Breakout trading strategy traders first wait for the breakout with good momentum. Then, they are to wait for the breakout confirmation candle. A breakout can be confirmed in two ways. It can take the price towards the trend, or it could come out as in inside bar reversal candle. As long as the candle closes below the breakout level, it confirms the breakout. However, these two types of breakout confirmation push the price towards the trend a bit differently. In today’s article, we are going to demonstrate an example of this.
The price after being bearish makes a bullish correction. The last candle comes out as a bearish pin bar. This is a strong bearish reversal signal. The sellers are to wait for the price to head towards the level of support, where the price has a bounce earlier.
The price heads down with good bearish momentum. It seems that it is going to make a breakout at the drawn level. The breakout sellers are to keep their eyes on the pair closely to take a short entry upon a bearish breakout and breakout confirmation.
Here it comes. The last candle breaches the level of support closing well below it. This is an explicit breakout, which the sellers wait for. If the next candle confirms the breakout, the sellers may drive the price towards the South further.
The next candle comes out as a bullish inside bar. However, it closes within the breakout level. It means the breakout is valid. It is not an A+ breakout confirmation. It offers less reward and does not drive the price towards the trend with good momentum. If the candle came out as a bearish candle closing below the breakout candle, it would be a different ball game. The price may make a move towards the downside by offering 1R at least. Let us see what happens here.
The next candle comes out as a bearish candle. Some sellers may trigger a short entry. In most cases, it does not travel as far as it has traveled to offer the entry.
It produces a strong bearish candle. It seems that the sellers are in control. The question is whether it travels the same distance of Stop Loss-Entry or not. Let us find out from the next chart.
The price starts making an upward correction. It goes back within the breakout level. This chart does not look good for the sellers any more unless it makes a bearish breakout at the last lowest low.
We have seen that the breakout candle and breakout momentum are good. However, the price does not head towards the trend and travel the distance as it usually does. This is what happens if the breakout confirmation candle comes out as an inside bar reversal candle. Thus, it is best if we skip taking such entry.