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Forex Price Action

It is Not over until It’s Over

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a trendline trade setup. The price heads towards the North, and upon finding its support, it keeps moving towards the upside. At some point, it seems that the price is about to make a breakout at the trendline. However, the trendline works as a level of support and produces a beautiful bullish engulfing candle ending up offering a long entry. Let us find out how that happens.

The chart shows that the price makes a bullish move and comes down to make a bearish correction. It makes a bullish move again but finds its resistance around the same level. At the moment, the chart suggests that the bears have the upper hand.

The chart produces a Doji candle having a long lower spike. It pushes the price towards the North, and the price makes a breakout at the highest high. The last move confirms that the bull has taken control. The buyers may look for buying opportunities. Assume you are a trendline trader. Do you see anything?

Yes, you can draw an up-trending trendline. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. It suggests that the price may make a bearish correction. As a trendline trader, you are to wait for the price to produce a bullish reversal candle at the trendline’s support to go long on the chart.

The chart produces two more candles that are bearish. The last candle closes just below the trendline’s support. It seems that the price is about to make a breakout at the trendline. The next candle is going to be very crucial for both. If the next candle comes out as a bullish reversal candle, the buyers are going to push the price towards the North. On the other hand, if the next candle comes out as a bearish candle closing below the trendline’s support, the sellers may push the price towards the South. Let us find out what happens next.

The chart produces a copybook bullish engulfing candle. Traders love to get this kind of reversal candle. The buyers may trigger a long entry right after the last candle closes. Let us proceed to find out how the trade goes.

The price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. It makes a breakout at the last swing high as well. It means the trendline is still valid for the buyers. The chart produces a bearish reversal candle. Thus, the buyers may consider taking their profit out here.

If we look back, we find that the trendline’s support produces an excellent bullish reversal candle, which some buyers may not expect. This is what often happens in the market. Thus, never give up until its really over.

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Trendline Trading: A Trendline forming with a Tiny Slope

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate the formation of a down-trending Trendline. A trendline can be formed with a double top or double bottom as well. However, double top’s resistance or double bottom’s support may not be horizontal. Let us find out how they may look in the chart.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the South with moderate bearish pressure. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the last swing low. The sellers may wait for the price to consolidate or make a bullish correction to go short.

The chart produces two bullish candles. The price has a rejection from the zone where it had a rejection earlier. The last rejection does not come from horizontal support, but it looks adjacent to that. Thus, it can be considered as a double top’s resistance zone.

The price heads towards the South by making a breakout at the last swing low. It produces a bullish inside bar. If the chart produces a bearish reversal candle, the sellers may go short below the last swing low. Let us proceed to find out what happens next.

The price gets bearish by making a breakout at the last swing low. Look at the last three candles. The combination of these three candles is called Morning Star. It seems that the price may make a long bullish correction. Can you guess where the price may find its next resistance?

We can draw a down-trending trendline here by using those points of the double top. Look at the price action around the trendline’s resistance. The last candle comes out as a bullish candle with an upper shadow. A bearish reversal candle at the trendline’s resistance may drive the price towards the South again.

The trendline’s resistance produces a bearish engulfing candle. It has a long lower shadow, though. The sellers may go short below the last candle’s lowest low. Let us find out what the price does.

As expected, the price makes a strong bearish move and makes a new lower low. Thus, the sellers may wait again for the price to go towards the trendline’s resistance and get a bearish reversal candle to go short in the pair. In a word, a very valid trendline is in play in this chart. Do you remember how it has started? It has started from a point that does not seem to form a trendline. The slope has been tiny, making it difficult to spot out. However, the market often produces such a trendline with a tiny slope, which shall be taken into account by the trendline traders.

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Trendline Trading: How a Trend upon a Trendline Run Longer

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart that made a long bearish move obeying a bearish trendline. The price after forming a bearish trendline does not offer entry to the sellers. It makes a breakout at the first trendline and then produces another bearish trendline ending up offering short entries. Let us now have a look at the chart and find out how it happens.

The chart shows that it makes two swing lows trending from two swing highs. By joining those points, we can draw a trendline shown in the above chart. The sellers may wait for the price to go back at the trendline’s resistance and produce a bearish reversal candle to go short in the pair. However, the price action has been choppy around the trendline’s resistance. The last candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle. It does not look good for the sellers.

The price makes a breakout at the trendline’s resistance. It heads towards the North and then makes a strong bearish move. Such price action may puzzle traders. Do you notice something interesting here? Have a look at the next chart.

The sellers may draw another bearish trendline by joining two swing lows. As long as the price makes new lower lows, we can draw a bearish trend line by joining two higher highs. We know what sellers are to do here. Yes, they are to wait for the price to go back to the trendline’s resistance and produce a bearish reversal candle to go short in the pair.

The chart produces a bearish inside bar. It is not a strong reversal candle. However, it is produced at a trendline’s resistance. The sellers may keep their eyes in the pair to go short according to their trading strategies. The price may find its next support at the last swing low. The chart shows that the price has enough space to travel towards the South.

The price heads towards the South at a moderate pace. It makes a long bearish wave, though, by making a breakout at the horizontal support. In the end, it comes out as an excellent trade for the sellers.

If we recap, the first drawn trendline is disobeyed by the price. It is breached, and the chart looks slightly bullish biased. It does not make any more bullish breakout but makes a long bearish move by making a breakout at the last swing low. It gives the sellers an opportunity to draw another bearish trendline, and that ends up offering an excellent entry.

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Trend Line Trading: The Entries to be Skipped

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart that trends towards the North by obeying a trendline. It offers a long entry once the trendline is established. At the fourth bounce, it produces a bullish reversal candle. We find out whether the buyers should take a long entry or not upon getting the bullish reversal candle at the trendline’s support. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North upon producing a bullish reversal candle. It consolidates and resumes its bullish journey. The chart looks like the buyers’ hunting ground.

The price upon producing a spinning top, it produces a long bearish candle. It consolidates with some candles and produces a bullish engulfing candle. The buyers may keep an eye in the chart to go long above the last swing high. If the price makes a bullish breakout, the buyers get two swing lows and two swing highs to draw an uptrending trend line.

Here it goes. The price makes a bullish breakout and heads towards the North further. The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle. It may make a bearish correction. As it looks, the chart belongs to the Bull without any doubt.

The price makes a bearish correction; consolidates and heads towards the North again. The breakout traders may find a long opportunity and grab some pips. The price makes a long bearish correction. In fact, it makes a breakout at a significant level of swing low. It seems that the chart is slightly bearish biased. Have a look at the chart below.

The trendline’s support holds the price and produces a bullish engulfing candle. The trendline traders may go long in the pair right after the last candle closes. The last swing high is the safest option to set take profit. It means the risk-reward ratio looks good for the trendline traders.

The price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. However, it seems that the horizontal level of resistance is too strong to be breached. The price consolidates here with several candles. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. The buyers may close the entry. The question is does the price come back to the trendline’s support or it makes a breakout at the highest high.  Let us proceed to the next chart and find out what happens.

The price comes back at the trendline’s support. It produces a hammer. Should the buyers go long from here as far as trendline trading is concerned? Think about it for a minute.

If your answer is ‘No’, you are right. The reason why the buyers should not go long from here is it does not make a new higher high upon getting its last bounce. In fact, traders may wait for the price to make a breakout at the trendline’s support and go short in the pair. In our forthcoming lessons, we will learn about trendline breakout and trendline breakout trading. Stay tuned.

Categories
Forex Price Action

Trendline Trading: Be Sensible to Count or Not to Count Shadows

We are going to demonstrate an example of trendline trading in today’s lesson. The price, after being bearish, produces a bullish engulfing candle and heads towards the North. It makes a bearish correction and produces another bullish candle to make a bullish breakout at the last swing high. At the second bounce, the candles have tiny lower shadows. In the end, the pair makes another bullish move at the trendline’s support without counting those lower shadows at the second bounce. Let us now have a look at what and how that happens.

The price makes a bearish move makes a bullish correction and resumes its bearish journey. Upon finding its support, it produces a bullish engulfing candle at the last bounce in this chart. The chart is slightly bearish biased. Let us see what happens next.

The chart produces another bullish candle, consolidates, and heads towards the North. Then, it makes a bearish correction. A bullish reversal candle followed by a breakout at the highest high will make the chart a hunting ground for the buyers.

The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle and makes a breakout at the last swing high. It means the buyers may draw a trendline and wait for the price to come back at the trendline’s support to go long in the pair.

This is the drawn trendline, which is drawn by using the first two spikes. However, spikes at the second bounce are not counted. After the second bounce, the price heads towards the North, but it doesn’t come at the trendline’ support to offer a long entry to the buyers. As long as the price does not breach the trendline support, it is valid, and traders may wait for the price to come back at the trendline’s support and offer them a long entry.

Here it comes. The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle right at the trendline’s support. The buyers may go long right after the last candle closes by setting stop loss below the signal candle’s lowest low and by setting take profit with 1R. Let us find out how the trade goes.

The price hits 1R in a hurry. It then produces a spinning top. However, the next candle comes out as a bullish engulfing candle, which suggests that the buyers may wait again for the price to come back at trendline’s support to take another long entry.

If we use spikes of the second bounce, the trendline’s support would have more space for the price to travel. We have used spikes of the first bounce and candle’s bodies of the second bounce. Since both spikes of the second bounce cannot be added with a line, it is better to skip it. Moreover, the price at the third bounce produces a bullish engulfing candle. Most probably, the price is going to obey the trendline. This is what happens here, and this is what usually happens with a trendline.

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Trend Line Trading and Trade Management

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of trendline trading and how the trade may be managed. We know that trading with a trendline is very rewarding since an established trendline often ends up offering several entries. However, things may not always go as smoothly as we like. Like other trading strategies, trendline trading may end up offering entries that may not hit the target or make traders have a loss. In today’s lesson, we are going to see an example of trendline trading, where things do not go according to traders’ expectations.

The chart shows that the price makes a strong bearish move. It may have found its support. It produces two bullish candles. The sellers may wait for the price to make a breakout at the lowest low to go short in the pair. Let us find out what happens next.

The price makes a long bullish move followed by a bearish correction. It produces a bearish engulfing candle and heads towards the South again. The chart is bearish biased, but the pair is trading around the level, where it had a bounce earlier.

The price makes a breakout at the level and trades below the level for several candles. It means the sellers have two higher highs from where the price makes two bearish breakouts. It means the sellers can draw a trendline here and wait for the price to go towards the trendline’s resistance to go short in the pair.

The price heads towards the South and produces a bearish engulfing candle. The sellers may trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes by setting take profit at the last swing low.

It looks fantastic for the sellers. The price heads towards the target in a hurry. It seems the sellers do not have to wait too long to reach the target. The way it has been going, the price may end up making a breakout at the last swing low too.

It does not. The price finds its support and produces a bullish engulfing candle. It heads towards the trendline’s resistance. The sellers must be disappointed with the entry. They may have to encounter a loss here.

The price finds its resistance as well. It does not go towards the trendline’s resistance, but it makes a bearish move. Look at the last candle. It comes out as a bullish engulfing candle. The entry is running with some profit, and the trendline’s resistance is still intact. What do you think the sellers do with the entry? If we follow ‘set and forget,’ we may leave it like this and wait until the price hits either the stop loss or the take profit. It is an H4 chart. Many traders look after their trades and manage their trade by taking a decision as far as price action is concerned. In this case, they may do two things.

  1. Close the whole trade
  2. Close 50% trade and let rest of the 50% run

We come across three types of trade management here. It is up to you which one you choose. Choose one that suits your trading style and stick with it.

Categories
Forex Price Action

Trend Line Trading: An Incident That Often Confuses Traders

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an occurrence that often happens when the price trends with a trendline. A trendline works as a support/resistance. However, there is a little dissimilarity between horizontal support/resistance and trendline support/resistance. To draw a horizontal support/resistance, one bounce or rejection is enough. However, a trendline can be drawn only when the price makes a new higher low/lower high. This is what traders must remember, and we find this out the reason behind it.

The price makes a strong bullish move, as it produces seven consecutive bullish candles. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle. Considering the trend’s length, the buyers may keep their eyes on the pair to go long upon having a bullish reversal candle at flipped support.

The price consolidates and bounces at the same level twice. The last candle comes out as a bullish reversal candle. The buyers on the minor chart may look to go long in the pair and push the price towards the North.

The price heads towards the North and makes a breakout at the last swing high. It means we can draw an up-trending trend line and wait for the price to come at trendline’s support and to get a bullish reversal candle to go long in the pair. Let us find out what happens next.

The price does not produce a bullish reversal candle. It makes a breakout at trendline’s support and trades below the level for several candles. If the price makes a breakout at the last swing low, the sellers may look to go short in the pair. Let us see what happens next.

The price upon finding its horizontal support heads towards the North and makes a breakout at the last swing high. What does that mean? It means we can draw an up-trending trend line by using the last swing low from where the price makes a bullish breakout. Let us draw it and see how it looks.

It is a new trendline. It offers price to makes more bearish correction and more space towards the North to travel. As a matter of fact, its support zone has changed, but the new trendline is valid for the same old chart. It’s an incident that happens in the Forex market so often. Thus, keep an eye on a chart closely and do not make an immediate trading decision. Be sure about the breakout. If the breakout is confirmed, change your trading direction. If the breakout is not confirmed, let the price decide its way. We just have to follow the price and trade with its direction.

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Forex Price Action

Trend Line Trading: Keep an Eye at New Highs/Lows

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of trendline trading. The trendline trading is one of the most consistent trading strategies. Thus, a trader can make profits by properly dealing with how trends develop. In today’s example, we will demonstrate a chart with an up-trending trendline, where the price goes down trendline’s support. However, it produces a bullish reversal candle and ends up offering a long entry. Let us get started.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North upon finding its support. It has several higher lows that can be used to draw trendlines. However, before drawing a trendline on a chart, we have to spot out the most significant higher lows to draw an upward trend line and, conversely, the most significant lower highs to draw a downtrend line. Over here, look at the two points with the ‘right’ marks. Let us proceed to the next chart to find out how it looks with a drawn trendline.

We have drawn the trendline by using two right marks. Ideally, traders are to wait for the price to come at the level of support (trendline’s support) and get a bullish reversal candle to go long in the pair. At the last swing low, the price approaches at the level of support. However, the chart does not produce a bullish reversal candle at the level of support. They may wait for the price to come right at the drawn trendline’s support.

The price comes down. One of the bearish reversal candles closes below the level of support. The sellers may become interested here that the price may end up making a bearish breakout. If the next candle closes below the trendline, the sellers may consider having a breakout. Let us find out what happens.

The next candle does not close below the trendline. It comes back in. It means that the price obeys the trendline’s support. The last candle comes out as a bullish Marubozu candle forming by testing the trendline support. The buyers may go long in the pair again and push the price towards the last swing high.

The price heads towards the North at a moderate pace. As far as the bullish reversal candle is concerned, it is supposed to create more buying pressure. Anyway, the price hits buyers’ first take profit target. It may continue its bullish journey if it makes a bullish breakout at the last swing high. If it does not make a new higher high but comes back at the trendline’s support, the price may get choppy. If it makes a new higher high, the trendline becomes active, and the buyers may wait to go long from the trendline’s support again.

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Forex Price-Action Strategies

Forex Price Action: Trendline Breakout Strategy

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of trendline breakout trading. Price action trading is mainly based on support/resistance and breakout. It does not mean that support/resistance is only horizontal. A trendline works as support/resistance as well. Let us now proceed and find out how a trendline breakout offers entry.

The price has been bearish by obeying a down-trending trendline. The price has rejection at the trendline four times. Now, it is the sellers’ territory. However, one bullish candle may change the game.

Here it is. One big bullish candle breaches through the trendline’s resistance closing well above it. Usually, trendline breakout traders wait for the price to come back at the trendline again and get a reversal candle to take entry. This is the safest thing to do in trendline breakout trading.

The chart shows that the price heads towards the North for two more candles and comes down for a correction. Trendline’s resistance becomes support now, which is what happens with horizontal support/resistance. The buyers are to wait for a bullish reversal candle to go long in this chart. Typically, a bullish engulfing candle is the best reversal candle to go long as far as the trendline breakout trading strategy.

The chart produces two doji candles. These are reversal candles. However, look at the last candle. This is a bullish engulfing candle; thus, the buyers may go long right after the candle closes. Stop loss is to be set below the new support.

The next candle comes out as a bullish candle too. This looks good for the buyers. Since the price makes a breakout, confirms the breakout, and produces a bullish engulfing candle, it may make a new higher high. However, the safest option to set take profit is at the last swing high.

The price heads towards the North with good bullish momentum. The price hits the last swing high in a hurry. It gets us 2R here. As long as it offers us 1R, we shall go with it. If it offers less than 1R, we may skip taking the entry. The last candle comes out as a bullish candle. It suggests that the price may make a bullish breakout. That is another game. If we want to take a long entry upon the next bullish breakout, it would be based on a horizontal breakout trading strategy.

Trendline breakout trading is quite simple and rewarding. Stay tuned to get to more about trendline breakout trading strategy in our fore coming lessons.