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Analyzing The USD/HUF Forex Exotic Currency Pair

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Introduction

The US Dollar versus the Hungarian Forint, in short, is represented as USDHUF. It is an exotic currency pair in the forex market. It has got high volatility and lower volume compared to major and minor currencies. Here, USD is the base currency, and HUF is the quote currency.

Understanding USD/HUF

The value of this pair represents the number of HUF that are required to buy one US Dollar. It is quoted as 1 USD per X HUF. If the current market price of USDHUF is 307.72, these many Hungarian Forints are needed to purchase one unit of USD.

Spread

Spread is the primary way through which brokers generate revenue from their clients. The pip difference between the bid price and the ask price is their revenue, which is referred to as the spread. Spread is different on ECN accounts and STP accounts.

ECN: 16 pips | STP: 15 pips

Fees

On ECN accounts, one has to pay some pips of fee on each position you take. The fee is usually high on exotic pairs and comparatively less on major and minor pairs. However, on STP accounts, the fee is nil.

Slippage

Slippage in trading is the difference between the client’s intended price and the price the broker actually gave him. Slippage is affected by two factors:

  • Broker’s execution speed
  • The volatility of the market

Trading Range in USD/HUF

The representation of the minimum, average, and maximum volatility of a currency pair is the trading range. It shows the volatility of the market in different timeframes. And these values help in figuring the profit that can be gained or loss that can be incurred on a trade.

Procedure to assess Pip Ranges

  1. Add the ATR indicator to your chart
  2. Set the period to 1
  3. Add a 200-period SMA to this indicator
  4. Shrink the chart so you can assess a large time period
  5. Select your desired timeframe
  6. Measure the floor level and set this value as the min
  7. Measure the level of the 200-period SMA and set this as the average
  8. Measure the peak levels and set this as Max.

USD/HUF Cost as a Percent of the Trading Range

Cost as a per cent of the trading range is the representation of the cost discrepancies for different volatilities and timeframes. With these values, we can determine the moments of the day when the costs are less. And this shall be discussed in detail in the next topic.

ECN Model Account

Spread = 16 | Slippage = 3 |Trading fee = 3

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 3 + 16 + 3 = 22

STP Model Account

Spread = 15 | Slippage = 3 | Trading fee = 0

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 3 + 15 + 0 = 18

The Ideal way to trade the USD/HUF

We know that exotic currency pairs typically have high volatility and low trading volume. Also, the total costs on trade are pretty expensive. Hence, one must be choosy while deciding when to enter the market.

The higher percentage values in the min column represent that the costs are high when the volatility of the market is low. And the opposite is the case for lower percentage values. However, it is not ideal to trade during any of these times.

One may trade these currency pairs during those times of the day when the volatility values are around the average values. This will ensure decent volatility as well as low costs on the trade.

Furthermore, another simple way to reduce costs is by trading using limit orders and not market orders. Because this will take away the slippage on the total cost, and this will, in turn, reduce the total cost significantly. An example of the same is given below.

With slippage

Spread = 16 | Slippage = 3 |Trading fee = 3

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 3 + 16 + 3 = 22

Without slippage

Spread = 16 | Slippage = 0 |Trading fee = 3

Total cost = Slippage + Spread + Trading Fee = 0 + 16 + 3 = 19

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