During the Friday’s Asian trading hours, the USD/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous day declining streak and took further offers below the 0.9100 level. Let me remind you, the currency pair extended this week’s rejection slide from the 0.9200 round-figure marks and saw some follow-through selling for the third-straight session on Friday. However, the reason for the bearish tone around the currency pair could be associated with the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered after the U.S. markets witnessed yet another stock selloff overnight. Apart from this, the upbeat market sentiment, supported by optimism over a potential vaccine/treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, also undermined the safe-haven U.S. dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains.
On the contrary, the positive tone around the equity market also undermined the safe-haven Swiss franc. It became the factor that cap further downside momentum for the USD/CHF currency pair. Currently, the USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.9098 and consolidating in the range between 0.9080 – 0.9110.
It is worth mentioning that the broad-based U.S. dollar remained bearish through the first half of the trading action amid strong buying around the single currency, which remained supported by the report that ECB officials are growing more optimistic over the Eurozone economic outlook. Furthermore, the stronger tone surrounding the global equity markets also undermined the safe-haven U.S. dollar.
The market trading sentiment remained supported by the Indian and Chinese military group’s joint statement to ease the border tension. Besides this, the positive headlines over the receding coronavirus (COVID-19) led activity restrictions in Tokyo, and the record recovery in the BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index for the 3rd-quarter (Q3) also exerted a positive impact on the market sentiment. In the meantime, the optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment led by the positive comment from the Goldman Sachs that Pfizer’s candidate vaccine could be approved as early as October, boosted the risk sentiment.
On the contrary, the positive around the equity markets also weakened the demand of safe-haven Swiss franc, which becomes the factor that caps further downside momentum for the USD/CHF currency pair.
The losses could be associated with the euro’s bullish momentum, led by the European Central Bank’s latest policy announcement. However, the U.S. dollar losses became the key factor that kept the currency pair under pressure. Across the ocean, the equity market’s optimism was unaffected by the intensified US-China tussle and Brexit concerns. At the US-China front, the Trump administration continues to keep TikTok on the sellers’ radar. In the meantime, the cancellation of over 1,000 visas of Chinese residents also irritates China.
Moving on, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, which is expected 1.2% against 1.0% YoY. Moreover, the updates surrounding the Sino-US tussle and Brexit-related headline could not lose their importance.
On the technical front, the USD/CHF is trading with a bearish bias at 0.9091 level, facing immediate resistance at 0.9108 level. On the lower side, the USD/CHF may drop until the support level of 0.9055 level. The MACD and 50 EMA are in support of selling bias today. Check out the trade plan below:
Entry Price – Sell 0.90897
Stop Loss – 0.91297
Take Profit – 0.90497
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
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