Forex Market Analysis

July 2 – Daily Update on S&P500 & Gold – NFP Week Begins

On the first day of the 3rd quarter, the financial markets remained heavily volatile in the wake of trade war sentiments. For instance, gold slid more than 1% to its lowest ahead of the U.S. holiday, as the dollar recovered. Whereas, the indices inducing SPX, DAX and Nikkei plunged due to ongoing U.S.-European Union trade war. In addition to this, the July 6 trade war tensions have helped the risk sentiment to stay off.  



Later this week, we have another series of high impact economic events coming out of the market. Let’s take a quick look.


Top Economic Events to Trade

AUD – Building Approvals m/m – 1:30 (GMT)

AUD – RBA Rate Statement – 4:30 (GMT)

AUD – Cash Rate – 4:30 (GMT)

GBP – Construction PMI – 8:30 (GMT)


Gold – XAU/USD – Daily Outlook

The precious metal gold is trading at 1242, down 11.60 points and 0.92% on Monday. One of the main reasons behind the bearish trend is the stronger dollar.


The greenback continued its ascent as traders boosted their bets that the U.S. administration would prove better in a trade war as compared to some of its trading rivals. The U.S. tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese imported goods are due for July 6.


Support     Resistance 

1240.83    1247.17

1238.87    1249.13

1235.7    1252.3

Key Trading Level:    1244


SPX  – S&P500-  Technical Outlook

SPX is trading bullish at 2727, up 5.75 points and 0.21%. On the 4- hour chart, the bullish trendline is extending a support near 2679. While the resistance predominates at 2732 and 2745 today. The main trend is up as per the daily swing chart. But, momentum is trending lower. A trade through 2679.25 will convert the main trend (bullish) into the bearish bias.


Overall, the main trading range of SPX is 2595 to 2796. The index is currently testing the upper or 50% level of this range at 2795.75.


Support     Resistance 

2705.72    2719.32

2701.52    2723.52

2694.72    2730.32

Key Trading Level:    2712.52

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