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Forex Signals

AUD/USD Bounces off Support 0.7155 – Good time to go long?

The AUD/USD pair was closed at 0.71864 after placing a high of 0.72218 and a low of 0.70484. The pair AUD/USD rose to its highest since 12th October on Wednesday amid the U.S. political uncertainty after the election results seemed tighter than expected.

The AUD/USD pair first declined sharply on Wednesday amid the recent decision of RBA to cut its interest rates to 0.10% from the 0.25% and weighed on Aussie. The RBA also announced its plans to buy A$200 billion government bonds with maturities of around 5-10 years over the next six months.

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However, the losses in AUD/USD pair were reversed, and the par started to post gains as the U.S. dollar started losing its gains in late trading session as the U.S. election results delayed and raised uncertainty. The markets started moving with the threats of lawsuits and recounting of votes that would go on for a couple of days and delay the final election results.

The declining U.S. dollar helped the AUD/USD pair to raise its prices and move in the upward direction on Wednesday. On the data front, at 02:30 GMT, the AIG Construction Index for October raised to 52.7 against the previous 45.2. At 05:30 GMT, the Retail Sales for September came in as -1.1% against the forecasted -1.5% and supported the Australian dollar that added strength to AUD/USD pair.

At 18:15 GMT, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for October plunged to 365K against the predictable 650K and weighed on the U.S. dollar that ultimately supports the AUD’s upward momentum/USD pair. At 18:30 GMT, the Trade Balance from the U.S. for October remained flat with the anticipations of -63.9B. 

At 19:45 GMT, the Final Services PMI for October rose to 56.9 from the estimated 56.0 and supported the U.S. dollar. At 20:00 GMT, the ISM Services PMI for October fell to 56.6 from the predictable 57.4 and weighed on the U.S. dollar that added further strength to AUD/USD pair.


Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

0.7066 0.7215

0.6972 0.7270

0.6917 0.7364

Pivot point: 0.7121

The AUD/USD continues trading sideways, facing immediate resistance at the 0.7160 level along with a support area of 0.7140. The bullish breakout of the 0.7190 level can extend the buying trend until the 0.7220 level. Conversely, the bearish breakout of the 0.7140 level can drive selling bias until 0.7060. Eyes stay on the U.S. elections outcome. Good luck! 

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