Tag: fx option

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Forex Options

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 25th August 2020

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………

FX option expiries for Aug 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.

– EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  • 1.1650 722m
  • 1.1800 608m
  • 1.1850 1.1bn
  • 1.1900 529m

EURUSD shows strong areas of support and resistance with the 1.1800 option looking favourite right now. German data up during the European session will be important for the next move.

– GBP/USD: GBP amounts

  • 1.3000 315m

GBPUSD will need to punch through some major support levels in order to reach the 1.30 option expiry.

– USD/JPY: USD amounts

  • 105.00 740m
  • 105.25 1.4bn

USDJPY looks set for a pullback from an area of resistance but the two option expiries are out of play.

………………………………………………………………………………….

As you can see on the preferred 1-hour chart(s), we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.

Categories
Forex Options

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 6 th August 2020

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………

FX option expiries for Aug 6 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.

– EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  • 1.1700 1.2bn
  • 1.1725 1.1bn

EURUSD has 2 option expiries today. The exchange rate is still elevated and they are both out of play

– GBP/USD: GBP amounts

  • 1.3000 708m

GBPUSD no change in interest rates this morning and the policy decisions remained unchanged which should keep cable elevated to the current levels with 1.3200 in range.

– USD/JPY: USD amounts

  • 105.00 2.8bn
  • 105.25 660m
  • 105.60 385m
  • 105.65 630m
  • 105.75 467m
  • 105.85 380m
  • 106.00 444m
  • 106.25 945m
  • 106.50 715m
  •  106.75 680m

USDJPY is in a descending wedge formation and many option expiries are within range. As such, expect price action to be focussed within the red cluster of options.

– AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  • 0.7150 520m

AUDUSD has a clearly defined area of consolidation. US dollar strength/weakness will rule price direction for the rest of today’s play. A breach of the support line to the downside will leave the door open for the 0.7150 option.

………………………………………………………………………………….

As you can see on the preferred 1-hour chart(s), we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.

Categories
Forex Videos

Forex Analysis! What Next For The EURUSD!

https://youtu.be/I0qSTtOWPeE

https://youtu.be/I0qSTtOWPeE

 

Where next for EURUSD pair?

Thank you for viewing this forex academy educational video.

In this session, we are going to be looking at what has been going on with the euro US dollar pair in terms of what has been driving it to its current levels and where we might expect price action to go from here.


Firstly, we always read our charts from left to right because they tell a story. On this one-hour chart of the euro US dollar, we can see a strong area of support where the price was not able to breach below the 1.1375 level, having already flirted with levels above the 1.1400 key level.
The next significant part in this bull move is at position A which was when the EU leaders agreed the €1.8 trillion budget and recovery package for the eurozone member states, which included debt and grants.
Initially, this was seen as a buy the rumour sell the fact scenario, where price action reached a high hi of 1.1470 on the news that the 27 members had finally reached an agreement.
Price action fell back to the key 1.1400 level before finally moving up to position C before the pair pushed above the key resistance line there. Note how the Bollinger bands opened up to facilitate this push, which was a very aggressive move, taking the pair air up through the key 1.1500 handle without any initial pullback or resistance here, before finding some resistance at position D at around 1.1550. Profit-taking leads to a pullback to position E, which was just above that key 115 handle.


Again, the bull’s push the pair higher in a very aggressive drive up to the next key level 1.1600, before profit-taking pulled the pair lower into a neck formation, and before the secondary spike higher, which could not quite reach 1.1600 level, which was seen as a potential double top. And when the EU Brexit negotiator Mr. Barnier made comments that the potential of a no-deal Brexit was very high, the pair pulled back to position G only to be reversed aggressively at position H due to poorer than expected Initial Jobless claims unemployment numbers from the United States on Thursday the 23rd.
Price action subsequently moved up in another aggressive bid and punched up to the 1.1625 handle before fluctuating at its current levels around the key 116 handle.


The next important phase will be whether price action can find a firm footing above 1.1600. The Euro has certainly got the market sentiment in its favour currently, with Covid still aggressively running rife in the USA and where the EU seems to be coming up with successful stimulus packages for the Eurozone area. A failure at this critical level could see a retest of 1.1550 and lower as the market considers if the pair has simply run out of steam at these multi-month highs.

The only caveat being that all of this stimulus is mostly made up of debt, and this could be an anvil around Europe’s neck if the economy does not recover as expected during 2021.

Categories
Forex Options

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 20th July 2020

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………

FX option expiries for July 20 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.

– EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  • 1.1300 550m
  • 1.1350 2.5bn
  • 1.1375 1.0bn
  • 1.1400 2.6bn
  • 1.1425 845m
  • 1.1450 617m
  • 1.1500 1.1bn

EURUSD is overbought having breached the resistance line at 1.1442. If this now goes on to act at support 1.1500 will come in to play. The more likely outcome is a pullback to the 1.1425 area as the EU summit on the recovery plan continues.

– USD/JPY: USD amounts

  • 107.00 476m

USDJPY has a defined area of resistance at around 107.40, where a pullback is playing out from currently. The 107.00 option expiry is in play.

………………………………………………………………………………….

As you can see on the preferred 1-hour chart(s), we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.

Categories
Forex Options

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 9th July 2020

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

FX option expiries for July 9 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.

– EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  • 1.1275 986m
  • 1.1350 569m
  • 1.1375 956m
  • 1.1250 551m
  • 1.1300 1.9bn

EURUSD is overbought and likely to see a pullback after the recent bull run. US jobless claims up later will have an impact on all today’s options.

– USD/JPY: USD amounts

  • 105.80 879m
  • 107.10 388m
  • 107.25 381m
  • 107.50 1.1bn

USDJPY is consolidating around two option expiries which are currently in-play.

– USD/CAD: USD amounts

  • 1.3500 788m
  • 1.3600 888m

USDCAD is oversold and by a key level where a large option sits. Expect price consolidation around this level.

– NZD/USD: NZD amounts

  • 0.6485 506m
  • 0.6520 311m
  • 0.6550 345m

NZDUSD is due for a pullback. The 0.6550 option expiry has potential for a strike.

………………………………………………………………….

 

As you can see on the preferred 1-hour chart(s), we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

 If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.

Categories
Forex Options

FX Options Market Combined Volume Expiries for 6th July 2020

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

Thank you for visiting the Forex Academy FX Options market combined volume expiries section. Each day, where available, we will bring you notable maturities in FX Options of amounts of $100 million-plus, and where these large combined maturities at specified currency exchange rates often have a magnetic effect on price action, especially in the hours leading to their maturities, which happens daily at 10.00 AM Eastern time. This is because the big institutional players hedge their positions accordingly. Each option expiry should be considered ‘in-play’ with a good chance of a strike if labelled in red, still in play and a possible strike if labelled in orange and ‘out of play’ and an unlikely strike if labelled in blue, with regard to the likelihood of price action meeting the strike price at maturity.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

FX option expiries for July 6 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.

– EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  • 1.1210 616m
  • 1.1215 554m
  • 1.1345 881m
EURUSD pair currently overbought on the one-hour chart but remains bid after the US holiday. Expect price action to test 1.13 key level and if it finds support here the 1.1345 option will look more likely. Eurozone and US data up later.

………………………………………………………………….

As you can see on the charts, we have also plotted the expiration levels at the various exchange rate maturities and we have also labelled in red, orange and blue.  Therefore, if you see option expiry exchange rates labelled in red these should be considered in-play, because we believe there is a greater chance of the expiry maturing at these levels based on technical analysis at the time of writing. There is still a lesser possibility of a strike if they are in orange and so these are ‘in-play’ too. However, if we have labelled them in blue, they should be considered ‘not in-play’ and therefore price action would be unlikely to reach these levels, which are often referred to as Strikes, at the time of the 10 AM New York cut.

Our technical analysis is based on exchange rates which may be several hours earlier in the day and may not reflect price action at the time of the maturities. Also, we have not factored in economic data releases or keynote speeches by policymakers, or potential market volatility leading up to the cut.

Although we have added some technical analysis, we suggest you take the levels and plot them onto your own trading charts and incorporate the information into your own trading methodology in order to use the information to your advantage. Remember the higher the amount, the larger the gravitational pull towards the exchange rate maturity at 10:00 AM Eastern time.

If you want to learn how forex option expiries affect price action in the spot FX market see our educational article by clicking here: https://bit.ly/2VR2Nji

DISCLAIMER: Please note that this information is for educational purposes. Also, the maturities will look more or less likely to become a strike at 10 AM NY time due to exchange rate fluctuations resulting in a different perspective with regard to technical analysis, and also due to upcoming economic data releases for the associated pairs.