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Forex Market Analysis

Forex and Indices – Daily Update 26.07.18


Fundamental Overview


Forex News: The market sentiment of the session was led by the US Dollar (DXY), which advanced against the main currencies group climbing 0.68 per cent. The Dollar boost was aided on the one hand, by the labour market data, in the Thursday session the Initial Jobless Claims data rose 217,000, which despite the increase of 9,000 from the previous week’s revised level, continue showing optimistic levels for the American economy. On the other hand, the ECB interest rate decision continues without changes for the common currency, contributing to the strength in the USD appreciation. The worst performer currency of the session was in the “commodities currencies group”; the Aussie (AUD) fell 1.04 per cent dragged by the dive in Copper price which retraced 1.59 per cent.

Forex News – Daily Performance

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Forex News - Daily PerformanceSource: Forex.Academy Collection.


Technical Analysis


EURUSD

EURUSD made a false breakout which could not reach the first daily resistance, turning to the daily pivot and even falling below the weekly pivot point changing the market sentiment from bullish to bearish. For long positions, we need to see the breakout above the bearish breakdown candle at 1.1710, with a first potential profit target placed at the first daily resistance at 1.1756, the second potential target is the confluence level between the second daily resistance and the first weekly resistance at 1.1785. Short positions should be valued as a continuation of the breakdown, with a profit potential target at 1.1615. Pay attention to this area because the confluence with the third daily resistance at 1.16077 could be a potential buy zone.



GBPUSD

The GBPUSD pair in the 30-minutes chart tested the first daily resistance of the intraday trading session at 1.3214, After this, the price made a re-test, from where the pound started to fall and found support in the weekly pivot point at 1.31257. For long positions, the price should break over the daily pivot level at 1.31739 with a potential profit target at 1.3215 (first intraday resistance). Short positions should be valued as the continuation of the previous movement when the price breaks under the weekly pivot level (1.31257) with a potential target in second daily support at 1.31065.



USDCHF

The Swiss currency in the 30-minutes chart continues moving sideways between the first daily support (0.99007) and below the first daily resistance (0.9942). For long positions, the USDCHF should break above the first daily resistance at 0.9942 level with a short-term target at 0.9960 (weekly pivot level); for bearish positions, we need to see that the price to close below the intraday range at 0.9910 with a potential profit target in 0.9877 (first weekly support.)



EURCAD

The EURCAD cross in the 30-minutes chart is moving bearish, testing the second weekly support located at 1.52488. For bullish positions, the price should break and consolidate above 1.5278 with a potential target is at the first weekly support at 1.5325. For bearish positions, as a continuation of the trend, the price could drop to the third weekly support at 1.51778.



GBPCAD

The GBPAUD cross is moving bearish nearly above the first weekly support at 1.71211. For long positions, the price should breakdown candle at 1.7185 with a potential target on the daily pivot level at 1.7232. If we are looking bearish continuation, the price could see the bottom at the 1.70067 level (confluence zone between the third daily support and second weekly support.)



FTSE 100

FTSE 100 in the 30-minutes chart is moving in a narrow range below the daily pivot level (7,669.8 pts) and above the weekly pivot level (7,649 pts.) For bullish positions, the price should break above 7,686 pts, with a potential target on the first weekly resistance at 7,735 pts, which is the convergence zone with the second daily resistance. Bearish positions should be considered if FTSE 100 index breaks below the weekly pivot level at 7,649 with a potential profit target at the first weekly support (7,593 pts.), the second profit target is the HHL at 7,521 pts.



DAX 30

The DAX index 30 in the 30-minutes chart soared to the third daily resistance (12,827 pts), from this zone we have two options. Long positions could extend to the second weekly resistance at 12,912 pts, only if the price breaks above the 12,827 pts. The second option is for short trades; it could be considered if the price breaks below 12,715 pts with a profit target located at 12,604 pts.



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