Home Forex Market Analysis Forex Options FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 30th September 2020

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 30th September 2020

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Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

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FX option expiries for Tuesday September 30 at the 10am NY cut

 EUR/USD – EUR amount

  • 1.1600 919m
  •  1.1650 1.0bn
  •  1.1725 640m

EURUSD is oversold and finding support in a tight consolidation range after yesterday’s push higher. Lots of data from EU, and USA with policymaker speeches due out before the New York cut could push the pair out of this range.

USD/JPY – USD amount

  •  104.50 754m
  •  104.85 563m
  •  105.00 469m
  •  105.10 1.1bn
  •  105.62 444m
  •  105.70 450m
  •  106.00 445m

USDJPY is conforming to the recent oversold indicator and pushing higher with a cluster of option expiries within reach. 106.00 should act as resistance.

GBP/USD – GBP amount

  •  1.2800 244m

GBPUSD is oversold, but with dismal, if better than expected GDP numbers out this morning and a confirmed area of resistance and lack of movement in Brexit future trade agreement, more downside looks imminent.

NZD/USD – NZD amount

  •  0.6580 348m
  •  0.6675 240m

NZDUSD is looking to break out of a wedge formation.

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As you can see on the preferred 1-hour chart(s), we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.

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