and market psychology. In today’s lesson, we are going to show an example of that.

The price has been heading towards the downside with strong bearish momentum. Ideally, traders are to look for short opportunities at upside pullback. See the first reversal candle. The candle closes within the support of the last bearish candle. Thus, the traders must wait to go short since the support holds the price. Let us see what happens next.

At the last candle, the price goes towards the downside but comes back within the support again. Equations are different now. Long lower shadow and proven support suggest that the traders may have to wait longer than they thought.

As expected, the price consolidates on choppy price action, which makes traders wait. Traders find horizontal support. Let us draw it.

The price obeys the support level several times. However, do not forget that the price had a strong rejection. This is where traders may need to make an adjustment.

 

The price has been heading towards the adjusted support. Risk-Reward does not look right here. It is better to wait for either a downside breakout or a bullish reversal to go long. Let us see what happens next.

 

We have a bullish reversal here. A bullish engulfing candle right at the support level suggests that the traders may have to look for long opportunities here. The question is, shall we take an entry right after the last candle closes or not. The answer is ‘No”. We have to wait for an upside breakout. Can you guess where the breakout level is? Think for a minute, and then proceed to the chart below.

The price has been obeying a down-trending Trend line producing a Descending Triangle. Thus, the breakout at the Trend line resistance is a signal to go long here. All the buyers need here a breakout by a bullish Marubozu candle.

Here comes the breakout that the price action traders shall wait for. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the breakout candle closes. Stop Loss is to be set below the horizontal support. Let us find out how it proceeds.

The price heads towards the North and provides 1:1 Risk-Reward. So far here, it seems that it is having consolidation. Some traders may want to come out with their profit. Some may shift their Stop Loss at the breakeven and take some profit out targeting to go all the way towards the swing high. This depends on how a trader wants to manage his trade. With these above charts and examples, we have realized the importance of adjustment in marking support/resistance.

 

Categories
Forex Price-Action Strategies

Trade What You See on the Chart

Price Action traders are to look at a chart and make a trading decision according to that. They have to understand the language of it, which reflects the psychology of the market. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate the importance of trading according to the chart’s price movement.

On 17.10.2019, the AUD did well against its counterparts in almost all the pairs. However, in AUDNZD, the AUD did not do well. It rather had a bad day against the NZD. On the day, the AUD was strong against other currencies, but why did it underperform against the NZD?

To start with, let us have a look at the H1-AUDUSD chart.

After finding the support at the red-marked line, the price heads towards the upside. It consolidates and continues the move towards the trend. The daily candle closes with a strong bullish tone, barely having an upper shadow. Let us have a closer look at the consolidation.

The first reversal candle is bearish. However, it closes within the wick of the last candle, which is a Spinning Top. The price finds support, and after producing an engulfing bullish candle breaching the resistance, it continues its bullish journey.

As mentioned earlier, the AUD was weak against the NZD. Let us now have a look at the H1-AUDNZD chart.

Look at the chart, the price heads towards the North (up arrowed) and comes down. You can assume how the daily candle would look like for that day. In the end, it makes a breakout at the support level and makes a new lower low. Things are completely different here with the AUD. Do you spot out the difference? Let us investigate on the chart.

The price heads towards the North as it does in other pairs. However, look at the first reversal candle (arrowed). This is a bearish engulfing candle. When the consolidation starts with such a candle, the minor time frames’ sellers shall keep their eyes to go short. This often makes a chart look choppy. Even after producing a good bullish reversal candle, the price does not make a breakout at the resistance. It rather comes down and gets choppy. After some hours, this is what happens.

A Double Top and breakout at the neckline drive the price towards the South. The consolidation followed by the breakout at the support makes the price bearish on the following day. We now understand the reason, despite having a good day, the AUD did not do well against the NZD.

To sum up, traders must understand the chart, price action, candlestick formation, and trade according to those to be consistent in making a profit.