Home Forex Market Analysis Forex Signals EUR/JPY Upward Channel Underpins Bullish Trend – An Update on Signal 

EUR/JPY Upward Channel Underpins Bullish Trend – An Update on Signal 


During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/JPY currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 125.00 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the prevalent optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, which tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair gains. Moreover, the market risk tone was further boosted by the increasing expectations of further US stimulus package, which provided further boost to the currency pair. 

On the contrary, Europe’s quickly rising coronavirus (COVID-19) cases fueled the worries over the EUR economy recovery, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. Meanwhile, the latest report that the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid also played a major role in capping further currency pair gains. As of writing, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 124.97 and consolidating in the range between 124.51 – 125.02.

As we already mentioned that the equity market has been flashing green since the day started. The reason could be associated with the major positive catalysts. Be it the renewed probabilities of the further stimulus package or optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, not to forget the upbeat China data, these all factors favor the market trading sentiment, which could be considered the main factors that kept the currency pair higher. 

It should be noted that the US President Donald Trump stepped back from his earlier ‘NO’ to the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package talks. However, US President Donald Trump is ready to shift towards the large scale bill, which propels the market’s risk sentiment and weighs on the safe-haven Japanese yen. Apart from this, the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine’s hopes also favored the market risk tone, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven US Japanese yen and contributed to the currency pair gains.

As per the latest report, China joins the World Health Organization’s virus vaccine program after returning from one week-long holiday, which initially fueled the hopes of a disease cure. Meanwhile, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the positive reports that Gilead and Regeneron’s vaccine research efforts will offer strong results to stop the virus.

On the contrary, the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid as the COVID-19 cases in the UK and Germany are also worrisome. At the coronavirus front, the coronavirus cases grew to 314,660, with a total of 9,589 deaths toll, according to the German disease and epidemic control center, Robert Koch Institute (RKI) report. In the meantime, the cases rose by 4,516 on the day while the death toll rose by 11. The daily rise in new cases topped 4,000 for the second day in a row, the highest numbers since April 10. These virus fears could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional currency pair gains.

In the absence of the major data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on the Canadian jobs data. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for the fresh direction.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 121.85

S2 122.64

S3 123.04

Pivot Point 123.43

R1 123.83

R2 124.22

R3 125

The EUR/JPY has violated the triple top resistance level of 124.850 mark, and now this is opening further room for buying until the next resistance level of 125.300 level. On the lower side, the support continues to stay at 124.850 level. The MACD and the 50 periods EMA are also supporting the buying trend today and check out a trading plan below.

Entry Price – Buy 124.933

Stop Loss – 124.533

Take Profit – 125.333

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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