Tag: Support and Resistance

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Forex Signals

Gold Bounces Off Over Support Level of 1,912 – Time to Go Long! 

The yellow metal gold has traded sharply bearish, dropping from the 1,930 mark to the 1,912 level. Gold gained support at 1,912, the same level that extended support previously after a violation of a symmetric triangle pattern. Gold fell despite a dip in the U.S. stocks as they posted modest losses after a choppy session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 98 points (-0.35%) to 28210, the S&P 500 dropped 7 points (-0.22%) to 3435, and the Nasdaq 100 eased 12 points (-0.11%) to 11,665.

The yellow metal gold has traded sharply bearish, dropping from the 1,930 mark to the 1,912 level. Gold gained support at 1,912, the same level that extended support previously after a violation of a symmetric triangle pattern. Gold fell despite a dip in the U.S. stocks as they posted modest losses after a choppy session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 98 points (-0.35%) to 28210, the S&P 500 dropped 7 points (-0.22%) to 3435, and the Nasdaq 100 eased 12 points (-0.11%) to 11,665.

The yellow metal gold has traded sharply bearish, dropping from the 1,930 mark to the 1,912 level. Gold gained support at 1,912, the same level that extended support previously after a violation of a symmetric triangle pattern. Gold fell despite a dip in the U.S. stocks as they posted modest losses after a choppy session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 98 points (-0.35%) to 28210, the S&P 500 dropped 7 points (-0.22%) to 3435, and the Nasdaq 100 eased 12 points (-0.11%) to 11,665.

On the forex front, the U.S. dollar widened its weakness against other major currencies amid a looming fiscal stimulus deal. The ICE Dollar Index dropped 0.48% to a 7-week low of 92.61, posting a four-session losing streak. 

The U.S. Federal Reserve said in its Beige Book economic report that all districts have seen continued growth at a moderate pace since the downturn. The central bank added that employment increased across all districts, and prices rose modestly.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1902.14 1923.14

1888.87 1930.87

1881.14 1944.14

Pivot point: 1909.87

On the downside, the 1,912 support level’s breakout may trigger further selling unto the 1,897 mark today. Conversely, gold has solid probabilities of jumping off above the 1,912 level to trade bullish unto the 1,930 level. Let’s look for bullish trades over the 1,909 level today.



Entry Price – Sell 1920.15

Stop Loss – 1914.15

Take Profit – 1926.15

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$600/ +$600

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$60/ +$60

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Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 22 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Jobless Claims In Focus! 

The economic calendar is filled with medium impact economic events such as Unemployment Claims, C.B. Leading Index m/m, and Existing Home Sales from the United States on the news front. Besides, the Consumer Confidence from the Eurozone will also remain in the highlights today. The market may show some price action during the U.S. session on the release of U.S. Jobless Claims. 

The economic calendar is filled with medium impact economic events such as Unemployment Claims, C.B. Leading Index m/m, and Existing Home Sales from the United States on the news front. Besides, the Consumer Confidence from the Eurozone will also remain in the highlights today. The market may show some price action during the U.S. session on the release of U.S. Jobless Claims. 

The economic calendar is filled with medium impact economic events such as Unemployment Claims, C.B. Leading Index m/m, and Existing Home Sales from the United States on the news front. Besides, the Consumer Confidence from the Eurozone will also remain in the highlights today. The market may show some price action during the U.S. session on the release of U.S. Jobless Claims. 

Economic Events to Watch Today  

  

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18609 after placing a high of 1.18806 and a low of 1.18209. The EUR/USD pair extended its previous day’s gains and rose for the 4th consecutive session on Wednesday to reach its highest since mid-September. Despite the alarming comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde, the EUR/USD pair managed to post gains on Wednesday over the U.S. dollar’s weakness and improved risk sentiment.

The U.S. Dollar Index was down by 0.5% and fell to its seven-week lowest level on Wednesday to 92.46 over fresh hopes that the U.S. stimulus package for coronavirus would release soon. The hopes were encouraged by the comments of U.S. President Donald Trump, who said that he was ready to accept a larger coronavirus-relief package. This boosted investor’s optimism that eventually led to rising risk sentiment and increasing pressure on the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar weakness added further strength to the already rising EUR/USD pair’s prices on Wednesday.

According to the White House spokesperson, Allysa Farah, she was optimistic that a fiscal deal between Democrats and Republicans would reach soon as Trump has suggested that he accept the $2.2 trillion bill proposed by Democrats. However, Senate Republicans have made it public that they will oppose a larger bill.

On Wednesday, the President of the European Central bank, Christine Lagarde, said in a pre-recorded interview that the economic outlook was under clear risk due to an unexpected early pickup in coronavirus infections. She said that more scientists in the Eurozone were expecting the epidemic’s resurgence in November or December with the cold. Lagarde’s concerning statements weighed on the single currency Euro and capped further gains in EUR/USD pair on Wednesday.

The central bank of Europe is set to hold a governing council next week to decide on its monetary policy. The majority of economists expect no change in policy until December. ECB is expected to ramp up its 1.35 trillion pandemics bond-buying program at its last policy meeting in 2020.

These expectations also weighed on the single currency Euro and capped further gains in currency pair EUR/USD.

Meanwhile, the number of coronavirus cases in Europe is continuously setting fresh records. However, market participants are ignoring the issue; it still holds some importance in driving the EUR/USD pair as there was no macroeconomic data to be released from Europe or the U.S. On Thursday, Europe will publish the Consumer Confidence Report, and the U.S. will publish its initial jobless claims from last week that will have a major impact on EUR.USD pair’s movements.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1773     1.1854

1/1725     1.1889

1.1691     1.1936

Pivot point: 1.1807

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading sharply bullish amid a weaker U.S. dollar to trade at 1.1848 level, and the has formed inside bar down, which suggests that the bullish bias is getting weaker and sellers may dominate the market. On the lower side, the EUR/USD can go for bearish correction until the 1.1819 level that marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Continuation of further selling trends can lead the EUR/USD price towards a 1.1800 mark, and below this, the next support level stays at 1.1765. The MACD and RSI are also supporting the bearish bias now. The bearish bias remains dominant today. 

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.31461 after a high of 1.31765 and a low of 1.29332. On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair followed its previous daily trend and rose for 3rd consecutive day. The British Pound jumped higher on the day by 1.6% and reached its highest since September 7.

The recent jump in British Pound against the U.S. dollar came in as the E.U. and the U.K. were set to resume talks after Britain welcomed the bloc’s desire to break the impasse in negotiations. The post-Brexit talks are set to resume on Thursday after the E.U. Brexit negotiator Micheal Barnier said a deal was in reach and pledged to seek the necessary compromises on both sides. He added that an agreement has reached within and if both sides were willing to work constructively and compromise despite the difficulties.

Great Britain signaled that it was ready to intensify talks to soften the key sticking issues included fisheries and sovereign aid. Micheal Barnier believed that sovereignty was a legitimate concern for the U.K., and E.U. would have to compromise. These developments in Brexit talks gave strength to British Pound and supported GBP/USD pair on Wednesday to post gains.

On the data front, at 11:00 GMT, the CPI for the year from Great Britain was released as 0.5% against the forecasted 0.4% in September and supported British Pound. The Core CPI for the year was also released and came in as expected by 1.3%. The Public Sector Net Borrowing advanced to 35.4B against the forecasted 32.5B and weighed on GBP. The RPI for the year also dropped to 1.1% against the expected 1.2% and weighed on GBP.

At11:03 GMT, the United Kingdom’s PPI input raised to 1.1% against the forecasted -0.9% and raised British Pound. However, at 12:30 GMT, the PPI output remained flat at -0.1%. The Housing Price Index for the year from Pound also came in line with 2.5% expectations.

The rising CPI and PPI Input data supported the bullish momentum of the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

The British Pound was also helped by easing fears over negative interest rates after Deputy Bank of England Governor Dave Ramsden said that cutting rates below zero could hamper lending activity. He also said that there might be an appropriate time to use negative interest rates, but this was not that time. These comments also gave strength to British Pound and raised the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the U.K. reported 26,688 coronavirus cases on Wednesday in comparison to Tuesday’s 21,331 cases. The rising number of coronavirus infections from the U.K. forced the government to impose new lockdown measures in the country’s parts. These lockdowns also held the upward trend of the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

On the U.S. front, the stimulus package talks were resumed after U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to increase the stimulus package’s size. The renewed hopes for a stimulus package before elections weighed on the U.S. dollar, which added further strength to the rising GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2997     1.3220

1.2864     1.3310

1.2774     1.3443

Pivot point: 1.3087

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD soared sharply to trade at the 1.3170 level, and recently, it has entered the overbought zone. Below 1.3170, we may see the GBP/USD price trading bearish to complete 23.8% Fibo level and 38.2% Fibo level at 1.3100 and 1.3068 level. Continuation of a bearish trend can lead the Cable towards the 1.3006 level that marks a 61.8% Fibo level. The cable may face resistance at 1.3170 level today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 104.580 after placing a high of 105.523 and a low of 104.339. The USD/JPY pair reversed its previous day momentum and fell on Wednesday to its one-month lowest level on the back of fresh U.S. dollar weakness. The pair hit 104.339 level, the lowest level since September 21 after U.S. President Donald Trump boosted for a larger stimulus package. This report prompted some investors to move toward riskier assets and dampened the safe-haven appeal for the greenback.

The price action from the USD/JPY traders suggested that traders were betting heavily on the news that there might be a stimulus by this weekend and ignored the signs of opposition from Trump’s Republican Party.

The Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell provided no timetable for a relief bill and said that he was not in favor of larger stimuli before elections. Whereas, the White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows preserved the hopes for a stimulus deal and said on Wednesday that he was very hopeful that progress was being made in the negotiations. He added that both parties would remain under talks over the coming days.

The U.S. Treasury yields held near their highest levels in four months on Wednesday over the expectations that a deal might be reached. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by 1.5 basis points and touched its fresh four months high at 0.84%. This weighed on the U.S. dollar and added further pressure on the USD/PY pair.

The Federal Reserve issued it Beige Book on Wednesday that revealed that economic activity was continuously increasing across all districts with a pace of growth characterized as slight to modest in most districts.

The USD/JPY pair’s main driver on Wednesday remained fresh hopes for a stimulus package as there was no macroeconomic data to be released on the day. The focus was entirely on the relief bill, where Nancy Pelosi also affirmed that she was optimistic about the chances of reaching an agreement before the U.S. Presidential elections.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

104.18     105.35

103.68     106.00

103.02     106.51

Pivot point: 104.84

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY traded dramatically bearish to drop from 105.460 level to 104.349 level. Like other pairs, the USD/JPY has also entered the oversold zone, and now sellers seem to be exhausted. On the higher side, the USD/JPY pair has reversed some of the losses to trade at the 104.700 level. On the higher side, the pair may go after the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 104.900 and 50% Fibo level of 105. Let’s consider taking a buying trade over 104.350 area today. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Managed to Extend Its Previous Session Modest Gains

During Tuesday’s early Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to extend its previous session modest gains and remain well bid around closer to 1.3200 level due to the declines in the crude oil prices, which tend to undermine the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and helps the currency pair to put the fresh bids during the early Asian session. 

During Tuesday’s early Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to extend its previous session modest gains and remain well bid around closer to 1.3200 level due to the declines in the crude oil prices, which tend to undermine the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and helps the currency pair to put the fresh bids during the early Asian session. 

During Tuesday’s early Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to extend its previous session modest gains and remain well bid around closer to 1.3200 level due to the declines in the crude oil prices, which tend to undermine the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and helps the currency pair to put the fresh bids during the early Asian session. 

On the contrary, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by the combination of factors, could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. As of writing, the USD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3190 and consolidating in the range between 1.3148 – 1.3195.

The optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment was recently overshadowed by the concerns about the second wave of coronavirus infections, which keep fueling the doubts over the global economic recovery. Besides this, the renewed conflict between the U.S. and China also weighed on the market trading sentiment. It is worth mentioning that Mike Pompeo has stated that ‘We are sanctioning mainland-China and Hong Kong entities and individuals for conduct related to the sanctioned proliferator the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines. He further added that our warning is clear: If you do business with IRISL or its subsidiaries, you will face U.S. sanctions.” This recently exerted downside pressure on the trading sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Despite this, the broad-based U.S. dollar remained depressed as the investors continue to sell U.S. dollars in the wake of the renewed hopes of additional U.S. fiscal stimulus measures and hopes of a coronavirus vaccine at the end of this year, which tends to undermine the safe-haven U.S. dollar. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the doubts over the U.S. economic recovery amid rising coronavirus cases. Thus, the U.S. dollar losses become the key factor that cap further gains in the currency pair. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped by 0.04% to 93.672.

On the bullish side, the WTI’s weakness restricts the USD/CAD bearish moves as oil is the biggest export-item for Canada. However, the WTI crude oil prices failed to extend its previous day gaining streak and remain depressed on the day mainly due to China’s GDP grew less than expected in the third quarter (Q3), which fueling concerns over the demand for crude oil from the world’s second-largest oil consumer. This, in turn, undermined the sentiment around the crude oil prices. The concerns over the sharp rise in new coronavirus cases, which could trigger renewed lockdown restrictions and damage the global economy’s ongoing recovery, continued challenging the crude oil bulls. Thus, the crude oil prices’ losses undermined the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and contributed to the currency pair gains.

Looking forward, the market traders keeping their eyes on the Housing Starts and Building Permits data. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the fresh Sino-US tussle, as well as the coronavirus (COVID-19), could not lose their importance.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.308

S2 1.3141

S3 1.3166

Pivot Point 1.3202

R1 1.3226

R2 1.3263

R3 1.3323

The USD/CAD is trading mostly sideways over the 1.3170 level, and recently, it’s trying to a bullish engulfing pattern that may drive upward movement in the market until the 1.3250 level. Conversely, the bearish breakout of 1.3175 level can drive selling bias until 1.3095. Overall, the RSI and MACD are in support of selling bias until the 1.3095 level. Let’s consider taking a buy trade over 1.3170 and selling below the same level today. Good luck!

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 20 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – European Events in Highlights! 

On the news front, the economic calendar is filled with a series of low impact economic events. However, the focus will remain on the German PPI m/m and Current Account from the Eurozone, and the point to note is that both of the data are expected to be positive so that it may underpin the Euro today. Besides, the FOMC Member Williams and Quarles speeches will be monitored for further price action. 

On the news front, the economic calendar is filled with a series of low impact economic events. However, the focus will remain on the German PPI m/m and Current Account from the Eurozone, and the point to note is that both of the data are expected to be positive so that it may underpin the Euro today. Besides, the FOMC Member Williams and Quarles speeches will be monitored for further price action. 

On the news front, the economic calendar is filled with a series of low impact economic events. However, the focus will remain on the German PPI m/m and Current Account from the Eurozone, and the point to note is that both of the data are expected to be positive so that it may underpin the Euro today. Besides, the FOMC Member Williams and Quarles speeches will be monitored for further price action. 

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 


 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17708 after placing a high of 1.17936 and a low of 1.17030. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The EUR/USD pair was up on Monday and tried to approach the 1.1800 arear as the hopes of a U.S. stimulus package weighed on the U.S. dollar. 

The U.S. dollar was weak across the board due to mounting hopes that the U.S. stimulus package will be delivered soon and the encouraging Chinese data published on the day in early trading sessions. It was revealed that Republicans added 0.1 trillion dollars to its previous $1.8 trillion package offer to reach a consensus with Democrats. The Democrats, however, still found it difficult to reach a deal with republicans.

However, the hopes were increased in the market for U.S. stimulus as Republicans were making progress in compromising. This weighed on the U.S. dollar and helped the EUR/USD pair to extend its gains. On China’s front, the data from there reported its GDP at 4.9% in Q3 that was below the expectations of 5.2% and above the previous 3.2%. The U.S. dollar came under pressure because of China’s good performance in Q3 than Q2 and supported the EUR/USD pair’s upward momentum.

On Monday, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said that she wanted E.U. governments to consider the possibility of making E.U. debt a permanent fixture of the bloc’s economic response to the crises. When asked about the 750 billion euros debt-fueled response to the coronavirus crisis, the E.U. commission will borrow on financial markets and disburse to E.U. countries as grants and loans; Lagarde said that this stimulus tool was a response to an exceptional situation like a pandemic. She added that there should be a discussion about this stimulus’s possibility to remain in the European toolbox to be mobilized again in identical circumstances.

Lagarde added that a debate on a common budgetary tool specific to the Euro area should take place and learn lessons from the situation that has happened recently. These comments from Lagarde added further strength to the already rising Euro currency and added additional gains. On the coronavirus front, Belgium extended its restrictions on bars and restaurants for the next four weeks as the infection rate rose continuously. The health minister warned that Belgium could soon be overwhelmed by new coronavirus infections.

Italy recorded its highest daily infection rate on Sunday and announced a raft of measures to control infection spread. Meanwhile, nine major French cities were also placed under curfew. However, these lingering coronavirus tensions failed to reverse the rising EUR/USD pair, and the currency pair remained on the positive track on Monday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1709     1.1723

1.1703     1.1731

1.1695     1.1737

Pivot point: 1.1717

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is consolidating below a strong resistance level of 1.1793 level, extended by a downward trendline on the 4-hour timeframe. On the lower side, the EUR/USD may find support at the 1.1735 level, and violation of this support level can extend selling until the 1.1690 level. On the higher side, bullish trend continuation can lead the EUR/USD price towards the next target level of the 1.1830 mark. The MACD supports bullish bias; therefore, we should look for buying trades upon today’s breakout of the 1.1790 level. 

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.29827 after placing a high of 1.30244 and a low of 1.28912. The British Pound eased from session highs on Monday against the U.S. dollar but remained supported as the E.U. assured that it would remain committed to intensifying Brexit-deal talks with the U.K. The E.U. Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier confirmed that the E.U. remained available to intensify negotiations in London. This marked a change in tone after E.U. leaders dropped their pledge to intensify trade talks last week and called on the U.K. to make concessions for a deal. Barnier’s statement raised the possibility of a Brexit deal and helped GBP/USD pair to remain positive on Monday.

The U.K. Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove had suggested that the U.K. would not resume talks before acknowledging signs of progress. He also said that he welcomes the constructive move on the part of the E.U. However, he said that there was no basis to find an agreement and that Brussel’s proposals were inconsistent with sovereign status. He also labeled potential talks as meaningless.

The pair GBP/USD was raised during the early trading session but failed to extend gains and eased due to Gove’s statement. Michael Gove said that the U.K. was increasingly well-prepared for an Australian-style exit from the E.U., meaning no-deal. The mixed statements from Barnier and Gove confused the traders, and the currency pair suffered from it as it moved on the upside in the early session and lost most of its gains in the late session.

On the data front, at 04:01 GMT, the Rightmove Housing Price Index for October came in as 1.1% compared to the previous 0.2%. From the U.S. side, the NAHB Housing Market Index rose to 85 from the forecasted 83 and supported the U.S. dollar that limited GBP/USD pair gains on Monday.

Meanwhile, the rising number of coronavirus in the U.K. also weighed on GBP/USD pair as an 18,804 new cases were reported for COVID-19 in the U.K. on Monday with 80 new deaths. This also kept the pair under pressure and its gains limited on the day.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2900     1.2941

1.2874     1.2956

1.2859     1.2982

Pivot point: 1.2915

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD surged sharply to trade at the 1.3006 mark, but soon it slipped again to trade at the 1.2939 level. The cable is currently gaining immediate support at the 1.2939 level, and a bearish breakout of the 1.2939 mark can lead to GBP/USD prices further lower towards the 1.2886 level. On the flip side, the resistance continues to hold around the 1.3006 level. The MACD and RSI show neutral bias as investors seem to wait for a solid reason to enter the market. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed to 105.430 after placing a high of 105.501 and a low of 105.299. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. Despite the U.S. dollar weakness, the USD/JPY pair posted gains on Monday and remained bullish as the U.S. stimulus package deal’s developments started moving on the positive side. The market mood was also better and played against the greenback after releasing the GDP report from China.

The Republicans extended its previous offer of $1.8 trillion to a $1.9 trillion packages on Monday, which was again failed by Democrats. The U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed his willingness for a larger stimulus package, but he still has to convince Republicans. Whereas, the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has set out a 48-hour deadline for U.S. stimulus talks in the last effort to reach a deal before the elections.

Before elections, the hopes for a stimulus package dimmed and supported the U.S. dollar and raised the USD/JPY pair on Monday.

Meanwhile, China published its GDP report for the third quarter that came in as 4.9% and fell short of the forecasted 5.5% but extended compared to the previous 3.2%. The U.S. dollar came under pressure because of the Chinese GDP report and further capped gains in the USD/JPY pair on Monday.

On the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the Trade Balance from Japan for September came in as 0.48T against the forecasted 0.85T and weighed on the Japanese Yen. At 19:00 GMT, the NAHB Housing Market Index for October raised to 85 from the forecasted 83 and supported the U.S. dollar that pushed the USD/JPY pair even higher. Meanwhile, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his speech on Monday that it should be more important for the U.S. to get the development of CBDC- cross-border digital currency right than being the first one to issue it.

China has given away about $1.5 million for its digital currency trials and has said that it would become the first to issue a CBDC. China wanted to reduce its dependence on the global dollar payment system and has taken the initiative to issue its digital currency.

Following China’s move, many central banks worldwide have started examining the possibility of issuing a digital currency. Facebook has also announced introducing Libra, its digital currency, given the increased demand for digital payments during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the seven other central banks, including the U.S. Fed and Bank of England, have released a report that tells the importance of CBDC to catch up with China’s move be the first one. According to Powell, the U.S. Fed has not yet decided on the issuance of digital currency, but it has been an active participant in research into the issue.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said on Monday that after taking a substantial hit from the pandemic, the U.S. economy was rebounded strongly. He said that it might take another year to reach pre-pandemic economic levels, but the labor market could take more than that to recover the pandemic’s damage. Fed officials’ comments also weighed on the U.S. dollar and caped further gains in the USD/JPY pair on Monday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.37     105.50

105.28     105.56

105.23     105.64

Pivot point: 105.42

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY trades with a bullish bias around the 105.550 level, holding below the double bottom area. Bullish crossover of 105.550 level may lead USD/JPY pair further higher until 105.800 level. On the 2 hour chart, the USD/JPY has formed an upward channel, which is likely to support the USD/JPY pair around the 105.300 level. Below this, the next support is likely to be found around 105.250 and 105.06. Let’s consider opening sell trade beneath 105.60 and buying over 105.050 level today. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Violates Bearish Flag – Bearish Bias Dominates!   

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.70685 after placing a high of 0.71144 and a low of 0.70685. Overall the movement of the AUD/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. The AUD/USD pair extended its previous day’s losses and dropped for the third consecutive day on Monday as the market sentiment soared after the reports from the US dampening hopes of a US COVID-19 stimulus deal.

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.70685 after placing a high of 0.71144 and a low of 0.70685. Overall the movement of the AUD/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. The AUD/USD pair extended its previous day’s losses and dropped for the third consecutive day on Monday as the market sentiment soared after the reports from the US dampening hopes of a US COVID-19 stimulus deal.

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.70685 after placing a high of 0.71144 and a low of 0.70685. Overall the movement of the AUD/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. The AUD/USD pair extended its previous day’s losses and dropped for the third consecutive day on Monday as the market sentiment soared after the reports from the US dampening hopes of a US COVID-19 stimulus deal.

The upbeat Chinese GDP data for the third quarter gave strength to the Australian dollar and helped AUD/USD pair to open its week on a strong note. The Asian giant’s economy and the largest trading partner of Australia expanded by 4.9% in Q3 and showed strong industrial output and consumption figures that pointed out a strong recovery from the pandemic that hit Q2 hardest.

The China-proxy Aussie gained traction after the upbeat data from China, and the US dollar became weak, ultimately pushing the AUD/USD pair on the higher side in the early trading session on Monday. However, the gains were short-lived, and the AUD/USD pair’s movement reversed as the hopes for a US stimulus package faded away.

During the Weekend, the statement from Nancy Pelosi that a deal might be reached before elections over the US stimulus package gave strength to the risk sentiment. The improved risk sentiment pushed AUD/USD pair to open on a strong note, but the upward momentum was broken after hopes deteriorated on Monday.

The Republicans added another 0.1 trillion dollars to the previous $1.8 trillion stimulus package that failed to get approval. The US President showed his willingness to approve more stimulus before elections; however, he needed to deal with Republicans first. The US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi provided a 48-hours deadline to Republicans to reach a deal to pass the coronavirus stimulus package before elections. 

The mixed situation has weighed on the risk sentiment as the stimulus hopes are fading with the passage of time and the risk perceived Aussie suffered that reversed the direction of AUD/USD pair on Monday.

The pair AD/USD started moving in the downward trend because of the rate differentials between 10-year government bond yields of Australia and the US. The US 10-year Treasury yields were around 0.77%, and the Australian counterpart was at 0.750%. 

The market participants will be looking forward to the release of monetary policy meeting minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday and will keep following the bearish bias until finding some fresh clues for future trading.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7078 0.7101

0.7064 0.7110

0.7056 0.7124

Pivot point: 0.7087

The AUD/USD is trading at the 0.7043 level, having violated the bullish flag pattern on the 2-hour timeframe. On the lower side, bearish trend continuation can lead the AUD/USD pair towards the support area of 0.7014 level. At the same time, the support continues to stay at the 0.7068 level. The bearish bias remains dominant today; therefore, we should look for selling trades below the 0.7067 level today. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

Bearish Flag in AUD/USD – Can we Expect Bearish Trend Continuation?  

During Monday’s early Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its Friday’s losing streak and witnessed some fresh selling on the first trading day of the week while dropped to the near three-week lows below the 0.7100 level. However, the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going expectations of further policy easing by the RBA, which tends to undermine the Australian dollar and contribute to the currency pair losses. 

During Monday’s early Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its Friday’s losing streak and witnessed some fresh selling on the first trading day of the week while dropped to the near three-week lows below the 0.7100 level. However, the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going expectations of further policy easing by the RBA, which tends to undermine the Australian dollar and contribute to the currency pair losses. 

During Monday’s early Asian trading session, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its Friday’s losing streak and witnessed some fresh selling on the first trading day of the week while dropped to the near three-week lows below the 0.7100 level. However, the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going expectations of further policy easing by the RBA, which tends to undermine the Australian dollar and contribute to the currency pair losses. 

Apart from this, the currency pair’s declines were further bolstered by the long-lasting tussle between the US-China and stimulus deadlock in the U.S., which leads to the decline in U.S. stock’s future. This, in turn, undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. The acceleration in the coronavirus (COVID-19) wave 2.0 also played its major role in undermining the market trading sentiment, which adds further burden around the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and dragged the currency pair low. On the contrary, the declines in the broad-based U.S. dollar, triggered by the combination of factors, becomes the factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. At this time, the AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7085 and consolidating in the range between 0.7073 – 0.7086.

As we already mentioned that the AUD/USD currency pair took a hit from Reserve Bank of Australia’s Governor Philip Lowe, who had provided a strong hint on Thursday that the central bank will likely cut interest rates, or announce further stimulus measures at its next meeting in early-November in order to support jobs growth and alleviate currency pressures within the current pandemic situations. This, in turn, undermined the Australian dollar.

The global market trading sentiment failed to stop its Friday negative performance and remains pessimistic on the day amid the intensifying market worries over the rapid rise in new coronavirus cases, which leads to the new lockdown restrictions and hinder the global economic recovery, undermining the perceived riskier Australian dollar. Elsewhere, the intensifying tensions between the U.S. and China added additional burdens around the global trading market. The tension between the world’s two largest economies fueled further after China aggressively warns the U.S. to step back from Taiwan Strait. However, these lingering Sino-US tensions keep challenging the risk market sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Apart from this, the U.S. policymakers’ inability to offer the much-awaited COVID-19 stimulus also played its major role in weakening the market trading sentiment, which in turn, exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses.

 

Across the pond, the reason for the downbeat market trading sentiment could also be associated with the China-Australia tussle. Having initially halted Aussie coal and cotton, the Dragon Nation recently passed a law to limit exports of its controlled items. This shows China’s willingness to combat global criticism to dump the markets with exports and heavy risks. 

Despite the U.S. upbeat data, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its bearish bias and remained under pressure on the day. Moreover, the U.S. dollar losses could also be associated with political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of U.S. elections. Thus, the weaker U.S. dollar is seen as the major factor that kept the currency pair higher. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped to 93.705.

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on China’s 3td-quarter (Q3) GDP, which is expected 5.2% YoY against 3.2% prior. In the meantime, the Fed Chair Powell Speaks will closely be followed. At the same time, the NAHB Housing Market Index data will also be key to watch. Apart from this, the continuous drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance. 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.6931

S2 0.7014

S3 0.7054

Pivot Point 0.7096

R1 0.7137

R2 0.7179

R3 0.7261

The AUD/USD is trading with a bearish bias at the 0.7092 level, forming a bearish flag pattern on the four hourly timeframes. A bearish breakout of 0.7068 level supports the pair; however, this support violation can trigger selling until 0.7014 level. On the flip side, a bullish crossover of 0.7107 can lead the AUD/USD price towards the next target level of 0.7165. Good luck! 

Good luck!

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Gains Support Over 1.3170 – Can Bullish Engulfing Drive Bounce off? 

The USD/CAD was closed at 1.31927 after placing a high of 1.32374 and a low of 1.31770. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bearish during the Aisan session today. Most of the selling is seen following the gains in USD/CAD for three consecutive days. The USD/CAD pair posted losses on Friday amid the mixed sentiment around the US stimulus package and Canada’s strong data. On late Thursday, President Trump said that he was raising the size of a fiscal stimulus package to win the support of Democrats to deliver the package to struggling Americans. The republicans were not in favor of big stimulus, and it raised concerns that the stimulus package will not be delivered before elections.

The USD/CAD was closed at 1.31927 after placing a high of 1.32374 and a low of 1.31770. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bearish during the Aisan session today. Most of the selling is seen following the gains in USD/CAD for three consecutive days. The USD/CAD pair posted losses on Friday amid the mixed sentiment around the US stimulus package and Canada’s strong data. On late Thursday, President Trump said that he was raising the size of a fiscal stimulus package to win the support of Democrats to deliver the package to struggling Americans. The republicans were not in favor of big stimulus, and it raised concerns that the stimulus package will not be delivered before elections.

The USD/CAD was closed at 1.31927 after placing a high of 1.32374 and a low of 1.31770. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bearish during the Aisan session today. Most of the selling is seen following the gains in USD/CAD for three consecutive days. The USD/CAD pair posted losses on Friday amid the mixed sentiment around the US stimulus package and Canada’s strong data. On late Thursday, President Trump said that he was raising the size of a fiscal stimulus package to win the support of Democrats to deliver the package to struggling Americans. The republicans were not in favor of big stimulus, and it raised concerns that the stimulus package will not be delivered before elections.

This raised the risk sentiment and pulled back the demand for the safe-haven greenback, and made the USD/CAD pair to post losses on the day. However, the investors remained doubtful about the concerns related to a steep rise in new coronavirus cases in Europe, and this continued to lend some support to the US dollar due to its safe-haven status. The improved US dollar helped cap further losses in the USD/CAD pair.

On the data front, at 17:30 GMT, from the Canada side, the Foreign Securities Purchases for August increased to 15.51B from the expected -3.01B and supported the Canadian Dollar that added pressure on the downward momentum of the currency pair USD/CAD. The Manufacturing Sales data from Canada dropped to -2.0% from the expected -1.4% and weighed on the Canadian Dollar.

The Capacity Utilization Rate was dropped to 71.5% against the anticipated 72.1% and weighed on the US dollar from the US side. The Industrial Production in August also dropped to -0.6% from the forecasted 0.6% and weighed heavily on the US dollar. The US side’s negative economic data added further pressure on the declining USD/CAD pair’s prices.

Meanwhile, the rising fears that another round of lockdowns worldwide to control coronavirus spread could weaken the global energy demand affected crude oil prices. The WTI crude oil dropped on Friday and weighed on commodity-linked Loonie that helped the USD/CAD pair to limit its losses on Friday.

The risk sentiment in the market also kept the USD/CAD pair’s losses limited on Friday after the US pharmaceutical giant Pfizer said that it is expected to file for emergency use authorization for its COVID-19 vaccine in late November. The company said it would move with the vaccine after its safety data are available in late November. The news’s risk sentiment was boosted and kept the USD/CAD pair’s losses under control.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3175 1.3191

1.3169 1.3201

1.3159 1.3207

Pivot point: 1.3185

The USD/CAD is trading mostly sideways over the 1.3170 level, and recently, it’s trying to a bullish engulfing pattern that may drive upward movement in the market until the 1.3250 level. Conversely, the bearish breakout of 1.3175 level can drive selling bias until 1.3095. Overall, the RSI and MACD are in support of selling bias until the 1.3095 level. Let’s consider taking a buy trade over 1.3170 and selling below the same level today. Good luck!

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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Importance of Choosing the Right Chart

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of a chart that makes a breakout at the weekly low, consolidates, and produces an excellent bearish engulfing candle. It looks like a good short entry for the sellers. However, things do not go as the sellers would love to see. We try to find out what may be the reason behind it.

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of a chart that makes a breakout at the weekly low, consolidates, and produces an excellent bearish engulfing candle. It looks like a good short entry for the sellers. However, things do not go as the sellers would love to see. We try to find out what may be the reason behind it.

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of a chart that makes a breakout at the weekly low, consolidates, and produces an excellent bearish engulfing candle. It looks like a good short entry for the sellers. However, things do not go as the sellers would love to see. We try to find out what may be the reason behind it.

It is the H4 chart. The chart shows that the price action has been choppy for the last three weeks. The price has been roaming around within two horizontal levels. Ideally, the price action traders would love to skip eying on such a chart to trade at. Let us proceed and see the H4 chart of the last week.

The chart shows that the price makes a bullish move to start its trading week. Then, it makes a bearish move and closes around the level where it started its week. It seems that the minor time frame sellers are driving the price down.

The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle right at the last week’s swing low. The minor time frame traders may push the price towards the North. The H4 sellers, on the other hand, may wait for the price to make a breakout at the swing low to go short on the chart. This is what the breakout traders usually do. However, the question is whether they should do it on this chart or not? We find it out in a minute.

It seems that the Bear is about to make a breakout at the last week’s low. The last candle comes out as a bearish engulfing candle closing right at the level of support.

The price makes a breakout at the weekly low. The last candle comes out as a bearish candle closing well below the level of support. The breakout traders are to wait for the price to consolidate.

The price consolidates. The last candle comes out as a bearish inside bar. If the price makes a breakout at the last swing low, the breakout traders usually trigger a short entry. Let us proceed and see what the price does.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle. It is an A+ signal candle as far as the breakout trading strategy is concerned. The sellers may want to trigger a short entry right after the last candle closes.

The chart produces a bullish engulfing candle and heads towards the North instead. The Forex market is unpredictable. The price could go either way anytime. However, it looks strange after the chart producing such a nice signal candle. There is nothing wrong with the entry apart from the fact that the chart has been choppy for the last three weeks. It means either the pair is waiting for a high impact news event to find its new direction or traded based on a bigger time frame. In a word, the price action traders may skip eying on such a chart to trade at. For them, choosing the right chart plays a vital role. Today’s example proves it again.

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Forex Signals

USD/CHF Downward Channel in Play – Quick Update on Signal!

The USD/CHF extended its previous session losing streak and hit the intra-day low around the 0.9130 regions in the last hours. However, the reason for the currency pair prevalent bearish bias could be attributed to the risk-off market sentiment, which underpins the safe-haven Swiss Franc and contributes drive selling in the pair. Hence, the market trading bias was being pressured by the fears of the steep rise in new coronavirus infections in Europe and the U.S.

The USD/CHF extended its previous session losing streak and hit the intra-day low around the 0.9130 regions in the last hours. However, the reason for the currency pair prevalent bearish bias could be attributed to the risk-off market sentiment, which underpins the safe-haven Swiss Franc and contributes drive selling in the pair. Hence, the market trading bias was being pressured by the fears of the steep rise in new coronavirus infections in Europe and the U.S.

The USD/CHF extended its previous session losing streak and hit the intra-day low around the 0.9130 regions in the last hours. However, the reason for the currency pair prevalent bearish bias could be attributed to the risk-off market sentiment, which underpins the safe-haven Swiss Franc and contributes drive selling in the pair. Hence, the market trading bias was being pressured by the fears of the steep rise in new coronavirus infections in Europe and the U.S.

Moreover, the risk-off market sentiment was further bolstered by the prevalent impasse over the next round of the U.S. fiscal stimulus measures, which further pessimism around the currency pair. On the flip side, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by doubts over the U.S. economic recovery, also played its major role in undermining the currency pair. At this particular time, the USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.9134 and consolidating in the range between 0.9130 – 0.9164.

The market risk tone has been shaky since the day started, possibly due to the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.K., Europe, and the U.S., which keeps fueling the worries over the global economic recovery. Meanwhile, the renewed conflict between the U.S. and China and the China-Australia tussle also exerted downside pressure on the market risk-tone and underpinned the safe-haven Swiss franc. As per the latest report, the daily new cases increased past Thursday’s record level of 6,638, with 7,334 new infections leading to 348,557 total numbers. The death toll seems to ease from the previous day’s 33 to 24 while marking a total of 9,734 deaths. As in result, the investors remained cautious that the rise in new coronavirus cases could lead to renewed lockdown measures.

Apart from this, the U.S. policymakers’ inability to offer the much-awaited COVID-19 stimulus also played its major role in weakening the market trading sentiment, which exerted some additional pressure on the market trading sentiment. At the US-China front, the renewed concerns over worsening diplomatic tensions between the world’s two largest economies also exerted downside pressure on the market trading sn time, which keeps the USD/CHF currency pair under pressure. Check out the trading plan below…


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.9083
S2 0.9113
S3 0.9128
Pivot Point 0.9142
R1 0.9158
R2 0.9172
R3 0.9201

Entry Price – Sell 0.91405
Stop Loss – 0.91805
Take Profit – 0.91005
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

GBP/USD Succeeded to Stop Losing Streak – Quick Update on Signal!

During the Friday’s early European trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its early-day declining streak and recovered from the daily lows of 1.2883 to the 1.2925 level mainly due to the fresh optimism about the Brexit deal, triggered by the report suggesting that the European Union (E.U.) and the U.K. policymakers are ready to extend talks, which eventually helped the currency pair to limit its deeper losses.

During the Friday’s early European trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its early-day declining streak and recovered from the daily lows of 1.2883 to the 1.2925 level mainly due to the fresh optimism about the Brexit deal, triggered by the report suggesting that the European Union (E.U.) and the U.K. policymakers are ready to extend talks, which eventually helped the currency pair to limit its deeper losses.

During the Friday’s early European trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its early-day declining streak and recovered from the daily lows of 1.2883 to the 1.2925 level mainly due to the fresh optimism about the Brexit deal, triggered by the report suggesting that the European Union (E.U.) and the U.K. policymakers are ready to extend talks, which eventually helped the currency pair to limit its deeper losses.

 Besides, the Brexit hopes were further fueled after the U.K. Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said, “We are close to a deal.” On the flip side, the broad-based U.S. dollar fresh weakness, backed by the worries over the U.S. economic recovery, also played its major role in supporting the currency pair. On the contrary, the worsening COVID-19 conditions in the U.K. and the renewed fears of tough lockdown measures become the key factor that kept the lid on any further gains in the currency pair. 

As we already mentioned, the GBP/USD currency pair witnessed some instant progress over the last hours after the European Union (E.U.) and the U.K. policymakers showed a willingness to extend Brexit talks. As per the latest report, the E.U.’s chief negotiator Michael Barnier said he is ready for Brexit talks “until last possible day” while his British counterpart blamed the regional leaders for the prevailing impasse the Brexit deal. These positive headlines instantly underpinned the British Pound and pushed the currency pair higher. 

In the meantime, the U.K. Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said in response to the E.U.’s ultimatum of deciding on the Brexit fate that the “We are disappointed and surprised by the European Union (E.U.) position on Brexit,” He further added that “We are close to a deal.” Hence the Raab’s latest optimism about the Brexit deal helped the currency pair to stay bid.

Despite the rising number of COVID-19 cases and the U.S. Congress’ lack of progress towards passing the latest stimulus measures ahead of the November 3 presidential election, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to put any heaven bids and remain depressed on the day, possibly due to the doubts over the U.S. economic recovery, which tend to undermine the greenback. The losses in the U.S. dollar becomes the key factor that helps the currency pair. 

On the contrary, the COVID-19 cases in the U.K. and Europe getting worse day by day as the daily counts reached closer to the 20,000 threshold, 18,980 new cases, 138 deaths marked in the latest report. Considering the virus’s current condition spreading, the opposition Labour Party ordered the national lockdown for at least two weeks. Apart from the USK, the U.S. cases of the novel coronavirus crossed 8 million so far, rising by 1 million in less than a month, as another wave in cases hits the nation at the onset of cooler weather.

The traders will keep their eyes on September month’s Retail Sales and Michigan Consumer Confidence for October. Meanwhile, the USD moves and coronavirus headlines will also closely followed as they could play a key role in the crude oil. 

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.2671

S2 1.2806

S3 1.2856

Pivot Point 1.2941

R1 1.2991

R2 1.3075

R3 1.321


The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2890 level, having supported over 1.2890 level. Above this, the next target is likely to be found around 1.2957 and 1.3020 level. Simultaneously, a bearish breakout of the 1.2890 support level can extend selling bias until 1.2840. The bearish bias remains solid below the 1.2890 mark.

Entry Price – Sell 1.2917

Stop Loss – 1.2877

Take Profit – 1.2957

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

AUD/CAD Trimmed Its Eary-Day Gains & Dropped – Downward Channel In Play!   

The AUD/CAD failed to extend its early-day modest gains and edged lower around the 0.9362 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going tussle between the US-China and stimulus deadlock in the U.S., which leads to the decline in U.S. stock’s future. This, in turn, undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. The acceleration in the coronavirus (COVID-19) wave 2.0 also played a major role in undermining the market trading sentiment, which added further burden around the Australian dollar’s perceived risk currency and dragged the currency pair low. 

The AUD/CAD failed to extend its early-day modest gains and edged lower around the 0.9362 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going tussle between the US-China and stimulus deadlock in the U.S., which leads to the decline in U.S. stock’s future. This, in turn, undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. The acceleration in the coronavirus (COVID-19) wave 2.0 also played a major role in undermining the market trading sentiment, which added further burden around the Australian dollar’s perceived risk currency and dragged the currency pair low. 

The AUD/CAD failed to extend its early-day modest gains and edged lower around the 0.9362 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the on-going tussle between the US-China and stimulus deadlock in the U.S., which leads to the decline in U.S. stock’s future. This, in turn, undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. The acceleration in the coronavirus (COVID-19) wave 2.0 also played a major role in undermining the market trading sentiment, which added further burden around the Australian dollar’s perceived risk currency and dragged the currency pair low. 

On the contrary, the weaker crude oil prices, triggered by the combination of factors, tend to weaken the demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie, which becomes the factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. The AUD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 0.9362 and consolidating in the range between 0.9357 – 0.9386.

Intensifying restrictive measures such as lockdowns and curfews in Europe and the U.K. to control the 2nd-wave of coronavirus outbreak pushed global equity markets down. As per the latest report, the daily new cases increased past Thursday’s record level of 6,638, with 7,334 new infections leading to 348,557 total counts. The death toll seems to ease from the previous day’s 33 to 24 while marking a total of 9,734 fatalities. Apart from this, the U.S. policymakers’ inability to offer the much-awaited COVID-19 stimulus also played its major role in weakening the market trading sentiment, which in turn exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Elsewhere, the intensifying tensions between the U.S. and China added additional burdens around the global trading market. The tension between the world’s two largest economies fueled further after China aggressively warns the U.S. to step back from Taiwan Strait. However, these lingering Sino-US tensions kept challenging the risk-on market sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Access the pond, the reason for the downbeat market trading sentiment could also be associated with the latest report suggesting that the World Health Organization (WHO) said that the previously cheered corona-vaccine from Gilead Sciences Inc., Remdesivir, did not affect COVID-19 patients’ length of hospital stay or chances of survival. These negative headlines exerted some additional pressure on the market sentiment. The S&P 500 Futures dropped as it currently marks 0.15% intraday losses to 3,472.

The reason for the crude oil losses could also be associated with the latest reports suggesting that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) decided to ease supply cuts despite rapidly falling fuel demand in Europe and the U.S. amid rising numbers of COVID-19 cases in both regions. Thus, the decline in oil prices undermined the demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie and became the key factor that helps the currency pair limit its deeper losses.

In the absence of the major data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on September month’s Retail Sales and Michigan Consumer Confidence for October. Meanwhile, the USD moves and coronavirus headlines will also closely followed as they could play a key role in the crude oil. 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.9242

S2 0.9303

S3 0.9341

Pivot Point 0.9364

R1 0.9402

R2 0.9426

R3 0.9487

Entry Price – Sell 0.93594

Stop Loss – 0.93994

Take Profit – 0.93194

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 16 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Retail Sales in Focus! 

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17068 after placing a high of 1.17576 and a low of 1.16883. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. The EUR/USD pair dropped on Thursday to its nine-day lowest level over the strength of the U.S. dollar and rising fears of a second wave of coronavirus in Europe. 

The U.S. dollar was strong across the board on Thursday, with the market ruling out the chance of more fiscal stimulus before the November elections despite the surge in coronavirus cases. Furthermore, the unexpected rise in the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index also helped raise the U.S. dollar across the board on Thursday. At 17:30 GMT, it raised to 32.3 in October against the expectations of 14.4 and supported the U.S. dollar. The advanced index encouraged hopes that the U.S. economy could demonstrate greater resilience in the year’s final months.

This raised the U.S. dollar despite the rise in initial jobless claims and weighed on EUR/USD pair.

Meanwhile, the E.U. Summit started on Thursday. E.U. leaders met in Brussels to seek a way out of the Brexit impasse as the bloc remained divided over-ambitious targets to slash greenhouse gas emissions.

E.U. leaders also agreed to extend the trade negotiations with Britain. In a joint statement, E.U. leaders called on the U.K. to make the necessary moves to make an agreement possible and shift from their red lines to make a Brexit deal possible.

The E.U. chief negotiator Michel Barnier said that he wanted talks to continue with the U.K. till next month. Whereas, the German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the E.U. should also compromise with the U.K. to reach a final agreement. On the data front, the French Final CPI for September came in line with -0.5% expectations. The data from Europe failed to impact the prices of a single currency.

Moreover, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Thursday that ECB would be prepared to inflict additional emergency measures to seize the economic fallout from the coronavirus crisis, with the region facing a rapid surge in coronavirus infections. As per the World Health Organization, Europe has recorded more than 7.4 million coronavirus cases, with more than 251000 deaths and an alarming hospitalization rate. Lagarde said that as the second wave of coronavirus was hitting Europe’s coastline, ECB should make sure all the resources that ECB has available will be used to deal with the situation. She added that many resources, including asset purchases and interest rates, were still available, and ECB was ready to use them in need.

The ECB’s concerns and readiness to use further stimulus in need also weighed on Euro currency and dragged the EUR/USD pair downward.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1676     1.1748

1.1646     1.1790

1.1605     1.1820

Pivot point: 1.1718

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading at 1.1706 level, holding above an immediate double bottom support level of 1.1693. The U.S. dollar is likely to show some volatility during the day on the back of high and medium impact economic events from the United States. A stronger dollar may trigger a selling trend until the 1.1656 level, while the resistance can be found around 1.1725 and the 1.1748 levels.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.29037 after placing a high of 1.30299 and a low of 1.28903. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. The British Pound fell dramatically against the U.S. dollar on Thursday after the E.U. leaders urged U.K. to make necessary moves to secure an agreement instead of committing to work intensively with the U.K. to reach a trade deal. 

After the first day of the E.U. Summit, the chief EU negotiator Michel Barnier said that the level playing field, fisheries, and governance issues remained, as the key sticking points that held up the progress on trade talks. E.U. officials also criticized the U.K. Brexit negotiator David Frost and called on the U.K. to make further concessions to reach a deal on trade. Prime Minister Boris Johnson will announce his decision on whether the U.K. will walk away or continue talks on Friday.

One of many reasons behind the lack of progress in talks was the U.K. facing an aggressive second wave of the coronavirus that has forced the government to impose lockdown restrictions that could slow the recovery.

In Great Britain, talks continued between the government and local leaders over expanding the strictest coronavirus restrictions to more parts of England. The rising number of coronavirus cases in the U.K. raised the need for restrictions that will affect the economic recovery. These recovery fears weighed on local currency and ultimately dragged the GBP/USD pair on the downside.

On the data front, the C.B. Leading Index from the United Kingdom came in as 0.5% for August compared to July’s 0.8% and weighed on GBP that added further pressure on GBP/USD pair. From the U.S. side, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index rose in October to 32.3 from September’s 15.0, and the forecasted 14.4 supported the U.S. dollar. The strong U.S. dollar added further strength to the rising GBP/USD pair on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar was also strong onboard after Nancy Pelosi said that Trump only wanted to secure his position. That is why he was forcing a smaller stimulus package ahead of elections. She added that he did not have any concern about the struggling Americans and refused to pass a half stimulus measure. These lingering tensions confusion related to U.S. stimulus measures raised uncertainty and supported the U.S. dollar. The main driver of the GBP/USD pair’s downward momentum on Thursday was E.U. leaders’ calls for the U.K. to make necessary moves to reach consensus on the Brexit deal and the rising number of restrictions in England. 

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2859     1.3000

1.2804     1.3086

1.2718     1.3141

Pivot point: 1.2945

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2890 level, having supported over 1.2890 level. Above this, the next target is likely to be found around 1.2957 and 1.3020 level. Simultaneously, a bearish breakout of the 1.2890 support level can extend selling bias until 1.2840. The bearish bias remains solid below the 1.2890 mark. The cable may exhibit a breakout on the release of U.S. related economic events, especially the retail sales and consumer confidence. The leading indicators, such as MACD and RSI, support selling; therefore, it’s worth taking a selling trade below 1.2880 today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.420 after placing a high of 105.491 and a low of 105.060. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. On Thursday, the U.S. dollar appreciated across the board due to its safe-haven status after the rising concerns about tightened coronavirus restrictions. The rising number of coronavirus infections with little expectations of a fiscal stimulus deal kept the investors away from risk.

On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he was open to a targeted deal with the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. He said that Pelosi should move 300 billion dollars to needy Americans from the previous fund’s leftovers. In response, she replied that Donald Trump only wanted to seek a symbolic victory and genuinely had no intentions to help the struggling poor people. Pelosi also said that she would not go for a half stimulus measure and stick to her $2.2 trillion packages.

These tensions surrounding the U.S. stimulus package dropped the hopes that any measure will release before elections and supported the U.S. dollar. The rising U.S. dollar help provides further support to the USD/JPY pair.

The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index for October raised to 32.3 from the forecasted 14.4 and the previous 15.0 and supported the U.S. dollar. At 17:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from the U.S. for last week raised to 898K from the forecasted 810K and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The Empire State Manufacturing Index from the U.S. dropped to 10.5 from the expected 13.9 and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The Import Prices from September remained flat with the expectations of 0.3%. From the Japan side, the Tertiary Industry Activity for August was released at 09:30 GMT that fell short of expectations of 1.2% and came in as 0.8% and weighed on the Japanese Yen that ultimately supported the additional gains in USD/JPY pair on Thursday.

Traders ignored the rising number of unemployment claims and shifted their focus towards the rising Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and supported the USD/JPY pair’s bullish movement. The advanced index refreshed hopes that the U.S. economy could reveal greater flexibility in the final months of the year.

Furthermore, the Dallas Federal Reserve President Robert Kaplan said that minorities and women who have been affected by the job losses due to the coronavirus pandemic would need help to get back to work. Kaplan said that the economic activities were shifting more towards the less dependent sectors on face-to-face interaction due to the fears of coronavirus spread. Whereas, the Fed’s vice chair of supervision, Randal Quarles, said a need for more aid in the short-term funding market.

The rising number of coronavirus in the absence of any approved vaccine has raised fears for an economic recovery that has already been under pressure due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, the trade war between the U.S. & China, and the deep recession. These uncertainties kept the U.S. dollar supportive due to its safe-haven status and helped the USD/JPY pair post gains on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

105.05     105.70

104.82     106.12

104.40     106.36

Pivot point: 105.47

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY traded sideway, with a neutral bias within a narrow trading range of 105.600 level to the 105.250 mark. Most of the selling triggered following the USD/JPY disrupted an upward channel at the 105.900 mark on Monday. The USD/JPY is trading at 105.459 marks, the support that’s was prolonged by double bottom mark on the two-hourly charts. A bearish violation of the 105.450 mark may encourage additional selling unto the 105.070 support level as the MACD, and the 50 periods EMA are in support of selling sentiment today. Let’s consider opening sell trade beneath 105.60 and buying over 105.050 level today. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Breaks Below Upward Channel – Braceof Sell Upon Retracement! 

During Thursday’s early European trading hours, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took further offers near well below 0.7100 level, mainly due to the disappointing release of employment details, which showed that Australia’s economy lost 29.5K jobs in September. This, in turn, undermined the Asutliann dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, the increasing probabilities of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in November also played its major role in undermining the Australian dollar. Across the pond, the prevalent risk-off market sentiment, triggered by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in Europe and the U.K., exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Aussie and dragged the currency pair below 0.7100 mars.

During Thursday’s early European trading hours, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took further offers near well below 0.7100 level, mainly due to the disappointing release of employment details, which showed that Australia’s economy lost 29.5K jobs in September. This, in turn, undermined the Asutliann dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, the increasing probabilities of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in November also played its major role in undermining the Australian dollar. Across the pond, the prevalent risk-off market sentiment, triggered by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in Europe and the U.K., exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Aussie and dragged the currency pair below 0.7100 mars.

During Thursday’s early European trading hours, the AUD/USD currency pair failed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took further offers near well below 0.7100 level, mainly due to the disappointing release of employment details, which showed that Australia’s economy lost 29.5K jobs in September. This, in turn, undermined the Asutliann dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, the increasing probabilities of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in November also played its major role in undermining the Australian dollar. Across the pond, the prevalent risk-off market sentiment, triggered by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in Europe and the U.K., exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Aussie and dragged the currency pair below 0.7100 mars.

However, the global risk sentiment was further pressured by the fading hopes of additional U.S. fiscal stimulus. On the data front, the economy has lost 29.5K jobs in September against expectations for 35K losses and down from August’s 111K additions. The seasonally adjusted Unemployment Rate surged to 6.9% against expectations for a rise to 7.1% from 6.8%. In the meantime, the part-time jobs dropped by 9.4K in September against 74.8K additions in August. At the same time, the full-time employment sank by 20.1K against 36.2K additions in August. 

Considering the recent condition of the economy, the RBA’s Governor Lowe said that the benchmark interest rate could be cut down to 0.10% from the current record low of 0.25%, which undermined the Australian dollar exerted some additional pressure on the currency pair. The market trading sentiment remains depressed during the early European session as the condition of the second wave of coronavirus infections in Europe and the U.K. getting worse time by time, which suggests that the local lockdowns cannot tame the pandemic, which in turn suggests fresh national activity restrictions. 

In the meantime, the fears of a no-deal Brexit and the dovish tone of major central bankers pushing for further fiscal help also exert downside pressure on the market trading sentiment, which in turn undermined perceived riskier Aussie and dragged the currency pair below 0.7100 marks.

Additionally, the long-lasting inability to pass the U.S. fiscal package also weighed on the risk sentiment, which eventually undermined the perceived riskier Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent push to break the coronavirus stimulus deadlock, the opposition Democratic Party remains up in its demands. As per the latest report, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin recently blamed the opposition to put obstacles for the much-awaited aid package before the presidential election to keep President Donald Trump lagging the election polls. 

At the US-China front, the renewed concerns over worsening diplomatic tensions between the world’s two largest economies also exerted downside pressure on the market trading, which keeps the AUD/USD currency pair under pressure. Other than the US-China tussle, Australia and China are also loggerheads with each other.

As a result, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in extending its Asian session loss gains es and took some further bid during the early European session as investors still prefer the safe-haven assets in the wake of the risk-off market sentiment. However, the U.S. dollar gains seem rather unaffected by the intensifying political uncertainty ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on November 3. However, the incoming polls tend to recommend a clear-cut presidential success for the Democrat nominee Joe Biden, which might cap additional upside momentum for the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar gains become the key factor that kept the currency pair under pressure. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies inched up 0.02% to 93.398 by 9:58 PM ET (1:58 AM GMT).

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the weekly U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, which is expected 825K versus 840K prior. Apart from this, the continuous drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance. 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.7095

S2 0.7133

S3 0.715

Pivot Point 0.717

R1 0.7187

R2 0.7208

R3 0.7245

The AUD/USD pair has violated the double bottom support level of 0.7150 level, and below this, the pair may drop further until the next support area of 0.7098 level. On the higher side, the pair may find resistance at 0.7150 and 0.7190 level. The bearish bias remains solid today, especially below 0.7150.

Entry Price – Buy 105.245

Stop Loss – 105.645

Take Profit – 104.845

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 15 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – ECB President Lagarde Speaks

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Council Member Lane, U.S. FOMC officials, is due to speak today. Simultaneously, the main highlight of the day is likely to be ECB President Lagarde Speaks and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17459 after placing a high of 1.17708 and a low of 1.17197. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained flat yet slightly bullish throughout the day. The EUR/USD pair followed its previous day’s bearish trend and extended its decline in the first half of the day but started to recover losses in the second half of the day as the U.S. dollar became weak. However, the gains were also limited due to the increased uncertainty in the market related to Europe’s coronavirus situation.

The risk sentiment in the market supported the consolidated movement of the EUR/USD pair on Wednesday and turned the prices on the upside after the European Union agreed to pay more than 1 billion euros, about 1.2 billion dollars to Gilead GILD.O. The amount will be paid for a six-month supply of its antiviral drug Remdesivir shortly before the publication of the coronavirus medication’s biggest trial. This news helped EUR/USD pair to recover some losses of the day on Wednesday.

Other than that, the U.S. dollar was weak across the board on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said that the U.S. economic data since May has been surprisingly strong; however, it will still take another year for output to reach back to its pre-pandemic level. 

The rising uncertainty about the economic recovery weighed on risk sentiment and dragged the EUR/USD prices on Wednesday to the downward direction.

On the data front, at 14:00 GMT, the Industrial Production from Eurozone dropped to 0.7% from the expected 0.8% and weighed on the Euro currency. At 17:30 GMT, the Core PPI & PPI data from the U.S. for September raised to 0.4% from the projected 0.2% and supported the U.S. dollar. The macroeconomic data from both sides weighed on EUR/USD pair and kept the pair under pressure on Wednesday.

On October 14, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said that European countries would need to invest 290 billion euros each year to meet their commitments under the 2015 Paris climate agreement. 

The little gains in EUR/USD could also be attributed to the latest Brexit optimism that emerged after U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson suggested that the U.K. continue to work on Brexit deal past the October 15 deadline. This raised hopes that no-deal will be out of option soon and raised EUR/USD pair on Wednesday.

Furthermore, the downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair was due to the latest moves from Eli Lilly and Co. to halt the government-sponsored clinical trials of its coronavirus vaccine. This move after a day when Jonson & Johnson halted its vaccine’s clinical trials due to an unexpected illness found in one participant raised economic recovery concerns and weighed on the riskier EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1720     1.1773

1.1694     1.1798

1.1668     1.1825

Pivot point: 1.1746

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD pair traded sharply bearish to break below a solid support area of 1.1780 extended by an upward channel. On the lower side, the EUR/USD is gaining support at the 1.1732 level, and the bearish breakout of the 1.1732 level may lower the EUR/USD price further than the 1.1697 level. The MACD and RSI favor selling bias, but we may see a slight upward movement until the 1.1764 level before seeing further selling in the pair.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.30113 after placing a high of 1.30642 and a low of 1.28627. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The currency pair GBP/USD raised on Wednesday amid the renewed hopes of a Brexit deal and the U.S. dollar weakness. On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar was weak as the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that the U.S. stimulus package would not be delivered before November Presidential elections. The hopes for stimulus measure faded away and weighed on the U.S. dollar, ultimately helping the GBP/USD pair’s upward momentum.

Meanwhile, the upward trend in GBP/USD pair was also supported by the latest extension to the reach a Brexit deal by PM Boris Johnson. The U.K. government allowed Brexit talks to extend beyond the former deadline of October 15, announced by the PM Boris Johnson.

The extension raised renewed hopes to reach a Brexit deal and supported the local currency that favored the additional gains in GBP/USD pair.

However, the gains were limited by the rise of coronavirus cases in the United Kingdom, as it reported almost 20,000 new coronavirus cases on Wednesday. PM Boris Johnson said on the issue of coronavirus spread that the latest three-tier regional approach was productive in controlling the spread as the aim was to avoid the nationwide lockdown.

Moreover, the Brexit headlines overshadowed the coronavirus threats, and the pair kept moving in the upward direction on Wednesday. The main operator of the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday was the optimism about the Brexit deal in the market. On the flip side, the Bank of England chief Andy Haldane said that he was hopeful that Britain’s economic recovery from coronavirus’s initial impact would persist despite the risks. He said it because of the adaptability of businesses and households in the region.

He said that the consumption patterns and work practices of Britain’s had been changed since March lockdowns. This positive comment also raised the British Pound bars that helped the GBP/USD pair’s upward movement. The Core PPI for September and the PPI data rose to 0.4% from the forecasted 0.2% and capped further gains in GBP/USD pair from the U.S. side.

However, the comments from Federal Reserve member Clarida that it will take another year for economic output to reach its pre-pandemic level weighed on the U.S. dollar that helped additional gains in GBP/USD pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2894     1.3098

1.2777     1.3183

1.2691     1.3301

Pivot point: 1.2980

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.3020 level, having supported over 1.3005 level. Above this, the next target is likely to be found around 1.3050 and 1.3070 level. At the same time, a bearish breakout of the 1.3005 support level can extend selling bias until 1.2959. The bullish bias remains strong over 1.3005. The leading indicators, such as MACD and RSI, support selling; therefore, it’s worth taking a selling trade below 1.2944 today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY currency pair successfully stopped its previous day losing streak and took some fresh bids near two-week highs, around the 105.30 regions in the last hour. However, the reason for the pair’s prevalent bullish bias could be attributed to the stronger U.S. dollar. Hence, the U.S. dollar remained supportive on the back of fading hopes over additional U.S. fiscal stimulus measures and surging COVID-19 cases in the leading European countries, which keeps the market trading sentiment under pressure and increase demand for traditional safe-haven assets. Apart from this, the latest halts in the COVID-19 vaccine trials are also weighing on the market risk tone. On the contrary, the prevalent risk-off market sentiment underpinned demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the Japanese yen, which could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains currency pair. At this particular time, the USD/JPY is currently trading at 105.25 and consolidating in the range between 105.10 – 105.30.

However, the market risk sentiment extended the previous two-day slumps to 3,478, down 0.08% intraday on the day. The market trading sentiment was being pressured by the fears of no U.S. stimulus ahead of the U.S. presidential election. Moreover, the S&P 500 Futures’ losses were further bolstered by the intensifying coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in Europe amid pauses in the (COVID-19) virus vaccine trials. In the meantime, the on-going Brexit woes and downbeat U.S. inflation also exerted downside pressure on the market trading sentiment, which underpinned the demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen.

As per the latest report, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin blamed the opposition Democratic Party to stop the stimulus package from keeping President Donald Trump lagging the election polls. Across the pond, the rising COVID-19 cases in notable European countries, such as Spain, France, Germany, and the U.K., orders for strict local lockdowns in recent days. Whereas, Johnson and Johnson’s pause in vaccine trials and Eli Lily also dragged the market sentiment down.

Moreover, the market risk-off sentiment was further bolstered by the reports suggesting that no deal was signed between the European Union (E.U.) and the U.K. Furthermore, the intensifying tussle between the U.S. and China also exerted downside pressure on the market. This, in turn, underpinned the safe-haven Japanese yen, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair.

The broad-based U.S. dollar managed to keep its gains throughout the Asian session as the traders still cheering the risk-off marker mood. However, the U.S. dollar gains seem rather unaffected by the intensifying political uncertainty ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on November 3. However, the incoming polls suggest a clear-cut presidential victory for the Democrat candidate Joe Biden, which might cap further upside momentum for the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar gains become the key factor that helps the currency pair to stay bid. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies inched up 0.02% to 93.398 by 9:58 PM ET (1:58 AM GMT).

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the weekly U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, which is expected 825K versus 840K prior. Apart from this, the continuous drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance. 

Daily Technical Levels

105.05 105.70

104.82 106.12

104.40 106.36

Pivot point: 105.47

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY traded sideway, with a neutral bias within a narrow trading range of 105.600 level to the 105.250 mark. Most of the selling triggered following the USD/JPY disrupted an upward channel at the 105.900 mark on Monday. The USD/JPY is trading at 105.459 marks, the support that’s was prolonged by double bottom mark on the two-hourly charts. A bearish violation of the 105.450 mark may encourage additional selling unto the 105.070 support level as the MACD, and the 50 periods EMA are in support of selling sentiment today. Let’s consider opening sell trade beneath 105.60 and buying over 105.050 level today. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CHF Failed to Extend Previous Session Gains – Downward Channel In Play

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair stopped its previous session bullish momentum. They edged lower below the 0.9150 level, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, triggered by lack of additional U.S. fiscal stimulus and the US-China tussle, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven Swiss franc and kept the currency pair under pressure. Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further pressured by the downbeat reports that Johnson & Johnson paused the coronavirus vaccine trails, which also burdened the currency pair. 

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair stopped its previous session bullish momentum. They edged lower below the 0.9150 level, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, triggered by lack of additional U.S. fiscal stimulus and the US-China tussle, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven Swiss franc and kept the currency pair under pressure. Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further pressured by the downbeat reports that Johnson & Johnson paused the coronavirus vaccine trails, which also burdened the currency pair. 

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair stopped its previous session bullish momentum. They edged lower below the 0.9150 level, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, triggered by lack of additional U.S. fiscal stimulus and the US-China tussle, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven Swiss franc and kept the currency pair under pressure. Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further pressured by the downbeat reports that Johnson & Johnson paused the coronavirus vaccine trails, which also burdened the currency pair. 

Across the pond, the bearish tone around the currency pair could also be associated with the fears of national lockdowns in Europe, which add further burden to the trading sentiment and dragged the currency lower. On the contrary, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the market risk-on tone, becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional losses in the pair.

However, the equity market has been flashing red since the day started. Although, the reason could be associated with the major negative catalysts, including the further delay in the much-awaited coronavirus (COVID-19) relief package and the resurgence of COVID-19 new cases in the U.S. and Europe, which keep fueling the worries over the global economic growth. Apart from this, the fears of the U.K. and the European Union’s (E.U.) Brexit talks and the latest pause in the COVID-19 vaccine trials also add pessimism around the market trading sentiment. This, in turn, provided a boost to the safe-haven Swiss Fran and exerted some additional pressure on the currency pair.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar managed to keep its gains throughout the Asian session as the traders still cheering the risk-off marker mood. However, the U.S. dollar gains seem relatively unaffected by the intensifying U.S. political uncertainty. However, the incoming polls suggest a clear-cut presidential victory for the Democrat candidate Joe Biden, which might cap further upside momentum for the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar gains become the key factor that helps the currency pair limit its more profound losses. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies rose by 0.01% to 93.550 by 10:12 PM ET (2:12 AM GMT).

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the release of the US PPI figures for September. Meanwhile, FOMC members and the RBNZ policymaker’s scheduled speeches will key to watch for some meaningful trading direction. Apart from this, the ongoing drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.9006

S2 0.9069

S3 0.9109

Pivot Point 0.9132

R1 0.9172

R2 0.9195

R3 0.9258


The USD/CHF is trading with a bearish bias at 0.9125, holding below an immediate resistance level of 0.9157 resistance area. Closing of candles below this level may drive selling bias until the 0.9086 level. On the two-hourly timeframes, the USD/CHF pair has formed a downward channel that is likely to drive selling bias, and that’s one reason we opened a selling signal in the USD/CHF pair. Here’s a trading plan… 

Entry Price – Sell 0.91392

Stop Loss – 0.91792

Take Profit – 0.90992

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

Bearish Bias Dominates EUR/JPY – Downward Channel In Play! 

Today in the early European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and picked up further offers around below the 124.00 marks. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be attributed to the prevalent market risk-off sentiment, which benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair. Thus, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the US policymakers’ failures to offer the much-awaited fiscal stimulus as well as the intensification of the Sino-American tussle also weighed on the market trading tone. 

Today in the early European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and picked up further offers around below the 124.00 marks. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be attributed to the prevalent market risk-off sentiment, which benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair. Thus, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the US policymakers’ failures to offer the much-awaited fiscal stimulus as well as the intensification of the Sino-American tussle also weighed on the market trading tone. 

Today in the early European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and picked up further offers around below the 124.00 marks. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be attributed to the prevalent market risk-off sentiment, which benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair. Thus, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the US policymakers’ failures to offer the much-awaited fiscal stimulus as well as the intensification of the Sino-American tussle also weighed on the market trading tone. 

Whereas, the renewed halt in the trials of a vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus diseases also played its major role in weakening the market risk mood, which in turn, adds further burden around the currency pair. Across the pond, the latest data from Germany’s Robert Koch Institute (RKI) fueled the market’s fears of a larger coronavirus (COVID-19) in Europe, which tends to undermine the shared currency and contributing to the currency pair losses. 

On the contrary, the positive remarks from the German Economy Ministry over the EUR economy become the key factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. At this particular time, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 123.76 and consolidating in the range between 123.64 – 123.97.

As we already mentioned that the market trading sentiment has been flashing mixed signals since the day started. Be it the failure of the American lawmakers to offer any positive announcement on the coronavirus (COVID-19) relief package or the fresh escalation in the Sino-American tussle, not to forget the downbeat US data, these all factors kept the market risk sentiment under pressure. This, in turn, benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and exerted some heavy pressure on the currency pair.

Most of the investors remain cautious on the back of the delay in the production of a vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus diseases. This was witnessed after the Johnson & Johnson suspended clinical trials for its COVID-19 vaccine due to an unexplained illness. 

Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the rising coronavirus cases in the US and Europe, which has been fueling worries about global economic recovery. According to the coronavirus (COVID-19) data from Johns Hopkins University data., the number of global cases crossed 38 million as of Oct. 14. Whereas, the U.S. still not showing any signs of decreasing infection rates, which raised concerns over the economic recovery. 

Across the pond, the shared currency was being pressured by the latest data from Germany’s Robert Koch Institute (RKI), which fueled the market’s fears of a larger coronavirus (COVID-19) in Europe. As per the latest report, the daily new confirmed cases grew 5,132 to 334,585 in Europe while the death toll also rose by 40, taking the total to 9,677. 

On the contrary, the latest positive remarks from the German Economy Ministry over the EUR economy become the key factor that helps the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. As per the keywords, “the economy is expected to show by far the highest quarterly growth rate ever recorded in Q3, though indicators signal a slowed continuation of the recovery process in Q4.” He further added ” COVID-19 effects on the labor market are still significant, slight improvement is already apparent.

The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September, which is expected 75 versus 74.1 prior, will likely help resolve near-term USD moves. Furthermore, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for the fresh direction.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 122.75

S2 123.4

S3 123.65

Pivot Point 124.05

R1 124.3

R2 124.71

R3 125.36

The EUR/JPY has already violated the double bottom support level of 123.922 level and closing of candle below this area is likely to drive selling trend until next support area of 123.350 level. On the further lower side, the EUR/JPY may find the next support at 123.270. 

Entry Price – Sell 123.81

Stop Loss – 124.21

Take Profit – 123.41

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/NZD Failed To Gain Any Positive Traction – Quick Update on Signal! 

The AUD/NZD currency pair failed to extend its early-day winning streak and remain flat around 1.0753/70 region, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, which eventually undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. However, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the intensification of the Sino-American tussle, and the uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighed on the market trading tone. 

The AUD/NZD currency pair failed to extend its early-day winning streak and remain flat around 1.0753/70 region, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, which eventually undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. However, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the intensification of the Sino-American tussle, and the uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighed on the market trading tone. 

The AUD/NZD currency pair failed to extend its early-day winning streak and remain flat around 1.0753/70 region, mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, which eventually undermined the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. However, the market trading sentiment was being pressured by the intensification of the Sino-American tussle, and the uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighed on the market trading tone. 

Meanwhile, the downbeat reports that Johnson & Johnson paused the coronavirus vaccine trails also played its major role in weakening the market risk mood, which adds further burden around the currency pair. Across the pond, the bearish tone around the currency pair could also be associated with the fresh reports suggesting that Australia becomes the largest customer of New Zealand, which eventually underpinned the NZD currency and contributes to the currency pair losses. 

In the meantime, the election expectations in New Zealand also favored the NZD bulls as the current Prime Minister (PM) Jacinda Ardern is a market favorite due to her ability to safeguard, which keeps the NZD currency supportive and dragged the currency pair down. At the moment, the AUD/NZD currency pair is currently trading at 1.0771 and consolidating in the range between 1.0753 – 1.0775.

However, the market risk tone has been sluggish since the day started due to various factors. Be it the U.S. lawmakers’ failure to offer any positive announcement on the coronavirus (COVID-19) relief package or the fresh escalation in the Sino-American tussle, not to forget the delay in the COVID-19 vaccine, these all factors have been weighing on the market risk tone. This, in turn, underpinned the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair declines. 

As per the latest report, the Eli Lilly and Co. (NYSE: LLY) paused the government-led clinical trial of its COVID-19 antibody treatment a day after Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) delayed clinical trials for its COVID-19 vaccine due to an unexplained illness in a participant. This, in turn, increased the safe-haven demand in the market. Thus, the downbeat market mood exerted some additional pressure on the perceived riskier Australian dollar.

Moreover, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the rising coronavirus cases in the U.S. and Europe, fueling worries about global economic recovery. According to the coronavirus (COVID-19) data from Johns Hopkins University data., the number of global cases crossed 38 million as of October 14. Whereas the U.S. still not showing any signs of decreasing infection rates, which raised concerns over the economic recovery. At the Europe front, the daily new confirmed cases grew 5,132 to 334,585 in Europe while the death toll also rose by 40, taking the total to 9,677. There were additional 4,122 cases the previous day with 13 death, as per the latest data.

Besides, the currency pair’s losses were further bolstered by the prevalent concerns about a row with China over coal imports, which also weighed on the market sentiment and undermined the Australian currency. The 2-major factors have been dominating the AUD currency. Firstly, China appears to have verbally enacted a ban on Australian coal imports. At the same time, China’s Balance of Trade dropped to $37.0 billion in September, which undermined the AUD currency and dragged the currency pair down.

Across the ocean, the bearish tone around the currency pair could also be associated with the fresh reports suggesting that Australia becomes the largest customer of New Zealand, which eventually underpinned the NZD currency and contributes to the currency pair losses. Furthermore, New Zealand is ready for a general election on October 17, which is seen as a positive for the NZD currency as the current Prime Minister (PM) Jacinda Ardern is a market favorite due to her abilities, which in turn, strengthed the kiwi dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the release of the US PPI figures for September. Meanwhile, FOMC members and the RBNZ policymaker’s scheduled speeches will key to watch for some meaningful trading direction. Apart from this, the ongoing drama surrounding the US-China relations and updates about the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance. 


Entry Price – Buy 1.07734

Stop Loss – 1.07334

Take Profit – 1.08134

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, 14th October – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. PPI Figures Ahead! 

On the news side, the focus will remain on the Core PPI and PPI figures that are likely to underperform compared with the previous month’s data, with this, the dollar may get weaker against other currencies. However, the FOMC members’ speeches will be worth monitoring to predict further market action. 

On the news side, the focus will remain on the Core PPI and PPI figures that are likely to underperform compared with the previous month’s data, with this, the dollar may get weaker against other currencies. However, the FOMC members’ speeches will be worth monitoring to predict further market action. 

On the news side, the focus will remain on the Core PPI and PPI figures that are likely to underperform compared with the previous month’s data, with this, the dollar may get weaker against other currencies. However, the FOMC members’ speeches will be worth monitoring to predict further market action. 

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD closed at 1.17451 after placing a high of 1.18154 and a low of 1.17301. The EUR/USD pair dropped on Tuesday amid the strength of the U.S. dollar, dampened hopes of a coronavirus vaccine, and the rising number of coronavirus cases from the Eurozone along with the rising unemployment fears in the Euro area.

Euro currency remained stressed on Tuesday due to the strength of its rival U.S. dollar across the board. The impasse over the U.S. stimulus package after the comments from U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that the newly proposed stimulus relief bill from the U.S. President was not sufficient to meet Americans’ requirements gave strength to the U.S. dollar. The strength of the U.S. dollar weighed on EUR/USD pair on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, the market’s risk appetite was declined by Johnson & Johnson’s recent decision to halt the trials of their COVID-19 vaccine. The dampened hopes of a coronavirus vaccine weighed on the riskier currency Euro and dragged the prices of the EUR/USD pair further on the downside.

Furthermore, the coronavirus pandemic situation in European nations escalated and raised fears for the Eurozone’s economic recovery. The Eurozone’s economic prospects were also down because of the increased uncertainty about the Brexit deal and the U.S. presidential elections. The rising uncertainty caused an increased demand for safe-haven greenback that ultimately added to the EUR/USD pair’s losses on Tuesday.

Moreover, at 10:59 GMT, the German Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September remained in-line with the expectations of -0.2%. At 14:00 GMT, the ZEW Economic Sentiment from Eurozone dropped to 52.3 against the forecasted 72.0 and the previous 73.9 in October and weighed on a single currency added further in EUR/USD pair. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment also dropped in October to 56.1 from the forecasted 74.1 and the previous 77.4 and weighed on Euro that ultimately dragged EUR/USD prices on the downside.

The rising number of coronavirus cases in European nations has forced authorities to impose restrictions, which has raised fears for unemployment. The official data suggested that U.K. unemployment started to grow even before the government imposed new restrictions to control the virus’s spread. These fears continuously weighed on the euro currency and EUR/USD pair.

From the U.S. side, the NFIB Small Business Index came in as 104.0 against the projected 100.9 and supported the U.S. dollar added in the EUR/USD pair’s losses on Tuesday. Simultaneously, the CPI and Core CPI data from the U.S. remained flat with the expectations of 0.2% and had no impact on the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1791    1.1832

1.1767    1.1851

1.1749    1.1874

Pivot point: 1.1809

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD pair traded sharply bearish to break below a solid support area of 1.1780 extended by an upward channel. On the lower side, the EUR/USD is gaining support at 1.1732 level, and the bearish breakout of 1.1732 level may lower the EUR/USD price further than the 1.1697 level. The MACD and RSI favor selling bias, but we may see a slight upward movement until the 1.1764 level before seeing further selling in the pair.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was close at 1.29340 after placing a high of 1.30678 and a low of 1.29216. The British Pound fell sharply on Tuesday amid the rising concerns about the no-deal Brexit and fears over a looming lockdown hurt sentiment.

The chances that the U.K. will leave the E.U. without a trade deal increased after the French government appeared reluctant to give in to U.K. demands over its fisheries’ control. The French foreign minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said that the possibility of the U.K. leaving the E.U. without a trade deal was a credible hypothesis.

The French government has already said that it will not accept any bad deal in fisheries, and this has raised the uncertainty over the deal just ahead of October 15-16 European summit. The E.U. Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier will provide updates on Brexit negotiations at the E.U. summit. Barnier will elaborate on the E.U. summit’s situation on the Brexit’s key sticking points with the details about priorities and the red lines. 

The British Pound remained under pressure as the concerns were raised after the French government’s warning about the no-deal Brexit. This weighed ultimately on the GBP/USD prices. Furthermore, the rising number of coronavirus in the United Kingdom forced the local government to impose further restrictions to control the virus’s spread. PM Boris Johnson said that the rising number of cases in the U.K. was flashing at them like dashboard warnings in a passenger jet. 

Boris Johnson unveiled a new three-tier system that categories areas based on the medium, high, and very high alert levels due to an uptick in coronavirus cases across the country. The U.K. government’s rising restrictions to control the spread of the virus raised fears of economic recovery that weighed on the local currency, which added further losses in the GBP/USD pair.

On the data front, at 04:01 GMT, the BRC Retail Sales Monitor for the year from Britain rose in September to 6.1% from the expected 3.5% and the previous 4.7% and supported British Pound and caped further losses in GBP/USD pair. AT 11:00 GMT, the Claimant Count Change in September dropped to 28.1K against the forecasted 78.8K and the previous 39.5K and supported British Pound. In September, the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.5% from the forecasted 4.3% and weighed on British Pound and added the GBP/USD pair’s additional losses.

At 11:02 GMT, Britain’s Average Earnings Index came in as 0.0% for the quarter against the expected -0.6% and supported GBP. On the other hand, the NFIB Small Business Index was released from the United States at 15:30 GMT and raised to 104.0 from the anticipated 100.9 and supported the U.S. dollar that dragged the GBP/USD pair even downward.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3018    1.3098

1.2971    1.3131

1.1938    1.3177

Pivot point: 1.3051

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2894 level, holding right below an immediate resistance level of 1.2944. The resistance is extended by an intraday horizontal level on the two-hourly timeframes. Below the 1.2944 resistance level, the Sterling can trigger selling until the 1.2894 level and 1.2845 level. On the flip side, a bullish breakout of 1.2944 levels can trigger buying until the 1.2994 level. The leading indicators, such as MACD and RSI, support selling; therefore, it’s worth taking a selling trade below 1.2944 today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY closed at 105.475 after placing a high of 105.625 and a low of 105.234. The risk aversion market sentiment kept the USD/JPY pair on the high on Tuesday. The impasse supported the market sentiment over the U.S. stimulus package, the pandemic spread worldwide, and the pause of vaccine trials by Johnson & Jonson along with the Australian and Chinese recent clash.

The latest talks between Republicans & democrats for a fresh round of stimulus measures also failed to provide meaningful results and weighed on market sentiment. The U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi downplayed the hopes for another round of stimulus package further after saying that the newly proposed package by US Trump was insufficient to meet the United States’ needs.

These dampened hopes over the next round of coronavirus relief bill raised risk aversion market sentiment and supported the U.S. dollar due to its safe-haven status and supported USD/JPY pair. Furthermore, the risk-off market bias was underpinned by the rising number of coronavirus cases across the globe and the governments’ restrictive measures to curb coronavirus’s effect on the economy. The economic recovery concerns raised even further after the IMF report that revealed that business and other economic activities were highly disturbed by the coronavirus pandemic-induced lockdowns. 

However, the IMF projection for the global recession somewhat improved on Tuesday to 4.4% than the previous projection of 5.2% in summer. This projection helped improve the risk sentiment and weighed on the safe-haven Japanese yen that added further gains in the USD/JPY pair.

The U.S. Dollar Index was up by 0.5% on Tuesday after the risk sentiment suffered due to the pause of vaccine trials by Johnson & Johnson. The company paused its trials after an unexpected illness was found in one of the participants. This pause increased the uncertainty over the economic recovery and supported the safe-haven greenback that pushed the USD/JPY pair.

On the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the M2 Money Stock for the year from Japan dropped to 9.0% from the expected 9.1% and weighed on the Japanese Yen that added strength to the USD/JPY pair on Tuesday. At 15:00 GMT, the NFIB Small Business Index for September advanced to 104.0 against the expected 100.9 and previous 100.2 and supported the U.S. dollar that lifted the USD/JPY pair. At 17:30 GMT, the CPI and the Core CPI data from September remained flat with the anticipated 0.2% and had a null-effect on the U.S. dollar.

Furthermore, China reportedly banned imports of Australian coal and left Australian vessels stuck at Chinese ports. These tensions between China and Australia increased concerns and raised uncertainty that helped improve the safe-haven Japanese yen and capped further gains in the USD/JPY pair on Tuesday.

Daily Technical Levels

105.05    105.70

104.82    106.12

104.40    106.36

Pivot point: 105.47

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY traded sideway, with a neutral bias within a narrow trading range of 105.600 level to the 105.250 mark. Most of the selling triggered following the USD/JPY disrupted an upward channel at the 105.900 mark on Monday. The USD/JPY is trading at 105.459 marks, the support that’s was prolonged by double bottom mark on the two-hourly charts. A bearish violation of the 105.450 mark may encourage additional selling unto the 105.070 support level as the MACD, and the 50 periods EMA are in support of selling sentiment today. Let’s consider opening sell trade beneath 105.60 and buying over 105.250 level today. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Signals

Choppy Trading in USD/CAD – Brace for a Breakout Setup! 

Today in the early European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair extended its previous session recovery rally and remains bullish around 1.3144 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the risk-off market mood. However, the reason for the prevalent risk-off market sentiment could be associated with the reports suggesting that the U.K. pharma giant, Johnson, and Johnson, stopped its COVID-19 vaccine trial due to an unexplained illness. This, in turn, underpinned the safe-haven U.S. dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. The on-going uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighs on the market risk-tone, which gives further support to the U.S. dollar and keeps the currency pair higher. 

Today in the early European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair extended its previous session recovery rally and remains bullish around 1.3144 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the risk-off market mood. However, the reason for the prevalent risk-off market sentiment could be associated with the reports suggesting that the U.K. pharma giant, Johnson, and Johnson, stopped its COVID-19 vaccine trial due to an unexplained illness. This, in turn, underpinned the safe-haven U.S. dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. The on-going uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighs on the market risk-tone, which gives further support to the U.S. dollar and keeps the currency pair higher. 

Today in the early European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair extended its previous session recovery rally and remains bullish around 1.3144 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the risk-off market mood. However, the reason for the prevalent risk-off market sentiment could be associated with the reports suggesting that the U.K. pharma giant, Johnson, and Johnson, stopped its COVID-19 vaccine trial due to an unexplained illness. This, in turn, underpinned the safe-haven U.S. dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. The on-going uncertainty over the American stimulus package also weighs on the market risk-tone, which gives further support to the U.S. dollar and keeps the currency pair higher. 

Petroleum Institute data becomes the factor that capped further upside momentum in the currency pair. However, the bullish sentiment around the crude oil prices was being supported by optimism over U.S. President Donald Trump’s negative status for the pandemic. Currently, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3115 and consolidating in the range between 1.3108 – 1.3144.

However, the market trading sentiment failed to extend its previous day bullish moves and remained depressed by combining factors. Be it the worrisome headlines concerning the Brexit or the tension between the US-China, not to forget the coronavirus woes in the U.S. and Europe, the market trading sentiment has been flashing red since the day started, which ultimately keeps the safe-haven assets supportive on the day. 

As per the latest report, the U.K. pharma giant, Johnson and Johnson, delayed its COVID-19 vaccine trial due to an unexplained illness. Moreover, China’s dislike of the White House arms sale to Taiwan and the recent ban from Beijing to use Aussie coal for power stations adds additional pressure around the market sentiment.

This, in turn, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in gaining positive traction on the day. However, the U.S. dollar gains seem rather unaffected by the political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of U.S. elections. Thus, the gains in the U.S. dollar become the key factor that kept the currency pair higher. Whereas, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies, rose by 0.11% to 93.207 by 10:04 PM ET (2:04 AM GMT). However, the bullish sentiment around the crude oil prices could be associated with the positive reports suggesting that the U.S. President Donald Trump’s negative status for the virus infection. 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.3233

S2 1.3272

S3 1.3292

Pivot Point 1.3312

R1 1.3331

R2 1.3351

R3 1.339

The USD/CAD pair is trading sideways within a narrow trading range of 1.3145 – 1.3103 level, which marks double bottom and double top level on the 2-hour timeframe. A bullish breakout of 1.3145 level may lead the USD/CAD price towards the next resistance area of 1.3207 mark, while on the lower side, the support is likely to be found around 1.3040 level today. 

Entry Price – Buy 1.31421

Stop Loss – 1.31021

Take Profit – 1.31821

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/USD Sideways Session Continues – Brace for Sell Position

The EUR/USD failed to stop its previous session losses and further offers around below the 1.1800 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair was boosted after the fresh downbeat released German ZEW headline numbers for October, showing that the Economic Sentiment Index came in at 56.1 against 73.0 expectations 77.4 last. This, in turn, undermined the sentiment around the shared currency and contributed to the currency pair losses. 

The EUR/USD failed to stop its previous session losses and further offers around below the 1.1800 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair was boosted after the fresh downbeat released German ZEW headline numbers for October, showing that the Economic Sentiment Index came in at 56.1 against 73.0 expectations 77.4 last. This, in turn, undermined the sentiment around the shared currency and contributed to the currency pair losses. 

The EUR/USD failed to stop its previous session losses and further offers around below the 1.1800 level. However, the bearish sentiment around the currency pair was boosted after the fresh downbeat released German ZEW headline numbers for October, showing that the Economic Sentiment Index came in at 56.1 against 73.0 expectations 77.4 last. This, in turn, undermined the sentiment around the shared currency and contributed to the currency pair losses. 

Apart from this, the reason for the bearish bias around the currency pair could also be associated with the fresh reports suggesting the re-imposition of stricter restrictions in Germany, Spain, and France to stop the coronavirus second-wave. On the flip side, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the upbeat market sentiment, also played a major role in undermining the currency pair. At the moment, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1793 and consolidating in the range between the 1.1779 – 1.1817.

At the data front, the German ZEW headline numbers for October showed that the Economic Sentiment Index arrived in at 56.1 against 73.0 expectations and 77.4 last. Moreover, the currency pair losses were also bolstered by reports suggesting a sharp rise in the coronavirus cases in Spain, France, and German. It is very downhearted headlines that the second-wave of the virus is picking up pace in Europe once again, which leads re-imposition of stricter restrictions in Germany, Spain, and France to contain the coronavirus second-wave.

According to the coronavirus (COVID-19) data from Germany’s Robert Koch Institute (RKI), the country’s cases rose around ~39,000 as of yesterday while the latest update today added 13 deaths more so that brings the total tally to 9,634 persons. This, in turn, undermined the shared currency and contributed to the currency pair.

Apart from this, the risk sentiment has been flashing red since the Asian session started, witnessed by the S&P 500 Futures’ negative performance. However, the reason for the downbeat trading sentiment could be associated with the worrisome headlines concerning Brexit and on-going tension between the U.S. and China. dislike for the U.S. proposal to the Congress about selling three sales of advanced weaponry to Taiwan recently renewed the trade war saga

At the US-China front, the renewed conflict between the U.S. and China fueled after the Dragon Nation China’s Washington Embassy lashed out at the U.S. passage of the three advanced weaponry sales to Taiwan during late-Monday, per Reuters. As per the latest report, China’s representative said, “China consistently and firmly opposes U.S. arms sales to Taiwan.” This, in turn, added additional pressure around the market sentiment.

Across the pond, the recent coronavirus (COVID-19) warning from the U.S. health official Anthony Fauci and stimulus uncertainty also keep the market trading sentiment under pressure. As per the keywords, “Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIH), suggests another 181,000 deaths in the United States by February. 

As per the latest report, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported 7,740,934 cases of the new coronavirus yesterday, with an increase of 46,069 from its previous count. As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar remains on the bullish track and still reporting gains on the day. However, the U.S. dollar gains were being supported by the reports suggesting that the U.K. pharma giant, Johnson, and Johnson, stopped its COVID-19 vaccine trial due to an unexplained illness, which eventually boosted the safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar.

However, the U.S. dollar gains seem rather unaffected by the U.S. political uncertainty ahead of U.S. elections. Thus, the gains in the U.S. dollar become the key factor that kept the currency pair lower. Whereas, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies, rose by 0.11% to 93.207 by 10:04 PM ET (2:04 AM GMT). Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Furthermore, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will not lose their importance.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.1626

S2 1.1672

S3 1.1694

Pivot Point 1.1718

R1 1.174

R2 1.1764

R3 1.181

The EUR/USD pair is supported over 1.1790 level, which marks double bottom level on the 4-hour timeframe. Above this level, the EUR/USD is likely to bounce off until the 1.1811 level, and the bullish breakout of the 1.1831 level can also extend buying until the next target level of 1.1870. Conversely, the bearish breakout of the 1.1790 level can extend the selling trend until the 1.1750 level.

Entry Price – Buy 1.17872

Stop Loss – 1.18272

Take Profit – 1.17472

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/JPY Breaks Below Upward Channel at 124.850 – Quick Update on Sell Signal! 

Today in the European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and remain depressed around below the 124.50 marks. However, the bearish bias around the currency pair could be associated with upbeat Japan’s Machinery Orders data, underpinning the Japanese yen currency and contributing to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, Europe’s intensified coronavirus concerns undermined the shared currency and add further pessimism around the currency pair. On the contrary, the prevalent market risk-on sentiment tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen, which becomes the key factor that helps the pair to limit its deeper losses. At this particular time, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 124.38 and consolidating in the range between 124.32 – 125.08.

Today in the European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and remain depressed around below the 124.50 marks. However, the bearish bias around the currency pair could be associated with upbeat Japan’s Machinery Orders data, underpinning the Japanese yen currency and contributing to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, Europe’s intensified coronavirus concerns undermined the shared currency and add further pessimism around the currency pair. On the contrary, the prevalent market risk-on sentiment tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen, which becomes the key factor that helps the pair to limit its deeper losses. At this particular time, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 124.38 and consolidating in the range between 124.32 – 125.08.

Today in the European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair failed to stop its previous session losing streak and remain depressed around below the 124.50 marks. However, the bearish bias around the currency pair could be associated with upbeat Japan’s Machinery Orders data, underpinning the Japanese yen currency and contributing to the currency pair declines. Apart from this, Europe’s intensified coronavirus concerns undermined the shared currency and add further pessimism around the currency pair. On the contrary, the prevalent market risk-on sentiment tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen, which becomes the key factor that helps the pair to limit its deeper losses. At this particular time, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 124.38 and consolidating in the range between 124.32 – 125.08.

As we all well aware that the coronavirus resurgence in Europe is intensifying, which fueled the worries over the EUR economic recovery. As per the latest report, France has reported record-high new daily cases of approximately 27K during the recession. At the Spain front, Catalonia and Navarre’s regions will tighten restrictions on working and public gatherings after the continued rise in COVID-19 cases, which keeps the shard currency under pressure and contributed to the currency pair losses.

Across the pond, the market trading sentiment has been flashing mixed signals since the day started. Be it the American lawmakers’ failure to offer any positive announcement on the coronavirus (COVID-19) relief package or the on-going in the Sino-American tussle, not to forget the no-deal Brexit fears, these all factors have been weighing on the market risk tone. This, in turn, underpinned the safe-haven Japanese yen and dragged the currency pair further lower.

Across the pond, upbeat Japan’s Machinery Orders data also supported the Japanese yen currency, which keeps the currency pair under pressure. At the data front, the August month’s Machinery Orders recovered from -16.2% previous and -15.6% forecast to -15.2% YoY. On the other hand, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for September dropped below -0.5% expected and previous readings to -0.8%.

On the contrary, the market risk sentiment recently got lift by the positive reports suggesting that Trump had fully recovered from his bout with COVID-19. These hopes were further fueled after his physician Sean Conley stating that he is no longer an infection risk. This, in turn, boosted the market trading sentiment and helped the currency pair limit its deeper losses.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 121.85

S2 122.64

S3 123.04

Pivot Point 123.43

R1 123.83

R2 124.22

R3 125

Technically, the EUR/JPY is trading at 124.450 level, having violated the upward channel supporting the pair at 124.800 level. For now, the EUR/JPY may find resistance at 124.800, and on the lower side, the pair may drop until 124.247. The leading indicators, such as MACD and RSI, are holding below 50, suggesting the odds of further selling bias among traders. Check out the forex trading signal below… 

Entry Price – Buy 124.439

Stop Loss – 124.839

Take Profit – 124.039

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

Gold Upward Channel Supports Buying in Gold – Brace for Buying! 

The yellow metal prices failed to extend its previous session winning streak and edged lower around $1,919 during the European trading session. However, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength could be considered one of the main reasons behind the yellow-metal fresh selling bias. The gains in the U.S. dollar came into existence after the U.S. House Speaker Pelosi rejected Friday’s proposal from Trump, concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package worth near $1.8 trillion. 

The yellow metal prices failed to extend its previous session winning streak and edged lower around $1,919 during the European trading session. However, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength could be considered one of the main reasons behind the yellow-metal fresh selling bias. The gains in the U.S. dollar came into existence after the U.S. House Speaker Pelosi rejected Friday’s proposal from Trump, concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package worth near $1.8 trillion. 

The yellow metal prices failed to extend its previous session winning streak and edged lower around $1,919 during the European trading session. However, the broad-based U.S. dollar strength could be considered one of the main reasons behind the yellow-metal fresh selling bias. The gains in the U.S. dollar came into existence after the U.S. House Speaker Pelosi rejected Friday’s proposal from Trump, concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package worth near $1.8 trillion. 

Besides this, the market risk-on sentiment, backed by the hopes of Trump’s health recovery from the COVID-19 infections, also weighed on the yellow metal price. Subsequently, the logic behind the risk-on market sentiment could also be connected with the vaccine’s positive reports and treatment for the extremely infectious coronavirus. On the contrary, the prevalent rise in the COVID-19 cases from the U.K. and Europe and the no-deal Brexit fears keep challenging the market risk-on sentiment, helping the bullion prices limit its deeper losses. Apart from this, the US-China long-lasting tussle also questions the market sentiment upside momentum, which also caps further downside for the gold. AS of writing, the yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,921.49 and consolidating in the range between 1,919.20 – 1,933.37.

Even though the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi refused Friday’s U.S. President Donald Trump’s aid package proposal of $1.8 trillion, the market trading sentiment remains positive, possibly due to the positive reports suggesting that the Trump had fully recovered from his bout with COVID-19. These hopes were further fueled after his physician Sean Conley stating that he is no longer an infection risk. This, in turn, boosted the market trading sentiment and undermined the safe-haven metal prices.

Additionally, the market trading sentiment was supported by the hopes of the coronavirus vaccine. Thus the positive tone surrounding the market trading sentiment was seen as one of the key factors that kept the gold prices under pressure. 

Despite the upbeat market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in extending its previous-session gains and took further bids on the day amid the stalled stimulus talk that tends to underpin the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar gains could be short-lived or temporary as concerns over the economic recovery could be stopped because of the resurgence of coronavirus cases and U.S. post-election uncertainty. Although, the U.S. dollar gains kept the gold prices under pressure, as the price of gold is inversely associated with the U.S. dollar price. 

On the contrary, the worries over the resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic have been destroying the support of the global economic improvement, which holds challenging the market trading sentiment and help the yellow-metal prices to limit its deeper losses. As per the latest report, France reported record 27,000 new cases while German infections are surging by the most since April.

At the US-China front, the long-lasting tussle between the United States and China remain on the cards as both parties continuously using very harsh words for each other. This, in turn, added further questions around the market trading sentiment and became the key portion that held the cap on any additional losses in the safe-haven metal prices.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1847.32

S2 1874.78

S3 1887.18

Pivot Point 1902.24

R1 1914.64

R2 1929.7

R3 1957.16

The yellow metal gold has risen sharply to trade at 1,928 marks; however, the neutral candle’s closing beneath 1,932 levels implies mixed inclination among traders. Gold is traded over 1,919 levels, and closing of candles beyond 1,919 mark may induce an upward shift in the market. On the upper side, a breach of 1,932 may drive gold higher towards 1,943 and 1,952 marks. In contrast, a bearish breakout of 1,919 levels may lead the gold price towards 1,907 levels today. Mixed bias prevails due to holidays in the United States. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, 12th October – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Bank Holiday! 

On the news front, the market is likely to exhibit slight movements as the U.S. and Canadian banks are closed in Columbus’s observance and thanksgiving holiday. Therefore, most of the focus should stay on the technical side of the market today.

On the news front, the market is likely to exhibit slight movements as the U.S. and Canadian banks are closed in Columbus’s observance and thanksgiving holiday. Therefore, most of the focus should stay on the technical side of the market today.

On the news front, the market is likely to exhibit slight movements as the U.S. and Canadian banks are closed in Columbus’s observance and thanksgiving holiday. Therefore, most of the focus should stay on the technical side of the market today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  


 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.18296 after placing a high of 1.18308 and a low of 1.17478. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The EUR/USD raised to its more than 2-weeks highest level on Friday on the back of lifted sentiment in the market after the renewed hopes for a U.S. stimulus package. EUR/USD pair rose on Friday despite the increasing tensions regarding the coronavirus pandemic.

The second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Eurozone forced governments across the region to start implementing fresh restrictions mostly on leisure activities like bars, pubs, and restaurants. The Chief Economist of European Central Bank, Philip Lane, said that the next phase of coronavirus would be tougher for the European economy.

Lane said that the central bank would wait to see the government’s response to the coronavirus challenge as they publish their budgets for 2021; by saying so, he dampened expectations for fresh stimulus from the ECB by this month. The news that the ECB will not announce any stimulus measure by the end of this month despite rising coronavirus cases raised the risk sentiment and pushed EUR/USD pair on board. 

On the other hand, Trump, who said earlier this week that talks between Republicans & Democrats will be halted until elections, said that he wanted a bigger stimulus package for Americans on Friday. The U-turn by Trump for the coronavirus stimulus package came in after polls suggested a victory of Joe Biden in upcoming elections due to his support for the big stimulus package.

The talks between Nancy Pelosi and Steven Mnuchin resumed on Friday after Trump gave the go-ahead stimulus package. These developments raised risk sentiment in the market as the hopes increased that a package will be delivered before the elections. This, in turn, weighed on the U.S. dollar, and that ultimately pushed the already rising EUR/USD pair on the upside towards more than 2—weeks highest level.

Meanwhile, at 11:45 GMT, the French Industrial Production for August declined to 1.3% from the expected 2.1% and weighed on Euro on the data front. At 13:00 GMT, the Italian Industrial Production for August raised to 7.7% from the expected 1.3% and supported the single currency that ultimately added further in the EUR/USD pair upside momentum.

From the U.S. side, the Final Wholesale Inventories dropped to 0.4% from the forecasted 0.5% and supported the U.S. dollar that capped further gains in EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1734     1.1784

1.1708     1.1808

1.1684     1.1834

Pivot point: 1.1758

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

On Monday, the EUR/USD is trading with a bullish bias around 1.1798 level, having an immediate resistance at 1.1832 level. A bullish crossover of 1.1832 level may lead the EUR/USD pair further higher until the 1.1870 mark. At the same time, the support continues to stay at 1.1798 level. The violation of the symmetric triangle pattern nad an upward channel is supported by bullish bias in the EUR/USD pair today. Let’s consider taking a buy trade over 1.1798 level today. 

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.30441 after placing a high of 1.30489 and a low of 1.29135. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The GBP/USD pair moved to its one month’s highest level on Friday after the U.S. dollar came under pressure over fresh stimulus hopes. In the absence of any latest development surrounding the Brexit talks, the GBP/USD pair continued following the U.S. dollar’s movements.

Wall Street’s main indexes remained in the positive territory for the third straight day on Friday after Trump gave the go-ahead for talks over the next round of the stimulus package. Earlier this week, Trump ordered to halt further talks with Democrats over the stimulus package till elections. But later, he decided sideways and said that he wanted a small stimulus package specifically for airline workers. And now, on Friday, Trump said that he wanted to give a big stimulus package to Americans before the elections. He proposed a $1.8 trillion package and approved further talks. The latest proposed package will include checks to individuals and an extension of the paycheck protection program.

The U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi resumed talks on the revised package of 1.8 trillion dollars on Friday. This gave hopes that the package will be delivered before elections and supported the GBP/USD pair’s risk sentiment.

On the Brexit front, on Friday, an E.U. diplomat said that European Union chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier wanted a few more concessions from Britain before entering the last intense phase of negotiations on a trade deal.

The two main negotiators from the E.U. side, Barnier and David Frost, said they were inching towards a deal. However, they also said that important gaps remained on fishing, level playing field, and governance issues. 

As we already know, the PM Boris Johnson has given the 15th October deadline to reach a deal, and given this deadline, before reaching the final round of make-or-break negotiations, Barnier has asked for a few more concessions. It remains that Johnson will allow for a further concession or not; however, both sides have confirmed that they were prepared for a no-deal scenario if needed. 

Furthermore, France has sharpened its tone on fishing rights and warned that an agreement on the fishing issue with the United Kingdom would be an integral part of the Brexit deal, and its proposals have fallen short. The French Minister of the Sea Annick Girardin said that the U.K. had made unacceptable proposals, and the nation’s fisherman has said in response that they would prefer no-deal over a bad one.

On the data front, at 11:00 GMT, the Construction Output for August dropped to 3.0% against the forecasted 5.1% and weighed on GBP/USD pair. August’s GDP also fell to 2.1% from the forecasted 4.6% and weighed on GBP/USD pair. 

The Goods Trade Balance came in line with the expectations of -9.0B. The Index of Services for the quarter raised 7.1% from the forecasted 7.0% and supported British Pound. The Industrial Production for August decreased to 0.3% from the projected 2.6% and weighed on GBP. The Manufacturing Production for August also declined to 0.7% from the projected 3.2% and weighed on British Pound. Despite poor than expected macroeconomic data from Great Britain, the GBP/USD pair raised in the market to its one month’s highest level on the back of improved risk sentiment amid Brexit and U.S. stimulus package developments.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2921     1.3013

1.2863     1.3049

1.2828     1.3106

Pivot Point: 1.2956

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.3043 level, holding right below an immediate resistance level of 1.3063. The resistance is extended by an upward channels’ trendline on the two-hourly timeframes. Below the 1.3063 resistance level, the Sterling can trigger selling until the 1.3003 level and 1.2959 level. On the higher side, a bullish breakout of 1.3063 levels can trigger buying until the 1.3127 level. The fundamental side is muted today, and the U.S. banks are closed in the observance of Columbus day; therefore, we may experience thin volatility 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.603 after placing a high of 106.039 and a low of 105.579. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bearish throughout the day. On Friday, the USD/JPY pair dropped and reversed its direction as the U.S. President Donald Trump took a U-turn from his earlier statements related to the U.S. stimulus package. The market moved against the U.S. dollar and made it weak across the board after hopes for Joe Biden to win the election increased, and Trump approved stimulus talks.

On Friday, the U.S. President Donald Trump said he wanted a new and big stimulus package than earlier proposed in a radio interview. He said that he wanted to provide checks to Americans before elections. Whereas, earlier this week, Trump said that he wanted to halt further talks till elections, and after that, he said that he wanted a small stimulus package for airline workers.

The U-turn by U.S. President over the stimulus package gave a boost to risk sentiment as it increased the hopes that the package will be delivered before the elections. This weighed on the U.S. dollar, and the pair USD/JPY suffered on Friday. Furthermore, on Friday, Larry Kudlow said that Trump had approved the talks for a new proposed stimulus package worth $1.8 trillion. The talks for it have resumed on Friday between U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. 

On the data front, at 04:30 GMT, the Average Cash Earnings for the year declined to -1.3% against the forecasted -1.2% and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The Household Spending for the year from Japan also dropped to -6.9% from the forecasted -6.6% and weighed on the Japanese Yen. Despite Japan’s negative macroeconomic data, the USD/JPY pair remained bearish throughout the day amid broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. From the U.S. side, the Final Wholesale Inventories for August were released at 19:00 GMT that dropped to 0.4%from the projected 0.5% and supported the U.S. dollar. However, traders ignored the U.S. data as the focus was shifted completely towards the U.S. stimulus developments.

On the other hand, the United Kingdom’s coronavirus situation worsened as one of the U.K.’s top scientists warned that the country was at a tipping point. He said that more deaths from the viruses would follow a rise in cases in the coming weeks. He added that country was facing a similar situation that it last seen in March. The rising number of coronavirus cases worldwide raised safe-haven appeal and supported the Japanese Yen and weighed on the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.53    105.80

105.42     105.98

105.25     106.08

Pivot point: 105.70

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY traded sharply bearish to drop from 105.900 level to 105.450 mark. Most of the selling triggered after the USD/JPY violated an upward channel at 105.900 level. Currently, the USD/JPY pair is trading at 105.459 level, the support level that’s extended by double bottom level. A bearish breakout of 105.450 level may drive further selling until the 105.070 support level as the MACD, and the 50 periods EMA are in support of selling bias today. Let’s consider opening sell trade below 105.40 level today. Good luck!  

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/JPY Upward Channel Underpins Bullish Trend – An Update on Signal 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/JPY currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 125.00 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the prevalent optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, which tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair gains. Moreover, the market risk tone was further boosted by the increasing expectations of further US stimulus package, which provided further boost to the currency pair. 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/JPY currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 125.00 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the prevalent optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, which tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair gains. Moreover, the market risk tone was further boosted by the increasing expectations of further US stimulus package, which provided further boost to the currency pair. 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/JPY currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 125.00 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the prevalent optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, which tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair gains. Moreover, the market risk tone was further boosted by the increasing expectations of further US stimulus package, which provided further boost to the currency pair. 

On the contrary, Europe’s quickly rising coronavirus (COVID-19) cases fueled the worries over the EUR economy recovery, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. Meanwhile, the latest report that the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid also played a major role in capping further currency pair gains. As of writing, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 124.97 and consolidating in the range between 124.51 – 125.02.

As we already mentioned that the equity market has been flashing green since the day started. The reason could be associated with the major positive catalysts. Be it the renewed probabilities of the further stimulus package or optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, not to forget the upbeat China data, these all factors favor the market trading sentiment, which could be considered the main factors that kept the currency pair higher. 

It should be noted that the US President Donald Trump stepped back from his earlier ‘NO’ to the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package talks. However, US President Donald Trump is ready to shift towards the large scale bill, which propels the market’s risk sentiment and weighs on the safe-haven Japanese yen. Apart from this, the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine’s hopes also favored the market risk tone, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven US Japanese yen and contributed to the currency pair gains.

As per the latest report, China joins the World Health Organization’s virus vaccine program after returning from one week-long holiday, which initially fueled the hopes of a disease cure. Meanwhile, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the positive reports that Gilead and Regeneron’s vaccine research efforts will offer strong results to stop the virus.

On the contrary, the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid as the COVID-19 cases in the UK and Germany are also worrisome. At the coronavirus front, the coronavirus cases grew to 314,660, with a total of 9,589 deaths toll, according to the German disease and epidemic control center, Robert Koch Institute (RKI) report. In the meantime, the cases rose by 4,516 on the day while the death toll rose by 11. The daily rise in new cases topped 4,000 for the second day in a row, the highest numbers since April 10. These virus fears could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional currency pair gains.

In the absence of the major data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on the Canadian jobs data. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for the fresh direction.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 121.85

S2 122.64

S3 123.04

Pivot Point 123.43

R1 123.83

R2 124.22

R3 125

The EUR/JPY has violated the triple top resistance level of 124.850 mark, and now this is opening further room for buying until the next resistance level of 125.300 level. On the lower side, the support continues to stay at 124.850 level. The MACD and the 50 periods EMA are also supporting the buying trend today and check out a trading plan below.

Entry Price – Buy 124.933

Stop Loss – 124.533

Take Profit – 125.333

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/USD Violated Symmetric Triangle Pattern – Brace for Selling! 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/USD currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 1.1800 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the market risk-on sentiment. However, the market risk tone was being supported by optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus. 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/USD currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 1.1800 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the market risk-on sentiment. However, the market risk tone was being supported by optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus. 

During the Friday’s European trading hours, the EUR/USD currency pair succeeded to extend its previous session gaining streak and hit the intra-day high level around above 1.1800 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the market risk-on sentiment. However, the market risk tone was being supported by optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus. 

Meanwhile, the increasing expectations of further U.S. stimulus packages also boosted the market trading sentiment, which keeps the U.S. dollar lower. Apart from this, the United States’ political uncertainty also weighs on the broad-based U.S. dollar, which provided an additional boost to the currency pair. 

On the contrary, Europe’s quickly rising coronavirus (COVID-19) cases fueled the worries over the EUR economy recovery, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair. Meanwhile, the latest report that the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid also played a significant role in capping further currency pair gains.

However, the reason for the risk-on market sentiment could be associated with the renewed probabilities of the further stimulus package, triggered after the U.S. President Donald Trump stepped back from his earlier ‘NO’ to the coronavirus (COVID-19) aid package talks. This was witnessed after the discussions between House of Representative Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin over the U.S. stimulus package resumed overnight. Apart from this, the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine’s hopes also favored the market risk tone, which eventually underpinned the safe-haven U.S. dollar. 

As per the latest report, China joins the World Health Organization’s virus vaccine program after returning from one week-long holiday, which initially fueled the hopes of a disease cure. Meanwhile, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the positive reports that Gilead and Regeneron’s vaccine research efforts will offer strong results to stop the virus.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its previous session losing streak & remained depressed during the European session as the investors continue to sell U.S. dollars on the back of the U.S. fiscal stimulus hopes, which keeps the market sentiment bullish. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar losses could also be associated with political uncertainty in the U.S. ahead of U.S. elections. Thus, the losses in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair higher.

On the contrary, the Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid as the COVID-19 cases in the U.K. and Germany are also worrisome. At the coronavirus front, the coronavirus cases grew to 314,660, with a total of 9,589 deaths toll, according to the German disease and epidemic control center, Robert Koch Institute (RKI) report. In the meantime, the cases rose by 4,516 on the day while the death toll rose by 11. The daily rise in new cases topped 4,000 for the second day in a row, the highest numbers since April 10. These virus fears could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional currency pair gains.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.1626

S2 1.1672

S3 1.1694

Pivot Point 1.1718

R1 1.174

R2 1.1764

R3 1.181

The EUR/USD pair is consolidating below 1.1780 level, and the closing of candles below the triple top resistance level of 1.1780 level may drive the selling trend in the EUR/USD pair until the support level of 1.1758 and 1.1740 level. Conversely, the bullish breakout of the 1.1780 level can trigger a sharp buying trend until today’s 1.1807 mark. Checkout a trading signal below.. 

Entry Price – Sell 1.17755

Stop Loss – 1.18155

Take Profit – 1.17355

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

Overbought Gold Braces for Bearish Correction – Brace for a Sell! 

The yellow metal prices extended its early-day bullish rally and remained well bids around above the 1,900 level. However, the bullish sentiment around the bullion prices could be associated with the broadly weaker U.S. dollar. The risk-on market sentiment undermined that. Meanwhile, the U.S.’s prevailing political uncertainty also pushed the U.S. dollar down for the second consecutive day. Thus, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered one of the key factors that kept the gold prices higher as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. Apart from this, the surge in the coronavirus (COVID-19) numbers in the U.K. and Europe also favoring the yellow-metal bulls. 

The yellow metal prices extended its early-day bullish rally and remained well bids around above the 1,900 level. However, the bullish sentiment around the bullion prices could be associated with the broadly weaker U.S. dollar. The risk-on market sentiment undermined that. Meanwhile, the U.S.’s prevailing political uncertainty also pushed the U.S. dollar down for the second consecutive day. Thus, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered one of the key factors that kept the gold prices higher as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. Apart from this, the surge in the coronavirus (COVID-19) numbers in the U.K. and Europe also favoring the yellow-metal bulls. 

The yellow metal prices extended its early-day bullish rally and remained well bids around above the 1,900 level. However, the bullish sentiment around the bullion prices could be associated with the broadly weaker U.S. dollar. The risk-on market sentiment undermined that. Meanwhile, the U.S.’s prevailing political uncertainty also pushed the U.S. dollar down for the second consecutive day. Thus, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered one of the key factors that kept the gold prices higher as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. Apart from this, the surge in the coronavirus (COVID-19) numbers in the U.K. and Europe also favoring the yellow-metal bulls. 

In the meantime, the U.S. geopolitical tension with the Middle East and China provided an additional boost to the safe-haven metal prices. On the contrary, the optimism over a potential vaccine/treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus and hopes of the further stimulus package keep the market trading sentiment bullish, which could be considered as the key factor that cap further upside momentum for the gold prices. Whereas, the Trump recovery from the COVID-19 infection also offers an additional reason for the market traders to remain hopeful. The yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,909.87 and consolidating in the range between 1,893.78 – 1,912.96.

Despite the ongoing Sino-US tussle and worries concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, the market trading sentiment extended its early-day positive tone and remained supportive by combining factors. As in result, the S&P 500 Futures gain over 0.40%, whereas Japan’s Nikkei slips four points to 23,643 as of writing. Hence, the basis for the risk-on market trading bias could be connected to the positive headlines implying that the discussions between House of Representative Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin over the U.S. stimulus package resumed overnight. While President Donald Trump announced that discussions with Congress have resumed despite stopped the coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus talks until the Nov. 3 presidential election. However, this helped the market’s risk sentiment and undermined the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven demand.

Apart from this, Trump continues to recover from the COVID-19 infection. Whereas the White House physician Sean Conley said that Trump completed his therapy course, and his condition remains stable since returning to the White House on Monday.

Across the ocean, the tensions between the U.S. and China and the surge in the coronavirus (COVID-19) numbers in the U.K. and Europe keep challenging the market risk-on tone. Although the Dragon Nation has recently started facing global pressure against its treatment of Uighur Muslims, 18 Iranian banks were sanctions off-late by the U.S. State Department to curb Tehran’s financial access help further safe-haven yellow metal.

At the coronavirus front, the ongoing rise in COVID-19 cases globally continues to fuel worries concerning the global economic outlook for the foreseeable tomorrow. As per the latest report, Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Pedro Sánchez announced a state of emergency in Madrid while the calls of closing the pubs and restaurants in the U.K. have been out and clear off-late. Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on updates surrounding the Sino-US tussle and stimulus headlines. Whereas China’s return and Caixin Services PMI will be key to watch. In the meantime, the 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1847.32

S2 1874.78

S3 1887.18

Pivot Point 1902.24

R1 1914.64

R2 1929.7

R3 1957.16

Gold has risen distinctly to trade at 1,912 marks, but the neutral candle’s closing below 1,912 levels implies mixed bias amongst traders. Hence, another formation of bearish engulfing or tweezers top pattern may begin bearish correction/retracement in gold. On the downside, gold may gain support at 1,906 and 1,899. Conversely, a bullish breakout of 1,912 stand-level may prolong the buying trend until the 1,919 level.

Entry Price – Sell 1909.74

Stop Loss – 1915.74

Take Profit – 1902.24

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$600/ +$750

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$60/ +$75

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, 09th October – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.K. GDP in Highlights 

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of economic events from the U.K., especially the GDP m/m, Goods Trade Balance, and Industrial Production m/m. The sterling may suffer today as the GDP and Construction Output are forecasted to be worse than before. Besides, the Canadian economy will also remain in highlights for the release of Employment Change and Unemployment Rate as both of these are expected to report negative data.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of economic events from the U.K., especially the GDP m/m, Goods Trade Balance, and Industrial Production m/m. The sterling may suffer today as the GDP and Construction Output are forecasted to be worse than before. Besides, the Canadian economy will also remain in highlights for the release of Employment Change and Unemployment Rate as both of these are expected to report negative data.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of economic events from the U.K., especially the GDP m/m, Goods Trade Balance, and Industrial Production m/m. The sterling may suffer today as the GDP and Construction Output are forecasted to be worse than before. Besides, the Canadian economy will also remain in highlights for the release of Employment Change and Unemployment Rate as both of these are expected to report negative data.

Economic Events to Watch Today  


 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17599 after placing a high of 1.17815 and a low of 1.17325. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained flat throughout the day. The EUR/USD pair remained flat on Thursday as it closed its day on the same level it was started with. The earlier decline in the EUR/USD pair was due to the rising concerns mentioned in monetary policy accounts. At the same time, the surge in the EUR/USD pair was caused by the latest comments from President Trump about the U.S. stimulus deal.

The ECB issued its September’s monetary policy meeting minutes on Thursday that suggested that ECB could roll out more stimulus later this year as the Bank was more concerned about the pandemic hit economy than analysts had previously thought. 

The minutes revealed that ECB was more concerned about the inflation trajectory and Euro than market participants anticipated. The Euro struggled to find demand after the release of minutes that suggested that further stimulus was not too distant in the future amid an uncertain economic outlook. The ECB officials’ tone in the September meeting minutes was in contrast to the ECB President Christine Lagarde’s speech that showed no concerns about the rising Euro and was optimistic about the Eurozone economy.

Lagarde had said that the strong rebound in activity was broadly in line with previous projections. Whereas, the ECB accounts showed that members preferred the Bank to remain flexible on policy and have concerns about the pace of inflation.

Furthermore, the Vice President of the European Central Bank, Luis de Guindos, said that ECB has to use its tools at its disposal as the coronavirus pandemic depresses inflation expectations. These concerns weighed on single currency euro and dragged the prices of the EUR/USD pair in the early trading session. Whereas, in the late trading session, the U.S. President Donald Trump said that he favored a mini-accord focused on airlines and checks to all Americans. After terminating talks with Democrats for further stimulus, these comments raised hopes that some packages will be announced soon. This weighed on the U.S. dollar and raised the EUR/USD pair in the late trading session and closed the day at the opening level that provided flat movement in the pair.

On the data front, at 10:59 GMT, the German Trade Balance for August dropped to 15.7B from the projected 17.1B and weighed on single currency Euro. Whereas from the U.S. side, the Unemployment claims during last week rose to 840K against the expected 820K and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added strength to EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1734    1.1784

1.1708    1.1808

1.1684    1.1834

Pivot point: 1.1758

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD pair is consolidating below 1.1780 level, and the closing of candles below the triple top resistance level of 1.1780 level may drive the selling trend in the EUR/USD pair until the support level of 1.1758 and 1.1740 level. Conversely, the bullish breakout of the 1.1780 level can trigger a sharp buying trend until today’s 1.1807 marks.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.29340 after placing a high of 1.29702 and a low of 1.28913. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The Governor of the Bank of England’s positive comments and Trump’s support for the U.S. stimulus package pushed GBP/USD pair higher on grounds on Thursday. GBP/USD pair raised and extended its previous day’s gains despite rising concerns over the coronavirus situation in the U.K. and Brexit deal.

On Thursday, the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said that the Bank was not out of power to handle the downside risks faced by the economy as the country focus was shifted to the second wave of the coronavirus crisis. Bailey said that economic recovery has been very uneven, with different sectors gaining more than others. He also said that there was an unprecedented level of uncertainty at the moment, and the risk was very much on the downside, but the Bank was not out of ammunition to fight the crisis yet. 

He added that the Bank has many policy tools that could be used promptly in response to the second wave and third wave if needed. 

Britain experienced a record decline in economic output in the second quarter of this year by a GDP contraction of 19.8%, the biggest drop since the record began in 1955. Bailey said that the country was still in a very big recession, with the economic recovery from the pandemic height very uneven. These comments from Bailey raised British Pound and helped GBP/USD pair to post gains.

The upward trend of the GBP/USD pair was further supported by the latest Trump’s call for a small stimulus package from the U.S. Congress for airline and small businesses. The change of view by Trump over stimulus measure within a day weighed on the U.S. dollar and supported the upward movement of the GBP/USD pair.

 Furthermore, the U.S. dollar was also weighed by the last week’s Unemployment Claims that rose to 840K from the projected 820K last week. The weak U.S. dollar pushed GBP/USD further on the upside on Thursday and extended its gains.

Whereas, the coronavirus cases in the north of England were getting out of control and were under a serious situation. The minister defended the government plans to introduce new restrictions that would include a ban on overnight stays and closing the pubs and restaurants in the worst-affected areas. These potential restrictions to control the coronavirus situation in the U.K. weighed on GBP and capped further gains in GBP/USD pair on Thursday.

On the data front, at 04:01 GMT, the RICS House Price Balance raised to 61% from the expected 39% and supported British Pound that added strength to GBP/USD pair. On the Brexit front, the hopes for a Brexit deal were fading in the market and weighing on British Pound with Boris Johnson giving threats to walk away from talks if the deal was not reached by 15th October. At the same time, E.U. officials have dared Johnson to walk away if he views a deal as impossible. 

According to Bloomberg, the E.U. officials are working on a plan that will find a way to carry on discussions into the second half of October despite some differences remaining on both sides. The uncertain Brexit developments have weighed on British Pound and limited the additional gains in GBP/USD on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2921    1.3013

1.2863   1.3049

1.2828    1.3106

Pivot Point: 1.2956

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2960 level, holding right below an immediate resistance level of 1.2960. The resistance is extended by a double top resistance level on the hourly timeframe. Below the 1.2960 resistance level, the Sterling can trigger selling until the 1.2920 level and 1.2900 level. On the higher side, a bullish breakout of 1.2960 levels can trigger buying until the 1.3000 level. The fundamental side is busy today, and the U.K. economy is due to release series of economic events, with a special focus on the U.K. GDP data. A positive date is likely to drive a bullish breakout until 1.3000. At the same time, the negative GDP figures may lead the GBP/USD price towards 1.29350. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 106.026 after placing a high of 106.106 and a low of 105.923. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. The pair USD/JPY consolidated in a range of around 106 marks on Thursday amid mixed statements from President Trump, House Speaker Pelosi, and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin related to U.S. stimulus measure. 

Earlier this week, President Trump halted further negotiations with Democrats for a stimulus measure package and said he would provide a massive stimulus measure to win the election. However, the next day, Trump backed from his statement amid the need for financial support to airlines and small businesses that had been hit hardest by the pandemic crisis. 

Trump called for a small stimulus aid for airlines, which weighed on the U.S. dollar that was moving higher due to his previous comments. U.S. stocks, however, rallied after the new call for a small package by President Trump. These statements helped the USD/JPY pair to post gains due to improved risk sentiment in the market on Thursday.

On the other hand, the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that a mini-accord was not possible without passing a big stimulus in response to calls for a small aid package. These contrasting statements from both sides frustrated the traders and increased concerns in the market. After Pelosi’s comments, the rally in equities that started earlier suffered and was reversed on Thursday.

On the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the Current Account Balance from Japan raised in August to 1.65T against the forecasted 1.50T and supported the Japanese Yen. At 10:02 GMT, the Economy Watchers Sentiment increased to 49.3 from the projected 45.0 and supported the Japanese Yen.

From the U.S. side, the Consumer Credit for August was released at 00:00 GMT, which dropped to -7.2B against the forecasted 14.9B and weighed on the U.S. dollar. At 17:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from last week raised to 840K from the anticipated 820Kand weighed on the U.S. dollar.

Despite Japan’s positive data and negative data from the United States, the currency pair USD/JPY managed to remain bullish throughout the day on Thursday. Meanwhile, the risk sentiment was also improved by the latest news that the United States has enough coronavirus vaccine for every American by March. The Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Alex Azar said that Americans could use vaccines by March to be available for every one of them. This improved risk sentiment weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen and supported the USD/JPY pair on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.66    106.18

105.36    106.42

105.13    106.71

Pivot point: 105.89

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY pair has violated the ascending triangle pattern at 105.800 level, and now the same level is working as a support for the safe-haven pair. On the higher side, the USD/JPY pair can continue its bullish bias until the 106.270 level. However, we can expect USD/JPY to retrace back until the support level of 105.800 level before showing us a bullish trend. Let us wait to buy over 105.800, but the next support will prevail at the 105.450 level. Let’s consider staying bullish over the 105.800 level today, and selling should also be considered only below this level today. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Breaking Below Double Bottom Support – Quick Outlook! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.32564 after placing a highof1.33404 and a low of 1.32548. The USD/CAD pair dropped and removed all of its previous day’s gains on Wednesday amid broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and increasing crude oil prices. The U.S. dollar weakness was due to Trump’s latest U-turn on Wednesday’s previous day’s statement. The U.S. President Donald Trump backed his statement of halting the negotiations with Democrats because of continuous disagreement between both parties over the stimulus measure’s size. However, a day after that, Trump again called for more aid to Americans from U.S. congress as airlines and other small businesses were facing huge crises. 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.32564 after placing a highof1.33404 and a low of 1.32548. The USD/CAD pair dropped and removed all of its previous day’s gains on Wednesday amid broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and increasing crude oil prices. The U.S. dollar weakness was due to Trump’s latest U-turn on Wednesday’s previous day’s statement. The U.S. President Donald Trump backed his statement of halting the negotiations with Democrats because of continuous disagreement between both parties over the stimulus measure’s size. However, a day after that, Trump again called for more aid to Americans from U.S. congress as airlines and other small businesses were facing huge crises. 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.32564 after placing a highof1.33404 and a low of 1.32548. The USD/CAD pair dropped and removed all of its previous day’s gains on Wednesday amid broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and increasing crude oil prices. The U.S. dollar weakness was due to Trump’s latest U-turn on Wednesday’s previous day’s statement. The U.S. President Donald Trump backed his statement of halting the negotiations with Democrats because of continuous disagreement between both parties over the stimulus measure’s size. However, a day after that, Trump again called for more aid to Americans from U.S. congress as airlines and other small businesses were facing huge crises. 

This U-turn by Trump raised risk sentiment in the market and supported the riskier Canadian Dollar that ultimately dragged the USD/CAD pair on Wednesday. The hopes for further stimulus dimmed on Tuesday after Trump’s advice to Republicans to stop negotiating with Democrats. These declined hopes added strength to the U.S. dollar on the previous day, but the strength was turned into weakness after Trump backed from his own statement on Wednesday.

The weak U.S. dollar added further pressure on the USD/CAD pair, and the pair posted big declines on Wednesday. Furthermore, the rising Crude oil prices also affected the USD/CAD pair movements on Wednesday. The WTI Crude oil rose on Wednesday despite the negative Crude Oil Inventories report from the United States.

At 19:30 GMT, the Crude Oil Inventories data from Energy Information Administration revealed that U.S. crude oil inventories for the previous week came in as 0.5M against -1.2M. The crude oil prices remained above $40 on Wednesday and added strength in commodity-linked currency Loonie. The rising crude oil prices raised the Canadian Dollar, which added pressure on the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, the Ivey Purchasing manager’s Index for September was released from Canada that dropped to 54.3 points against the forecasted 64.5 and weighed on the Canadian Dollar. It kept the losses in the USD/CAD pair limited on Wednesday.

Federal Reserve also released its September meeting minutes on Wednesday that revealed that officials were concerned about economic recovery and called for more stimulus measures to support the economic recovery. Minutes from Fed failed to give any specific direction to the USD/CAD pair on Wednesday, and the pair kept moving in a bearish trend.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3222 1.3312

1.3192 1.3372

1.3132 1.3402

Pivot point: 1.3282

The USD/CAD is heading lower with a bearish bias at 1.3245 level, having violated the double bottom support level of 1.3250. The closing of the bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour timeframe triggered a bearish breakout, which is now likely to open further room for selling until 1.3202 levels. Checkout a trading plan below…

Entry Price – Sell 1.32344

Stop Loss – 1.32744

Take Profit – 1.31944

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, 08th October – Top Trade Setups In Forex – ECB Monetary Policy Meeting! 

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Macklem, BOE Gov Bailey, and SNB Chairman Jordan are due to speak today. Simultaneously, the day’s main highlight is likely to be ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Macklem, BOE Gov Bailey, and SNB Chairman Jordan are due to speak today. Simultaneously, the day’s main highlight is likely to be ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

On the news side, the economic calendar is likely to offer another round of central bankers’ speeches worldwide. BOC Gov Macklem, BOE Gov Bailey, and SNB Chairman Jordan are due to speak today. Simultaneously, the day’s main highlight is likely to be ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts and Unemployment Claims from the U.S. economy.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17637 after placing a high of 1.17816 and a low of 1.17248. On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair recovered most of its previous day’s losses after the U.S. dollar became weak on the back of U.S. President Trump’s support to multiple aid measures. This raised the risk-on market sentiment and helped the EUR/USD pair to gain traction in the market.

On Tuesday, the U.S. president called off negotiations with Democrats over the next round of stimulus measure and spurred the risk-off market sentiment that weighed on currency pair. Just a day after this announcement, Trump flipped and changed his statement and called for checks to all Americans, especially Airlines and payroll protection. 

On the data front, the German Industrial Production for August dropped to -0.2% against the forecasted 1.5% and weighed on Euro. At 11:45 GMT, the French Trade Balance dropped to -7.7B against the projected -6.5B and weighed on single currency Euro. At 13:00 GMT, the Italian Retail Sales for August increased to 8.2% from the projected 3.8% and raised the EUR/USD pair.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde said that ECB would not remove monetary support until the coronavirus crisis remains. She reinforced that the central Bank and fiscal authorities must work together. Lagarde said that ECB should guard against premature withdrawal of stimulus and stated that the risk of more divergence in the euro area would remain even after the coronavirus crisis. Lagarde’s comments did not have any major impact on the EUR/USD currency pair as she did not provide any new information.

Whereas, on the U.S. front, the FOMC published its September meeting minutes on Wednesday. Minutes revealed that economic data was recovering faster than expected from the Q2 decline. The outlook for the Eurozone economy assumed additional fiscal support, and Fed lawmakers urged U.S. Congress to deliver the next round of aid packages. However, the Federal Reserve September meeting minutes also had no major impact on the EUR/USD pairs.

Moreover, as the U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly pushed for approving a vaccine before elections, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) said that a coronavirus vaccine would not be approved by Election Day. This news raised the risk sentiment in the market and appreciated the EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1729    1.1788

1.1697    1.1815

1.1670    1.1846

Pivot point: 1.1756

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

On Thursday, the EUR/USD is trading with a slight bullish bias around 1.1740 level, holding within an upward channel providing support at 1.1759 level and resistance at 1.1800. Bullish trend continuation may lead the EUR/USD exchange rate towards 1.1840 mark, and continuation of upward movement may lead the pair towards 1.1865. While on the lower side, support stays at 1.1760 and 1.1725 level today. The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be in highlights to determine the next movement in the market.  

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.29181 after placing a high of 1.29294 and a low of 1.28449. The GBP/USD pair followed its previous day bearish trend dropped further in the earlier trading session; however, the pair managed to reverse its direction in the late session and posted gains for the day. The improving risk sentiment in the market helped GBP/USD pair to move upward on Wednesday.

The U.S. President Donald Trump flipped from its Tuesday’s statement that negotiations between Republicans and Democrats will not proceed until after the election. On Wednesday, Trump backed from it and called for additional support to Americans, especially Airline workers. This turn back from Trump was not expected and supported the risk sentiment that ultimately added strength to the GBP/USD pair.

Meanwhile, the statement by Michael Gove gave new optimism about the Brexit deal and supported British Pound. The Chancellor of Lancaster’s duchy said that there were 66% chances that a Brexit deal would be reached amid fresh optimism over a breakthrough on one stocking point of state aid. 

It seems like just like state aid, other sticking points will break, and the Brexit deal will be reached before the end of this year. This optimism lifted British Pound in the market against its rivals and pushed GBP/USD pair on the upside. However, some concerning news also circulated about the European Union being hard on fisheries issues in the market. E.U. had hardened its stance over the fisheries issue and said that Britain should be forced to hand over the same amount of fish as it used to do when it was an E.U. member. The rising concerns over fisheries sticking point limited the British Pound gains on Wednesday.

On the data front, at 12:32 GMT, the Halifax HPI from the United Kingdom for September rose to 1.6% from the projected 1.5% and supported British Pound. At 13:30 GMT, the Housing Price Index for the year in August dropped to 2.3% from the forecasted 3.4% and weighed on British Pound.

From the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve issued its meeting minutes from September, which showed that lawmakers were urging U.S. Congress to deliver the next round of stimulus package, and they were stressing the need for it. 

The economic data was recovering much better than expected in Q2, but the fiscal government still needed support. Minutes failed to impress the U.S. dollar, and the pair GBP/USD continued to move higher.

British Pound investors will closely look forward to the speech of Governor of Bank of England Andrew Bailey to find fresh clues about the U.K. economic condition. On the data front, the Unemployment Claims form the U.S. will also greatly impact the GBP/USD pair’s prices on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2921    1.3013

1.2863    1.3049

1.2828    1.3106

Pivot Point: 1.2956

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2930 level, heading north to complete Fibonacci retracement, especially after breaking the bullish channel at 1.2930. For the moment, the same level is anticipated to produce resistance to the GBP/USD pair. We may notice a bullish movement in Sterling, particularly in the wake of bullish correction unto 1.2930. Failure to violate this mark or closing candles beneath the 1.2930 mark is anticipated to drive selling bias unto the 1.2865 level. The MACD and RSI support bullish bias. However, the recent smaller histograms of MACD advise neutral bias among traders. Let’s consider taking buy over 1.2956 or selling below the same.

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY closed at 105.962 after placing a high of 106.105 and a low of 105.593. The USD/JPY pair rose to its highest level since 14th September on Wednesday on the back of improved risk sentiment and U.S. dollar strength. Trump’s latest flip from his own words gave a push to risk sentiment in the market and supported the USD/JPY pair’s an upward trend on Wednesday.

The Federal Reserve issued minutes from its recent meeting, which showed that officials were worried about what would happen if financial aid decreased or disappeared. Furthermore, on Wednesday, the Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said that the U.S. economy would face enormous consequences if the next round of stimulus packages were not approved soon. He stated that there were no moral hazards in issuing more aid, and further delay would cause a much worse downturn. 

Kashkari added that unlike the 2008 financial crisis, the 2020 pandemic crisis was not born of financial system weakness, so financial aid must be approved to support airlines and other industries that were facing big damages. The comments from Kashkari raised concerns and helped improve risk sentiment that supported the USD/JPY pair’s bullish stance on the day.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan’s Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said that Japan’s economy was difficult, but it has started to pick up. He said that the impact of COVID-19 would be watched carefully to take additional steps in monetary easing. He added that Bank would not hesitate to further assess in time of need. Kuroda said that the Consumer Prices in Japan are likely to fall for the time being and will start to increase as the economy will improve. The comments from Kuroda also failed to provide any meaningful impact on the USD/JPY pair prices.

On the data front, the Leading Indicators from Japan were released at 10:00 GMT that came in line with 88.8% expectations. Furthermore, the U.S. President Donald Trump said that Republicans would not proceed with the negotiations on the U.S. Stimulus package with Democrats as they were proposing a $2.4 trillion package and Republicans were ready for only a $1.6 trillion packages. However, on Wednesday, Trump backed from his statement and asked for more aid from U.S. Congress for Americans, especially for airline workers and small businesses.

 

The flip of Trump raised risk sentiment in the market and weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen that lifted the USD/JPY pair. Moreover, the risk-sentiment was further bolstered by the news that the US FDA has said that the developed vaccine’s availability will be delayed until after the U.S. presidential elections on 03rd November. It also affected the Japanese Yen due to its safe-haven status and supported the USD/JPY pair is an upward trend.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.66    106.18

105.36    106.42

105.13    106.71

Pivot point: 105.89

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY pair has violated the ascending triangle pattern at 105.800 level, and now the same level is working as a support for the safe-haven pair. On the higher side, the USD/JPY pair can continue its bullish bias until the 106.270 level. However, we can expect USD/JPY to retrace back until the support level of 105.800 level before showing us a bullish trend. Let us wait to buy over 105.800, but if the pair breaks below this level, the next support will prevail at the 105.450 level. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

GBP/USD Trades Choppy – Brexit Woes and National Lockdown Hits! 

Today in the European trading hours, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took bids around closer to the 1.2900 level. However, the bullish trend around the currency pair could be associated with the weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar lost its early-day gains as the market trading sentiment turned positive, which trimmed the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven bids and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

Today in the European trading hours, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took bids around closer to the 1.2900 level. However, the bullish trend around the currency pair could be associated with the weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar lost its early-day gains as the market trading sentiment turned positive, which trimmed the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven bids and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

Today in the European trading hours, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to stop its previous session bearish moves and took bids around closer to the 1.2900 level. However, the bullish trend around the currency pair could be associated with the weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar lost its early-day gains as the market trading sentiment turned positive, which trimmed the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven bids and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

On the contrary, the downbeat catalysts, like uncertainty over the Brexit talks and concerns over national lockdown, become the key factors that kept the lid on any additional currency pair gains. At this particular time, the GBP/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.2872 and consolidating in the range between 1.2867 – 1.2930.

Despite concerns about the coronavirus cases in some nations and U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to end negotiations with Democrats on the economic stimulus package, the investors continued to cheer the latest reports suggesting that the U.S. President Trump showed a willingness to pass $25 billion for Airline Payroll Support and $135 billion for the Paycheck Protection Program for small businesses. This, in turn, provided a fresh boost to the market’s risk sentiment and trimmed the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven bids.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to maintain its positive traction and edged lower, at least for now. Moreover, the losses in the U.S. dollar could also be associated with the fresh risk-on mood. However, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the renewed concerns about the already shaky U.S. economic recovery. Thus, the losses in the U.S. dollar kept the GBP/USD currency pair higher. Whereas, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was up 0.1% at 93.737.

At the Brexit front, the Brexit related uncertainties remain on the card. As per the latest reports, the Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney said that the European Union (E.U.) Chief Brexit Negotiator Michel Barnier will not agree on intensified discussions unless the U.K. moves its stance on state aid. Furthermore, the news that the European states push for a hardliner in fisheries and knowingly delay the negotiations exerted extra downside pressure around the British Pound, which could be considered one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair.

Also capping the pair’s gains could be the COVID-19 worries over the rise in northern England and looming concerns over national lockdown weigh the cable. Looking forward, the market traders keeping their eyes on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s scheduled speech. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the fresh Sino-US tussle, as well as the coronavirus (COVID-19), could not lose their importance.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.2673

S2 1.279

S3 1.286

Pivot Point 1.2907

R1 1.2978

R2 1.3025

R3 1.3142

Entry Price – Buy 1.28932

Stop Loss – 1.28532

Take Profit – 1.29332

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 07 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – FOMC Meeting Minutes Ahead! 

It’s going to be another busy day from the news front as the ECB and Fed officials are due to speak during the U.S. and European session today. The ECB President Lagarde is expected to speak at the Paris Europlace online International Financial Forum. Simultaneously, FOMC Member Kashkari is scheduled to discuss racism and the economy at a virtual event series. However, the investor’s focus will also stay on the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the U.S. In can be a big market mover during the mid-U.S. session.

It’s going to be another busy day from the news front as the ECB and Fed officials are due to speak during the U.S. and European session today. The ECB President Lagarde is expected to speak at the Paris Europlace online International Financial Forum. Simultaneously, FOMC Member Kashkari is scheduled to discuss racism and the economy at a virtual event series. However, the investor’s focus will also stay on the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the U.S. In can be a big market mover during the mid-U.S. session.

It’s going to be another busy day from the news front as the ECB and Fed officials are due to speak during the U.S. and European session today. The ECB President Lagarde is expected to speak at the Paris Europlace online International Financial Forum. Simultaneously, FOMC Member Kashkari is scheduled to discuss racism and the economy at a virtual event series. However, the investor’s focus will also stay on the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the U.S. In can be a big market mover during the mid-U.S. session.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD closed at 1.17824 after placing a high of 1.17973 and a low of 1.17047. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The EUR/USD pair rose to its nine-day highest level amid the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and the strong positive macro-economic data from the European side.

The U.S. dollar was lower after the news about U.S. President Donald Trump’s health came into the market. Another factor helping the risk sentiment was the hopes that U.S. stimulus measures will now be delivered soon as Trump’s infection has brought the virus to Capitol Hill. Both Democrats and Republicans will now realize the urgency of responding to the virus impact and reach a consensus over the aid bill’s size. The renewed stimulus hoped also added strength to the risk sentiment and helped the EUR/USD pair to gain further.

At 13:00 GMT, the Final Services PMI for the whole Eurozone also rose to 48.0 from the anticipated 47.6 and supported the Euro currency. At 13:30 GMT, the Sentix Investor Confidence came in as -8.3 against the forecasted -9.2 and supported Euro. At 14:00 GMT, the Retail Sales from Europe rose to 4.4% from the expected 2.4% and supported Euro.

The Retail Sales in August from Eurozone raised nearly double than expectations to 4.4% and supported the local currency against its rival U.S. dollar and pushed the EUR/USD pair higher.

The Services PMI from all over European nations also rose and showed that the service industry improved from their previous levels and helped Euro to post gains. Furthermore, the Eurogroup meeting and the Financial Affairs Council meeting will start on 5-6th October. The Eurogroup will discuss its priorities under its new presidency and adopt a work program. The Eurozone’s policy priorities in the context of economic recovery and the draft budgets for 2021 will be discussed. Traders will look forward to meeting results for finding fresh clues about the EUR/USD pair in the coming days.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1726     1.1817

1.1670     1.1854

1.1634     1.1909

Pivot point: 1.1762

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading at 1.1740 level, having reviolated the upward channel at 1.1750 level, mostly traded in line with our forecast to test the resistance level of 1.1801 level. On Tuesday, the EUR/USD is trading below a resistance level of 1.1801 level. Below this mark, the EUR/USD can plunge until the support resistance level of 1.1760 and 1.1740. In contrast, an upward breakout of 1.1801 can lead the EUR/USD pair towards 1.1840 areas. 

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.29726 after placing a high of 1.29920 and a low of 1.28995. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The GBP/USD pair extended its previous daily gains and reached its 11-day highest level above 1.299 level amid the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and renewed Brexit deal hopes along with the improving risk sentiment around the market.

The British Pound to U.S. dollar exchange rate moved higher on rising expectations that the U.K. and E.U. will reach a consensus on the post-Brexit trade deal. The Goldman Sachs forecasted that both parties would reach a deal by early November.

Another factor involved in the Brexit deal’s raised hopes was the report that suggested that E.U. chief negotiator Michel Barnier aimed to hold talks with European coastal states to get the freedom to negotiate terms with the U.K. on the fisheries issue. It is one of the sticking points that have caused a delay in the Brexit deal progress. The Brexit hopes were further bolstered after Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen agreed that talks should be intensified to close the significant gap that has stalled the negotiations’ progress. 

All these above optimistic reports helped the local currency and pushed the GBP/USD pair on the above side. The bullish calls were supported by Goldman Sachs that urges investors to buy Sterling. However, the Goldman Sachs Bank did not completely take the prospect of no-deal Brexit out off the table and said that No-Deal Brexit’s perceived probability would remain intact beyond the next European Council meeting in mid-October.

If no deal is reached between the E.U. and U.K., Britain will leave the E.U. without a deal at the end of the transition period on December 31.

Meanwhile, on the data front, at 13:30 GMT, the Final Services PMI from Great Britain for September rose to 56.1 against the 55.1 and supported GBP. The stronger than expected Services PMI showed an expansion in the U.K. services activities and supported the already rising GBP/USD pair.

However, the U.S. dollar was weaker due to the rising risk sentiment on the reports of the quick recovery of the U.S. President Donald Trump from coronavirus infection. The stronger U.S. dollar onboard, along with the improved risk sentiment, also helped the GBP/USD pair’s plunge.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2921     1.3013

1.2863     1.3049

1.2828     1.3106

Pivot Point: 1.2956

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2890 level after violating the upward channel at 1.2930. For the moment, the same level is expected to provide resistance to the Cable pair. We may see a slight upward movement in Sterling, especially in the wake of bullish correction until 1.2930. Failure to break this level or closing candles below the 1.2930 level is likely to drive selling bias until the 1.2865 level. The MACD and RSI are supporting selling bias, but the recent smaller histograms of MACD suggest sellers are exhausted, and we may see a slight upward correction in the market today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.735 and a high of 105.792 and a low of 105.228. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. After posting hefty losses on Friday, USD/JPY reversed its direction and moved higher amid the improved risk sentiment and rising optimism in the market. 

The market’s mood was improved after a bumpy weekend related to the concerning news about the health of U.S. President Donald Trump. The Leader of the world’s largest economy was tested positive for coronavirus on Friday and was shifted to a military medical facility for treatment. The Contradictory headlines about his health and its effects on upcoming Presidential elections were raising concerns throughout the weekend. 

This news canceled the above fears and raised optimism around the market, boosting risk sentiment. The U.S. equities and the U.S. Treasury yields raised on the day, giving a boost to the U.S. dollar. Simultaneously, the rising risk sentiment weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen and pushed the USD/JPY pair.

On the data front, at 18:45 GMT, the Final Services PMI in September from the United States remained flat with the forecasts of 54.6. While at 19:00 GMT, the highlighted ISM Services PMI from the United States rose to 57.8 against the forecasted 56.3 and supported the U.S. dollar.

The ISM Services PMI showed an expansion in U.S. services activities in September and raised hopes for the quick economic recovery that helped improve the market’s risk sentiment and weighed on the Japanese Yen due to its safe-haven nature and ultimately pushed the USD/JPY pair even higher.

Moreover, the risk sentiment was also supported by the better than expected Retail Sales report from the European Union that doubled the expected number and supported riskier assets. The European stocks raised after this report, and U.S. stocks followed them that raised the market’s risk sentiment and helped the riskier GBP/USD pair gain further in the market.

Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair’s gains remain limited by the rising fears of a second wave of coronavirus globally in the winter season. From all across the globe, the reports were suggesting a rising number of coronavirus cases. Europe struggled hard to fight against the pandemic and contained the spread as France, and the U.K. saw a continuous rise in daily count on infection cases. 

Meanwhile, other countries like Oman, Israel, India, France, Canada, UK, and Japan also reported a rise in infected people. This raised global concerns, supported the safe-haven appeal, and capped further gains in the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.39     105.91

105.08     106.12

104.88     106.43

Pivot point: 105.60

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

On Wednesday, the USD/JPY is also trading bullish at 105.750 over the stronger U.S. dollar; however, the recent bullish bias in safe-haven Japanese yen drives a slight bearish correction in the market. On the 4 hour chart, the double top resistance level of the 105.800 level keeps the pair bearish. In case of a bullish breakout, the 105.800 resistance level may lead the USD/JPY pair towards the next target level of 106.240. On the lower side, the USD/JPY may find support at 105.400 level today. I will be looking to take a buy position over the 105.810 level. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

EUR/JPY Enters Oversold Zone – Can We Expect Bearish Correction?

The EUR/JPY currency pair extended its Asian session declining streak and remain depressed around below 124.50 level mainly due to the cautious mood around the equity markets, which tend to underpin the Japanese yen’s safe-haven demand and turned out to be the key factor that exerting some pressure on the EUR/JPY currency pair. Apart from this, the latest optimism over the US-Japan relationship provided further support to the Japanese yen, which add further pessimism around the currency pair. 

The EUR/JPY currency pair extended its Asian session declining streak and remain depressed around below 124.50 level mainly due to the cautious mood around the equity markets, which tend to underpin the Japanese yen’s safe-haven demand and turned out to be the key factor that exerting some pressure on the EUR/JPY currency pair. Apart from this, the latest optimism over the US-Japan relationship provided further support to the Japanese yen, which add further pessimism around the currency pair. 

The EUR/JPY currency pair extended its Asian session declining streak and remain depressed around below 124.50 level mainly due to the cautious mood around the equity markets, which tend to underpin the Japanese yen’s safe-haven demand and turned out to be the key factor that exerting some pressure on the EUR/JPY currency pair. Apart from this, the latest optimism over the US-Japan relationship provided further support to the Japanese yen, which add further pessimism around the currency pair. 

On the contrary, the better-than-forecasts German Factory Orders data and positive comments from the ECB policymakers over the EUR economy help the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. As of writing, the EUR/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 1.1780 and consolidating in the range between 1.1766 – 1.1802.

As we already mentioned, the German Factory Orders improved more-than-expected in August, suggesting that the manufacturing sector recovery in Europe’s largest economy is regaining traction. This, in turn, underpinned the shard currency and becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional losses in the currency pair. At the data front, the Contracts for goods’ Made in Germany’ came in at +4.5% on the month vs. +2.6% expected and +2.8% last, as per the latest data showed by the Federal Statistics Office showed on the day. Annually, Germany’s Industrial Orders dropped only by 2.2% in the reported month vs. -7.3% previous and -19.9% expectations.

Apart from this, the positive comments from the ECB policymakers over the euro area economy also played its role in capping the currency pair losses. As per the latest comment from the European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Irish Central Bank Governor Gabriel Makhlouf, the euro area economy has recovered sharply from the trough seen in April. 

On the contrary, the cautious mood around the equity markets, triggered by the US political uncertainty ahead of the presidential election on November 3, tends to underpin the Japanese yen’s safe-haven demand and becomes one of the key factors that kept the currency pair under pressure. However, the overnight optimism over the US President Donald Trump’s return to the White House recently overshadowed by the prevalent US political uncertainty. In the meantime, the hopes of a compromise over a new coronavirus relief package also failed to boost trading’ sentiment, which is not good for the currency pair.

At the US-China front, the renewed US-China tussle also keeps challenging the market risk mood, which might add further pessimism around the currency pair. As per the latest report, the Dragon Nation continuing criticizing the US ban on TikTok and WeChat at the World Trade Organization (WTO). 

Across the pond, the losses in the currency pair were further bolstered after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga would strengthen the relationship with the US, which in turn, Japanese yen got impressed and added further downside pressure around the EUR/JPY currency pair.


Technically, the EUR/JPY pair is trading bearish today at 124.200 level, holding over the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Recently, the EUR/JPY formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour timeframe that may lead the pair towards 124.055 level. The candle’s closing below 124.055 level may extend the selling trend until the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 123.66. But in case, if the EUR/JPY pair reverses and breaks the resistance level of 124.700 level, then I will consider closing the signal in the loss. Let’s keep an eye on it.

Entry Price – Sell 124.42

Stop Loss – 124.82

Take Profit – 123.92

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Forex Signals

GBP/JPY on a Bearish Run – 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement in Play!

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GBP/JPY on a Bearish Run – 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement in Play! 

The GBP/JPY pair failed to keep its early-day bullish momentum and dropped well below the 137 level despite the upbeat market sentiment. However, the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q figures, which fell from -4.5B to -7.7B mark, missing the economists forecast of -4.3B.

Besides this, the currency pair’s declines were further bolstered after the U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga would strengthen the relationship with the U.S. Thus, the Japanese yen got impressed by the above comments, which adds further downside pressure around the GBP/JPY currency pair. On the contrary, the market upbeat mood, backed by optimism over US President Trump’s health, could be considered one of the key factors that help the currency pair limit its deeper losses. 

At the US-China front, the renewed US-China tussle also keeps challenging the market risk-on mood, which might add further pessimism around the currency pair. As per the latest report, the Dragon Nation recently fueled the Sino-American tussle by criticizing the US ban on TikTok and WeChat at the World Trade Organization (WTO). 

Across the ocean, the currency pair losses got an additional boost after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga is a ‘powerful force for good’, as well as Pompeo further added that he believes Suga will strengthen the relationship with the US.

These positive comments tend to underpin the Japanese yen currency and drag the currency pair lower.

The GBP/JPY has formed a sharp bearish a candle below 137.450 resistance area. Closing of candles below this leve suggests odds of a selling bias in the market, especially when the MACD has also formed a bearish crossover 


Doji candle over a resistance become support level of 1.3245, which signifies weakness in the selling bias. Simultaneously, the USD/CAD’s MACD is forming smaller histograms than before, and it’s an indication of a potential bullish bais. On the lower side, the GBP/JPY pair may drop until 136.500 that marks 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and even below this until 61.8% Fibo level of 135.940 level. Good luck! 

Entry Price – Sell 136.89
Stop Loss – 137.29
Take Profit – 136.39
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
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Forex Signals Forex Technical Analysis

AUD/JPY Pair Failed to Gains Positive Traction – Brace for Selling!  

Today in the Asian trading session, the AUD/JPY currency pair failed to keep its early-day bullish momentum and dropped well below the 76.00 level despite the upbeat market sentiment. However, the reason for the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the RBA’s announcement of no rate change, as well as, the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy, which could be considered as one of the key factors that undermine the Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. Across the pond, the currency pair declines were further bolstered after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga would strengthen the relationship with the US. Thus, the Japanese yen got impressed by the above comments, which adds further downside pressure around the AUD/JPY currency pair. 

Today in the Asian trading session, the AUD/JPY currency pair failed to keep its early-day bullish momentum and dropped well below the 76.00 level despite the upbeat market sentiment. However, the reason for the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the RBA’s announcement of no rate change, as well as, the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy, which could be considered as one of the key factors that undermine the Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. Across the pond, the currency pair declines were further bolstered after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga would strengthen the relationship with the US. Thus, the Japanese yen got impressed by the above comments, which adds further downside pressure around the AUD/JPY currency pair. 

Today in the Asian trading session, the AUD/JPY currency pair failed to keep its early-day bullish momentum and dropped well below the 76.00 level despite the upbeat market sentiment. However, the reason for the prevalent bearish sentiment around the currency pair could be associated with the RBA’s announcement of no rate change, as well as, the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy, which could be considered as one of the key factors that undermine the Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair losses. Across the pond, the currency pair declines were further bolstered after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga would strengthen the relationship with the US. Thus, the Japanese yen got impressed by the above comments, which adds further downside pressure around the AUD/JPY currency pair. 

On the contrary, the upbeat market mood, backed by optimism over US President Trump’s health, could be considered one of the key factors that help the currency pair limit its deeper losses. The AUD/USD currency pair is currently trading at 75.64 and consolidating in the range between 75.60 – 76.16. As we already mentioned, the global risk sentiment got a strong boost after US President Trump leaves the hospital and feels “20-years younger”. Despite this, the doubts over Donald Trump’s remain high as a recent video from the American leader showed that he struggles while breathing. Besides, the doubts were further fueled after the White House’s recent confirmation that Trump will be under 24-hour care, and anybody nearing the President will need to wear the PPE kit. 

At the US-China front, the renewed US-China tussle also keeps challenging the market risk-on mood, adding further pessimism around the currency pair. As per the latest report, the Dragon Nation recently fueled the Sino-American tussle by criticizing the US ban on TikTok and WeChat at the World Trade Organization (WTO). 

At the AUD front, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate, and the targeted yield on 3-year bonds unchanged at 0.25% during the latest announcement. In the meantime, the RBA has a dovish view of the Australian economy, which ten underpins the Australian dollar and contributes to the currency pair losses. It should be noted that the RBA confirmed that Unemployment and underemployment are expected to remain high for an extended period. They further added, “Wage and inflation pressures remain very depressed.”

Across the ocean, the currency pair losses got an additional boost after the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Yoshihide Suga is a ‘powerful force for good’, as well as Pompeo further added that he believes Suga will strengthen the relationship with the US. These positive comments tend to underpin the Japanese yen currency and drag the currency pair lower.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 73.89

S2 74.62

S3 75.05

Pivot Point 75.36

R1 75.78

R2 76.09

R3 76.82

Looking forward, the market traders keeping their eyes on the crude oil supply data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) due later in the day. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the fresh Sino-US tussle, as well as the coronavirus (COVID-19), could not lose their importance.

Entry Price – Sell 75.862

Stop Loss – 76.262

Take Profit – 75.462

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Bearish Bias Continues – Ascending Triangle Pattern!

The AUD/USD currency pair succeeded to stop its early-day losses and drew some fresh bids around closer to the 0.7200 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the positive news over the U.S. President Donald Trump’s recovery from COVID-19, which eventually underpinned the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. As per the latest report, the doctors of U.S. President Donald Trump said that he and his wife could be discharged from the hospital as soon as Monday. 

The AUD/USD currency pair succeeded to stop its early-day losses and drew some fresh bids around closer to the 0.7200 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the positive news over the U.S. President Donald Trump’s recovery from COVID-19, which eventually underpinned the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. As per the latest report, the doctors of U.S. President Donald Trump said that he and his wife could be discharged from the hospital as soon as Monday. 

The AUD/USD currency pair succeeded to stop its early-day losses and drew some fresh bids around closer to the 0.7200 level mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the positive news over the U.S. President Donald Trump’s recovery from COVID-19, which eventually underpinned the perceived risk currency Australian dollar and contributed to the currency pair gains. As per the latest report, the doctors of U.S. President Donald Trump said that he and his wife could be discharged from the hospital as soon as Monday. 

Apart from this, the trading sentiment was further bolstered by the updates suggesting a sooner end to the deadlock over the U.S. aid package talks. Besides, the fresh hopes of a soft Brexit, triggered after the weekend meeting between the UK PM Boris Johnson and E.U. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, also favors the market risk-tone extended further support to the currency pair. Across the pond, Australia reports suggest a A$7.5B boost for transport infrastructure spending, which also gave additional support to the Australian dollar and helped the currency pair to stay bids on the day. 

In the meantime, the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the marker risk-on sentiment, also played its major role in supporting the currency pair. Moreover, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the intensifying doubts over the U.S. economic recovery. On the contrary, the virus news from elsewhere keeps challenging the upbeat market sentiment and becomes the key factor that kept the pressure on any additional gains in the AUD/USD pair. The AUD/USD currency pair is currently trading at 0.7172 and consolidating in the range between 0.7158 – 0.7191.

It is worth recalling that the AUD/USD currency pair has been pressured since Friday after the negative news of U.S. President Donald Trump and his wife’s infection to the coronavirus (COVID-19). However, America’s fresh and positive updates helped the equity market stop its deeper losses on the day. The latest updates from the U.S. suggest that President Trump and his wife recover from the virus-led illness. Moreover, the hopes were further fueled after the comments from doctors off U.S. President Donald Trump, suggesting he and his wife could be discharged from the hospital as soon as Monday. 

Moreover, the market risk tone was further bolstered by optimism over the U.S. aid package talks. These hopes were originated after the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi showed positive signals about reaching the stimulus deal. On the other hand, the meeting between the UK PM Boris Johnson and E.U. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen over the weekend also offers fresh hopes of the oft Brexit, which also kept the market trading sentiment upbeat. 

Across the ocean, bullish sentiment around the AUD/USD currency pair was further bolstered by the reports suggesting that the Australian Deputy Prime Minister (PM) Michael McCormack is ready to announce a further $7.5 billion new transport infrastructure spending in Tuesday’s federal budget. Looking forward, the market traders keeping their eyes on the news concerning the American President’s health. Apart from this, the US ISM Services PMI for September, expected 56.0, would be key to watch. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the fresh Sino-US tussle, as well as the coronavirus (COVID-19), could not lose their importance.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.7068

S2 0.7112

S3 0.7138

Pivot Point 0.7157

R1 0.7182

R2 0.7201

R3 0.7245

The AUD/USD pair is trading sideways in a narrow trading range of 0.7190 – 0.7170. The bullish breakout of 0.7190 level can drive buying until the 0.7240 resistance level, while the bearish breakout of 0.7170 can extend selling until 0.7160 and 0.7149 level. Let’s consider waiting for a breakout before taking any trades. Good luck! 

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Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 05 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Eyes on Eurogroup Meetings! 

The Asian sessions exhibit thin volatility as Chinese banks are closed in observance of National Day. However, the European and the U.S. session may drive some volatility on the back of Services PMI, Euro-group Meetings, and ISM Non-manufacturing PMI data. Let’s keep an eye on them today.

The Asian sessions exhibit thin volatility as Chinese banks are closed in observance of National Day. However, the European and the U.S. session may drive some volatility on the back of Services PMI, Euro-group Meetings, and ISM Non-manufacturing PMI data. Let’s keep an eye on them today.

The Asian sessions exhibit thin volatility as Chinese banks are closed in observance of National Day. However, the European and the U.S. session may drive some volatility on the back of Services PMI, Euro-group Meetings, and ISM Non-manufacturing PMI data. Let’s keep an eye on them today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17160 after placing a high of 1.17488 and a low of 1.16955. . On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair posted losses on the back of a strong U.S. dollar and weak Euro due to declining Consumer prices in many countries of the European Union. 

The 19-nation Eurozone saw a decline in Consumer prices on Friday more than forecasted in September and kept the pressure on the European Central Bank over the decision to add further stimulus help in the economy for fighting against the coronavirus crisis. At 11:45 GMT, the French Gov Budget Balance was released that showed a deficit of -165.7B against the previous decline of -151.0B. At 12:00 GMT, the Spanish Unemployment Change showed that the unemployment was reduced by -26.3K figure against the forecasted positive 59.5K and helped Euro gained strength. 

At 14:00 GMT, the Flash estimate for the year of Consumer Price Index for the whole Eurozone declined to -0.3% against the forecasted -0.1% and weighed on Euro. The Core CPI Flash estimate for the year also declined to 0.2% against the forecasted 0.5% and weighed on Euro. The weak inflation rate from Eurozone could be attributed to many reasons, including the temporary sales-tax cut in Germany, subdued demand, and the declining import costs due to the appreciation of the Euro.

The President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, has already warned that the region’s prices will slip in the months coming ahead, but she also said they would turn up again in early 2021. The ECB is currently looking to adjust its target inflation of 2% as part of its strategic review as the average inflation in 2022 is projected as 1.3%, which is far below its goal.

Many policymakers have started to lay the ground for further support from the government as one of the executive members of ECB said that there was less risk in delivering too much support than delaying and being shy to deliver. The ECB Vice President Luis de Geindos said last week that there was no need to immediately take any decision; however, in time of need, the Bank could recalibrate its 1.35 trillion euros emergency bond-purchase program. There are also some predictions that this program will be increased by 350 billion euros this year in December. All these things kept the Euro currency under pressure on Friday and added weight on EUR/USD pair prices.

The U.S. dollar was strong across the board after releasing the Unemployment Rate and Revised Consumer Confidence report. At 17:30 GMT, the U.S. job loss rate declined to 7.9% in August against the projected 8.2% and supported the U.S. dollar. The Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment rose to 80.4 against the anticipated 78.9 and supported the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar’s strength was also supported by the news that U.S. President Donald Trump and his wife were diagnosed with coronavirus. The U.S. Dollar Index rose to 93.918 level in late Friday after this news raised the safe-haven appeal and the U.S. dollar gained due to its safe-haven status and weighed on EUR/USD pair.

The pair was also down due to low-risk sentiment and declining U.S. stocks that fell sharply after the news that Trump and First Lady tested positive for COVID-19. The S&P 500 futures were down by 1.3%, the Dow Futures were down by 1.2%, and the NASDAQ was down by 1.8%; this weighed further on EUR/USD pair on Friday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1724     1.1739

1.1715     1.1745

1.1709     1.1754

Pivot point: 1.1730

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading over a resistance become a support level of 1.1728 level. Above this level, the EUR/USD can soar until the next resistance level of 1.1740 and 1.1760. Conversely, a bearish breakout of 1.1720 can lead EUR/USD pair towards 1.1711 areas. Let’s keep an eye on the Eurogroup meeting to determine further trends in the market. The bullish bias remains dominant today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.29345 after placing a high of 1.29538 and a low of 1.28364. The GBP/USD pair remained positive throughout the day on the back of rising hopes that this weekend there might be a breakthrough in the Brexit deal as PM Boris Johnson and ECB President Ursula Von der Leyen are set to meet.

Pound investors see this weekend meeting as a positive sign for the Brexit deal and raised the British Pound value on renewed hopes that this meeting will provide some fresh hopes on the Brexit deal. However, the gains remain limited as there were many uncertainties in the market weighing on the riskier assets.

During the late-night Thursday, the news that U.S. President Donald Trump and his wife, First Lady, tested positive for COVID-19. The uncertainty related to the U.S. President and a candidate for the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election, Donald Trump’s health, raised concerns that it might cause the election’s complications.

Although the U.S. dollar gained in this uncertainty due to its safe-haven status, the gains remain limited and failed to reverse the GBP/USD pair’s an upward trend as the issue affects the U.S. in particular. So, in this situation, investors found other safe-havens like the Japanese Yen comparatively more appealing.

On the data front, the highly awaited Average Hourly Earnings for September declined to 0.1% on Friday against the forecasted 0.5% and weighed on the S.U. dollar. The Non-Farm Employment Change revealed that the U.S. created only 66K jobs in September projected as 900K and weighed heavily on the U.S. dollar. In August, the factory orders of the U.S. also fell to 0.7% from the projected 1.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar.

Due to negative macroeconomic data, the weak U.S. dollar added further support to the rising GBP/USD prices on Friday. Meanwhile, the pair GBP/USD remained supported by the progress being made in the Brexit process and the U.S. Presidential Elections. The hopes in the market raised that weekend talks could lead to a breakthrough or approve further months of negotiations due to comments that progress has been made, but some significant gaps were still there. 

If some more time is provided for negotiations, then the Brexit deal might get approved, and that is why investors were cheering the news of a meeting between Johnson and Ursula. Furthermore, the GBP/USD pair’s gains were capped by the rising number of coronavirus cases in the U.K. U.K. reported roughly 12,900 cases in a single day that was the biggest daily record that raised fears that a full lockdown could be imposed in the U.K. The U.K. has already imposed a lockdown in some areas, and fears for further restrictions capped further gains in GBP/USD pair. The investors will look forward to Bank of England’s Haldane’s speech on Monday to find fresh clues about the pair’s movement.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2912     1.2948

1.2896     1.2968

1.2876    1.2984

Pivot point: 1.2932

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is holding below a strong resistance level of 1.2954 level after violating the narrow trading range of 1.2835 – 1.2810. Above this resistance level of 1.2954, the GBP/USD may go after the 1.3000 level. The leading technical indicators such as 50 periods EMA and MACD suggest bullish bias in the Sterling; however, the recent closings below the 1.2950 level can drive selling bias until the 1.2885 level today. Consider taking selling trade below 1.2955 level or buying above the same level today. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.361 after placing a high of 105.664 and a low of 104.941. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bearish throughout the day. The pair USD/JPY fell to its seven days lowest level on Friday amid the U.S. President’s shocking news being infected with the coronavirus. In the early trading session on Friday, the pair suffered heavy selling bias; however, during the late trading session, the pair recovered most of its daily losses but remained bearish all day.

On the data front, at 04:30 GMT, the Unemployment Rate from Japan remained flat with 3.0% expectations in August. 

At 04:50 GMT, the Monetary Base for the year from Japan raised to 14.3% from the forecasted 11.9% and supported the Japanese Yen. The Consumer Confidence from Japan was released at 10:00 GMT that raised to 32.7 from the projected 31.6 in September and supported the Japanese Yen. The strong JPY weighed on the USD/JJPY pair, and the pair started to decline on Friday.

However, the pair was already under pressure due to Trump’s late-night announcement being infected by COVID-19. He twitted that he and the Frist Lady of the U.S. were tested positive for coronavirus. This news kept the uncertainty higher in the market as the 2020 U.S. Presidential Elections were coming, and an influencing candidate fell sick of coronavirus. The news came in hours after a top adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump was tested positive for COVID-19.

The bullish bets in the Japanese Yen caught up after this news as the issue was related to the United States and investors found the Yen more appealing. The rising JPY added further pressure on the USD/JPY pair that dropped to its 7-days lowest level. In the late trading session, the U.S. dollar saw some buying that capped some earlier daily losses in the USD/JPY pair on Friday. The U.S. Dollar Index posted gains on Friday with reaching at 93.918 level in the late trading session. The US Stocks also declined on Friday amid the shocking news with S&P futures down by 1.3%, and Dow futures fell by 1.2% along with NASDAQ futures down by 1.8%. 

From the U.S. side, the Average Hourly Earnings for September declined to 0.1% from the anticipated 0.5% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The Non-Farm Employment Change also dropped to 661K against the projected 900K and weighed on the U.S. dollar. Simultaneously, the Unemployment Rate in August dropped to 7.9% from the forecasted 8.2% that supported the U.S. dollar.

After these releases, the President of Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Patrick Harker, provided his reviews over Fed’s new framework. He said that the employment gap in society would be closed by allowing inflation to move slightly higher. He added that more support would be needed from governments and employers to ensure that lower-income workers could benefit from it. Harker also stressed the need to build an equitable workforce recovery and added that it would not be easy to recover all lost jobs during a pandemic crisis. Harker suggested that a program is needed to help workers provided better jobs and pay. Harker’s positive comments provided some strength to the U.S. dollar that was further supported by the late session positive data release.

At 19:00 GMT, the Revised Consumer Sentiment raised to 80.4 from the projected 78.9 and supported the U.S. dollar. Whereas, the Revised UoM Inflation Expectations came in at 2.6%. These positive updates gave the U.S. dollar strength and capped further losses in the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.34     105.65

105.16     105.78

105.04     105.96

Pivot point: 105.47

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is also trading neutral at 105.560 amid thin trading volume and China national holiday today. The downward trendline is extending resistance at 105.560 level on the two-hourly timeframes today. The closing of Doji candles below the trendline is suggesting neutral bias among traders. The technical side of USD/JPY may extend the pair lower towards 105.200, and the series for EMA is now developing support at 105.400 level. On the flip side, the bullish breakout of 105.590 level may lead the safe haven pair towards 105.800. Consider taking buying trade over 105.450 level and selling below the same today. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Succeeded to Stop Bearish Streak – Quick Update on Signal! 

Today in the Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to stop its previous day bearish rally and edged higher around well above the 1.3300 level on the day. However, the bullish sentiment around the currency pair was being supported by the combination of factors, and as the broad-based U.S. dollar is back in demand on the day in reaction to a confusing end of the U.S. presidential debate, as well as the U.S. dollar gained further support after the release of upbeat U.S. macro data, which kept the currency pair higher. 

Today in the Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to stop its previous day bearish rally and edged higher around well above the 1.3300 level on the day. However, the bullish sentiment around the currency pair was being supported by the combination of factors, and as the broad-based U.S. dollar is back in demand on the day in reaction to a confusing end of the U.S. presidential debate, as well as the U.S. dollar gained further support after the release of upbeat U.S. macro data, which kept the currency pair higher. 

Today in the Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair managed to stop its previous day bearish rally and edged higher around well above the 1.3300 level on the day. However, the bullish sentiment around the currency pair was being supported by the combination of factors, and as the broad-based U.S. dollar is back in demand on the day in reaction to a confusing end of the U.S. presidential debate, as well as the U.S. dollar gained further support after the release of upbeat U.S. macro data, which kept the currency pair higher. 

Besides, the market prevalent risk-off sentiment, triggered by the latest headlines surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s infection of the coronavirus (COVID-19), provided a further boost to the U.S. dollar as its safe-haven status. Across the pond, the reason for the USD/CAD pair’s bullish bias could also be linked to the soft WTI crude oil prices, which undermined the demand for the loonie and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

The stock market had been flashing red since the day session started and going toward ending the day with losses. Nevertheless, the reason could be associated with the U.S. policymakers’ failures to break the deadlock over the COVID-19 stimulus talks. Meanwhile. The rumors are surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s infection of the coronavirus (COVID-19), also weighing on the market trading tone, which tends to underpin the safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar.

The long-lasting fight between the United States and China remain on the play as the South China Morning Post (SCMP) cites the U.S. preference for Taiwan over Beijing, which keeps fueling the relations between the United States and China. In the meantime, the market risk-off tone was further bolstered by the Financial Times (F.T.) headline, suggesting deployment of forces in Hong Kong to tame the democracy protests. This, in turn, added further pessimism around the market trading sentiment and underpinned the safe-haven assets.

The crude oil prices failed to extend its previous session winning streak and remained depressed around $38.00 marks across the pond. Nevertheless, the idea for the bearish bias around the crude oil prices could be attributed to the prevalent worries over the economic recovery after the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence in the U.S., Europe, and the U.K. Besides, the rise in OPEC output last month also weighed on crude oil prices. Apart from this, the currency pair’s bullish sentiment was further bolstered by the downbeat monthly Canadian GDP report, which eventually undermined the Candian dollar and extended further support to the currency pair. At the data front, the economy recorded a 3% growth in July, lower than the previous month’s 6.5% rise.

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the continuous drama surrounding the U.S. elections and updates about the U.S. stimulus package. Meanwhile, the U.S. employment data for September will be key to watch on the day.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.3222

S2 1.3301

S3 1.3344

Pivot Point 1.3381

R1 1.3423

R2 1.3461

R3 1.354

Technically, the USD/CAD is supported around 1.3283 levels extended by a double bottom support level. On the higher side, the USD/CAD may face resistance at 1.3342 level. The USD/CAD two-hour timeframe shows a bullish signal, especially after closing the bullish engulfing candle over 1.3283 support zones. Checkout a trading plan below…

Entry Price – Buy 1.33255

Stop Loss – 1.32855

Take Profit – 1.33655

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 02 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Brace for Non-farm Payroll! 

On the news front, it’s going to be a busy day, as the U.S. economy will be releasing it’s Non-farm payroll figures. For all the new members, the NFP is the most awaited data, and it’s expected to show an 8.2% unemployment rate along with a 0.5% average hourly earnings. Such a figure should drive buying in the dollar, and gold may dip on the positive news release today. However, the 900K Non-farm employment change is below 1371K figures beforehand, which may burden on the U.S. dollar. The mixed movement is expected from the dollar today.

On the news front, it’s going to be a busy day, as the U.S. economy will be releasing it’s Non-farm payroll figures. For all the new members, the NFP is the most awaited data, and it’s expected to show an 8.2% unemployment rate along with a 0.5% average hourly earnings. Such a figure should drive buying in the dollar, and gold may dip on the positive news release today. However, the 900K Non-farm employment change is below 1371K figures beforehand, which may burden on the U.S. dollar. The mixed movement is expected from the dollar today.

On the news front, it’s going to be a busy day, as the U.S. economy will be releasing it’s Non-farm payroll figures. For all the new members, the NFP is the most awaited data, and it’s expected to show an 8.2% unemployment rate along with a 0.5% average hourly earnings. Such a figure should drive buying in the dollar, and gold may dip on the positive news release today. However, the 900K Non-farm employment change is below 1371K figures beforehand, which may burden on the U.S. dollar. The mixed movement is expected from the dollar today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD prices were closed at1.17455 after placing a high of 1.17695 and a low of 1.17170. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. On Thursday, EUR/USD prices rose on the back of upbeat European stock market amid improved risk sentiment due to rising hopes of U.S. stimulus measure and some positive corporate news.

Different European companies reported gains, and increased sales in September gave signals of a significant recovery in the European corporate sector. It raised the European currency against its rival U.S. dollar and supported the upward trend of the EUR/USD pair on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the optimism raised in the market related to the U.S. stimulus measures after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin confirmed that talks with Nancy Pelosi had a significant breakthrough. However, the differences were still there. The fact that both sides were showing a willingness to reach a consensus and issue the next round of aid raised bars that the U.S. Congress would announce the package sooner.

These hopes in the market supported the risk sentiment that helped the riskier Euro currency to post gains against its rival U.S. dollar and push the EUR/USD pair even higher.

On the data front, at 12:15 GMT, the Spanish Manufacturing PMI for September remained flat with the expectations of 50.8. At 12:45 GMT, the Italian Manufacturing PMI dropped to 53.2 from the forecasted 53.6 and weighed on Euro. At 12:50 GMT, the French Final Manufacturing PMI for September increased to 51.2 against the forecast of 50.9. At 12:55 GMT, the German Final Manufacturing PMI remained flat with the projected 56.4. At 13:00 GMT, the Final Manufacturing PMI for the whole Eurozone also came in line with the expectations of 53.7. The Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate for August dropped to 9.7% against the expectations of 10.2% and supported Euro. 

At 14:00 GMT, the Producer Price Index for Eurozone dropped to 0.1% against the expectations of 0.2% and weighed on local currency. Whereas, the Unemployment Rate for the whole bloc remained flat with forecasts at 8.1%. Most data from Europe on Thursday came in as expected and supported Euro that also added further gains in EUR/USD pair.

On the U.S. side, the U.S. dollar remained depressed on Thursday after the release of negative ISM Manufacturing PMI and Personal Income data. At 17:30 GMT, the Personal Income for August dropped to -2.7% from the expected -2.0% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. At 19:00 GMT, the ISM Manufacturing PMI from the U.S. fell short of expectations of 56.0 and came in as 55.4 and weighed on the U.S. dollar.

The U.S. dollar index also fell by 0.2% on Thursday, and this weakness drove the EUR/USD pair in the upward direction, but the gains remained limited as the European countries were forced to implement renewed restrictions due to the second wave of coronavirus. 

On Wednesday, European countries like Finland, Spain, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Spain, and Poland implemented new restrictions as the infection cases were continuously increasing. These restrictions kept the local currency under pressure, and the gains in EUR/USD pair limited on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1718      1.1771

1.1691      1.1797

1.1665      1.1824

Pivot point: 1.1744

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD has violated the upward trendline support level of 1.1728 level, and now the same level is working as a resistance for the EUR/USD. Below this, the EUR/USD can trade with a bearish bias until the 1.1695 level. Conversely, negative NFP figures may lead the EUR/USD price towards the 1.1755 level. The bearish bias remains strong today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.28859 after placing a high of 1.29785 and a low of 1.28194. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bearish throughout the day. After posting gains for six consecutive days, the GBP/USD pair dropped on Thursday amid different headlines in the market related to Brexit talks. The talks between the U.K. and the E.U. suggested some progress in breaking the deadlock in Brexit talks.

The comments after the latest round of talks between the U.K. & E.U. over the post-Brexit deal provided differing reports of progress that suggested that both sides were far from reaching a consensus. This weighed on the Sterling and dragged the pair GBP/USD from its previous daily gains.

The differences over the key sticking issues like fisheries and level playing fields remain intact in the latest trade negotiations. Some reports suggested that a landing zone on state aid has been identified between the E.U. & the U.K., and the only fishing issue was left. Both reports were providing different information, and this confused the market traders and raised fears of a no-deal Brexit that weighed on local currency and ultimately on the GBP/USD pair.

The Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove said that the U.K. has already made it clear that it will not look into the demands to take control over the access to its waters and fish after the Brexit-transition period. He said that the U.K. would rather leave the E.U. without a Brexit deal than sticking with the E.U.’s Common Fisheries Policies. 

The U.K. has also issued an internal market bill that undermines the withdrawal agreement, and this has already made the E.U. angry. The chances for a no-deal Brexit are increasing day by day as the E.U. has threatened to take legal actions against the U.K. in response to the internal market bill. The pressure over negotiators has been increased to reach a consensus before the European Summit on October 15 as the top E.U. negotiator Michel Barnier will have to address the latest updates on Brexit negotiations.

Meanwhile, on the data front, the Final Manufacturing PMI from the U.K. came in line with the expectations of 54.1. And from the U.S. side, the ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 55.4 from the forecasted 56.0 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that capped further losses in the GBP/USD pair on Thursday.

Moreover, on Thursday, the Bank of England’s governor Andy Haldane said that the corporate sector needed to spend more and hire more people to make the economic recovery smooth. He addressed that corporate investments were the missing ingredient in the economic recovery, and it should be met to see further growth in the economy.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

Support Resistance

1.2812     1.2974

1.2735     1.3057

1.2651     1.3135

Pivot Point: 1.2896

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is also supported over a strong trading range of 1.2835 – 1.2810 support levels. Above this range, the Cable will always have strong odds of bouncing off until 1.2901 and 1.2945 level. At the same time, a bearish breakout of 1.2811 level may lead the Sterling towards 1.2764 level. Today, we should look for a buy trade 1.2896 until the next target level of 1.2950 as the market is likely to stay supported. Let’s brace for the U.S. non-farm payroll data today to have further certainty about the pair. 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY closed at 105.543 after placing a high of 105.726 and a low of 105.401. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. Despite the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and negative ISM Manufacturing PMI, the USD/JPY pair posted small gains on the day and climbed to a fresh daily high of 105.726 level. The upward momentum in the USD/JPY pair could be attributed to the improved risk sentiment in the market after the hopes for a U.S. stimulus package from the U.S. Congress increased.

On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that he held talks with Nancy Pelosi to discuss the next round of U.S. stimulus measures, and he hoped that it would be released soon. The difference in the size of the package between Republicans & Democrats is still there, but they have agreed that consensus should be quickly reached, so the optimism surrounding the package increased and weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen that ultimately added Support to the USD/JPY pair. 

Meanwhile, on the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the Tankan Manufacturing Index came in as -27 against the forecast of -23 and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index also dropped to -12 from the expected -9 and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The negative data from Japan gave strength to the USD/JPY pair on Thursday in early trading hours. 

However, at 05:30 GMT, the Final Manufacturing PMI from Japan rose to 47.7 against the projected 47.3 in September and supported the Japanese Yen that capped further upside momentum in the USD/JPY pair.

From the USD side, at 17:30 GMT, the Core PCE Price Index for August remained flat with the expectations of 0.3%. Personal Spending in August rose to 1.0% against the projected 0.7% and supported the U.S. dollar. The Unemployment Claims from last week also dropped to 837K against the expected 850K and supported the U.S. dollar. The Personal Income in August dropped to -2.7% against the forecasted -2.0% and weighed on the U.S. dollar.

At 18:45 GMT, the Final Manufacturing PMI for September remained flat with the expectations of 53.2. At 19:00 GMT, the ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 55.4 from the projected 56.0 in September and weighed on the U.S. dollar. Whereas, Construction Spending in August rose to 1.4% against the expected 0.8% and supported the U.S. dollar. The ISM Manufacturing Prices also rose to 62.8 from the forecasted 59.0 and supported the greenback.

The Wards Total Vehicle Sales from the U.S. also rose to 16.3M from the anticipated 15.5M in September and supported the U.S. dollar.

The U.S. dollar was weak across the board on Thursday, as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) posted 0.2% losses on the day. However, the USD/JPY pair still manage to post gains on the day due to positive data releases. Most of the data released on Thursday came in Support of the U.S. dollar except the highlighted data of ISM Manufacturing PMI. But traders tend to ignore the declining PMI and focused more on other positive releases like Personal Spending and Unemployment claims.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

Support Resistance

105.35    105.70

105.20    105.90

104.99    106.05

Pivot point: 105.55

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY has violated the double bottom support level of 105.277 level amid an increased safe-haven appeal. The coronavirus news of Trump and his wife testing positive is making the market volatile. The technical side of USD/JPY continues to be bearish around 105.200, and the series for EMA is now extending resistance at 105.550 level. On the flip side, the support holds at 104.800 level. The MACD also supports the selling bias amid a stronger Japanese yen due to increased safe-haven appeal. Bearish trend continuation and violation of the 104.800 level can open additional room for selling until 104.350. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, October 01 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Manufacturing PMI in Highlights! 

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of services PMI figures from the Eurozone and the U.K. Most of the data is expected to be neutral; however, the U.S. Unemployment Claims and Manufacturing PMI will be the main highlight of the day. Claims are expected to perform better, while the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to report negative figures. Mixed bias prevail for the U.S. dollar today.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of services PMI figures from the Eurozone and the U.K. Most of the data is expected to be neutral; however, the U.S. Unemployment Claims and Manufacturing PMI will be the main highlight of the day. Claims are expected to perform better, while the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to report negative figures. Mixed bias prevail for the U.S. dollar today.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the series of services PMI figures from the Eurozone and the U.K. Most of the data is expected to be neutral; however, the U.S. Unemployment Claims and Manufacturing PMI will be the main highlight of the day. Claims are expected to perform better, while the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected to report negative figures. Mixed bias prevail for the U.S. dollar today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD closed at 1.17208 after placing a high of 1.17548 and a low of 1.16844. After posting gains for two consistent days, the EUR/USD pair dropped on Wednesday amid the broad-based U.S. dollar strength. Another major reason behind the fall in EUR/USD prices on Wednesday was the latest comments from ECB President Lagarde of talking up an idea of moving toward the average inflation targeting measure like the U.S. Fed to fight against pandemic recession. 

Lagarde said on Wednesday that ECB was considering following the footsteps of the U.S. Federal Reserve to ditch its current policy that sets the target of inflation below but close to 2%. The debate over whether ECB should follow the Fed in setting an average inflation target and let inflation run above 2% target came in as analysts suggested that the central bank was running out of tools. Another reason could be a low appetite for cutting interest rates below zero. These dovish hopes kept the market risk sentiment under pressure, and the Euro currency suffered that led to declining EUR/USD pair prices on Wednesday. 

Meanwhile, at the data front, the German Import Prices in August rose to 0.1% from the projected 0.0% and supported Euro. At 10:59 GMT, the German Retail Sales for August also rose to 3.1% from the anticipated 0.4% and supported Euro. 

The French Consumer Spending for August rose to 2.3% from the anticipated -0.2% and supported shared currency. The French Prelim Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September declined to -0.5% against the projected -0.3% and weighed on Euro. 

At 12:55 GMT, the German Unemployment Change in August came in as -8K against the forecasted -7K. At 14:00GMT, the Italian Prelim CPI for September declined to -0.6% against the forecasted -0.5% and weighed on single currency Euro. 

On the U.S. front, at 17:15 GMT, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change showed a job creation of 749K against the forecasted 650K in September and supported the U.S. dollar. At 17:20 GMT, the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) advanced to 62.4 from the forecasted 52.0 and supported the greenback. At 17:30 GMT, the Final GDP for the quarter came in as -31.4% against the projected -31.7% and supported the U.S. dollar. At 19:00 GMT, the Pending Home Sales also rose to 8.8% from the projected 3.1% and supported the U.S. dollar.

Despite the strong economic data from Europe, the pair EUR/USD continued declining on Wednesday as the focus has been shifted towards the U.S. dollar and its strength. The strong greenback managed to keep the pair under heavy pressure on Wednesday amid several factors supporting U.S. dollar gains. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar also gained its strength as the hopes for a new round of U.S. stimulus measures finally increased. Steven Mnuchin, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, said that the talks between Democrats and Republicans over the next round of the coronavirus aid package have resumed. This raised optimism in the market that both parties will reach a consensus soon given Tuesday’s statement of Lagarde in which she reiterated that she had high hopes that both parties will reach a deal by the end of this week. The broad-based greenback’s strength kept weighing on the EUR/USD pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1686       1.1772

1.1630       1.1802

1.1600       1.1858

Pivot Point: 1.1716

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The bullish bias of the EUR/USD continues to play in the market as the pair is trading at 1.1740 level. On the higher side, the EUR/USD pair may find resistance at 1.1750 level along with a support level of 1.1716 level. A bearish breakout of the 1.1715 level can extend selling bias until the 1.1694 level today. Overall, the price action of the EUR/USD pair will be highly influenced by the series of manufacturing PMI figures not only from the Eurozone but also from the U.S. economy. Bullish bias will be dominant upon the breakout of 1.1750.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.29232 after placing a high of 1.29424 and a low of 1.28051. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The GBP/USD pair continued its bullish streak for the 6th consecutive days on Wednesday despite the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The upward momentum of GBP/USD could be attributed to the renewed Brexit hopes and positive comments from Haldane. 

On Wednesday, the U.S. Dollar Index remained flat at 93.92 despite the strong macroeconomic releases on the day. At 17:15 GMT, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change from the United States rose to 749K against the expectations of 650K and supported the U.S. dollar. At 17:20 GMT, the Chicago PMI also rose to 62.4 from the expected 52.0. At 17:30 GMT, the Final GDP for the quarter showed a contraction of -31.4% in the second quarter against the projected contraction of -31.7%. At 19:00 GMT, the Pending Home Sales for August rose to 8.8% against the forecasted 3.1%. All these positive data from the U.S., but still GBP/USD pair managed to post gains on the back of high Brexit hopes. 

On Wednesday, the Cable moved higher as the latest headlines out of Brexit negotiations were positive. The E.U.’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier praised the improved atmosphere around the post-Brexit deal on Wednesday. The member states ordered France to back down from its demands to secure status quo access to Britain’s fishing grounds. Barnier said that a breakthrough could be made during this week’s round of negotiation as both sides had been able to engage more closely on fishing and state aid issues.

Apart from Brexit renewed hopes, the comments from Bank of England’s chief economist Andy Haldane also provided support to the rising GBP/USD pair. Haldane said that Britain’s economy was being held back by the overly pessimistic views about the coronavirus crisis. He provided some relief when he said that none of the conditions that would lead to negative interest rates had been met. 

It means his comments ruled out the option of negative interest rates in the current period when the country is facing a healthy and robust wave of coronavirus pandemic. These positive comments from Haldane supported British Pound that pushed the GBP/USD pair on the upside for the 6th consecutive days.

From the U.K., the BRC Shop Price Index for the year dropped to -1.6% against the forecasted -1.4% and weighed on Sterling. At 10:59 GMT, the Nationwide HPI for September rose to 0.9% against the forecasted 0.5% and supported the Sterling that added gains in GBP/USD pair. At 11:00 GMT, the Current Account Balance from the U.K. showed a deficit of 2.8B against the forecasted deficit of 1.0B and weighed on British Pound. The Final GDP for the quarter showed a contraction of -19.8% against the forecasted contraction of -20.4% and supported the local currency GBP that ultimately provided added support to GBP/USD pair’s gains on Wednesday. At 11:02 GMT, the Revised Business Investment for the quarter came in as -26.5% against the forecasted -31.4% and supported the upward momentum of the GBP/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2821       1.2902

1.2781       1.2943

1.2740       1.2983

Pivot point: 1.2862

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is consolidating with a bullish bias at 1.2875 level, having violated the sideways trading range of 1.2770 to 1.2725 level. Most of the buying trend was triggered amid stronger Sterling and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The Cable has formed an upward channel on the hourly chart that may support the pair at 1.2827 level along with a resistance level of 1.2909 level. Bullish crossover of 1.2900 level can open up further buying room until 1.2998 level today. Let’s consider taking buying trades over 1.2827 level today. 

 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.436 after placing a high of 105.802 and a low of 105.400. The USD/JPY pair broke its 7-days bullish streak on Wednesday and declined on Wednesday to its lowest level at 105.400. The USD/JPY pair managed to post losses on Wednesday despite the strong macroeconomic data releases from the U.S. 

On the data front, at 04:50 GMT, the Prelim Industrial Production from the United States in August rose to 1.7% from the forecasted 1.5% and supported the Japanese yen that ultimately weighed on the USD/JPY currency pair. The Retail Sales from Japan came in as -1.9% against the forecasted -3.2% and supported the Japanese Yen that exerted weighed on the USD/JPY pair. The Housing Starts for the year came in as -9.1% against the forecasted -10.0% and supported the Japanese Yen. The strong macroeconomic data from Japan pushed the Japanese Yen higher against the U.S. dollar and weighed on the USD/JPY pair.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remained flat at 93.92 level but posted monthly gains in September by 2% and losses for the 3rd quarter by 3.5%. The steady U.S. dollar was due to the un-decisive presidential debate. Both candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden took part in the first of third presidential debate on Tuesday and discussed issues like the coronavirus pandemic, Trump’s leadership, and the U.S. economy along with taxes. However, the debate failed to provide clues about the results of upcoming elections and weighed on the U.S. dollar that dragged the USD/JPY pair’s prices.

Moreover, the renewed hopes about the Stimulus package came under headlines after Steven Mnuchin said that the White House would hold talks with Democrats over the stimulus issue. Meanwhile, the Governor of Federal Reserve, Michelle Bowman, said that economic recovery from the pandemic crisis was bumpy because of the high rate of unemployment and persisting need for support from fiscal and monetary departments of the U.S.   

The President of Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Neel Kashkari, also called the U.S. economic recovery as grinding and told the lawmakers that it would remain the same unless a dramatic change or sooner than expected breakthrough in vaccine development. He said that to smooth the economic recovery of the world’s largest economy, a dramatic policy change was needed. The above comments from Fed officials also had a role in the downward movement of the USD/JPY pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.41      105.82

105.17      105.99

105.00      106.23

Pivot point: 105.58

  

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The technical side of the safe-haven pair USD/JPY continues to be steady as it’s consolidating with a bullish bias to trade at 105.460 level, and the series for EMA is now extending at 105.750 level. On the lower side, the support holds at 105.300 level. The MACD also supports the bullish bias amid a stronger U.S. dollar and diminished safe-haven appeal. A bullish crossover of the 105.750 is likely to lead the USD/JPY price towards the next resistance level of 106.250. As we can see, the 50 periods EMA is also in support of buying; therefore, we should look for buying trades in the USD/JPY pair. However, bearish trend continuation and violation of the 105.300 level can open further room for selling until 104.900. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, September 30 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – ECB President Lagarde Speaks Ahead! 

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.17416 after placing a high of 1.17452 and a low of 1.16569. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair surged and recovered most of its previous 3-4 days losses on the back of broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and rising risk sentiment in the market. The U.S. dollar came under fresh pressure ahead of the U.S. first Presidential debate and provided great support to its rival currency Euro on Tuesday.

The dovish comments from the ECB president and the weakness of its rival currency U.S. dollar improved the market’s risk sentiment ahead of the U.S. presidential debate and supported the riskier EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday.

On the data front, The German Prelim Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September dropped to -0.2% from the projected -0.1% and weighed on single currency Euro. At 12:00 GMT, the Spanish Flash CPI for the year remained flat with the projected -0.4%. The data from Europe had an almost null impact on EUR/USD pair because traders’ focus was solely on the U.S. dollar weakness amid the rising hopes of next U.S. stimulus measures.

From the U.S. side, at 17:30 GMT, the Goods Trade Balance for August dropped to -82.9B from the expected -81.8B and weighed on the U.S. dollar. In August, the Prelim Wholesale Inventories rose to 0.5% from the forecasted -0.1% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The weak U.S. dollar added further support to the rising EUR/USD prices. The greenback was further declined after the dovish comments from Fed officials on Tuesday and the U.S. stimulus package’s rising hopes.

The U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have said that the next round of coronavirus aid packages will be delivered soon. Both parties held a meeting on Monday and were optimistic that a deal between Republicans & Democrats was highly possible on the $2.2Tpackage.

These rising optimism added to the risk sentiment and provided strength to the Euro currency against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. Dollar Index was already under pressure and was testing the critical support zone near 93.40 level on Tuesday, and Euro’s regained strength pushed it even on the downside. Meanwhile, the latest move from ECB’s President Christine Lagarde over the next round of stimulus package from the European government to refrain from mentioning anything about it and saying that the bank was ready to act as need, also supported the risk sentiment and rising EUR/USD prices.

Lagarde said that coronavirus’s impact across Europe was still intact as people were continuously losing their jobs, and the prospects for the future were still uncertain. She said that economic activity in the third quarter was rebounded, but the recovery was still incomplete, uneven, and uncertain. These dovish comments kept weighing the local currency.

However, the main driver of EUR/USD’s latest surge was the weak U.S. dollar because the Euro was facing an all-time pressure of rising coronavirus cases in the region. As the coronavirus infections rose in European nations, the need for stimulus also increase and exerted downside pressure on the Euro currency. These lingering fears that the second wave of coronavirus pandemic could cause a lasting impact on the European economy kept the gains in the EUR/USD pair limited on Tuesday. As for the U.S. dollar weakness, it is expected to remain until the U.S. Presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump that will start late at night in the U.S.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1625      1.1689

1.1588      1.1716

1.1561      1.1754

Pivot point: 1.1652

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading at 1.1722 level, facing immediate resistance at 1.1760 level that marks a double top pattern for the EUR/USD. The bullish crossover of 1.1760 level can open further room for buying until the 1.1807 area, while the bearish trend continuation below 1.1685 level may lead the EUR/USD price towards 1.1654 and 1.1627 level today. Let’s consider taking buying trades over 1.1650 today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD closed at 1.28527 after placing a high of 1.29027 and a low of 1.28225. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The GBP/USD pair extended its bullish streak for the 5th consecutive day on Tuesday. The gains in the GBP/USD pair were due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The Brexit talks were resumed on Tuesday that also helped GBP/USD pair to gain some traction. However, the gains in currency air were limited as the United Kingdom was facing a strong wave of coronavirus pandemic. The dovish comments from Bank of England’s president also capped further upside in the GBP/USD pair.

The greenback was weak across the board ahead of the first U.S. presidential debate between U.S. President Donald Trump and Former U.S. President Joe Biden that will begin late in the U.S. on Tuesday. The renewed hopes that the U.S. will announce the next round of coronavirus aid package soon after White House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that she hoped that Democrats and Republicans would reach a consensus on the stimulus package soon.

Apart from U.S. dollar weakness, the positive data from Great Britain also helped GBP/USD pair’s gains on Tuesday. The Mortgage Approvals from the U.K. hit their highest since October 2007 on Tuesday and reached 85K against the forecasted 72K in August and supported British Pound. Meanwhile, at 13:30 GMT, the Net Lending to Individuals dropped to 3.4B from the expected 5.2B and weighed on Pound. The unexpected rise in Mortgage Approvals in the U.K. added further support to the rising GBP/USD pair on Tuesday.

Furthermore, the Final round of Brexit talks between the U.K. and E.U. resumed on Tuesday despite the British Prime Minister Boris Johnsons attempt to undermine the Brexit withdrawal agreement by proceeding with an internal market bill. The negotiations mean that the Brexit deal was still on the table and could be reached, and this renewed Brexit deal hopes they supported the GBP/USD gains on the day.

Whereas, the gains were capped by many factors, including the ongoing strong wave of coronavirus pandemic in Great Britain. PM Johnson has already imposed many restrictions, including a new bill of six-people gathering and closing pubs, bars, and theaters before 10 pm, and the situation regarding pandemic is not settling.

Further restrictions would hurt the economic recovery and lead the central bank to look into negative interest rates. The latest comments made by the governor of Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, have increased the market’s fears. He said that BoE was not out of ammunition to fight with the pandemic crisis. He added that negative interest rates were not ruled out, but they were realistic options in a challenging environment. These dovish comments from the Bank of England governor weighed on local currency GBP and forced GBP/USD pair to lose some of its earlier daily gains.

On the U.S. front, the macroeconomic data was mixed and failed to provide a significant pair movement. Whereas, the U.S. Dollar Index saw fresh pressure and fell to 93.4 level ahead of the U.S. Presidential debate. This kept supporting the upward trend of GBP/USD throughout the day.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2698      1.2791

1.2647      1.2833

1.2605      1.2884

Pivot point: 1.2740

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD is trading with a bullish bias at 1.2875 level, having violated the sideways trading range of 1.2770 to 1.2725 level. Most of the buying trend was triggered amid stronger Sterling and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The Cable has formed an upward channel on the hourly chart that may support the pair at 1.2827 level along with a resistance level of 1.2909 level. Bullish crossover of 1.2900 level can open up further buying room until 1.2998 level today. Let’s consider taking buying trades over 1.2827 level today. 

 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.677 after placing a high of 105.733 and a low of 105.340. Overall the movement of the USD/JPY pair remained bullish throughout the day. The USD/JPY pair continued its bullish streak for the 7th consecutive day on Tuesday despite the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness across the board ahead of the Presidential debate on the day. The rally in the USD/JPY pair could be attributed to the improved risk sentiment in the market as the U.S. stimulus measure’s hopes increased.

Furthermore, the gains in the USD/JPY pair could also be attributed to the unexpected rise in the Consumer Confidence from the U.S. and the statements made by Fed officials.

The CEO of the New York Federal Reserve, John C. Williams, said that full employment and growth in the labor sector was needed to recover from the pandemic induced recession. He also added that the recession was more robust than it was expected, and it would almost need 3-years to go back to pre-pandemic levels. The President of Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Patrick Harker, said that as long as the vaccine is not approved, the economic recovery depends on the mask’s usage to control the spread of the virus. He said that even if the spread of the virus were slow down, the recovery would still need the employment figures to reach the fullest and this could only be possible if people would feel safe to go to their work and that is why the usage of masks eve in indoor holds an important part in economic recovery.

Harker also said that a renewed aid package was essential for coronavirus-affected individuals and unemployed people, and small businesses. He also proposed that a $1Trillion package in aid would be needed to help the falling U.S. economy. On the other hand, the Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Richard Clarida, said that Fed would not increase interest rates until the employment reached its full level, and the inflation target is met or surpassed the 2% level. According to the Fed, the inflation target could be met in 2023, not before that, and it means the interest rates will remain at the lowest level for more than three years. This weighed on the greenback but failed to reverse the USD/JPY pair’s movement.

Furthermore, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that they were hopeful that a deal would be reached between Republicans & Democrats over the $2.2Trillion package. These optimistic hopes raised the market’s risk sentiment that weighed on the safe-haven Japanese Yen and supported the upward momentum of the USD/JPY pair.

On the data front, the Tokyo Core Consumer Price Index for the year came in as -0.2% against the forecasted -0.3% and supported the Japanese Yen. While at 17:30 GMT, the Goods Trade Balance from the U.S. dropped to -82.9B from the forecasted -81.8B and weighed on the U.S. dollar. In August, the Prelim Wholesale Inventories rose to 0.5% from the forecasted -0.3% and weighed on the U.S. dollar. At 18:00 GMT, the S&/CS Composite-20 HPI for the year from the U.S. rose to 3.9% from the projected 3.6^ and supported the U.S. dollar that added further strength to the USD/JPY pair on Tuesday. At 19:00 GMT, the C.B. Consumer Confidence rose to 101.8 points against the forecasted 90.0 points and supported the U.S. dollar that ultimately pushed the USD.JPY pair on the upside. Market traders are keenly awaiting the Presidential debate to find fresh clues about the election results that would highly impact the local currency U.S. dollar.

Daily Technical Levels

Support    Resistance

105.41      105.82

105.17      105.99

105.00      106.23

Pivot point: 105.58

  

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The technical side of the safe-haven pair USD/JPY continues to be steady as it’s consolidating with a bullish bias to trade at 105.460 level, and the series for EMA is now extending at 105.750 level. On the lower side, the support holds at 105.300 level. The MACD also supports the bullish bias amid a stronger U.S. dollar and diminished safe-haven appeal. A bullish crossover of the 105.750 is likely to lead the USD/JPY price towards the next resistance level of 106.250. As we can see, the 50 periods EMA is also in support of buying; therefore, we should look for buying trades in the USD/JPY pair. However, bearish trend continuation and violation of the 105.300 level can open further room for selling until 104.900. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Signals

GBP/JPY Succeeded to extend Bullish Bias Amid Faded Haven Appeal!

Today in the European trading session, the GBP/JPY currency pair successfully extended its previous session bullish trading moves and hit the two-weeks high around 135.70 marks mainly due to the on-going Brexit optimism, which eventually underpinned the Brtish Pound and contributed to the currency pair gains. Apart from this, the currency pair got an additional boost after the Bank of England (BoE) policymaker reduced the possibility of negative interest rates in the short-term, which also benefitted the British Pound and extended further support to the currency pair.

Today in the European trading session, the GBP/JPY currency pair successfully extended its previous session bullish trading moves and hit the two-weeks high around 135.70 marks mainly due to the on-going Brexit optimism, which eventually underpinned the Brtish Pound and contributed to the currency pair gains. Apart from this, the currency pair got an additional boost after the Bank of England (BoE) policymaker reduced the possibility of negative interest rates in the short-term, which also benefitted the British Pound and extended further support to the currency pair.

Today in the European trading session, the GBP/JPY currency pair successfully extended its previous session bullish trading moves and hit the two-weeks high around 135.70 marks mainly due to the on-going Brexit optimism, which eventually underpinned the Brtish Pound and contributed to the currency pair gains. Apart from this, the currency pair got an additional boost after the Bank of England (BoE) policymaker reduced the possibility of negative interest rates in the short-term, which also benefitted the British Pound and extended further support to the currency pair.

Let me remind you that the combination of factors helped the currency catch some aggressive bids on the 2nd-day of a new trading week and build on last week’s modest bounce from the lowest level since early July 133.00 marks. Across the pond, the strong rally in the equity markets, backed by the combination of factors, undermined the safe-haven Japanese yen and gave a further boost to the GBP/JPY currency pair.

Despite concerns about the coronavirus cases in some notable nations and worsening US-China relations, the investors continued to cheer the hopes of the US fiscal stimulus package triggered by reports suggesting that the US Democrats’ showed a willingness to alter previous proposals while saying that the deadlock over the much-awaited stimulus talks seems to break anytime. This, in turn, boosted the market trading sentiment and extended support to the currency pair.

Moreover, the upbeat market sentiment was being supported by optimism over the coronavirus vaccine, which came after the US pharmaceutical giant Johnson and Johnson Inc COVID-19 vaccine trial has shown a strong immune response to the coronavirus with a single dose in the early trial stages.

The UK and EU are ready to resume the 9th and final phases of Brexit talks on the day across the pond. Reports suggest that negotiators will start the process to finalize a deal by the end of this week to hammer out an agreement in time for the next EU summit in mid-October. However, the hopes of a Brexit deal were further fueled after the EU steps back from warnings to leave trade and security talks, shows a willingness to prepare a joint legal agreement. (WAB). This, in turn, boosted the sentiment around the British Pound and extended further support to the currency pair.

Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on headlines concerning Brexit, pandemic, and the US Presidential Election, which may offer important clues on the day. It’s worth mentioning that the 1st-round of the US President Election debate is expected to use American President Donald Trump’s tax payments as a fresh obstacle, which may push the US dollar down.


The GBP/JPY pair has formed bullish engulfing candles on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a bullish bias around 135.150. The recent bullish crossover of 135.100 levels is likely to lead the GBP/JPY price towards 136.400 levels. On the further higher side, the bullish crossover of 136.400 level will make our forex trading signal more secure, and it can lead GBP/JPY price towards 139.900 level. Check out a trading plan below…

Entry Price – Buy 136.056
Stop Loss – 135.656
Take Profit – 136.456
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CHF Extended Previous Session Losing Streak – Signal Update! 

During Tuesday’s early European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair failed to stop its Asian session bearish bias and dropped further near 0.9223 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the cautious mood of traders ahead of the U.S. presidential debate. Moreover, the upbeat market sentiment, backed by the positive coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine news, also weighed on the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which keeps the currency pair under pressure. Currently, the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 0.9224 and consolidating in the range between 0.9222 – 0.9252.

During Tuesday’s early European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair failed to stop its Asian session bearish bias and dropped further near 0.9223 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the cautious mood of traders ahead of the U.S. presidential debate. Moreover, the upbeat market sentiment, backed by the positive coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine news, also weighed on the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which keeps the currency pair under pressure. Currently, the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 0.9224 and consolidating in the range between 0.9222 – 0.9252.

During Tuesday’s early European trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair failed to stop its Asian session bearish bias and dropped further near 0.9223 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar selling bias, triggered by the cautious mood of traders ahead of the U.S. presidential debate. Moreover, the upbeat market sentiment, backed by the positive coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine news, also weighed on the safe-haven U.S. dollar, which keeps the currency pair under pressure. Currently, the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 0.9224 and consolidating in the range between 0.9222 – 0.9252.

However, the market trading sentiment extended its Monday’s upbeat performance and continue to flash d green during the European session on the day. The market was being supported by the risk-positive headlines from America and the European Union (E.U.). Moreover, the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine’s hopes also kept the bulls hopeful on the day. It is worth mentioning that the U.S. pharmaceutical giant Johnson and Johnson Inc COVID-19 vaccine trials earlier showed a robust immune response to the coronavirus with a single dose in the early trial stages. This, in turn, boosted market trading sentiment and dragged the currency pair down by undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar.

On the other hand, the U.S. Democrats showed a willingness to alter previous proposals, while saying that the deadlock over the much-awaited stimulus talks seems to break anytime. Meanwhile, the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently said that we have made critical additions and reduce the bill’s cost by shortening the time covered for now. This eventually boosted the hopes of the much-awaited coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus package, which keeps the market trading sentiment positive and helps the currency pair limit its deeper losses by undermining the safe-haven Swiss Franc.


Despite the hopes of further stimulus., the broad-based U.S. dollar still flashing red during the European session amid market risk-on sentiment. On the other hand, traders’ cautious mood ahead of Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden also weighed on the U.S. dollar. Although, the gains in the U.S. dollar keep the currency pair down. Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their focus on headlines concerning Brexit, pandemic, and the U.S. Presidential Election, which may offer important clues. It’s worth mentioning that the 1st-round of the U.S. President Election debate is expected to use American President Donald Trump’s tax payments as a fresh obstacle, which may push the U.S. dollar down. 

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.9038

S2 0.9109

S3 0.9154

Pivot Point 0.9181

R1 0.9225

R2 0.9252

R3 0.9323

The USD/CHF pair entered the overbought zone during the Asian session but soon started forming a bearish setup below a strong resistance level of 0.9295 level. The closing of the candle below 0.9295 level has driven strong selling until the 0.0222 level. An upward trendline is likely to support the USD/CHF pair at 0.9211 level, and if it closes over 0.9211 level, we may have a bullish reversal. Check out a trading plan below…

Entry Price – Sell 0.92306

Stop Loss – 0.92706

Take Profit – 0.91906

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, September 29 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – C.B. Consumer Confidence in Focus! 

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

The eyes will remain on the German Prelim CPI and Spanish CPI figures during the European session on the news front. At the same time, the C.B. Consumer Confidence and series of FOMC member’s speeches are likely to remain in the highlights today. Economists are expecting C.B. Consumer Confidence to perform better than before. Therefore the U.S. dollar can trade with a bullish bias today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD closed at 1.16696 after placing a high of 1.16798 and a low of 1.16149. Euro to U.S. Dollar exchange rate saw fresh buying on Monday amid the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. dollar’s safe-haven rally was ended last week; however, the EUR/USD currency pair’s recovery was still limited on Monday.

Last week, the EUR/USD pair touched its lowest since 2-months at 1.1613 due to U.S. dollar strength gathered by safe-haven status. The U.S. stimulus package and coronavirus developments, and the coronavirus pandemic helped the U.S. dollar gain strength.

However, the U.S. dollar came under fresh pressure on Monday ahead of the U.S. Presidential debates will begin from Tuesday. The U.S. President Donald Trump and Joe Biden will face each other and debate over various topics, including the coronavirus pandemic, the U.S. economy, the latest race, and the protest issue, and the election integrity. 

The local currency faced heavy pressure before the debate and helped the EUR/USD pair to regain its strength in the market. The risk sentiment in the market was also emerging in the market with the developments made in a nasal spray for coronavirus infection. Researchers have revealed that promising results from nasal spray have been seen in ferrets; however, there was still a lot of work needed.

This news raised the EUR/USD prices as it is a riskier asset and tends to gain during times of depressed risk-averse sentiment. Meanwhile, the rising equities also helped the EUR/USD pair to post gains on Monday after the release of encouraging data from China. The rising equities also helped the rising EUR/USD pair on Monday.

However, the EUR/USD pair’s gains were limited after the speech of European Central Bank’s President, Christine Lagarde. She made fresh comments on the coronavirus pandemic threat and said that despite the rebounded economic activity in Eurozone, the recovery remains incomplete, uncertain, and uneven. 

She added that consumer spending has resumed, but they are still cautious about their jobs and income prospects, so the spending is behind its margin. Similarly, the business investment has picked up, but the weak demand and pertaining uncertainty have weighed on the investment plans. She also warned that Eurozone deflation would continue to persist in the coming months. She exclaimed that PEPP was very helpful and efficient in handling the coronavirus situation and confirmed that ECB would continue to stand ready to adjust all of its instruments in need. These concerning statements from Lagarde capped further gains in EUR/USD pair on Monday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.1636      1.1698

1.1600      1.1724

1.1573      1.1760

Pivot point: 1.1662

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The EUR/USD is trading at 1.1684 level, facing immediate resistance at 1.1685 level that marks a triple top pattern for the EUR/USD. The bullish crossover of 1.1685 level can open further room for buying until the 1.1715 area, while the bearish trend continuation below 1.1685 level may lead the EUR/USD price towards 1.1654 and 1.1627 level today. 

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

Today in the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair continues to flash green and taking bids around above 1.2860 level, mainly due to the Brexit-positive headlines triggered after the E.U. stepped back from warnings to leave the trade and security talks. Meanwhile. They also showed a willingness to prepare a joint legal agreement, which keeps buyers hopeful and extended support to the currency pair. Apart from this, the currency pair got an additional boost after the Bank of England (BoE) policymaker eased the chance of negative interest rates in the short-term, which eventually underpinned the Brtish Pound and contributed to the currency pair gans. 

Across the pond, the broad-based U.S. dollar bearish tone ahead of the presidential debate also boosted the GBP/USD currency pair’s strong intraday positive move. The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2847 and consolidating in the range between 1.2832 – 1.2880. Moving on, the currency pair traders seem cautious to place any strong position ahead of crucial departure talks in the E.U.

It is worth recalling that the U.K. and Brussels are ready to resume the 9th-round of Brexit talks on the day. Reports suggest that negotiators will start the process to finalize a deal by the end of this week to hammer out an accord in time for the next E.U. summit in mid-October. However, the hopes of a Brexit deal were further fueled after the E.U. steps back from warnings to leave trade and security talks, shows a willingness to prepare a joint legal agreement. Hence, this news also ignores the U.K. Cabinet Minister Michel Gove’s refusal to remove the Internal Market Bill (IMB) clauses that confront the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement (WAB). This, in turn, boosted the sentiment around the British Pound and extended further support to the currency pair.

Besides, the reason for the currency pair bullish bias could also be associated with the latest reports suggesting that the Bank of England (BoE) policymaker, Dave Ramsden, lessened the possibility of negative interest rates in the short-term, which tend to underpin the local currency. Ramsden declared that he still sees the effective lower bound in the bank rate at 0.10%.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2698     1.2791

1.2647     1.2833

1.2605     1.2884

Pivot point: 1.2740

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair is trading with a bullish bias at 1.2875 level, having violated the sideways trading range of 1.2770 to 1.2725 level. Most of the buying trend was triggered amid stronger Sterling and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The Cable has formed an upward channel on the hourly chart that may support the pair at 1.2827 level along with a resistance level of 1.2909 level. Bullish crossover of 1.2900 level can open up further buying room until 1.2998 level today. Let’s consider taking buying trades over 1.2827 level today. 

 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY currency pair stopped its overnight declining streak and picked up some modest bids around above the mid-105.00 level, mainly due to the risk-on market. However, the positive tone around the equity market was being supported by the hopes of the U.S. stimulus package and optimism over the virus vaccine, which tend to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen currency and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

On the contrary, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by the political uncertainty in the run-up to the U.S. Presidential election in November, becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any further gains in the currency pair. Apart from this, the concerns of increasing COVID-19 cases in many countries keep challenging the market trading sentiment, which might cap further gains in the currency pair. Currently, the USD/JPY currency pair is currently trading at 105.63 and consolidating in the range between 105.34 – 105.64. 

As we already mentioned that the market trading sentiment was being supported by optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus. These hopes fueled after the U.S. pharmaceutical giant Johnson and Johnson Inc COVID-19 vaccine experiment has shown a strong immune response to the coronavirus with a single dose in the early trial stages. Apart from this, the market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the Brexit-positive sentiment. These hopes came after the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde repeated that the Governing Council “continues to stand ready to adjust all of its instruments. This, in turn, boosted the market trading tone and undermined the safe-haven assets. Besides, the reason for the upbeat market sentiment could also be associated with the hints of further money flow from the U.S. and Europe. As per the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the COVID-19 aid package deal is possible. 

Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their focus on headlines concerning Brexit, pandemic, and the U.S. Presidential Election, which may offer important clues. It’s worth mentioning that the 1st-round of the U.S. President Election debate is expected to use American President Donald Trump’s tax payments as a fresh obstacle, which may push the U.S. dollar down.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

105.22      105.56

105.04      105.72

104.88      105.90

Pivot point: 105.38

  

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

On Tuesday, the technical side of the safe-haven pair USD/JPY continues to be steady as it’s consolidating with a bullish bias to trade at 105.460 level, and the series for EMA is now extending at 105.750 level. On the lower side, the support holds at 105.300 level. The MACD also supports the bullish bias amid a stronger U.S. dollar and diminished safe-haven appeal. A bullish crossover of the 105.750 is likely to lead the USD/JPY price towards the next resistance level of 106.250. As we can see, the 50 periods EMA is also in support of buying; therefore, we should look for buying trades in the USD/JPY pair. However, bearish trend continuation and violation of the 105.300 level can open further room for selling until 104.900. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Signals

Gold’s Choppy Session Continues – Brace for Breakout Setup!

The yellow metal prices managed to stop its previous session bearish bias and started to gain positive traction around the $1,874 level, mainly due to the prevalent selling bias surrounding the U.S. dollar. That was triggered by the downbeat U.S. data, which fueled the doubts that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt. Apart from this, the upbeat market mood also undermined the demand of the U.S. dollar. Thus, the weaker U.S. dollar could be seen as one of the key factors that helped the dollar-denominated commodity.

The yellow metal prices managed to stop its previous session bearish bias and started to gain positive traction around the $1,874 level, mainly due to the prevalent selling bias surrounding the U.S. dollar. That was triggered by the downbeat U.S. data, which fueled the doubts that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt. Apart from this, the upbeat market mood also undermined the demand of the U.S. dollar. Thus, the weaker U.S. dollar could be seen as one of the key factors that helped the dollar-denominated commodity.

The yellow metal prices managed to stop its previous session bearish bias and started to gain positive traction around the $1,874 level, mainly due to the prevalent selling bias surrounding the U.S. dollar. That was triggered by the downbeat U.S. data, which fueled the doubts that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt. Apart from this, the upbeat market mood also undermined the demand of the U.S. dollar. Thus, the weaker U.S. dollar could be seen as one of the key factors that helped the dollar-denominated commodity.

On the contrary, the market risk-on sentiment, backed by the optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment and the hopes of the COVID-19 stimulus measures package, becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the gold prices. Across the pond, the market trading sentiment was relatively unaffected by the Sino-American tussle and virus woes, which might lend some further support to the safe-haven metal. The yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,874.13 and consolidating in the range between 1,861.93 – 1,875.20.

The renewed optimism over a possible vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus pandemic boosted the market risk tone on the day. These hopes were fueled after Novavax Inc started a clinical late-stage trial of the coronavirus vaccine in the U.K. The experimental vaccine is produced on partnership terms with the government’s Vaccines Taskforce. This, in turn, weakened demand for safe-haven metal and might keep a lid on any extra gains for the yellow metal.

Moreover, the risk-on sentiment was further bolstered by the latest headlines suggesting that the Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives stated that they are working on a $2.2 trillion COVID-19 stimulus package that could be voted on next week. Besides this, there is also a suggestion that House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will likely resume stalled stimulus talks.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to maintain its previous day gains and dopped on the day mainly due to the risk-on market sentiment. Moreover, the U.S. dollar losses could also be attributed to the downbeat U.S. unemployment data. However, the U.S. dollar losses kept the gold prices higher as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar.

Across the ocean, the fears of no-deal Brexit and the Sino-American tussle keep challenging the positive market tone, which might help the yellow-metal prices. At the US-China front, Sino-US’s tensions picked up further pace after the US Justice Department urges judge to allow Govt to ban WeChat from app stores. As per the latest report, the US Justice Department early Friday urged a San Francisco federal judge to permit the government to prohibit Apple Inc and Google from offering WeChat for download in the app store. At the coronavirus front, the on-going rise in COVID-19 cases globally continues to fuel worries that the global economic recovery could be halt.


Daily Support and Resistance
S1 1792.71
S2 1832.06
S3 1847.65
Pivot Point 1871.4
R1 1887
R2 1910.75
R3 1950.1

The yellow metal gold extends to trades choppy on the back of thin fundamentals in the market. The Doji candle formation on the daily timeframe is expected to encourage upward movement in the market unto the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement level of 1,877. On the upward side, the bullish violation of 1,877 marks may lead to a 38.2% Fibo level of 1,895. Beneath 1,877, the gold price can sink until 1,858 and 1,846 level. Neutral bias controls in the market today. Good luck!

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Triple Top Pattern Pressing Pair Lower – Sell Limit!

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.33921 after a high of 1.34178 and a low of 1.33322. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The currency pair USD/CAD posted gains on Friday amid the US dollar’s broad-based strength and the declining crude oil prices. The USD/CAD pair posted the biggest weekly gain on Friday since March as the US dollar gained its safe-haven status back.

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.33921 after a high of 1.34178 and a low of 1.33322. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The currency pair USD/CAD posted gains on Friday amid the US dollar’s broad-based strength and the declining crude oil prices. The USD/CAD pair posted the biggest weekly gain on Friday since March as the US dollar gained its safe-haven status back.

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.33921 after a high of 1.34178 and a low of 1.33322. Overall the movement of the USD/CAD pair remained bullish throughout the day. The currency pair USD/CAD posted gains on Friday amid the US dollar’s broad-based strength and the declining crude oil prices. The USD/CAD pair posted the biggest weekly gain on Friday since March as the US dollar gained its safe-haven status back.

The US Dollar Index that measures the value of the US dollar against the six currencies’ basket rose above 96.6 level on Friday and reached its 2-months highest level. The rise in the greenback gave a push to the USD/CAD pair on Friday. The US dollar was strong across the board as the market’s rising level of uncertainties called for a safe-haven appeal. The delayed US stimulus package, the rising number of coronavirus figures from Europe, and the escalating US-China tensions kept the uncertainty level high.

There were also increased concerns about economic recovery due to depressing macroeconomic data releases from many countries. On Friday, the Core Durable Orders declined to 0.4% in August from the projection of 1.0%, and the Durable Goods Orders also dropped to 0.4% against the forecast of 1.1% in August. These negative economic figures raised the economic recovery fears and supported the safe-haven appeal.

The fears for the next round of US stimulus package’s late delivery increased in the market as there was no progress in talks. Chances have been increased that no new stimulus measure will be announced before the US Presidential elections on 3rd November. 

Meanwhile, the European countries were experiencing the latest round of coronavirus pandemic as France & UK, with some other member states, faced the highest rise in daily infected cases. In 24 hours, France reported more than 16000 cases, while the UK reported more than 6600 cases. Both countries saw the highest level of reported cases in a single day since the pandemic started.

Furthermore, the rising conflict between the world’s two largest economies over the coronavirus pandemic and its origin at the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) raised fears for a new Cold-war.

The above-mentioned fears and concerns kept the market risk sentiment under pressure and demand for safe-haven appeal at high that supported the US dollar and, ultimately, the USD/CAD pair on Friday.


Moreover, the declining crude oil prices on Friday weighed on commodity-linked Loonie when prices of WTI Crude oil futures dropped below $41 per barrel. The decreased crude oil prices could be attributed to the rising safe-haven appeal and US dollar prices as the greenback and crude oil prices negatively correlate. The declining Canadian dollar supported the USD/CAD pair’s an upward trend on Friday and helped the pair to post the most significant weekly gains since March. There was no economic data to be released from Canada, and hence, the team followed the USD movements only.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3371 1.3394

1.3360 1.3406

1.3348 1.3417

Pivot point: 1.3383

Technically, the USD/CAD pair has disrupted the strong resistance mark of 1.3345, and on the higher side, the aim for USD/CAD is expected to stay at 1.3394. The 50 EMA and the MACD are underpinning the upward movement in the market; therefore, we have opened a buy trade in the USD/CAD pair. Let’s follow the below trade plan… 

1.34453 1.33653

Entry Price – Sell Limit 1.34053

Stop Loss – 1.33057 

Take Profit – 1.33857

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, September 25 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Durable Goods Orders in Highlights! 

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the U.S. fundamentals, especially the Durable Goods Orders m/m and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, which are expected to report negative data and drive selling bias for the U.S. .dollar.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the U.S. fundamentals, especially the Durable Goods Orders m/m and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, which are expected to report negative data and drive selling bias for the U.S. .dollar.

On the news front, the eyes will remain on the U.S. fundamentals, especially the Durable Goods Orders m/m and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, which are expected to report negative data and drive selling bias for the U.S. .dollar.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.6680 after placing a high of 1.16867 and a low of 1.16263. Overall the movement of the EUR/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. After declining for four consecutive days, the EUR/USD currency pair fell to its lowest level in two months in an earlier trading session but reversed its direction in the late American session rose on Thursday.

During the first half of the day, the EUR/USD pair was continuously weighed by the broad-based U.S. dollar strength amid the lack of significant macroeconomic data from the Eurozone. The DXY that measures the greenback’s performance against its rival currencies rose to its highest level since late July at 94.59. However, the U.S. dollar gains were deteriorated by the decisive rebound in Wall Street’s main indexes. The S&P 500 Index was up by 1.23% on Thursday, and the DXY was also starting to decline near 94.30 level. This provided strength to the risk sentiment that ultimately pushed the EUR/USD pair to reverse its direction.

On the data front, at 13:00 GMT, the German IFO Business Climate dropped to 93.4 from the anticipated 93.9 and weighed on single currency Euro. At 17:57 GMT, the Belgian NBB Business Climate came in as -10.8 against the forecasted -11.0. From the U.S. side, the Unemployment Claims last week surged to 870K against the forecasted 845K and weighed on the U.S. dollar. The weak U.S. dollar added strength in EUR/USD pair on Thursday.

The rise in EUR/USD pair’s prices on Thursday could also be attributed to the chief economist’s positive comments for the Eurozone and Global Head of Macroeconomics, Carsten Brezesk. He said that the German economy has already entered the next recovery stage after the strong rebound in the third quarter. This was related to the German IFO Business Climate survey’s relatively strong release on Thursday that advanced in September to 93.4 from the previous 92.6. However, the single currency remained under pressure due to the high uncertainty faced by the largest Eurozone’s economy as the COVID-19 rate continued to increase across Europe.

On Thursday, both France and the United Kingdom counted record-breaking daily cases of COVID-19, with the U.K. reporting 6634 new COVD-19 cases on a single day. It was the highest number recorded by the country even before the nationwide lockdown. The rising number of infections across Europe and countries adopting new restrictive measures to control the spread and damage by coronavirus kept weighing the EUR/USD prices on Thursday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

Support     Resistance

1.1636       1.1698

1.1600       1.1724

1.1573       1.1760

Pivot point: 1.1662

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The bearish bias of the EUR/USD continues to dominate the market as it’s providing selling bias at 1.1650. The bearish breakout of the 1.1650 level can extend the selling trend until the 1.1590 level, while resistance stays at the 1.1680 level today. A bullish breakout of the 1.1686 level can drive the buying trend until the 1.1760 level. Mixed bias prevails in the market today.

GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.27434 after placing a high of 1.27808 and a low of 1.26902. Overall the movement of the GBP/USD pair remained bullish throughout the day. After posting losses for three consecutive days and remaining flat for a day, the GBP/USD pair finally rebounded on the upside on Thursday amid the U.S. dollar weakness and fresh actions by the U.K. government to lessen the impact of the second wave of coronavirus in the country.

The British Pound rebounded against the U.S. dollar on Thursday after the U.K. government revealed fresh measures to protect businesses and jobs. This helped decrease the ongoing fear about the economic fallout by the newly imposed restrictions on the economy. To contain the virus, the U.K. government made a law that prohibits gathering more than six people. Furthermore, the bars and pubs in the U.K. were ordered to close by 10 PM, and movie theatres and parks were closed again. However, on Thursday, the UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak attempted to ease the pandemic’s economic fallout.

According to the Tory government’s new plans, from November, the U.K. will subsidize the pay of employees who have not returned to work full time but are working at least a third of their usual hours. This came in as the furlough scheme’s expiry date at the end of October was near, and the U.K. businesses had been calling on the government to renew the support. The calls for new support increased after the fears emerged in the market that the second wave could improve the job losses.

On Thursday, the U.K. reported a record-high number of coronavirus cases in a single day with a count of 6634 cases. It was the highest single-day count even before the lockdowns. This pushed the need for new measures from the government that was also welcomed by the Bank of England’s Governor Andrew Bailey. However, the BoE governor, Andrew Bailey, was less optimistic about the economy when he said that the fast recovery pattern over the summer would not continue in the same way. The British Pound that was surged against the dollar on the back of new measures might not live for long as the uncertainty around the Brexit talks between the E.U. & the U.K. remains on the card.

The latest Brexit update shows that the E.U. has threatened to take legal actions against the U.K. over its plans to go ahead with the so-called internal market bill that would undermine some parts of the withdrawal agreement the Northern Ireland issue. The E.U. has given a deadline of the end of September to the U.K. to scrap the bill. Meanwhile, Michel Barnier, a top E.U. negotiator, has also said that despite the U.K.’s wrong intentions to halt the withdrawal agreement, the Brexit deal was still possible, but this time E.U. will remain firm and realistic in negotiations. This also kept supporting the GBP/USD gains on Thursday.

Meanwhile, on the data front, at 15:00 GMT, the CBI Realized Sales rose to 11 from the projected -10 and supported British Pound that added gains in GBP/USD pair on Thursday. On the USD front, the rise in unemployment claims during last week to 870K from the projected 845K weighed on the U.S. dollar pushed GBP/USD pair even higher.

 Daily Technical Levels

Support    Resistance

1.2698        1.2791

1.2647        1.2833

1.2605        1.2884

Pivot point: 1.2740

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The cable is consolidating in a sideways trading range of 1.2770 to 1.2725 level, as it has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly timeframe. A bullish breakout of 1.2770 level can lead the Sterling price towards 1.2819 level on the higher side. Bullish bias will be more substantial over the 1.2770 level and bearish below the same level today.

 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.409 after placing a high of 105.529 and a low of 105.203. After posting bullish bias for three consecutive days, the GBP/USD pair remained in a confined range on Thursday, but one way or another managed to close its day with modest gains.

The Governor of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda, and the Prime Minister of Japan, Yoshihide Suga, met on Wednesday met for the first time since the prime minister took office last week. After the meeting, Kuroda said that there was no change in the Bank of Japan’s stance that former PM Shinzo Abe set that pledged monetary easing in pursuit of a 2% inflation target. Furthermore, Kuroda said that the deadline for aid to pandemic hit firms might extend, and this weighed on the Japanese Yen that ultimately supported the USD/JPY pair’s upward momentum.

On the other hand, the persistent uncertainty over the U.S. stimulus and resurging coronavirus cases worldwide resumed the downfall momentum in Wall Street Indexes and provided support to the safe-haven greenback that added in the upward trend of USD/JPY.

In an early trading session on Thursday, the Bank of Japan published its Minutes from its latest meeting and showed that policymakers were willing to act as needed to counter the pandemic’s effects on the economy. However, the USD/JPY pair’s gains were limited by the increased number of jobless Americans who filed for Unemployment claim benefits during the last week. The actual number came in as 870K against the forecasted 845K and weighed on the U.S. dollar.

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin testified before the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday. Both were gathered to discuss their agencies’ role in controlling the losses caused by the coronavirus crisis.

Powell said that the fears of slow economic growth have increased after the failure of the U.S. Congress to pass additional relief funds. Whereas, Mnuchin forced Congress to quickly pass the targeted relief fund by focusing on both parties’ needs and continuing the negotiations after that. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose to a two-month highest level, and this continued supporting the USD/JPY pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support    Resistance

105.22        105.56

105.04        105.72

104.88        105.90

Pivot point: 105.38

  

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

On Friday, the USD/JPY is consolidating with a bullish bias to trade at 105.460 level, and the series for EMA is now extending at 105.550 level. On the lower side, the support holds at 104.840 level. The MACD is also in support of bullish bias amid a stronger U.S. dollar and reduced safe-haven appeal. Bullish crossover of 105.550 level may drive more buying until 106.258. The idea is to stay bearish below the 105.470 level today. Let’s wait for Jobless Claims from the U.S. to determine further trends. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Market Analysis

Daily F.X. Analysis, September 24 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – U.S. Jobless Claims in Focus! 

The economic calendar is again busy with Federal Reserve events such as today, the Fed Chair Powell Testifies. Jerome Powell is expected to testify on the CARES Act before the House Financial Services Committee in Washington DC. Besides this, the eyes will be on the Existing Home Sales from the United States. Overall, the market is likely to exhibit corrections today.

The economic calendar is again busy with Federal Reserve events such as today, the Fed Chair Powell Testifies. Jerome Powell is expected to testify on the CARES Act before the House Financial Services Committee in Washington DC. Besides this, the eyes will be on the Existing Home Sales from the United States. Overall, the market is likely to exhibit corrections today.

The economic calendar is again busy with Federal Reserve events such as today, the Fed Chair Powell Testifies. Jerome Powell is expected to testify on the CARES Act before the House Financial Services Committee in Washington DC. Besides this, the eyes will be on the Existing Home Sales from the United States. Overall, the market is likely to exhibit corrections today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 

 

AUD/USD – Daily Analysis

The AUD/USD failed to stop its previous losing streak and dropped to a 2-months low around below the mid-0.7000 level mainly due to the risk-off market sentiment, triggered by the renewed concern about the second wave of coronavirus infections, which continued weighing on investors sentiment and undermined the perceived riskier Australian dollar. The broad-based U.S. dollar strength, supported by the combination of factors, also dragged the currency down across the ocean. At the moment, the AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7033 and consolidating in the range between 0.7029 – 0.7083. 

The traders seem cautious to place any strong position ahead of the testimony by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, which will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some fresh direction to the currency pair.

Worries that the coronavirus pandemic’s resurgence could ruin the global economic recovery keeps the market trading sentiment under pressure and weakened the perceived riskier Australian dollar. As per the latest report, the coronavirus COVID-19 cases continue to climb in Europe, U.K., and the U.S. Whereas, some E.U. countries are now facing the starting of the second wave coinciding with the onset of the flu season. That was witnessed after the World Health Organization’s regional director for Europe said that “We have a dire situation unfolding before us,” H further added that Europe’s number of weekly infections was higher now than at the first peak in March. 

At the US-China front, the long-lasting tussle between the United States and China remains on the play as State Mike Pompeo took help from France, Germany, and the U.K. to reject China’s claims of the South China Sea at the United Nations (U.N.). This also exerted downside pressure on the market trading sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses. 

As a result, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in extending its previous session gains and remained well bid on the day as investors turned to the safe-haven in the wake risk-off market sentiment. However, the U.S. dollar gains could be short-lived or temporary due to the worries that the U.S.’s economic recovery could be stopped because of the reappearance of coronavirus cases. Besides this, the gains in the U.S. dollar was further boosted after the hawkish comments by Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, that further quantitative easing may not provide additional support to the U.S. economy. However, the gains in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair under pressure. Whereas, the dollar index, which pits the dollar against a bucket of 6-major currencies, stood at 94.336 on the day, close to a nine-week high.

Moving Ahead, the traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. economic docket, which will show the release of Initial Weekly Jobless Claims and New Home Sales data. Apart from this, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony will also be closely observed. Across the ocean, the market risk sentiment and developments surrounding the coronavirus will not lose their importance. 

Daily Technical Levels

 Support      Resistance  

0.7035       0.7147  

 0.6996      0.7218  

 0.6924      0.7258  

  Pivot Point: 0.7107  

  

AUD/USD– Trading Tip

The stronger U.S. dollar has also driven sharp selling in the AUD/USD pair as it trades at 0.7042 level today. The AUD/USD pair has formed three black crows patterns on a daily timeframe, suggesting odds of selling bias in the AUD/USD. However, the AUD/USD has closed a Doji candle at 0.7042 level, and we may see some bullish correction over the 0.7001 support level until the next resistance level of 0.7098 and 0.7152 level. 

USD/CAD– Daily Analysis

The USD/CAD currency pair extended its previous session bullish bias and kept gaining positive traction around above 1.3400 level, mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar strength. The bullish tone around the U.S. dollar was sponsored by the concerns over rising COVID-19 cases and fears of renewed lockdown measures, which kept the market trading sentiment under pressure and supported the greenback’s status as the global reserve currency. 

On the flip side, the currency pair bullish bias could also be attributed to the weaker crude oil prices, which undermined the demand for the loonie, a commodity-linked currency, and contributed to the pair gains. Currently, the USD/CAD pair is trading at 1.3396 and consolidating in the range between 1.3370 – 1.3412.

As we already mentioned that the equity market had been flashing red since the Asian session started. The reason could be associated with the major negative catalysts. Be it the concerns about the second wave of coronavirus diseases or the fears of renewed lockdown measures, not to forget the long-lasting US-China tussle, all these factors weigh on the market trading sentiment and helping the U.S. dollar to put the safe-have bids. Apart from this, the slowdown in Europe, alongside concerns expressed by U.S. Federal Reserve officials over the U.S. economy, pushed the equity market down. 

The broad-based U.S. dollar keeps its gaining streak and still reporting gains on the day amid market risk-off sentiment. However, the U.S. dollar gains could be short-lived or temporary as worries that the U.S.’s economic recovery could be stopped amid the resurgence of the second wave of coronavirus cases. Besides this, the U.S. dollar gains were further boosted by the hawkish comments by Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, suggesting that further quantitative easing may not provide additional support to the U.S. economy. However, the gains in the U.S. dollar kept the currency pair higher. Whereas, the dollar index, which pits the dollar against a bucket of 6-major currencies, stood at 94.336 on the day, close to a nine-week high.

Across the pond, the crude oil prices failed to stop its previous session, losing streak and remained pressed around below the mid-$39.00 marks. Besides, the possibilities of Libya resuming oil exports added further bearish pressures around the crude oil prices. Thus, the declines in crude oil prices undermined demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie and contributed to the currency pair gains. 

Looking forward, the traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. Furthermore, the U.S. Jobless Claims and Housing data will also be key to watch. Whereas, the updates concerning the US-China relations and the U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance.

 Daily Technical Levels

Support      Resistance

  1.3323      1.3418  

  1.3260      1.3450  

  1.3228      1.3513  

  Pivot Point: 1.3355  

  

USD/CAD– Trading Tip

The USD/CAD is trading with a bullish bias at 1.3402 level, having violated the ascending triangle pattern at 1.349 level, and now it’s heading further higher until the next resistance level of 1.3460. The MACD and three white soldiers pattern is suggesting chances of bullish bias in the pair. In contrast, the pair has also crossed over 50 periods EMA at 1.3254 level. Today we should consider taking a buying trade over 1.3349 level to target the 1.3462 level. 

 

USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 105.362 after placing a high of 105.494 and a low of 104.847. The pair USD/JPY extended its gains on Wednesday for the third consecutive day and peaked six previous days. The rising USD/JPY prices were due to the strong rebound of the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven status and upbeat market data.

On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar was strong due to Fed officials’ more hawkish comments that raised the U.S. dollar and helped it regain its safe-haven status. The strong bullish momentum in the USD/JPY pair was also supported by Japan’s weak PMI data on Wednesday.

At 05:30 GMT, the Flash manufacturing PMI from Japan for the month of September declined to 47.3 against the projected 48.0 and weighed on the Japanese Yen. The figures showed that Japan’s manufacturing sector viewed contraction in September that was negative for local currency but positive for the USD/JPY pair. At 09:30 GMT, All Industrial Activity in September remained flat at 1.3% from Japan.

On the U.S. front, the Housing Price Index for July advanced to 1.0% against the expectations of 0.4% and supported the U.S. dollar that helped the gains of USD?JPY pair on Wednesday. At 18:45 GMT, the highly awaited Flash Manufacturing PMI also rose to 53.5 against the anticipated 52.5 and supported the greenback that added further gains in the USD/JPY pair. However, the Flash Services PMMI remained flat with a projection of 54.5.

Meanwhile, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester, said on Wednesday that the U.S. economy had rebounded significantly from the losses caused by the pandemic induced lockdowns. However, she also said that the recovery was still narrow and was not sustainable. The Fed Vice Chair Randal K. Quarles said that the coronavirus event was an enormous economic shock in the first half of 2020. He also said that the recovery was underway, but a full recovery was far off as the risks remain on the downside.

Apart from this, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his testimony, faced many questions regarding the next round of stimulus package. He replied that the difference between Democrats & Republicans over the package’s size remains and caused a delay. Powell also urged more spending to help the economy recover from the pandemic crisis. All these developments raised the U.S. dollar prices due to its safe-haven status and boosted the USD/JPY pair.

Moreover, the tensions between the U.S. and China also escalated after U.S. President Donald Trump blamed China and called for holding it accountable for the global spread of coronavirus. In response to this, Chinese President XI Jinping accused Trump of lying and insulting the platform of the U.N. He also said that he had no intension of having a cold war with any country. These harsh comments from both sides also raised uncertainty and helped the U.S. dollar to gain traction due to safe-haven nature and post gains in the USD/JPY pair on Wednesday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support      Resistance

  105.0000      105.6100  

  104.6400      105.8600  

  104.3900      106.2100  

  Pivot Point: 105.2500  

  

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is trading with a bullish bias to trade at 105.460 level, and the series for EMA are now extending at 105.550 level. On the lower side, the support stays at 104.840 level. The MACD is also in support of bullish bias amid a stronger U.S. dollar and reduced safe-haven appeal. Bullish crossover of 105.550 level may drive more buying until 106.258. The idea is to stay bearish below the 105.470 level today. Let’s wait for Jobless Claims from the U.S. to determine further trends. Good luck! 

 

Categories
Forex Signals

GBP/USD Breaks Below Double Bottom – Quick Green Pips!

The GBP/USD currency pair extended its previous day losing streak and hit the multi weeks low near below the 1.2700 level. The GBP/USD hit a multi-day low the previous day after the Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey delivered downbeat comments and UK PM Boris Johnson announced activity restrictions to control the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence risk. Apart from this, the losses in the currency pair were further bolstered by the reports suggesting that the U.K.’s virus-lead deaths raised to a 2-month high, which fueled the worries about the U.K. economic recovery and undermined the GBP currency.

The GBP/USD currency pair extended its previous day losing streak and hit the multi weeks low near below the 1.2700 level. The GBP/USD hit a multi-day low the previous day after the Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey delivered downbeat comments and UK PM Boris Johnson announced activity restrictions to control the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence risk. Apart from this, the losses in the currency pair were further bolstered by the reports suggesting that the U.K.’s virus-lead deaths raised to a 2-month high, which fueled the worries about the U.K. economic recovery and undermined the GBP currency.

The GBP/USD currency pair extended its previous day losing streak and hit the multi weeks low near below the 1.2700 level. The GBP/USD hit a multi-day low the previous day after the Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey delivered downbeat comments and UK PM Boris Johnson announced activity restrictions to control the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence risk. Apart from this, the losses in the currency pair were further bolstered by the reports suggesting that the U.K.’s virus-lead deaths raised to a 2-month high, which fueled the worries about the U.K. economic recovery and undermined the GBP currency.

At the data front, the U.S. data showed that existing home sales rose to 6 million in August, the highest level in nearly 14 years. Moreover, the market risk sentiment was further bolstered by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s measured comments. He said on Tuesday that it might be possible for the Fed to raise interest rates before inflation starts to average 2%.

As a result, the broad-based U.S. dollar succeeded in maintaining its positive traction and remaining bullish on the day amid upbeat U.S. data and pullback in technology shares. However, the U.S. dollar gains seem rather unaffected by the upbeat market tone and held its gaining streak, at least for now. Thus, the U.S. dollar gains could be considered the major factor that kept the currency pair under pressure.

Additionally, weighing on the quote could be the BOE Governor Bailey’s statement, which raised concerns over the economic instability even before the activity restrictions, which increased courtesy to the watch today’s preliminary readings of September month PMI numbers. At the Brexit front, the discussions need a push on fisheries and less noise over the Internal Market Bill (IMB) to break the deadlock in talks. However, the U.K. parliament recently agreed to have a say over whether the IMB will break the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement Bill or not; if yes, it must not harm Northern Ireland.


The GBP/USD traded sharply bearish at 1.2678 support level, having violated the upward channel on the hourly chart. The already violated triple bottom level of 1.2780 is likely to keep the GBP/USD pair under pressure, below this pair can drop towards 1.2678 and 1.2603 level. On the higher side, the Sterling may drive upward movement until the 1.2780 level. We have already closed signal at profit and now we will be waiting a bit to capture next one.

Entry Price – Sell 1.27138
Stop Loss – 1.27538
Take Profit – 1.26738
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
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Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Intraday Support Breakout Setup – Brace for Sell Setup! 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.71693 after placing a high of 0.72349 and a low of 0.71693. The AUD/USD pair declined for a third consecutive day on Tuesday to its lowest level since the 25th of August on the back of broad-based US dollar strength and dovish comments from RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle. 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.71693 after placing a high of 0.72349 and a low of 0.71693. The AUD/USD pair declined for a third consecutive day on Tuesday to its lowest level since the 25th of August on the back of broad-based US dollar strength and dovish comments from RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle. 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.71693 after placing a high of 0.72349 and a low of 0.71693. The AUD/USD pair declined for a third consecutive day on Tuesday to its lowest level since the 25th of August on the back of broad-based US dollar strength and dovish comments from RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle. 

On Tuesday, the Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank of Australia, Guy Debelle, said that the bank assessed various monetary policy options, including market intervention and negative interest rates, to reach its inflation and employment goals. 

The current rate of interest of RBA is at its record low of 0.25%that was slashed in an emergency meeting in mid-March to secure the Australian economy from falling into recession due to coronavirus pandemic induced lockdowns. RBA also launched an unlimited government bond-buying program and a cheap funding facility for banks. Debelle said that RBA’s board assessed other policy options as the outlook for inflation and employment was not consistent with the bank’s goals. Some under observation options were buying government bonds with maturities beyond three years as the RBA is currently targeting a 3-year yield at 0.25%. 

The statement that the negative interest rate was also an option that RBA was considering weighed heavily on Aussie and dragged the pair AUD.USD pair on Tuesday. Meanwhile, from the US side, Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin before the US Congress were held on Tuesday. Powell said that a lot of the economic recovery was still dependent on the coronavirus developments; however, the economic indicators showed improvements. 

Whereas, Steven Mnuchin said that another round of stimulus measures was needed for better recovery. Another Fed official Charles Evans said that interest rates could be raised before inflation reached 2%. These comments increased the US dollar strength across the board, lifted the US dollar Index above 94 levels, and added further pressure on AUD/USD pair prices. On the data front, the Richmond Manufacturing Index from the US raised to 21 points from the projected 12 points and supported the US dollar that weighed on already declining AUD/USD prices. 


The bearish bias dominates the AUD/USD pair as it trades at 0.7132 level. The candle’s closing over 0.71140 can trigger buying until 0.7160, but overall bias seems bearish below the 0.7165 level. On the lower side, a breakout of 0.7102 level may drive selling until 0.7075.

Entry Price – Sell 0.71263

Stop Loss – 0.71663

Take Profit – 0.70863

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = –$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Extend Previous Session Bullish Bias – Brace to Capture Quick Buy!

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair successfully extended its previous session winning streak and consolidated the previous day’s strong positive move to a 6-week high. However, the pair’s positive tone could be associated with the broad-based US dollar on-going strength, backed by the risk-off market tone.

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair successfully extended its previous session winning streak and consolidated the previous day’s strong positive move to a 6-week high. However, the pair’s positive tone could be associated with the broad-based US dollar on-going strength, backed by the risk-off market tone.

Today in the European trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair successfully extended its previous session winning streak and consolidated the previous day’s strong positive move to a 6-week high. However, the pair’s positive tone could be associated with the broad-based US dollar on-going strength, backed by the risk-off market tone.

The reason for the USD/CAD pair bullish bias could also be attributed to the steep fall in crude oil prices, which tend to weaken the demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie, and contributed to the currency pair gains. Currently, the USD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3314 and consolidating in the range between 1.3296 – 1.3346. Moving on, the traders seem cautious to place any strong position amid expectations that the Fed Chair Jerome Powell will reaffirm to keep interest rates lower for longer during his congressional testimony later on the day.

Intensifying probabilities of fresh lockdown measures to control the 2nd-wave of coronavirus outbreak pushed global equity markets down. This, in turn, boosted the US dollar’s status as the reserve currency. The latest headlines suggest that the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo took help from France, Germany, and the UK to reject China’s South China Sea claims at the United Nations (UN).

The broad-based US dollar has resumed its gaining streak at the USD front since the European session started and was being supported by some heavy selling pressure around the equity market. Meanwhile, the concerns about rising US-China tensions also increased the safe-haven demand in the market, which also helps the US dollar as it safe-aven status.

The crude oil prices failed to stop its previous session across the ocean, losing streak and taking rounds below the $40.00 mark. Nevertheless, the bearish bias around the crude oil prices could be attributed to the renewed worries over the economic recovery after the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence in Europe and the United Kingdom.


Besides, the possibilities of Libya resuming oil exports added further bearish pressures around the crude oil prices. Thus, the declines in oil prices undermined demand for the commodity-linked currency the loonie and contributed to the currency pair gains.

Entry Price – Buy 1.32706
Stop Loss – 1.32306
Take Profit – 1.33106
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US