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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

A Business of Glorious Uncertainty

Trading on the daily-H4 chart combination often brings more reward than our initial expectation. Typically, traders aim to earn 1R. However, it may even bring up to 5R. In today’s lesson, we are going to show an example of this.

This is a daily chart. The price heads down with good bearish momentum. The last candle is a spinning top. In a strong bearish daily trend, a spinning top does not suggest that the trend may change. However, the H4-daily traders’ strategy is different. They are to flip over to the H4 chart and wait for consolidation followed by a bullish breakout, to go long on the pair. Let us flip over to the H4 chart.

The H4 chart looks good. The chart produces two bearish candles consecutively. The buyers are to wait for a bullish engulfing candle closing above consolidation resistance to go long. The chart suggests that the buyers shall stick with the chart.

It consolidates more and produces a bullish engulfing candle. However, the candle closes within consolidation resistance. They are to wait for more. Look at the last candle. It seems like it is going to have a deep consolidation again.

This time the chart produces a bullish engulfing candle closing well above consolidation resistance. The buyers could trigger a long entry right after the candle closes and set the stop loss below the signal candle’s lowest low.

The trade does not go as per buyers’ expectations. It takes time to hit the target. However, the candle breaches through the take-profit level, closing as a strong bullish candle. The buyers may consider taking a partial profit and let the rest of the trade run. Let us find out what happens next.

This time the price heads towards the North with extreme bullish pressure. It travels about five times the distance of the buyers’ initial target. Assume, by taking partial profit, how much more a trader can earn. This is the beauty of trading on the daily-H4 combination. Since the daily chart is involved here, the price often heads towards daily support/resistance. This brings traders more profit if they deal with their trade accordingly. Another interesting point here to be noticed, despite producing an excellent bullish engulfing candle, the price does not head towards the North with good bullish momentum. On the other hand, once it hits the target level by producing another bullish Marubozu candle, it keeps going towards the North with extreme bullish momentum. This is why trading may be called a business of glorious uncertainty.