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FED Beige Book – November 2017

Beige Book November The Beige Book is a publication of the Federal Reserve system where the economic conditions of the twelve federal districts of the reserve are published monthly. This
SMA with slopes opt trail and targets equity curve

Profitable Trading – Computerised Studies I: DMI and ADX

Introduction The spread of personal computers gave investors and traders the opportunity to perform sophisticated computations in an attempt to extract information out of the naked price series. Many traders

Money and Monetary Policy

Introduction Coming from the Latin word that defined the Roman coin denarius. Money is, in general terms, the preferred means for the exchange (charge vs. payment) of goods and services

How to Trade Using the RSI

Introduction In 1978, J. Welles Wilder Jr published the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the book "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems." Wilder describes the RSI as "a tool which

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis

Introduction Before proceeding to discuss forward-testing and Montecarlo permutations, we need to know the basics of the methodology and statistical foundations of evaluation and hypothesis testing. To achieve that, I'll

Transmission Channels of Economic Cycles

 Abstract The economic cycles are one essential topic studied by the economy. There is a wide variety of literature that mentions the fluctuations and long-term trends of economies. But

The Potential of Emerging Economies

 Abstract Some countries have valuable domestic productions such as Germany, Japan, the United States, Canada or France among others. But there is another group of countries that are representative

Problems and Crisis in the Economy

 Abstract The economy fluctuates in some studied cycles and it is normal that it revolves around long-term trends showing its productive capacity. It is therefore normal to see a

Monetary Policies in Open Economies

Abstract The central bank and the government have tools to accelerate the monetary policies or contract the economy such as the interest rate, public spending, the amount of money in

Profitable Trading VIII – Computerized Studies V: Oscillators

Introduction Markets behave as a fair-price searching machine. When there is no consensus about value, caused by an economic event or some other news that might affect the current fair

Globalization and its Risks

Abstract Globalization is an inevitable process that has been accelerated with the current means of communication and transportation, which help to trade more due to better access to foreign products.

Profitable Trading (VII) – Computerized Studies: Bands & Envelopes

Introduction We have already dealt, briefly, with bands and channels. On this article, we will try to develop a bit more on bands and envelopes, as it is quite important

Cycles and Economic Oscillations

Abstract The economy of any country has 4 main phases: Depression, recovery, boom, and recession. In each economic cycle, there will be industries that will perform better than others, depending
Turtle Soup Bolinger band

China and its Economic Predominance

Abstract Throughout history, there have always been countries that stand out for their developments and their economy. From the Second World War until recent years, the United States stood out

Designing a Trading System (III) – The Toolbox Part 2

Trading simulator The trading simulator is the part of the trading platform that takes the programmed rules of a trading system and computes the simulated paper-trades along a time interval.

Profitable Trading – Computerized Studies II: MACD

Introduction Moving Average Convergence-Divergence, MACD, was developed in 1979 by Gerald Appel as a market timing tool, and it’s an advanced derivation of moving averages. MACD consists of two exponential

Designing a Trading System (II) – The Toolbox Part 1

Introduction The first issue of this series on trading systems finishes with a chart flow as in Fig 1, that sketches the steps needed for a good design of a

Maximum Adverse Excursion

INTRODUCTION What is the MAE Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) is a method of analysis for automatic or discretionary trading systems that allow us to objectively improve the overall operating result

Changes in the Energy Model

 Abstract The current energy model is based on fossil fuels which can be extracted quickly and throughout history have been abundant resources on earth. But with an increase in

Forex Designing a Trading System (I) – Introduction to Systematic Trading

Trade and money Trade is a concept that began with the advent of the Homo Sapien, some 20K years back. People, back then, traded their spare hunting pieces for new

Everything you should master to Detect Trends, and more!

Introduction In chapter 1, we’ve set the foundations of market classification, what a trend is about, and the dissection of a trend in its several phases. Then we talked about

Trading Is An Adult Game (II): Mysterious & Engaging

Introduction “If you wish to know the road, inquire of those who have traveled it” – old Japanese saying (Quote from Steve Nison’s first book on Candlesticks) On the first

Outlook for 10.24.2017

EUR/USD The US Dollar is hesitant as President D. Trump told reporters he is very close to a decision about who should chair the Federal Reserve, which includes current Fed

Trading Is An Adult Game: Spicy & Risky

Introduction In this series, we will explore the basic aspects of charts and indicators; what they are, how to use them, what they represent, etc. All of this with a

Expectations about the Economy

Abstract There are a great many intertwining variables that influence the current state of the economy at any given time; such as unemployment, wages, internal production, investments and many more.

Profitable Trading Chapter III: Chart patterns

Introduction In the early days of technical analysis, charts were drawn by hand. Personal computers came much later. Traders and investors patiently drew their charts one day, hour or minute

Profitable Trading – Chapter 1: Market Anatomy

Introduction In their pursuit of a profitable system or strategy, traders look at past behaviors as a forward indicator of prices. Indeed, if the price movement is an objective manifestation

Let Profits Run

Introduction Aspiring traders and the majority of people think that if they had a crystal ball telling them the right entry point or the perfect stock to pick, that would

Is The Trend Really Your Friend?

Introduction In this document, we will discuss the principle of Trading with the trend.   We will dissect the “Trade with the trend” discussion in: What is a trend Methods traders

Fibonacci: Analysis of Common Errors

Analysis of errors There are certain common errors that traders can make when they are using the analysis of Fibonacci. The first most common mistake that is made when traders

Short-Term Economics

Abstract It is true that the long-term is more important than the short term in the economy, but there are variables that it is important to analyze in the short

Fibonacci Complementary Tools

The analysis with rhythmic wave diagrams shows a relationship between the ratios so it will allow traders to further understand the relationship between them and help to make better decisions

Long run Macroeconomics

Abstract Long term is what really matters for economists. It is not enough a decade of continuous growth if an economy does not have adequate policies to perpetuate that growth.

Trading, a Different Viewpoint: It’s all about Market Structure, Risk and...

Introduction Globalization, the internet and also the massive use of computers have contributed to the worldwide spread of trading of all kinds: Stocks, futures, bonds, commodities, currencies. Even the weather

Limitations On Monetary Policy

 Abstract Macroeconomics currently has different models to analyze how markets behave, which relationship has different indicators and what effect the application of certain policies could have. But the problem

Labor Market and its Implications

Abstract One of the aspects that matter most to people about economics is the labor market. It is of special interest because much of the population is active in this

The Meaning of Cutting Losses Short

Abstract In this article, we deal with the different ways and aspects of the stop-loss setting. A crucial task for a successful trader. Introduction What a price to pay for

Expectations about the Economy

Abstract There are a great many intertwining variables that influence the current state of the economy at any given time; such as unemployment, wages, internal production, investments and many more.

Foundations of Fibonacci Extensions

Introduction A very popular application of Fibonacci deals with the projection of levels up to where price is expected to further develop. In the article “Foundations of Fibonacci Retracements” (http

Foundations of Fibonacci Retracements

As it shall be further developed throughout this article, the first step when applying the Fibonacci method to construct support and resistance levels of a broader price trend is to

Introduction to Fibonacci Analysis

Fibonacci analysis: A mathematical ground to construct support and resistance price levels. One of the most complex aspects of trading certainly has to do with risk. How to measure and

Trading Glossary

  200-day moving average Is a popular technical indicator which investors use to analyze price trends. It is simply a security's average closing price over the last 200 days. Absolute