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Forex Daily Topic Forex Price Action

Weekly High/Low Breakout Trading: Count the Breakout Candle’s Attributes

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H4 breakout at the last week’s high. However, the price does not head towards the North as it usually does. Let’s find out why that happens.

The chart shows that the price after making a strong bearish move gets choppy. The H4 traders may wait for the price to make a breakout at either side. A bullish breakout may attract the buyers to go long in the pair. On the other hand, the sellers may wait for the price to make a bearish breakout.

The price produces a bearish candle to start the next week. The price finds its support, and it heads towards the North. However, the last weekly high is still intact. The buyers must wait for the breakout at the level to go long.

The price finds its intraweek resistance. It comes down. Intraweek support holds the price and produces a bullish inside bar. It is not a strong bullish reversal candle. However, it is produced at double bottom support. Let us wait and see whether it makes a breakout at the neckline or not.

The price heads towards the North and makes a breakout at the neckline. The candle closes within the last week’s high and consolidates. It then produces a bullish candle closing above the last week’s high. However, the candle has a long upper shadow. Considering its upper shadow, traders do not usually get attracted to trade upon such a breakout candle.

As anticipated, the chart produces some bullish candles with long upper shadow after the breakout. The price heads towards the North with a sluggish pace. It then produces a bearish Pin Bar and drives the price towards the breakout level again. A bullish reversal candle closing above consolidation resistance may attract the buyers to go long in the chart again. Let us find out what happens next.

The chart produces a long bearish candle with long lower shadow. The pair is trading within the last week’s range again. The H4 buyers have lost their hope. They may skip eying on the chart to concentrate on somewhere else.

If we look back, a double bottom, along with a breakout at the last week’s high, do not push the price towards the North. Most probably, this is because of the breakout candle’s attributes. We may still keep an eye on such a chart, but it would be wise to concentrate more on those charts, which makes a breakout with a commanding candle.

 

Categories
Forex Fibonacci

Fibonacci Levels Help Traders Make Better Trading Decision

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate a chart where the price makes a strong bearish move from a Fibonacci level. It has two messages, which we will find out soon. Let us get started with the chart’s price action.

The chart shows that the price makes a strong bearish move. The last candle comes out as a long bearish candle, which states that the sellers dominate over the buyers. Traders may want to wait for the price to make a bullish correction to go short in the pair with more aggression.

The chart produces a bullish inside bar. The sellers are to keep their eyes on the pair to get a bearish reversal candle to go short. It seems that the pair may produce a strong bearish reversal candle (the signal candle) soon.

The chart produces a bearish inside bar, which is not the sellers’ favorite to go short. The price makes a little bearish move and heads towards the North again. Look at the last candle in the chart. It comes out as a bearish engulfing candle, which is one of the strongest bearish reversal candles.

As expected, the bearish engulfing candle drives the price towards the South. The sellers on the minor chart are going short. Thus, the price is about to make a breakout at the last swing low on the chart as well.

The price makes a breakout at the last swing low and heads towards the South further. Then, it produces two bullish candles in between but continues its bearish journey again. The price may have found its support since it produces four consecutive bullish candles. The price may continue its bearish journey, or it may make a bullish reversal. The bull looks good here. Let us draw Fibonacci levels and see whether it gives us a clue about the trend continuation or a reversal.

The chart produces a bullish inside bar right at 138.2 level. Please note that the price makes its bearish move from 78.6 level. The level of 78.6 has a strong relation with 138.2. If the price trends from 78.6, it often makes a reversal at 138.2. This is what happens here.

To sum up, if we learn the art of using Fibonacci levels and understand how a level is related to others, it becomes easy for us to take trading decisions such as entry, exit, and taking a partial profit. In the end, it makes us prolific traders.

 

Categories
Forex Daily Topic Forex Fibonacci

Fibonacci Trading: The Golden Ratio

Fibonacci trading is one of the most prolific trading methods, which is widely used by Forex traders. Retracement length, Fibo levels as well as reversal candle are three factors that Fibonacci traders need to pay attention to. In today’s article, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart, which makes an excellent bearish move after having a retracement. The length of retracement, the most significant Fibo level, and the reversal signal all play their part in this example. Thus, fasten your seat belt and read through.

The chart shows that it makes a strong bearish move and makes a breakout at long-held support. The price heads towards the South, searching for its support. The sellers are to wait for the price to have a retracement.

The price starts having retracement. It produces a bullish inside bar followed by another bullish candle. The sellers are to wait for the price to find its resistance and produce a bearish reversal candle. However, the Fibonacci traders are to wait for the price to produce a bearish reversal candle at a very particular level, which is the 61.8 level.

The chart produces a bearish engulfing candle closing well below the last bullish candle. The Fibonacci traders must draw the Fibonacci retracement levels to find out which level produces this reversal candle. If this is the level of 61.8, the Fibo sellers are going to go short in the pair.

The highest high is the level of 0.00, and the lowest low is the level of 100.0. The price has a retracement and produces a bearish engulfing candle right at Fibo level 61.8. Usually, when the level of 61.8 works as support/resistance, it drives the price towards the level of 161.8. This means the price may head towards the South and hit the level of 161.8 next. Let us proceed to the next chart and see what the price does here.

The price hits 161.8 level. It makes an upward correction on its way. However, it reaches the level at last. The last candle shows that it breaches the level of 161.8. The price may head towards the South further.

The level of 61.8 is called the Golden ratio. It is a super significant level as far as Fibonacci Retracement is concerned. The buyers in a buying market and the sellers in a selling market wait for the price to produce a reversal candle/signal candle to go long/short in a pair. Yes, there some equations for the traders to know and obey to be able to trade with Fibonacci retracement. Once they learn them well, Fibonacci trading can make them a handful.