During Monday’s early Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair succeeded to stop its overnight losing streak and caught some sharp bids around above mid-0.7200 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, which tend to support the observed risk currency Australian dollar and offers to the currency pair gains. Therefore, Democratic candidate Joe Biden’s victory in the U.S. presidential elections was supported by the market trading bias. Aside from this, the market trading sentiment was further supported by Brexit’s confidence, which boosted the currency pair. Across the pond, the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the marker risk-on sentiment, also played its major role in supporting the currency pair.
Moreover, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the intensifying doubts over the U.S. economic recovery as U.S. total coronavirus cases surpass 10 million. On the contrary, the long-lasting coronavirus woes in the U.S. and Europe and Trump’s challenges to the election results keep challenging the upbeat market sentiment, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. The AUD/USD is trading at 0.7269 and consolidating in the range between 0.7268 – 0.7290.
Despite the doubts over the global economic recovery from intensifying coronavirus (COVID-19) woes in the U.S. and Europe, the market trading sentiment ticked up to the 4-week high at the start of the week’s trading and remained supportive by the Democratic candidate Joe Biden’s victory in the U.S. presidential elections. Despite many lawsuits filed by the Trump administration against the result of the presidential election, the market traders still believe that the Republican member will not keep the White House leadership. Although, the optimism surrounding the Bidden victory was further bolstered after the JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said that “We must respect the results of the U.S. presidential election and, as we have with every election, honor the decision of the voters and support a peaceful transition of power.” However, this helped the market’s risk sentiment and undermined the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven demand.
Across the ocean, bullish sentiment around the equity market was further bolstered by the optimism concerning Brexit, which was recently triggered after the European Union’s (E.U.) Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier recently said that he is pleased to be back in London for Brexit talks.
On the contrary, the intensifying coronavirus woes in the U.S. and Europe and intensifying lockdowns restrictions in Europe keep challenging the upbeat market sentiment and become the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. As per the latest report, the coronavirus cases (COVID-19) have exceeded 50 million globally over the weekend. At the same time, the number of infections in Europe was registered approximately 300K in one day. At the U.S. front, the U.S. reported a record rise in coronavirus cases for a 4th-consecutive day with at least 131,420 new infections, bringing the country’s total count to around 9.91 million. Simultaneously, the number of deaths in the U.S. was more than 1,000 for a 5th-consecutive day. It is also worth mentioning that 242,230 people have died from the infection in the U.S., and 6,391,208 have recovered so far. Considering the current coronavirus condition in Europe, the major Europeans like Germany and France have imposed severe restrictions to try controlling the spread.
Moving ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. economic calendar, which highlights updates on inflation and consumer confidence along with Thursday’s report on initial jobless claims. In the meantime, the Brexit trade talks’ updates could not lose their importance on the day.
The AUD/USD consolidates with bullish sentiment at the 0.7294 area, facing a solid resistance at the 0.7294 level extended by a triple top pattern. On the higher side, the upward breakout can drive the buying drift to the 0.7346 mark. Alongside this, the support extends to operate at the 0.7220 mark today. The MACD trades with a mixed bias; nevertheless, it can adapt bullish if AUD/USD runs to crossover 0.7295 mark. Good luck!