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Forex Elliott Wave

Understanding the Complexity in Wave Analysis – Advanced Level

Introduction

Financial markets are the result of human interactions where one party buys and the other sells. The results of these actions are reflected in a price chart. 

R.N. Elliott studied the interactions between these two forces that move the market. In his study, Elliott detected that specific patterns repeat themselves over time. He also identified that the price tended to move in impulsive and corrective movements.

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Elliott recognized that as time progresses, the price develops movements that, in its basic unit, correspond to segments, those that have a low level of complexity. 

The complexity increases at an additional level as these segments complete a series of three or five movements, giving origin to the wave. 

Later, as a wave is completed, another movement emerges, giving course to a new wave. As this ordered sequence advances in time, the price forms structures that we could call as “poli-waves,” which Elliott defined in the form of patterns corresponding to a structure or wave of higher degree.

The interaction between different sequences of “poli-waves” or basic wave patterns, give origin to a more complex structure, which we can define as “multi-wave.” In turn, when a succession of 3 or 5 multi-waves completes, the price action creates a structure of a higher degree whose complexity level is higher. We can call this complex structure as “macro-wave.”

Multi-wave Construction

Multi-waves are complex structural series that is characterized by having at least one poly-wave in their internal structure. The type of waves can be impulsive or corrective.

Impulsive Multi-waves. They are structures in which one or several of their impulsive waves are poly-waves. Its training requirements are as follows:

  1. Of the three impulsive forward waves, only one must be a poly-wave; the other two can be simple movements.
  2. At least one of the two corrective waves can be a poly-wave, the other can be a poly-wave or a simple wave.
  3. The longer-lasting corrective wave 2 or 4 will occur just before or after the extended wave.

The following figure shows the different patterns of multi-waves of impulsive nature, being the second case, which corresponds to the third extended wave the most common.

Corrective Multi-wave. In the same way as multi-impulsive waves, the corrective multi-waves must contain specific requirements, which are described below.

  1. One or two of the waves that are divided into five waves in the longer pattern should be able to be subdivided as a poly-wave. If it has only one structure subdivided into five, it will be a Flat, while if it has two structures divided into five, it will be a zigzag pattern.
  2. The multi-wave B wave is likely a corrective poly-wave.

The following figure shows two types of corrective multi-waves.

 

Complex Multi-waves Construction

The complex multi-wave analysis does not differ from complex wave analysis composed of poly-waves. The difference is that complex multi-waves are composed of multi-wave groups and not poly-waves.

Macro-waves Construction

As the market develops, the structural series can be grouped as multi-waves and thus form a macro-wave

Impulsive Macro-waves. This type of structure is composed of a multi-wave in one of its three impulsive waves, while the other two will be a poly-wave. 

Corrective Macro-waves. Must contain at least one multi-wave, and another wave must be a poly-wave. If the structural series has two multi-wave, the complex structure will be a zigzag, and its formation has only one multi-wave, the corrective structure will be a flat pattern.

Conclusions

In this educational article, we have seen how, as time advances, the complexity of the waves also increases. 

However, the wave analysis whose level of complexity is higher, being it a multi-wave or macro-wave, must be realized in the same way to that studied in the wave analysis section corresponding to the intermediate level wave analysis. 

This situation leads us to conclude that the market behaves in a fractal way over time, and wave analysis does not change regardless of the proportion of time studied.

In the next educational article, we will expand on the concepts of alternation and extensions.

Suggested Readings

  • Neely, G.; Mastering Elliott Wave: Presenting the Neely Method; Windsor Books; 2nd Edition (1990).
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By Eduardo Vargas

Eduardo Vargas is a technical analyst and independent trader based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. He is an Industrial Engineer and holds a Master in Finance degree. In 2008 began to trade Chilean stocks listed on IPSA. From 2013 started to trade CFDs on Forex, Commodities, Indices and ETFs markets. He analyses different markets combining the Elliott Wave analysis with Fibonacci tools. He provides a market mid-long-term vision.

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