Today in the early European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and picked up further offers around below the 124.00 marks. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be attributed to the prevalent market risk-off sentiment, which benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair. Thus, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the US policymakers’ failures to offer the much-awaited fiscal stimulus as well as the intensification of the Sino-American tussle also weighed on the market trading tone.
Whereas, the renewed halt in the trials of a vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus diseases also played its major role in weakening the market risk mood, which in turn, adds further burden around the currency pair. Across the pond, the latest data from Germany’s Robert Koch Institute (RKI) fueled the market’s fears of a larger coronavirus (COVID-19) in Europe, which tends to undermine the shared currency and contributing to the currency pair losses.
On the contrary, the positive remarks from the German Economy Ministry over the EUR economy become the key factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. At this particular time, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 123.76 and consolidating in the range between 123.64 – 123.97.
As we already mentioned that the market trading sentiment has been flashing mixed signals since the day started. Be it the failure of the American lawmakers to offer any positive announcement on the coronavirus (COVID-19) relief package or the fresh escalation in the Sino-American tussle, not to forget the downbeat US data, these all factors kept the market risk sentiment under pressure. This, in turn, benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair.
Most of the investors remain cautious on the back of the delay in the production of a vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus diseases. This was witnessed after the Johnson & Johnson suspended clinical trials for its COVID-19 vaccine due to an unexplained illness.
Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the rising coronavirus cases in the US and Europe, which has been fueling worries about global economic recovery. According to the coronavirus (COVID-19) data from Johns Hopkins University data., the number of global cases crossed 38 million as of Oct. 14. Whereas, the U.S. still not showing any signs of decreasing infection rates, which raised concerns over the economic recovery.
Across the pond, the shared currency was being pressured by the latest data from Germany’s Robert Koch Institute (RKI), which fueled the market’s fears of a larger coronavirus (COVID-19) in Europe. As per the latest report, the daily new confirmed cases grew 5,132 to 334,585 in Europe while the death toll also rose by 40, taking the total to 9,677.
On the contrary, the latest positive remarks from the German Economy Ministry over the EUR economy become the key factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. As per the keywords, “the economy is expected to show by far the highest quarterly growth rate ever recorded in Q3, though indicators signal a slowed continuation of the recovery process in Q4.” He further added ” COVID-19 effects on the labor market are still significant, slight improvement is already apparent.
The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September, which is expected 75 versus 74.1 prior, will likely help resolve near-term USD moves. Furthermore, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for the fresh direction.
Daily Support and Resistance
S1 122.75
S2 123.4
S3 123.65
Pivot Point 124.05
R1 124.3
R2 124.71
R3 125.36
The EUR/JPY has already violated the double bottom support level of 123.922 level and closing of candle below this area is likely to drive selling trend until next support area of 123.350 level. On the further lower side, the EUR/JPY may find the next support at 123.270.
Entry Price – Sell 123.81
Stop Loss – 124.21
Take Profit – 123.41
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
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