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Forex Basic Strategies

Moving Average Strategies: Three Simple Moving Averages Part 2

In the article “Moving Average Strategies: Three Simple Moving Averages Part 1”, we have come to know how three simple moving averages on a chart help us detect a trend. In this article, we will demonstrate how and where to take entries with the help of ‘Three SMAs”.

A Moving Average is an indicator that shows trends as well as it acts as support/resistance. In a buying market, it acts as support whereas it serves as a resistance in a selling market. Let us have a look at how it works as resistance and offers us entries in a selling market.

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We have inserted “Three SMAs” with the value of 200, 100 and 50 on this chart. The chart shows that the price has been down-trending nicely as far as “Three SMAs” rules are concerned. Please notice that every time the price goes back to the 50- Period Simple Moving Average, it comes down. However, in some cases, the price makes a bit bigger move than the others. We need to understand which one is to make a bigger move and offers us an entry. Can you spot out the differences?

Have a look at the same chart below.

Look at the arrowed candle. The price comes down with a better pace and travels more after those marked candles. There are several reasons for this.

  1. The price goes back to the 50- Period Simple Moving Average; touches (or very adjacent to it).
  2. The bearish reversal candles are engulfing candle.

In some cases, the price starts down-trending without touching the 50-Period Simple Moving Average, it does not travel a good distance towards the downside. It rather goes back again; touches it and then makes a bigger move.

At the very left, the first arrowed candle, the bearish engulfing candle does not touch the Moving Average, but one of the bullish candles has had rejection at the 50-Period Simple Moving Average, thus this is an entry. However, see the very next candle comes out as a corrective candle. This means the sellers are not that sanguine since the bearish reversal candle is not produced right at the 50-Period Simple Moving Average.

With the second and third arrowed candles, they are produced right at the 50-Period Simple Moving Average and both of them are bearish engulfing candles. Those two are perfect entries as far as ‘Three SMAs’ is concerned.

At the very right, the last arrowed candle is very adjacent to the 50-Period Simple Moving Average and produces a bearish engulfing candle.  Most likely, the price would head towards the South again. However, “Three SMAs” does not recommend that we shall take an entry here.

We will learn more strategies with Moving Average in our fore coming articles. Keep in touch.

 

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By Tareq Sikder

Tareq Sikder has been engaged with Forex trading as well as Forex writing since 2010. He mainly is a Technical Analyst and a Price Action Trader. He is an author of E-book, a Live Webinar Speaker. Expertise: Candlestick, Channel Trading, Fibonacci Trading.

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