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Forex Assets

Investing In Silver (the Forex Way)

Many investors wonder how to invest in silver in the most appropriate way since silver has traditionally held up well to inflation and has contributed to the offsetting of investors’ portfolios. When everything else goes wrong, silver becomes one of the best investment alternatives, just like gold. In today’s article, we will analyze the different options with which we can invest in silver since the possibilities to invest in this unique precious metal are very wide.

Silver As A Refuge

It has usually been associated with silver as an active refuge, but it is much more than that, it is a natural element that has a multitude of uses in different fields, ranging from industry to luxury. Historically, gold has played a role closely linked to the monetary field. This historical fact is due to its properties, of which the five most important are the following: its scarcity, its durability or resistance, its divisibility, its homogeneity, and its difficult falsification.

Differences Between Gold and Silver

The main difference between gold and silver for investors is that silver has a much more industrial use than gold, therefore silver in relation to gold has to be more valued as a raw material. We do not want to claim that silver is a commodity per se, but in relation to gold, it is, on the other hand, if we compare it with steel, this valuation would change.

Because of this industrial attribute, there have been large discrepancies between the value of silver and gold. Gold has covered inflation, is an international currency, is relatively not very volatile, and is the stock of value par excellence. Silver however has great industrial use, has not covered inflation, and is quite more volatile than gold. For these qualities, it seems that having gold in the portfolio is more interesting than silver, but this also has good qualities, and depending on the period, silver has been a better investment than gold, as has happened recently. From the minimums of the pandemic to the maximums of the post-quarantine rally, silver was revalorized by more than 100%, while gold did so by around 30%.

Risks of Silver Trading

The risks of investing in silver are not as limited as those of gold, but arguably, the main risk of investing in silver is mainly opportunity cost, because, if we invest in it is waiting for a recession and finally comes an expansive cycle, while the entire stock market goes up your silver investment will fall or fall flat. Another risk is deflationary pressure, since if a crisis comes, where silver is supposed to act better but is linked to a very strong deflationary trend, silver might not behave at all well, because this makes it better with inflationary tensions. Finally, there is a certain cyclical risk, since silver, when used industrially, can have a cyclical component depending on the economic cycle or industry in particular where silver is needed.

How To Invest

Undoubtedly, investment in physical gold is traditionally the most common form of investment and widespread option. It consists of the physical acquisition of a silver ingot, silver jewelry, silver coins, or any element that contains silver mostly in its composition. This option has the advantage that you possess silver physically. On the other hand, it has the disadvantage that you have to bear some storage costs because, being such a valuable product, most investors do not keep it at home.

In this sense, there are different companies that are dedicated to the storage of any gold product, and that offers you the possibility of buying gold physically but not having to store it, I mean, you own the amount of silver you buy and it will be 100% insured. To emphasize that the acquisition of physical silver is more related to the idea of acquiring the good more like a luxury good than as an investment asset.

Investing in silver through the stock exchange is a way of owning silver by means of a title that accredits a right over the silver and not by means of its physical possession. This way of acquiring, which as we will see below has many variants, has a more investment approach. As in most situations, it has pros and cons in each of its different branches.

Silver ETFs

Silver ETFs are traded funds that try to replicate the behavior of silver. Although the fund must maintain a legal obligation to have all derivative contracts issued backed by silver, the ETF holder owns that derivative contract (ETF) which replicates the silver price, and not a proportion of the silver reserve. In this way, the investor, who owns the derivative, is exposed to the yields of the precious metal.

The advantages and disadvantages of silver ETFs are a projection of the advantages and disadvantages of the overall investment in ETFs. Investing in a silver ETF and not in physics has the advantage that it requires a lower cost, both for the execution of the investment and storage. In addition, as they are listed in the market as any stock they have the advantage of having greater liquidity compared to investment funds, giving the possibility to liquidate the position at any time in the market.

On the other hand, it has the disadvantages that the investor did not pose the silver physically, but a title (right) on some silver reserves. There is the possibility that the ETF does not faithfully replicate the price of silver, depending in part on how the ETF is composed. The ETFs are subject to commissions in their purchase, it will be necessary to take into account what are the commissions that can charge us for the operation and what impact it will have on the replication of the silver price.

Investment Funds

These are funds that develop their entire investment strategy around silver, gold, or other precious metals, either by acquiring companies that develop activity within the silver sector, either by own acquisition of silver in any of its tradable forms or by acquisition of ETFs silver. In addition, they are also often exposed to other precious metals, which increases the diversification of the fund. In addition, as you comment later on it is very complicated to find companies that have only exposure to silver and not to more precious metals.

The advantages of investing in silver through this form are the professionalized management of the fund, focusing on generating value for the shareholder. At the same time, it gives the possibility to invest in shares or other funds where it is not possible individually.

The disadvantages are the costs associated with the management of the fund, greater than in the ETFs, which can weigh the profitability.

Listed Silver Companies

Investing in shares of listed silver companies is the most direct way to invest in silver. We will differentiate two main types of businesses that operate in the sector with different business models: pure mining and royalty companies. In either option, we are exposed to greater risk than in the rest of the alternatives, which implies that we can enjoy both higher profits and higher losses. Within these two, the business model of royalties can be more interesting and less risky.

Seeing all the conflicts that are currently developing, the lower interest rates, the US elections, and the real risk of a slowdown, or even a recession triggered by the coronavirus, It seems not unreasonable to think that people will continue to support their investment strategy in buying gold with the aim of reducing risk and further diversifying their portfolio. Therefore, we could be looking at a good time in the cycle to buy silver.

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Beginners Forex Education Forex Assets

Metals Trading: How to Trade Silver in Forex Platforms

The fact that there are approximately 3 billion ounces of fine silver in circulation around the world naturally impacts the way we perceive this commodity. Interestingly enough, gold seems to be much greater in quantity than silver but is, at the same time, much more difficult to obtain. Silver is used in a number of different industries as, as such, is an important commodity for the creation of batteries and medical instruments, among others. This scarcity and ease of access naturally affect its price, demand, and our choice of trading strategies. While there are minor differences between the FX and the XAG markets, trading metals is said to be similar, if not even easier, than trading currencies. Today, we are going to see how we can trade silver, listing all vital pieces of information to help you in the process.

The Metals Market Vs. the Forex Market

Half of all silver, like some other commodities, is completely used up after production. Due to its limited quantity, supply and demand lie in the core of this market, which is also true for stocks and crypto. Unlike metals, the value of currencies revolves neither around traders’ willingness to purchase something at a specific price nor its quantity, at least not for individual traders and investors. While the big banks do sometimes manipulate the prices in the metals market, this is much more visible in the spot forex. As we trade silver against a currency, we need to take a different approach because of their inherent differences. Therefore, the strategies traders use to trade silver cannot completely mirror the ones utilized in trading stocks or currencies. 

Requirements for Trading Silver

You first need to have a broker who allows spot metals trading. Since brokers who give interest rates for metals are few, finding a broker like that can be more difficult, especially in the US. Still, you do not need to use the same broker for trading currencies and metals. What you should do, however, is open a new account for trading silver. 

Brokers

Different brokers will offer different options, so some may allow you to trade only currencies, while others will only let you trade metals against a few currencies. Oanda is believed to be very useful for educational purposes, while Blueberry Markets is a well-known broker for traders living outside the US. Markets.com, another broker praised for its ease of use, customer service, and safety, offers interest rates for various markets from metals to stocks, commodities, indices, EFTs, and crypto. What is more, not only is Markets.com available on the MT4 and MT5 but it also offers its own trading and charting platform for US citizens. Other alternatives exist with mostly unregulated crypto deposit brokers.

Trading Pairs

Generally speaking, metals can be traded against many different currencies; however, professional traders seem to love the XAG/USD pair. Usually, it is silver that determines the cross’s movement in the chart, but there are some exceptions. For example, if the metal is stagnating, the USD will take over. However, most major USD moves typically end up driving the metal in question. Other combinations include the XAU/XAG. Although there are no strict positive correlations between the two, silver often runs alongside gold.

Technical Analysis Specifics

Reversals: While trading reversals are welcome in trading silver, trend trading is still said to be a better approach. Professional traders suggest for the leverage in trading reversals to be lower than for trend trading. However, try not to use outdated and inapplicable tools that would perform poorly in this market, such as calling tops or bottoms. Rather, look for more modern or suitable tools and instruments and test their performance.

Algorithm: The algorithm for trading currencies and silver could be the same. The algorithm below is an example of what you can use for trading silver. Make sure you use different indicators that work better with precious metals. Naturally, you should test out everything and make choices based on what suits you best. For example, your confirmation and exit indicators may differ from the ones you used for trading currencies.

ATR: Any forex trader might immediately notice how metal pairs exhibit really high ATR levels and daily volatility, but with proper risk management, any trader should be able to manage this fast-moving commodity successfully. 

Spreads: Spreads for the metals market are higher than what you may find elsewhere, but this should not be a cause of concern.

Volume indicator: Similar to continuation trades in forex, if the overall trend is long and you get a long signal, you can still enter the trade even if your volume indicator seems to disagree. However, professionals recommend that you listen to your volume indicator in all counter-trend and reversal trades.

Sentiment indicators: While chasing sentiment is a bad idea in the world of forex, it may be applicable to trading silver in specific cases. For example, if you see a major discrepancy between traders who go long and the ones that go short, which did happen in the past, do not do what the majority does. Analyze this ratio and see if there is room for you to go short or long.

News: Luckily, with trading silver, you should only worry about the news events concerning the other half of the pair (e.g. USD interest rates and elections).

Strategy: Owing to its nature, most traders want to buy and hold silver. Not only is this approach a secure way to protect one’s finances in general but it is also a great way to stay on top during economic downturns. Holding precious metals long term is also a perfect hedge against inflation and currency wars.

Anyone interested in trading the XAG should know that it takes time to start earning money in this market. However, you should also bear in mind that the wealthiest silver traders actively trade spot metals. While silver might be a new source of income for you, you may also consider expanding your portfolio to other metals because of the financial rewards. For example, trading fewer metals pairs can prove to be equally beneficial to trading all 28 major currency pairs. If you are already getting good results in spot forex, why not add on and double your return? Finally, remember not to give in to the ease of trading silver because using risk management, money management, and psychology tips you used in currency trading and investing are equally important here. Carry out testing as you would normally do for your forex algorithm and currency pairs and then fully enjoy the benefits this market has to offer.