Home Forex Market Analysis Forex Signals EUR/USD Dropped Below Mid-1.1800 – Combination Of Factors In Play! 

EUR/USD Dropped Below Mid-1.1800 – Combination Of Factors In Play! 


The EUR/USD currency pair had nothing to cheer on the day and dropped below the mid-1.1800 level. The E.U. digital nationalism concerns also added bearish pressure around the shared currency and contributed to the currency pair declines. Whereas, the currency pair failed to gain any strength from the upbeat Eurozone inflation data, which were released on Friday. At the moment, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1755 and consolidating in the range between 1.1742 – 1.1797. However, the currency pair buyers seemed cautious to place any strong position ahead of the final German and Eurozone manufacturing PMI numbers for July, which is due on the day.

It is worth recalling that the annual Eurozone inflation figures came in at +0.4% in July, met the +0.2% expectations, and crossed +0.3% previous as per the Eurostat’s flash reading of Eurozone CPI report. In the meantime, the core figure rose to +1.2% in the reported month against +0.8% expectations and +0.8% previously. However, this positive data was unable to provide any support to the shared currency.

The losses in the currency pair were further bolstered by the concerns that the European Union’s digital protectionism will likely exacerbate Washington and Beijing, which kept the shared currency under pressure and contributed to the currency pair losses. France officials recently have taken aggressive action against U.S. tech companies for years while threatening to impose billions of euros in fines on Intel, Microsoft, Facebook, Google, Qualcomm, and Amazon. 

Apart from the EUR, the U.S. Congress failed to agree on the much-awaited extension of the unemployment claims benefits as they expired on Friday. Besides, the U.S. policymakers also could not agree over the much-awaited fiscal package to control the pandemic’s economic impacts, as Democrats and Republicans still have differences over the size of the package. This, in turn, made the S&P 500 Futures to mark 0.30% losses to 3,260. The same portrayed the market’s risk-off mood and gave extra strength to the safe-haven assets.

On the other hand, the risk-tone was further bolstered by the on-going tension between the United States and China. It is worth reporting that the U.S. President Donald Trump released notification to ban the Chinese video app TikTok in the United States. Whereas, the Secretary of State Michael Pompeo also followed President Donald Trump’s footsteps while saying that the U.S. will take action shortly on Chinese software companies that are providing data directly to the Chinese government, which caused the risk to U.S. national security. These newer to newer tensions between US-China could harm the trade deal. 

At the coronavirus front, the increasing pandemic numbers from the U.S., Australia India, and Brazil continued to exert downside pressure on the risk sentiment. As per the latest report, Australia’s Victoria has recently been given the “state of disaster” title after cases rose past-670 during the weekend. On the other hand, Tokyo reported 292 new coronavirus infections on Sunday, after cases increased by more than 400 in the past two days.

 The market players will keep their eyes on early-month activity numbers from China and the U.S. As well as, the final German and Eurozone manufacturing PMI numbers for July will be key to watch. Moreover, the USD price moves and coronavirus headlines will play a key role in determining the intraday momentum.

The EUR/USD fell sharply from 1.1908 level to test the double bottom support level of 1.1745 level. On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD extends to form neutral candles, which suggests indecision among investors despite a strong support level of 1.1745. On the higher side, the EUR.USD may find support at 1.1796 level. 

Entry Price – Sell 1.17262

Stop Loss – 1.17662

Take Profit – 1.16862

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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