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Daily Market Update: G7 Summit

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News Commentary


 

All eyes will be on the upcoming G-7 meeting in Quebec as the summit comes at a time of escalating trade tensions between the U.S and some of its major trading partners. Last week, all finance ministers from six members of the G-7 criticised the US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin. The trouble started last week, when the Trump administration imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico and the European Union. Mexico and Canada are hugely dependent on American demand for their products, which is why over the last few months they’ve shown willingness to grant the US more favourable conditions within the North America Free Trade Area (Nafta). The trade tension is sure to dominate the summit, if these leaders cannot reach an equivalent point, investors could dump their risks to head for safe-haven assets.

 

On the other hand, there’s a release of big date for Canada, at 12:30 GMT. There’s  Employment Change with a forecast of 19.1K, and Unemployment Rate with a forecast of 5.8%. These figures could give the Canadian some fresh air.

 


Chart Analysis


 

 

US INDEX

On the daily chart, the price had successfully broken the ascending trend from the high of 2017, along with the resistance level to eventually reach the key resistance 95.15 to bounce back from there. The price shaped a reversal pattern (wedge) which closed with a break beneath it.

With divergence in RSI, the price is expected to have a correction to the key support at 92.6 which is located at the broken trend too.



 

 

USD/JPY

On the daily chart, the pair had broken the ascending channel followed by bouncing from the descending trend from the high of 2017 and the key resistance of 111.1.

The price also broke the support 110.05 to reach the next support 108.15 to get back up again from this level to retest the level at 110.05.

As you can see on the chart, the price is moving according to Elliot waves. By forming the A & B waves, we are waiting for the next move down to hit the C level which is located at the support 106.9.

So, any bounce now with price action will enhance the down run.



 

 

AUD/JPY

On the daily chart, we can see that the price is moving sideways between the resistance zone 84.4-84.15 and the support zone 81.2-80.5.

The price now has entered the red resistance area with a possible bounce.

Also, watch the ascending channel which has formed to be considered as a flag pattern. The pattern boosts the original trend which is a down one

So, any bounce now with price action will push the price to fall



 

 

AUD/NZD

On the daily chart, as we expected before, the price had made its way up to targets at the resistance zone 1.0815-1.0865, boosted by a BAT harmonic pattern.

The price has already made its retracement as we expected it too.

Bouncing from the support zone and the uptrend from the low of April, and the broken descending trend from the high of 2017, the price is supposed to continue its bullish movement up to the 1.1045 level.

 



 

 

USD/CAD

On the daily chart, as expected, the price made its way into the resistance zone of 1.289-1.298, almost reaching the key resistance at 1.309, with an approach from the descending trend line starting from the high of 2015, and the upper edge of the horn pattern.

The price has already bounced beneath the key resistance and the resistance zone and got back above it again, but it couldn’t go much further to form a pinbar, to take the price firstly to the support level at 1.274.



 

 

AUD/USD

On the daily chart, the price had a false break beneath the support zone 0.75-0.7535 with a pin bar. That enhances the AB=CD harmonic pattern, with breaking a descending channel. The pair rose with an engulfing candle above the support zone.

Along with divergence in RSI, the price is ready for the next move up to 0.774 which is a level with a combination of the lower trend line from the high of 2018 and the broken uptrend.

The price may have a little retracement before hitting this target



 

NZD/USD

On the daily chart, as we expected before, the pair had bounced from the ascending trend with an engulfing candle, along with breaking a descending trend, to reach our target at the resistance zone at 0.697-0.702.

According to the BAT-shaped harmonic pattern we expected, the price has already reached our first target and is expected to reach the B point at the next resistance zone of 0.7155-0.7185.

The price may have a little retracement before hitting this target



 

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