Forex Daily Topic

Trading System design - Manual Backtesting your Trade Idea

GBP/AUD Exogenous Analysis

Introduction

This article outlines the steps needed to find, create, test, and verify a trading system. We have to bear in mind that there is no way to create a forex trading system with an equity curve straight upward. Well, yes, it can be made. I've made it, but only optimizing it so much that expecting it to continue performing like this under real trading would be silly. Most trading bots advertise curves like this. If you believe them, your money will be in jeopardy.

In previous articles, we explained the importance of a plan to succeed in Forex and described its general features. In this article, we will describe the concepts that need to be considered when designing a trading system.

Now that we know the importance of having a plan, let's discuss the necessary components of a trading plan.

The necessity of a trading system has been discussed many times. Still,  new traders don't consider it important when, in fact, it is a crucial element.  Could you conceive building a bridge without a project, playing tennis, or chess, with no strategy?

At forex.academy, we understand that a trading record is a decisive component to be successful in Forex. That's why we took the time to create a free trading log on an Excel Spreadsheet. It was designed to present all the needed information at a glance. Here we present its guide.

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After completing our series on position size, we would like to summarize what we have learned and make conclusions.

Anonymous trading used to be a reserve for high-profile investors. But with the increasing acceptance of crypto in forex trading, anyone can trade anonymously now. There are both advantages and limitations to trading anonymously. If you choose to trade forex anonymously, you could use Bitcoin or any altcoin accepted by your broker. 

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This is a small presentation about how, at Forex.Academy, you could discover the secrets behind risk control; and how position size could affect your profits and your probability of ruin.

Introduction

Introduction Some authors label this topic as Money Management or Risk Management, but this misses the point. Money Management doesn't tell much about what it does, and Risk Management seems

Introduction

Introduction

Introduction

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We, at Forex.Academy, try to help novice, and not so novice, traders the best ways to trade in this Forex jungle.  Many novice traders put their focus on entries, thinking that to be profitable, you need to be right. Right? - Wrong!  in his book "Trade your way to your financial freedom," Van K. Tharp proposed a random entry system as an example to show that trade management is more important than entries. The stop-loss setting is a key part of trade management, so, let's have a look at how to optimize them.

Introduction

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H4 breakout at the weekly low. The price consolidates after the breakout and produces a bearish reversal candle right at the breakout level. It is a matter of time for the sellers to go short and drives the price towards the South. Let us find out what actually happens.

Introduction

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of an H4 chart that makes a breakout heading towards the North. However, the chart does not offer entry. We try to find out the reason behind it.

Introduction

Forex charts often have price gaps. It usually occurs in minor time frames. However, it sometimes occurs in time frames such as the H1, H4, daily chart as well. Since price movement is the key factor determining its next move for the price action traders, thus price gap creates confusion in price action trading. Thus, it is best to skip taking entries on charts with a price gap. Let us demonstrate an example and find out the reason behind it.

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of a chart that makes a breakout at the weekly low, consolidates, and produces an excellent bearish engulfing candle. It looks like a good short entry for the sellers. However, things do not go as the sellers would love to see. We try to find out what may be the reason behind it.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a daily-H4 chart combination trading. We also find out how the price reacts to Fibonacci retracement levels and how Fibonacci levels may help us determine risk-reward. Let us start with the daily chart.

Introduction

Introduction

In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of a chart where the price is having a retracement within the last weekly range. The price produces a double bottom and makes a breakout at the neckline. It then consolidates but does not head towards the North as it normally does when it makes a breakout at weekly high/low. Let us proceed and find out the possible reason behind it.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a breakout at a weekly high. The price consolidates afterward but fails to make a breakout at consolidation resistance. Thus, the price does not head towards the North. Let us find out how that happens and what lesson it holds for us.

In today's lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H4 breakout at the last week's high. However, the price does not head towards the North as it usually does. Let's find out why that happens.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of an H4 breakout at the weekly low. The chart produces a strong bearish candle to make the breakout. The Bear looks good to make a strong move towards the South. However, the price does not head towards the downside. It rather gets choppy. Let us find out the reason behind it.

Introduction

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart where the price makes an H4 breakout at the last week’s low. However, the chart does not offer entries. It rather gets choppy. We will try to find out the reason behind that. Let us get started.

We are going to demonstrate an example of a trade setup on the H4 chart. The price, after breaches the last week’s low; it consolidates and produces a strong bearish reversal candle. It then heads towards the South with extreme bearish momentum. Let us find out how that happens.

We know a double top is a strong bearish reversal pattern. When the price trends with a double top, it usually creates strong bearish momentum. At consolidation, if it produces an evening star, it creates more momentum that is more bearish since the evening star is a strong bearish reversal pattern as well. In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of that.

The Weekly high or Weekly low plays a significant part in the H4 chart traders. In today’s lesson, we will demonstrate an example of how last week’s high works as a level of support and pushes the price towards the upside by offering a long entry to the buyers. Let us get started.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of the daily-H4 chart combination trading. In the daily-H4 chart combination trading, the daily chart plays a very significant role. As long as the price in the daily chart heads towards the trend, the traders may find the opportunities to take entry. Let us now proceed and find out what that means.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top offering an entry, not right after the breakout. It rather offers an entry upon finding its resistance, which is well below the neckline level. Let us find out how that happens.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate the formation of a down-trending Trendline. A trendline can be formed with a double top or double bottom as well. However, double top’s resistance or double bottom’s support may not be horizontal. Let us find out how they may look in the chart.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top that drives the price towards the downside in an intraday chart. The double top/double bottom usually makes the price bearish if they are formed in a major chart. However, they work in the same way in minor charts as well. Let us find out how it drives the price in an H1 chart. Let us get started.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an intraday chart that ends up offering an entry. Intraday trading can be prolific if it is done in the right way. In today’s example, the price heads towards the North by making a good bullish move. It seems that the bull is in control. However, the price gets bearish later and ends up offering entry to the sellers. Let us find out how that happens.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart that made a long bearish move obeying a bearish trendline. The price after forming a bearish trendline does not offer entry to the sellers. It makes a breakout at the first trendline and then produces another bearish trendline ending up offering short entries. Let us now have a look at the chart and find out how it happens.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a chart that trends towards the North by obeying a trendline. It offers a long entry once the trendline is established. At the fourth bounce, it produces a bullish reversal candle. We find out whether the buyers should take a long entry or not upon getting the bullish reversal candle at the trendline’s support. Let us get started.

Last week, in one of our lessons, we showed an example of how the price gets bullish based on the double bottom and flipped support. In today's lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double top and flipped resistance. a Double Top is the opposite of a Double Bottom, so it drives the price towards the South. It is one of the strongest bearish reversal patterns. Traders love to go short when a chart produces a double top in the Forex market. Let us now proceed and find out how it usually works.

In today’s lesson, we are going to demonstrate an example of a double bottom, which pushes the price towards the North. The example also proves an old theory of support becomes resistance or resistance becomes support after a breakout. Let us get started.