The yellow metal prices failed to maintain its previous-day gaining streak and edged lower to 1,940 level due to the broad-based U.S. dollar strength, backed by the better-than-expected U.S. unemployment figures. Apart from this, the central bank said that it expects the U.S. economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis to gather pace, boosting the U.S. dollar sentiment.
However, the U.S. dollar upticks pushed the bullion prices down in Asian morning trade, although the U.S. Federal Reserve also stated yesterday that it was keeping interest rates close to zero until inflation increases to over 2%. On the contrary, the previous market optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment was recently overshadowed by the latest mixed signals regarding the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine and U.S. aid package. This, in turn, the market trading sentiment turned sour, which might help the gold prices to limit its deeper losses.
It is worth recalling that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) upwardly revised short-term economic forecasts. Meanwhile, he also repeated their promise to do everything necessary. The U.S. central bank also holds the Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) program while displaying a readiness to keep the easy monetary policy even if the inflation shoots above the 2.0% target.
At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar extended its early bullish trend on the day amid mixed sentiment in the market. Moreover, the foresees unemployment falling faster than the central bank expected in June, also helped the greenback to put the fresh bids. Let me remind, the Us dollar saw losses in the wake of the Fed’s comments and disappointing U.S. retail sales data but gradually erased the losses after the Fed hinted economic growth to improve from the COVID-19. However, the modest surge in the greenback kept the gold prices under pressure as gold price is inversely related to the U.S. dollar price. Whereas, the U.S. Dollar Index Futures that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies was up 0.45% to 93.543 by 12:24 AM ET (5:24 AM GMT).
However, the equity market has started to flash red since the Asian session started. Hence, the reason for the risk-off market sentiment could be the deadlock over the U.S. Congress proceeding over the much-awaited aid package. Although the U.S. President Donald Trump recently indicated the solution to arrive soon, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s rejection of holding the votes on a package around $1.5 trillion shows that the Democrats are in no mood to relinquish controls. This, in turn, undermined the market trading sentiment and helped the gold prices to limit its deeper losses.
The market trading sentiment was further bolstered by the fresh U.S. President Donald Trump’s warnings to the World Trade Organization for its favor to China. This, in turn, might recall the trade war concerns that have been silent off-late. Across the pond, the COVID-19 outbreak continues to rise, which keep dampening the global economic outlook.
On the contrary, the market trading sentiment was rather unaffected by the renewed optimism over the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine/treatment. Nevertheless, U.S. President Donald Trump said that late-October would distribute the COVID-19 vaccine, and policymakers in the U.K., China, and Russia also join the upbeat tone about finding the cure of the pandemic. This could help the market trading sentiment to limit its losses.
Looking ahead, the market players will keep their eyes on the busy economic calendar for near-term moves—the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and the U.S. housing data will be key to watch. Meanwhile, the updates surrounding the fresh Sino-US tussle and the coronavirus (COVID-19) updates could not lose their importance.
Gold prices slipped dramatically from 1,959 level to the 1,940 mark operating above the 1,936 support range. The triple bottom pattern on the hourly chart is expected to support gold prices now at 1,936. Beyond this, bullish sentiment can pull gold price higher until the 1,949 level, and over this, the 1,958 level may serve as resistance. Breakout of 1,936 mark can prolong selling bias unto 1,924 area today. Good luck!