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Forex Course

162. Currency Crosses Are Trendier Than You Think

Introduction

Currency crosses are a combination of major and commodity currencies without the US Dollar. Therefore, it is an exciting source of earning money when the US dollar moves within a correction. However, the global economic activity has been increasing day by day, and many business activities are happening without the intervention of the US dollar that might make the cross-currency trading trendy.

Is Cross Currency Trading Profitable?

In every international transaction, the US dollar plays a vital role as it is the reserve currency of every country. Moreover, the valuation of commodities and agricultural products are made through the US dollar. Therefore, most of the trading volume in the forex market comes through the US dollar only. As a result, many traders think it is often hard to profit in trading currency pairs where there is no US dollar.

However, the real scenario is not the same. Currency crosses are an extensive way of earning money from the forex market. If the US dollar remains corrective, most US dollar-related pairs will make less movement, which would be difficult to anticipate the price for traders.

On the other hand, if the Eurozone and Australia’s economic activity moves well, the EURAUD pair will provide a decent movement without the intervention of the US dollar. Nowadays, as the businesses are expanding, cross-currency trading became profitable day by day.

Cross Currencies are Trendy

In financial market trading, portfolio diversification is an essential way to ensure maximum safety of the investment. If one trading instrument does not perform well, there are other instruments to make a profit from. It is the best way to keep the investment active even if some trading instrument is moving within a correction. Therefore, it is best to trade in cross currency pairs when the US dollar is moving within the correction.

On the other hand, cross pairs do not require the US trading session every time. If our technical and fundamental analysis allows, we can profit from London and Asian trading session by any cross pairs like GBPJPY, EURAUD, etc.

Summary

In the above section, we have seen how trading in a cross pair can be profitable. Moreover, every currency pair has some unique characteristics that a trader should understand. A trading strategy’s profitability depends on how a trader is implementing the strategy with strong money management.

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Forex Market

Everything You Need To Know About The Forex Currency Pairs

In the previous articles, we have discussed the overview of the Forex industry as a whole. In this article, let us understand in detail about the currency pairs which Forex is fundamentally about.

How does it work? 

A currency pair is a code representing the interaction of two different currencies. In that pair, the first currency is known as the Base currency, and the second one is called the Quote currency. When you are buying a currency pair, you are essentially buying the base currency and selling the quote currency. It is vice-versa for selling.

When you see a currency quoted as 1.32., it means you can exchange 1 unit of base currency for 1.32 units of the quote/counter currency. When the value of currency changes, it is always relative to another currency. If the value of GBP/USD changes from 1.26345 to 1.26460 the next day, it means that the Pound has appreciated relative to U.S. dollar or U.S. dollar has depreciated relative to Pound as it will cost more USD to purchase 1 Pound.

What are the major currency pairs?

The most liquid currency pairs are known as major currency pairs. These are the pairs where USD is involved either as a quote currency or base currency. Some of the most popular currency pairs include EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/CAD. They represent some of the largest economies of the world and are traded in high volumes. These currencies also have low spreads, which is good for traders.

Minor or cross-currency pairs

Cross-currency pairs are nothing but the crosses of major currencies. They do not include the USD in them. Some of the popular cross-currency pairs include EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and EUR/CHF. Even though the trading volume of these pairs is significantly low compared to the major currency pairs, they do contribute with a large amount of volume to the Forex market. Let’s understand more about the volatilities and preferences of these minor currencies.

  • Predicting the EUR/GBP currency pair is most difficult compared to other currencies.
  • Traders prefer trading EUR/JPY as they believe it is easier to forecast, thus making it a popular cross-currency pair.
  • EUR/CHF is also popular because of the fact that the Franc is a safe-haven currency. It is traded during times of high volatility.

Here we have only discussed the EUR crosses. We recommend you to explore more cross-currency pairs and understand each of their volatilities. There is another type of currency pair known as Exotics. In this type of currency pairs, one currency is Major while the other an upcoming currency. Examples – USD/TRY & USD/MXN.

Commodity currencies

Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar are the currencies that are greatly influenced by commodity prices. The Australian dollar is greatly affected by mining commodities, beef, wool, and wheat. Aussie (AUD) is strongly influenced by China as these two countries are huge trading partners. USD/CAD is also one currency that is affected by commodities like oil, timber, and natural gas. The Canadian dollar price movement is strongly related to the U.S. economy. New Zealand, however, is heavily influenced by news release of agriculture and tourism. Along with commodities, the effect of central banks and reserve banks shouldn’t be underestimated. Changes in monetary policy from either of the country’s banks will lead to huge volatility.

The point we are trying to make here is that each of the currency pair’s price movements is influenced by some of the other external factors. As you start your journey in trading Forex markets, you will understand these influencing factors in detail.

What moves these currency pairs?

As discussed above, there a lot of independent factors that move the price of these currencies. But the fundamental factors are interest rates, economic data, and politics. Let’s understand these in detail.

Interest rates – Central banks raise or reduce interest rates to maintain financial stability. This increases demand for currencies whose interest rates are high, as investors get a higher yield on their investments.

Economic data – Economic releases are reports that give a glimpse of the nation’s economy. Relevant economic data include CPI, Non-farm payroll, GDP, Retail sales, and PMI. This data will have a positive or negative effect on that country’s currency.

Politics – Trade wars, elections, and changes in the ruling government introduce instability, which reflects in the Forex market. The decision the government’s take can boost or depreciate the economy.

Which currency pair should you trade? 

If you are new to forex, choose the currency pair which has the most liquidity. Always start with Major pairs before exploring the others. Analyze the fundamentals of a currency. If you know technical analysis, you can combine it with technical indicators to know and understand when to trade. Do not use leverage; even if you do, use appropriately so that you don’t wipe out your account. To learn more about Forex trading from the very basics, you can sign-up for our free Forex course here. Cheers!

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Forex Course

3 – Reading & Understanding The Currency Pairs

Introduction 

From the previous lesson, we know that global currencies are traded in the Forex market. These currencies are exchanged in pairs. We also understood what Major, Minor, and Exotic pairs are. In this lesson, let’s discuss more characteristics of these currency pairs.

Out of the three types of currency pairs, the most traded type are Majors. These major pairs contribute more than 85% of the total Forex trading volume. Prices in these pairs move in tighter spreads, but they are a bit volatile during market opening hours. Major pairs are those who have USD in them. Some of the major pairs are EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. The other vital pairings which do not include the US dollar are known as ‘cross currencies.’ Some of these are GBP/EUR, EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY, etc.

Reading a Currency Pair

Since we are talking about currency pairs and the Forex market, it is essential to learn how to read them. Every currency has a three-letter symbol defined by the International Organization for Standardization(ISO), which is straight forward. Below is the terminology for some of the major currencies.

  • British Pound for GBP
  • US dollar for USD
  • Japanese Yen for JPY
  • Swiss Franc for CHF
  • Euro for EUR

To understand the reading of a currency pair, you need to know the meaning of base and quote currencies. The first currency in a Forex pair is called base currency, and the second one is called quote currency. As we know, trading the Forex market involves selling one currency to buy the other. For instance, we sell the base currency to buy the quote currency. Let’s say you are trading USD/CAD. USD is your base currency, and CAD is your quote currency. Here, when we are executing a sell trade on this pair, we are primarily selling USD to buy CAD. And vice-versa if you are placing a buy trade.

How much one unit of the base currency is worth against the quote currency defines the price of a pair. In the above example, if USD/CAD is trading at 1.32267, that means one US dollar is worth 1.32267 Canadian dollars.

Liquidity of Major Pairs

Liquidity in these pairs is the highest when compared to other pairs. The larger the import/export value between two nations, the more liquid the currency pair of these countries will become. EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the world. Major currency pairs should not be confused as the best currency pairs to trade. Trading a particular currency pair depends more on strategy and market sessions. When we say ‘major,’ we mean the most actively-traded Forex pair. The six most actively-traded Forex pairs are:

  • EUR/USD
  • USD/JPY
  • GBP/USD
  • USD/CAD
  • USD/CHF
  • AUD/USD

One of the reasons behind these currencies being traded so extensively is the political and economic stability associated with these currencies. Big investors feel it is safe to park their money in such economies.

What Should You Trade?

If a currency pair has high liquidity, the volatility of that pair decreases. Currency pairs that are linked with the market openings should be our first choice. For example, it is recommended to trade the US dollar during New York open or trading the Australian dollar during Asia opening, as there will be good volatility during this time. Also, consider economic news releases, technical chart analysis, and other events while choosing the currency pair to trade. For people who have just begun their Forex trading journey, it is recommended to start trading major currency pairs before experimenting with minors and exotics. Now try answering the below questions.

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