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Forex Assets

Asset Analysis – Trading The Natural Gas Commodity Asset

Introduction

Natural gas is a soft commodity that is extensively traded in the market, like Crude Oil. The price changes every moment, as it is publicly traded on an exchange. The price of natural gas is determined by supply and demand in the physical market, as well as the demand and supply from the traders in the online market.

Understanding Natural Gas

Trading natural gas in the online market is speculating the short-term price fluctuations. Buying natural gas is only an electronic transaction and does not mean the physical purchase of the commodity.

There are several ways to trade natural gas in the online market. One of the heavily traded ways is through futures contracts. A futures contract is a contract (agreement) to buy or sell an asset at a future price.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group) is the route through which nature gas futures is traded. There are many types of natural gas and its contracts that can be traded. However, the most traded contract is the Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (NG).

Each contract of NG represents 10,000 million British thermal units (mmBtu). In the futures exchange market, NG fluctuates with a minimum of $0.001. In other words, a $0.001 price movement in NG represents one pip (tick). Like pip value in forex, the tick value of NG is $10. For every tick in price, a trader will see a $10 change in P/L.

Natural Gas Specification

Fees Associated with Natural Gas Futures Trading

There are different types of fees involved while trading natural gas futures. Typically, there are four basic fees that a brokerage charges for every futures contract traded:

  • Exchange/Clearing fees
  • National Futures Association (NFA) fee
  • Data fees
  • Brokerage commissions

The types of the fee listed above are either charged “per side” or “round turn” basis. Also, it varies from broker to broker.

Trading Range in Natural Gas

A trading range represents the price fluctuations in natural gas in different time frames. Similar to pips in currency pairs, the price movement in natural gas is represented in ticks, where each tick is an increment of $0.001.

Procedure to assess Pip Ranges

  1. Add the ATR indicator to your chart
  2. Set the period to 1
  3. Add a 200-period SMA to this indicator
  4. Shrink the chart so you can assess a significant period
  5. Select your desired timeframe
  6. Measure the floor level and set this value as the min
  7. Measure the level of the 200-period SMA and set this as the average
  8. Measure the peak levels and set this as Max.

Cost as a Percent of the Trading Range

Cost a percent of the trading range is the depicts the variation in fees on the trade-in different time frames for varying volatility. It is simply the ratio of the total fee and the tick values.

Total fee (per contract) = $50 (5 ticks) [approx. fee]  

Trading the Natural Gas

Natural gas is heavily traded in the futures market. It is a soft commodity like Crude Oil and is quite popular in the commodity space. Traders speculate on natural gas using both fundamental and technical analysis. The fundamentals of NG vary from that of other commodities, while the technical analysis works perfectly the same as any other asset. The fee structure, too, is pretty different from that of currency pairs, as it is mostly traded in the futures market. However, the total fee is more or less the same.

Understanding the fee variation

The fee is something that varies relatively with the change in time frame and volatility traded. In essence, a trader trading the 1H time frame will have to pay relatively more fee than a trader speculating on the 4H. Due to this, the percentage values are higher on the 1H time frame than the 4H time frame.

Likewise, the relative fee is higher when the market volatility is at the minimum values, even though the time frame remains the same. So, to efficiently manage the fee, one must trade during the times when the market volatility is at or above the average values.

Categories
Forex Market

Trading Energy Commodities – Crude Oil, Coal & Natural Gas

Introduction

Energy belongs to that category of commodities, which has the most significant impact on our daily lives. Energy prices affect the cost of almost everything that we consume on a daily basis, including the clothes we wear, the fuel we put in our cars, and the electronic gadgets. They, in turn, determine the increase or decrease in the prices of homes, hospitals, schools, etc. We cannot imagine ourselves in a world without energy.

The unit that is used to define the quantities of energy is the British thermal unit (Btu), which measures the heat content of fuels. According to the Energy Information Agency (EIA), every year, worldwide energy consumption exceeds 575 quadrillions Btu and is expected to reach 736 quadrillions by 2040.

Major energy commodities

Highly traded energy commodities are from non-renewable energy sources, except for ethanol and electricity generation. These commodities are very liquid when it comes to trading. Traders can also invest in these commodities through ETFs and CFDs.

Crude oil

Crude oil is one of the most actively traded commodities in the world. The price of crude oil affects many other commodities, including natural gas and gasoline. Crude oil comes in different grades. Light Crude oil is traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). This type of crude oil is popular because it is the easiest to distill into other products. The next grade of oil is Brent Crude oil, which is primarily traded in London and is seeing the increasing interest. The last grade of oil is the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil from U.S. wells. The product is light and sweet and is ideal for making gasoline. The reports for crude oil are found in the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports. This report is released every Wednesday around 10:30 PM ET. Traders take investment decisions based on the data of this report.

Coal

Coal is a fossil fuel that is formed from dead plant matter trapped between rock deposits. Coal is used as an energy source for hundreds of years. This mineral generates 41% of the global supply of electricity and plays a crucial role in other industries. The top 5 coal-producing countries are China, the USA, India, Australia, and New Zealand.

Natural gas

Natural gas is formed either by methane-releasing microorganisms in swamps or by pressurizing organic material deep underground. Three major reserves for natural gas are Canada, USA, and Russia. This commodity has many applications, from electricity generation to fertilizers. Natural gas futures and ETFs are available for traders and investors. The price of natural gas depends on the demand and supply of the commodity itself.

Energy commodities can also be traded through Forex Brokers these days. Many of the credible and regulated and unregulated Foreign exchange brokers allow their customers to trade all the major energy commodities like Crude Oil, Coal, and Natural Gas.

Factors affecting the prices of energy commodities

  • Market growth
  • Energy efficiency
  • Population growth
  • Electricity penetration
  • Industrialization in developing economies

Conclusion

Investors who want to invest in the energy sector should track the indices of that sector. These indices measure the production and sale of energy. One can also monitor the performance of energy company shares prices. Energy company’s revenue depends on the price of the commodity they are selling. Other factors include production costs, competition, and interest rates. That’s about Energy commodity. Cheers!