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Forex Market Analysis

June 19 – Global Stocks Slips on Risk off Sentiment – Trump Strikes

U.S. stocks slouched on Tuesday, with the Dow-Jones Industrial Average erasing its gains for the year, as markets were confused by a sharp escalation of the trade dispute between the United States and China. The US President, Donald Trump warned to impose a 10% tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods and Beijing threatened it would retaliate.

S&P 500 – Daily Outlook

The U.S. stock market index SPX is trading at 2,664, down -15.25 points and -0.58%. The index is trading in the oversold zone and has already completed 50% retracement at 2,746. At the moment, SPX is likely to pull back to fill the early morning gap.



 

Support Resistance 
2761.79 2775.45
2757.58 2779.66
2750.75 2786.49
Key Trading Level: 2768.62

 

Nikkei – Daily Outlook

Japanese stocks plunged to 2-1/2-week lows on Tuesday and posted the biggest daily percentage decline in three months after Chinese stocks were sold piercingly amid intensifying global trade tussles.

Japan’s Nikkei dipped -401.85 points to trade at 22,278.48 on today. Most of the selling began in response to a risk-off sentiment. Technically, the Japanese index has come out of the asymmetric triangle pattern which supported Nikkei near 22,290. For now, the same level is working as a resistance. Whereas, the support is likely to prevail near 21,952.



Support Resistance 
22617.52 22774.72
22568.96 22823.28
22490.36 22901.88
Key Trading Level: 22696.12

That’s it for now, you are advised to monitor three speeches from the world central bankers. ECB President Draghi, BOJ’s Kuroda and Fed’s Chair Powell are due to participate in a panel discussion at the European Central Bank Forum on Central Banking, in Portugal on Wednesday at 13:30 (GMT). All the best!

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Forex Market Analysis

June 11 – U.S. Indices Soars As Risk-on Sentiment Heads Up

On the first trading day of the fresh week, most of the markets opened with huge gaps on the back of the uncertainty driven by the G7 meeting. However, the markets soon recovered despite unease after U.S. President Donald Trump inflated the threat of higher import tariffs at a rough G7 meeting. Did you miss an opportunity? No worries the game has just begun…

S&P 500 – Daily Outlook

The U.S. stock market index is trading bullish at 2,791.25, up +8.75 points and +0.31%. The S&P500 has come out of the asymmetric triangle pattern at $2,712, indicating the bull bias of investors. At the moment, the SPX is likely to face resistance near the $2,795 level.



Support    Resistance

2767.96    2780.04
2764.24    2783.76
2758.2      2789.8
Key Trading Level: 2774

 

Nikkei – Daily Outlook

Japan’s Nikkei soared more than 375 points to trade at 22,975 on Monday. Most of the bullish trend began in response to the rise in risk appetite. The risk on sentiment kicked in as the investors are very optimistic about the U.S.- North Korea meeting tomorrow.

Technically, the bearish trendline is extending a solid resistance to Nikkei at $22850. At the same time, the RSI has entered the oversold zone which is signifying the chances of a bearish reversal.



 

Support    Resistance
22184.88   22303.38
22148.28   22339.98
22089.03  22399.23
Key Trading Level: 22244.13

That’s pretty much it for now. I hope you are ready for some action tomorrow. We’ve got to deal with the U.S.-North Korea updates and the markets can remain volatile throughout the session.

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Forex Market Analysis

April 23 – 27: Top 2 Setups to Watch This Week – Dollar Index & Nikkei In Focus!

In this update, we will discuss fundamentals & technical setups, that are worth watching during the coming week. On Friday, the US dollar climbed to a two-week high vs. a basket of currencies as risk-off sentiment wanes.

 

US Dollar Index – Double Top Resistance

The Dollar Index soared dramatically after breaking a trendline resistance level at 89.70. Most of the buyers entered the market for two reasons:

Firstly, the single currency Euro fell sharply to a two-week low vs. the greenback as the European Central Bank (ECB) is due to release its monetary policy decision in the coming week (on April 26) and traders seem to price in the dovish monetary policy. A drop in Euro is driving more bulls to the US Dollar.

Secondly, the investors switched their investments from pound to the greenback after the Sterling extended losses in the wake of dovish remarks from the head of the BOE (Bank of England).

 

Dollar Index – Forecast

Technically, the index is overbought (RSI above 70) and bulls are exhausted. We may see a retracement up to 90 and 89.75 before seeing another bullish wave in the dollar. On the upper side, Dollar index can face a solid resistance near 90.55 and 90.85.

Nikkei 225 – Shooting Star Pattern In Play

The Japanese stock market index Nikkei gave up 0.1% to 22,162.24. The index grew 1.8% this week, its fourth straight weekly gains. However, the markets remained muted on Friday as investors didn’t find any solid reason to trade the Nikkei. But they do have it for the coming week.

The BOJ (Bank of Japan) is scheduled to release the monetary policy report on April 27. Investors appear to save their shots before the release of the policy rate. BOJ is widely expected to keep the interest rates on hold at -0.10%.

Nikkei 225 – Forecast

The Japanese index Nikkei is trading below a double top resistance level of 22,380. The leading indicators RSI and Stochastics are moving in the overbought zone and signaling a potential for a bearish reversal. Moreover, Nikkei has formed a shooting star below 22,385 which is signaling a neutral sentiment of investors. The breakout of 22,385 can lead the index to next resistance level of 22,985 and 24,000. Whereas, the support remains at 20950.

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