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Forex Elliott Wave

Intermediate Wave Analysis – Motive Waves – Part 2

In our previous article, we covered the main rules of impulsive waves. In this educational post, we’ll present a complimentary set of rules of the impulsive waves.

The Alternation Rule

The alternation rule, as defined by R.N. Elliott, is not an author’s invention, alternation exists from the beginning of the universe, and this is a principle that governs nature. In the same way that the day alternates with the night, bullish market alternates with the bearish.

This rule is the foundation of wave theory; without the alternation, the wave theory would not exist. This rule states, “when two consecutive waves are compared, one must be different from the other and both must also be unique in form.

The essential element that distinguishes the alternation in the wave analysis is time. In other words, this means that if a movement on one wave occurs a reduced time span, the next move should take place in an extensive period compared with the previous move.

In wave theory, we observe the alternation in the following characteristics:

  1. Price: it is the vertical distance that the market advances.
  2. Time: it is the horizontal distance elapsed in the market progress.
  3. Severity: this corresponds to the percentage that price retraces an impulsive movement.
  4. Complexity: corresponds to the number of segments that conforms to the wave sequence.
  5. Construction: corresponds to the type of formation that market develops, for example, flat, zigzag, triangle, etc.

The Equality Rule

  1. The extension rule says that in an impulsive sequence, one of three motive waves must be the most extended. When the wave analyst has identified the extended wave, then, can apply the equality rule that refers to the other two waves that are as follows:1. If wave 1 is extended, then the rule applies to waves 3 and 5.
  2. If wave 3 is extended, then the rule applies to waves 1 and 5.
  3. If wave 5 is extended, then the rule applies to waves 1 and 3.

The equality rule establishes that two of non-extended waves tends to be equal in terms of price, time, or both.

This rule is useful, especially when the third wave is the extended wave, and the fifth fails. However, it is not helpful when the first wave is extended or is a terminal formation.

Superposition Rule

The superposition principle can be used in two different ways depending on the kind of impulsive structure; it means if the motive wave corresponds to a trend movement or a terminal sequence.

If the price action develops a trend movement, then waves two and four will never overlap. In terms of its internal sequence, the motive wave will have a 5-3-5-3-5 sequence.

If the price action follows a terminal move, then wave four will penetrate the second wave area partially. The internal subdivision of this find of waves will follow a 3-3-3-3-3 sequence.

GBPUSD Pair Follows the Elliott Wave Principle

The GBPUSD pair in its 12-hour chart illustrates the Elliott wave principle in the real market.

In the figure, we observe how the GBPUSD pair follows the Elliott wave principle. Firstly, the motive wave has five internal segments that create an upward trend; the third wave is not the shortest, and as shown in the chart, the third move corresponds to the extended wave.

Once finished the five-wave sequence, it starts a corrective move in the opposite direction of the trend following a three-wave structure, which still seems in progress.

Following the alternation rule, we observe that the first wave advanced 625 pips in 17 days, while the third jumped 817 pips in 11 days. Finally, the fifth wave ran 691 pips in 16 days. These measurements enable us to observe that the GBPUSD comply with the extension, equality, and superposition rules.

At the same time, we observe that corrective waves also alternates between themselves. The second wave retraced the movement formed by the first wave in 16 days, while the fourth wave retraced the advances of the third wave during 36 days.

Conclusion

In this article, we extended the toolbox for the wave analysis process, from where rules as the alternation, equality, and superposition, add to the seven basic rules and extension defined in our previous educational post.

In our next educational post, we will present the canalization process, which will allow the wave analyst to understand the price action from the Elliott wave perspective.

Suggested Readings

  • Neely, G.; Mastering Elliott Wave: Presenting the Neely Method; Windsor Books; 2nd Edition (1990).
  • Prechter, R.; The Major Works of R. N. Elliott; New Classics Library; 2nd Edition (1990).
Categories
Forex Elliott Wave

Intermediate Wave Analysis – Motive Waves – Part 1

In our previous article, we presented the different standard Elliott wave formations, among which we highlight the impulsive sequence. In this educational post, we will look at the rules and principles to identify impulsive waves.

Understanding the Impulsive Waves

Impulsive waves are characterized by developing in a definite direction; this is which distinguishes a motive wave with a corrective sequence. The characteristics that must possess an impulsive structure are as follow.

  1. It must be built by five consecutive segments that follow a structure of a trend sequence or a terminal formation.
  2. Three of its five internal segments correspond to impulses in the same direction, which could be bullish or bearish. The other two moves will reverse one of the three impulsive segments moving in the main trend.
  3. Once the first impulsive movement ended, the price action must develop a smaller move in the opposite direction.
  4. The third segment moves in the same direction as the first impulsive movement. This movement cannot be of less magnitude than the first move.
  5. At the end of the third movement, the price develops a fourth segment, which pulls back the move of the third leg. This movement must never penetrate the region of the first impulsive movement.
  6. The fifth and last move is characterized by being longer than the fourth movement.
  7. When measuring and comparing the extension of waves first, third, and fifth, it can be observed that not necessarily the third wave will be the largest move; however, this segment cannot be the shortest of the three impulsive movements.

If the price action does not accomplish one of these rules, the market is not moving in an impulsive sequence. Rather, it advances in a corrective structure.

The Extension Concept

The extension is the main characteristic of motive waves, and it is used to describe the largest move of an impulsive sequence.

The basic rule to classify and identify a wave as an extension states that the largest wave must surpass the next largest move, at least by 161.8%.

The Use of Labels to Identify Sequences

Until now, we have used Intermediate Wave Analysis – Motive Waves – Part 1 labels them as W1, W2, and so on, to identify each segment. From now, we will use tags as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, to identify each movement.

Labels are a useful tool to aid the wave analysis process. The wave analyst should consider that, in R.N. Elliott’s words, the labels are not the end of the wave analysis, it is only a tool to maintain order in the analysis process.

It should be noted that according to the labeling process described by R.N. Elliott, we will use variations to differentiate degrees, which corresponds to the timeframe that belongs to each Elliott wave structure.

Example

To comprehend the structure of an impulsive wave and the extension concept, in the following chart, we observe the GBPUSD pair in its 12-hour timeframe.

The figure shows the impulsive advance developed by the Cable when the price found buyers at 1.1958 on September 02nd, 2019. The first motive wave, identified as “1” in green, resulted in a GBPUSD advancement of 624.1 pips, rising to 1.2582.

The third wave advanced over 814 pips or 6.68%. On the chart, we observe that wave 3 in green surpasses the 161.8% of the first wave. In the same way, the fifth wave gained 691.1 pips or 5.39%, which is similar to the first wave.

Concerning corrective waves 2 and 4, we observe that the second wave is shorter than the first move, and the fourth wave does not penetrate into the first wave region, which accomplishes the rules of construction of impulsive waves.

Furthermore, we observe that the third wave advanced beyond 161.8% of wave 1; similarly, the progression of the fifth wave is slightly lower than 161.8% of the third wave.

In consequence, GBPUSD shows the progress of a bullish five-wave impulsive sequence, with Cable having developed an extended wave in the third movement of the bullish cycle. Finally, once the fifth wave reached its end and the end of the bullish cycle, a three-wave movement in the opposite direction of the previous upward sequence will occur.

Conclusion

The impulsive movement is a structure that creates trends, which follows a five-wave sequence. The knowledge of its structure allows the wave analyst to understand the degree of the advancement of the prices and, in consequence, the potential next movement of the market under study.

In the next educational article, we will unfold additional concepts to understand the nature and rules of impulsive waves.

Suggested Readings

  • Neely, G.; Mastering Elliott Wave: Presenting the Neely Method; Windsor Books; 2nd Edition (1990).
  • Prechter, R.; The Major Works of R. N. Elliott; New Classics Library; 2nd Edition (1990).
Categories
Forex Elliott Wave

Impulsive Waves Construction – Part 1

Previously we presented an ideal model of motive waves; however, the real market is not exactly perfect. In this educational article, we will develop the principles of impulsive waves.

The nature of impulsive waves

Before we begin to identify impulsive waves, we must consider the following rules that compose it:

  1. It must have five consecutive segments, or waves, that develop a trend.
  2. Three of these five waves must move in the same direction; this can be bullish or bearish.
  3. After the initial wave, a shorter sequence must be developed in the opposite direction of the first movement. This movement should never be greater than the advance of the first wave.
  4. The third wave must be larger than the second movement.
  5. After the third impulsive movement, a similar sequence to the second wave should be developed. However, the third segment trend must prevail over the fourth.
  6. The fifth wave, in most cases, will be more extense than the fourth movement. If the fifth wave is smaller than the fourth wave, this is called a “failure.”
  7. When comparing the lengths of waves 1, 3, and 5, the third wave does not necessarily have to be the longest. However, it should not be the shortest.

If one of these rules is not followed, then the movement is not an impulse, the structure corresponds to a corrective sequence.

The alternation principle

Elliott defines alternation as a law of nature, as the day and night alternates, the movements of a market also alternate. The alternation principle establishes that when two waves of the same degree are compared, they are different from each other.

We observe the alternation in:

  • The distance that price travels.
  • The duration of each wave.
  • The retracement of the depth of each impulse (waves 2 and 4).
  • The complexity of each wave, that is, the number of internal waves that compose it.

The following daily chart corresponds to the EURAUD cross. In the chart, we observe the alternation in price and time. The first bullish movement began on August 21, 1997, at 1.42014, this wave was developed on 118 days and increased 2,919 pips or 20.55%. Wave 3 surged on 131 days and reported an increase of 19.83% or 3,121.6 pips. Finally, the fifth wave grew in 81 days, advancing 3,059.5 pips, or 17.44%, reaching the high at 2,05983 on October 06, 1998.


In the following EURAUD daily chart, we recognize the alternation in the retracement. From wave 2, we observed that the retrace of wave 1, was developed for 44 days, and the cross plunged 8.05% or 1,377.9 pips. Finally, wave 4 fell 1,334.1 pips (7.07%) of wave 3 in 36 days.