Forex Market Analysis

FOMC statement, Canadian growth, New Zealand data


news commentary




The meeting of the Federal Reserve’s will be the least surprising. They just raised interest rates in June; we know that the Fed probably won’t make any changes this month. However, the Fed will announce further tightening which is required because the labour market is healthy and economic activity is expanding at a solid rate. Inflation is on the rise, manufacturing and service-sector activity is accelerating so there’s no reason to postpone their plan to tighten again.

The weaker-than-expected Japan economic data are giving the bond prices a push higher. That movement has been triggered by the Bank of Japan decision to hold interest rate policy unchanged. While adding forward guidance that would maintain low-interest rates for an extended period. They also cut its inflation forecast.


Sources said that the White House was about to set higher tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports, maybe igniting a new round of trade conflicts.

Reports claim that President Donald Trump is thinking of putting tariffs of 25%, instead of 10%, in a statement that may come early on Wednesday.


Stronger-than-expected Canadian GDP growth led the Canadian dollar higher for the third day in a row. Besides Canada’s economy grew 0.5% in May


The New Zealand dollar failed to have a little breath because business confidence weakened, which followed by a decline in Q2 employment report.



chart analysis




On the daily chart, the price has bounced from the red resistance zone for the third time to shape the reversal triple top.

Price has recently formed another reversal pattern to assure the bearish bias with the wedge.

Followed by a break beneath an ascending trend on RSI, the index is settled down at the ascending trend line, if it’s broken, the price will have its way back to the support zone 93.2-92.6




On the daily chart, the pair reached back the green support zone again to shape a double top pattern

Followed by divergence on RSI, our bullish view is still the same: if the price manages to still above the support area and the key level 0.7455, it will be heading towards the combination of levels of descending trend, ascending channel and resistance zone at 0.7655-0.774.




On the daily chart, the price retested the green support zone 0.675-0.6695, followed by divergence in RSI.

An AB=CD harmonic pattern has been shaped to reinforce the bounce.

If the price could break above the key level at 0.6845, the price will be supposed to head back to the top of the descending channel with the resistance zone at 0.697-0.703 only if it manages to hold above the green zone




On the daily chart,  the price has broken main support areas, as it closed beneath the key support 1.309, and beneath the ascending trend line

A wedge has been shaped and successfully confirmed after breaking it, besides a GARTLEY harmonic pattern to assure the bearish momentum

Followed by divergence on RSI, the price is expected to reach the next support 1.289




On the daily chart, the price is located at a good long-buy position according to the support of 111.3, the retest of the broken descending trend, 23.6% Fibonacci level and the ascending channel.

Followed by engulfing candle, the price is expected to go further  back to the level 113.15


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