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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Supported Over Triple Bottom – Brace for a Trade Here! 

The USD/CAD pair was opened at 1.27142, and it has placed a high of 1.27358 and a low of 1.26950 since then. The pair was currently moving at 1.27035 and was posting losses on Monday for the 5th consecutive session. The losses in the USD/CAD pair during the Asian session on Monday could be attributed to the US dollar’s weakness along with the rising crude oil prices on the day. The deteriorated risk-sentiment could also be a factor behind the USD/CAD pair’s declining prices on Monday. 

The US Dollar was weak across the board on Monday as the US saw a massive increase in the number of coronavirus cases as the total count of infection cases reached 21,110,917 in the country and made it the worst-hit country by the COVID-19. The US Dollar Index was also down on Monday by 0.25% at the 89.67 level.

The US dollar weakness could also be attributed to the latest rejection of an increase in direct payments by the US Senate. Lately, the US President called to increase the direct payments to Americans to $2000 from $600 that was also supported by Democrats; however, these efforts have come to an end after Republicans refused to increase them. Furthermore, the US billions were also hesitant to place strong moves in the market ahead of Tuesday’s Georgia’s electoral runoff and Wednesday’s December meeting minutes release from FOMC.

On the other hand, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil prices on Monday have reached $49.27 per barrel so far and were moving upward continuously. The crude oil has posted gains for four consecutive sessions, and the outlook remained positive, which means it could increase further. The rising crude oil prices added support to the commodity-linked currency Loonie that ultimately added more pressure on the USD/CAD pair’s prices on Monday.

On the data front, Manufacturing PMI from Canada is expected to release at 19:30 GMT, November’s PMI was 55.8, and anything above it in December could be beneficial for the Canadian dollar, and anything less than it could be against the local currency. From the US side, at 19:45 GMT, the Final Manufacturing PMI from the US for December is predicted to come as 56.3 against the previous 56.5 that could hurt the US dollar and add further losses in the USD/CAD pair. At 20:00 GMT, the Construction Spending for November is forecasted to drop to 1.1% against the previous 1.3% that could also add more losses in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2704 1.2762

1.2679 1.2795

1.2647 1.2820

Pivot point: 1.2737

The USD/CAD is trading at 1.2684, and violation of this level can extend the selling trend until the 1.2637 level. On the 2 hour timeframe, the USD/CAD is supported due to the triple bottom, but the RSI and MACD are suggesting a selling trend in USD/CAD. However, we can’t take a sell trade unless the 1.2685 level is violated. Let’s wait for a breakout elsewhere; we can take a buy trade over 1.2685 tp target 1.2760. Good luck!

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Forex Signals

EUR/USD Completes Retracement – Brace for a Bullish Correction! 

The EUR/USD is trading with a bearish bias today at the 1.2248 level, having violated the upward trendline at the 1.2252 level. Closing of candles below this trendline confirms a breakout, and there’s a strong odd of selling trend’s continuation until 1.2203. The next support may be found around the 1.2175 level below this, along with resistance at 1.2258 and 1.2313. The 50 periods EMA is likely to extend resistance at the 1.2262 level, and supporting the selling trend in the EUR/USD today; however, we are taking a buying trade as the pair is forming Doji, and it may bounce off to continue trading bullish. 


Entry Price – Buy 1.226

Stop Loss – 1.222

Take Profit – 1.23

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Bearish Bias Continues – Traders Brace for Selling Trade! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.27513 after placing a high of 1.28269 and a low of 1.27493. The currency pair USD/CAD extended its losses on Wednesday for the 3rd consecutive day amid the US dollar’s weakness and rising crude oil prices. The bearish momentum surrounding the currency pair USD/CAD remained intact due to the unbeatable selling pressure around the greenback and a stronger Canadian dollar on the back of rising crude oil prices amid the improved risk sentiment in the market.

The rising optimism surrounding the vaccine rollouts after the UK regulatory approved the emergency use authorization of the vaccine prepared by AstraZeneca and Oxford University helped recover the market’s energy demand. The rising energy demand added to the crude oil prices that lift the per barrel price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $48.63 on Wednesday.

Another reason behind the rising crude oil prices was the weekly report from EIA about the US crude oil stocks. At 20:30 GMT, the Crude Oil Inventories from last week were declined to -6.1M against the forecasted -3.0M and supported the crude oil prices. The surge in WTI prices gave strength to the commodity-linked currency Loonie that ultimately added losses in the USD/CAD pair on Wednesday.

On the data front, from the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Goods Trade Balance from November dropped to -84.8B against the predicted -81.5B and weighed on the US dollar that added losses in the currency pair USD/CAD. The Prelim Wholesale Inventories from November also dropped to -0.1% against the predicted 0.7% and supported the US dollar. At 19:45 GMT, Chicago PMI in December raised to 59.5 against the predicted 56.6 and supported the US dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the Pending Home Sales from November fell to -2.6% against the predicted 0.1% and weighed on the US dollar that ultimately added further losses in the USD/CAD pair.

Apart from Crude oil prices and macroeconomic data, the USD/CAD pair was dropped to its fresh weekly lowest level amid the US dollar’s weakness driven by the hopes that Senate will approve US stimulus checks to increase to $2000 from $600. These hopes dragged the US Dollar Index to its lowest level since April 2018 and reached below 89.52 level that added further losses in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2776 1.2859

1.2734 1.2902

1.2692 1.2943

Pivot point: 1.2818

The USD/CAD is trading bearish at the 1.2737 level, disrupting the support level of 1.2763. This same level is now working as resistance for USD/CAD. On the lower side, a continuation of a selling trend can extend a bearish move until the 1.2697 level. Since today is the last trading day of the year 2020, we are trying not to open unnecessary trades considering lack of volatility and trading volume. Let’s consider taking a sell trade below 1.2763 today. Good luck!  

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Forex Signals

GBP/USD Bounces off Support – Quick Buy Signal Update!

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.36245 after placing a high of 1.36255 and a low of 1.34888. The British Pound to U.S. Dollar exchange rate climbed to weekly highs as the U.K. Parliament voted for the Brexit trade deal. Barely 24 hours before the U.K.’s final split from the European Union, Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s post-Brexit trade deal won approval from the U.K. Parliament. The agreement earlier crossed the House of Commons with 521 votes in favor of 73 opposing it. The Scottish National Party (SNP) was against the bills while stating that it will harm Scotland’s fishing industry and told PM Johnson that it would bolster the case for independence.

The GBP/USD pair has also violated the resistance level of 1.3617 level, and on the higher side, the next target remains at the 1.3698 level. On the lower side, the GBP/USD pair may find support at the 1.3617 level for now. We can expect a continuation of an upward trend in the Sterling today.

Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.3456 1.3533

1.3413 1.3567

1.3379 1.3611

Pivot Point: 1.3490


Entry Price – Buy 1.3662

Stop Loss – 1.3622

Take Profit – 1.3702

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

 

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Forex Signals

GBP/USD Ascending Triangle Breakout – Brace for Buying! 

Today in the early European trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair managed to maintain its bullish bias through the first half of the Asian session and remained bullish around above the mid-1.3500 level. However, the bullish trend was mainly sponsored by the selling tone surrounding the US dollar, which fell to fresh multi-year lows amid increasing bets about the possibility of additional financial aid in the US. Apart from this, the losses in the greenback were further bolstered after the US registered the first case of the covid variant, which instantly put doubt over the US economic recovery and undermined the US dollar. 

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve showed readiness to maintain low-interest rates for a too long period. This, in turn, put additional pressure on the greenback and was seen as one of the key factors that benefitted the GBP/USD currency pair. Across the ocean, the currency pair got an additional lift after the UK health department announced that the government had accepted the proposal by the MHRA to approve the vaccine for use in the UK. On the contrary, the escalating market concerns about the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases and the imposition of new restrictions in the UK keep fueling the doubts over the UK economic recovery, which could cap the gains for the GBP/USD currency pair. At a particular time, the GBP/USD currency pair is currently trading at 1.3573 and consolidating in the range between 1.3494 – 1.3579.

As per the latest report, the UK said that regulators had authorized the use of the AstraZeneca/Oxford coronavirus vaccine. The UK health department declared that the government had accepted the recommendation by the MHRA to authorize the vaccine for use in the UK. This progress remained supportive of the already upbeat market mood, which continued weakening the US dollar’s safe-haven demand and contributing to the currency pair gains.

Apart from this, the bearish trend around the US dollar was also sponsored by the rising bets about the likelihood of additional financial aid in the US. It is worth reporting that US Congress members keep struggling to deliver $2,000 paychecks after Senate Majority Republican Leader Mitch McConnell showed a willingness to block the payments earlier in the day. Despite this, the policymaker put forward the bill as a part of the procedure. Meanwhile, the US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin’s announced that the qualified US residents could start receiving the direct stimulus payment of $600 soon, which boosted the market trading sentiment. The market trading sentiment got an additional lift after the President-elect Joe Biden showed readiness for more support measures, which puts additional pressure on the US dollar. 


The GBP/USD pair has also violated the resistance level of 1.3520 level, and on the higher side, the next target remains at the 1.3580 level. On the lower side, the GBP/USD pair may find support at the 1.3520 level now. We can expect a continuation of an upward trend in the Sterling today as the MACD and RSI suggest a bullish trend. Alongside, the GBP/USD pair may soar until the 1.3620 level today as the 50 EMA also extending bullish bias for the Cable.

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Soars Higher – Upward Channel Supports! 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.75809 after placing a high of 0.76223 and a low of 0.75570. After placing bullish moves for two consecutive days, the AUD/USD pair fell after a long weekend despite the rising risk-on market sentiment amid the rebound in the greenback. The US President Donald Trump raised the global markets on Monday after signing the coronavirus stimulus bill that was long-awaited and has been under negotiations since May. Though his demand for $2000 paychecks and removal of section 230 was currently under debate in the Senate, the US Treasury has already said to disburse $600 weekly paychecks.

Meanwhile, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi showed readiness to get the $2000 passed in Congress. This raised the risk sentiment in the already high market because of the vaccine rollout and Brexit optimism. However, the Aussie-China tussle and the fear of a new variant of coronavirus kept the pair AUD/USD under pressure.

According to the data released by the General Administration of Customs, China’s import of Australian copper concentrate fell by 34% to 26,717 tonnes in November, the lowest level since January 2017. On the other hand, Australia insisted the World Health Organization (WHO) inquiry into coronavirus origin must be robust, despite China’s tensions.

Looking forward, a lack of major data requires the pair of traders to watch risk catalysts for immediate direction. Among them, the US stimulus passage and any developments on the Canberra-Beijing tension will be the key. 

Meanwhile, the US dollar was weak across the board due to the stimulus bill turned into legislation after Trump signed it. The US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies edged down 0.15% to 90.112 that capped further downside in AUD/USD pair. In the absence of any macroeconomic data and holiday-thinned trading, the currency pair AUD/USD remained depressed on Monday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7548 0.7616 

0.7519 0.7653

0.7481 0.7683

Pivot point: 0.7586

The AUD/USD is trading bullish at the 0.76050 level, forming an upward channel on the two-hourly timeframes. The AUD/USD pair may find resistance at the 0.7625 level, and a bullish breakout of this level can extend the buying trend until the 0.7680 level. On the lower side, the support stays at the 0.7560 mark. Bullish crossover of AUD/USD pair is likely to drive the further upward trend in Aussie; however, taking a bullish trade can be risky at this movement, especially when the market volatility is at its lowest. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Sideways Trading Continues – Brace to Capture Breakout! 

A day before, the USD/CAD opened at 1.28497, and it has placed a high of 1.28602 and a low of 1.28277 so far. The USD/CAD pair dropped on Monday amid the US dollar’s weakness and the rising crude oil prices. The USD/CAD pair dropped on Monday on the first day of the new trading week as the market’s risk sentiment was improved and supported the risk perceived Canadian Dollar. The risk sentiment in the market was high due to the latest Brexit trade-deal optimism and was further supported by the news of the US stimulus bill.

On Sunday, the US President Donald Trump signed a $2.3 trillion coronavirus relief and government funding bill that added optimism over a last-minute Brexit trade deal and supported the risk perceived Canadian Dollar. The strong Loonie added pressure on the USD/CAD pair that started to decline on Monday.

The US President Donald Trump, who initially called the bipartisan coronavirus bill a disgrace and threatened to reject the bill, backed down from his decision and signed the bill to make it legislation. The bill will include $900 billion in coronavirus relief bill and $1.4 trillion in government funding that would expire after 24 hours. The passing of the second round of the coronavirus relief bill before the US government shutdown soared the risk sentiment and pressured on the US dollar that ultimately added further to the USD/CAD pair’s losses. The greenback was lower in early trading hours on Monday as USD bulls were largely unimpressed by a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. 

Meanwhile, on the WTI Crude oil front, the energy source prices rose on Monday as they hit $48.25 due to increased risk sentiment in the market and lower US dollar prices. The rising crude oil prices supported the commodity-linked currency Loonie that ultimately added further pressure on the USD/CAD pair on Monday. Another reason behind the declining USD/CAD pair and the Canadian Dollardollar’s strength against the greenback could also be the last-minute Brexit deal. On the last trading session on Thursday, the Canadian Dollar was strong against its counterpart US dollar as Britain secured a long-awaited Brexit deal with the EU. 

The US dollar was already lower because of the Brexit deal against the basket of major six currencies, and Trump’s decision to pass the US stimulus bill added further in it that pushed the US Dollar Index lower on Monday and supported the bearish momentum in USD/CAD pair.

In the absence of any major macroeconomic release from the Canadian or US side, the pair USD/CAD continued declining on the back of the rising Canadian Dollar, improved risk sentiment amid the Brexit deal and US stimulus package, and the declining US dollar and rising Crude oil prices on Monday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2826 1.2856

1.2814 1.2874

1.2796 1.2886

Pivot Point: 1.2844

The USD/CAD consolidates in a narrow trading range of 1.2860 – 1.2812 level. The market isn’t moving a lot as the global banks are closed due to the boxing day holiday. The 50 EMA and MACD are suggesting odds of neutral bias in the market. However, we can expect to take a buying trade over the 1.2860 level to target the 1.2930 level. On the lower side, the violation of the 1.2810 level can extend the selling trend until the 1.2760 level. Let’s wait for a breakout to capture a quick buy or a sell trade. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Upward Channel In-Play – Daily Outlook! 

The AUD/USD opened at 0.75996, and it has placed a high of 0.76185 and a low of 0.75824 so far. AUD/USD pair seemed to extend its previous gains after moving in a bullish trend for two consecutive sessions on Monday. The upward momentum in the AUD/USD pair could be attributed to the US dollar weakness and rising risk sentiment in the market after a long weekend. The main reason behind the improved risk sentiment and the US dollar weakness was the news that US President Donald Trump has signed the second stimulus relief bill on Sunday.

Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump signed a $2.3 trillion stimulus package that would incude$900 billion for coronavirus relief and $1.4 trillion for government funding through next September. Initially, Trump called the package a “disgrace” and rejected to sign it into legislation and demanded to increase the stimulus checks to $2000; however, he backed down from his decision as the current government funding level was close to run out. The $900 billion coronavirus relief bill will provide $600 per person who makes less than $75000. 

As the US government shutdown was near, the second round of the US stimulus bill provided hope to the investors that the economy will start recovering soon, raising the risk sentiment in the market. 

This market sentiment supported the risk perceived Australian dollar, and the pair AUD/USD continued moving in the upward direction on Monday. Meanwhile, the US dollar also came under pressure after Donald Trump passed the second stimulus bill of $2.3 trillion as it would hurt the local currency. The AUD/USD pair got more strength from the US dollar’s weakness and raised its gains on Monday. Furthermore, the AUD/USD pair’s gains remained limited on Monday due to the latest pessimistic comments from the leading experts of China. The Tsinghua University’s Yan Xuetong said that though President-elect Joe Biden’s diplomatic strategy will be largely different from Trump’s strategy, it does not mean that US-China relations will improve. He added that Biden might seek to use the damage caused by Trump as a bargaining chip to get what he wants from Beijing. 

These comments from top experts from China added to the tension lingering between the world’s two largest economies and weighed on the China-proxy Australian dollar that ultimately limited the AUD/USD pair’s upward momentum on Monday. However, the holiday-thinned trading condition and the absence of any macroeconomic data from either side, the currency pair AUD/USD continued following the market’s risk sentiment and remained on the upside on Monday. 


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

 0.7597 0.7619

0.7583 0.7627

0.7575 0.7641

Pivot point: 0.7605

The AUD/USD is trading at 0.7584 level, supported by an upward channel on the 2-hour timeframe. The 50 periods EMA is also supporting the pair at the 0.7580 level, and the MACD is closing histograms below 0, suggesting strong chances of selling. Since there’s a conflict between leading and lagging indicators, we may need to wait for either a bearish breakout below the 0.7580 level to take a sell trade or take a buying trade over 0.7580 once the MACD starts closing histograms over 0. Let’s keep an eye on the pair. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

Gold Trade Choppy – Can Upward Channel Underpin? 

During Friday’s Asian trading session, the yellow metal prices failed to extend their overnight winning streak. They edged lower around the $1,880 level mainly due to the upbeat market sentiment, which tends to undermine the yellow-metal prices as investors continuing a retreat from the safe-haven asset after progress in U.S. stimulus measures and Brexit talks. Elsewhere, the reason behind the risk-on market sentiment could also be associated with the expectations for global economic recovery on potential coronavirus vaccines. 

In contrast to this, the widespread rise in the COVID-19 cases from the U.K., U.S., and Europe keeps challenging the market risk-on mood, helping the bullion prices limit their deeper losses. Apart from this, the US-China long-lasting tussle is also questioning the market upside momentum, which also caps further downside for the gold. Besides this, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness has also played its major role in supporting the gold prices as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. The yellow metal is currently trading at 1,883.14 and consolidating in the range between 1,878.60 – 1,886.06.

The news about vaccine rollouts was supporting the market trading sentiment. In the meantime, the progress on both Brexit trade talks and the latest U.S. stimulus measures also boosted the market trading sentiment, which tends to undermine the safe-haven metal prices. As per the latest report, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she hopes to receive the final legislative text on the deal later on Thursday. Whereas, President Donald Trump said by a tweet that stimulus talks were looking good. However, the lawmakers are now confident to approve the stimulus before the year-end. Additionally, the market trading sentiment was supported by the on-going hopes of the coronavirus vaccine. Thus the positive tone surrounding the market trading sentiment was seen as one of the key factors that kept the gold prices under pressure. 

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its long bearish bias and dropped towards its worst week in a month as demand for the safe-haven assets declined amid progress toward agreeing U.S. fiscal stimulus. It is worth mentioning that the U.S. dollar was down 1.2% for the week so far and has dropped by 12.7% from a 3-year peak in March, falling to 89.862, just above a 2-and-a-half-year low seen on the previous day. Besides, the U.S. dollar losses could also be associated with Powell’s dovish comments on inflation. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s promised to keep interest rates low until an economic recovery is secure. However, the U.S. dollar losses helped the yellow-metal prices limit its deeper losses as the price of gold is inversely related to the U.S. dollar price.

In contrast to this, the growing worries over the resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic have been destroying the hopes of the global economic recovery, which keeps challenging the market trading sentiment and help the yellow-metal prices to limit their deeper losses. On the other hand, the long-lasting tussle between the United States and China remains on the cards as the U.S. continuously imposing sanctions on Beijing. This, in turn, added further questions around the market trading sentiment and became the key factor that kept the lid on any additional losses in the safe-haven metal prices.

Looking ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on U.K. Retail Sales m/m, which are scheduled for publicity later in the day. Meanwhile, the German PPI m/m data will also be key to watch. Apart from this, the updates surrounding the Brexit, virus, and U.S. stimulus package will not lose their importance. 



Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1807.17

S2 1827.65

S3 1840.79

Pivot Point 1848.13

R1 1861.27

R2 1868.61

R3 1889.09

The yellow metal gold is trading in between a tight range of 1,884 – 1,880 mark. Gold retraced downward to complete 38.2% Fibonacci level of 1,876. On the daily timeframe, gold has formed an upward channel supporting gold around 1,874 level along with a resistance level of 1,894 and 1,910 level. The 50 periods EMA holds around 1,864, suggesting an upward trend in gold; however, we are not opening a buying trade yet as the MACD forms histograms below 0, supporting a selling trend. Let’s consider taking a buying trade over the 1,874 level today. Good luck! 

 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Faces Double Top Resistance – A Trade Plan to Follow!  

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.27217 after placing a high of 1.27504 and a low of 1.26884. The currency pair USD/CAD dropped on Thursday amid the rising crude oil prices and the US dollar weakness. The USD/CAD pair came back to declining momentum after reversing from Wednesday’s high above 1.2790. The Canadian dollar benefited from a weaker US dollar and rising crude oil prices on Thursday that dragged the currency pair USD/CAD on the downside. On Thursday, the US dollar was weak across the board amid the combination of rising hopes for US stimulus, a rising number of coronavirus cases, increased bond purchases by Fed, and the disappointing jobs report from the US labor department.

The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change in November came in as 40.8K and supported the Canadian dollar that resulted in the declining USD/CAD prices on Thursday. From the US side, at 18:29 GMT, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index in December dropped to 11.1 against the expected 20.1 and weighed on the US dollar and added further losses in the USD/CAD pair. At 18:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from last week advanced to 885K against the expected 817K and weighed on the US dollar, and supported the USD/CAD pair’s downside momentum. For November, the Building Permits advanced to 1.64M against the expected 1.55M and supported the US dollar, and capped further downside in the USD/CAD pair. The Housing Starts in November remained flat as expected 1.55M.

Meanwhile, the greenback was weak across the board as the total number of coronavirus cases surpassed about 17M in the US and weighed on the local currency. The rising hopes for the US stimulus also added in the US dollar pressure as the Democrats and Republicans were moving closer to reach a deal by the end of this week. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve’s latest decision to increase its bond purchases to support the economy through the second wave of the pandemic also added pressure on the US dollar and dragged the USD/CAD prices on the downside.

Furthermore, the WTI crude oil prices also increased on Thursday and reached $48.58 per barrel, supporting the commodity-linked currency Loonie. The strong Loonie then ultimately added further losses in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2694 1.2790

1.2646 1.2838

1.2597 1.2886

Pivot Point: 1.2742

The USD/CAD pair’s technical side is extending double top resistance at 1.2766 area, and bullish crossover of this can lead USD/CAD price further higher until the next resistance level of 1.2789 level. On the lower side, the support holds around 1.2740 and 1.2709 level. The 50 periods EMA is supporting buying trend. Thus it may extend upward movement until 1.2790 level upon the breakout of 1.2766 support. Overall, the market is lacking volatility as we are heading towards the holiday session. Let’s consider staying bullish over 1.2766 resistance and selling below the 1.2740 support level. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Ascending Triangle Pattern Support – Buying Setup Looms! 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.76263 after placing a high of 0.76393 and a low of 0.75668. The AUD/USD rose above the 0.76300 level on Thursday to its highest level since June 2018 amid the broad-based weakness of the US dollar and the rising risk sentiment in the market. The risk-sensitive Aussie benefited from the market’s broadly positive risk appetite that raised the Wall streets’ main indexes added in the gains of AUD/USD pair. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices hit an all-time high on Thursday and added in the risk sentiment that gave strength to risk perceived Aussie.

The dovish comments from Chairman of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell reassured market participants that the Fed’s ultra-accommodative monetary policy stance was not going anywhere anytime soon. This news also added in the risk sentiment, supported the risk-sensitive Australian dollar, and pushed the AUD/USD pair higher.

Furthermore, the UK and EU prospects reaching a deal before the end of the year as the EU parliament had given the deadline to get an agreement before 20th December also increased and supported the risk perceived Aussie and added in the upward trend of the AUD/USD pair.

On the data front, at 05:30 GMT, the Employment Change in November raised to 90.0K against the expected 40.9K and supported Aussie and added in the gains of AUD/USD pair. In November, the Unemployment Rate also decreased to 6.8% against the forecasted 7.0% and supported the Australian dollar and supported the upward momentum of the AUD/USD pair.

From the US side, at 18:29 GMT, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index in December fell to 11.1 against the projected 20.1 and weighed on the US dollar and added AUD/USD pair gains. At 18:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from last week raised to 885K against the estimated 817K and weighed on the US dollar and supported the AUD/USD pair’s an upward trend. For November, the Building Permits surged to 1.64M against the forecasted 1.55M and supported the US dollar that capped further gains in AUD/USD pair. The Housing Starts in November remained flat as anticipated 1.55M.

The greenback was weak across the board on Thursday as the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to its lowest since April 2018, below 90 levels to 89.7. The US dollar weakness was due to many factors, including the rising prospects of reaching a deal between Democrats and Republicans over the second round of the US stimulus bill. 

The US dollar was also weak because of the rising number of coronavirus cases in many US states despite the vaccine rollout and lockdown. The reports suggested that the total number of coronavirus cases in the US reached 17M and made the country the hardest-hit country in the world by the pandemic. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve’s latest decision to extend its bond purchases program also added pressure on the greenback that ultimately affected the movement of the AUD/USD pair. All these factors combined and weighed on the US dollar on Thursday that added strength in the currency pair AUD/USD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7550 0.7592

0.7542 0.7606

0.7509 0.7633

Pivot point: 0.7565

On the technical front, the AUD/USD is trading slightly bullish at 0.7590, facing immediate resistance at the 0.7640 level. Bullish crossover of this level can extend upward trend until the next target level of 0.7680. However, failure to break above the 0.7680 level can extend selling moves until the support area of the 0.7580 AND 0.7545 level. The 50 periods EMA is suggesting a buying trend, but the MACD is suggesting a buying scenario. Thus, we should look for buying trades over the 0.7580 level. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

Gold Trades Dramatically Bullish Over Risk-off Sentiment – Quick Intraday Outlook! 

The yellow metal gold price continued to extend their previous day’s bullish bias and took some modest offers around the $1,888.93 level—the bullion prices battle Wednesday’s high despite a U-turn from $1,844 post-Fed. However, the modest downtrend in the yellow-metal prices was mainly tied to the optimism surrounding U.S. coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus and the upbeat Brexit headlines, which kept the market trading sentiment positive and undermined the safe-haven metal prices. 

Furthermore, the upbeat trading sentiment could also be associated with the optimism over a potential vaccine/treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, which adds further burden around the safe-haven metal. Conversely, the long-lasting coronavirus (COVID-19) woes and the tussle between US-China keep questioning the market risk-on mood, which might give some support to the bullion prices to limit its deeper losses. Elsewhere, the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness could also be considered as one of the key factors that help the bullion prices to limit its deeper losses. The yellow metal prices are currently trading at the 1,888 level and still heading upward. 

Despite the widespread doubts over the global economic recovery from coronavirus (COVID-19), the market trading sentiment remained supportive by optimism over the rollout of vaccines for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. In addition to this, the growing hopes for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus measures also exerted a positive impact on the market trading sentiment, which undermined demand for the safest assets such as the U.S. dollar.

Across the pond, the reason for the risk-on market sentiment could also be attributed to the fresh reports suggesting that the U.S. Congress inched closer to the covid stimulus. It is worth mentioning that the Republicans and Democrats in Congress were reportedly “closing in on” approving a $900 billion stimulus bill on Wednesday, the most positive sign seen in months. Moreover, they are also working to pass a $1.4 trillion spending bill for the fiscal year starting on Oct. 1. by Friday to prevent a government shutdown.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its previous day bearish bias. It drew further offers on the day as Fed Chair Jerome Powell passed cautious statements, indicating disinflation pressure while expecting the economy to strengthen in the second half of 2021. Apart from this, the Federal Reserve policymakers conveyed their dovish outlook for the long-term while showing a willingness to supporting the economy until they see “further progress” in employment and inflation. Meanwhile, the risk-on market sentiment also weighed on the U.S. currency. However, the U.S. dollar losses helped the gold prices to deeper its losses as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies dropped by 0.04% to 90.102 by 9:12 PM ET (2:12 AM GMT).

In contrast to this, the escalating market concerns regarding the continuous rise in new coronavirus cases in the U.S. and Europe keep fueling the doubts over the global economic recovery through imposing new lockdown restrictions on economic and social activity, which keep probing the upbeat market performance and lend some support to the safe-haven yellow metal. Apart from this, the fears of a full-fledged trade/political war between the U.S. and China also challenging the market risk-on mood, which also might help the yellow-metal prices to limit their losses.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1827.65

S2 1840.68

S3 1848.13

Pivot Point 1861.27

R1 1868.61

R2 1889.09

R3 1909.10

On the technical side, the precious metal has entered the overbought zone as it’s hitting the resistance level of 1,893 level. Closing of candle below this level is suggesting chances of a selling correction in gold; therefore, we can expect gold to drop until 1,875 level. The MACD and RSI are suggesting strong buying trend in gold, and we should look for buying trades actually, but the metal is overbought, and it should come down a bit before giving us further buying trades. Let’s consider taking buy over 1,880 level today and selling below 1,893 level. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/USD Violates Ascending Triangle Pattern – Bullish Signal In Play! 

The EUR/USD bullish bias continues to dominate the market as it’s trading at 1.2225. On the higher side, the EUR/USD may target the 1.2250 level and 1.2282 resistance areas. The direct currency pair may find support at 1.2175, which is extended by a double top resistance, which now is working as a support. The MACD and RSI are supporting bullish bias along with the 50 periods EMA. We can expect a continuation of a bullish trend in the EUR/USD today.


Entry Price – Buy 1.22338

Stop Loss – 1.21938

Take Profit – 1.22738

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Selling Bias Dominates – Sell Signal Update! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.27392 after placing a high of 1.27892 and a low of 1.26931. The currency pair USD/CAD raised on Wednesday despite the weakness of the US dollar and rising crude oil prices amid the dovish comments from Governor of Bank of Canada Tiff Macklem.

On Wednesday, the US dollar was weak across the board due to the rising hopes for a further stimulus package from Congress and the dovish comments from the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee in its meeting. The bipartisan proposed that originally worth $908 billion was divided into two bills of $748 billion and $160 billion, was closer to reach a deal and get pass by Congress by the end of this week and weighed on the US dollar.

On the other hand, the WTI crude oil prices raised above $47 per barrel on Wednesday amid the declining crude oil inventories in the US over the last week. The US crude oil inventories dropped last week to -3.1M against the forecasted -2.8M and supported the crude oil prices that gave strength to the Canadian dollar that ultimately weighed on the USD/CAD pair on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, the Governor of Bank of Canada Tiff Macklem warned the nation’s economy that could temporarily shrink again amid the second wave of virus cases and lightened the positive mode of the market that was lifted by the vaccine news. In his last speech of the year on Tuesday, Macklem said that uncertainty persisted and new restrictions could trigger a small contraction at the start of 2021. Sometime later next year the normal activities could resume because of the rollout of vaccines.

On the data front, at 18:30 GMT, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November from Canada was increased to 0.1% from the forecasted 0.0% and supported the Canadian dollar. The Common CPI declined to 1.5% against the expected 1.6% and weighed on the Canadian dollar and added gains in the USD/CAD pair. The Median CPI, however, came in line with the expectations of 1.9%. The Trimmed CPI declined to 1.7% against the estimated 1.8%and weighed on the Canadian dollar and supported an upward trend in the USD/CAD pair. 

The Foreign Securities Purchases during October in Canada were declined to 6.92B against the forecasted 10.05B and weighed heavily on the Canadian dollar and supported the gains in the USD/CAD pair. The Wholesale Sales in October surged to 1.0% against the expected 0.7% and supported the Canadian dollar. At 18:32 GMT, the Core CPI from Canada for November came in as 0.2%. The poor macroeconomic data from Canada weighed on local currency and ultimately added strength to the USD/CAD pair.

From the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Core Retail Sales for November dropped to -0.9% against the expected 0.1% and weighed on the US dollar. The Retail Sales for November also dropped to -1.1% against the expected -0.3% and weighed on the US dollar. At 19:45 GMT, the Flash manufacturing PMI for December increased to56.5 against the expected 55.9 and supported the US dollar and added gains in the USD/CAD pair.

 The Flash Services PMI for December dropped to 55.3 against the expected 55.7 and weighed on the US dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the Business Inventories for October increased to 0.7% against the expected 0.6%and weighed on the US dollar. The NAHB Housing Market Index also dropped to 86 against the expected 88 and weighed on the US dollar and capped further upside in the USD/CAD pair.



Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2665 1.2752

1.2632 1.2806 

1.2578 1.2839

Pivot point: 1.2719

The technical side of the USD/CAD is trading at 1.2708 level, holding below an immediate resistance level of 1.2743 mark which is extended by a downward trendline. On the lower side, the next support holds around 1.2693 level and violation of this level can extend further selling until the next support area of 1.2650 level. The MACD and RSI are in support of selling while the 50 periods EMA is dispensing a strong selling bias in the Loonie. let’s consider taking a selling trade below 1.2743 level until 1.2695 level.

Entry Price – Sell 1.27107

Stop Loss – 1.27507

Take Profit – 1.26607

Risk to Reward – 1:1.25

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

Overbought Gold Retraces Back – Is It Worth Buying?

During Wednesday’s Asian trading session, the yellow metal prices extended their bullish overnight rally and remained well bids around above the $1,850 level. Let me remind you that the bullion prices surged more than $20 an ounce for their biggest one-day gain in a week. However, the bullish sentiment around the gold prices was being supported by the weaker U.S. dollar as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. 

The losses in the U.S. dollar was mainly tied to the progress toward a massive U.S. government spending bill and COVID-19 relief measures, which undermined demand for the safest assets such as the U.S. dollar. In the meantime, the optimism over the potential vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease is also favouring the market trading sentiment, which also weakening demand for the safe-haven assets. Across the ocean, the intensifying US-China tussle and on-going Brexit uncertainty keep challenging the market’s upbeat mood and provides an additional boost to the safe-haven metal prices. 

Apart from this, the growing market concerns about the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases and the imposition of new restrictions also favouring the yellow-metal bulls. At this time, the yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,857.76 and consolidating in the range between 1,850.94 – 1,858.37.

Despite the intensified Sino-US tussle, Brexit uncertainty, and worries over the coronavirus (COVID-19) cases, the market trading sentiment keeps its previous-session positive performance and remained well-supportive by the combination of factors. However, the reason could be associated with the latest reports suggesting that the lawmakers stepped again to try and get Covid-19 relief through Congress after several failed attempts. 

As per the latest report, House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a Democrat, hosted Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Republican, as well as Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy, gathered to end the long-standing deadlock on the coronavirus relief package at the 7:30 p.m. E.T. (0030 GMT). Wherein, McConnell said that lawmakers would not leave the rooms without a fiscal stimulus deal, which could be attached to the government funding bill.

Apart from this, the reason for the gains in equity markets could be attributed to the optimism over the rollout of vaccines for the highly contagious disease. This, in turn, was seen as one of the key factors that exerted selling pressure on the yellow metal prices. It should be noted that the Moderna is set for getting approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Chatters that the FDA approved first fully at-home virus test also favoured the market trading sentiment.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar dropped to near two 1/2-year lows as progress toward the massive U.S. government spending bill, and COVID-19 relief measures undermined demand for the safest assets. The U.S. dollar will likely face further losses as the fiscal stimulus has a more substantial trickle-down effect than monetary policy, which usually lifts inflation expectations. Conversely, if the lawmakers fail again to reach an agreement, investors could turn risk-averse, which will be seen as bullish for the USD currency. Moreover, the losses in the U.S. dollar could also be associated with lingering doubts over the U.S. economic recovery from COVID-19. However, the losses in the U.S. dollar kept the gold prices higher as the price of gold is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a bucket of currencies, was last at 90.477, after falling as low as 90.419 on Monday.

In contrast to this, the fears of rising COVID-19 cases in the U.S., Europe, and some of the notable Asian nations continually fueling the fears of renewed lockdowns in several countries. In the meantime, the U.S. new travel restriction over the Chinese Communist Party members and their families and a ban on Xinjiang cotton imports keep challenging the market risk-on mood. The tension between Sino-US further escalated after MSCI showed readiness for delisting 10 Chinese companies from its global investable markets indexes. These negative factors keep challenging the market risk-on tone and become the key factor that helps the gold prices to stay bid.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1807.17

S2 1827.65

S3 1840.79

Pivot Point 1848.13

R1 1861.27

R2 1868.61

R3 1889.09

Gold prices traded bullish at 1,860 level, supported over 1,848. It’s the same level that worked as resistance in the past, and now it’s working as a support for gold. On the lower side, the precious metal gold is likely to bounce off over 1,848 level as the 50 EMA is also expected to extend support here. For now, the MACD histograms are smaller but staying in buying zone. Let’s consider taking buying position over 1,848 level today with a stop below 1,845 level. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Ascending Triangle Pattern – Brace for Buying! 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.75571 after placing a high of 0.75712 and a low of 0.75070. The currency pair AUD/USD rose on Tuesday amid the broad-based US dollar weakness and the RBA meeting minutes from the December meeting.

The renewed selling pressure surrounding the greenback was helpful to AUD/USD pair for pushing it higher as the US Dollar Index (DXY) was down by 0.2% on the day towards the 90.51 level. The US dollar was weak across the board because of the renewed hopes for US stimulus measure and the rising number of coronavirus cases in the region.

Meanwhile, the rising risk sentiment of the market also helped the AUD/USD pair to gain traction in the market. The risk-sensitive Aussie gained strength after the US Food and Drug Administration reported that Moderna’s coronavirus vaccine would be approved for emergency use later this week. The rising Australian dollar helped the AUD/USD pair to post gains on Tuesday.

On the data front, from the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Empire State Manufacturing Index for December dropped to 4.9 against the expected 6.3 and weighed on the US dollar that added gains in AUD/USD pair. The US Import Prices in November also declined to 0.1% against the expected 0.3% and weighed on the US dollar that ultimately added further gains in AUD/USD pair. At 19:15 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate from the US for November increased to 73.3% against the expected 73.1% and supported the US dollar. The Industrial Production in November also raised to 0.4% against the expected 0.3% and supported the US dollar. From the Australian side, the CB Leading Index for October came in as 0.8%.

Furthermore, the Reserve Bank of Australia released its minutes from the December meeting in which the Bank said that it was prepared to do more if needed, and its focus will be on the bond-buying program. RBA did not expect to raise interest rates for at least three years and until the inflation reaches the bank target of 2-3%.

Bank said that the recovery in the labour market was more advanced than expected, and substantial tightening in the labour market was needed to lift wage growth and inflation. Bank acknowledged that China’s restrictions on Australian imports had some effect, but the demand for iron-ore was still firm. Last, the Bank suggested that the delivery of vaccines in the US and Europe would reduce downside risks for global growth. These positive statements from the Reserve Bank of Australia lifted the AUD/USD pair on Tuesday.

However, the gains in AUD/USD pair on Tuesday remained limited as the latest news about the new variant of coronavirus raised fears as it spread faster and raised the safe-haven appeal, and weighed on the risk perceived Aussie that ultimately capped further upside in the AUD/USD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7517 0.7584

0.7479 0.7611

0.7451 0.7650

Pivot Point: 0.7545

On the technical front, the AUD/USD is trading slightly bullish at 0.7560, facing immediate resistance at 0.7580 level. Bullish crossover of this level can extend upward trend until the next target level of 0.7615. However, failure to break above 0.7580 level can extend selling moves until the support area of 0.7545 level. The 50 periods EMA is suggesting buying trend, but the MACD is suggesting overbought scenario. Thus, we should look for bearish correction before entering another buying trade in the AUD/USD pair. The bullish bias remains dominant. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Bearish Bias Dominates – Descending Triangle Pattern in Play! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.26982 after placing a high of 1.27713 and a low of 1.26878. After placing gains for two consecutive days, the USD/CAD pair dropped on Tuesday amid the broad-based US dollar weakness and the rising crude oil prices.

The US dollar was weak across the board on Tuesday as the hopes for further stimulus measures from the US Congress increased. The House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called a meeting of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, and House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy to discuss the final government funding and coronavirus relief bill.

The optimism that Republicans and Democrats will reach a deal over the bipartisan package of coronavirus added weight on the US dollar and dragged the USD/CAD pair on the downside. Furthermore, the rising risk sentiment in the market and the increasing hopes that vaccine rollouts will help in global economic recovery raised the demand for WTI crude oil prices that gave strength to the commodity-linked Loonie and ultimately added weight on the USD/CAD pair.

On the data front, at 18:13 GMT, the Housing Starts raised to 246K against the forecasted 220K and supported the Canadian dollar that added pressure on the USD/CAD pair, and added in its losses on Tuesday. At 18:30 GMT, the Manufacturing Sales from Canada dropped to 0.3% against the forecasted 0.5% and weighed on the Canadian dollar. 

From the US front, at 18:30 GMT, the Empire State Manufacturing Index for December declined to 4.9 against the forecasted 6.3 and weighed on the US dollar that added losses in USD/CAD pair. The US Import Prices in November also fell to 0.1% against the forecasted 0.3% and weighed on the US dollar that ultimately added further losses in the USD/CAD pair. At 19:15 GMT, the Capacity Utilization Rate from the US for November rose to 73.3% against the forecasted 73.1% and supported the US dollar. The Industrial Production in November also increased to 0.4% against the forecasted 0.3% and supported the US dollar that limited the downward momentum in the USD/CAD pair on Tuesday.

Furthermore, the US dollar was also weak across the board on Tuesday because of the rising number of coronavirus cases in the region. The hospitalization rate in the US also increased as a record of 109,331 people were in the hospitals for coronavirus in the US in a single day over the weekend. The death toll has also surpassed 300,000 levels in the US, and this has feared the nation despite the vaccine rollout. These fears added weight on the local currency US dollar that ultimately added in the downward momentum of the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2665 1.2752

1.2632 1.2806

1.2578 1.2839

Pivot Point: 1.2719

The technical side of the USD/CAD is trading at 1.2728 level, holding below an immediate resistance level of 1.2743 mark which is extended by a downward trendline. On the lower side, the next support holds around 1.2693 level and violation of this level can extend further selling until the next support area of 1.2650 level. The MACD and RSI are in support of selling while the 50 periods EMA is dispensing a strong selling bias in the Loonie. let’s consider taking a selling trade below 1.2743 level until 1.2695 level. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Supported Over 0.7515 Level – Is It Good Time to Buy? 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.75324 after placing a high of 0.75779 and a low of 0.75243. After placing gains for three consecutive days, the AUD/USD pair dropped on Monday despite the market’s risk flows. After rising above the highest level since June 2018, the AUD/USD pair saw heavy technical selling in the market. The pair reached above the 0.75700 level and faced heavy selling pressure as the investors started to take profits from their trades. The profit-taking overshadowed the market’s risk flows, and the pair AUD/USD continued falling on Monday. 

The risk sentiment was improved on Monday due to the latest vaccine rollout in the US and Canada after the UK. The US started giving Pfizer and BioNtech vaccine doses to nurses and health officials on Monday as it provides a 95% efficacy rate against the coronavirus.

The vaccine rolls out raised hopes that the global economic recovery will soon begin as the coronavirus will become less of a threat. This optimism raised the risk sentiment in the market but failed to impress the risk-sensitive Aussie buyers.

The risk sentiment was also supported by the latest hopes that the US coronavirus stimulus bill will be released soon to support the US economy from the coronavirus impact. The US dollar also came under pressure as the coronavirus cases, and the death toll from COVID-19 surpassed 300,000 number. The US dollar weakness could not impress the AUD/USD buyers, and the pair continued its bearish movement on Monday.

Meanwhile, the AUD/USD pair was under pressure on Monday as Biden has said that he will not remove the tariffs on Chinese products by Trump immediately. The President-elect nominated Katherine Tail for the role of US trade representative said on Friday that she was the trade enforcer against China’s unfair trade practices that will be a key priority in the Biden-Harris administration. It was a sign that Donald trump’s trade war will continue, which weighed on the China-Proxy Australian dollar and added losses in the AUD/USD pair on Monday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7514 0.7570

0.7492 0.7602

0.7459 0.7625

Pivot point: 0.7547

The AUD/USD is trading sideways at 0.7515, but it’s supported by an upward trendline that can be seen in the 2-hour timeframe. On the higher side, the AUD/USD is forming a double top level at 0.7527, which is now extending resistance. The leading technical indicators such as MACD and RSI support the buying trend, while the 50 periods EMA is also supporting the AUD/USD pair at 0.7515. Let’s consider buying over 0.7515 level to capture quick 40 pips. Good luck! 

Categories
Forex Signals

GBP/USD Violates Double Bottom – Sell Trade in Play! 

The GBP/USD is trading at the 1.3330 level, maintaining a narrow trading range of 1.3345 – 1.3309. A lack of high-impact economic data drives the choppy session; however, the market will be offering us labor market figures, which are expected to be worse than before, and it may drive selling in the Sterling. Technically, the bearish breakout of the 1.3309 level can extend the selling trend until the 1.3265 level, whereas a bullish breakout can lead it towards the 1.3409 mark. A choppy session can be expected until the pair violates the 1.3345 – 1.3309 range.


Entry Price – Sell 1.33045

Stop Loss – 1.33445

Take Profit – 1.32645

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Violates Descending Triangle Pattern – Signal Update! 

During Monday’s Asian trading session, the USD/CAD currency pair failed to stop its overnight losses and remain depressed around below the 1.2750 level due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The prevalent downtrend in the greenback was mainly tied to the fresh optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease, which kept the market trading sentiment positive and undermined the safe-haven USD dollar. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the renewed probabilities that the Fed will keep interest rates low for an extended period at its last policy meeting of 2020. 

Across the pond, the reason for the declines in the currency pair could also be attributed to the fresh upticks in the crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and contributes to the currency pair’s losses. However, the crude oil prices were supported by prevalent optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease, which ultimately fueled hopes for a recovery in fuel demand and contributed to the crude oil price gains. As of writing, the USD/CAD currency pair is currently trading at 1.2755 and consolidating in the range between 1.2745 – 1.2764.

As we already mentioned, the market trading sentiment represented positive performance on the day as the bullish appearance of Asia-Pacific stocks and upticks of the U.S. 10-year Treasury yields tend to highlight the risk-on mood being supportive by optimism over a potential vaccine/treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus. It is worth recalling that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) provided emergency use permission to BNT162b2, the COVID-19 vaccine co-developed by Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (F:22UAy) on Dec. 11. The approval will see the first U.S. deliveries of BNT162b2 later in the day, which lifted hopes that the world’s largest economy will likely see a reduction in the COVID-19 cases.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to erase its overnight losses and remained under pressure on the day mainly due to the market risk-on tone. Apart from this, coronavirus’s resurgence keeps fueling the fears that the U.S. economic recovery could be halt, which also keeps the greenback under pressure. On the other hand, the U.S. dollar losses were further bolstered by the expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates low for an extended period at its last policy meeting of 2020. However, the U.S. dollar losses could be considered the major factor that kept the currency pair lower. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies, dropped by 0.03% to 92.487 by 10:02 PM ET (2:02 AM GMT).

At the crude oil front, WTI crude oil prices remained well bid around closer to $47.00 on the day, backed by the prevalent optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease, which ultimately fueled hopes for a recovery in fuel demand and contributed to the crude oil price gains. Apart from this, the reason for the crude oil gains could also be associated with fresh, positive reports suggesting an extension of Brexit talks between the U.K. and the European Union (E.U.), which eased global fuel demand worries and contributed to the crude oil price gains. Thus, the crude oil prices’ upticks underpinned the commodity-linked currency the Loonie and exerted some downside pressure on the currency pair. 

In the absence of significant data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on the continuous drama surrounding the U.S. stimulus package. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will also be key to watch for a fresh direction. 


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1.2613

S2 1.2687

S3 1.2727

Pivot Point 1.276

R1 1.28

R2 1.2833

R3 1.2907

Entry Price – Sell 1.274

Stop Loss – 1.2733

Take Profit – 1.27

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Violates Upward Channel – Brace for a Buying Trade 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.75350 after placing a high of 0.75296 and a low of 0.74254. The Australian Dollar rose to its highest level in two and a half year as investors started to bet on a successful vaccine roll-out and improving global growth. The risk-sensitive Aussie gained as much as 0.8% on Thursday and rose to its highest since June 2018 as the market’s risk sentiment improved. The pair AUD/USD has gained about 6.8% this year as a rebound in China’s economy has boosted China-proxy Australian Dollar demand.

The risk sentiment in the market was supported by the combination of multiple factors on Thursday and supported the upward trend in the Australian Dollar. The rising hopes for the US stimulus bill after the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin that a lot of progress has been made regarding the stimulus talks added in the risk sentiment. Meanwhile, the US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi also said that bipartisan negotiations on the coronavirus relief bill were making great progress. These comments reflected the upbeat market mood and supported the risk perceived Australian Dollar.

On the other hand, the US dollar was also weak on Thursday that also supported the upside momentum in AUD/USD pair. The US dollar weakness was driven by the increased unemployment claims and additional stimulus from ECB on Thursday. 

At 05:00 GMT, the MI Inflation Expectations for November remain flat at 3.5% on the data front. From the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the CPI for November rose to 0.2% against the projected 0.1% and supported the US dollar. The Core CPI for November also increased to 0.2% against the forecasted 0.1% and supported the US dollar. The Unemployment Claims from last week raised to 853K against the anticipated 723K and weighed on the US dollar that added gains in AUD/USD pair. Furthermore, the hopes that the US FDA will approve within days using Pfizer’s vaccine also supported the risk sentiment in the market and gave strength to the risk perceived Aussie that ultimately added in the gains of AUD/USD pair.

The rising hopes for quick global economic growth also supported the market’s risk flows after the ECB announced on Thursday that it would expand its bond-buying program by nine months. It also raised the stimulus measure by 500 billion euros that will provide support to the Eurozone economy through the coronavirus pandemic. These updates also supported the risk-sensitive Aussie and helped the pair reach its multi-years highest level on Thursday above 0.7500.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7403 0.7486

0.7362 0.7528

0.7320 0.7569

Pivot point: 0.7445

Entry Price – Buy 0.75374

Stop Loss – 0.74974

Take Profit – 0.75774

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals Uncategorised

EUR/AUD: The Bear Making a Run Again

EUR/AUD has been bearish for the last two days. The pair made a bullish correction on the 15M chart to start its trading day. Then, it made a breakout at yesterday’s lowest low at 1.60920 and had a bounce at 1.60600. The price then consolidated within these two levels. Upon producing a doji candle followed by a bearish engulfing candle the pair made a breakout at the level of 1.60600. An entry has been triggered right after the breakout candle’s closing at 1.60472. The price may make a bearish move up to the level of 1.60472. However, it may find its next support around 1.60080. We may consider taking a partial profit at that level depending on its bearish momentum.

Trade Summary:

Entry: 1.60472

Stop Loss: 1.60872

Take Profit: 1.59372

The risk for the trade per standard lot is $ 300.14, Mini lot $ 30.01 and Micro lot $ 3.00. The risk-reward is 1:2.75. Thus, the reward for the per standard lot is $825.38, Mini lot $ 82.53 and Micro lot $ 8.25.

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Forex Signals

Gold Signal Hit Take Profit – Risk-off Sentiment In Play! 

The yellow metal prices managed to stop its previous day losing streak and took some modest bids around well above the $1,830 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, which tends to underpin the gold prices as the price of oil is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. However, the sentiment around the U.S. dollar was being pressured by the optimism over the coronavirus vaccine and the probability of U.S. economic stimulus measures, which urge investors towards riskier currencies and higher-yielding assets against the safe-haven asset.

Across the pond, the downbeat market trading sentiment, driven by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.S. and Europe, also keeps the gold prices well bid. Apart from this, the equity markets’ losses were further bolstered by the US-China tussle, which eventually lends some additional support to the yellow metal prices. On the contrary, the optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus keeps challenging the market risk-off mood, which might cap further upside momentum for the gold prices. The yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,836.17 and consolidating in the range between 1,833.80 – 1,842.54.

However, the global markets’ sentiment failed to extend its previous-day positive performance and turned sour amid renewed Sino-US tensions and growing coronavirus fears. As per the latest report, America blacklists the Chinese crime boss and some other diplomats from Beijing in an anti-corruption sanction crackdown, which instantly fueled the Sino-US tension and weighed on the market trading sentiment. In addition to this, the U.S. and Europe still not refraining from imposing back-to-back lockdown, which threatening to undermine economic recovery as lockdown restrictions tend to have an instant negative effect on economic activities. In the meantime, the lingering uncertainty over the Brexit trade talks also exerted downside pressure on the global equity market. Thus, all these factors weigh on the market trading sentiment, which could be considered the main factors for the gold on-going bullish moves.

Despite the risk-off-market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its previous session declining streak and remained bearish on the day as doubts persist over the global economic recovery from COVID-19. Furthermore, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expectations of further monetary easing also weigh on the U.S. dollar. Besides this, the encouraging data from COVID-19 vaccine developers urge investors towards riskier currencies and higher-yielding assets against the safe-haven asset, which eventually leads to losses in the safe-haven U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar losses become the key factor that kept the gold prices higher as the price of oil is inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies dropped to 91.052.

In contrast, the losses in the global risk sentiment were capped by the latest reports suggesting that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will meet later in the day to talk about BNT162b2, the COVID-19 vaccine co-developed by Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (F:22UAy). While Canada also approved its first COVID-19 vaccine on Wednesday and said inoculations would start next week, which also helps the market sentiment limit its deeper losses.


Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1838.47

S2 1853.58

S3 1861.99

Pivot Point 1868.69

R1 1877.1

R2 1883.8

R3 1898.91

Gold prices dropped amid the greenback’s strength versus another important trading instrument in the nonexistence of any further U.S. fiscal incentive to support the rollback within the coronavirus pandemic. Gold is currently trading at the 1,836 mark, facing immediate resistance at the 1,851 level along with a support level of 1,828 and 1,824. The U.S. Inflation data may help determine further gold trends now; nonetheless, the technical side seems bearish today.

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Bullish Channel Underpins – Signal Outlook!

The AUD/USD pair is trading with a bullish bias at the 0.7486 level, heading upward until the next target level of 0.7520 level. The risk-sensitive AUD experienced following Britain’s top medical expert urged people with notable allergies to not utilize the coronavirus vaccine from Pfizer and BioNtech as it will give them an unfavorable response. This information came in after two people were advised to have drastic consequences from coronavirus vaccine usage.

This news deteriorated the risk sentiment and weighed on risk-sensitive Aussie that made the AUD/USD pair to lose some of its early daily gains. The rising number of coronavirus cases in the US surpassed the 15M daily on average; about 200,000 people were reported as positive for coronavirus infection in the US. These pandemic developments faded hopes for quick economic recovery despite vaccine development progress and weighed on the US dollar that added gains in the AUD/USD pair.

Meanwhile, China’s macro-economic data was also released on Wednesday but failed to give a decisive move to the pair AUD/USD as the data gave mixed results. The CPI from China dropped to -0.5% against the expected 0.0% and weighed on China-proxy Aussie. The PPI from China dropped less than expectations of -1.8% at -1.5% and supported the China-proxy Aussie. The New Loans from China dropped to 1430B from the expected 1450B and weighed on China-proxy Aussie that capped further gains in the AUD/USD pair on Wednesday.


Daily Technical Levels:
Support Resistance
0.7401 0.7478
0.7366 0.7520
0.7323 0.7555
Pivot point: 0.7443

On the technical front, the AUD/USD is trading bullish at the 0.7487 level, facing next resistance near 0.7485. The bullish moves can prolong the buying trend to the next resistance area of 0.7525 level in the higher direction. On the 4 hour timeframe, the AUD/USD has developed an upward channel that holds the buying trend. Thus we have begun a buying trade in the AUD/USD pair today.

Entry Price – Buy 0.74844
Stop Loss – 0.74444
Take Profit – 0.75244
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Sideways Channel Remains Intact – Brace to Trade Breakout! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.28179 after placing a high of 1.28332 and a low of 1.27691. The USD/CAD pair was choppy on Wednesday as it dropped to weekly lows in the early session but recovered all of its losses in the late session. The Bank of Canada released its interest rate decision on Wednesday that drove the USD/CAD pair lower in early trading hours. Later the crude oil prices and the strength of the US dollar pushed the pair higher on board.

On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada held rates at 0.25% and reiterated intentions to keep interest rates at the same level until at least 2023 as the Canadian economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic was proceeding in line with the expectations.

The Bank said that the new infections and lockdowns continue to hold back the Canadian economy. Bank also mentioned that stronger demand for energy sources had pushed oil prices to boost the Canadian dollar. As well, the looming vaccines rolling out were also helping the Canadian dollar.

The Bank of Canada said that the news on the development of effective vaccines provided reassurance that the pandemic will end and more normal activities will resume, although the pace and breadth of the global rollout of vaccinations remain uncertain. However, there were no surprises on Wednesday from the Bank of Canada that weighed on Loonie and supported the upward trend in the USD/CAD pair.

Meanwhile, the declining crude oil prices on Wednesday after the release of US Crude oil stockpiles data weighed on Loonie. For the last week, the US crude oil inventories raised to 15.2M against the expectations of -0.9M and weighed on crude oil prices that added losses in the commodity-linked currency Loonie and supported the upward momentum in the USD/CAD pair.

Moreover, the US dollar was also strong on Wednesday amid multiple reasons, including deteriorated risk sentiment from Pfizer’s vaccine adverse reaction on two people, faded hopes for quick delivery of second round of US stimulus measure, and the rising safe-haven demand after the increased number of coronavirus cases in the US. The strong US dollar also helped the USD/CAD pair’s gains to persist in the market on Wednesday.

On the data front, at 20:00 GMT, the Final Wholesale Inventories for October raised to 1.1% against the projected 0.9% and weighed on the US dollar. The JOLTS Job Opening for October also surged to 6.65M against the estimated 6.30M and supported the US dollar that added further gains in the USD/CAD pair. On the data front, at 20:00 GMT, the Final Wholesale Inventories for October raised to 1.1% against the projected 0.9% and weighed on the US dollar. The JOLTS Job Opening for October also surged to 6.65M against the estimated 6.30M and supported the US dollar that added further gains in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2787 1.2852

1.2745 1.2875

1.2722 1.2917

Pivot point: 1.2810

The USD/CAD pair is trading sideways at the 1.2789 level due to a lack of market volatility. On the lower side, the support holds around the 1.2770 level, whereas the bullish trend continuation can extend the buying trend until the next resistance level of 1.2835. We may not see a further trend in the pair until this range gets violated. On the lower side, a bearish breakout of the 1.2770 level can extend selling bias until the 1.2720 level. It seems like investors are waiting for a solid fundamental to determine further moves in the market. Let’s look for selling below 1.2836 and buying over 1.2770 level today. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Trades Descending Triangle – Traders Loom for a Breakout!

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.28286 after placing a high of 1.28254 and a low of 1.27678. The USD/CAD pair was raised on Tuesday due to declining crude oil prices and improving the market’s risk sentiment. The risk sentiment in the market surged on Tuesday after a combination of supporting factors. The rising hopes for global economic recovery after the latest news that Great Britain has officially started using Pfizer coronavirus vaccine to treat coronavirus patients on Tuesday added to the market’s risk sentiment.

Another factor involved in the risk mood enhancement was the rising demand for a US coronavirus stimulus package. The continuous talks between Democrats and the Republicans over the stimulus package and the agreement of both sides over a bipartisan proposal of a $908 billion package also supported the market’s risk sentiment as it will enhance the US economic recovery.

Meanwhile, the latest comments from the foreign minister of China, Wang Yi, that Beijing was open to restarting its relationship with the US also added to the market’s risk flows. Wang declared that a year of escalating tensions between both countries had pushed them to a critical historical juncture. He also said the time has come that objectivity and rationality should bring back in the US policy towards China.

He stated that both sides should restart the dialogues and get back on the right track to rebuilding mutual trust in the next Sino-US relations phase. Wang blamed some Americans’ outdated Cold War mentality for the growing division between the US and China. The raised risk sentiment helped the USD/CAD pair rose for the second consecutive day.

On the data front, at 01:00 GMT, the Consumer Credit for October from the US fell to 7.2B against the estimated 17.6B and weighed on the US dollar. At 16:00 GMT, the NFIB Business Index declined to 101.4 against the anticipated 102.6 in November and weighed on the US dollar that capped further gains in the USD/CAD pair. At 18:30 GMT, the Revised Nonfarm Productivity for the quarter declined to 4.6% against the projected 4.9% and supported the US dollar and supported the USD/CAD pair’s an upward trend. The Revised Unit Labor Costs for the quarter grew in as -6.6% against the projected -8.9%, supported the US dollar and pushed the pair on the upside. At 20:00 GMT, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism came in as 49.0 in December compared to the previous 50.0.

Meanwhile, the USD/CAD pair’s gains were also supported by the declining Crude oil prices on Tuesday. The Crude oil prices posted losses on Tuesday and reached $45.13 on the day ahead of the American Petroleum Institute’s weekly crude oil stock data. The declining crude oil prices weighed on commodity-linked currency Loonie and ultimately added strength in the USD/CAD pair.

Furthermore, the Canadian dollar was also under pressure on Tuesday ahead of Wednesday’s Bank of Canada policy meeting. The central bank is expected to hold its interest rates at the same level, but the bank’s tone could affect the Canadian dollar as a positive message will act as a vote of confidence in the economy and support the local currency and vice versa.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2777 1.2839

1.2740 1.2864

1.2715 1.2901

Pivot point: 1.2802

The USD/CAD pair is trading sideways at the 1.2789 level due to a lack of market volatility. On the lower side, the support holds around the 1.2770 level, whereas the bullish trend continuation can extend the buying trend until the next resistance level of 1.2835. We may not see a further trend in the pair until this range gets violated. On the lower side, a bearish breakout of the 1.2770 level can extend selling bias until the 1.2720 level. It seems like investors are waiting for a solid fundamental to determine further moves in the market. Let’s look for selling below 1.2836 and buying over 1.2770 level today. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

USD/CHF Violates Descending Triangle Pattern – Brace for a Sell Signal! 

During Wednesday’s trading session, the USD/CHF currency pair failed to stop its previous-day bearish bias and remained pessimistic around below the 0.8900 level. However, the reason for the bearish tone around the currency pair could be associated with the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. dollar was being pressured by the optimism over the potential vaccine for the hazardous coronavirus infection, which urges investors to retreat from the safe-haven assets. 

Apart from this, the U.S. dollar losses could also be attributed to the on-going concerns of further monetary easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which adds burden around the U.S. dollar and contributes to the currency pair losses. On the contrary, the upbeat market sentiment boosted investors’ confidence and undermined the safe-haven Swiss Franc, which, in turn, was seen as one of the leading factors that help the USD/CHF currency pair to limit its deeper losses. Currently, the USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.8879 and consolidating in the range between 0.8871 – 0.8897.

The equity market had been flashing green since the Asian session started. The reason could be associated with the major positive catalysts. Be it the renewed probabilities of the U.S. aid package or optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus, both factors have favored the market trading sentiment. Therefore, the risk-on market mood tends to undermine the safe-haven Swiss franc, which becomes the key factor that lends some support to the currency pair to ease the intraday bearish pressure surrounding the USD/CHF currency pair.

The hopes of potential vaccines were further boosted after the U.K.’s has started vaccination, witnessed after the 1st-patients inoculated with BNT162b2, the COVID-19 vaccine co-developed by Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (F:22UAy). In addition to this, the sentiment around the equity market was improved further after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told that the stimulus discussions had made good progress. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin offers a larger amount than the previously highlighted $908 billion for the stimulus package. 

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its bearish trend and remained depressed on the day as doubts persist over the U.S. economic recovery from COVID-19. Besides this, the risk-on market sentiment, backed by the optimism over a potential vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease, also played its major role in undermining the safe-haven U.S. dollar. Besides this, the U.S. dollar losses could also be attributed to the concerns of further monetary easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which tends to undermine the American currency. However, the losses in the U.S. dollar becomes the key factor that kept the currency pair lower. Meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies, dropped to 90.778.

Conversely, the optimism around the equity market was slightly unaffected by the intensifying market worries regarding the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases in the U.S. and Europe, which fueled the global economic recovery concerns imposing new lockdown restrictions on economic and social activity. Furthermore, the equity market gains were also capped by the lingering uncertainty over the Brexit deal and intensified China-US tussles over the U.S. sanctions on Chinese diplomats and the arrest of the Hong Kong opposition party members by police.

Moving ahead, the market traders will keep their eyes on the U.S. stimulus headlines and vaccine news. In the meantime, the updates surrounding the Brexit trade talks and the Sino-US tussle could not lose their importance on the day.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.8767

S2 0.8839

S3 0.8874

Pivot Point 0.8911

R1 0.8946

R2 0.8982

R3 0.9054

Technically, the USD/CHF pair is gaining support above the 0.8875 mark, and it’s triggered an upward wave to achieve a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement mark of 0.8935. On the further higher front, an upward movement and violation of 0.8933 mark can drive more buying trend unto next Fibo level of 61.8% at 0.8965. However, the pair has formed a descending triangle pattern which, if violated, can send the pair until the 0.8835 level. Check out a trading plan below. 

Entry Price – Sell 0.88778

Stop Loss – 0.89178

Take Profit – 0.88378

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

GBP/USD Violates Choppy Range – Brace for a Sell Trade! 

The GBP/USD pair bounced off over 1.3263 level, trading at 1.3340 level now. On the 4 hour timeframe, the GBP/USD is consolidating in between a broad trading range of 1.3406 – 1.3263. The Cable may find the next support at 1.3204 level, and below this, the next support can also be found around 1.3100 level today. On the higher side, the resistance hold around the 1.3406 mark. The 50 periods EMA also helps sell bent, while the Sterling is still seeking to close candle beneath 1.3330. If this occurs, we may see a revival of a selling bias in the GBP/USD pair. The MACD and RSI are suggesting selling bais in the pair, and we should look for selling trades below the 1.3350 level today. 


Entry Price – Sell 1.33248

Stop Loss – 1.331

Take Profit – 1.32848

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Breaking Below Double Bottom Level – Selling Bias in Play! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.27993 after placing a high of 1.28328 and a low of 1.27738. After posting losses for four consecutive days, the USD/CAD pair raised on Monday amid the US dollar’s strength and declining crude oil prices. On Monday, the US dollar was strong in early European trade as the coronavirus cases continued to rise and lockdowns expanded that added weight on the hopes of the US economic recovery. The US Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against the basket of six other currencies raised by 0.3% to 90.993 and supported the USD/CAD pair’s an upward trend.

The rising number of coronavirus cases in the California State pushed its governor to extend the time duration of imposed restrictive measures and raised the safe-haven appeal to impact the US economic recovery. The rising demand for safe-haven added strength in the greenback that pushed the USD/CAD pair higher.

The recent sanctions and travel ban on 14 Chinese officials from the US government also added the appeal for safe-haven as it would escalate the dispute between the world’s two biggest economies. The rising safe-haven appeal added strength to the greenback and supported the USD/CAD pair’s an upward trend. Meanwhile, the WTI crude oil prices on Monday also declined to $45.34 per barrel level and weighed on Loonie’s commodity-linked currency. The declining Canadian dollar also added to the upward momentum of the USD/CAD pair.

The Canadian dollar was the second worst-performing currency among the G10 currencies on Monday, partially because of the profit-taking in the wake of last Friday’s much stronger than expected November jobs report. Besides, the risk-off market mood weighed on risk-sensitive Loonie and added strength in the USD/CAD pair. On the data front, at 20:00 GMT, the Ivey PMI from Canada raised to 52.7 against the forecasted 52.3 and supported the Canadian dollar that capped further gains in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2773 1.2790

1.2765 1.2799

1.2756 1.2807

Pivot point: 1.2782

The USD/CAD pair is trading sideways at the 1.2789 level due to a lack of volatility in the market. On the lower side, the support holds around the 1.2770 level, whereas the bullish trend continuation can extend the buying trend until the next resistance level of 1.2835. We may not see a further trend in the pair until this range gets violated. On the lower side, a bearish breakout of the 1.2770 level can extend selling bias until the 1.2720 level. It looks like investors are waiting for a solid fundamental to determine further moves in the market. Let’s look for selling below 1.2836 and buying over 1.2770 level today. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

Daily F.X. Analysis, December 08 – Top Trade Setups In Forex – Eyes on European Events! 

On the news front, the market is likely to remain muted in the absence of high impact events. Italian banks will be closed in observance of Immaculate Conception Day while the Frend Trade Balance, European Revised GDP q/q, and German ZEW Economic Sentiment will remain in the highlights today.

Economic Events to Watch Today  

 


 


EUR/USD – Daily Analysis

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.21088 after placing a high of 1.21660 and a low of 1.20784. EUR/USD pair extended its losses on Monday for the second consecutive day over the diminishing risk sentiment and the hopes for further easing package from ECB. The EUR/USD pair remained under pressure on Monday ahead of the upcoming ECB meeting on Thursday. The European Central Bank was set to deliver a further easing package of almost 500 billion euros to the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme that will extend the purchases for many more months and weighed on the single currency Euro. 

Furthermore, the European Central Bank is also expected to increase its targeted longer-term refinancing operations and also to make them more accommodative. The ECB’s governing council members said that these decisions have been taken to extend the duration of accommodative financial conditions to support the recovery in 2021 further and beyond, rather than making financial conditions right now more accommodative.

The pressure on ECB to over-deliver on the market expectations declined due to the recent improvement in global financial market conditions since Joe Biden won the U.S. presidential election and positive vaccine news in early November. The more important event of the day for EUR was the Summit of 27 E.U. countries that will begin on Thursday and Friday.

The top agenda will be Brexit in the Summit as the question remained that UK PM Boris Johnson and E.U. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will be successful in reaching a deal before the Summit. The paused Brexit talks by top E.U. negotiator Michel Barnier on Friday also added pressure on EUR/USD pair on Monday. Another factor pressuring the European Union was the Polish and Hungarian veto against the E.U. Recovery Fund and the 2021-2027 Budget. Both nations announced their intentions shortly before ambassadors of the E.U. member states met on Monday to veto various parts of the financial settlement. If a deal cannot be agreed with these two nations regarding the rule of law attachments being added to funding, then the E.U. has threatened to go with EU-minus Poland and Hungary fiscal package. 

On the data front, at 12:00 GMT, the German Industrial Production also raised to 3.2% against the estimated 1.8% and supported Euro and capped further losses in EUR/USD pair. At 14:30 GMT, the Sentix Investor Confidence came in as -2.7 against the estimated -11.9 and supported Euro and limited additional losses in EUR/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support   Resistance

1.2113      1.2129

1.2107      1.2139

1.2097     1.2146

Pivot point: 1.2123

EUR/USD– Trading Tip

The market’s technical side continues to be the same as the pair continues to trade sideways due to a lack of high impact economic events. On the higher side, the EUR/USD may find an immediate resistance at 1.2160 and 1.2196 level. Simultaneously, the closing of candles below the 1.2103 level can send the EUR/USD pair further lower until 1.2080 and 1.2040 level. The MACD is strongly bearish; therefore, the idea will be to open a sell trade below the 1.2175 level today to capture quick green pips. 


GBP/USD – Daily Analysis

The GBP/USD pair was closed at 1.33785 after placing a high of 1.34375 and a low of 1.32239. The GBP/USD pair dropped to its lowest since November 19 on Monday in the early trading session due to the rising U.S. dollar, but it started to recover in the late trading session after the Brexit hopes raised. The U.S. dollar raised on Monday after the coronavirus cases continued to rise, and lockdowns expanded and weighed on the U.S. economic recovery. On Sunday, the Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, ordered large parts of the most populous U.S. state to close down as coronavirus cases spiked to record levels. 

On Sunday, California reported more than 30,000 new cases and marked a new record for hospitalized coronavirus patients. Other states including, New Jersey, North Carolina, Virginia, and West Virginia, also announced a record one-day rise in new infections. These increased cases raised concerns over the economic recovery hopes and raised the demand for safe-haven greenback that ultimately weighed on GBP/USD pair. However, the currency pair GBP/USD recovered some of its losses on Monday after the UK PM Boris Johnson revealed that he was set to travel to Brussels in a last-ditch effort to break a post-Brexit deal. The E.U. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and the UK PM Boris Johnson will remove the differences on a post-Brexit deal in the coming days. This came in after a 90 minutes phone call between the two leaders failed to produce a breakthrough. 

In a joint statement, both said that the conditions for a deal were not there, and significant differences remained on fishing, level playing field, and any deal governance. They have asked their chief negotiators to prepare an overview of the remaining sticking points discussed in a physical meeting in Brussels in the coming days. A senior U.K. governmental source warned that a deal might not be possible after the phone call between Ursula and Johnson. It was also reported that the talks were in the same position as they were on Friday and made no progress. All these downbeat statements related to Brexit weighed heavily on GBP/USD pair.

On the data front, at 13:30 GMT, the Halifax Housing Price Index for November raised to 1.2% against the forecasted 0.6% and supported British Pound, and capped further losses in GBP/USD pair.

Daily Technical Levels

Support  Resistance

1.3377      1.3438

1.3338      1.3462

1.3315      1.350 0

Pivot point: 1.3400

GBP/USD– Trading Tip

The GBP/USD pair bounced off over 1.3263 level, trading at 1.3340 level now. On the 4 hour timeframe, the GBP/USD is consolidating in between a wide trading range of 1.3406 – 1.3263 level. The Cable may find the next support at 1.3204 level, and below this, the next support can also be found around 1.3100 level today. On the higher side, the resistance hold around the 1.3406 mark. The MACD and RSI are suggesting selling bais in the pair, and we should look for selling trades below 1.3400 and buying over 1.3265 level today. 


USD/JPY – Daily Analysis

The USD/JPY pair was closed at 104.046 after placing a high of 104.310 and a low of 103.920. On Monday, the USD/JPY pair consolidated within a tight range around 104.00 level after placing a high of 104.310 on the U.S. dollar’s strength in the early European morning. However, the pair USD/JPY reversed its direction and started posting losses in late trading hours. The U.S. dollar was strong in early European trade on Monday as the coronavirus cases continued to rise and lockdowns expanded and weighed on the U.S. economic recovery. The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against the six other currencies basket was up by 0.3% at 90.993.

The record hike in the coronavirus spread caused the Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, to order large parts of the most populous U.S. state to close down again. California state reported 30,000 new cases in a single day and broke its daily high record. Other states like New Jersey, North Carolina, Virginia, and West Virginia also reported a record-high number of coronavirus cases.

The rising number of coronavirus infections and the U.S. hospitalization rate added pressure on the U.S. economic recovery and raised the appeal for safe-haven that ultimately added strength to the greenback. The strong U.S. dollar helped the USD/JPY pair rise to the 104.300 level in the early trading session.

However, the USD/JPY pair’s gains were short-lived as the pair started to decline in the late trading session and posted losses for the day. The decline in the USD/JPY pair was due to appreciation in the Japanese Yen after the lower U.S. yields on the day.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell by 4bps to 0.929%, and the 10-year real rates also dropped to -0.97% by 3bps. The declining U.S. yields thus decreased the attractiveness of USD investments relative to Japanese government bonds and underpinned selling pressure in the USD/JPY pair.

On the data front, at 09:59 GMT, the Leading Indicators from Japan came in line with the expectations of 93.8%. Meanwhile, the latest optimism regarding the vaccine and fiscal stimulus also kept the USD/JPY pair supported and limited the day’s losses.

Another reason behind the increasing demand for safe-haven Japanese Yen was the recent financial sanctions imposed by the U.S. and a travel ban on 14 Chinese officials over their suspected role in disqualifying elected opposition legislators in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong’s Beijing-backed government expelled four opposition members last month. In this response, the U.S. levied sanctions on Chinese officials and also blocked any assets the official might have within the U.S. These sanctions added in the safe-haven demand in the market and added strength in the Japanese Yen against the U.S. dollar, and weighed on the USD/JPY pair on Monday.

Daily Technical Levels

Support   Resistance

104.10      104.27

104.00      104.34

103.94      104.44

Pivot point: 104.17

USD/JPY – Trading Tips

The USD/JPY is trading within a symmetric triangle pattern seen in the 4-hour timeframe. The pair lately violated the sideways trading range of 104.600 – 104.200, and now it’s trading at 104.300 level, especially after bouncing off over 103.700 level on the lower side, supporting the pair around 103.700 level. On the downside, the USD/JPY may find support at the 103.200 level upon a bearish breakout of the 103.750 support level. While resistance stays at 104.350 and 104.700 today. Good luck

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Breaking Below Double Bottom Level – Selling Bias in Play! 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.74189 after placing a high of 0.74532 and a low of 0.73722. The currency pair AUD/USD extended its bearish moves on Monday amid the rising demand for the greenback and the improving risk-off market sentiment. The risk perceived Aussie came under fresh pressure on Monday as the rising number of coronavirus cases in the US forced many state governors to expand the restrictions that ultimately diminished the hopes of the US economic recovery and raised the appeal for risk-averse market sentiment.

In the first trading session of Monday, the AUD/USD pair printed fresh multi-year highs above the 0.7450 level, but the pair started to decline after the risk-averse mode took its pace in the market.

The latest sanctions over 14 Chinese officials by the US also added in the risk-averse market sentiment and weighed on the risk perceived Aussie that dragged the AUD/USD pair on the downside. The Beijing-backed government of Hong Kong expelled four opposition members last month that ended up having the US government impose sanctions on Chinese officials and a travel ban and blocking any assets the official might have within the US.

On the data front, at 02:30 GMT, the AIG Services Index in November came in as 52.9 compared to 51.4. At 05:30 GMT, the ANZ Job Advertisements in November came in as 13.9% compared to 11.9%.

The Chinese Trade Balance showed a surplus of 75.4B US dollars in the month of November and gave strength to the China-proxy Australian dollar due to their trading relationship and capped further losses in the AUD/USD pair on Monday.

Another factor involved in the declining AUD/USD pair’s prices on Monday was the US dollar’s strength due to its safe-haven status. The greenback gained traction in the market after the risk-off mood appeared because of the rising number of coronavirus cases in the US and the increasing hospitalization rate. The strong US dollar also added pressure on AUD/USD pair on Monday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7421 0.7437

0.7413 0.7445

0.7406 0.7453

Pivot point: 0.7429

Technically, the AUD/USD pair breaks below the double bottom support level of 0.7417, and its violation of the 0.7420 level can extend the selling trend until 0.7375. The support level of 0.7372 level is extended by an upward trendline support level of 0.7372. The MACD supports selling bias, and recent bearish engulfing and closing below the 0.7415 level can extend the selling trend until the 0.7375 level today.  

Entry Price – Sell 0.74057

Stop Loss – 0.74457

Take Profit – 0.73657

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Completes 23.6% Fibonacci – What’s Next? 

The USD/CAD closed at 1.27841 after placing a high of 1.28735 and a low of 1.27720. The USD/CAD pair extended its losses towards its lowest level since May 2018 amid the strength of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar and the rising crude oil prices. On Friday, the Canadian dollar outlook improved on the expectations that the currency will benefit from the domestic economic stimulus and the rollout of the coronavirus vaccine. On Monday, the Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland forecasted the budget deficit to hit a historic C$382 billion on coronavirus emergency aid. She also added that C$100 billion would be rolled out in stimulus once the virus came under control.

These statements from the Canadian Finance Minister added strength to the Canadian dollar as the hopes for Canadian economic recovery increased. The strong Canadian dollar added heavy pressure on the USD/CAD pair on Friday and dragged the pair on the downside.

Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar was also strong because of the positive macroeconomic data on Friday. At 18:30 GMT, the Employment Change from Canada raised to 62.1K against the forecasted 22.0K and supported the Canadian dollar and added losses in USD/CAD pair. 

The Unemployment Rate from Canada dropped to 8.5% against the forecasted 9.0% and supported the Canadian dollar and supported the USD/CAD pair’s downward trend. The Trade Balance from Canada came in as -3.8B against the forecasted -3.2B and weighed on the Canadian dollar.

From the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Average Hourly Earnings raised to 0.3% against the estimated 0.1% and supported the US dollar, and capped further losses in the USD/CAD pair. The Non-Farm Employment Change declined to 245K against the estimated 480K and weighed on the US dollar and supported the USD/CAD pair’s losses. The Unemployment Rate dropped to 6.7% against the estimated 6.8% and supported the US dollar. The Trade Balance from the US came in as -63.1B against the estimated -64.7B and supported the US dollar. 

At 20:00 GMT, the Factory Orders for November raised to 1.0% against the estimated 0.8%, supported the US Dollar, and capped further USD/CAD pair losses. Most of the US dollar economic data came in favor of the US dollar, but the NFP employment change or the job creation by the US economy fell short of expectations and weighed on the US dollar that added losses in the USD/CAD pair.

Another important factor involved in the USD/CAD pair’s losses on Friday was the rising crude oil prices. The price of crude oil, one of Canada’s major export, rose on Friday above $46 per barrel after the coronavirus vaccine’s speedy approval that would boost the global economic recovery and ultimately increase the energy demand. The higher crude oil prices supported the commodity-linked currency Loonie and added pressure on the currency pair USD/CAD on Friday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2825 1.2918

1.2791 1.2977

1.2733 1.3011

Pivot point: 1.2884

The USD/CAD slipped to trade at a 1.2811 level, holding above an immediate support level of 1.2775. Above this level, the commodity currency pair has formed a Doji candle, suggesting odds of selling bias until the 1.2770 level. Taking a look at the 4-hour timeframe, the USD/CAD pair has closed a bullish engulfing pattern at the 1.2811 level, and it may head upward until the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2837 level. Bullish trend continuation can lead to its prices further higher until the next resistance level of the 1.2904 level marks a 61.8% Fibonacci level. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Upward Channel In-Play – Brace for a Buying Trend! 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.74260 after placing a high of 0.74435 and a low of 0.74100. After rising for three consecutive days, the AUD/USD pair dropped on Friday and posted small losses as it remained confined in a range between 0.74100 and 0.74400. The currency pair rose in the early trading session on Friday as it followed the previous day’s trend and because of the Australian side’s supportive economic data. Another factor involved in the rising AUD/USD prices in the early trading session was the improved risk-sentiment from the latest development in the coronavirus vaccine.

The approval for emergency use authorization to Pfizer and BioNtech added in the risk sentiment as the hopes for global economic recovery increased and supported the risk-sensitive Aussie. The strong Australian dollar pushed the AUD/USD pair higher in early trading hours on Friday. On the data front, at 05:30 GMT, the Retail Sales from Australia raised to 1.4% against the projected 0.5% and supported the Australian dollar, and capped further losses in AUD/USD pair.

From the US side, at 18:30 GMT, the Average Hourly Earnings rose to 0.3% against the expected 0.1% and supported the US dollar and added pressure on AUD/USD pair. The Non-Farm Employment Change fell to 245K against the expected 480K and weighed on the US dollar, and capped further losses in AUD/USD pair. The Unemployment Rate fell to 6.7% against the expected 6.8% and supported the US dollar. The Trade Balance from the US came in as -63.1B against the expected -64.7B and supported the US dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the Factory Orders for November rose to 1.0% against the expected 0.8% and supported US Dollar and added pressure on AUD/USD pair.

Despite the US’s disappointing Job report, the unemployment rate and factory order data managed to support the US dollar through the rough time and exerted downward pressure on AUD/USD pair. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD pair’s losses were also limited because of the underlying pressure on the US dollar after the agreement between Democrats and Republicans over the $908 billion stimulus package. The agreement on the bipartisan proposal added hopes that a massive stimulus could also be approved and weighed on the US dollar that kept the losses in AUD/USD pair limited on Friday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7407 0.7461

0.7376 0.7482

0.7354 0.7514

Pivot point: 0.7429

The AUD/USD slipped to trade at 0.7372 level, holding above an upward support level, which is extended by an upward channel. The AUD/USD channel may drive upward movement until 0.7405 and 0.7440 resistance levels on the higher side. Conversely, a bearish breakout of 0.7372 level can extend the selling trend until the next support level of 0.7337. The RSI and MACD are reporting selling bias in the pair. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

Reverse Head & Shoulder Pattern Formation In The EUR/USD Pair

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Forex Signals

Trend Pullback In USD/CHF Pair

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Forex Signals

USD/CHF Heading North to Complete 38.2% Fibonacci Level – Brace for Buying! 

The USD/CHF trade is sharply bearish to drop until the 0.8885 level, holding above a support level of 0.8880 amid a stronger U.S. dollar. The tussle between China and the U.S. kept gaining market attention and challenged the market risk tone. As per the latest report, the Trump administration was preparing sanctions on at least a dozen Chinese officials in the wake of their alleged role in China’s disqualification of elected opposition legislators in Hong Kong.

As in result, the broad-based U.S. dollar managed to stop its early day losses and picked some bids during the early European session as the traders started to cheering the risk-off marker mood. However, the U.S. dollar bullish bias was rather unaffected by the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.S., or the disappointing U.S. jobs data, which raised expectations of fresh economic stimulus measures. However, the gains in the U.S. dollar turned out to be one of the leading factors that help the currency pair to limit its deeper losses. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a bucket of other currencies rose to 90.850.

On the other hand, the optimism over treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus becomes the key factor that helps the market trading sentiment stop its bearish rally, which might support the currency pair. The hopes of vaccine fueled further after the reports suggesting that the U.K.is set to become the 1st-country to roll out BNT162b2, the COVID-19 vaccine developed by Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (F:22UAy), this week.

In the absence of the key data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on RBA Gov Lowe Speaks. In addition to this, the updates about the U.S. stimulus package will also be key to watch. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will not lose their importance.


Daily Support and Resistance   

S1 0.8833

S2 0.8871

S3 0.8895

Pivot Point 0.8909

R1 0.8933

R2 0.8947

R3 0.8985

Technically, the USD/CHF pair is gaining support above the 0.8886 mark, and it’s triggered an upward wave to achieve a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement mark of 0.8935. On the further higher front, an upward movement and violation of 0.8933 mark can drive more buying trend unto next Fibo level of 61.8% at 0.8965. Check out a trading plan below. 

Entry Price – Buy 0.89342

Stop Loss – 0.88942

Take Profit – 0.89942

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Forex Signals

EURUSD: Heading towards the South

EURUSD produced a bearish candle on the daily chart Friday. The 15 M chart shows that the price made a bearish correction to start its trading day today. It found its resistance at 1.21380 and made a bearish move. It made a breakout at the level of 1.2110 by producing a good-looking bearish Marubozu candle. The pair produced one more bearish candle and then consolidated around the level of 1.21000. Upon producing a bearish Pin Bar, the price seems to get more bearish. It may head towards the level of 1.20700 with good bearish momentum. The price may consolidate or make a bullish correction around the level before finding its next direction as far as the 15M chart is concerned.

Trade Summary:

Entry: 1.21002

Stop Loss: 1.21002

Take Profit: 1.20802

The risk for the trade per standard lot is $100, Mini lot $10 and Micro lot $1. The risk-reward is 1:2. Thus, the reward for per standard lot is $200, Micro lot $ $20 and Mini lot $ 2.

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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Upward Channel Supports Buying – Dollar Getting Weaker! 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.74414 after placing a high of 0.74493 and a low of 0.73977. The AUD/USD pair advanced to its highest since August 2018 on Thursday over the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and the rising risk sentiment in the market. The U.S. dollar saw a massive sell-off on Thursday that led the U.S. Dollar Index to fell to its 2-years lowest level at 90.50. The latest decline in the demand for the U.S. dollar was droved by the rising hopes of a second round of stimulus package by Congress.

The second round of stimulus talks was resumed that succeeded in getting a consensus on a $908 billion bipartisan bill for coronavirus pandemic. The Democrats said that they would back the proposal as it was the starting step toward the stimulus package. These optimistic statements raised the hopes that the second round of financial aid from Congress for coronavirus pandemic will be released soon and support the economy. These hopes weighed on the U.S. dollar and supported the AUD/USD pair’s gains on Thursday. 

On the data front, at 02:30 GMT, AIG Construction Index from Australia came in as 55.3 against the previous 52.7. At 05:30 GMT, the Trade Balance from Australia surged to7.46B against the forecasted 5.83B and supported Aussie that added further gains in the AUD/USD pair on Thursday. At 17:30 GMT, the Challenger Job Cuts for the year in November came in as 45.4%against the previous 60.4%. At 18:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from last week declined to 712K against the predicted 775K and supported the U.S. dollar and capped further gains in AUD/USD pair. At 19:45 GMT, the Final Services PMI for November surged to 58.4 against the predicted 57.5 and supported the U.S. dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the ISM Services PMI stayed as predicted 55.9. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD pair also rose to its 2-years highest level on Thursday after the Caixin Services PMI on Thursday raised to 57.8 against the expected 56.5 and supported the China-proxy Aussie. 

The risk-perceived Australian dollar also followed the risk appetite and reached above its more than 2-years highest level as the optimism in the market related to vaccine development continuously supported the quick global economic recovery. This optimism also raised hopes that soon the vaccine will circulate in the market, and the economy will return to its pre-pandemic level that would help people return to their everyday routine lives. These positive hopes kept the market sentiment higher and supported Aussie’s risk on the bullish track.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7371 0.7441

0.7326 0.7466

0.7301 0.7512

Pivot point: 0.7396

Entry Price – Buy 0.7437

Stop Loss – 0.7397

Take Profit – 0.7477

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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Kind regards

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Bearish Bias Seems to Halt – Eyes on U.S. NFP Figures! 

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.28619 after placing a high of 1.29411 and a low of 1.28519. The USD/CAD pair extended its losses for the 3rd consecutive day on Thursday due to broad-based U.S. dollar weakness and the rising crude oil prices.

The USD/CAD fell to its lowest since October 2018 on Thursday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached 90.50 level, its lowest for 31 months. The U.S. dollar weakness could be attributed to the latest progress made in the talks of stimulus relief package in the U.S.

The Top Democrats officials, including President-elect Joe Biden, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and the Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, have said that they favored a $908 billion worth bipartisan bill for now as it was the starting step towards the stimulus package. These comments from Democrats raised hopes that a deal might be reached between Republicans and Democrats. Both parties have a shared view that there was a need for a 2020 stimulus package in the economy and that a deal should be reached soon.

This progress raised the hopes and optimism in the market related to the U.S.’s stimulus package and weighed heavily on the U.S. dollar that ultimately added in the losses of the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, the WTI crude oil prices increased on Thursday as producers, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, resumed discussion to agree on how much crude to pump in 2021 after earlier talks failed to compromise how to tackle the weak oil demand coronavirus pandemic.

In late Thursday, OPEC+ announced after three days of discussion that they have agreed to increase the production by 500,000 barrels per day beginning in January. This will bring the total production cuts at the start of next year to 7.2 million BPD. On Thursday, the rising crude oil prices added strength in the commodity-linked Loonie that added further pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

On the data front, at 17:30 GMT, the Challenger Job Cuts for the year in November came in as 45.4%against the previous 60.4%. At 18:30 GMT, the Unemployment Claims from last week fell to 712K against the expected 775K and supported the U.S. dollar. At 19:45 GMT, the Final Services PMI for November rose to 58.4 against the forecasted 57.5 and supported the U.S. dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the ISM Services PMI stayed as forecasted 55.9.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1.2898 1.2950

1.2877 1.2981

1.2847 1.3002

Pivot point: 1.2929

The USD/CAD traded in a selling mode, falling below the 1.2885 level to test the support area of the 1.2845 level. Bearish crossover of 1.2845 level can extend selling bias until 1.289 level. We opened a selling trade during the European open, but it seems to consolidate sideways ahead of the NFP figures. Here’s a trading plan for now…

Entry Price – Sell 1.28485

Stop Loss – 1.28885

Take Profit – 1.28085

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

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iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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Forex Signals

USD/CHF Violates Descending Triangle Pattern – Quick Trade Setup! 

During Thursday’s early European trading hours, the USD/CHF currency pair failed to stop its overnight bearish bias and remained depressed for the 3rd-consecutive session on the day. However, the reason for the bearish bias around the currency pair could be associated with the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by hopes for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Moreover, the U.S. economic recovery concerns amid intensifying coronavirus woes also exerted downside pressure on the American currency, which turned out to be one of the major factors that kept the currency pair under pressure. 

Across the pond, the disappointing ADP report on private-sector employment fueled worries about the economic fallout from the continuous surge in new COVID-19 cases in the United States, which also exerted downside pressure on the market trading sentiment and contributed to the currency pair losses. In the meantime, the on-going uncertainty over Brexit trade talks and worries of trade/political war between the West and China provides additional support to the safe-haven Swiss Francs, which adds further burden around the currency pair. Conversely, the selling bias surrounding the equity market was capped by the optimism over a potential vaccine for the hazardous coronavirus infection, which might help the currency pair limit its deeper losses. 

The market risk-on tone faded instantly after the Trump administration issued new guidelines restricting travel to the U.S. by members of the Chinese Communist Party, which tend to fuel already intensified tension between the United States and China. Across the pond, the rising COVID-19 cases still not showing any sign of slowing down, which in turn strengthened lockdown restrictions across Europe and the U.S. As per the latest report, Germany and France have been introducing new measures to curb the virus spread. These concerns kept fueling the global economic recovery worries and kept the market trading sentiment under pressure. 

Despite the risk-off-market sentiment, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to stop its previous session declining streak and remained bearish on the day as doubts persist over the global economic recovery from COVID-19. Furthermore, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expectations of further monetary easing also weigh on the U.S. dollar. Besides this, the encouraging data from COVID-19 vaccine developers urge investors towards riskier currencies and higher-yielding assets against the safe-haven asset, which eventually leads to losses in the safe-haven U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar losses became the key factor that kept the currency pair under pressure. 

On the contrary, the bearish bias around the equity market was capped by the prevalent optimism over a possible vaccine for the highly infectious coronavirus disease. However, the hopes of the vaccine were boosted after the United Kingdom became the first country to approve a vaccine jointly developed by Pfizer and BioNTech. These optimistic hopes become the key factor that lends some support to the currency pair to ease the intraday bearish pressure surrounding the USD/CHF currency pair.  


Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on the Unemployment Claims and the Final Services PMI for fresh directions. In addition to this, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will not lose their importance.

Daily Support and Resistance

S1 0.8828

S2 0.8898

S3 0.8922

Pivot Point 0.8968

R1 0.8991

R2 0.9038

R3 0.9107

The market’s technical side is exhibiting a sharp bearish bias for the USD/CHF as the pair is trading at a 0.8907 level. The USD/CHF pair has recently violated the descending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe, driving a sharp selling trend in the pair. For now, the pair may find resistance at 0.89500 and 0.9000 level while the support stays at the 0.8843 level. Let’s consider taking a buying trade near the 0.8843 level today. Good luck! 

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Forex Signals

USD/CAD Bearish Continues to Dominate the Market- Sell Signal In-Play

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.29183 after placing a high of 1.29584 and a low of 1.29098. The USD/CAD pair dropped for the second consecutive day on Wednesday towards its lowest since October 2018 amid the broad-based US dollar weakness and rising crude oil prices.
The US dollar was weak across the board on Wednesday as the hopes for further stimulus relief bill from Congress rose day by day and calls for its from top officials. The prospects of a renewed stimulus bill to support the US economy through the pandemic crisis weighed on the local currency US dollar and weighed on the USD/CAD pair.

After the vaccine development from various drug companies, the ongoing risk sentiment also added weight to the safe-haven greenback. The US dollar index plunged to its lowest in 30 months on Wednesday to 91.10 level and added pressure on the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, Pfizer and BioNtech received approval from the UK Administration on Wednesday and became the first to use their vaccine widely. This optimistic report added strength to the risk sentiment and weighed on the US dollar that dragged the currency pair USD/CAD on the two-year lower level.

Meanwhile, the WTI Crude oil prices raised on Wednesday to near $46 per barrel amid declining crude oil stockpiles from the US on the day and added strength in the commodity-linked currency Loonie ultimately added in the losses of USD/CAD pair.

Furthermore, on the data front, at 18:30 GMT, the Labor Productivity for the quarter from Canada came in as -10.3% against the forecasted -6.9% and supported the Canadian Dollar and added losses in USD/CAD pair. From the US front, at 18:15 GMT, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for November declined to 307K against the expected 433K and weighed on the US dollar and added losses in the USD/CAD pair.


Daily Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.2902 1.2984
1.2873 1.3037
1.2820 1.3066
Pivot point: 1.2955

On the technical side, the commodity currency pair USD/CAD is trading with a selling bias at the 1.2939 level, having crossed below the 1.2939 support level, which is now anticipated to work as a resistance. On the 4 hour timeframe, the USD/CAD has produced a downward channel, which supports the selling bias in the Loonie. Closing of candles below the 1.2945 level may assist us catch a quick selling trade. Good luck!

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Forex Signals

EUR/USD Fibonacci Retracement in Play – Signal Seems to Reverse! 

The EUR/USD surged dramatically on the back of risk-on sentiment amid positive reports over the COVID19 vaccine, which dragged the pair higher above the 1.2074 level. On the higher side, the violation of the 1.2010 resistance level is now working as a support, and it can lead the pair further higher until 1..2160. The bullish bias remains dominant today, especially over the 1.2015 level. However, the EUR/USD pair has recently formed a tweezers top pattern around 1.2076, suggesting the bearish retracement’s odds. In this case, the EUR/USD can also drop until the support level of 1.2017 that marks 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Let’s keep an eye on the 1.2060 support level today. 


Entry Price – Sell 1.20589

Stop Loss – 1.20989

Take Profit – 1.20189

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

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AUD/USD Supported By Upward Channel – Brace for a Buy Trade! 

The AUD/USD closed at 0.73723 after placing a high of 0.73731 and a low of 0.73393. The increasing risk sentiment in the market due to vaccine hopes they raised the risk-sensitive Aussie in the market and supported the AUD/USD pair’s upward momentum. Another factor involved in the rising AUD/USD prices on Tuesday as the US dollar’s weakness.

The US dollar lost its traction in the market after the hopes for further stimulus from Congress were raised, and the macroeconomic data also came in against the local currency. The losses in the US dollar could also be attributed to the rising number of coronavirus cases in the USA.

On Tuesday, the US health officials said that Americans would hopefully receive the vaccine shots against the coronavirus starting from mid-December after the emergency authorization use of Pfizer’s vaccine will be approved by the US FDA. This positive news supported the risk sentiment, raised the risk-sensitive Aussie on board, and supported the AUD/USD pair’s upward momentum.

Another reason behind the bullish movement of the AUD/USD pair on Tuesday was the increasing hopes of the US stimulus bill after the testimony of Jerome Powell and Steven Mnuchin. The Fed chair Jerome Powell said that the rising number of coronavirus cases and deaths because of the pandemic had destroyed the US economy’s outlook. The outgoing US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin also urged the lawmakers to release the second round of US stimulus package as the economy has been hit hard because of the pandemic due to increased restrictive measures in many states of America.

On the data front, at 02:30 GMT, the AIG Manufacturing Index came in November as 52.1 against the previous 56.3. At 05:30 GMT, the Building Permits from Australia raised in October to 3.8% against the forecasted -3.0% and supported the Australian dollar that added gains in AUD/USD pair. The Current Account Balance from Australia for October also raised to 10.0B from the forecasted 7.2B and supported Aussie that added further gains in AUD/USD pair. At 10:30 GMT, the Commodity Prices for the year from Australia were reported as 2.2%.

From the US front, at 20:00 GMT, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November fell to 5.75 against the projected 5.9 and weighed on the US dollar and supported the upward momentum of the AUD/USD pair. For October, the Construction Spending rose to 1.3% against the estimated 0.8% and supported the US dollar. The ISM Manufacturing Prices for November surged to 65.4 against the forecasted 65.0 and supported the US dollar. The Wards Total Vehicle Sales from the US declined to 15.6M against the estimated 16.1M and weighed on the US dollar that added further gains in AUD/USD pair.

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its Cash Rates to their rock bottom level at 0.1% and said it would not further cut the rates. The Governor of RBA Philip Lowe said that the bank was doing its best to revive the nation from its current coronavirus induced recession. Lowe added that the economic recovery was underway, but its economic data was coming better than expected.

He also said that the recovery was still expected to be uneven and was dependent on significant policy support. RBA’s GDP forecast would grow by around 5% in 2021 and 4% in 2022. The positive comments from RBA and positive outlook for Australia added strength in local currency Aussie and supported the bullish momentum of the AUD/USD pair on Tuesday.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7347 0.7382

0.73270.7395

0.7313 0.7416

Pivot point: 0.7361

The AUD/USD is trading sideways, holding between 0.7392 – 0.7342 levels, and closing of candles below 0.7392 level supports selling bias. While buying trend can be seen over 0.7345 level. On the 2 hour timeframe, the AUD/USD has formed an upward channel, which is likely to keep the pair supported. Let’s consider taking a buying trade over the 0.7340 level today. Good luck! 

 

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Forex Signals

Who Are the Best Forex Trading Signal Providers?

The best signal providers are funds and companies that deal with trading exclusively. A team of traders that have proven results over many years is the best one you can find. Now, this is the short, general answer, if you are looking for something that suits your taste, then you might need some pointers and more research. To find a good signal provider is hard since you have to find valid data providers that are reliable, not just legit.

The internet is full of noise, false and marketing plagued information that does not match your core interest. The best out of those you find may not the best in the world in terms of gains, but they will be the best for you. Put some effort to find reliable signals and the search might be worth it. However, be sure the performance of a signal provider will not be the same this year as the previous, as it is commonly said, past data does not guarantee future results. We will present how to find a reliable signal provider using some general pointers. 

Before you move on with your decision to trust your money with some other trader, AI, or strategy, consider the costs. Not the unforeseen costs that may come out of a bad decision, but how much you are ready to risk for the service. Signals providers like to create packaged service options, with increasing cost and benefits structure. Sometimes this is based on the deposit amount where the more money you put in the bigger amount of signals or the larger payout percentage you get. Automated solutions behind the signal provider mostly have this offer structure.

Now, you might be a trader that wants to have some additional benefits to an already good trading result. Diversifying to AI and human-generated signals seems like a good idea. Some signals providers require at least a $1000 monthly deposit without a trial, while others require a $20 subscription type per month. Know that if you can afford a deposit type subscription it does not mean they have a better performance over the cheaper monthly subscription. Unconfirmed results and, what’s more, results you personally cannot achieve on a demo account are not worth the deposit, while the $20 might not be risky as much. 

When you try to surf the web for the best signal provider, you will stumble upon many „top-rated“provider rankings. These portals are rarely independent, you will see a lot of these marketing portals that favorite their biggest sponsors first. Or they may even be owned by one of the bigger businesses. You will need more reliable data based on which you can at least get a better picture of who is the best signal provider for you. One forum that might help you on this search is Forex Peace Army, not only for signal providers but for brokerages as well. Here you will find somewhat real reviews and ratings created by actual users. However, stay cautious and take what you read with a grain of salt.

Honest services exist, but your chances of getting one are not that high. Pay attention to signal providers that are only relying on Instagram, WhatsApp, or Telegram. There is a good chance a signal provider is not legit if it does not have any other social media included for their voices. Some lonely trader with a good system may have tried this way, however, there is a good reason why scammers do not like to associate with other main social media accounts. They can only have lots of benefits from networking and opening up to a wider audience right? Well, scammers do not go this way because it is much easier to crack their schemes. They will be in the spotlight after a few users express their distrust, so a fresh start with a new identity is needed. With Telegram and the above-mentioned platforms, it is easy to stay incognito for a while. On Twitter or YouTube, this is much harder to do. 

Pay attention if the signal providers are young people. Young spells inexperienced most of the time, just an observation that does increase your chances of choosing a good signal provider. Youngsters need the experience to get to the top of the forex trading and only then they have a badge to sell your signals. There is a considerable time measured in years to get some trading skill and even then you need a consistent sample that also requires some time. Automated trading solutions are mostly backed up by young coders, however, a good strategy needs an experienced developer to be effective. 

Also notable are the flashy images of wealth and style scammer groups post on their channels. Flashy pictures that should inspire what you will become if you follow the signals are just a good sign you might be dealing with an unreliable signal provider. To the somewhat intelligent people, this will not work. However, they are no after for the intelligent, no need to say more.

You will need to find some proof the signal provider is good aside from the reviews and ratings. Past results add to the reliability but are not decisive. Of course, unethical providers will not share their results even though this is the first thing logically to look at. Interestingly, many providers found on the web will not even bother with their results. They will also try to share something completely faked. 

Even though the signal provider website looks very well made, with 24h support and all, you might be actually looking at unethical business. Do not fall for pretty pictures, some incredible gains numbers, testimonials, and the rest of the marketing for the unaware. 

Websites that are legit and have been founded by experienced people from the corporate world – sounds good, right? Wrong, most of the corporate experience does not mean they are good traders or signal providers. This group went out of business and has now founded the forex signals site as a try to use their backgrounds. If their backgrounds look impressive to you just understand they know how to extract money out of your pocket more than out from forex. The website may have very techy or nerdy wording to present smarts turned to success even though it is common terms in trading. 

If you get a chance to stumble on a signal provider that is willingly sharing their results, ask three questions: What is your net gains for some month or a year, and what is your previous month/year net gain? If the net gain is some ridiculous but attainable 4 digit number, and it repeats, then you can safely assume it is a scam. Then ask was this result on forex only. As you may know, some assets move much more than currencies so their pip movement does not mean more monetary gain. It is easy to attain 3000 pips per month on an index. 

When we said that even with the legit results presented you cannot be sure it is because you may be looking at one account or signals generated from many failed ones. This one just performed the best out of a hundred, for example. It does not mean the signal performance is going to be like this in the future. 

If you ever go into this, you may try legit proprietary firms that also accept traders to qualify for their funding. These companies also share signals from their experts once you subscribe. Normally you can find a cheap trial and a complete list of past trades before the real full-price subscription. We also advise demoing the signals for two months before you are ready to put in the money, the money you are ready to lose completely.

Categories
Forex Signals

USD/CAD Breaking Below Intraday Support – Quick Sell Trade!

The USD/CAD pair was closed at 1.29331 after placing a high of 1.30087 and a low of 1.29277. The USD/CAD pair fell on Tuesday despite the declining WTI crude oil prices due to weak US dollar demand on the day.
The USD/CAD pair dropped on the day as the US dollar was weak across the board after the release of US macroeconomic figures and also because of the rising hopes for the US stimulus package after the testimony of Jerome Powell and Steven Mnuchin.

On the data front, at 18:30 GMT, the Canadian Gross Domestic Product in October declined to 0.8% against the expected 0.9% and weighed on the Canadian dollar but failed to cap losses in the USD/CAD pair as the focus of investors was more towards the weakness of US dollar on the day. At 19:30 GMT, the Manufacturing PMI from Canada for November came in line with the forecasts of 55.8.

Whereas, on the US dollar front, at 20:00 GMT, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November declined to 5.75 against the anticipated 5.9 and weighed on the US dollar and added further losses in the USD/CAD pair. For October, the Construction Spending rose to 1.3% from the projected 0.8% and supported the US dollar. The ISM Manufacturing Prices for November also raised to 65.4 against the anticipated 65.0 and supported the US dollar. The Wards Total Vehicle Sales from the US declined to 15.6M against the forecasted 16.1M and weighed on the US dollar that added further pressure on the USD/CAD pair on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, the hopes for further stimulus aid in the US from Congress started to rise as Jerome Powell called the outlook for the United States economy extraordinarily uncertain due to increased coronavirus cases and deaths. The US health officials have said that vaccinating Americans will hopefully be started by mid-December as the death rates have risen to an alarming level. All these things included US stimulus hopes, a rising number of coronavirus cases, and the weak macroeconomic data added heavy pressure on the US dollar that dragged the USD/CAD pair lower despite the declining crude oil prices on Tuesday.

The WTI Crude Oil prices also declined on Tuesday after the OPEC+ meeting was reportedly delayed until Thursday to allow for more negotiations. It came in as UAE signaled that it would not support the three months extension of current output cuts by OPEC+. Furthermore, Saudi Arabia also said that it was considering stepping down from the co-chair of the OPEC+ JMMC as the country was unhappy with the things going on recently.

The declining crude oil prices due to the delayed OPEC+ meeting also weighed on commodity lined Loonie, but it failed to reverse the USD/CAD pair’s direction as the focus of the market was solely on the US dollar’s weakness on Tuesday.


Daily Technical levels
Support Resistance
1.2902 1.2984
1.2873 1.3037
1.2820 1.3066
Pivot point: 1.2955

On the technical front, the USD/CAD pair is trading with a bearish bias at the 1.2939 level, having crossed below the 1.2939 support level, which is now likely to work as a resistance. On the 4 hour timeframe, the USD/CAD has formed a downward channel, which supports the selling bias in the Loonie. Closing of candles below the 1.2945 level may help us capture a quick selling trade. Check out a trading plan…

Entry Price – Sell 1.29237
Stop Loss – 1.29637
Take Profit – 1.28837
Risk to Reward – 1:1
Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400
Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40
Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.
iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368
Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

What are the Best Forex Trading Robots?

Forex robots or Expert Advisors (EAs) for MT4 appear to be a dream come true for many people, as we can see from various chatrooms and comment sections. Automated trading has emerged as a perfect solution for anyone who finds manual trading to be too hard or resents the process of learning about the Forex market. Forex enthusiasts seem to love trading robots because they can work 24/7, they are unaffected by emotions, and they are available on the MetaTrader platforming many shapes and prices. The number of forex trading robots seems to be doubling each day, forex is more and more driven by automated solutions and increasingly intelligent AI.

If you just care about the gains and rate robots based on their net gain performance during a month or a year, you could be shocked that the best performing robot suddenly lost a big part of your account one day. Consequently, this leads us to how do we interpret the specs and presented the performance of an automated solution. MetaTrader 4 and 5 platforms have a testing module that could give us some clue if the robot is functioning well on a specific asset, time, or market conditions. The industry and the demand grew so much you now have so many websites selling EAs and investment companies that take deposits for their AI to trade with. Not to mention scalping strategies are mostly automated since they can execute much faster than a human would. The guide of how to find the best robot is likely to be obsolete in one year given the pace EAs are produced. What’s more, the robot could simply stop being “the best” once the market conditions change. So we are going to give you a few evergreen universal pointers for your quest.  

The internet is full of marketing bloated false websites that attach to anything popular. Automated trading is very popular, everybody would like to earn money without knowledge about trading and almost no effort. When it seems too good to be true, it probably is. Now you have really to dig the internet search results to find something about robots without a bias of sponsorships, industry pitching, and overblown robot performance (fake). When you look at the top-ranking lists you will not find the same robots, and even top-ranked robots will not be the best according to reviews sites. Then it gets even fuzzier when you want to find a specific robot type. There are a few starting web portals you may look at first to have an overview of the EA market. 

First, go to Forex Peace Army and read some reviews. The reviews on this site are not made by sponsors, but by real users, most of the time. You will also see some red flags and warning about a particular robot seller, scams also if you want to see how people got scammed, it is educational. Focus on robots with a good number of reviews, having a 5-star rating does have any weight if it is based on 2 reviews. When you read the reviews, try to figure out if they have enough useful information about the product. Something like “great robot!” does not mean a lot to anyone. Check the FPA forum if something grabbed your attention on the internet. For example, Forex Fury is a very praised robot by rank websites, but it is not as great according to users. Of course, robot users are not always good representatives of its quality, so take everything they say with a healthy dose of suspicion. 

Explore how the robot selling portal looks like, who is the author, what is the strategy behind. Check for any flashy content, extremely good performance charts, percentages, and ambiguous claims or explanations about the robot. Any of the mentioned is a bad sign, especially when no trial is offered. Interestingly, demos are not commonly offered. You will notice when the portal is just full of pitching lines, it is wise to stay clear of those. 

Before all, understand where the robot is applicable, its settings, how to set up, and if all this is in line with your lifestyle. It is not comfortable to fund a robot that is overtrading or has a Stop Loss level too far. Most of the time robots will require a sustainable connection with the market 24/7 so you will need a VPS service. Assess how all the costs combine to your preference and how much can it hopefully earn to make everything worthwhile. Some robots are based on subscriptions or work only in very calm market conditions when you are unavailable to put it to run. Therefore, you need to do a lot of o research about a robot of preference, including the performance elements. 

Gains are not important, it is how they are achieved. If you see the robot is allowing for too big of an account drawdown (%) at any given moment, know its risk profile is not optimal. Some robots are just made for high-risk gains and are not meant to be used all the time since they will fail at one moment and bust the account. Robots with risky strategies are sometimes used with small deposits but on multiple leveraged accounts, one that endures a month might have enough gains to cover all the costs. People who want steady income will search for other strategies designed no to risk too much, single-digit gains per month without overtrading, martingale, and cost averaging when things go sour. Such robots/strategies are developed by experienced traders, able to be manually exercised with the right tools. 

If you use the MetaTrader platform, then you probably know about the EA market. Here you can find so many robots, some of them are free. The best trading robot can be free and still make your profits. Some of the very promising robots are not even listed on any website except on the MQL market. Robot authors usually describe the robot strategy and performance charts to the best ability, yet some free robots do not serve really to provide good results and may just be demo versions of the paid variants. When you read the technical specifics presented, know they are not accurate. The high winning rate of some robots could reveal the strategy is based on many short trades with high-risk tolerance hence the winning rate is high. Lossing trades are typically extreme with these, even one is enough to leave you empty-handed. 

Consider robots that are constantly updated. It is hard to devise a strategy adaptive to market conditions. Robots are rigid, simply there are not enough code statements to cope with the ever-surprising forex market. Because of this authors need to update their robots meaning you will inevitably see losses once the conditions are not “right” for your robot. Adaptive strategies are not that uncommon, the market conditions could be recognized by some tools for volatility, such as $EVZ, ATR, Choppiness Index, and similar. Also by comparing past data with the specific events that could drive the market bullish or bearish, for example. Automating strategies is very hard work and requires a lot of testing. The price for complex adaptive strategies robots is high, mostly over $1000, still, it is a small price to pay for something that generates consistent profits. 

Finding the best robot requires a lot of work and luck. The search part is already time-consuming and unfortunately, the time invested in the research might not bear fruits. The promising robot might perform well and then simply stop. There is a lot of factors that could turn the odds quickly the robot just can’t compensate for. The answer to this bread question is unsatisfying – the best robot is the one who gives you at least some profit.

Categories
Forex Signals

AUD/USD Violates Upward Channel – An Update on Signal! 

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.73435 after placing a high of 0.74070 and a low of 0.73388. The currency pair AUD/USD raised to its highest in 4 months on Monday in an early trading session due to improved risk sentiment failed to remain there for longer and reversed its direction as the US dollar Index raised.

The risk sentiment in the market was supported by multiple factors, including the vaccine optimism and the resumed talks in Congress for issuance of a second stimulus package. Pfizer sent its first mass shipment of coronavirus vaccine to Chicago on Monday and added in the market’s risk sentiment. Moderna also applied on Monday for emergency use authorization of its vaccine to curb the coronavirus pandemic’s effect.

These factors raised the demand for risk-sensitive Aussie and supported the upward momentum of AUD.USD pair in early trading hours of the day. However, the gains were lost during the late trading session as the US Dollar Index rebounded. The US Dollar Index (DXY) bounced back on Monday from its lower 91.8 level amid the decline in US Wall Street’s main indexes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 indexes fell on Monday and added strength to the US dollar.

Meanwhile, on the data front, at 05:00 GMT, the MI Inflation Gauge for November came in as 0.3% in comparison to -0.1%. At 05:30 GMT, the Company’s Operating Profits for the quarter decreased to 3.2% against the forecasted 4.0% and weighed on the Australian dollar and added further in the losses of AUD/USD pair. The Private Sector Credit for November also declined to 0.0% against the estimated 0.1% and weighed on the Australian dollar and added further losses in AUD/USD pair.

On the US dollar front, at 19:45 GMT, the Chicago PMI for November dropped to 58.2 against the expected 59.4 and weighed on the US dollar that capped further losses in AUD/USD pair. At 20:00 GMT, the Pending Home Sales for October also dropped to -1.1% against the estimated 1.1% and weighed on the US dollar. However, the AUD/USD pair’s losses were limited by the release of positive macroeconomic data from China. China’s economic activity in the manufacturing and services sector was improved during November and helped China-proxy Australian dollar to gather strength against its counterpart US dollar and capped further losses in the AUD/USD pair on Monday.


Daily Technical Levels
Support Resistance
0.7389 0.7410
0.7377 0.7417
0.7369 0.7430
Pivot point: 0.7397

Entry Price – Sell 0.73437

Stop Loss – 0.73837

Take Profit – 0.73037

wisk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

EUR/JPY Bullish Engulfing Signals Further Buying – Quick Signal Update!

During Tuesday’s early European trading session, the EUR/JPY currency pair managed to extend its overnight bullish streak and drew some further bids around closer to the 125.00 level mainly due to the market risk-on mood, which tends to undermine the safe-haven Japanese yen and contributes to the currency pair gains. Hence, the market trading sentiment was being supported by the prospects of a COVID-19 vaccine.

Across the pond, the shared currency upticks also played a significant role in underpinning the currency pair. On the contrary, the long-lasting coronavirus woes in the U.S. and Europe keep challenging the upbeat market sentiment, which becomes the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair.

On the contrary, the intensifying coronavirus woes across the globe and intensifying lockdowns restrictions in Europe and the U.S. keep challenging the upbeat market performance and become the key factor that kept the lid on any additional gains in the currency pair.

In the absence of the key data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November and original comments from the Fed Chair’s Testimony for fresh impetus. In addition to this, the updates about the U.S. stimulus package will also be key to watch. In the meantime, the risk catalyst like geopolitics and the virus woes, not to forget the Brexit, will not lose their importance.


Daily Support and Resistance
S1 122.99
S2 123.8
S3 124.11
Pivot Point 124.62
R1 124.93
R2 125.44
R3 126.25

The EUR/JPY has violated the resistance level of 124.780, and above this, the pair has the potential to go after the 125.530 level. However, if the EUR/JPY pair fails to stay over 124.750 support, the odds of bearish reversal will also remain solid. The leading indicator, such as MACD is supporting the buying trend. Checkout a trade setup below.

Entry Price – Buy 124.898

Stop Loss – 124.498

Take Profit – 125.298

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Signals

Gold Violates Ascending Triangle Pattern – Signal Update

The yellow metal prices succeeded in stopping its previous 3-day losing streak and recovered from monthly lows of $1,764.73 to $1,764.73 level mainly due to the broad-based U.S. dollar weakness, triggered by hopes of more monetary easing measures from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Moreover, the concerns over the economic recovery amid intensifying coronavirus cases also exerted downside pressure on the U.S. dollar, which eventually lend support to the yellow-metal prices as the weaker USD tends to make it cheaper holders of other currencies to purchase the yellow-metal. Across the pond, the mixed market trading sentiment, driven by the negative comments of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, lend some additional support to the safe-haven metal. In the meantime, the worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the U.S. and Europe also keeps the gold prices bullish.

Apart from this, the western tussle with China and uncertainty over the Brexit trade deal also probed the market’s positive performance and contributed to its gains. On the contrary, the optimism over a possible vaccine and treatment for the highly infectious coronavirus keeps challenging the market’s bears, which was seen as one of the key factors that kept the lid on any additional gains in the yellow metal prices. The yellow metal prices are currently trading at 1,786.03 and consolidating in the range between 1,775.87 – 1,788.37.

However, the sentiment around the global markets remains mixed amid stimulus concerns and growing coronavirus fears, as well as the negative comments of the Fed Chair Jerome Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin also kept the market trading sentiment cautious. It should be noted that the Fed’s Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin both said during Monday’s testimony in front of the Senate Banking Committee that the economy is on the way to recovery but needs additional help to stay on track. In the meantime, Mnuchin urged Congress to use $455 billion from the CARES Act to present the much-needed stimulus to the world’s biggest economy.

Daily Support and Resistance
S1 1735.75
S2 1755.61
S3 1766.35
Pivot Point 1775.48
R1 1786.22
R2 1795.34
R3 1815.21


The precious metal gold is violating the ascending triangle pattern on the four hourly timeframes, extending resistance at the 1,792 level. Over this level, the gold price may head further higher until the 1,818 level; therefore, we have entered the buying trade in gold. Check out the trade plan below.

Entry Price – Buy 1792.46

Stop Loss – 1786.46

Take Profit – 1799.96

Risk to Reward – 1:1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = -$400/ +$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = -$40/ +$40

Fellas, now you can check out forex trading signals via Forex Academy mobile app. Follow the links below.

iPhone Users: https://apps.apple.com/es/app/fasignals/id1521281368

Andriod Users: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=academy.forex.thesignal&hl=en_US

Categories
Forex Elliott Wave Forex Market Analysis Forex Signals

Is EURNZD Developing a Terminal Formation?

The EURNZD cross presents a downward sequence in its 12-hour chart that began on August 20th when the price found fresh sellers at 1.82238. This sequence formed three internal segments and, recently, is likely forming a reversal movement in the following trading sessions.

Technical Overview

The previous chart illustrates the bearish primary trend identified with the descending trendline, drawn in blue. Moreover, the secondary trend, plotted in green, reveals an aggressive decline that is happening since October 20th when the cross found resistance at 1.80212. But we see all that the EURNZD price seems to have found support on November 23rd on 1.69472. Currently, the price action appears consolidating in a narrow range between 1.69622 and 1.70645.

In Elliott Wave theory terms, the cross is advancing in an incomplete downward corrective sequence of Minute degree identified in black, which currently is drawing its wave ((c)). Likewise, its internal structure suggests the progress in the fifth wave of Minuette degree labeled in blue.

The following 2-hour chart reveals the EURNZD cross is moving mostly sideways following a descending wedge breakout, or in terms of the Elliott Wave theory, an ending diagonal breakout. 

Nevertheless, the bullish reversal is still unconfirmed as long as the cross keeps moving below the level of 1.70486.

Short-term Technical Outlook

The EURNZD cross shown in its 2-hour chart below presents a sideways movement below the pivot level of 1.70486, which could correspond to the fifth wave of Minuette degree, labeled in blue. 

Considering that the cross remains in a consolidation structure, there are two potential scenarios:

  • The first scenario occurs if the price action breaks and closes above the 1.70486 pivot level. In this case, the EURNZD could develop an upward movement. According to the Dow Theory, the cross should make an upward motion to the area between 1.73016 and 1.76560. Likewise, the invalidation level for this reversal scenario is seen on 1.69472, which corresponds to the low made on November 24th.
  • The second scenario calls for the price to drop and close below the 1.69472 level. If that happens, the cross could continue its decline toward the lows zone made in January, near the 1.6650 level. The price could find support and complete the wave ((c)) of Minute degree labeled in black. In this scenario, the invalidation level would be located above the last relevant swing high of 1.70961.

However, let’s remember that as long as the price doesn’t confirm any breakout, bullish, or bearish, the bias should be kept neutral.