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Forex Market Analysis

EUR Moving Sideways, UK PMI Services Rebound, and DAX Bearish

Hot Topics:

  • UK PMI Services rebound from the lowest level for 21 months.
  • DAX is moving bearish as commented previously.
  • The Euro stagnates while waiting for employment data release of the United States.
  • EURCAD: Follow-up of the bearish cycle continuation.

UK PMI Services rebound from the lowest level for 21 months.

Business activity in the United Kingdom increased modestly in April reaching 52.8, bouncing from 51.7, the lowest level recorded 21 months ago. Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, noted that “The economic growth rate remained decelerated moderately at the start of the second quarter.” Finally, he added that “the performance of the economy has continued to deteriorate”.

The FTSE 100 index has reacted downwards from our potential reversal zone, breaking down the rising wedge pattern, where we are already positioned short (Suggested in advance to our premium members).

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The pound continues with the bearish bias consolidating below 1.36. We still expect sterling to make a new low in the area from 1.35 to 1.3481. The level of invalidation of the bearish bias is above 1.365.

DAX is moving bearish as commented previously.

The DAX 30 follows the bearish bias in a similar way the FTSE 100 did. This corrective move was also commented to our subscribers in our previous updates. We expect the German index to move down to the 12.622 pivot level, which by traditional technical analysis, should switch from resistance to support.

The Euro stagnates while waiting for employment data release of the United States.

The single currency is moving in a range between 1.195 and 1.20 pending the employment data that will be published tomorrow by the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics. The EURUSD pair could make a new lower low, likely near to 1.190, from where it could bounce up to 1.207.

The USDCHF is forming a double top pattern, which would be activated if it breaks below 0.995. By inverse correlation with the EURUSD pair, and considering that it still has space to make a new lower low, the Swiss currency could make a higher move as a buyer trap or 2B Pattern.

EURCAD: Follow-up of the bearish cycle continuation.

On April 20th we commented to our subscribers that the cross EURCAD had a new lower low to develop, whose target could be in the area from 1.54 to 1.5310. Today, we see that the cross has reached our forecasted area. Now we should start to take profits and wait for the price action to show a new trading opportunity.

EURCAD updated:

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